PROPERTY COUNTRY REPORT: MALAYSIA - RapJapan · Hermitage Sri Hartamas 857 474 –1,378 From...
Transcript of PROPERTY COUNTRY REPORT: MALAYSIA - RapJapan · Hermitage Sri Hartamas 857 474 –1,378 From...
23rd Asia Pacific Regional Conference
29th – 31st October 2015
Jakarta, Indonesia
PROPERTY COUNTRY REPORT:
MALAYSIA
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VPC MALAYSIA OFFICES
VPC Offices in
Malaysia
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Sabah
Kota Kinabalu
Sarawak
Kuching
Johor
Johor Bharu
Pahang
Mentakab
Kuala Lumpur
Selangor
Petaling Jaya
Kedah
Alor Setar
Penang
Georgetown
Kajang
Sandakan
• Economic Overview
• General Property Market
• Sectorial Property Market
– Residential
– Office
– Retail
– Hotel
• Property Outlook for 2016
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CONTENT
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Exchange Rate
USD 1: RM4.2595
IDR 10,000: RM3.217
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ECONOMIC INDICATORS
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2013 2014 2015 (est.) 2016 (forecast)
Real GDP Growth 4.7% 6.0% 4.5% - 5.0% 4.0% - 5.0%
Current GDP (RM Billion) 984.85 1,069.26 1,128.16 1,206.93
Exports (RM Billion) 719.99 765.42 498.08 (Jan to Aug)
Import (RM Billion) 648.7 682.94 443.83 (Jan to Aug)
International Reserves
(RM Billion)441.7 405.5 418.0 (October)
International Reserves
(USD Billion)134.9 116.0 94.1 (October)
Exchange Rate (USD to
MYR)3.2815 3.495 4.3425
Source: Bank Negara Malaysia & Ministry of Treasury
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BRIEF ECONOMIC INDICATORS
• Central Bank Overnight Policy Rate: 3.25%
• Base Lending Rate: 6.85%; Average Base Rate: 3.88%
• Housing Loan Rate: 4.45% to 5.25%
• Unemployment Rate: 3.1%
• Inflation Rate: 3.18%
• Main Exports: Electrical and Electronics products,
Petroleum products and Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG),
Rubber, Oil Palm, Timber and Tin.
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ECONOMIC OUTLOOK 2015
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• Overall , the country’s economy is projected to grow by 4.5% - 5.0% in
2015 and only 4% - 5% in 2016.
• Malaysia’s domestic demand is expected to lose some momentum
from lower private consumption as households reduce their purchases
due to the implementation of the Goods and Services Tax (GST).
• The Ringgit Malaysia had dropped 30% and will remain weak.
• Decline in revenues, especially Crude Petroleum and commodities.
Slowdown in exports will likely continue, attributed to lower commodity
exports and prices.
• Declining Foreign Direct Investment expected.
• Signs of voluntary retrenchment and layoff of workers in the banking,
oil and gas and manufacturing industries.
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PROPERTY MARKET: GENERAL
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1H2014 1H2015 % Increase
Transactions Volume 122,830 119,599 -2.63%
Transactions Value (RM MN) 40,301.66 37,977.75 -5.77%
• The property market performance has softened in first half of 2015 as
compared to a year ago.
• The volume and value of transactions dropped by 2.63% and 5.77%
respectively in the first half of 2015 against first half of 2014.
• Based on the market observation, the home buyers are expecting to buy
properties before the implementation of Goods and Services Tax (GST).
However, the data from NAPIC showed otherwise. In Kuala Lumpur, the
volume of residential transactions declined sharply by 21.2% in 1Q2015
when compared to 4Q2014, likely attributed to the current economy
slowdown and stringent lending guidelines.
Source: NAPIC
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PROPERTY MARKET: GENERAL
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The slowdown of the property market is due to:
• Central Bank tightening up the mortgage loan
• Oversupply in certain sub-sector market
• Government cooling measures such as
increased RGPT rates and prohibition of
Developer Interest Bearing Scheme (DIBS)
and GST implementation on 1 April 2015.
• Economic slowdown
• Poor Market sentiments
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RESIDENTIAL SECTOR: 1H2015
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• Dominate the overall property market inthe 1H2015, with 64.1% of the totalvolume and 49.3% of the value oftransaction.
