Project Time Management

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Chapter 4: Project Time Management Stevbros Training & Consultancy www.stevbros.edu.vn Copyright@STEVBROS Project Management Fundamentals 1 PMI, PMP and PMBOK are registered marks of the Project Management Ins9tute, Inc.

Transcript of Project Time Management

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Chapter  4:    Project  Time  Management  

Stevbros  Training  &  Consultancy  www.stevbros.edu.vn  

Copyright@STEVBROS   Project  Management  Fundamentals   1  

PMI,  PMP  and  PMBOK  are  registered  marks  of  the  Project  Management  Ins9tute,  Inc.  

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Overview  

    Ini%a%ng  process  group  

Planning  process  group   Execu%ng  process  group  

Monitoring  &  controlling  process  group  

Closing  process  group  

Project  %me  management  

    •  Plan  Schedule  Management  

•  Define  AcKviKes  •  Sequence  AcKviKes  •  EsKmate  AcKvity  

Resources  •  EsKmate  AcKvity  

DuraKons  •  Develop  Schedule  

    •  Control  Schedule  

   

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Overview  A  Guide  to  the  Project  Management  Body  of  Knowledge,        FiBh  Edi9on  (PMBOK®  Guide)  ©2013  Project  Management  Ins9tute,  Inc.    All  Rights  Reserved.      Figure  6-­‐2  Page  144.    

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Overview  A  Guide  to  the  Project  Management  Body  of  Knowledge,    FiBh  Edi9on  (PMBOK®  Guide)  ©2013  Project  Management  Ins9tute,  Inc.    All  Rights  Reserved.      Figure  6-­‐2  Page  144.  

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Plan  schedule    management  

•  The   process   of   establishing   the   policies,   procedures,   and  documentaKon   for   planning,   developing,   managing,  execuKng,   and   controlling   the   project   schedule.   The   key  benefit   of   this   process   is   that   it   provides   guidance   and  direcKon   on   how   the   project   schedule   will   be   managed  throughout  the  project.  

Copyright@STEVBROS   Project  Management  Fundamentals   5  

A  Guide  to  the  Project  Management  Body  of  Knowledge,  FiBh  Edi9on  (PMBOK®  Guide)  ©2013  Project  Management  Ins9tute,  Inc.    All  Rights  Reserved.    Figure  6-­‐3  Page  145.  

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Inputs  1.   Project  Management  Plan    

•  Contains  scope  baseline  used  to  develop  the  schedule  management  plan  2.   Project  Charter  

•  Output  of  the  Develop  Project  ChaUer  process  3.   Enterprise  Environmental  Factors    

•  The   EEFs   that   influence   this   process   include:   OrganizaKonal   culture   and  structure   can   all   influence   schedule   management;   Resource   availability   and  skills   that   may   influence   schedule   planning;   Project   management   soYware  provides   the   scheduling   tool   and   alternaKve   possibiliKes   for   managing   the  schedule;   Published   commercial   informaKon,   such   as   resource   producKvity  informaKon,   is   oYen   available   from   commercial   databases   that   track;   and  OrganizaKonal  work  authorizaKon  systems  

4.   Organiza%onal  Process  Assets  •  The  OPAs  that   influence  this  process   include:  Monitoring  and  reporKng  tools  

to  be  used;  Historical  informaKon;  Schedule  control  tools;  ExisKng  formal  and  informal   schedule   control   related   policies,   procedures,   and   guidelines;  Templates;   Project   closure   guidelines;   Change   control   procedures;   and   Risk  control  procedures  including  risk  categories,  probability  definiKon  and  impact,  and  probability  and  impact  matrix.    

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Tools  and  techniques  

1.   Expert  Judgment  •  guided  by   historical   informaKon,   provides   valuable   insight   about   the  

environment   and   informaKon   from   prior   similar   projects.   Expert  judgment  can  also  suggest  whether  to  combine  methods  and  how  to  reconcile  differences  between  them.    

2.   Analy%cal  Techniques    •  involve   choosing   strategic   opKons   to   esKmate   and   schedule   the  

project   such   as:   scheduling   methodology,   scheduling   tools   and  techniques,   esKmaKng   approaches,   formats,   and   soYware.   The  schedule  management  plan  may  also  detail  ways  to  fast  track  or  crash  the  project  schedule,    do  rolling  wave  planning,  apply  leads  and  lags,  do  alternaKves  analysis,  and  review  schedule  performance.  

3.   Mee%ngs  •  parKcipants  at   these  meeKngs  may   include   the  project  manager,   the  

project   sponsor,   selected   project   team   members,   selected  stakeholders,   anyone   with   responsibility   for   schedule   planning   or  execuKon,  and  others  as  needed  

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Outputs  1.   Schedule  Management  Plan    •  establishes   the   criteria   and   the   acKviKes   for  developing,  monitoring,  and  controlling  the  schedule:  ü Project  schedule  model  development,  ü Level  of  accuracy,  ü Units  of  measure,  ü OrganizaKonal  procedures  links,  ü Project  schedule  model  maintenance,  ü Control  thresholds,  ü Rules  of  performance  measurement,  ü ReporKng  formats,  ü Process  descripKons.  

