Prompt Oil Price ($/bbl) $37.41 $3.70 11.0% Let’s follow these ...€¦ · 08-06-2020  · U.S....

16
1 June 8, 2020 Indicator Current Value Week's Change % Change Direction Prompt Oil Price ($/bbl) $37.41 $3.70 11.0% Prompt Gas Price ($/mmbtu) $1.82 ($0.01) (0.3%) Wkly Trans. Value ($mm) $155 $154 nmf Wkly Trans. Count 3 2 200% US Rig Count 284 (17) (5.6%) US Oil Prod'n (mmbbl/d) 11.2 (0.2) (1.8%) US Gas Prod'n (bcf/d) (1) 114.9 (0.4) (0.3%) US Oil Storage (mmbbl) 532.3 (2.1) (0.4%) US Gas Storage (tcf) 2.7 0.1 3.9% $2.2 $8.0 $9.9 $10.7 $4.9 $15.8 $21.2 $21.9 $24.1 $17.0 $9.1 $9.2 $20.8 $8.2 $31.6 $19.5 $1.7 $17.0 $9.0 $0.9 $2.0 -- 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 -- $5 $10 $15 $20 $25 $30 $35 $40 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 1Q17 2Q17 3Q17 4Q17 1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18 1Q19 2Q19 3Q19 4Q19 1Q20 2Q20 61% 83% 74% 79% 39% 52% 62% 71% 93% 24% 68% 82% 91% 64% 46% 93% 51% 95% 74% 78% 67% 47% Number of Transactions Transaction Value ($bn) Asset Corporate Number of Transactions % Oil % Oil % Oil $64.3 Black Stone Minerals announced it entered into two separate transactions to sell mineral and royalty assets to Pegasus Resources for $100 million and an undisclosed buyer for $55 million The June issue of BMO Calgary’s A&D (Canadian) Market Monitor went live last week read here With developments around COVID-19 in constant flux, BMO Capital Markets has set up a dedicated page to provide clients with the latest news and information, from the market response to developments in the fight against the virus and its spread read more here Debt Markets 17 issuers priced 20 tranches for approximately $15.5 billion in proceeds last week U.S. high yield funds reported an inflow of ~$6 billion ETFs reported an inflow of $2.7 billion, while mutual funds reported an inflow of $3.1 billion High yield index yield was 6.30%; high yield energy index yield was 10.50% Source: BMO Transaction Database, Baker Hughes, BMO Commodity Products Group, Bloomberg, EIA, PLS Note: Current quarter’s data is through the week covered by this issue. 1. EIA U.S. natural gas gross withdrawals and production reported monthly as of Mar 2020. 2. S&P E&P = S&P Oil & Gas E&P Select Industry, SPX = S&P 500 Index. Key Industry Indicators Quarterly Deal Activity S&P E&P (2) outperformed last week 10.3% vs. SPX (2) 2.2% The U.S. equity indexes mostly finished up last week. Real estate, industrials, consumer discretionary, consumer staples, tech, materials, and financials finished up. Healthcare finished down Equity Markets Oil ended last week up. Analysts expected high future oil forecasts due to increased anticipation that OPEC+ will agree to extend their current levels for an additional two months and market anticipation that the reopening of economies around the world will increase demand. In addition, markets anticipated this increased demand will cause the oil market to be in balance by late summer. The near-term contract closed up $3.70, or 11.0%, at $37.41 Gas ended last week down. Natural gas futures saw gains earlier last week due to higher spot prices, added heat in the weather models, and higher feed gas volumes being delivered to U.S. LNG terminals. In addition, traders believed gains may been caused by supply risks due to Tropical Storm Cristobal’s anticipated arrival into the Gulf Coast. The near-term contract closed down $0.01, or 0.3%, at $1.82 Commodities Week in Review Covering the Week of May 29 to June 4, 2020 All references to last week in the comments below are through Thursday

Transcript of Prompt Oil Price ($/bbl) $37.41 $3.70 11.0% Let’s follow these ...€¦ · 08-06-2020  · U.S....

Page 1: Prompt Oil Price ($/bbl) $37.41 $3.70 11.0% Let’s follow these ...€¦ · 08-06-2020  · U.S. high yield funds reported an inflow of ~$6 billion ... • Presentation Linking and

1

June 8, 2020

IndicatorCurrent

Value

Week's

Change

%

Change Direction

Prompt Oil Price ($/bbl) $37.41 $3.70 11.0%

Prompt Gas Price ($/mmbtu) $1.82 ($0.01) (0.3%)

Wkly Trans. Value ($mm) $155 $154 nmf

Wkly Trans. Count 3 2 200%

US Rig Count 284 (17) (5.6%)

US Oil Prod'n (mmbbl/d) 11.2 (0.2) (1.8%)

US Gas Prod'n (bcf/d)(1) 114.9 (0.4) (0.3%)

US Oil Storage (mmbbl) 532.3 (2.1) (0.4%)

US Gas Storage (tcf) 2.7 0.1 3.9%

$2.2

$8.0

$9.9 $10.7

$4.9

$15.8

$21.2 $21.9 $24.1

$17.0

$9.1 $9.2

$20.8

$8.2

$31.6

$19.5

$1.7

$17.0

$9.0

$0.9 $2.0

--

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

--

$5

$10

$15

$20

$25

$30

$35

$40

1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 1Q17 2Q17 3Q17 4Q17 1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18 1Q19 2Q19 3Q19 4Q19 1Q20 2Q20

61% 83% 74% 79% 39% 52% 62% 71% 93% 24% 68% 82% 91% 64% 46% 93% 51% 95% 74% 78% 67% 47%

Nu

mb

er

of

Tra

nsacti

on

s

Tra

nsacti

on

Va

lue (

$b

n)

Asset Corporate Number of Transactions

% Oil% Oil% Oil

$64.3

Black Stone Minerals announced it entered into two separate

transactions to sell mineral and royalty assets to Pegasus

Resources for $100 million and an undisclosed buyer for $55

million

The June issue of BMO Calgary’s A&D (Canadian) Market

Monitor went live last week – read here

With developments around COVID-19 in constant flux, BMO

Capital Markets has set up a dedicated page to provide

clients with the latest news and information, from the market

response to developments in the fight against the virus and

its spread – read more here

Debt

Markets

17 issuers priced 20 tranches for approximately $15.5 billion in proceeds last week

U.S. high yield funds reported an inflow of ~$6 billion

ETFs reported an inflow of $2.7 billion, while mutual funds reported an inflow of $3.1 billion

High yield index yield was 6.30%; high yield energy index yield was 10.50%

Source: BMO Transaction Database, Baker Hughes, BMO Commodity Products Group, Bloomberg, EIA, PLS

Note: Current quarter’s data is through the week covered by this issue.

1. EIA U.S. natural gas gross withdrawals and production reported monthly as of Mar 2020.

2. S&P E&P = S&P Oil & Gas E&P Select Industry, SPX = S&P 500 Index.

Key Industry Indicators

Quarterly Deal Activity

S&P E&P(2) outperformed last week 10.3% vs. SPX(2) 2.2%

The U.S. equity indexes mostly finished up last week. Real estate, industrials, consumer discretionary,

consumer staples, tech, materials, and financials finished up. Healthcare finished down

Equity

Markets

Oil ended last week up. Analysts expected high future oil forecasts due to increased anticipation that

OPEC+ will agree to extend their current levels for an additional two months and market anticipation that

the reopening of economies around the world will increase demand. In addition, markets anticipated this

increased demand will cause the oil market to be in balance by late summer. The near-term contract

closed up $3.70, or 11.0%, at $37.41

Gas ended last week down. Natural gas futures saw gains earlier last week due to higher spot prices,

added heat in the weather models, and higher feed gas volumes being delivered to U.S. LNG terminals.

In addition, traders believed gains may been caused by supply risks due to Tropical Storm Cristobal’s

anticipated arrival into the Gulf Coast. The near-term contract closed down $0.01, or 0.3%, at $1.82

Commodities

Week in Review

Let’s follow these guidelines when sorting articles:

• First priority: Domestic A&D, ranked by size

• Next: Domestic M&A

• Then: US companies doing international deals (like

Noble’s Tamar)

• Then: Others (Cabot’s Lackawanna)

• Then: Prices, rig count, completions, etc.

To paste the arrows with colors,

• FactSet

• Settings

• Presentation Linking and Formatting

• Import

• Colors

• Change Color Font Covering the Week of May 29 to June 4, 2020

This is the final issue for 2018. The Market Monitor will

return on Monday, January 7th. Happy Holidays from the

BMO Capital Markets team!