• 119,599 transactions worth RM38 billionregistered in the 1H2015.
• The volume and value transactions werelower by 2.70% and 6.10% respectivelyagainst 1H2014.
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RESIDENTIAL SECTOR: SALES TAKE-UP
RATE IN H2015: MALAYSIA
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2011 2012 2013 2014 1H2015
New Launches (Unit) 49,290 57,162 62,376 68,351 27,231
Units Sold 22,797 27,264 22,616 30,581 8,542
Sales Performance (%) 46.3% 47.7% 36.3% 44.7% 31.4%
Source: NAPIC
– In the primary market, the overall sales performance was less
encouraging in the 1H2015, with lower take-up rates.
– The take-up rate was lower compared to 2014 (31.4%).
– The number of new launches were much lesser in 1H2015, recording
27,231 units compared with 45,588 units in 1H2014.
– Based on the NAPIC data, of the 10,491 high-rise residential units
launched in 1H2015, only 3,420 (32.6%) were sold. New launches on
terrace houses of 12,146 units in 1H2015 are also preforming less
encouraging with take-up rate of only 31.5% (3,830 units sold).
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LUXURY CONDOMINIUM: KL
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• Notable completed residential buildings in 1H2015 are as follows:-
Project Name Location Area Units
Mirage Residence Jalan Yap Kwan Seng KLCC 102
Rimbun Embassy Row Jalan Ampang Hilir Ampang 56
G Residence Desa Pandan Ampang 474
Madge Mansion Jalan Madge Ampang 52
The Icon Residence Tower C Persiaran Dutamas Mont Kiara 139
Signature Desa Sri Hartamas Mont Kiara 36
Saville Bangsar@ The Park
Block A
Pantai Dalam Bangsar 204
Arcoris Residences Mont Kiara Mont Kiara 331
Total 1,394
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LUXURY CONDOMINIUM: KL
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• Expected new supply of 4,060 units will be completed in 2H2015.
The majority , 1,645 (41%) are located in the City Centre, followed
by 31% (1,256 units) in Mont Kiara locality, 18% (734 units) in
Bangsar/Pantai Dalam locality and 10% (425 units) in Ampang
locality.
• Generally new launches encounter slower sales, but the following
developments received good take-up rate:-
– Picasso Residence (60%)
– Westside III (59%)
– Pavilion Suites (80% during preview launch)
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NOTABLE NEW LAUNCHES
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Project Name Location UnitsFloor Area
(Sq. ft.)
Price PSF
(RM psf)
Tropicana The Residences KLCC 353 710 – 2,973 RM2,600 psf
Pavilion Suites Bukit Bintang 383 704 – 1,254 From RM3,000 psf
Picasso Residence Jalan Ampang 472 1,013 – 2,407 From RM1,076 psf
Damai Residences Jalan Ampang 31 1,938 RM930 psf
Sefina Residensi Mont Kiara 245 1,333 – 1,771 RM800 psf
Hermitage Sri Hartamas 857 474 – 1,378 From RM1,000 psf
Westside III Desa Park City 469 1,077 – 1,927 From RM636 psf
Location of Selected Luxurious Condominiums in Kuala
Lumpur
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PANORAMA (33-Storey)
Completed: March 2011
Total Units: 223
Dev. Price: RM1,200 psf
Current Asking Price : RM1,390 psf
MARC RESIDENCE (35-Storey)
Completed: August 2007
Total Units: 635
Dev. Price: RM750 psf
Current Asking Price : RM1,500 psf
ST MARY RESIDENCE (28-Storey)
Completed: 2012
Total Units: 657
Dev. Price: RM942 psf
Current Asking Price : RM1,455 psf
SURIA STONOR (23-Storey)
Completed: Apr 2008
Total Units: 138
Dev. Price: RM650 psf
Current Asking Price : RM1,100 psf
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THE BINJAI (44 & 45-Storey)
Completed: End 2008
Total Units: 171