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Define  acKviKes  •  The   process   of   idenKfying   and   documenKng   the   specific  

acKons  to  be  performed  to  produce  the  project  deliverables.  The   key   benefit   of   this   process   is   to   break   down   work  packages   into   acKviKes   that   provide   a   basis   for   esKmaKng,  scheduling,  execuKng,  monitoring,  and  controlling  the  project  work.  

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A  Guide  to  the  Project  Management  Body  of  Knowledge,  FiBh  Edi9on  (PMBOK®  Guide)  ©2013  Project  Management  Ins9tute,  Inc.    All  Rights  Reserved.    Figure  6-­‐5  Page  149.  

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Inputs  1.   Schedule  Management  Plan  

•  Output  of  the  Plan  Schedule  Management  process    2.   Scope  Baseline    

•  Outputs  of  the  Create  WBS  process  3.   Enterprise  Environmental  Factors  

•  EEFs   that   influence   this   process   include:   organizaKonal   cultures   and  structure,   published   commercial   informaKon   from   commercial  databases,  and  PMIS.      

4.   Organiza%onal  Process  Assets  •  OPAs   that   influence   this   process   include:   lessons   learned   knowledge  

base   containing  historical   informaKon   regarding  acKvity   lists  used  by  previous   similar   projects;   standardized   processes;   templates   that  contain   a   standard   acKvity   list   or   a   porKon   of   an   acKvity   list   from   a  previous   project;   and   exisKng   formal   and   informal   acKvity   planning-­‐related  policies,  procedures,  and  guidelines.  

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Tools  and  techniques  

1.   Decomposi%on    •  is   a   technique   used   for   dividing   and   subdividing   the   project   scope   and  

project   deliverables   into   smaller,   more   manageable   parts.   AcKviKes  represent  the  effort  needed  to  complete  a  work  package.    

•  the   acKvity   list,   WBS,   and   WBS   dicKonary   can   be   developed   either  sequenKally   or   concurrently,   with   the  WBS   and  WBS   dicKonary   as   the  basis  for  development  of  the  final  acKvity  list.  Involving  team  members  in  the  decomposiKon  can  lead  to  beUer  and  more  accurate  results.    

2.   Rolling  Wave  Planning    •  is  an  iteraKve  planning  technique  in  which  the  work  to  be  accomplished  

in   the   near   term   is   planned   in   detail,   while   the   work   in   the   future   is  planned  at  a  higher  level.  It  is  a  form  of  progressive  elaboraKon.    

3.   Expert  Judgment  •  project  team  members  or  other  experts,  who  are  experienced  and  skilled  

in   developing   detailed   project   scope   statements,   the  WBS,   and   project  schedules,  can  provide  experKse  in  defining  acKviKes.  

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Outputs  (1/2)  1.   Ac%vity  List    •  is   a   comprehensive   list   that   includes   all   schedule  acKviKes  required  on  the  project.  The  acKvity  list  also  includes   the   acKvity   idenKfier   and   a   scope   of   work  descripKon   for   each   acKvity   in   sufficient   detail   to  ensure   that  project   team  members  understand  what  work  is  required  to  be  completed.  

2.   Milestone  List    •  A  milestone  is  a  significant  point  or  event  in  a  project.  A   milestone   list   is   a   list   idenKfying   all   project  milestones   and   indicates   whether   the   milestone   is  mandatory,   such   as   those   required   by   contract,   or  opKonal,   such   as   those   based   upon   historical  informaKon.  

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Outputs  (2/2)  3.  Ac%vity  AOributes  •  AcKvity  aUributes  can  be  used  to  idenKfy  the  person  responsible  for  

execuKng  the  work,  geographic  area,  or  place  where  the  work  has  to  be  performed,  the  project  calendar  the  acKvity  is  assigned  to,  and  ac9vity  type.  

•  Three  earned  valued  management  (EVM)  types  of  acKviKes  used  to  measure  work  performance:  –  Discrete  Effort  (DE):  an  acKvity  that  can  be  planned  and  measured  and  that  

yields  a  specific  output.  E.g.  Working  SoYware,  Delivered  Machines  etc.  –  Appor%oned  Effort  (AE):  an  acKvity  where  effort  is  alloUed  proporKonately  

across  certain  discrete  efforts  and  not  divisible  into  discrete  efforts.  E.g.  tesKng,  inspecKon,  verificaKon,  validaKon  acKviKes.  These  acKviKes  are  performed  in  direct  proporKon  to  their  associated  main  tasks.  

–  Level  of  Effort  (LOE):  an  acKvity  that  does  not  produce  definiKve  end  products  and  is  measured  by  the  passage  of  Kme.  E.g.  daily  stand  up,  release  planning,  project  budget  accounKng,  customer  liaison,  or  oiling  machinery  during  manufacturing,  etc.  Level  of  efforts  mainly  involves  collaboraKon  and  coordinaKon  acKviKes  and  these  acKviKes  are  repeKKve  in  nature.  

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Sequence  acKviKes  •  The   process   of   idenKfying   and   documenKng   relaKonships  

among  the  project  acKviKes.  The  key  benefit  of  this  process  is  that   it   defines   the   logical   sequence   of   work   to   obtain   the  greatest  efficiency  given  all  project  constraints.  