BMO is marketing PayRock Energy’s divestiture of South

Texas Eagle Ford assets (see page [x])

The October issue of BMO Calgary’s A&D (Canadian) Market

Monitor went live last week – read more here

One E&P deal priced last week

WPX Energy (b1/BB-) priced $600 million of x% Senior

Notes due 2027

One E&P issuer priced last week

Noble Energy priced $500 million of 3.25% senior notes

due 2029 and $500 million of 4.20% senior notes due

2049. BMO Capital Markets acted as a Joint

Bookrunner on this transaction

All references to last week in the comments below are through Thursday

Better international/demand data and promise for strict quota adherence by Russia

Demand signals continue to trend positively, with China’s total oil demand is nearly back to the pre-COVID levels of 13.4MM. U.S. real-time

mobility data indicated that driving activity has also recovered much of the April losses. Markets were also affected by greater than expected

Lower 48 shut-ins announced during earnings season. Jet-fuel market remains extremely weak thought travel started to tick higher off historic

lows.

Fighting in Libya intensified

The EIA announced a smaller-than-expected natural gas storage build. EQT confirmed that they had shut-in a large percentage of production

due to pricing, with management noting that sales were being deferred to take advantage of an expected significant improvement in price in the

coming months. LNG cancellations continued. Temperatures across the southern states expected to increase.

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

Page 2: Prompt Oil Price ($/bbl) $37.41 $3.70 11.0% Let’s follow these ...€¦ · 08-06-2020  · U.S. high yield funds reported an inflow of ~$6 billion ... • Presentation Linking and

2

June 8, 2020

Ann'd

Date Buyer Seller Area Asset Description Value(1)

Proved

Multiple

Prod.

Multiple Net Acres

($mm) ($/boe) ($/boe/d) ($/acre)

04-Jun-20 Undisclosed Buyer Black Stone Minerals Permian Midland Basin mineral and royalty assets $55 n.a. n.a. nmf

04-Jun-20 Pegasus Resources LLC Black Stone Minerals Permian Permian Basin mineral and royalty assets $100 n.a. n.a. nmf

11-May-20 Diversified Gas & Oil EQT Marcellus/Utica Appalachia Basin asset in PA and WV $125 $2.60 $13,889 n.a.

11-May-20 Morning Star Oil Co Southland Royalty Co Other Rockies 205,000 net acres in San Juan Basin $53 n.a. $3,635 $260

04-May-20 National Fuel Gas Shell Marcellus/Utica 450,000 net acres in Appalachia $541 $4.57 $12,983 $1,202

14-Apr-20 Undisclosed Buyer Ring Energy Permian 19,998 net acres in Delaware Basin $32 $3.15 $34,615 $1,575

08-Apr-20 Diversified Gas & Oil Carbon Energy Corp (USA) Marcellus/Utica 1,553,754 net acres in Appalachia $110 $1.51 $11,111 $71

03-Apr-20 BCE-Mach III LLC Alta Mesa Resources Mid-Continent 130,000 net acres in STACK $160 $2.22 $5,317 $1,227

31-Mar-20 Brigham Minerals LLC Undisclosed Sellers Multi-Region 1,625 net royalty acres in multiple basins $25 n.a. n.a. nmf

31-Mar-20 Viper Energy Partners Undisclosed Sellers Permian 410 net royalty acres in Permian Basin $63 n.a. n.a. nmf

Blue = BMO provided transaction advisory services Green = BMO provided acquisition financing or related services

Purple = BMO provided both transaction advisory services and acquisition financing or related services

Permian22%

Rockies (ex. Bakken)

9%

Bakken3%

Appalachia7%

Mid-Con12%

Eagle Ford6%

Ark-La-Tex5%

Gulf of Mexico7%

Other29%

LTM By Region

y = 22.526e-0.061x

R² = 0.2785

--

$10

$20

$30

$40

$50

$60

-- 5.0x 10.0x 15.0x 20.0x 25.0x 30.0x

Sa

les

Pri

ce

/ P

rove

d R

es

erv

es

($

/bo

e @

15

:1)

R / P

R / P

Sales Value /

Proved Reserves

(15:1)

(ratio) ($ / boe) ($ / mcfe)

8x $13.78 $0.92

10x $12.19 $0.81

15x $8.97 $0.60

20x $6.60 $0.44

Oil48%

Gas52%

LTM By Commodity

Public Company

45%

PE / PE-Backed

16%

Private11%

Other28%

LTM By Buyer Type

$10.8 $22.3

$14.5 $5.3 $2.1

$4.4

$8.8

$11.1

$57.6

$0.9

$15.3

$31.1 $25.6

$62.8

$2.9

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

402 736 554 90 53

Asset Corporate

Deal Count

The 10 Most Recent Asset Transactions Over $20 Million

A&D Valuation Trends(3)

Source: BMO Transaction Database, Baker Hughes, BMO Commodity Products Group, Bloomberg, PLS

1. Represents total enterprise value. 2. Calculated as percentage of total LTM transaction count (number of transactions, not dollar value).

3. 68 transactions from January 2015 to 2019 with transaction value >$20mm. Adjusted for changes in price outlooks. Recalculated boe reserves are on a 15:1

(gas:oil) basis. Acreage transactions excluded by using deals with PDP of >= 40% of total proved.

4. Year-to-date data is through this week’s date for each respective year.

(2) (2) (2)

Confirm number of transactions weekly --->

Deal Activity – YTD ($bn)(4)

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU] [TBU]

Page 3: Prompt Oil Price ($/bbl) $37.41 $3.70 11.0% Let’s follow these ...€¦ · 08-06-2020  · U.S. high yield funds reported an inflow of ~$6 billion ... • Presentation Linking and

3

June 8, 2020

6/4/2020

Appalachia 5

Ark-La-Tex 1

Bakken 1

Eagle Ford 4

Mid-Con --

Other 2

Permian 1

Rockies 1

15

Select Significant Deals on the Market

Disclaimer: The foregoing links are for convenience only and relate to materials that were not prepared or reviewed by BMO Capital Markets. BMO Capital Markets takes

no responsibility for and makes no representations with respect to the contents thereof. These materials may be inconsistent with the views of BMO Capital Markets.

Source of Select Significant Deals on the Market: BMO Transaction Database

Source of Headlines: Press releases

Industry Headlines

(Click headline to link to the full article)

M&A&D Headlines

Appalachia

4 Deals

Mid-Con

0 Deals

Eagle Ford

4 Deals

Permian

1 Deal

Other

2 Deals

Rockies

1 Deal

Bakken

1 Deal

Ark-La-Tex

1 Deal

BMO Deals (Status)

Siltstone Appalachia (In Market) – See page 6

Analysts Increase Oil Price Forecast

After Oil's Best Month Ever, These Are the Key

Themes to Watch

Putin and Trump Discuss OPEC+ Deal

China Leads the Global Oil Demand Recovery

Trump Administration Shelves More Oil and Gas

Lease Sales

U.S. and Australia Sign SPR Lease Agreement

Trump Rule Limits States from Blocking Pipeline

Projects

U.S. Renewables Energy Consumption Surpasses

Coal for the First Time in Over 130 Years

Black Stone Minerals Announces Asset Sale Totaling

$155 Million

Talos Energy Announces Full Year 2019 Operating

and Financial Guidance (includes A&D

announcement)

+ the EQT mineral/JV Deal

+ Antero ORRI deal

[TBU]

Page 4: Prompt Oil Price ($/bbl) $37.41 $3.70 11.0% Let’s follow these ...€¦ · 08-06-2020  · U.S. high yield funds reported an inflow of ~$6 billion ... • Presentation Linking and

4

June 8, 2020

Market Insight: Assessing the Impact on M&A Activity Levels During Crises

from 1998 to Present

Source: FactSet

Note: The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) is used as a proxy for equity volatility; ‘low volatility’ defined as periods with VIX levels below 20 and ‘high volatility’ defined as periods

with VIX levels above 20.

1. Aggregate North American transaction volumes and values over $50mm by quarter from 1998 to present.

2. Financial buyers as a percentage of total transactions. 3. Public sellers as a percentage of total corporate transactions; asset sales are excluded.

