Prospective Plantings - Cornell University · 3/31/2000 · 2,453 25 30 30 20 70 20 160 55 34 75...

Cr Pr 2-4 (3-00)

Washington, D.C.

ProspectivePlantings

Released March 31, 2000, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department ofAgriculture. For information on "Prospective Plantings" call (202) 720-2127, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET.

Corn Acreage Up 1 PercentSoybean Acreage Up 1 Percent

Corn growers intend to plant 77.9 million acres of corn for all purposes in 2000, up 1 percent from 1999, but down3 percent from 1998. Expected acreage is down in Nebraska, the Great Lakes region, and mid-Atlantic States duemostly to dry conditions. Intended acreage is up in the central Corn Belt, northern Plains, Southeast, and West.

Soybean producers intend to plant 74.9 million acres in 2000, up 1 percent from last year. If realized, this will be thelargest planted area for soybeans on record. Of the 31 soybean producing states, producers in 10 States intend to plantmore acres this year, while producers in 13 States intend to plant fewer acres than in 1999. Seven states are unchangedfrom the previous year. West Virginia acreage estimates are included for the first time.

Sorghum plantings are expected to total 8.98 million acres, down 3 percent from last year.

All wheat planted area is expected to total 61.7 million acres in 2000. This is down 2 percent from 1999 and the lowestlevel since 1973.

Area planted to Durum wheat is intended to decrease to 3.61 million acres, down 11 percent from 1999.

The 2000 other spring wheat planted acreage is estimated at 14.8 million acres, down 4 percent from last year. Ifrealized, this will be the smallest area since 1988. Of the total, about 13.8 million acres are Hard Red Spring wheat.

All Cotton plantings for 2000 are expected to total 15.6 million acres, 5 percent above last year. If realized, this wouldbe the largest acreage since 1995 and the second largest since 1962. Upland acreage is expected to total 15.3 millionacres, up 5 percent from 1999. All 17 Upland cotton producing States intend to increase acreage from last year. Growers intend to decrease their plantings of American-Pima cotton to 217,000 acres, down 25 percent from 1999. AllAmerican-Pima cotton producing States intend to decrease acreage from last year.

Prospective Plantings Agricultural Statistics BoardMarch 2000 2 NASS, USDA

This report was approved on March 31, 2000.

Acting Secretary ofAgriculture

Richard E. Rominger

Agricultural Statistics BoardChairperson

Frederic A. Vogel


Index

Page

Crop Comments . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36Information Contacts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 44Reliability . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 42

Barley . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11Beans, Dry Edible . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16Canola . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15Corn . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4 Biotechnology Varieties . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23Cotton . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18 Biotechnology Varieties . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24Hay . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17Oats . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7Peanuts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16Rice . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13Sorghum. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6Soybeans . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12 Biotechnology Varieties . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24Sugarbeets . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22Sunflower . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14Sweetpotatoes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15Tobacco . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19Wheat, All . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8

Durum . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10Other Spring . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10Winter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9

U. S. Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25


Corn: Area Planted by State and United States, 1998-00

StateArea Planted

1998 1999 2000 1 2000/1999

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Percent

ALAZARCACOCTDEFLGAIDILINIAKSKYLAMEMDMAMIMNMSMOMTNENV 2

NHNJNMNYNCNDOHOKORPARISCSDTNTXUTVTVAWAWVWIWY

US

30050

235600

1,18035

169160500145

10,6005,800

12,5003,0001,300

70034

47025

2,3007,300

5502,650

608,800

15120140

1,130860970

3,55027055

1,5503

3503,900

7002,400

6211250016060

3,70095

80,165

22050

105550

1,23038

16990

350165

10,8005,800

12,1003,1501,320

34033

47026

2,2007,100

3402,650

658,600

15110150

1,150750820

3,45043045

1,5003

3003,600

6301,950

6110650015560

3,60085

77,431

23050

150560

1,25036

16590

400180

11,1005,700

12,2003,3001,330

40033

47025

2,1507,000

3602,600

758,300

21590

1501,150

7001,0003,450

30040

1,5003

3303,900

6402,000

6210549015060

3,50090

77,881

1051001431021029598

10011410910398

101105101118100100969899

10698

11597

10082

10010093

1221007089

100100110108102103102999897

10097

106

1011 Intended plantings in 2000 as indicated by reports from farmers.2 State estimates began in 2000.


Sorghum: Area Planted by State and United States, 1998-00

StateArea Planted

1998 1999 2000 1 2000/1999


ALAZ 2

ARCA 2

CODE 2

GAILKSKYLAMD 2

MSMONENMNCOKPA 2

SCSDTNTXVA 2

US

9

140

200

50110

3,50010

130

4033070020021

410

620020

3,550

9,626

11

130

230

50100

3,60010

240

6032055015019

440

820020

3,150

9,288

1013

16016

2504

6090

3,40015

19015

12025070020018

4701010

15020

2,8008

8,979

91

123

109

1209094

15079

20078

12713395

107

12575

10089

971 Intended plantings in 2000 as indicated by reports from farmers.2 State estimates began in 2000.


Oats: Area Planted and Harvested by Stateand United States, 1998-00 1

StateArea Planted Area Harvested

1998 1999 2000 2 2000/1999 1998 1999 2000 2 2000/1999

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Percent 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Percent

AL 3

AR 3

CACOGAIDILINIAKSMEMD 3

MIMNMOMTNENYNCNDOHOKORPASCSDTXUTWAWV 3

WIWY

US

3510

3209050808550

280110259

11035022

14017011540

7301206065

19040

42060050306

43060

4,892

4013

2755060807540

250120278

10036035

17013510060

6501207540

17055

32067045307

43060

4,670

2656070709030

23011036

10038040

13015010060

6201007060

17560

2505604530

40060

4,351

9612011788

120759292

133

10010611476

111100100958393

1501031097884

100100

93100

93

179

302525307030

18560247

100310136095

10520

4201002035

16025

300130

9154

30022

2,755

2011302025256025

17570225

753002270757030

3301003020

14535

200110

9152

30027

2,453

253030207020

1605534

753202560908035

350803035

15040

175140

915

29030

2,473

8315012080

117809179

155

10010711486

12011411710680

10017510311488

127100100

97111

1011 Includes area planted in preceding fall.2 Intended area planted and to be planted and area to be harvested for 2000 as indicated by reports from farmers.3 Estimates discontinued for 2000


All Wheat: Area Planted by State and United States, 1998-00 1

StateArea Planted

1998 1999 2000 2 2000/1999


ALAZARCACODEFLGAIDILINIAKSKYLAMDMIMNMSMOMTNENVNJNMNYNCNDOHOKORPASCSDTNTXUTVAWAWVWIWY

US

120153980680

2,8127515

2901,3501,250

70040

10,700750100225600

2,015160

1,3505,6501,900

1648

415140730

9,7701,2006,600

910195265

3,425570

6,100179280

2,67011

148234

65,821

14086

970590

2,6537516

3001,4201,050

55040

10,000650110215610

2,045180980

5,5602,000

1742

445130650

9,4101,0506,400

870195225

3,105500

6,200176280

2,52511

133210

62,814

14087

1,150580

2,5956520

3001,410

95055020

9,800670110220530

2,125230

1,0005,7301,850

1740

470160720

9,1101,0206,100

865200190

2,765580

6,000176240

2,52013

148198

61,664

100101119989887

1251009990

1005098

10310010287

10412810210393

10095

10612311197979599

1038489

11697

10086

10011811194

981 Includes area planted in preceding fall.2 Intended planting for 2000 as indicated by reports from farmers.


Winter Wheat: Area Planted by State and United States, 1998-00 1

StateArea Planted

1998 1999 2000 2 2000/1999


ALAZARCACODEFLGAIDILINIAKSKYLAMDMIMNMSMOMTNENVNJNMNYNCNDOHOKORPASCSDTNTXUTVAWAWVWIWY

US

1208

980500

2,7507515

290820

1,25070040

10,70075010022560060

1601,3501,4001,900

748

41514073070

1,2006,600

810195265

1,500570

6,100155280

2,20011

140220

46,449

14011

970500

2,6007516

300760

1,05055040

10,00065011021561040

180980

1,0502,000

1142

44513065060

1,0506,400

710195225

1,300500

6,200150280

1,90011

125200

43,431

1407

1,150500

2,5506520

30078095055020

9,80067011022053020

2301,0001,5001,850

1040

470160720110

1,0206,100

750200190

1,350580

6,000150240

1,85013

140190

43,245

10064

1191009887

12510010390

1005098

1031001028750

128102143939195

1061231111839795

10610384

10411697

1008697

11811295

1001 Includes area planted in preceding fall.2 Intended planting for 2000 as indicated by reports from farmers.


Durum Wheat: Area Planted by State and United States, 1998-00 1

StateArea Planted

1998 1999 2000 2 2000/1999


AZCAMNMTNDSD

US

145180

5450

3,00025

3,805

75905

3603,450

55

4,035

80805

5302,900

15

3,610

10789

1001478427

891 Includes area planted in preceding fall in AZ and CA.2 Intended plantings in 2000 as indicated by reports from farmers.