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A  Guide  to  the  Project  Management  Body  of  Knowledge,  FiBh  Edi9on  (PMBOK®  Guide)  ©2013  Project  Management  Ins9tute,  Inc.    All  Rights  Reserved.    Figure  6-­‐7  Page  153.  

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Inputs(1/2)  1.   Schedule  Management  Plan    •  idenKfies   the  scheduling  method  and  tool   to  be  used   for   the  project,  which  will  guide  how  the  acKviKes  may  be  sequenced.    

2.   Ac%vity  List    •  contains  all  schedule  acKviKes  required  on  the  project,  which    are  to  be  sequenced.  Dependencies  and  other  constraints  for  these  acKviKes  can  influence  the  sequencing  of  the  acKviKes.    

3.   Ac%vity  AOributes    •  describe   a   necessary   sequence   of   events   or   defined  predecessor  or  successor  relaKonships.  

4.    Milestone  List    •  have   scheduled   dates   for   specific   milestones,   which   may  influence  the  way  acKviKes  are  sequenced.    

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Inputs(2/2)  5.   Project  Scope  Statement    

•  contains  the  product  scope  descripKon,  which  includes  product  characterisKcs  that  may  affect  acKvity  sequencing,  such  as  the  physical  layout  of  a  plant  to  be  constructed  or  subsystem  interfaces  on  a  soYware  project.  

6.   Enterprise  Environmental  Factors    •  contain  government  or  industry  standards,  PMIS,  scheduling  tool,  and  company  work  authorizaKon  systems.    

7.   Organiza%onal  Process  Assets    •  contain  project  files  from  the  corporate  knowledge  base  used  for  scheduling  methodology,  exisKng  formal  and  informal  acKvity  planning-­‐related  policies,  procedures,  and  guidelines,  such  as  the  scheduling  methodology  that  are  considered  in  developing  logical  relaKonships,  and  templates  that  can  be  used  to  expedite  the  preparaKon  of  networks  of  project  acKviKes  

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Tools  and  techniques  

1.   Precedence  Diagramming  Method  •  is   a   technique   used   for   construcKng   a   schedule   model   in   which  

acKviKes  are  represented  by  nodes  and  are  graphically   linked  by  one  or   more   logical   relaKonships   to   show   the   sequence   in   which   the  acKviKes  are  to  be  performed.  AcKvity-­‐on-­‐node  (AON)  is  one  method  of   represenKng   a   precedence   diagram.   This   is   the   method   used   by  most  project  management  soYware  packages.  (sample  at  next  slide)  

2.   Dependency  Determina%on  •  has   four   aUributes,   but   two   can   be   applicable   at   the   same   Kme   in  

following   ways:   mandatory   external   dependencies,   mandatory  internal   dependencies,   discreKonary   external   dependencies,   or  discreKonary  internal  dependencies.  (details  at  next  slide)  

3.   Leads  and  Lags  •  A   lead   is   the   amount   of   Kme   whereby   a   successor   acKvity   can   be  

advanced  with  respect  to  a  predecessor  acKvity.    •  A   lag   is   the   amount   of   Kme   whereby   a   successor   acKvity   will   be  

delayed  with  respect  to  a  predecessor  acKvity.    (sample  at  next  slide)  

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Precedence  Diagramming  Method    (PDM)  RelaKonship  Types    

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A  Guide  to  the  Project  Management  Body  of  Knowledge,  FiBh  Edi9on  (PMBOK®  Guide)  ©2013  Project  Management  Ins9tute,  Inc.    All  Rights  Reserved.    Figure  6-­‐9  Page  157.  

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Dependence  determinaKon  

•  Mandatory   dependencies:   are   those   that   are   legally   or  contractually   required   or   inherent   in   the   nature   of   the   work.  Mandatory   dependencies   are   also   someKmes   referred   to   as   hard  logic  or  hard  dependencies.    

•  Discre%onary   dependencies:   are   someKmes   referred   to   as  preferred   logic,   preferenKal   logic,   or   soY   logic.   DiscreKonary  dependencies  are  established  based  on  knowledge  of  best  pracKces  

•  External   dependencies:   involve   a   relaKonship   between   project  acKviKes  and  non-­‐project  acKviKes.  These  dependencies  are  usually  outside  the  project  team’s  control.    

•  Internal  dependencies:  involve  a  precedence  relaKonship  between  project   acKviKes   and   are   generally   inside   the   project   team’s  control.    

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Lead/Lag  

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A  Guide  to  the  Project  Management  Body  of  Knowledge,  FiBh  Edi9on  (PMBOK®  Guide)  ©2013  Project  Management  Ins9tute,  Inc.    All  Rights  Reserved.    Figure  6-­‐10  Page  158.  

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Float  •  Float  is  also  wriUen  as  Slack.  •  Total  Float:  It  is  the  amount  of  Kme  that  an  acKvity  can  be  

delayed  without  delaying  the  project’s  end  date.  This  gives  you  to  total  Kme  or  “buffer”  you  have  to  play  with  for  this  acKvity,  before  the  project  gets  delayed.  