Dev. Price: RM1,000 psf
Current Asking Price : RM2,320 psf
HAMPSHIRE PLACE (30-Storey)
Completed: Sept 2010
Total Units: 186
Dev. Price: RM700 psf
Current Asking Price : RM1,240 psf
ST MARY RESIDENCE (28-Storey)
Completed: 2012
Total Units: 657
Dev. Price: RM942 psf
Current Asking Price : RM1,450 psf
PARK SEVEN (20-Storey)
Completed: Mar 2008
Total Units: 105
Dev. Price: RM640 psf
Current Asking Price : RM1,190psf
SURIA STONOR (23-Storey)
Completed: Apr 2008
Total Units: 138
Dev. Price: RM650 psf
Current Asking Price : RM890 psf
THE AVARE (41-Storey)
Completed: 2009
Total Units: 78
Dev. Price: RM950 psf
Current Asking Price : RM1,100 psf
ONE KL (35-Storey)
Completed: 2009
Total Units: 94
Dev. Price: RM1,200 psf
Current Asking Price : RM1,400 psf
THE TROIKA (38, 44 & 55-Storey)
Completed: 2011
Total Units: 229
Dev. Price: RM920 psf
Current Asking Price : RM1,660 psf
THE BINJAI (44 & 45-Storey)
Completed: End 2008
Total Units: 171
Dev. Price: RM1,000 psf
Current Asking Price : RM2,400 psf
PAVILION RESIDENCES (43 & 50-
Storey)
Completed: Early 2009
Total Units: 368
Dev. Price: RM900 psf
Current Asking Price : RM1,800 psf
MIRAGE RESIDENCE (25-Storey)
Completed: 2015
Total Units: 102
Dev. Price: RM1,000 psf
Current Asking Price : RM1,490 psf
188 SUITES (22 & 26-Storey)
Completed: 2014
Total Units: 446
Dev. Price: RM1,000 psf
Current Asking Price : RM950 psf
SOHO SUITES (45-Storey)
Completed: 2014
Total Units: 215
Dev. Price: RM750 – 1,050 psf
Current Asking Price : RM1,400 psf
VIPOD RESIDENCES (38 & 41-Storey)
Completed: 2013
Total Units: 440
Dev. Price: RM890 psf
Current Asking Price : RM1,470 psf
QUADRO RESIDENCES (36-storey)
Completed: 2013
Total Units: 440
Dev. Price: RM1,000 psf
Current Asking Price : RM1,700 psf
BINJAI 8 (40-storey)
Completed: 2012
Total Units: 310
Dev. Price: RM840 – 1,180 psf
Current Asking Price : RM1,215 psf
Generally, prices of luxurious condo in 2015 had
dropped slightly compared to 2014
vpcasiapacific.com
Location of Upcoming Luxurious Condominiums in Kuala Lumpur
City Centre (KLCC)
Four Seasons Place (65-storey)
Built-up: 1,098 – 11,900 sf
Dev. Price: From RM2,500 psf
Take-up: Approx. 80%
Launched: Jan 2013
Expected: 2016
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Le Nouvel (43 & 49 storeys)
Built-up: 1,800 – 4,700 sf
Exp. Dev. Price: From RM2,200 psf
Take-up: NA%
Expected: End of 2015
The Mews (38-storey)
Built-up: 922 – 2,623 sf
Dev. Price: From RM1,700 psf
Take-up: >90%
Launched: Jan 2014
Expected: 2017
Tribeca (37-storey)
Built-up: 510 – 1,293 sf
Dev. Price: From RM1,800 psf
Take-up: 100%
Launched: July 2013
Expected: Aug 2017
The Ruma (37-storey)
Built-up: 915 – 3,692 sf
Dev. Price: From RM1,900 psf
Take-up: 95%
Launched: March 2013
Expected: Q12017
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Manhattan Residen 61
Built-up: 588 – 1,285 sf
Exp. Dev. Price: From RM1,600
psf
Take-up: 88%
Exp. Launched: Mid 2013
Expected: Early 2016
Tropicana Residences (55-storey)
Built-up: 710 – 2,973 sf
Dev. Price: From RM2,600 psf
Take-up: NA
Launched: Mar. 2015
Expected: 2017
Pavilion Suites (51-storey)
Built-up: 704 – 1,254sf
Dev. Price: From RM3,000 psf
Take-up: 50%
Launched: June 2015
Expected: 2017
16www.vpcasiapacific.com
MRT Line 2 – Sungai Buloh-Serdang-Putrajaya: 56 km
MRT Line 1 – Sungai Buloh- Kajang: 51 km
LRT Ampang/Sri Petaling Line
LRT Kelana Jaya Line
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RESIDENTIAL SECTOR
OUTLOOK: 2015
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• Softening demand in the high-rise residential developmentparticularly the high-end products.