[TBU]

DEAL VOLUME BY QUARTER(1)

--

150

300

450

600

1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020

Dot Com

Bubble

Global

Financial

Crisis

9/11

Attack COVID-19

OPEC+

M&A activity has typically

rebounded within 2 to 4

quarters post crisis

299

251

Low Volatility High Volatility

DEALS PER QUARTER(1)

AVERAGE DEAL VALUE

(US$MM)

$916 $802

Low Volatility High Volatility

Fewer deals get done…

14%

11%

Low Volatility High Volatility

…and deals that do get done

are smaller

FINANCIAL BUYERS(1)(2) PUBLIC SELLERS(1)(3)

37%

46%

Low Volatility High Volatility

Financial buyers retrench due

to constrained access to

leverage

More public companies

become targets in part due to

observable distressed

valuation benchmarks vs.

private companies

Sharp decline in aggregate M&A deal volume and value during periods of high volatility is typically

followed by robust recovery when volatility subsides

Page 5: Prompt Oil Price ($/bbl) $37.41 $3.70 11.0% Let’s follow these ...€¦ · 08-06-2020  · U.S. high yield funds reported an inflow of ~$6 billion ... • Presentation Linking and

5

June 8, 2020

Historical Prices as of 04-Jun-20 Close ($/gal)

NGLs Current Last Wk. 6 Mo. Ago 1 Yr. Ago

Ethane $0.24 $0.24 $0.18 $0.21

Propane $0.51 $0.46 $0.53 $0.44

Butane $0.54 $0.47 $0.69 $0.40

Iso-butane $0.57 $0.49 $0.79 $0.52

Pentane+ $0.49 $0.49 $1.22 $1.02

NYMEX Gas Futures as of 04-Jun-20 Close ($/mmbtu)

Period(1) Current Last Wk. 6 Mo. Ago 1 Yr. Ago

12 Mo. Strip $2.43 $2.43 $2.33 $2.57

2020 $2.16 $2.16 $2.33 $2.63

2021 $2.64 $2.65 $2.44 $2.64

2022 $2.47 $2.49 $2.46 $2.63

2023 $2.42 $2.44 $2.51 $2.70

2024 $2.40 $2.43 $2.57 $2.81

NYMEX WTI Futures as of 04-Jun-20 Close ($/bbl) NYMEX Gas Futures as of 04-Jun-20 Close ($/mmbtu)

Period(1) Current Last Wk. 6 Mo. Ago 1 Yr. Ago

12 Mo. Strip $38.74 $35.58 $54.68 $53.23

2020 $38.08 $34.62 $54.68 $52.60

2021 $39.95 $37.31 $52.11 $51.48

2022 $41.92 $40.07 $51.14 $51.15

2023 $43.90 $42.59 $50.97 $51.39

2024 $45.91 $44.85 $51.21 $51.79

$10

$20

$30

$40

$50

$60

$70

Jun-19 Dec-19 Jun-20 Dec-20 Jun-21

($/b

bl)

$1

$2

$3

$4

$5

Jun-19 Dec-19 Jun-20 Dec-20 Jun-21

($/m

mb

tu)

25%

35%

45%

55%

65%

Jan-17 Jul-17 Jan-18 Jul-18 Jan-19 Jul-19 Jan-20

% o

f W

TI

NGL as % of WTI

NGL PRICING(2)

HENRY HUB NATURAL GAS (HISTORICAL / FORECAST)

Commodity Prices

Source: BMO Commodity Products Group, Bloomberg, FactSet

1. Future prices are calendar year average unless stated otherwise.

2. Assumes typical Gulf Coast barrel composition.

WTI OIL (HISTORICAL / FORECAST)

Links:

http://www.nasdaq.com/markets/crude-oil.aspx

http://www.bloomberg.com/quote/CL1:COM

http://www.nasdaq.com/markets/natural-gas.aspx

http://www.bloomberg.com/quote/NG1:COM

Link to Detailed

Futures Data

Link to Detailed

Historical Graph

Link to Detailed

Futures Data

Link to Detailed

Historical Graph

Historical Prices as of 28-May-20 Close ($/gal)NGLsCurrentLast Wk.6 Mo. Ago1 Yr. AgoEthane$0.24$0.23$0.19$0.24Propane$0.46$0.48$0.55$0.56Butane$0.47$0.50$0.71$0.54Iso-butane$0.49$0.51$0.82$0.63Pentane+$0.49$0.58$1.32$1.19

NYMEX Gas Futures as of 28-May-20 Close ($/mmbtu)Period(1)CurrentLast Wk.6 Mo. Ago1 Yr. Ago12 Mo. Strip$2.43$2.36$2.40$2.692020$2.16$2.11$2.40$2.692021$2.65$2.64$2.47$2.672022$2.49$2.49$2.48$2.662023$2.44$2.41$2.53$2.732024$2.43$2.39$2.58$2.84

NYMEX WTI Futures as of 28-May-20 Close ($/bbl)NYMEX Gas Futures as of 28-May-20 Close ($/mmbtu)Period(1)CurrentLast Wk.6 Mo. Ago1 Yr. Ago12 Mo. Strip$35.58$35.68$56.51$58.722020$34.62$34.89$56.51$57.672021$37.31$37.03$53.40$55.322022$40.07$39.15$51.98$54.002023$42.59$41.26$51.50$53.492024$44.85$43.33$51.51$53.58

Historical Prices as of 28-May-20 Close ($/gal)NGLsCurrentLast Wk.6 Mo. Ago1 Yr. AgoEthane$0.24$0.23$0.19$0.24Propane$0.46$0.48$0.55$0.56Butane$0.47$0.50$0.71$0.54Iso-butane$0.49$0.51$0.82$0.63Pentane+$0.49$0.58$1.32$1.19

NYMEX Gas Futures as of 28-May-20 Close ($/mmbtu)Period(1)CurrentLast Wk.6 Mo. Ago1 Yr. Ago12 Mo. Strip$2.43$2.36$2.40$2.692020$2.16$2.11$2.40$2.692021$2.65$2.64$2.47$2.672022$2.49$2.49$2.48$2.662023$2.44$2.41$2.53$2.732024$2.43$2.39$2.58$2.84

NYMEX WTI Futures as of 28-May-20 Close ($/bbl)NYMEX Gas Futures as of 28-May-20 Close ($/mmbtu)Period(1)CurrentLast Wk.6 Mo. Ago1 Yr. Ago12 Mo. Strip$35.58$35.68$56.51$58.722020$34.62$34.89$56.51$57.672021$37.31$37.03$53.40$55.322022$40.07$39.15$51.98$54.002023$42.59$41.26$51.50$53.492024$44.85$43.33$51.51$53.58

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

Page 6: Prompt Oil Price ($/bbl) $37.41 $3.70 11.0% Let’s follow these ...€¦ · 08-06-2020  · U.S. high yield funds reported an inflow of ~$6 billion ... • Presentation Linking and

6

June 8, 2020

Clearbrook

Midland

Cushing

St. James

(LLS)

East Coast

U.S. (Brent)

Midland Sweet-

Sour Spread

EMS

AECO

Northern

California

Sumas

Southern

California

El Paso - SJ

Waha

HSC

Henry Hub

Panhandle

CIG Chicago

Dominion

Transco

NATURAL GAS PRICING & DIFFERENTIALS TO HENRY HUB ($ / MMBTU) – AS OF 4-JUN-20

Commodity Prices (cont’d)

OIL PRICING & DIFFERENTIALS TO CUSHING WTI ($ / BBL) – AS OF 4-JUN-20

Legend

Price

Diff.

Legend

Price

Diff.

Source: BMO Commodity Products Group, Bloomberg

Note: Prices and differentials are for prompt month futures except for Clearbrook which is based on spot prices.

MAPS IN

MASTER VIEW

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

$1.82

$1.40

($0.42)

$34.41

($3.00)

$1.56

($0.26)

$1.61

($0.21)

$38.80

$1.39

$1.75

($0.07)

$2.02

$0.20

$1.62

($0.20)

$1.78

($0.04)

$2.55

$0.73

$39.99

$2.58

$37.41

($0.57)

$37.38

($0.03)

$1.62

($0.20)

$1.82

--

$1.47

($0.35)

$1.56

($0.26)

$35.26

($2.15)

Page 7: Prompt Oil Price ($/bbl) $37.41 $3.70 11.0% Let’s follow these ...€¦ · 08-06-2020  · U.S. high yield funds reported an inflow of ~$6 billion ... • Presentation Linking and

7

June 8, 2020

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

--

100

200

300

400

500

Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17 Jan-18 Jan-19 Jan-20

H V+D % of Total Rigs

Item Value Wkly Change Last Week Item Value Wkly Change Last Week

Rig Count 141 (7) 148 Oil Differential ($0.10) ($0.75) $0.65

Permitting Activity 64 9 55 Gas Differential ($0.25) $0.08 ($0.33)

900784 753

596

851 744803

966843

706

544

295

44

Jun-19 Aug-19 Oct-19 Dec-19 Feb-20 Apr-20 Jun-20

H V+D

-$4.80

-$3.20

-$1.60

$0.00

$1.60

Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17 Jan-18 Jan-19 Jan-20

-$18.00

-$12.00

-$6.00

$0.00

$6.00

$ /

mm

btu

$ /

bb

l

Midland Waha

Ann'd

Date Buyer Seller Asset Description Value(1)

Proved

Multiple

Prod.