•  Free   Float:   This   is   the   amount   of   Kme   an   acKvity   can   be  delayed,   without   impacKng   the   early   start   date   of   its  successor.  For  this  to  happen,  you  need  to  have  2  or  more  acKviKes  having  a  common  successor.  

•  Project  Float:  This  means  the  amount  of  Kme  a  project  can  be  delayed,  without  impacKng  the  externally  imposed  date  by  the  customer  and/or  management  

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Is  Float  good?  •  Having   some   float   or   slack   on   the   project   is  actually  good  for  the  project.  This  means  that  you  use   this   “extra”   Kme   to   tackle   unforeseen  emergencies,   delays,   and   problems,   or   test   &  improve  the  quality  of  the  product.    

•  If  the  Float  is  Zero,  then  the  Project  is  very  risky.  Any  single  point  of   failure  and  the  enKre  project  can   be   delayed.   The   risk   on   the   project   then  becomes  quite  high.  

•  CriKcal   AcKviKes   (acKviKes   on   the   CriKcal   Path)  usually  have  a  Float  of  Zero.    

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Calculate  Float?  

•  There  are  2  ways  to  calculate  Float,  and  the  answer  is  the  same  with  either  method.  – Float  =  Late  Start  (LS)  –  Early  Start  (ES)  – Float  =  Late  Finish  (LF)  –  Early  Finish  (EF)  

•  Forward  Pass  is  applied  to  calculate  ES,  EF.  •  Backward  Pass  is  applied  to  calculate  LS,  LF.  

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Float  CalculaKon  

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Float  CalculaKon  

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Float  CalculaKon  

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Float  CalculaKon  

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Float  CalculaKon  

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Float  of  B  =  2  Float  of  C  =  1  Float  of  A,  D,  E,F  =  0  

Project  Management  Fundamentals  

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Outputs  

1.  Project  Schedule  Network  Diagrams    •  is   a   graphical   representaKon   of   the   logical  relaKonships,   also   referred   to   as   dependencies,  among   the   project   schedule   acKviKes   (sample   at  next  slide)  

2.  Project  Documents  Updates    •  project  documents   that  may  be  updated   include:  acKvity  lists,  acKvity  aUributes,  milestone  list,  and  risk  register.    

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Project  schedule  network  diagram  

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A  Guide  to  the  Project  Management  Body  of  Knowledge,  FiBh  Edi9on  (PMBOK®  Guide)  ©2013  Project  Management  Ins9tute,  Inc.    All  Rights  Reserved.    Figure  6-­‐11  Page  160.  

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EsKmate  acKvity    resource  

•  The  process  of  esKmaKng  the  type  and  quanKKes  of  material,  human  resources,  equipment,  or  supplies  required  to  perform  each   acKvity.   The   key   benefit   of   this   process   is   that   it  idenKfies   the   type,  quanKty,  and  characterisKcs  of   resources  required  to  complete  the  acKvity  which  allows  more  accurate  cost  and  duraKon  esKmates.  

Copyright@STEVBROS   Project  Management  Fundamentals   31  

A  Guide  to  the  Project  Management  Body  of  Knowledge,  FiBh  Edi9on  (PMBOK®  Guide)  ©2013  Project  Management  Ins9tute,  Inc.    All  Rights  Reserved.    Figure  6-­‐12  Page  161.  

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Inputs(1/2)  1.  Schedule  Management  Plan    

•  idenKfies  the  level  of  accuracy  and  the  units  of  measure  for  the  resources  to  be  esKmated.    

2.  AcKvity  List    •  idenKfies  the  acKviKes  which  will  need  resources.  

3.  AcKvity  AUributes    •  provide   the   primary   data   input   for   use   in   esKmaKng   those  resources  required  for  each  acKvity  in  the  acKvity  list.    

4.  Resource  Calendars  •  is  a  calendar  that  idenKfies  the  working  days  and  shiYs  on  which  each   specific   resource   is   available.   InformaKon   on   which  resources  (such  as  human  resources,  equipment,  and  material)  are  potenKally  available  during  a  planned  acKvity  period,  is  used  for  esKmaKng  resource  uKlizaKon.  

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Inputs(2/2)  5.  Risk  Register  

•  Risk  events  may  impact  resource  selecKon  and  availability.  6.  AcKvity  Cost  EsKmates  

•  The  cost  of  resources  may  impact  resource  selecKon.  7.  Enterprise  Environmental  Factors  

•  EEFs  that  can   influence  this  process   include:   resource   locaKon,  availability,  and  skills.  

8.  OrganizaKonal  Process  Assets  •  OPAs   that   can   influence   this   process   include:   policies   and  procedures   regarding   staffing,  policies   and  procedures   relaKng  to   rental   and   purchase   of   supplies   and   equipment,   and  historical   informaKon   regarding   types   of   resources   used   for  similar  work  on  previous  projects.  

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Tools  and  techniques  

1.   Expert  Judgment  •  any  group  or  person  with  specialized  knowledge  in  resource  planning  and  

esKmaKng  can  provide  resource-­‐related  assessment.  2.   Alterna%ve  Analysis    

•  many   schedule   acKviKes   have   alternaKve   methods   of   accomplishment.  They   include  using  various   levels  of   resource  capability  or   skills,  different  size   or   type   of   machines,   different   tools   (hand   versus   automated),   and  make-­‐rent-­‐or-­‐buy  decisions  regarding  the  resource.  