• Landed residential property demand is still resilient especiallydevelopment with gated and guarded community.
• Developers are focusing on launching more affordablehousing near the proposed MRT Line 1 and Line 2 and LRTExtension Line.
• House prices is expect to self correct in 2015.
• Foreign investors are actively monitoring residential propertiesin Kuala Lumpur due to weakening of Ringgit Malaysia. Butdue to current political climate in Malaysia, they are stillcautious.
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OFFICE SECTOR
• Supply 1H2015
• The performance of purpose built office sub-sector was stable.
• KL City Centre contributes 80.6% of the office space, while the
remaining 19.4% comes from KL City Fringe.
Malaysia 212.9 million sq. ft.
WP Kuala Lumpur88.88 million sq. ft.
(41.75% of national supply)
Completed Office Buildings in KL (1H2015):-
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OFFICE SECTOR: KUALA LUMPUR
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Naza Tower, KLCC
NLA: 505,930 sf
Q Sentral, KL SentralNLA: 1.050 million sf
Summer Suites,
Jalan Sultan Ismail
GFA: 800,000 sf
Menara Centara,
Jalan TAR, KL
NLA: 166,000 sf
Estimate Total Completion:
NLA - 2.516 million sf.
The Crest,
Jalan Sultan Ismail
NLA: 190,000 sf
Estimate incoming supply in the 2H2015:-
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OFFICE SECTOR: KUALA LUMPUR
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IB Tower, Jalan BinjaiGFA: 394,000 sf
Damansara City (Pusat Bandar
Damansara)
Tower A: NLA: 506,069 sf
Tower B: NLA: 250,000 sfKL Trillion,
Jln Tun Razak
Est. NLA: 374,000 sf
Menara Bangkok Bank
Jalan Sultan Ismail/Jalan
Ampang
GFA: 464,000 sf
The Vertical Ph.1 (Bangsar South)Block A: NLA: 441,280 sfBlock B: NLA: 381,240 sfKEN TTDI
(Taman Tun Dr. Ismail)
NLA: 258,000 sf
Estimate Total Completion:
NLA - 2.85 million sf.
Estimate incoming supply in the 2016 – 2017 :-
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OFFICE SECTOR: KUALA LUMPUR
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Estimate Total Completion:
NLA - 3.3 million sf.
JKG Tower
(Jln Raja Laut)
NLA: 499,053 sf
Public Mutual Tower
(Jln Raja Chulan)
NLA: 215,000 sf
KL Gateway
(Bangsar South)
GFA: 730,000 sf
KL Eco City
(Bangsar)
GFA: 2.75 million sf
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OFFICE SECTOR: KUALA LUMPUR
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• Announcements on up-coming Mega projects in Kuala Lumpur
– KL118 Tower/Menara Warisan Merdeka (118-storey which will
have office space, service apartment, hotel and retail podium).
Estimate GFA: 4.3 million sq. ft.
– Two of the three towers on Lot 185, KLCC will be jointly
developed by KLCC Holdings Sdn Bhd and Qatari Diar Real
Estate Investment Co. (50: 50). One of the towers will have an
anchor in the form of a hotel group – 62-storey hotel building.
The other tower will be an office block.
– JV between UDA Holdings Bhd, Eco World Development Group
Bhd and Employees Provident Fund Board (EPF), jointly develop
the redevelopment of the 19.4-acre ex-Pudu Jail site which will
comprises of a mix of residential and commercial components.