Other Spring Wheat: Area Planted by State and United States, 1998-00

StateArea Planted

1998 1999 2000 1 2000/1999


COIDMNMTNVNDORSDUTWAWIWY

US

62530

1,9503,800

96,700

1001,900

24470

814

15,567

53660

2,0004,150

65,900

1601,750

26625

810

15,348

45630

2,1003,700

76,100

1151,400

26670

88

14,809

8595

10589

1171037280

10010710080

961 Intended plantings in 2000 as indicated by reports from farmers.


Barley: Area Planted by State and United States, 1998-00 1

StateArea Planted

1998 1999 2000 2 2000/1999


AZCACODEIDKSKYME 3

MDMIMNMTNENVNJNY 3

NCNDOH 3

OK 4

ORPASC 4

SDTX 4

UTVAWAWIWY

US

581709034

78088

6027

4401,350

1056

252,000

7150804

115109590

53080

105

6,337

631709530

710169

5523

2001,300

556

241,350

4145753

80159080

5008090

5,223

4013010030

7405

10206025

2701,200

746

1830

1,90013

15075

70

9085

48075

100

5,733

6376

10510010431

111

10910913592

14080

100

125141

103100

88

1001069694

111

1101 Includes area planted in preceding fall.2 Intended plantings in 2000 as indicated by reports from farmers.3 Estimates began in 2000.4 Discontinued in 2000.


Soybeans: Area Planted by State and United States, 1998-00

StateArea Planted

1998 1999 2000 1 2000/1999


ALARDEFLGAILINIAKSKYLAMDMIMNMSMONENJNYNCNDOHOKPASCSDTNTXVAWV 2

WI

US

3403,550

22035

30010,6005,600

10,4002,5501,2201,200

4701,9006,9002,0505,1003,800

115100

1,4751,5004,400

470400540

3,4501,250

440500

1,150

72,025

2403,450

20520

22010,6005,600

10,8002,8501,2001,020

4901,9507,0001,9505,4004,300

105130

1,4001,3504,600

480370480

4,1001,250

400470

1,350

73,780

1803,450

21520

20010,5005,700

10,8002,8001,200

950470

1,9507,3001,7505,4004,600

100150

1,3801,7504,550

420380470

4,6001,220

40048016

1,470

74,871

751001051009199

10210098

1009396

10010490

10010795

11599

1309988

10398

11298

100102

109

1011 Intended plantings in 2000 as indicated by reports from farmers.2 Estimate began in 2000.


Rice: Area Planted by Class, State,and United States, 1998-00

ClassandState

Area Planted

1998 1999 2000 1 2000/1999


Long Grain AR CA LA MS MO TX

US

Medium Grain AR CA LA MO TX

US

Short Grain AR CA

US

All AR CA LA MS MO TX

US

1,3339

595270142280

2,629

2054353035

678

236

38

1,540480625270145285

3,345

1,3985

585325184254

2,751

2504753526

768

260

62

1,650540620325186260

3,581

1,3265

540260188216

2,535

2605203024

816

440

44

1,590565570260190220

3,395

951009280

10285

92

10410986

10067

106

20067

71

961059280

10285



Sunflower: Area Planted by Type, State,and United States, 1998-00

VarietalType and

State

Area Planted

1998 1999 2000 1 2000/1999


Oil CO KS MN NE ND SD TX

Oth Sts 2

US

Non-Oil CO KS MN NE ND SD TX

Oth Sts 2

US

All CO KS MN NE ND SD TX

Oth Sts 2

US

1151609039

1,60090012

37

2,953

45204031

3904035

14

615

16018013070

1,99094047

51

3,568

1752508049

1,25087025

58

2,757

95305052

4505050

19

796

270280130101

1,70092075

77

3,553

23025010060

1,05070030

58

2,478

50204040

3005545

19

569

280270140100

1,35075575

77

3,047

1311001251228480

120

100

90

5367807767

11090

100

71

10496

108997982

100

100

861 Intended plantings in 2000 as indicated by reports from farmers.2 2000 estimates carried forward from 1999. First 2000 estimate will be published in "Acreage" on June 30, 2000.


Canola: Area Planted by State and United States, 1998-00

StateArea Planted

1998 1999 2000 1 2000/1999


MN 2

ND 2

Oth Sts 3

US 1,115 1,076

2001,200

116

1,516 1411 Intended plantings in 2000 as indicated by reports from farmers.2 State estimates for MN and ND began in 2000.3 2000 estimates carried forward from 1999. First 2000 estimate will be published in "Acreage" on June 30, 2000.

Sweet Potatoes: Area Planted by State and United States, 1998-00

StateArea Planted

1998 1999 2000 1 2000/1999


ALCAGALAMSNJNCSCTXVA

US

3.89.70.8

21.09.81.1

33.01.16.40.5

87.2

3.39.50.7

24.010.51.0

37.01.25.60.5

93.3

3.19.70.7

25.011.00.9

36.01.05.80.5

93.7

94102100104105909783

104100



Peanuts: Area Planted by Stateand United States, 1998-00

StateArea Planted

1998 1999 1 2000 2 2000/1999


ALFLGANMNCOKSCTXVA

US

198.098.0

540.022.0

125.080.012.0

370.076.0

1,521.0

206.0102.0548.021.0

126.082.012.0

360.076.0

1,533.0

206.098.0

525.022.0

125.085.012.0

325.076.0

1,474.0

1009696

10599

10410090

100

961 Any revisions for the 1999 crop will be released in "Crop Production" published on April 11, 2000.2 Intended plantings in 2000 as indicated by reports from farmers.

Dry Edible Beans: Area Planted by Stateand United States, 1998-00 1

StateArea Planted

1998 1999 2000 2 2000/1999


CACOIDKSMIMNMTNENM 3

NYNDORSD 4

TXUTWAWIWY

US

110.0170.0105.020.0

300.0190.016.6

195.010.531.0

750.08.7

15.06.0

40.07.3

39.0

2,014.1

135.0155.0105.022.0

350.0205.026.5

210.01.0

31.0630.011.5

50.06.7

36.08.3

40.0

2,023.0

120.0135.090.020.0

330.0160.029.0

180.0

35.0610.0

6.011.022.06.7

36.08.0

38.0

1,836.7

898786919478

10986

1139752

441001009695

911 Excludes beans grown for garden seed.2 Intended plantings in 2000 as indicated by reports from farmers.3 Estimates discontinued for 2000.4 South Dakota added to the Estimating Program starting in 2000.