Multiple Net Acres

($mm) ($/boe) ($/boe/d) ($/acre)(2)

04-Jun-20 Undisclosed Buyer Black Stone Minerals Midland Basin mineral and royalty assets $55 n.a. n.a. nmf

04-Jun-20 Pegasus Resources LLC Black Stone Minerals Multi-Permian mineral and royalty assets $100 n.a. n.a. nmf

14-Apr-20 Undisclosed Buyer Ring Energy 19,998 net acres in Delaware Basin $32 $3.15 $34,615 $1,575

31-Mar-20 Viper Energy Partners Undisclosed Sellers 410 net royalty acres in Permian Basin $63 n.a. n.a. nmf

14-Feb-20 Undisclosed Buyer Lilis Energy Inc 1,185 net acres in Delaware Basin $25 n.a. n.a. $21,013

Mean $55 $3.15 $34,615 $11,294

Median $55 $3.15 $34,615 $11,294

Blue = BMO provided transaction advisory services Green = BMO provided acquisition financing or related services

Purple = BMO provided both transaction advisory services and acquisition financing or related services

4,000

8,000

12,000

16,000

20,000

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

Jan-15 Oct-15 Jul-16 Apr-17 Jan-18 Oct-18 Jul-19

mm

cf/

d

mb

bl/

d

Oil Gas4,666

16,505

--

$20,000

$40,000

$60,000

$80,000

1Q

15

2Q

15

3Q

15

4Q

15

1Q

16

2Q

16

3Q

16

4Q

16

1Q

17

2Q

17

3Q

17

4Q

17

1Q

18

2Q

18

3Q

18

4Q

18

1Q

19

2Q

19

3Q

19

4Q

19

1Q

20

2Q

20

1 2 8 8 6 6 121315 7 2 2 7 2 5 4 1 2 0 3 0 2

$ /

acre

# Deals

$23,957

--

$50,000

$100,000

$150,000

$200,000

1Q

15

2Q

15

3Q

15

4Q

15

1Q

16

2Q

16

3Q

16

4Q

16

1Q

17

2Q

17

3Q

17

4Q

17

1Q

18

2Q

18

3Q

18

4Q

18

1Q

19

2Q

19

3Q

19

4Q

19

1Q

20

2Q

20

1 2 6 9 5 7 11 9 9 6 1 0 7 2 5 4 1 2 4 3 0 1

$ /

bo

e/d

# Deals

$86,402

TRANSACTION ACTIVITY (EXCLUDES CORPORATE DEALS)

TRANSACTION PRODUCTION MULTIPLES(3) TRANSACTION ADJUSTED NET ACRE MULTIPLES(3,4)

PERMITTING ACTIVITY BY MONTH

DIFFERENTIALS

Permian Snapshot

RIG COUNT

Source: BMO Transaction Database, Baker Hughes, BMO Commodity Products Group, Bloomberg, Drilling Info, PLS

Note: Current quarter’s data is through the week covered by this issue.

1. Represents total enterprise value. Excludes transactions with deal value <$20 million. 2. $/acre multiple not adjusted for value associated with production.

3. Red line denotes average since 01-Jan-18. Calculated as the weighted average of each quarter’s transactions.

4. Production valued at $45,000/boepd in 2014, $30,000/boepd in 2015, $35,000/boepd in 2016 & 2017, $40,000/boepd in 2018 & 2019, and $30,000/boepd in 2020.

GROSS PRODUCTION (THROUGH 31-JAN-20)

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU] [TBU]

[TBU] [TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

Page 8: Prompt Oil Price ($/bbl) $37.41 $3.70 11.0% Let’s follow these ...€¦ · 08-06-2020  · U.S. high yield funds reported an inflow of ~$6 billion ... • Presentation Linking and

8

June 8, 2020

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

--

100

200

300

Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17 Jan-18 Jan-19 Jan-20

H V+D % of Total Rigs

Item Value Wkly Change Last Week Item Value Wkly Change Last Week

Rig Count 17 (8) 25 Oil Differential $1.10 ($0.65) $1.75

Permitting Activity 5 (1) 6 Gas Differential $0.01 $0.04 ($0.03)

222

173201 192

221 204 204

302

170 180

7843

5

Jun-19 Aug-19 Oct-19 Dec-19 Feb-20 Apr-20 Jun-20

H V+D

-$0.30

-$0.20

-$0.10

$0.00

$0.10

$0.20

$0.30

$0.40

$0.50

Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17 Jan-18 Jan-19 Jan-20

-$6.00

-$4.00

-$2.00

$0.00

$2.00

$4.00

$6.00

$8.00

$10.00

$ /

mm

btu

$ /

bb

l

MEH HSC

6,000

6,500

7,000

7,500

8,000

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

1,800

Jan-15 Oct-15 Jul-16 Apr-17 Jan-18 Oct-18 Jul-19

mm

cf/

d

mb

bl/

d

Oil Gas

1,411

7,383

Ann'd

Date Buyer Seller Asset Description Value(1)

Proved

Multiple

Prod.

Multiple Net Acres

($mm) ($/boe) ($/boe/d) ($/acre)(2)

21-Feb-20 Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp Undisclosed Seller Non-op Eagle Ford assets $71 n.a. $39,176 n.a.

12-Nov-19 Kimbell Royalty Partners Buckhorn Resources 400 net royalty acres in Eagle Ford $32 n.a. $117,752 nmf

07-Nov-19 Repsol Equinor 100% ownership in former Eagle Ford JV $325 n.a. $9,559 $7,476

06-Nov-19 Marathon Rocky Creek & Delago 18,000 net acres in Eagle Ford $185 n.a. $26,429 $10,278

17-Jul-19 Undisclosed Buyer Sundance Energy 6,100 net acres in Dimmit County $30 n.a. $28,069 $4,836

Mean $129 n.a. $44,197 $7,530

Median $71 n.a. $28,069 $7,476

Blue = BMO provided transaction advisory services Green = BMO provided acquisition financing or related services

Purple = BMO provided both transaction advisory services and acquisition financing or related services

--$10,000$20,000$30,000$40,000$50,000$60,000

1Q

15

2Q

15

3Q

15

4Q

15

1Q

16

2Q

16

3Q

16

4Q

16

1Q

17

2Q

17

3Q

17

4Q

17

1Q

18

2Q

18

3Q

18

4Q

18

1Q

19

2Q

19

3Q

19

4Q

19

1Q

20

0 1 2 1 2 2 0 4 2 3 1 2 4 2 1 3 0 0 0 0 0

$ /

acre

# Deals

$8,045

--

$50,000

$100,000

$150,000

1Q

15

2Q

15

3Q

15

4Q

15

1Q

16

2Q

16

3Q

16

4Q

16

1Q

17

2Q

17

3Q

17

4Q

17

1Q

18

2Q

18

3Q

18

4Q

18

1Q

19

2Q

19

3Q

19

4Q

19

1Q

20

1 1 3 1 2 2 2 4 4 3 1 2 7 2 0 3 0 0 1 3 1

$ /

bo

e/d

# Deals

$64,626

Eagle Ford Snapshot

TRANSACTION ACTIVITY (EXCLUDES CORPORATE DEALS)

PERMITTING ACTIVITY BY MONTH

DIFFERENTIALS RIG COUNT

Source: BMO Transaction Database, Baker Hughes, BMO Commodity Products Group, Bloomberg, Drilling Info, PLS

Note: Current quarter’s data is through the week covered by this issue.

1. Represents total enterprise value. Excludes transactions with deal value <$20 million. 2. $/acre multiple not adjusted for value associated with production.

3. Red line denotes average since 01-Jan-18. Calculated as the weighted average of each quarter’s transactions.

4. Production valued at $45,000/boepd in 2014, $30,000/boepd in 2015, $35,000/boepd in 2016 & 2017, $40,000/boepd in 2018 & 2019, and $30,000/boepd in 2020.

TRANSACTION PRODUCTION MULTIPLES(3) TRANSACTION ADJUSTED NET ACRE MULTIPLES(3,4)

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

GROSS PRODUCTION (THROUGH 31-JAN-20)

[TBU]

Page 9: Prompt Oil Price ($/bbl) $37.41 $3.70 11.0% Let’s follow these ...€¦ · 08-06-2020  · U.S. high yield funds reported an inflow of ~$6 billion ... • Presentation Linking and

9

June 8, 2020

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

--

20

40

60

80

Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17 Jan-18 Jan-19 Jan-20

H V+D % of Total Rigs

Item Value Wkly Change Last Week Item Value Wkly Change Last Week

Rig Count 31 (1) 32 Oil Differential $1.30 ($0.45) $1.75

Permitting Activity 11 6 5 Gas Differential -- -- --

-$10.00

-$5.00

$0.00

$5.00

$10.00

Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17 Jan-18 Jan-19 Jan-20

-$10.00

-$5.00

$0.00

$5.00

$10.00

$ /

mm

btu

$ /

bb

l

LLS Henry Hub

93112

200219

100

166

81 81 77 6839 32

8

Jun-19 Aug-19 Oct-19 Dec-19 Feb-20 Apr-20 Jun-20

H V+D

5,000

6,500

8,000

9,500

11,000

12,500

14,000

60

70

80

90

100

110

120

Jan-15 Oct-15 Jul-16 Apr-17 Jan-18 Oct-18 Jul-19

mm

cf/

d

mb

bl/

d

Oil Gas

75

12,743

Ann'd

Date Buyer Seller Asset Description Value(1)

Proved

Multiple

Prod.