3.   Published  Es%ma%ng  Data    •  several  organizaKons  rouKnely  publish  updated  producKon  rates  and  unit  

costs   of   resources   for   an   extensive   array   of   labor   trades,   material,   and  equipment   for   different   countries   and   geographical   locaKons   within  countries.    

4.   BoOom-­‐Up  Es%ma%ng    •  is   a   method   of   esKmaKng   project   duraKon   or   cost   by   aggregaKng   the  

esKmates  of  the  lower-­‐level  components  of  the  WBS.  5.   Project  Management  So[ware    

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Outputs  1.   Ac%vity  Resource  Requirements  

•  idenKfy  the  types  and  quanKKes  of  resources  required  for  each  acKvity  in  a  work  package.    

2.   Resource  Breakdown  Structure  •  structure   is   a   hierarchical   representaKon   of   resources   by  category   and   type.   Examples   of   resource   categories   include  labor,  material,   equipment,   and   supplies.   Resource   types  may  include   the   skill   level,   grade   level,   or   other   informaKon   as  appropriate  to  the  project.    

•  the   resource   breakdown   structure   is   useful   for   organizing   and  reporKng   project   schedule   data   with   resource   uKlizaKon  informaKon.  

3.   Project  Documents  Updates  •  include  acKvity  list,  acKvity  aUributes,  and  resource  calendars.  

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EsKmate  acKvity    duraKon  

•  The   process   of   esKmaKng   the   number   of   work   periods  needed   to   complete   individual   acKviKes   with   esKmated  resources.    

Copyright@STEVBROS   Project  Management  Fundamentals   36  

A  Guide  to  the  Project  Management  Body  of  Knowledge,  FiBh  Edi9on  (PMBOK®  Guide)  ©2013  Project  Management  Ins9tute,  Inc.    All  Rights  Reserved.    Figure  6-­‐14  Page  166.  

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Inputs(1/2)  1.   Schedule  Management  Plan    

•  defines   the   method   used   and   the   level   of   accuracy   along   with   other   criteria  required  to  esKmate  acKvity  duraKons  including  the  project  update  cycle.  

2.   Ac%vity  List    •  idenKfies  the  acKviKes  that  will  need  duraKon  esKmates.  

3.   Ac%vity  AOributes    •  provide  the  primary  data  input  for  use  in  esKmaKng  duraKons  required  for  each  

acKvity  in  the  acKvity  list.    4.   Ac%vity  Resource  Requirements  

•  the  esKmated  acKvity  resource  requirements  will  have  an  effect  on  the  duraKon  of   the   acKvity,   since   the   level   to   which   the   resources   assigned   to   the   acKvity  meet  the  requirements  will  significantly  influence  the  duraKon  of  most  acKviKes.  

5.   Resource  Calendars  •  the   resource   calendars   influence   the  duraKon  of   schedule  acKviKes  due   to   the  

availability  of   specific   resources,   type  of   resources,   and   resources  with   specific  aUributes.  

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Inputs(2/2)  6.   Project  Scope  Statement    

•  the  assumpKons  and  constraints  from  the  project  scope  statement  are  considered  when  esKmaKng  the  acKvity  duraKons.  

7.   Risk  Register    •  provides  the  list  of  risks,  along  with  the  results  of  risk  analysis  and  risk  

response  planning.  8.   Resource  Breakdown  Structure  

•  provides   a   hierarchical   structure   of   the   idenKfied   resources   by  resource  category  and  resource  type.    

9.   Enterprise  Environmental  Factors  •  such  as  duraKon  esKmaKng  databases  and  other  reference  data,  

producKvity  metrics,  published  commercial  informaKon,  and  locaKon  of  team  members.    

10.   Organiza%onal  Process  Assets    •  such  as  historical  duraKon  informaKon,  project  calendars,  scheduling  

methodology,  and  lessons  learned.    

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Tools  and  techniques(1/2)  

1.   Expert  Judgment    •  guided  by  historical  informaKon,  can  provide  duraKon  esKmate  informaKon  or  recommended  maximum  acKvity  duraKons  from  prior  similar  projects  

2.   Analogous  Es%ma%ng    •  uses   parameters   from   a   previous,   similar   project,   such   as  duraKon,  budget,  size,  weight,  and  complexity,  as  the  basis   for  esKmaKng  the  same  parameter  or  measure  for  a  future  project.  

3.   Parametric  Es%ma%ng  •  uses  a  staKsKcal  relaKonship  between  historical  data  and  other  variables   (e.g.,   square   footage   in   construcKon)   to   calculate   an  esKmate   for   acKvity   parameters,   such   as   cost,   budget,   and  duraKon.    