All Hay: Area Harvested by State and United States, 1998-00

StateArea Harvested

1998 1999 2000 1 2000/1999


ALAZARCACOCTDEFLGAIDILINIAKSKYLAMEMDMAMIMNMSMOMTNENVNHNJNMNYNCNDOHOKORPARISCSDTNTXUTVTVAWAWVWIWY

US

750240

1,1751,6301,410

6316

230650

1,430950750

1,5702,9002,350

330158200103

1,2502,400

7903,6502,5003,200

48556

120360

1,400670

2,6001,3302,250

9701,850

10320

4,0001,7854,040

710245

1,260750580

2,4001,190

60,076

800240

1,2401,5701,520

6115

260600

1,430850700

1,7002,7002,400

380162210107

1,3002,450

8503,6502,6003,200

48062

130380

1,500710

2,9001,3002,5601,1001,900

8300

4,0001,8805,530

700245

1,270740580

2,6001,290

63,160

850265

1,2501,5401,520

6516

270650

1,400880670

1,8002,7002,450

390145220110

1,3502,400

8503,6502,5003,100

48065

130360

1,800720

2,9001,3102,5001,1501,900

6330

3,9001,8805,400

690250

1,280770590

2,4001,200

63,052

10611010198

10010710710410898

10496

10610010210390

10510310498

1001009697

10010510095

12010110010198

10510075

11098

1009899

1021011041029293

1001 Intended area harvested in 2000 as indicated by reports from farmers.


Cotton: Area Planted by Type, State,and United States, 1998-00

TypeandState

Area Planted

1998 1999 2000 1 2000/1999


Upland AL AZ AR CA FL GA KS LA MS MO NM NC OK SC TN TX VA

US

Amer-Pima AZ CA NM TX

US

All AL AZ AR CA FL GA KS LA MS MO NM NC OK SC TN TX VA

US

495.0250.0920.0650.089.0

1,370.017.0

535.0950.0370.066.3

710.0160.0290.0450.0

5,650.092.0

13,064.3

15.9200.0

7.3105.0

328.2

495.0265.9920.0850.089.0

1,370.017.0

535.0950.0370.073.6

710.0160.0290.0450.0

5,755.092.0

13,392.5

565.0265.0970.0610.0107.0

1,470.033.0

615.01,200.0

380.070.0

880.0240.0330.0570.0

6,150.0110.0

14,565.0

9.5240.0

7.533.0

290.0

565.0274.5970.0850.0107.0

1,470.033.0

615.01,200.0

380.077.5

880.0240.0330.0570.0

6,183.0110.0

14,855.0

600.0275.0

1,000.0800.0120.0

1,500.036.0

690.01,250.0

400.075.0

940.0280.0360.0600.0

6,300.0115.0

15,341.0

9.0175.0

6.027.0

217.0

600.0284.0

1,000.0975.0120.0

1,500.036.0

690.01,250.0

400.081.0

940.0280.0360.0600.0

6,327.0115.0

15,558.0

106104103131112102109112104105107107117109105102105

105

95738082

75

106103103115112102109112104105105107117109105102105



Tobacco: Area Harvested by State and United States, 1998-00

StateArea Harvested

1998 1999 2000 1 2000/1999

Acres Acres Acres Percent

CTFLGAINKYMDMAMONCOHPASCTNVAWVWI

US

2,8156,800

41,0008,500

226,2606,5001,2652,700

251,1009,8007,800

45,00059,41545,0001,6002,050

717,605

2,9506,000

33,0006,500

221,7006,5001,3102,300

208,2009,8006,200

39,00059,27038,6001,6001,320

644,250

2,7404,900

30,0003,800

142,5006,0001,3101,400

175,5007,5005,200

34,00055,84027,4001,5001,110

500,700

938291586492

100618477848794719484



Tobacco: Area Harvested by Class, Type, State,and United States, 1998-00

Class and TypeArea Harvested

1998 1999 2000 1 2000/1999


Class 1, Flue-cured Type 11, Old Belts NC VA US Type 12, Eastern NC Belt NC Type 13, NC Border & SC Belt NC SC US Type 14, GA-FL Belt FL GA US Total 11-14Class 2, Fire-cured Type 21, VA Belt VA Type 22, Eastern District KY TN US Type 23, Western District KY TN US Total 21-23Class 3, Air-cured Class 3A, Light Air-cured Type 31, Burley IN KY MO NC OH TN VA WV US Type 32, Southern MD Belt MD PA US Total 31-32

69,00033,000

102,000

143,000

31,00045,00076,000

6,80041,00047,800

368,800

1,500

3,8507,300

11,150

3,600590

4,19016,840

8,500215,000

2,7008,1009,800

51,00010,4001,600

307,100

6,5003,3009,800

316,900

55,00026,00081,000

119,000

26,00039,00065,000

6,00033,00039,000

304,000

1,500

3,7507,100

10,850

3,550570

4,12016,470

6,500210,000

2,3008,2009,800

51,00011,0001,600

300,400

6,5003,0009,500

309,900

45,00017,00062,000

102,000

21,00034,00055,000

4,90030,00034,900

253,900

1,300

4,0007,600

11,600

3,800610

4,41017,310

3,800130,000

1,4007,5007,500

47,0009,0001,500

207,700

6,0002,6008,600

216,300

826577

86

818785

82918984

87

107107107

107107107105

586261917792829469

92879170

See footnotes at end of table. --continued


Tobacco: Area Harvested by Class, Type, State,and United States, 1998-00

Class and TypeArea Harvested

1998 1999 2000 1 2000/1999


Class 3, Air-curedClass 3B, Dark Air-cured Type 35, One Sucker Belt KY TN US Type 36, Green River Belt KY Type 37, VA Sun-cured Belt VA Total 35-37Class 4, Cigar Filler Type 41, PA Seedleaf PAClass 5, Cigar Binder Class 5A, CT Valley Binder Type 51, CT Valley Broadleaf CT MA US Class 5B, WI Binder Type 54, Southern WI WI Type 55, Northern WI WI Total 54-55 Total 51-55Class 6, Cigar Wrapper Type 61, CT Valley Shade-grown CT MA USAll Cigar Types Total 41-61

All Tobacco

2,450525

2,975

1,360

1004,435

4,500

1,435925

2,360

1,500

5502,0504,410

1,380340

1,720

10,630

717,605

2,850600

3,450

1,550

1005,100

3,200

1,460960

2,420

940

3801,3203,740

1,490350

1,840

8,780

644,250

3,000630

3,630

1,700

1005,430

2,600

1,4501,0202,470

800

3101,1103,580

1,290290

1,580

7,760

500,700

105105105

110

100106

81

99106102

85

828496

878386

88



Sugarbeets: Area Planted by State and United States, 1998-00 1

StateArea Planted

1998 1999 2000 2 2000/1999


CACOIDMIMNMTNENM 3

NDOHORTX 3

WAWY

US

101.062.5

204.0177.0473.064.053.80.0

250.01.3

17.90.0

37.356.0

1,497.8

112.072.1

211.0194.0480.061.872.70.0

251.61.8

20.20.0

27.558.0

1,562.7

110.072.5

213.0191.0490.061.076.8

251.01.2

17.0

32.062.0

1,577.5

9810110198

10299

106

1006784

116107

1011 Relates to year of intended harvest except for overwintered spring planted beets in CA.2 Intended plantings in 2000 as indicated by reports from farmers.3 No planted acres in 1998 and 1999, estimates discontinued in 2000.


Farmer Reported Biotechnology Varieties

The National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS) conducts March Agricultural Surveys in all states, except Alaskaand Hawaii, each year. Randomly selected farmers across the United States were asked if they planted seed that, throughbiotechnology, was resistant to herbicides, insects, or both.

The following table is based on the responses from the March 2000 Agricultural Survey. Herbicide resistant varietiesonly include those developed using biotechnology. Conventionally bred herbicide resistant varieties were excluded fromthe March 2000 survey. Insect resistant varieties include those containing bacillus thuringiensis (Bt.) only. Stacked genevarieties include those containing biotechnology traits for both herbicide and insect resistance.

NASS published 1998 and 1999 seed variety information collected in the corn, soybean, and Upland cotton ObjectiveYield Surveys in the October 1999 Crop Report. This data was re-summarized into the three categories - insect resistant(Bt) only, herbicide resistant only, and stacked gene - for comparison purposes.

Corn: Farmer Reported Biotechnology Varieties, United StatesPercent of All Corn Planted Acres

Insect Resistant (Bt) Only Herbicide Resistant Only 1

1998 1999 2000 1998 1999 2000

Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent

Major 2 3

Other 4

US

21

NA

NA

25

NA

NA

19

17

18

5

NA

NA

4

NA

NA

4

5

5

Stacked Gene All Biotech Varieties

1998 1999 2000 1998 1999 2000


Major 2 3

Other 4

US

4

NA

NA

4

NA

NA

2

1

2

30

NA

NA

33

NA

NA

25

23

251 1998-99 Herbicide Resistant varieties include those developed using both biotechnology and conventional breeding techniques.2 1998-99 are a percent of harvested acres.3 Major States: Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Minnesota, Nebraska, Ohio, Wisconsin. 4 All other states in the production estimating program.


Upland Cotton: Farmer Reported Biotechnology Varieties, United StatesPercent of Upland Cotton Planted Acres

Insect Resistant (Bt) Only Herbicide Resistant Only 1

1998 1999 2000 1998 1999 2000


Major 2 3

Other 4

US

13

NA

NA

16

NA

NA

17

18

18

23

NA

NA

28

NA

NA

20

25

22

Stacked Gene All Biotech Varieties

1998 1999 2000 1998 1999 2000


Major 2 3

Other 4

US

10

NA

NA

11

NA

NA

11

26

16

46

NA

NA

55

NA

NA

48

69

561 1998-99 Herbicide Resistant varieties include those developed using both biotechnology and conventional breeding techniques.2 1998-99 are a percent of harvested acres.3 Major States: Arkansas, California, Louisiana, Mississippi, Texas. 4 All other states in the production estimating program.