Multiple Net Acres

($mm) ($/mcfe) ($/mcfe/d) ($/acre)(2)

20-Dec-19 Undisclosed Buyer Riviera Operating LLC 75,873 net acres in East Texas $34 $0.17 $1,213 $448

29-Jul-19 Osaka Gas Sabine Oil & Gas Corp 175,000 net acres in East TX $610 n.a. $2,905 $9,136

19-Dec-18 Comstock Shelby Shale LLC 6,023 net acres in Haynesville $21 n.a. n.a. $3,404

19-Nov-18 Aethon III QEP Resources Inc 49,700 net acres in Haynesville $735 $0.77 $2,475 $14,789

05-Sep-18 Viking Energy Group Multiple Sellers Texas and Louisiana assets $100 n.a. n.a. n.a.

Mean $300 $0.47 $2,198 $6,944

Median $100 $0.47 $2,475 $6,270

Blue = BMO provided transaction advisory services Green = BMO provided acquisition financing or related services

Purple = BMO provided both transaction advisory services and acquisition financing or related services

--

$5,000

$10,000

$15,000

$20,000

1Q

15

2Q

15

3Q

15

4Q

15

1Q

16

2Q

16

3Q

16

4Q

16

1Q

17

2Q

17

3Q

17

4Q

17

1Q

18

2Q

18

3Q

18

4Q

18

1Q

19

2Q

19

3Q

19

4Q

19

1Q

20

0 0 3 1 1 2 1 3 0 1 2 0 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 0 0

$ /

acre

# Deals

$3,180

--$2,000$4,000$6,000$8,000

$10,000$12,000

1Q

15

2Q

15

3Q

15

4Q

15

1Q

16

2Q

16

3Q

16

4Q

16

1Q

17

2Q

17

3Q

17

4Q

17

1Q

18

2Q

18

3Q

18

4Q

18

1Q

19

2Q

19

3Q

19

4Q

19

1Q

20

0 0 5 1 1 3 2 3 0 2 2 0 1 1 2 1 0 1 1 1 0

$ /

mcfe

/d

# Deals

$3,983

Ark-La-Tex Snapshot

TRANSACTION ACTIVITY (EXCLUDES CORPORATE DEALS)

PERMITTING ACTIVITY BY MONTH

DIFFERENTIALS RIG COUNT

Source: BMO Transaction Database, Baker Hughes, BMO Commodity Products Group, Bloomberg, Drilling Info, PLS

Note: Current quarter’s data is through the week covered by this issue.

1. Represents total enterprise value. Excludes transactions with deal value <$20 million. 2. $/acre multiple not adjusted for value associated with production.

3. Red line denotes average since 01-Jan-18. Calculated as the weighted average of each quarter’s transactions.

4. Production valued at $3,000/mcfepd in 2014, and $2,000/mcfepd in 2015, 2016, 2017, 2018, 2019, and 2020.

TRANSACTION PRODUCTION MULTIPLES(3) TRANSACTION ADJUSTED NET ACRE MULTIPLES(3,4)

GROSS PRODUCTION (THROUGH 31-JAN-20)

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

Page 10: Prompt Oil Price ($/bbl) $37.41 $3.70 11.0% Let’s follow these ...€¦ · 08-06-2020  · U.S. high yield funds reported an inflow of ~$6 billion ... • Presentation Linking and

10

June 8, 2020

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

--

50

100

150

Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17 Jan-18 Jan-19 Jan-20

H V+D % of Total Rigs

Item Value Wkly Change Last Week Item Value Wkly Change Last Week

Rig Count 37 -- 37 Oil Differential $2.58 $1.00 $1.58

Permitting Activity 2 (11) 13 Gas Differential ($0.42) $0.04 ($0.47)

-$3.00

-$2.00

-$1.00

$0.00

$1.00

$2.00

$3.00

Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17 Jan-18 Jan-19 Jan-20

-$15.00

-$10.00

-$5.00

$0.00

$5.00

$10.00

$15.00

$ /

mm

btu

$ /

bb

l

Brent Dominion

335 348302 295

258232

188157

226253

176

92

0

Jun-19 Aug-19 Oct-19 Dec-19 Feb-20 Apr-20 Jun-20

H V+D

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

80

100

120

140

160

Jan-15 Oct-15 Jul-16 Apr-17 Jan-18 Oct-18 Jul-19

mm

cf/

d

mb

bl/

d

Oil Gas

149

33,464

Ann'd

Date Buyer Seller Asset Description Value(1)

Proved

Multiple

Prod.

Multiple Net Acres

($mm) ($/mcfe) ($/mcfe/d) ($/acre)(2)

11-May-20 Diversified Gas & Oil EQT Appalachia Basin asset in PA and WV $125 $0.43 $2,315 n.a.

04-May-20 National Fuel Gas Shell 450,000 net acres in Appalachia $541 $0.76 $2,164 $1,202

08-Apr-20 Diversified Gas & Oil Carbon Energy Corp (USA) 1,553,754 net acres in Appalachia $110 $0.25 $1,852 $71

24-Jan-20 KeyBank EdgeMarc Energy Holdings 32,217 net acres in Pennsylvania $70 $0.09 $801 $2,163

19-Dec-19 Undisclosed Buyer Gulfport Energy Corp Non-op Utica assets $29 n.a. n.a. n.a.

Mean $175 $0.38 $1,783 $1,145

Median $110 $0.34 $2,008 $1,202

Blue = BMO provided transaction advisory services Green = BMO provided acquisition financing or related services

Purple = BMO provided both transaction advisory services and acquisition financing or related services

--$5,000

$10,000$15,000$20,000$25,000$30,000

1Q

15

2Q

15

3Q

15

4Q

15

1Q

16

2Q

16

3Q

16

4Q

16

1Q

17

2Q

17

3Q

17

4Q

17

1Q

18

2Q

18

3Q

18

4Q

18

1Q

19

2Q

19

3Q

19

4Q

19

1Q

20

2Q

20

0 1 0 0 1 2 2 3 2 5 1 4 3 4 3 1 1 0 2 1 1 3

$ /

mcfe

/d

# Deals

$4,722

--$2,000$4,000$6,000$8,000

$10,000$12,000

1Q

15

2Q

15

3Q

15

4Q

15

1Q

16

2Q

16

3Q

16

4Q

16

1Q

17

2Q

17

3Q

17

4Q

17

1Q

18

2Q

18

3Q

18

4Q

18

1Q

19

2Q

19

3Q

19

4Q

19

1Q

20

2Q

20

0 1 0 0 1 2 2 4 2 4 1 3 1 3 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 1

$ /

acre

# Deals

$497

Appalachia Snapshot

TRANSACTION ACTIVITY (EXCLUDES CORPORATE DEALS)

PERMITTING ACTIVITY BY MONTH

DIFFERENTIALS RIG COUNT

Source: BMO Transaction Database, Baker Hughes, BMO Commodity Products Group, Bloomberg, Drilling Info, PLS

Note: Current quarter’s data is through the week covered by this issue.

1. Represents total enterprise value. Excludes transactions with deal value <$20 million. 2. $/acre multiple not adjusted for value associated with production.

3. Red line denotes average since 01-Jan-18. Calculated as the weighted average of each quarter’s transactions.

4. Production valued at $3,000/mcfepd in 2014, and $2,000/mcfepd in 2015, 2016, 2017, 2018, 2019, and 2020.

TRANSACTION PRODUCTION MULTIPLES(3) TRANSACTION ADJUSTED NET ACRE MULTIPLES(3,4)

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

GROSS PRODUCTION (THROUGH 31-DEC-19)

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

Page 11: Prompt Oil Price ($/bbl) $37.41 $3.70 11.0% Let’s follow these ...€¦ · 08-06-2020  · U.S. high yield funds reported an inflow of ~$6 billion ... • Presentation Linking and

11

June 8, 2020

Item Value Wkly Change Last Week Item Value Wkly Change Last Week

Rig Count 12 -- 12 Oil Differential ($2.15) ($0.90) ($1.25)

Permitting Activity 4 (6) 10 Gas Differential ($0.19) $0.10 ($0.29)

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

--

50

100

150

200

Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17 Jan-18 Jan-19 Jan-20

H V+D % of Total Rigs

-$1.00

-$0.50

$0.00

$0.50

Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17 Jan-18 Jan-19 Jan-20

-$20.00

-$10.00

$0.00

$10.00

$ /

mm

btu

$ /

bb

l

Clearbrook CIG

144 154138

110

157

8380 78

67 76 67 61

1

Jun-19 Aug-19 Oct-19 Dec-19 Feb-20 Apr-20 Jun-20

H V+D

1,500

1,800

2,100

2,400

2,700

3,000

3,300

3,600

900

1,000

1,100

1,200

1,300

1,400

1,500

1,600

Jan-15 Oct-15 Jul-16 Apr-17 Jan-18 Oct-18 Jul-19

mm

cf/

d

mb

bl/

d

Oil Gas 1,432

3,081

Ann'd

Date Buyer Seller Asset Description Value(1)

Proved

Multiple

Prod.