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Tools  and  techniques(2/2)  

4.   Three-­‐Point  Es%ma%ng  •  This   concept   originated   with   the   program   evaluaKon   and   review  

technique  (PERT).  PERT  uses  three  esKmates  to  define  an  approximate  range   for   an   acKvity’s   duraKon:   Most   likely   (tM),   OpKmisKc   (tO),  PessimisKc   (tP).   Depending   on   the   assumed   distribuKon   of   values  within  the  range  of  the  three  esKmates  the  expected  duraKon,  tE,  can  be  calculated  using  a  formula:  ü Triangular  DistribuKon.  tE  =  (tO  +  tM  +  tP)  /  3    ü Beta  DistribuKon  (from  the  tradiKonal  PERT  technique).  tE  =  (tO  +  4tM  +  tP)  /  6    

5.   Group  Decision-­‐Making  Techniques    •  Team-­‐based  approaches,  such  as  brainstorming,  the  Delphi  or  nominal  

group  techniques,  are  useful  for  engaging  team  members  to   improve  esKmate  accuracy  and  commitment  to  the  emerging  esKmates  

6.   Reserve  Analysis  •  DuraKon   esKmates   may   include   conKngency   reserves,   someKmes  

referred   to   as   Kme   reserves   or   buffers,   into   the   project   schedule   to  account  for  schedule  uncertainty.  

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Outputs  

1.   Ac%vity  Dura%on  Es%mates    •  are   quanKtaKve   assessments   of   the   likely   number   of   Kme  periods  that  are  required  to  complete  an  acKvity.  They  may  include  some  indicaKon  of  the  range  of  possible  results.  For  example:  2  weeks  ±  2  days,  which  indicates  that  the  acKvity  will   take   at   least   eight   days   and   not   more   than   twelve  (assuming   a   five-­‐day   workweek);   and   15   %   probability   of  exceeding  three  weeks,  which   indicates  a  high  probability—85  %—that  the  acKvity  will  take  three  weeks  or  less.    

2.   Project  Documents  Updates    •  may   include   acKvity   aUributes;   and   assumpKons   made   in  developing  the  acKvity  duraKon  esKmate,  such  as  skill  levels  and  availability,  as  well  as  a  basis  of  esKmates  for  duraKons.    

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Develop  schedule  •  The   process   of   analyzing   acKvity   sequences,   duraKons,  

resource   requirements,   and   schedule   constraints   to   create  the  project  schedule  model.  

Copyright@STEVBROS   Project  Management  Fundamentals   42  

A  Guide  to  the  Project  Management  Body  of  Knowledge,  FiBh  Edi9on  (PMBOK®  Guide)  ©2013  Project  Management  Ins9tute,  Inc.    All  Rights  Reserved.    Figure  6-­‐16  Page  173.  

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Inputs(1/2)  1.   Schedule  Management  Plan    

•  idenKfies  the  scheduling  method  and  tool  used  to  create  the  schedule,  and  how  the  schedule  is  to  be  calculated.    

2.   Ac%vity  List    •  idenKfies  the  acKviKes  that  will  be  included  in  the  schedule  model.    

3.   Ac%vity  AOributes    •  provide  the  details  used  to  build  the  schedule  model.    

4.    Project  Schedule  Network  Diagrams    •  contain  the   logical  relaKonships  of  predecessors  and  successors  that  will  be  used  to  

calculate  the  schedule.    5.   Ac%vity  Resource  Requirements    

•  idenKfy  the  types  and  quanKKes  of  resources  required  for  each  acKvity  used  to  create  the  schedule  model.    

6.   Resource  Calendars    •  contain  informaKon  on  the  availability  of  resources  during  the  project.    

7.   Ac%vity  Dura%on  Es%mates    •  contain  the  quanKtaKve  assessments  of  the  likely  number  of  work  periods  that  will  be  

required  to  complete  an  acKvity  that  will  be  used  to  calculate  the  schedule.    Copyright@STEVBROS   Project  Management  Fundamentals   43  

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Inputs(2/2)  8.   Project  Scope  Statement    

•  contains  assumpKons  and  constraints  that  can  impact  the  development  of  the  project  schedule.    

9.   Risk  Register    •  provides  the  details  of  all  idenKfied  risks  and  their  characterisKcs  that  affect  the  

schedule  model.    10.   Project  Staff  Assignments    

•  specify  which  resources  are  assigned  to  each  acKvity.    11.   Resource  Breakdown  Structure    

•  provides  the  details  by  which  resource  analysis  and  organizaKonal  reporKng  can  be  done.    

12.   Enterprise  Environmental  Factors    •  EEFs  include:  standards,  communicaKon  channels,  and  scheduling  tool  to  be  

used  in  developing  the  schedule  model.    13.   Organiza%onal  Process  Assets  

•  OPAs  that  can  influence  this  process  include:  scheduling  methodology  and  project  calendar(s).    

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Tools  and  techniques(1/2)  

1.   Schedule  Network  Analysis  •  is  a  technique  that  generates  the  project  schedule  model.   It  employs  various  

analyKcal   techniques,   such   as   criKcal   path   method,   criKcal   chain   method,  what-­‐if   analysis,   and   resource  opKmizaKon   techniques   to   calculate   the  early  and   late   start   and   finish   dates   for   the   uncompleted   porKons   of   project  acKviKes.      