Soybeans: Farmer Reported Biotechnology Varieties, United StatesPercent of All Soybean Planted Acres

Herbicide Resistant Only 1 All Biotech Varieties

1998 1999 2000 1998 1999 2000


Major 2 3

Other 4

US

42

NA

NA

57

NA

NA

52

50

52

42

NA

NA

57

NA

NA

52

50

52

1 1998-99 Herbicide Resistant varieties include those developed using both biotechnology and conventional breeding techniques.2 1998-99 are a percent of harvested acres.3 Major States: Arkansas, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska, Ohio.4 All other states in the production estimating program.


Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production,United States, 1991-00 1

Year

Corn

All Corn Corn for Grain

AreaPlanted

AreaHarvested

Yield perAcre

Production

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Bushels 1,000 Bushels

1991199219931994199519961997199819992000

75,95779,31173,23978,92171,47979,22979,53780,16577,43177,881

68,82272,07762,93372,51465,21072,64472,67172,58970,537

108.6131.5100.7138.6113.5127.1126.7134.4133.8

7,474,7659,476,6986,337,730

10,050,5207,400,0519,232,5579,206,8329,758,6859,437,337

Sorghum

All Sorghum Sorghum for Grain1991199219931994199519961997199819992000

11,06413,1779,8829,7879,429

13,09710,0529,6269,2888,979

9,87012,0508,9168,8828,253

11,8119,1587,7238,544

59.372.659.972.755.667.369.267.369.7

584,860875,022534,172645,741458,648795,274633,545519,933595,166



Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production,United States, 1991-00 1 (continued)

YearArea Yield

perAcre

ProductionPlanted 2 Harvested

Oats


1991199219931994199519961997199819992000

8,6537,9437,9376,6376,2254,6385,0684,8924,6704,351

4,8164,4963,8034,0082,9522,6552,8132,7552,4532,473

50.665.454.457.154.657.759.560.259.6

243,851294,229206,731228,844161,094153,245167,246165,981146,218

Barley1991199219931994199519961997199819992000

8,9417,7627,7867,1596,6897,0946,7066,3375,2235,733

8,4137,2856,7536,6676,2796,7076,1985,8644,758

55.262.558.956.257.258.558.160.059.2

464,326455,090398,041374,862359,376392,433359,878352,125281,853




YearArea Yield

perAcre

ProductionPlanted Harvested

All Wheat


1991199219931994199519961997199819992000

69,88172,21972,16870,34969,03175,10570,41265,82162,81461,664

57,80362,76162,71261,77060,95562,81962,84059,00253,909

34.339.338.237.635.836.339.543.242.7

1,980,1392,466,7982,396,4402,320,9812,182,7082,277,3882,481,4662,547,3212,302,443

Winter Wheat 2

1991199219931994199519961997199819992000

51,02450,92251,58749,19748,59151,44547,98546,44943,43143,245

39,50642,12343,81141,35540,98739,57441,34040,12635,572

34.738.240.240.237.737.144.646.947.8

1,371,6171,609,2841,760,1431,661,9431,545,3031,469,6181,845,5281,880,7331,699,989

Durum Wheat1991199219931994199519961997199819992000

3,2532,5472,2412,8233,4363,6303,3103,8054,0353,610

3,1972,5192,1002,7153,3563,5563,1773,7283,569

32.539.733.635.630.532.627.637.027.8

103,95799,90670,47696,747

102,280116,09087,783

138,11999,322

Other Spring Wheat1991199219931994199519961997199819992000

15,60418,75018,34018,32917,00420,03019,11715,56715,34814,809

15,10018,11916,80117,70016,61219,68918,32315,14814,768

33.441.833.731.832.235.129.934.934.1

504,565757,608565,821562,291535,125691,680548,155528,469503,132




Year

Soybeans

AreaPlanted

Harvested for Beans

AreaYield per

AcreProduction


1991199219931994199519961997199819992000

59,18059,18060,08561,62062,49564,19570,00572,02573,78074,871

58,01158,23357,30760,80961,54463,34969,11070,44172,476

34.237.632.641.435.337.638.938.936.5

1,986,5392,190,3541,869,7182,514,8692,174,2542,380,2742,688,7502,741,0142,642,908

Rice

Area Yieldper

AcreProduction

Planted Harvested

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Pounds 1,000 Cwt

1991199219931994199519961997199819992000

2,8843,1762,9203,3533,1212,8243,1253,3453,5813,395

2,7813,1322,8333,3163,0932,8043,1033,3173,562

5,7315,7365,5105,9645,6216,1205,8975,6695,908

159,367179,658156,110197,779173,871171,599182,992188,051210,458

Canola

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Pounds 1,000 Pounds

1991199219931994199519961997199819992000

155140199354446367671

1,1151,0761,516

147112187340429347631

1,0761,044

1,300.01,286.01,350.01,316.01,278.01,385.01,237.01,448.01,306.0

191,100144,037252,450447,440548,447480,521780,710

1,557,8001,363,680




Year

Peanuts

AreaPlanted

Harvested for Nuts

AreaYield per

AcreProduction


1991199219931994199519961997199819992000

2,039.21,686.61,733.51,641.01,537.51,401.51,434.01,521.01,533.01,474.0

2,015.71,669.11,689.81,618.51,517.01,380.01,413.81,467.01,427.5

2,4442,5672,0082,6242,2822,6532,5032,7022,711

4,926,5704,284,4163,392,4154,247,4553,461,4753,661,2053,539,3803,963,4403,870,200

Sunflower

Area Yieldper

AcreProduction

Planted Harvested


1991199219931994199519961997199819992000

2,746.02,187.02,757.03,567.03,478.02,536.02,888.03,568.03,553.03,047.0

2,673.02,043.02,486.03,430.03,368.02,479.02,792.03,492.03,441.0

1,3521,2551,0351,4101,1901,4361,3171,5101,262

3,613,0302,564,9852,572,0634,835,8254,009,3323,559,3433,676,9525,273,1624,341,862

All Cotton

CottonseedArea Yieldper

AcreProduction

Planted Harvested

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Pounds 1,000 Bales 1,000 Tons

1991199219931994199519961997199819992000

14,052.113,240.013,438.313,720.116,931.414,652.513,898.013,392.514,855.015,558.0

12,959.511,123.312,783.313,322.316,006.712,888.113,406.010,683.613,381.0

652700606708537705673625608

17,614.316,218.516,133.619,662.017,899.818,942.018,793.013,918.216,952.9

6,925.56,230.16,343.27,603.96,848.77,143.56,934.65,365.46,422.4




YearAll Hay

AreaHarvested

Yield perAcre

Production

1,000 Acres Tons 1,000 Tons

1991199219931994199519961997199819992000 3

61,83458,90359,68958,81559,76461,16961,08460,07663,16063,052

2.462.492.462.552.582.452.502.532.52

152,073146,903146,699150,136154,239149,779152,536151,780159,077

Dry Edible Beans

Area Yieldper

AcreProduction

Planted Harvested

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Pounds 1,000 Cwt

1991199219931994199519961997199819992000

1,964.11,640.61,867.92,011.82,066.31,839.01,869.82,014.12,023.01,836.7

1,913.71,529.91,618.01,831.21,896.31,750.71,758.81,917.71,877.0

1,7641,4781,3511,5811,6181,5941,6701,5861,770

33,76522,61521,86228,95030,68927,91229,37030,41833,230




Year

Sweet Potatoes

Area Yieldper

AcreProduction

Planted Harvested

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Cwt 1,000 Cwt

1991199219931994199519961997199819992000

81.285.982.986.186.988.185.687.293.393.7

77.882.480.082.783.183.782.183.882.9

144146138162154158162148145

11,20312,00511,02713,38012,82113,21613,32712,38211,980

Tobacco

AreaHarvested

Yield perAcre

Production

Acres Pounds 1,000 Pounds

1991199219931994199519961997199819992000 3

763,680784,440746,405671,065663,525733,060836,230717,605644,250500,700

2,1792,1952,1612,3591,9142,0722,1372,0621,980

1,664,3721,721,6711,613,3191,582,8961,269,9101,518,7041,787,3991,479,8671,275,438

Sugarbeets

Area Yieldper

AcreProduction

Planted 2 Harvested

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Tons 1,000 Tons

1991199219931994199519961997199819992000

1,427.41,436.71,437.71,475.81,444.61,368.41,459.31,497.81,562.71,577.5

1,386.71,411.51,409.41,443.01,420.11,323.31,428.31,450.71,527.1

20.320.618.622.119.820.220.922.421.8

28,20329,14326,24931,85328,06526,68029,88632,49933,319

1 Intended plantings in 2000 as indicated by reports from farmers.2 Includes area planted in preceding fall.3 Intended for harvest in 2000.


Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 1999-00(Domestic Units) 1

CropArea Planted Area Harvested

1999 2000 1999 2000

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres

Grains & Hay Barley Corn for Grain 2

Corn for Silage Hay, All Alfalfa All Other Oats Proso Millet Rice Rye Sorghum for Grain 2

Sorghum for Silage Wheat, All Winter Durum Other Spring

Oilseeds Canola Cottonseed Flaxseed Mustard Seed Peanuts Rapeseed Safflower Soybeans for Beans Sunflower

Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops Cotton, All Upland Amer-Pima Sugarbeets Sugarcane Tobacco

Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils Austrian Winter Peas Dry Edible Beans Dry Edible Peas Lentils Wrinkled Seed Peas

Potatoes & Misc. Coffee (HI) Ginger Root (HI) Hops Peppermint Oil Potatoes, All Winter Spring Summer Fall Spearmint Oil Sweet Potatoes Taro (HI) 3/

5,223.077,431.0

4,670.0600.0

3,581.01,582.09,288.0

62,814.043,431.04,035.0

15,348.0

1,076.0

387.060.8

1,533.04.6

275.073,780.03,553.0

14,855.014,565.0

290.01,562.7

6.12,023.0

281.6182.0

1,377.018.186.869.1

1,203.0

93.3

5,733.077,881.0

4,351.0

3,395.0

8,979.0

61,664.043,245.03,610.0

14,809.0

1,516.0

1,474.0

74,871.03,047.0

15,558.015,341.0

217.01,577.5

1,836.7

18.2

93.7

4,758.070,537.06,062.0

63,160.023,985.039,175.02,453.0

540.03,562.0

383.08,544.0

320.053,909.035,572.03,569.0

14,768.0

1,044.0

382.058.8

1,437.54.4

262.072,476.03,441.0

13,381.013,093.0

288.01,527.1

991.2644.3

4.41,877.0

263.6174.5

6.40.4

34.3106.3

1,332.617.884.564.2

1,166.124.482.90.5

63,052.0

2,473.0

500.7

18.0

1 Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2000 cropyear. 2 Area planted for all purposes. 3 Area is total acres in crop, not harvested acreage.


Crop Summary: Yield and Production, United States, 1999-00(Domestic Units) 1

Crop UnitYield Production

1999 2000 1999 2000

1,000 1,000

Grains & Hay Barley Corn for Grain Corn for Silage Hay, All Alfalfa All Other Oats Proso Millet Rice 2

Rye Sorghum for Grain Sorghum for Silage Wheat, All Winter Durum Other Spring

Oilseeds Canola Cottonseed 3

Flaxseed Mustard Seed Peanuts Rapeseed Safflower Soybeans for Beans Sunflower

Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops Cotton, All 2

Upland 2

Amer-Pima 2

Sugarbeets Sugarcane Tobacco

Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils Austrian Winter Peas 2

Dry Edible Beans 2

Dry Edible Peas 2

Lentils 2

Wrinkled Seed Peas

Potatoes & Misc. Coffee (HI) Ginger Root (HI) Hops Peppermint Oil Potatoes, All Winter Spring Summer Fall Spearmint Oil Sweet Potatoes Taro (HI) 3/

Bu"Ton"""Bu"CwtBu"TonBu"""

LbTonBuLb"""BuLb

Bale""Ton"Lb

Cwt""""

Lb"""Cwt""""LbCwtLb

59.2133.815.92.523.501.9259.633.2

5,90828.769.711.642.747.827.834.1

1,306

20.6816

2,7111,1551,54536.5

1,262

608596

1,15921.835.9

1,980

1,3641,7701,9081,368

1,64046,0001,881

71359229300298369101145

256

281,8539,437,337

96,169159,07783,92475,153

146,21817,910

210,45810,993

595,1663,716

2,302,4431,699,989

99,322503,132

1,363,6806,4227,880

48,0103,870,200

5,080404,715

2,642,9084,341,862

16,952.916,257.4

695.533,31935,551

1,275,438

6033,2305,0302,387

658

10,50016,10064,4567,537

478,3984,070

25,32719,154

429,8472,454

11,9806,800

4,600

1 Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2000 cropyear. 2 Yield in pounds. 3 Yield is not estimated.


Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 1999-00(Metric Units) 1

CropArea Planted Area Harvested

1999 2000 1999 2000

Hectares Hectares Hectares Hectares

Grains & Hay Barley Corn for Grain 2

Corn for Silage Hay, All 3

Alfalfa All Other Oats Proso Millet Rice Rye Sorghum for Grain 2

Sorghum for Silage Wheat, All 3

Winter Durum Other Spring

Oilseeds Canola Cottonseed Flaxseed Mustard Seed Peanuts Rapeseed Safflower Soybeans for Beans Sunflower


Upland Amer-Pima Sugarbeets Sugarcane Tobacco


Potatoes & Misc. Coffee (HI) Ginger Root (HI) Hops Peppermint Oil Potatoes, All 3

Winter Spring Summer Fall Spearmint Oil Sweet Potatoes Taro (HI) 4/

2,113,70031,335,550

1,889,900242,810

1,449,190640,220

3,758,760

25,420,20017,576,0901,632,9206,211,180

435,450

156,62024,610

620,3901,860

111,29029,858,0301,437,860

6,011,6705,894,310

117,360632,410

2,470818,690113,96073,650

557,2607,320

35,13027,960

486,840

37,760

2,320,09031,517,660

1,760,810

1,373,920

3,633,710

24,954,80017,500,8201,460,9305,993,050

613,510

596,510

30,299,5401,233,090

6,296,1706,208,350

87,820638,400

743,290

7,370

37,920

1,925,52028,545,6202,453,230

25,560,2209,706,490

15,853,730992,700218,530

1,441,510155,000

3,457,670129,500

21,816,43014,395,6301,444,3405,976,460

422,500

154,59023,800

577,6901,780

106,03029,330,3101,392,540

5,415,1605,298,610

116,550618,000401,130260,720

1,780759,600106,68070,620

2,590140

13,86043,020

539,2907,200

34,20025,980

471,9109,870

33,550200

25,516,510

1,000,800

202,630

7,280

1 Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2000 cropyear. 2 Area planted for all purposes. 3 Total may not add due to rounding. 4 Area is total hectares in crop, not harvested hectares.


Crop Summary: Yield and Production, United States, 1999-00(Metric Units) 1

CropYield Production

1999 2000 1999 2000

Metric Tons Metric Tons Metric Tons Metric Tons

Grains & Hay Barley Corn for Grain Corn for Silage Hay, All 2

Alfalfa All Other Oats Proso Millet Rice Rye Sorghum for Grain Sorghum for Silage Wheat, All 2

Winter Durum Other Spring

Oilseeds Canola Cottonseed 3

Flaxseed Mustard Seed Peanuts Rapeseed Safflower Soybeans for Beans Sunflower


Upland Amer-Pima Sugarbeets Sugarcane Tobacco


Potatoes & Misc. Coffee (HI) Ginger Root (HI) Hops Peppermint Oil Potatoes, All 2

Winter Spring Summer Fall Spearmint Oil Sweet Potatoes Taro (HI) 3/

3.198.40

35.565.657.844.302.141.866.621.804.37

26.032.873.211.872.29

1.46

1.290.923.041.291.732.451.41

0.680.671.30

48.9180.402.22

1.531.982.141.53

1.8451.562.110.08

40.2425.6333.5933.4441.320.11

16.20

28.64

6,136,620239,719,40087,243,050

144,312,23076,134,57068,177,6502,122,350

406,1909,546,210

279,24015,117,9103,371,100

62,662,23046,266,1202,703,100

13,693,010

618,5505,826,300

200,16021,780

1,755,4902,300

183,58071,928,1701,969,440

3,691,0603,539,630

151,43030,226,49032,251,320

578,530

2,7201,507,290

228,160108,27029,850

4,7607,300

29,2403,420

21,699,770184,610

1,148,810868,810

19,497,5301,110

543,4003,080

208,650

1 Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2000 cropyear. 2 Production may not add due to rounding. 3 Yield is not estimated.