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OFFICE SECTOR: KUALA LUMPUR
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• Notable land sales for office developments:
Location/
Dev. NameVendor Purchaser
Land
Area
(acres)
Consideration &
RMpsf
Plot
Ratio
TRX (40-storey)1MDB Real
Estate Tabung Haji 1.56
RM 188.5 million
2,773 psf9.90
TRX (74-storey)1MDB Real
Estate
PT Mulia
Group3.4
RM665 million
RM4,490 psf13.0
TRX (Grade A
office)
1MDB Real
Estate Affin Holdings 1.25
RM255 million
RM4,699 psf15.2
• Selected Grade A+ and Grade A office asking rentals
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OFFICE SECTOR: KUALA LUMPUR
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Current Gross Rental (RM
psf/month)
Menara Maxis RM10.50
Menara Binjai RM7.50 – RM8.00
Integra Tower@ The Intermark RM10.00 - RM11.00
Vista Tower RM8.50 – RM9.00
Menara Petronas 3 RM11.00 – RM12.00
Menara Felda RM8.50 – RM9.00
G Tower RM8.50
Menara CIMB RM7.00 – RM8.50
The Garden North and South Tower RM6.80 – RM7.80
Quill 7 RM7.50
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OFFICE SECTOR: KUALA LUMPUR
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• Average transaction prices of higher quality office space generally range
between RM1,000 to RM1,200 psf.
• Seller’s market, with active local buyers including institutions, REITs and
private buyers.
• Overall office rents continued to increase in the first half of 2015, but we
have seen in some buildings with rents going down.
• Asking rents of Grade A office buildings in the KL City Centre are about
RM8.50 psf per month. Prime A+ office buildings has exceeded RM10.00
psf per month. They are Menara Petronas 3, Menara Maxis, Integra Tower
and KL Twin Towers.
• Several office buildings are reportedly on the market for sale. They include
Wisma Genting, G-Tower, Menara Prudential, Menara Multi-Purpose, Vista
Tower and Wisma MPL.
• Recent Transactions in 2014/2015
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OFFICE SECTOR: KUALA LUMPUR
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Office Building Vendor PurchaserNLA
(Sq. ft.)
Consideration (RM ‘ Million)
Price PSF (RM psf)
Integra Tower, Jalan Tun Razak
Black RockIncorporation
Retirement Fund Incorporated (KWAP)
760,715 1,065 1,400
Menara Raja LautHong Leong Bank
Berhad Hong Leong Assurance
Bhd397,939 220 553
Wisma AmanahRaya AmanahRaya REIT Annex Sentral Sdn Bhd 153,908 78 507
Tropicana Office Tower & Mall*
Tropicana BhdCapital Malls (M)
Trusts101,246 540 983
Block N Empire City Empire Group My EG 238,932 155.35 650
Quill Building 10 Quill Capita Trust Aldwch Capital S/B 68,377 27.3 399
Menara Komtar, JohorDamansara Asset
S/BAl-Salam REIT 160,592 70 436
Plaza Raja Chulan YNL Properties S/BStone Master Corp
Bhd38,280 15 392
Tropicana Office and Mall is an integrated
development. NLA for office tower is 101,246
sf and NLA for mall is 448,248 sf.
• Recent Transactions in 2014/2015
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OFFICE SECTOR: KUALA LUMPUR
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Office Building Vendor PurchaserNLA
(Sq. ft.)Consideration (RM ‘ Million)
Price PSF (RM psf)
Nu Sentral Tower 1MRCB Sentral Properties Sdn
Bhd
Malaysian Communications &
Multimedia Commission243,855 283 1,160
Menara ING, Jalan Raja Chulan
Tower REIT Goldstone KL Sdn Bhd 160,413 132.2 824
Wisma Sunway, Shah Alam Sunway Bhd Sunway REIT 171,544 60 350
Wisma Comcorp, Shah Alam Comintel Sdn Bhd Amanah Raya REIT 75,248 30 399
Bangunan Shell, Damansara Heights
Alloy Mtd GroupSuruhanjaya Koperasi
Malaysia212,867 138 648
Platinum Sentral (office space)
MRCB Quill Capita Trust 419,643 624.68 1,489
Bangunan Yayasan Kg. BaruSwasta Setia Holdings S/B
Yayasan Selangor 198,739 50 252
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OFFICE SECTOR: OUTLOOK
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• With at least 6.15 million square feet scheduled to be completed by
end of 2017 in KL, rentals and occupancy rates are expected to
move downwards.