Multiple Net Acres

($mm) ($/boe) ($/boe/d) ($/acre)(2)

22-Apr-19 Northern Oil and Gas Flywheel Energy LLC 18,000 net acres in Williston Basin $310 n.a. $47,014 $17,238

31-Jul-18 Northern Oil and Gas W Energy Partners 10,600 net acres in Williston Basin $288 n.a. $42,708 $27,196

18-Jul-18 Northern Oil and Gas Pivotal Petroleum Partners LP Producing assets in Williston Basin $152 n.a. $37,032 n.a.

12-Jul-18 PetroShale Inc Slawson Exploration Co 1,981 net acres in Williston Basin $55 $6.04 $100,000 $27,764

06-Jul-18 Energy Resources 12 LP Bruin E&P Partners LLC 2.8% non-operated WI in Bakken assets $83 n.a. n.a. n.a.

Mean $178 $6.04 $56,688 $24,066

Median $152 $6.04 $44,861 $27,196

Blue = BMO provided transaction advisory services Green = BMO provided acquisition financing or related services

Purple = BMO provided both transaction advisory services and acquisition financing or related services

--

$20,000

$40,000

$60,000

$80,000

1Q

15

2Q

15

3Q

15

4Q

15

1Q

16

2Q

16

3Q

16

4Q

16

1Q

17

2Q

17

3Q

17

4Q

17

1Q

18

2Q

18

3Q

18

4Q

18

1Q

19

2Q

19

3Q

19

4Q

19

1Q

20

0 1 1 4 0 2 3 3 0 1 3 3 0 6 3 0 0 1 0 0 0

$ /

bo

e/d

# Deals

$45,752

--

$5,000

$10,000

$15,000

$20,000

$25,000

1Q

15

2Q

15

3Q

15

4Q

15

1Q

16

2Q

16

3Q

16

4Q

16

1Q

17

2Q

17

3Q

17

4Q

17

1Q

18

2Q

18

3Q

18

4Q

18

1Q

19

2Q

19

3Q

19

4Q

19

1Q

20

0 0 1 2 0 0 2 3 1 0 3 2 0 5 2 0 0 1 0 0 0

$ /

acre

# Deals

$1,751

Bakken Snapshot

TRANSACTION ACTIVITY (EXCLUDES CORPORATE DEALS)

PERMITTING ACTIVITY BY MONTH

DIFFERENTIALS RIG COUNT

Source: BMO Transaction Database, Baker Hughes, BMO Commodity Products Group, Bloomberg, Drilling Info, PLS

Note: Current quarter’s data is through the week covered by this issue.

1. Represents total enterprise value. Excludes transactions with deal value <$20 million. 2. $/acre multiple not adjusted for value associated with production.

3. Red line denotes average since 01-Jan-18. Calculated as the weighted average of each quarter’s transactions.

4. Production valued at $45,000/boepd in 2014, $30,000/boepd in 2015, $35,000/boepd in 2016 & 2017, $40,000/boepd in 2018 & 2019, and $30,000/boepd in 2020.

TRANSACTION PRODUCTION MULTIPLES(3) TRANSACTION ADJUSTED NET ACRE MULTIPLES(3,4)

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

GROSS PRODUCTION (THROUGH 31-JAN-20)

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

Page 12: Prompt Oil Price ($/bbl) $37.41 $3.70 11.0% Let’s follow these ...€¦ · 08-06-2020  · U.S. high yield funds reported an inflow of ~$6 billion ... • Presentation Linking and

12

June 8, 2020

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

--

50

100

150

Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17 Jan-18 Jan-19 Jan-20

H V+D % of Total Rigs

Item Value Wkly Change Last Week Item Value Wkly Change Last Week

Rig Count 7 (1) 8 Oil Differential ($2.15) ($0.90) ($1.25)

Permitting Activity 54 28 26 Gas Differential ($0.19) $0.10 ($0.29)

Ann'd

Date Buyer Seller Asset Description Value(1)

Proved

Multiple

Prod.

Multiple Net Acres

($mm) ($/boe) ($/boe/d) ($/acre)(2)

11-May-20 Morning Star Oil Co Southland Royalty Co 205,000 net acres in San Juan Basin $53 n.a. $3,635 $260

31-Jan-20 Undisclosed Buyer ConocoPhillips 98,000 net acres in DJ Basin $380 $27.14 $34,545 $3,878

09-Dec-19 YTEF Drilling Capital LLC Bayswater E&P LLC DJ Basin JV $125 n.a. n.a. n.a.

03-Sep-19 Undisclosed Buyer Crescent Point 224,000 net undeveloped acres in Uinta $525 n.a. $32,051 $2,344

14-Feb-19 Undisclosed Buyer Harvest Oil & Gas Corp San Juan Basin assets $43 $1.57 $10,835 n.a.

Mean $225 $14.36 $20,267 $2,160

Median $125 $14.36 $21,443 $2,344

Blue = BMO provided transaction advisory services Green = BMO provided acquisition financing or related services

Purple = BMO provided both transaction advisory services and acquisition financing or related services

-$1.00

-$0.50

$0.00

$0.50

Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17 Jan-18 Jan-19 Jan-20

-$20.00

-$10.00

$0.00

$10.00

$ /

mm

btu

$ /

bb

l

Clearbrook CIG

--$20,000$40,000$60,000$80,000

$100,000$120,000

1Q

15

2Q

15

3Q

15

4Q

15

1Q

16

2Q

16

3Q

16

4Q

16

1Q

17

2Q

17

3Q

17

4Q

17

1Q

18

2Q

18

3Q

18

4Q

18

1Q

19

2Q

19

3Q

19

4Q

19

1Q

20

2Q

20

2 0 4 4 1 6 2 0 1 6 3 9 3 1 3 1 1 0 2 0 1 1

$ /

bo

e/d

# Deals

$33,614

--

$5,000

$10,000

$15,000

$20,000

1Q

15

2Q

15

3Q

15

4Q

15

1Q

16

2Q

16

3Q

16

4Q

16

1Q

17

2Q

17

3Q

17

4Q

17

1Q

18

2Q

18

3Q

18

4Q

18

1Q

19

2Q

19

3Q

19

4Q

19

1Q

20

2Q

20

0 0 3 3 0 1 1 0 1 0 1 5 2 0 2 1 0 0 0 0 1 0

$ /

acre

# Deals

$2,069

306 286

434

327297

168 213268

199

286

210 225

10

Jun-19 Aug-19 Oct-19 Dec-19 Feb-20 Apr-20 Jun-20

H V+D

13,000

13,500

14,000

14,500

15,000

15,500

500

600

700

800

900

1,000

Jan-15 Oct-15 Jul-16 Apr-17 Jan-18 Oct-18 Jul-19

mm

cf/

d

mb

bl/

d

Oil Gas962

13,944

TRANSACTION ACTIVITY (EXCLUDES CORPORATE DEALS)

PERMITTING ACTIVITY BY MONTH

DIFFERENTIALS

Rockies (excl. Bakken) Snapshot

RIG COUNT

Source: BMO Transaction Database, Baker Hughes, BMO Commodity Products Group, Bloomberg, Drilling Info, PLS

Note: Current quarter’s data is through the week covered by this issue.

1. Represents total enterprise value. Excludes transactions with deal value <$20 million. 2. $/acre multiple not adjusted for value associated with production.

3. Red line denotes average since 01-Jan-18. Calculated as the weighted average of each quarter’s transactions.

4. Production valued at $45,000/boepd in 2014, $30,000/boepd in 2015, $35,000/boepd in 2016 & 2017, $40,000/boepd in 2018 & 2019, and $30,000/boepd in 2020.