General Crop Comments: The year began with dry weather and above-normal temperatures across most of the Nation. The western Corn Belt and Great Plains remained dry with temperatures averaging well above normal through most ofthe winter. Temperatures averaged slightly above normal east of the Mississippi River, but the eastern Corn Belt,Northeast, and Southeast also experienced several periods of cold weather and a mixture of wintery precipitation. Thehard red winter wheat crop lacked snow cover across most of the Great Plains, but winterkill was minimal due toabove-normal temperatures. However, the warm weather also promoted above-normal insect activity in the central andsouthern Great Plains and reduced the quality of piled sugarbeets in the northern Great Plains.

Record-high temperatures in mid-January stimulated winter wheat growth in the southern Great Plains, lower MississippiValley, and Southeast, where moisture was available. In Texas, wheat and oat germination was boosted by mid-monthprecipitation. However, spotty wheat stands and seedling death continued in parts of the central and southern GreatPlains, due to dry soils.

By early February, drought conditions expanded in many areas of the Great Plains from Texas to North Dakota. In theTexas High Plains, wheat conditions steadily deteriorated and fieldwork slowed due to dry weather and wind erosion. Inthe central and northern Great Plains, above-normal temperatures and late-month rains reduced, and in many areaseliminated, protective snow cover.

Corn planting began in southern Texas in late February and advanced northward into portions of north central Texas byearly March. In the Coastal Bend and South Texas regions, cotton planting expanded and rice planting began along theGulf Coast. However, progress was limited due to water shortages. Growers also planted sorghum and soybeans alongthe Gulf Coast and inland areas of southern Texas.

Persistent storms steadily dumped unneeded rain along the coast in the Pacific Northwest, and heavy snow in theCascade and interior Rocky Mountain ranges. Field activities rapidly progressed in California in early January,including seeding of small grains. However, dry soils forced some growers to irrigate fields to germinate seeds. Aftermid-January, the stormy Pacific Coast weather extended into dry areas of northern and central California, haltingfieldwork, but stimulating forage growth and aiding germination and emergence of small grains and sugarbeets. Incentral and southern parts of the State, growers irrigated vineyards and orchards due to moisture shortages, but dryweather aided grapefruit and lemon harvest. In the San Joaquin Valley, the navel orange harvest accelerated, alfalfaseeding continued, and corn planting began.

In Florida, topsoil moisture remained short most of the winter, forcing citrus growers to regularly irrigate groves tomaintain good tree and fruit condition. Harvest of oranges for processing was very active in January due to nearly idealweather. Sugarcane grinding and planting were also active. Temperatures briefly dipped below freezing as far south ascentral Florida in late January and early February, but damage to crops was minimal due to the short duration ofsub-freezing temperatures. By the end of February, most well cared for trees were developing bloom buds and newgrowth.

Rain temporarily halted fieldwork along the western Gulf Coast near mid-March, but provided much needed moisturethat aided emergence and development of row crops in eastern and southern Texas. Warm weather during most of themonth accelerated winter wheat growth in the central and southern Great Plains. Wheat development was ahead ofnormal in Oklahoma and Kansas, where 75 and 26 percent, respectively, was jointing by March 27.

In the Corn Belt and central Great Plains, farmers began tilling fields, seeding oats, and applying fertilizers andherbicides in March. By the end of the month, about three-fourths of the oats were planted in Kansas and farmers in theCorn Belt began planting corn.

Corn growers intend to plant 77.9 million acres of corn for all purposes in 2000, up 1 percent from 1999, but down3 percent from 1998. Expected acreage is down in Nebraska, the Great Lakes region, and mid-Atlantic States due mostlyto dry conditions. Intended acreage is up in the central Corn Belt, northern Plains, Southeast, and West.

The year began with dry weather and above-normal temperatures across most of the Nation. The western Corn Belt andGreat Plains remained dry with temperatures averaging well above normal through most of the winter. In the


Corn Belt and central Great Plains, farmers began tilling fields in March and had planted a few corn fields by the end ofthe month.

Farmers intend to plant 25 percent of their corn acreage with varieties developed using biotechnology. If these intentionsare realized, 18 percent of the U.S. corn acreage will be planted with insect resistant only varieties containing bacillusthuringiensis (Bt.). Five percent of the acreage will be planted with herbicide resistant varieties developed usingbiotechnology. Stacked gene varieties, those containing both insect and herbicide resistance, will be planted on 2 percentof the corn acreage.

Sorghum: Growers intend to plant 8.98 million acres for all purposes during 2000. This is down three percent from lastyear and seven percent below the 1998 total. Of the 24 States that estimate sorghum acreage, eight States indicatedincreases, nine States indicated decreases, and one State indicated no change. Six States are new to the program andhave no history. Texas and Kansas indicated the greatest decreases, 350,000 acres and 200,000 acres, respectively. Nebraska indicated the greatest increase, 150,000 acres. The percentage of acres planted increased the most in SouthernStates, where Arkansas, Georgia, Mississippi, and South Carolina all indicated increases of over 20 percent.

Oats: Acres seeded and to be seeded by U.S. farmers for the 2000 crop year is expected to total 4.35 million acres, down320,000 acres from last year’s final planted acres. Growers expect to harvest 2.47 million acres for grain, 1 percentabove the final 1999 harvested acreage. If farmers’ intentions are realized, this would be the lowest planted acresrecorded since 1866, breaking the previous record low of 4.64 million acres set in 1996. Acres intended to be harvestedfor grain would be the second lowest on record, slightly above last year’s record low 2.45 million acres.

Mild winter temperatures and dry soils aided planting progress in the central and southern Great Plains, lowerMississippi Valley, and Southeast during the final weeks of winter. As spring began, a series of storms delayed plantingin parts of Oklahoma and Kansas. On March 26, 95 percent of the crop was planted in Oklahoma and 70 percent wasseeded in Kansas, slightly behind the 5-year average in both States. In the Corn Belt, Great Lakes, upper MississippiValley, and northern Great Plains, above normal temperatures warmed soils, and seeding began after mid-March andprogressed with few rain delays. Crop conditions deteriorated in northern and western Texas due to moisture shortages,but warm weather and adequate moisture aided development in Oklahoma and Kansas.

Winter Wheat: Planted area for harvest in 2000 is 43.2 million acres, down less than 1 percent from 1999 but 1 percentabove the previously published level. Most of the increase from the "Winter Wheat Seedings" report occurred inTexas and several Southeastern states where planting continues after December 1. Of the total, about 30.5 million acresare Hard Red Winter, 9.3 million acres Soft Red Winter, and 3.5 million acres White winter.

Durum Wheat: Area seeded to Durum wheat is expected to total 3.61 million acres, down 11 percent from 1999. Dueto strong Durum prices, Montana growers intend to plant their largest total since 1957. This is more than offset by anexpected 16 percent decrease in North Dakota, the largest Durum producing state. Seeding in the San Joaquin andImperial Valleys of California progressed rapidly during January and February.

Other Spring Wheat: Growers intend to plant 14.8 million acres this year, down 4 percent from 1999. This would bethe smallest area since 1988. About 13.8 million acres of the total are Hard Red Spring wheat. Large acreage reductionsare expected in Montana and South Dakota, while Minnesota and North Dakota growers intend to plant more acres thanlast year.


Barley: Growers intend to seed 5.73 million acres for 2000, up 10 percent from the 5.22 million acres seeded a yearago. Montana is decreasing barley by 100,000 acres, or 8 percent. North Dakota and Minnesota are increasing acres by41 and 35 percent, respectively. Of the 27 States that estimate barley seeding, eight States are reducing acreage, 12States are increasing acreage, and four States are showing no change from 1999. Three States have been added thisyear and have no history.

Soybeans: Producers intend to plant 74.9 million acres in 2000, up 1 percent from last year. If realized, this will be thelargest planted area for soybeans on record. Of the 31 soybean producing States, producers in 10 States intend to plantmore acres this year, while producers in 13 States intend to plant fewer acres than in 1999. Seven states are unchangedfrom the previous year. West Virginia acreage estimates are included for the first time.

Large increases in acreage in South Dakota and North Dakota, up 500,000 and 400,000 acres, respectively, more thanoffset decreases in southern growing States. Large increases are also expected in Minnesota and Nebraska, bothincreasing area planted by 300,000 acres. Acreage increases in Wisconsin and Indiana of 120,000 and 100,000 acres,respectively, are other States showing larger gains for this year. The two largest Soybean states; Iowa at 10.8 millionacres, and Illinois at 10.5 million acres, are unchanged and down 100,000 acres, respectively. Growers across theSouth and Mid-Atlantic States show a general decline or no change in planted acres for 2000.

Producers intend to plant 52 percent of the soybean acreage to herbicide resistant varieties in 2000.