• Current job cuts from bank institutions and Oil & Gas companies will
downsize the office space to reduce the operation costs. We expect
to see rents will decrease in 2015 and 2016.
• However, with limited supply of existing Grade A+ office featuring
MSC status and Green Building Index (less than 10% of the total
supply), demand for this Grade A+ supply is expected to remain
resilient.
• Owing to weakening Ringgit Malaysia, good grades offices with
good yields will be attractive for foreign investment funds to invest in
Malaysia.
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RETAIL SECTOR: GENERAL
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• As at June 2015, total supply of retail space in Kuala Lumpur and Selangor stand at
28.02 million sq. ft. and 32.51 million sq. ft. respectively.
• KL City Centre supply: 23.96%
• KL Suburban supply: 22.34%
• Selangor supply: 53.71%
• Based on market observation, there was a decline in occupancy rate of retail malls in
Klang Valley. Nevertheless, average occupancy rate located in prime retail malls
remains at more than 90% occupancy rate.
• Retailers have experienced a slowdown in retail sales as consumers are cautious on
spending due to the following reasons:
– Implementation of Goods and Services Tax (GST) on 1 April 2015.
– Increase retail prices due to depreciation of Ringgit Malaysia, particularly for
imported goods and services.
– Uncertainty of the financial and employment outlook.
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COMPLETED RETAIL MALLS IN 1H2015
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Jakel Mall
Jalan Munshi Abdullah, KL
NLA: 330,000 sf
Sunway Putra (refurbishment)
Jalan Putra, KL
NLA: 578,000 sf
Atria Shopping Gallery
Damansara Jaya, Selangor
NLA: 450,000 sf
Mitsui Outlet Park Phase 1
KLIA, Selangor
NLA: 269,000 sf
The Place@ One City
Subang Jaya
NLA: 220,000 sf
Total
Completion in
1H2015 -
1.85 million sf
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NOTABLE RECENT TRANSACTIONS IN 2014/2015
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Retail Building Location Vendor PurchaserConsideration
(RM Million)
Selling
Price (RM
psf)
Tropicana City
Mall & Office
Tower
Petaling Jaya Tropicana Corp BhdCapitaMalls Malaysia
Trust540 983
Platinum
SentralKL Sentral MRCB Sentral Prop S/B Quill Capita Trust 70.7 1,258
Subang Avenue Subang JayaSime Darby Brunsfield
Prop Holding S/B
Subang Mall Property
S/B139.5 654
Da:men USJ Subang JayaEquine Park Country
Resort S/B.
Pavilion Reit
Management S/B.488 1,159
KL Festival City
MallSetapak Parkson Holdings Bhd
Festiva Mall S/B. &
AsiaMalls S/B349 716
Mart Kempas
(Hypermarket)Johor Damansara Asset S/B Al-Salam REIT 65 663
Komtar JBCC Johor Damansara Asset S/B Al-Salam REIT 462 1,150
Mydin PenangMydin Wholesale Cash
and Carry S/B
AmFirst Real
Investment Trust250 466
MydinNegeri
Sembilan
Mydin Wholesale Cash
and Carry S/B
Amanah Harta Tanah
PNB (AHP)240 557
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UPCOMING MALLS IN KLANG VALLEY IN 2015-2017
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Development Name Location Area (sf) Expected Completion Date
Evolve Concept Mall Ara Damansara 350,000 End 2015
Glo Damansara Jalan Damansara 360,000 End 2015
Ikea Cheras Cheras 452,000 Nov 2015
Damen USJ USJ 1, Subang Jaya 420,920 Nov 2015
Bangsar Trade Centre Bangsar 100,000 Dec 2015
Sunway Pyramid Ph. 3 Bandar Sunway 65,000 End 2015
Sunway Velocity Cheras 1,000,000 2016
MyTown Next to Ikea Cheras 1,100,000 2H2016
AEON Shah Alam Shah Alam 500,000 2016
Empire City Mall Damansara Perdana 1,800,000 2016
KL Eco City Mall KL Eco City 300,000 2016
KL Gateway Retail Podium KL Gateway 500,000 2016
The Two@ Rawang Rawang 1,350,000 2017
Pavilion Suites Retail Podium Bukit Bintang 240,000 2017
KSL City Mall 2 Klang 2,200,000 2017
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RETAIL SECTOR: KUALA LUMPUR
www.vpcasiapacific.com
• Prime Mall Performance in 2014
Building NameAverage Rental Rate
(RM/sf) 2014
Occupancy
Rate (%)Net Yield in 2014 (%)
Suria KLCC RM45.33 98% NA
KL Pavilion RM24.47 98.1% 6.44%
Mid Valley The Gardens RM14.37 97.6% 6.21%
Mid Valley Megamall RM14.97 99.9% 6.91%
Sunway Pyramid RM13.48 94.8% 6.65%
The Sungei Wang PlazaRM10.25
(2015)
91.9%
(2015)
4.77%
(2015)
The Mines9.57
(2015)
97%
(2015)
7.53%
(2015)
Subang Parade RM8.17 99.3% 7.8%
Plaza Sungei Wang generate the lowest yield.