2.   Cri%cal  Path  Method  (next  slide)  3.   Cri%cal  Chain  Method  (next  slide)  4.   Resource  Op%miza%on  Techniques    

•  Resource   leveling:   A   technique   in  which   start   and   finish   dates   are   adjusted  based   on   resource   constraints   with   the   goal   of   balancing   demand   for  resources  with  the  available  supply.  (sample  at  next  slide)  

•  Resource   Smoothing:   A   technique   that   adjusts   the   acKviKes   of   a   schedule  model  such  that  the  requirements  for  resources  on  the  project  do  not  exceed  certain   predefined   resource   limits.   In   resource   smoothing,   as   opposed   to  resource  leveling,  the  project’s  criKcal  path  is  not  changed  and  the  compleKon  date   may   not   be   delayed.   In   other   words,   acKviKes   may   only   be   delayed  within  their  free  and  total  float.  

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Tools  and  techniques(2/2)  

5.   Modeling  Techniques  •  What-­‐if  scenario  analysis:  is  the  process  of  evaluaKng  scenarios  in  order  to  predict  their  

effect,   posiKvely   or   negaKvely,   on   project   objecKves.   The   outcome   of   the   what-­‐if  scenario   analysis   can   be   used   to   assess   the   feasibility   of   the   project   schedule   under  adverse  condiKons,  and   in  preparing  conKngency  and  response  plans   to  overcome  or  miKgate  the  impact  of  unexpected  situaKons.  

•  SimulaKon:  involves  calculaKng  mulKple  project  duraKons  with  different  sets  of  acKvity  assumpKons,   usually   using   probability   distribuKons   constructed   from   the   three-­‐point  esKmates  to  account  for  uncertainty.  The  most  common  simulaKon  technique  is  Monte  Carlo  analysis.    

6.   Leads  and  Lags    •  Leads  and  lags  are  refinements  applied  during  network  analysis  to  develop  a    

viable  schedule  by  adjusKng  the  start  Kme  of  the  successor  acKviKes.  7.   Schedule  Compression    

•  Schedule  compression   techniques  are  used   to   shorten   the  schedule  duraKon  without  reducing   the  project   scope,   in  order   to  meet   schedule  constraints,   imposed  dates,  or  other  schedule  objecKves:  fast  tracking  and  crashing  (details  at  next  slide)  

8.   Scheduling  Tool  

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CriKcal  path    method  

•  A   method   used   to   esKmate   the   minimum   project   duraKon  and   determine   the   amount   of   scheduling   flexibility   on   the  logical  network  paths  within  the  schedule  model.  

Copyright@STEVBROS   Project  Management  Fundamentals   47  

A  Guide  to  the  Project  Management  Body  of  Knowledge,  FiBh  Edi9on  (PMBOK®  Guide)  ©2013  Project  Management  Ins9tute,  Inc.    All  Rights  Reserved.    Figure  6-­‐18  Page  177.  

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CriKcal  chain  method  

•  A   schedule   method   that   allows   the   project   team   to   place  buffers   on   any   project   schedule   path   to   account   for   limited  resources  and  project  uncertainKes.  

Copyright@STEVBROS   Project  Management  Fundamentals   48  

A  Guide  to  the  Project  Management  Body  of  Knowledge,  FiBh  Edi9on  (PMBOK®  Guide)  ©2013  Project  Management  Ins9tute,  Inc.    All  Rights  Reserved.    Figure  6-­‐19  Page  178.  

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Resource  leveling  

Copyright@STEVBROS   Project  Management  Fundamentals   49  

A  Guide  to  the  Project  Management  Body  of  Knowledge,  FiBh  Edi9on  (PMBOK®  Guide)  ©2013  Project  Management  Ins9tute,  Inc.    All  Rights  Reserved.    Figure  6-­‐20  Page  179.  

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Schedule    compression  techniques  

1.   Crashing.  •  A   technique   used   to   shorten   the   schedule   duraKon   for   the   least  incremental   cost   by   adding   resources.   Examples   of   crashing   include  approving   overKme,   bringing   in   addiKonal   resources,   or   paying   to  expedite  delivery  to  acKviKes  on  the  criKcal  path.  Crashing  works  only  for   acKviKes   on   the   criKcal   path   where   addiKonal   resources   will  shorten  the  acKvity’s  duraKon.    

•  Crashing  does  not  always  produce  a  viable  alternaKve  and  may  result  in  increased  risk  and/or  cost.  

2.   Fast  tracking.    •  A   schedule   compression   technique   in   which   acKviKes   or   phases  normally   done   in   sequence   are   performed   in   parallel   for   at   least   a  porKon  of   their  duraKon.  An  example   is   construcKng   the   foundaKon  for  a  building  before  compleKng  all  of  the  architectural  drawings.    

•  Fast   tracking  may   result   in   rework   and   increased   risk.   Fast   tracking  only   works   if   acKviKes   can   be   overlapped   to   shorten   the   project  duraKon.  

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Outputs(1/2)  1.   Schedule  Baseline  

•  is  the  approved  version  of  a  schedule  model  that  can  be  changed  only  through   formal   change  control  procedures  and   is  used  as  a  basis   for  comparison  to  actual  results.    