Rice: Growers intend to plant 3.40 million acres, 5 percent below a year ago. Of the six rice producing States, fourintend to plant less acres of rice in 2000, while two states are expecting to plant more acres. Long grain acreage,representing 75 percent of the total, is down 8 percent from last year. Short grain acreage decreased 29 percent, whilearea planted to medium grain varieties was up 6 percent from a year ago.

Sunflower: Growers are expected to plant a total of 3.05 million acres in 2000, down 14 percent from last year. Acresintended for oil type varieties, at 2.48 million acres, are down 10 percent from 1999 and non-oil varieties, estimated at569,000 acres, are down 29 percent.

North Dakota growers intend to plant 1.35 million acres in 2000, down 21 percent from 1999. Growers in Kansas,Nebraska, and South Dakota also intend to plant fewer acres. Acreage increases are expected in Colorado andMinnesota. Acreage is expected to be unchanged in Texas.

Canola: Producers intend to plant 1.52 million acres in 2000, an increase of 41 percent from 1999. Canola intentionsare estimated for the first time this March with State estimates available for North Dakota and Minnesota. Producers inNorth Dakota and Minnesota intend to plant 1.20 million and 200,000 acres, respectively.

Sweet Potatoes: Growers intend to plant 93,700 acres of sweet potatoes this year, up fractionally from last year and7 percent more than 1998. Increased planted acres are expected in California and across the South from Texas toMississippi. Reduced acreage is expected in Alabama and along the Atlantic Coast, where flooding occurred lastsummer. Acreage should be unchanged in Georgia and Virginia.

California growers have prepared hotbeds for slips to be transplanted in April and May. Soil moisture is low in Texasand Alabama as farmers prepare seed beds and hope for more rain on their fields. In Alabama, Baldwin County has


been especially dry. Little field planting has been done. Planting expectations are up 5 percent in Mississippi, up4 percent in Texas and Louisiana, and 2 percent higher in California.

Planted acreage will likely be down along the Atlantic Coast because of problems with last year’s disappointing crop. Acreage is expected to be off 17 percent in South Carolina, 10 percent in New Jersey, 6 percent in Alabama, and3 percent in North Carolina. Weather and wildlife damage along with urban sprawl are blamed for acreage drop offs inNew Jersey. There has been little field transplanting so far, but will pick up in April.

Peanuts: Producers intend to plant 1.47 million acres of peanuts in 2000, down 4 percent from last year. Of the nineproducing States, four intend to plant less acres of peanuts in 2000, three States are showing no change from 1999, andtwo States are expecting to plant more acres.

Southeast growers (Alabama, Florida, Georgia, and South Carolina) expect to plant 841,000 acres, down 3 percentfrom a year ago. In the Virginia-North Carolina region, producers intend to plant 201,000 acres of peanuts this year.This is down slightly from 1999. Growers in the Southwest (New Mexico, Oklahoma, and Texas) intend to plant432,000 acres, 7 percent below last year.

Dry Beans: Growers intend to plant 1.84 million acres of dry beans in 2000, down 9 percent from both last year andtwo years ago. This is the lowest U.S. acreage since 1992, when 1.64 million acres were planted. Only two of theseventeen dry bean producing States, Montana and New York, intend to plant more acres of dry beans in 2000.

North Dakota growers indicate dry bean acreage will be 610,000, down 3 percent from 1999 and down 19 percent from1998. Michigan growers are expected to plant 330,000 acres, down 6 percent from 1999 but up 10 percent from 1998. Planted acreage in Nebraska, at 180,000, is down 14 percent from last year and down 8 percent from two years ago.Dry bean acreage for Minnesota in 2000 is estimated at 160,000 acres, 22 percent below last year and 16 percent belowtwo years ago. These four states account for 70 percent of total planted acres. Planted acres in California andColorado are expected to be down 11 percent and 13 percent from 1999, respectively. Planted acres in Idaho areexpected to be down 14 percent from 1999, and in Wyoming, acreage is expected to be down 5 percent for the sameperiod. New York is expecting a 13 percent increase in acreage from 1999, and Washington is expecting 2000 acreageto be the same as last year. Acres planted in Montana are expected to increase 9 percent from 1999, whereas acresplanted in Kansas, Oregon, Texas, and Wisconsin are expected to be down from 1999.

Conditions are currently favorable for planting dry beans in Colorado due to much needed moisture from recent rainsand snows. Price decreases in some varieties are expected to decrease dry bean acreage in California and NorthDakota. In Idaho, low dry bean prices and higher input costs compared to other crops, are expected to decrease plantedacres. Planting intentions are lower in 2000 for Michigan due to low prices. High stock levels and low prices areexpected to decrease dry bean acreage in both Nebraska and Texas.

Hay: Producers expect to harvest 63.1 million acres of hay in 2000, down less than 1 percent from the 63.2 millionacres harvested the previous year.

Overall, producers in 24 states expect to harvest hay from more acres than last year. Acreage reductions are expectedin 15 states, while growers in 9 states intend to harvest the same number of acres as 1999. The States with increasedexpectations are mostly in the East where last year’s dry conditions reduced hay stocks. In New York the acres of allhay harvested is expected to increase by 300,000 acres, or 20 percent. South Carolina is expecting a 30,000 acreincrease, or 10 percent. All other States are within less than 10 percent of 1999 harvested acres.


Cotton: Area planted to all cotton for 2000 is expected to total 15.6 million acres, 5 percent above last year. Ifrealized, this would be the largest acreage since 1995 and the second largest since 1962. Upland acreage is expected tototal 15.3 million acres, up 5 percent from 1999. All 17 Upland cotton producing States intend to increase acreagefrom last year. Growers intend to decrease their plantings of American-Pima cotton to 217,000 acres, down 25 percentfrom 1999. All American-Pima cotton producing States intend to decrease acreage from last year.

Upland growers in the Delta States (Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Missouri, and Tennessee) intend to plant3.94 million acres, a 6 percent increase from last year.

Producers in Texas, Oklahoma, Kansas and New Mexico intend to plant 6.69 million acres, a 3 percent increase overlast year. By mid-March, land preparation was well underway throughout the region and planting was beginning insouthern Texas.

The Southeastern States (Alabama, Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, South Carolina, and Virginia) intend to plant3.64 million acres of upland cotton. This is an increase of 5 percent from 1999.

Upland planted acreage in California and Arizona is expected to total 1.08 million acres, 23 percent above last year. California producers intend to plant 800,000 acres, a 31 percent increase from last year. This approaches the levels ofupland cotton planted prior to 1998. The last two years had experienced a decline in acreage, partly due to persistentcool and damp weather conditions which have delayed plantings.

American-Pima acreage intentions are reported at 217,000 acres. This is a decrease of 73,000 acres from last year. AllStates are intending to decrease the amount of acreage planted to American-Pima. The decrease is most prominent inCalifornia, where producers are intending to decrease acreage by 27 percent from last year. The vast majority of thisacreage is being shifted to upland cotton.

Tobacco: U.S. all tobacco area for harvest in 2000 is forecast at 500,700 acres, down 22 percent from 1999. Ifrealized, this will be the lowest all tobacco acreage level since 1874. Large acreage reductions are expected in all Flue-cured and Light Air-cured tobacco. Planting intentions for Cigar Filler and Cigar Wrapper are also down significantly. However, Fire-cured, Dark Air-cured, and Connecticut Valley Broadleaf intentions are up slightly.

Flue-cured tobacco, at 253,900 acres, is 16 percent below a year ago. Flue-cured acreage, which accounts for51 percent of this year’s total tobacco acreage, is expected to hit its lowest in recorded history. Acreage in NorthCarolina, the leading state, is down 16 percent from last year.

Fire-cured tobacco, at 17,310 acres, is 5 percent above the 1999 acreage. Acreage intentions in Kentucky andTennessee, the leading States, are up 7 percent. However, Virginia intentions are down 13 percent.

Light Air-cured tobacco types are down by 30 percent. Burley tobacco, at 207,700 acres, is down 31 percent from ayear ago and below the historic low of 1986. All states show a decrease for burley tobacco harvested acres. Acreagein Kentucky, the leading state, is down 38 percent from last year. Southern Maryland type tobacco planting intentionsare estimated at 8,600 acres, down 9 percent from last year and the lowest acreage in recorded history. Pennsylvaniaand Maryland growers expect to decrease their acreage by 13 percent and 8 percent, respectively.

Dark Air-cured tobacco types, at 5,430 acres, are 6 percent above 1999 acres harvested. One Sucker is up 5 percentand Green River up 10 percent. Sun-cured is expected to be the same as last year.