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RETAIL SECTOR: OUTLOOK
www.vpcasiapacific.com
• Retail sales are expected to be challenging and cautious in 2015 and 2016due to the following reasons:
– Increase retail price due to depreciation Ringgit Malaysia particularlyimport goods and services.
– Uncertainty of the financial and employment outlook.
– Increase fuel price and toll hikes.
– Global economic slowdown has discourage tourists to spend.
– With the scheduled openings 10 new shopping malls by 2015/2016,occupancy rates and rents of retail market will come under pressurewhich is likely affect both rental rates and occupancies.
• Consumers are more towards basic spending and affordable goods andservices.
• Focus is now on online trading and warehouse sales.
• REIT players is expected to remain active to purchase retail malls andhypermarkets.
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HOTEL SECTOR: GENERAL
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Tourist Arrivals
(Million)
Tourism Receipts
(RM Billion)
2015 (estimates) 25.12 70.0
2015 12.56 (Jan – June) 17.5 (Jan – Mar)
2014 (Visit MY Year) 27.44 72.0
2013 25.72 65.44
2012 25.03 60.6
2011 24.71 58.3
2010 24.58 56.5
2009 23.65 53.4
2008 22.05 49.6
2007 (Visit MY Year) 20.97 46.1
2006 17.55 36.3
Source: Ministry of Tourism
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HOTEL SECTOR: GENERAL
www.vpcasiapacific.com
• Malaysia is experiencing its first slump in foreign tourist arrivals in
decades,
• Tourist arrivals fell by 9.4% in the first half of 2015. There were 12.56
million tourist visitors from January to June, down from 13.9 million
tourist in the first half of last year.
• Total tourism receipts saw a decrease of RM1 billion (RM17.5 billion)
in Q12015 or 5.4% against RM18.5 billion for the same period of
2014.
• The arrivals of tourists from China (-27.1%), Japan (-16.4%), Australia
(-22.7%), United Kingdom (-12.1%) and Singapore (-8.6%) has
dropped this year compared to 2014.
37
HOTEL SECTOR: GENERAL
www.vpcasiapacific.com
• The fall of the tourist arrivals were due to:
– Global economic slowdown and tourists having less money tospend regardless of the exchange rate.
– Implementation of Goods and Services Tax (GST) on 1 April2015.
– Three air tragedies of Flight MH370, MH17 and Air Asia 8501crash in 2014, causing a drop of Chinese tourist arrivals inMalaysia.
• In 2Q2015, the existing supply of hotels stands at 2,829 with205,599 hotel rooms, up 3.7% and 4.35% respectively comparedto 2Q2014.
• According to Ministry of Tourism, average hotel occupancy rate in2014 increased to 63.6% compared to 62.6% in 2013.
38
HOTEL SECTOR: GENERAL
www.vpcasiapacific.com
• The room rates of notable 5-star rated hotels in Kuala Lumpur are
above RM450. This include Traders Hotel, Shangri-La Hotel,
Hilton KL Sentral, JW Mariott, Mandarin Oriental, Ritz-Carlton,
Double Tree Hilton, Grand Millennium and Grand Hyatt Hotel.
• While notable 4-star hotels are recording an average room rate
above RM300. This include Corus Hotel, Aloft Kuala Lumpur and
Novotel Hotel.