TRANSACTION PRODUCTION MULTIPLES(3) TRANSACTION ADJUSTED NET ACRE MULTIPLES(3,4)

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

GROSS PRODUCTION (THROUGH 31-JAN-20)

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

Page 13: Prompt Oil Price ($/bbl) $37.41 $3.70 11.0% Let’s follow these ...€¦ · 08-06-2020  · U.S. high yield funds reported an inflow of ~$6 billion ... • Presentation Linking and

13

June 8, 2020

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

--

100

200

300

400

Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17 Jan-18 Jan-19 Jan-20

H V+D % of Total Rigs

Item Value Wkly Change Last Week Item Value Wkly Change Last Week

Rig Count 14 (1) 15 Oil Differential -- -- --

Permitting Activity 11 (3) 14 Gas Differential ($0.22) $0.03 ($0.25)

-$1.00

-$0.75

-$0.50

-$0.25

$0.00

$0.25

Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17 Jan-18 Jan-19 Jan-20

-$1.00

-$0.75

-$0.50

-$0.25

$0.00

$0.25

$ /

mm

btu

$ /

bb

l

Cushing Panhandle

374 354327 348 344 347

296286 257

193

73 79

7

Jun-19 Aug-19 Oct-19 Dec-19 Feb-20 Apr-20 Jun-20

H V+D

12,000

13,200

14,400

15,600

16,800

18,000

600

650

700

750

800

850

Jan-15 Oct-15 Jul-16 Apr-17 Jan-18 Oct-18 Jul-19

mm

cf/

d

mb

bl/

d

Oil Gas778

13,949

Ann'd

Date Buyer Seller Asset Description Value(1)

Proved

Multiple

Prod.

Multiple Net Acres

($mm) ($/boe) ($/boe/d) ($/acre)(2)

03-Apr-20 BCE-Mach III LLC Alta Mesa Resources 130,000 net acres in STACK $160 $2.22 $5,317 $1,227

10-Dec-19 Dow Devon Energy STACK Basin JV $100 n.a. n.a. n.a.

27-Sep-19 Contango White Star Petroleum LLC 314,800 net acres in Mid-Con $133 $1.57 $8,833 $421

12-Sep-19 Contango Will Energy Corporation TX Panhandle, W. Anadarko, and N.LA $23 n.a. $16,429 $144

28-Aug-19 Scout Energy Partners Riviera Resources Inc Hugoton Basin assets $295 $2.30 $17,020 $295

Mean $142 $2.03 $11,900 $522

Median $133 $2.22 $12,631 $358

Blue = BMO provided transaction advisory services Green = BMO provided acquisition financing or related services

Purple = BMO provided both transaction advisory services and acquisition financing or related services

--

$50,000

$100,000

$150,000

$200,000

1Q

15

2Q

15

3Q

15

4Q

15

1Q

16

2Q

16

3Q

16

4Q

16

1Q

17

2Q

17

3Q

17

4Q

17

1Q

18

2Q

18

3Q

18

4Q

18

1Q

19

2Q

19

3Q

19

4Q

19

1Q

20

2Q

20

1 4 1 3 1 6 3 1 4 2 4 5 2 2 5 4 2 0 4 2 0 1

$ /

bo

e/d

# Deals

$18,742

--

$5,000

$10,000

$15,000

$20,000

1Q

15

2Q

15

3Q

15

4Q

15

1Q

16

2Q

16

3Q

16

4Q

16

1Q

17

2Q

17

3Q

17

4Q

17

1Q

18

2Q

18

3Q

18

4Q

18

1Q

19

2Q

19

3Q

19

4Q

19

1Q

20

1 3 1 2 0 3 3 2 4 1 2 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0

$ /

acre

# Deals

$4,284

Mid-Continent Snapshot

TRANSACTION ACTIVITY (EXCLUDES CORPORATE DEALS)

PERMITTING ACTIVITY BY MONTH

DIFFERENTIALS RIG COUNT

Source: BMO Transaction Database, Baker Hughes, BMO Commodity Products Group, Bloomberg, Drilling Info, PLS

Note: Current quarter’s data is through the week covered by this issue.

1. Represents total enterprise value. Excludes transactions with deal value <$20 million. 2. $/acre multiple not adjusted for value associated with production.

3. Red line denotes average since 01-Jan-18. Calculated as the weighted average of each quarter’s transactions.

4. Production valued at $45,000/boepd in 2014, $30,000/boepd in 2015, $35,000/boepd in 2016 & 2017, $40,000/boepd in 2018 & 2019, and $30,000/boepd in 2020.

TRANSACTION PRODUCTION MULTIPLES(3) TRANSACTION ADJUSTED NET ACRE MULTIPLES(3,4)

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

GROSS PRODUCTION (THROUGH 31-DEC-19)

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

Page 14: Prompt Oil Price ($/bbl) $37.41 $3.70 11.0% Let’s follow these ...€¦ · 08-06-2020  · U.S. high yield funds reported an inflow of ~$6 billion ... • Presentation Linking and

14

June 8, 2020

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

--

10

20

30

40

Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17 Jan-18 Jan-19 Jan-20

Deep Water Shelf % of Total Rigs

Item Value Wkly Change Last Week Item Value Wkly Change Last Week

Rig Count 13 1 12 Oil Differential $1.30 ($0.45) $1.75

Permitting Activity 4 (7) 11 Gas Differential -- -- --

-$10.00

-$5.00

$0.00

$5.00

$10.00

Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17 Jan-18 Jan-19 Jan-20

-$10.00

-$5.00

$0.00

$5.00

$10.00

$ /

mm

btu

$ /

bb

l

LLS Henry Hub

2730

28

21 22 21

16

22 22 21

11

23

3

Jun-19 Aug-19 Oct-19 Dec-19 Feb-20 Apr-20 Jun-20

Ann'd

Date Buyer Seller Asset Description Value(2)

Proved

Multiple

Prod.

Multiple Net Acres

($mm) ($/boe) ($/boe/d) ($/acre)(3)

12-Dec-19 W&T Offshore ConocoPhillips Deepwater GOM assets $20 $4.88 $8,696 n.a.

10-Dec-19 Talos Energy Multiple GOM assets and exploration prospects $640 $14.71 $33,684 n.a.

27-Jun-19 W&T Offshore ExxonMobil Mobile Bay assets $200 $2.70 $10,101 n.a.

13-May-19 Equinor Shell 22.45% WI in Caesar-Tonga Field $965 n.a. $60,313 n.a.

23-Apr-19 Murphy LLOG Bluewater LLC Mississippi Canyon & Green Canyon $1,375 $20.83 $36,184 n.a.

Mean $640 $10.78 $29,796 n.a.

Median $640 $9.79 $33,684 n.a.

Blue = BMO provided transaction advisory services Green = BMO provided acquisition financing or related services

Purple = BMO provided both transaction advisory services and acquisition financing or related services

--

$10

$20

$30

$40

1Q

15

2Q

15

3Q

15

4Q

15

1Q

16

2Q

16

3Q

16

4Q

16

1Q

17

2Q

17

3Q

17

4Q

17

1Q

18

2Q

18

3Q

18

4Q

18

1Q

19

2Q

19

3Q

19

4Q

19

1Q

20

0 0 1 0 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 0 1 1 2 0 2 0

$ /

bo

e

# Deals

$15.86

--

$15,000

$30,000

$45,000

$60,000

1Q

15

2Q

15

3Q

15

4Q

15

1Q

16

2Q

16

3Q

16

4Q

16

1Q

17

2Q

17

3Q

17

4Q

17

1Q

18

2Q

18

3Q

18

4Q

18

1Q

19

2Q

19

3Q

19

4Q

19

1Q

20

0 0 1 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 1 2 2 2 1 1 3 0 2 0

$ /

bo

e/d

# Deals

$30,696

Gulf of Mexico Snapshot

PERMITTING ACTIVITY BY MONTH(1)

DIFFERENTIALS RIG COUNT

Source: BMO Transaction Database, Baker Hughes, BMO Commodity Products Group, Bloomberg, Drilling Info, PLS

Note: Current quarter’s data is through the week covered by this issue.

1. Permits include directional and unidentified drilling permits. 2. Represents total enterprise value. Excludes transactions with deal value <$20 million.

3. $/acre multiple not adjusted for value associated with production.

4. Red line denotes average since 01-Jan-18. Calculated as the weighted average of each quarter’s transactions.

GROSS PRODUCTION (THROUGH 31-JAN-20)

TRANSACTION ACTIVITY (EXCLUDES CORPORATE DEALS)

TRANSACTION PRODUCTION MULTIPLES(4) TRANSACTION PROVED RESERVE MULTIPLES(4)

[TBU]

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

4,500

1,200

1,400

1,600

1,800

2,000

2,200

Jan-15 Oct-15 Jul-16 Apr-17 Jan-18 Oct-18 Jul-19

mm

cf/

d

mb

bl/

d

Oil Gas

1,968

2,898

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

Page 15: Prompt Oil Price ($/bbl) $37.41 $3.70 11.0% Let’s follow these ...€¦ · 08-06-2020  · U.S. high yield funds reported an inflow of ~$6 billion ... • Presentation Linking and

15

June 8, 2020

Upcoming Industry Events

Disclaimer: The foregoing links are for convenience only and relate to materials that were not prepared or reviewed by BMO Capital Markets. BMO Capital Markets takes

no responsibility for and makes no representations with respect to the contents thereof. These materials may be inconsistent with the views of BMO Capital Markets.