Cigar types are down 12 percent from last year. Acreage of PA Seedleaf, at 2,600 acres, is down 19 percent andConnecticut and Massachusetts Broadleaf tobacco, at 2,470 acres, is up 2 percent from a year ago. Connecticut andMassachusetts Shade-grown tobacco, at 1,580 acres, is down 14 percent from last year. Wisconsin Binder at1,110 acres, is expected to be down 16 percent.


Sugarbeets: Area planted to sugarbeets for the 2000 crop year is expected to total 1.58 million acres, 1 percent abovethe 1999 crop year. If growers’ intentions are realized, planted acres will increase in six of the 12 sugarbeet producingStates.

Acreage has steadily increased in the northern and central Great Plains in recent years, mostly due to increases inMinnesota and North Dakota. Minnesota growers expect to plant a record high 490,000 acres, 2 percent above lastyear’s record high of 480,000 acres. Besides Minnesota, acreage is expected to increase in Colorado, Idaho, Nebraska,Washington, and Wyoming. Idaho’s acreage, at 213,000, will also set a new record if intentions are realized,exceeding the previous record of 211,000 acres established last year. Planted acreage is expected to decrease inCalifornia, Michigan, Montana, North Dakota, Ohio, and Oregon. In North Dakota, acreage is expected to be251,000 acres, slightly below last year’s record.

Mild temperatures aided early planting progress in the Great Plains, while below-normal temperatures slightly delayedprogress in the Pacific Northwest. Irrigation water supplies, which are fed by mountain runoff, should be more thanadequate for the 2000 crop in the High Plains, Rocky Mountains, and Pacific Coast States.


Reliability of Acreage Data in this Report

Survey Procedures: The acreage estimates in this report are based primarily on surveys conducted the first 2 weeks ofMarch. The March Agricultural Survey is a probability survey that includes about 63,400 operators selected from a listof producers that ensure all operations in the U.S. have a chance to be selected. These operators were contacted bymail, telephone, or personal interviews to obtain information on crop acreage planned for the 2000 crop year.

Three basic survey indications are calculated from the March Agricultural Survey. One is called the direct expansion ofthe reported survey data. The reported acreage for each farm in the sample is multiplied times its chance of beingincluded in the survey. The largest farms are selected with certainty, so their data are multiplied by 1.0. The smallestfarms are selected with rates of 1 out of approximately 100. Their data are therefore multiplied by approximately 100.0. The second is a ratio of acreage reported by operators on the March survey to acreage reported by the same operators in1999 surveys. This provides a measure of change between 1999 and 2000. The direct expansion for the March surveyis divided by the direct expansion from the 1999 survey to obtain an additional measure of change. This third estimateutilizes data from all operators reporting on either survey.

Estimating Procedures: National, Regional, State, and grower reported data were reviewed for reasonableness andconsistency with historical estimates. Each State Statistical Office submits their analysis of the current situation to theAgricultural Statistics Board (ASB). Survey data are compiled to the National level and are reviewed at this levelindependently of each State’s review. Acreage estimates were based on survey estimates and the historical relationshipof official estimates to survey estimates.

Revision Policy: Acreage estimates in the "Prospective Plantings" report will not be revised. These estimates areintended to reflect grower intentions as of the survey period. New acreage estimates will be made based on surveysconducted in June when crop acreage have been established or planting intentions are firm. These new estimates will bepublished in the "Acreage" release scheduled for June 30, 2000. Winter wheat is an exception. Since winter wheatacreage were seeded prior to the March survey, and changes in estimates in this report are considered revisions. Theestimate of the harvested acreage of winter wheat will be published on May 12, 2000, along with the first productionforecast of the crop year. The winter wheat planted and harvested acreage is subject to revisions in the "Acreage"report.

Reliability : The survey used to make acreage estimates is subject to sampling and non-sampling type errors that arecommon to all surveys. Both types of errors for major crops generally are between 1.0 and 3.0 percent. Sampling errorsrepresent the variability between estimates that would result if many different samples were surveyed at the same time. Sampling errors cannot be applied directly to the acreage published in this report to determine confidence intervals sincethe official estimates represent a composite of information from more than a single source.

Non-sampling errors cannot be measured directly. They may occur due to incorrect reporting and/or recording, dataomissions or duplications, and errors in processing. To minimize non-sampling errors, vigorous quality controls areused in the data collection process and all data are carefully reviewed for consistency and reasonableness.

A method of evaluating the reliability of acreage estimates in this report is the "Root Mean Square Error ," a statisticalmeasure based on past performances shown below for selected crops. This is computed by expressing the deviationsbetween the planted acreage estimates and the final estimates as a percent of the final estimates and averaging thesquared percentage deviations for the 1980-1999 20-year period; the square root of this average becomes statisticallythe "Root Mean Square Error". Probability statements can be made concerning expected differences in the currentestimates relative to the final estimates assuming that factors affecting this year's estimate are not different than thoseinfluencing the past 20 years.

For example, the "Root Mean Square Error" for the corn planted estimate is 2.2 percent. This means that chances are 2out of 3 that the current acreage estimate of 77.9 million acres will not be above or below the final estimate by morethan 2.2 percent or approximately 1.71 million acres. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) thatdifference will not exceed 4.4 percent or approximately 3.42 million acres.


Also, shown in the table is a 20-year record for selected crops of the difference between the "Prospective Plantings"planted acres estimates and the final estimates. Using corn again as an example, changes between the intentionsestimates and the final estimates during the past 20 years have averaged 1.30 million acres ranging from 120,000 acresto 3.84 million acres. The prospective plantings estimates have been below the final estimate 7 times and above 13times. This does not imply that the planted estimate this year is likely to understate or overstate the final estimate.

Reliability of Prospective Plantings Planted Acreage Estimates

CropRoot Mean

Square ErrorPercent

90Percent

ConfidenceInterval

20-Year Record ofDifferences Between Forecast

and Final Estimate

Thousand AcresQuantity

Number ofYears

Average Smallest LargestBelowFinal

AboveFinal

Thousands Thousands Thousands Number Number

CornSorghumOatsBarleySpring WheatSoybeansUpland Cotton

2.27.86.95.27.62.85.7

3.813.512.09.0

13.14.89.8

1,303758686397953

1,430451

1207662511206

3,8442,4712,4291,3692,5435,0461,354

71047

11138

1310161396

12


Information Contacts

Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Crops Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to contactfor additional information.

C. Ray Halley, Chief (202) 720-2127

Field Crops SectionBrad Parks, Head (202) 720-2127Rhonda Brandt - Corn (202) 720-9526Herman Ellison - Peanuts, Rice (202) 720-7688Lance Honig - Wheat, Rye (202) 720-8068Jay V. Johnson - Cotton, Cotton Ginnings (202) 720-5944Roy Karkosh - Hay, Sorghum, Barley (202) 690-3234Mark E. Miller - Oats, Sugar Crops, Weekly Crop Weather (202) 720-7621Jerry Ramirez - Soybeans, Minor Oilseeds (202) 720-7369

Fruit, Vegetable & Special Crops SectionJim Smith, Head (202) 720-2127Arvin Budge - Potatoes, Sweet Potatoes (202) 720-4285Dave DeWalt - Citrus, Tropical Fruits (202) 720-5412Debbie Flippin - Fresh and Processing Vegetables (202) 720-3250Steve Gunn - Apples, Cherries, Cranberries, Prunes, Plums (202) 720-4488Jeffrey Kissel - Noncitrus Fruits, Mint, Dry Beans & Peas,

Mushrooms (202) 690-0270Keith Lacy - Berries, Grapes, Maple Syrup, Tobacco (202) 720-7235Kim Ritchie - Hops (360) 902-1940Dave Ranek - Nuts, Floriculture (202) 720-4215Biz Wallingsford - Fresh and Processing Vegetables, Onions,

Strawberries (202) 720-2157

The next "Prospective Plantings" report will be released in March 2001.

The United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) prohibits discrimination in all its programs on the basis of race, color,national origin, gender, religion, age, disability, political beliefs, sexual orientation, and marital or family status. (Not all prohibitedbases apply to all programs.) Persons with disabilities who require alternative means for communication of program information(braille, large print, audiotape, etc.) should contact the USDA’s TARGET Center at 202-720-2600 (voice and TDD).

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Prospective Plantings - Cornell University · 3/31/2000 · 2,453 25 30 30 20 70 20 160 55 34 75...

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Transcript of Prospective Plantings - Cornell University · 3/31/2000 · 2,453 25 30 30 20 70 20 160 55 34 75...