• The development of Harrods Hotel in Kuala Lumpur located on a
5.48 acre site to be known as Harrods Square sandwiched
between Jalan Raja Chulan and Jalan Conlay was cancelled.
39
NOTABLE SALES TRANSACTIONS IN
2014 /2015
www.vpcasiapacific.com
Hotel Building Vendor PurchaserHotel
Room
Consideratio
n (RM ‘
Million)
Price per
room
(RM)
Double Tree by Hilton, KL Black Rock Inc Royal Group 540 388 720,000
Sunway Hotel, Penang Sunway Bhd Sunway REIT 250 74 280,000
Westin Hotel JBB Hotels Notable Vision Sdn Bhd 443 4551.027
million
Gurney Hotel
Residences, PenangEPF Plenitude Bhd 259 160.1 618,000
Citiview Hotel, Kuantan Citiview Hotel E-Red 84 17 200,000
Lotus Hotel, BrickfieldThe Lotus
Properties
A.M. Green Land Sdn
Bhd44 20.7 470,000
Prescott Hotel, KlangPrescott Hotel
Sdn Bhd
Bandar Baru Pantai Sdn
Bhd158 26.38 167,000
40
NEW COMPLETION HOTELS IN
1H2015 IN KLANG VALLEY
www.vpcasiapacific.com
Hotel Name Rooms Rating
D’Majestic by Swiss Garden,
Pudu230 4-star
Sunway Putra Hotel, Jalan
Putra (refurbishment)620 5-star
Best Western @ i-City 214 3-star
41
UPCOMING HOTELS IN KLANG VALLEY
www.vpcasiapacific.com
Hotel Name Rooms Estimate Completion Date
St. Regis Hotel, KL Sentral 208 2016
Clermont KL 312 2016
Royale Pavilion Hotel 329 2016
Le Meridien Putrajaya 350 2016
Banyan Tree Signatures Pavilion 143 2016
Hilton Garden Inn, Puchong 255 2016
Autograph Collection@ Empire City 260 2016
Marriott @ Empire City 300 2016
Four Seasons Place 240 2017
The Ruma Hotel and Residences 253 2017
Fairmont Hotel & Resorts 750 2017
Alila Bangsar @ The Establishment 158 2017
Sheraton Petaling Jaya 250 2017
Tropicana Residences & W Hotel 150 2019
Kempinski Hotel and Residences 260 2020
42
LISTED HOTEL REITS
PERFORMANCE
www.vpcasiapacific.com
No REITs
No. of
Hotel
Portfolio
Gross Revenue
(2014)
Gross Revenue
(2013)
Gross
Yield
(%)
1YTL Hospitality
REIT*9
RM 98.03 million
(FY2015)
RM 97.95 million
(FY2014)6.40%
2 Sunway REIT* 5RM 61.31 million
(FY2015)
RM 64.63 million
(FY2014)4.64%
3 AmFirst REIT 1RM6.52 million
(2014)
RM 6.048 million
(2013) 6.77%
4AmanahRaya
REIT2
RM6.28 million
(2014)
RM6.15 million
(2013)#
Net
Yield –
5.49%
Note:
* - Sunway REIT & YTL Hospitality REIT - Fiscal year June# - Net Property Income
43
HOTEL SECTOR: OUTLOOK
www.vpcasiapacific.com
• Based on the drop of tourist arrivals and tourist revenue recorded in
the first half years of 2015, in our opinion, the expected tourist arrivals
of 29.4 million and tourism revenue of RM89 billion will not be able to
achieve.
• Tourism arrivals and receipts are expected to remain down in 2015
due to the following reasons:
– Politics uncertainty
– Uncertainty on the global economy
– Impact of Haze
• In 2015, we estimate that the Average Room Rate is likely to increase
due to depreciation of Ringgit currency.
44
OUTLOOK 2016
www.vpcasiapacific.com
• Overall, property market is expected to be soft due to the following
reasons:
– Government cooling measures
– Central Bank tightening up the mortgage loan
– Economic Slowdown
– Political uncertainty
• Less launches and market activities are expected in 2016.
• Property prices are likely to drop slightly.
45
THANK YOU
www.vpcasiapacific.com