Click event to open

2021

November 2020 Nov 3-4 Executive Oil Conference & Exhibition (Midland)

Nov 11 IPAA Leaders in Industry Luncheon

Nov 17 Houston Producers Forum Luncheon

Nov 20 ADAM-Houston Monthly Luncheon

April 2021 Apr 14 IPAA Leaders in Industry Luncheon

Apr 16 ADAM-Houston Monthly Luncheon

Apr 19-21 DUG Permian (Fort Worth)

Apr 20 Houston Producers Forum Luncheon

June 2020 Jun 9 179th OPEC Meeting

Jun 19 ADAM-Houston Monthly Luncheon

July 2020 Jul 21 Houston Producers Forum Luncheon

Jul 20-22 SPE Unconventional Resources Technology

August 2020 Aug 10-11 Mineral & Royalty Conference

Aug 11-27 Summer NAPE (virtual)

Aug 17-19 Enercom Oil & Gas Conference

Aug 18 Houston Producers Forum Luncheon

Aug 21 ADAM-Houston Monthly Luncheon

September 2020 Sep 1 DUG Energy ESG Conference

Sep 9 IPAA Leaders in Industry Luncheon

Sep 8-10 DUG Permian Basin & Eagle Ford (San Antonio)

Sep 15 Houston Producers Forum Luncheon

Sep 18 ADAM-Houston Monthly Luncheon

Sep 22-24 DUG Midcontinent (Oklahoma City)

October 2020 Oct 12-15 API Storage Tank Conference & EXPO

Oct 13-14 DUG Haynesville (Shreveport)

Oct 14 IPAA Leaders in Industry Luncheon

Oct 14-15 OilComm Conference & Exposition

Oct 16 ADAM-Houston Monthly Luncheon

Oct 20 Houston Producers Forum Luncheon

Oct 27-28 A&D Strategies and Opportunities Conference

December 2020 Dec 1-3 DUG East (Pittsburgh)

Dec 3 IPAA Texas Hold'Em Tournament

Dec 9 IPAA Leaders in Industry Luncheon

Dec 15 Houston Producers Forum Luncheon

January 2021 Jan 13 IPAA Leaders in Industry Luncheon

Jan 15 ADAM-Houston Monthly Luncheon

Jan 18-22 API E&P Winter Standards Meeting

Jan 19 Houston Producers Forum Luncheon

February 2021 Feb 8-12 NAPE Summit

Feb 10 IPAA Leaders in Industry Luncheon

Feb 16 Houston Producers Forum Luncheon

Feb 19 ADAM-Houston Monthly Luncheon

March 2021 Mar 10 IPAA Leaders in Industry Luncheon

Mar 16 Houston Producers Forum Luncheon

Mar 19 ADAM-Houston Monthly Luncheon

Mar 25-26 DUG Bakken and Rockies (Denver)

May 2021 May 12 IPAA Leaders in Industry Luncheon

May 18 Houston Producers Forum Luncheon

May 21 ADAM-Houston Monthly Luncheon

May 26-27 DUG Haynesville (Shreveport)

Page 16: Prompt Oil Price ($/bbl) $37.41 $3.70 11.0% Let’s follow these ...€¦ · 08-06-2020  · U.S. high yield funds reported an inflow of ~$6 billion ... • Presentation Linking and

16

June 8, 2020

SCOOP/STACK/Merge

DJ-Niobrara

Eagle Ford

Haynesville

Granite Wash

GOM

Permian

Marcellus

Utica

Williston

Gulf Coast Onshore

Piceance

Powder River Green River

Legend

Current

Change

This material is prepared by the BMO Capital Markets’ Investment and Corporate Banking Department, for distribution to BMO Capital Markets’ clientele. It is not a product of

BMO Capital Markets’ Research Department. The views of the Investment and Corporate Banking Department may differ from those of the Research Department. No part of this

publication or its contents may be copied, downloaded, stored in a retrieval system, further transmitted, or otherwise reproduced, stored, disseminated, transferred or used, in any form or

by any means by any third parties, except with the prior written permission of BMO Capital Markets.

BMO Capital Markets is a trade name used by BMO Financial Group for the wholesale banking businesses of Bank of Montreal, BMO Harris Bank N.A. (member FDIC), Bank of Montreal

Europe p.l.c, and Bank of Montreal (China) Co. Ltd, the institutional broker dealer business of BMO Capital Markets Corp. (Member FINRA and SIPC) and the agency broker dealer

business of Clearpool Execution Services, LLC (Member FINRA and SIPC) in the U.S., and the institutional broker broker dealer businesses of BMO Nesbitt Burns Inc. (Member

Investment Industry Regulatory Organization of Canada and Member Canadian Investor Protection Fund) in Canada and Asia, Bank of Montreal Europe p.l.c. (authorised and regulated

by the Central Bank of Ireland) in Europe and BMO Capital Markets Limited (authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority) in the UK and Australia. “Nesbitt Burns” is a

registered trademark of BMO Nesbitt Burns Inc., used under license. “BMO Capital Markets” is a trademark of Bank of Montreal, used under license. "BMO (M-Bar roundel symbol)" is a

registered trademark of Bank of Montreal, used under license. ® Registered trademark of Bank of Montreal in the United States, Canada and elsewhere. TM Trademark of Bank of

Montreal in the United States and Canada. © 2020 BMO Financial Group.

Bank of Montreal or its subsidiaries (“BMO Financial Group”) has lending arrangements with, or provide other remunerated services to, many issuers covered by BMO Capital Markets.

The opinions, estimates and projections contained in this report are those of BMO Capital Markets as of the date of this report and are subject to change without notice. BMO Capital

Markets endeavors to ensure that the contents have been compiled or derived from sources that we believe are reliable and contain information and opinions that are accurate and

complete. However, BMO Capital Markets makes no representation or warranty, express or implied, in respect thereof, takes no responsibility for any errors and omissions contained

herein and accepts no liability whatsoever for any loss arising from any use of, or reliance on, this report or its contents. Information may be available to BMO Capital Markets or its

affiliates that is not reflected in this report. The information in this report is not intended to be used as the primary basis of investment decisions, and because of individual client

objectives, should not be construed as advice designed to meet the particular investment needs of any investor. This material is for information purposes only and is not an offer to sell or

the solicitation of an offer to buy any security. BMO Capital Markets or its affiliates will buy from or sell to customers the securities of issuers mentioned in this report on a principal basis.

BMO Capital Markets or its affiliates, officers, directors or employees have a long or short position in many of the securities discussed herein, related securities or in options, futures or

other derivative instruments based thereon. BMO Capital Markets may act as financial advisor and/or underwriter for the issuers mentioned herein and may receive remuneration for

same. The reader should assume that BMO Capital Markets or its affiliates may have a conflict of interest and should not rely solely on this report in evaluating whether or not to buy or

sell securities of issuers discussed herein. All values in this document are in US$ unless otherwise specified.

Source of rig count stats: Baker Hughes

Rig Count Summary MAPS IN

MASTER VIEW

Contacts

Disclaimer

Jason Martinez

MD & Head of U.S. A&D

713-546-9771

[email protected]

Howard Barnwell

MD & Transactions Mgr.

713-546-9767

[email protected]

Rob Priske

MD & Transactions Mgr.

713-546-9727

[email protected]

Dan Schockling

MD & Head of Commercial

713-518-1223

[email protected]

Michael Hackett

Vice President

Marian Yu

Associate

Aaron Moeller

Associate

BMO uses updated basin outlines, and the resulting rig counts, to more accurately represent current basin knowledge. The data below reflect these changes

and is different than those shown by Baker Hughes. The totals are the same.

141

(7)

12

--

9

--

28

--5

--

13

1

2

(1)8

1

31

(1)

17

(8)

3

--

1

--

1

(1)--

--

Michelle Tankimovich

Analyst

This

Week Change

Last

Week

Last

Year

Total Rigs 284 (17) 301 975

Oil 206 (16) 222 789

Gas 76 (1) 77 186

Miscellaneous 2 -- 2 --

Directional 24 1 23 74

Horizontal 253 (18) 271 855

Vertical 7 -- 7 46

Basin

Permian 141 (7) 148 446

SCOOP/STACK/Merge 8 1 7 77

Granite Wash 2 (1) 3 12

Eagle Ford 17 (8) 25 89

Haynesville 31 (1) 32 61

Marcellus 28 -- 28 58

Utica 9 -- 9 18

Williston 12 -- 12 56

DJ-Niobrara 5 -- 5 28

Green River -- -- -- 17

Powder River 1 (1) 2 19

Piceance 1 -- 1 5

Gulf Coast Onshore 3 -- 3 24

GOM 13 1 12 23

Alaska 3 -- 3 6

Other 10 (1) 11 36

Mid-Con 4 (1) 5 16

Rockies -- -- -- 2

Western 5 -- 5 18

Eastern 1 -- 1 --

[TBU]

[TBU]