2.   Project  Schedule    •  the   outputs   from   a   schedule  model   are   schedule   presentaKons.   The  

project  schedule  is  an  output  of  a  schedule  model  that  presents  linked  acKviKes  with  planned  dates,  duraKons,  milestones,  and  resources.  A  project   schedule   model   can   be   presented   in:   bar   charts,   milestone  charts,  project  schedule  network  diagrams.  

3.   Schedule  Data    •  the  schedule  data   for   the  project  schedule  model   is   the  collecKon  of  

informaKon  for  describing  and  controlling  the  schedule.  The  schedule  data   includes   at   least   the   schedule   milestones,   schedule   acKviKes,  acKvity   aUributes,   and   documentaKon   of   all   idenKfied   assumpKons  and  constraints.  

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Outputs(2/2)  4.   Project  Calendars    

•  A   schedule   model   may   require   more   than   one   project  calendar  to  allow  for  different  work    periods   for   some   acKviKes   to   calculate   the   project  schedule  

5.   Project  Management  Plan  Updates    •  Elements   of   the   project   management   plan   that   may   be  updated   include:   Schedule   basel ine,   Schedule  management  plan.  

6.   Project  Documents  Updates    •  Project   documents   that  may  be  updated   include:  AcKvity  resource  requirements,  AcKvity  aUributes,  Calendars,  Risk  register.  

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Control  schedule  •  The  process  of  monitoring  the  status  of  project  acKviKes  to  update  project  

progress   and   manage   changes   to   the   schedule   baseline   to   achieve   the  plan.   The   key   benefit   of   this   process   is   that   it   provides   the   means   to  recognize   deviaKon   from   the   plan   and   take   correcKve   and   prevenKve  acKons  and  thus  minimize  risk.    

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A  Guide  to  the  Project  Management  Body  of  Knowledge,  FiBh  Edi9on  (PMBOK®  Guide)  ©2013  Project  Management  Ins9tute,  Inc.    All  Rights  Reserved.    Figure  6-­‐22  Page  185.  

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Inputs  1.   Project  Management  Plan  

•  contains  the  schedule  management  plan  and  the  schedule  baseline  2.   Project  Schedule  

•  refers   to   the   most   recent   version   with   notaKons   to   indicate   updates,  completed  acKviKes,  and  started  acKviKes  as  of  the  indicated  data  date.  

3.   Work  Performance  Data  •  refers  to  informaKon  about  project  progress  such  as  which  acKviKes  have  

started,   their   progress   (e.g.,   actual   duraKon,   remaining   duraKon,   and  physical  percent  complete),  and  which  acKviKes  have  finished.  

4.   Project  Calendars    5.   Schedule  Data    

•  will  be  reviewed  and  updated  6.   Organiza%onal  Process  Assets    

•  such   as   exisKng   formal   and   informal   schedule   control-­‐related   policies,  procedures,   and   guidelines;   schedule   control   tools;   and  monitoring   and  reporKng  methods  to  be  used.    

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Tools  and  techniques  

1.   Performance  Reviews  •  measure,  compare,  and  analyze  schedule  performance  such  as  actual  start  and  finish  dates,  percent  complete,  and  remaining  duraKon  for  work   in   progress.   Various   techniques   may   be   used,   among   them:  trend    analysis,  criKcal  path  method,  criKcal  chain  method,  EVM.  

2.   Project  Management  So[ware  •  provides   the   ability   to   track   planned   dates   versus   actual   dates,   to  report  variances  to  and  progress  made  against  the  schedule  baseline,  and  to  forecast  the  effects  of  changes  to  the  project  schedule  model.  

3.   Resource  Op%miza%on  Techniques      4.   Modeling  Techniques  5.   Leads  and  Lags    6.   Schedule  Compression    7.   Scheduling  Tool    Copyright@STEVBROS   Project  Management  Fundamentals   55  

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Outputs  1.   Work  Performance  Informa%on    

•  the  calculated  SV  and  SPI  Kme  performance  indicators  for  WBS  components,  in  parKcular  the  work  packages  and  control  accounts,  are  documented  and  communicated  to  stakeholders.    

2.   Schedule  Forecasts    •  are  esKmates  or  predicKons  of  condiKons  and  events  in  the  project’s  future  

based  on  informaKon  and  knowledge  available  at  the  Kme  of  the  forecast.  3.   Change  Requests    

•  schedule  variance  analysis,  along  with  review  of  progress  reports,  results  of  performance  measures,   and  modificaKons   to   the   project   scope   or   project  schedule   may   result   in   change   requests   to   the   schedule   baseline,   scope  baseline,  and/or  other  components  of  the  project  management  plan.  

4.   Project  Management  Plan  Updates    5.   Project  Documents  Updates    6.   Organiza%onal  Process  Assets  Updates    

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Summary  

•  4  PDM  relaKonship  types  •  4  dependency  determinaKons  •  AcKvity  duraKon  esKmaKng  techniques  •  Float/slack  calculaKon  •  Group  decision-­‐making  techniques    •  Resource  opKmizaKon  techniques    •  Schedule  compression  techniques  

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QuesKons  for  review  

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•  You  did  the  good  job  at  this  chapter.    Please  complete  quesKons  for  review  before  moving  to  next  chapter.