Project development of JM - Nordea Markets · 2018. 8. 15. · • Well balanced risk profile 30...
Transcript of Project development of JM - Nordea Markets · 2018. 8. 15. · • Well balanced risk profile 30...
Project development of JM
Acquisition
Sale/lease
Management
Occupancy
Construction
Conception planning
Pre-construction
Financing
2018-08-13 │ ytf3 │
Financial targets
Targets 2017 2016 2015 2014
Operating margin (%) 10.0 13.9 12.8 11.0 12.4
Dividend, share of profit after tax (%) 50 35 45 53 50
Equity ratio (%) 35 40 40 38 37
1) Started during Q2 2017
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1)
Nor, Täby Park, Täby 132 residential units 1) Leidarkollen, Bergen, Norway 49 residential units 1)Sorgenfri, Malmö 57 residential units 1)
Swedbank Robur Funds 8.6
SEB Investment Management 4.1
Pensionskassan SHB Försäkringsfören. 2.2
AFA Insurance 2.2
Länsförsäkringar Fund Management 2.2
Fourth Swedish National Pension Fund 1.8
Försäkringsbolaget Avanza Pension 1.5
Handelsbanken Funds 1.3
Folksam 1.1
Foreign shareholders 46.9
Others 28.1
Number of shareholders 22,396
Ownership structurePercent of share capital at July 2018
Group Summary 1)
January – June 2018
• Profit before tax decreased to SEK 997m (1,430) 2)
• Earnings per share wereSEK 11.10 (16.50) 2)
• Return on equity was 30.7 percent (41.6) 2)
• Cash flow from operations was SEK -222m (1,294)
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1) According to segment reporting2) Of which SEK 275m from the sale of participations in Småa AB in 2017
Humlelunden, Staffanstorp 33 single-family home
Entréen, Oslo, Norway 75 residential units
Group Summary January – June 2018
• Number of residential units sold 1,099 (1,735)
• Lower level residential units sold – cautious market in Stockholm, particularly new production. Some stabilization during the second quarter
• Number of housing starts 1,417 (1,719)
• Planning to increase the number of housing starts during the second six months in Stockholm, assuming stabilized housing market and stable planning processes
• Residential building rights portfolio 36,000 (34,600)
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Villa Nedergård, Gothenburg 28 residential unitsRadiotorget, Gothenburg 40 residential units
Operating profit
January – June
According to segment reporting, SEK m 2018 2017
JM Residential Stockholm 524 710
JM Residential Sweden 394 339
JM International 136 124
JM Property Development 1 24
JM Construction 0 19
Group-wide expenses -23 -28
Total 1 032 1 188
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Some stabilization of the housing market in Stockholm – stable development on other markets
• The housing market in Stockholm continued to be cautious during the first six months, particularly new production. Some stabilization in the second quarter. In the rest of Sweden demand was primarily stable
• In Norway, the level of activity was good with a slight increase in prices and the housing market in Finland was stable
• In Stockholm customers show strong interest in our projects, but are taking a cautious approach to signing contracts early in the process. However, willingness to sign a contract early in the process increased slightly during the second quarter
• The percentage of sold/reserved residential units in relation to ongoing production 58 % (75) – somewhat below normal level
• A solid financial position gives good acquisition capacity and possibilities to enhance market position
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Residential units in current productionJM Group
30 June 2018
30 June 2017
31 Dec 2017
Number of residential units 1) 7,814 7,641 8,200
Number of residential units sold 3,718 4,720 4,466
Number of residential units reserved 412 681 507
Sold residential units, % 52 65 58
Reserved residential units, % 6 10 7
Sold/reserved residential units, % 58 75 65
Completed production, no. of unsold units 2) 88 91 72
Number of unsold units in the balance sheet 79 67 821) Including rental and residential care units within
JM Property Development – not included in percentage sold/reserved 681 416 5532) After final occupancy according to plan
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JM Residential StockholmJanuary - June Full-year
SEK m 2018 2017 2017
Revenue 3,005 3,718 7,151
Operating profit 1) 524 710 1,438
Operating margin, % 17.4 19.1 20.1
Number of available building rights 13,600 13,000 13,400
Number of residential units in current production 3,387 3,598 3,842
1) Of which property sales 0 6 6
• Cautious market, particularly with regard to new production – some stabilization
• Willingness to sign contract early increased slightly in the second quarter
• Housing starts during the first six months supported by a normal level of reservations
• Residential units available for sale have largely planned occupancy in 2019 and 2020
• Plan for more housing starts during the second six months, assuming stabilized housing market and stable planning processes
• Good profitability
• Cash flow in balance taking into consideration the increase in development properties
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Condor, Danderyd 108 residential units
JM Residential Sweden
• Stable demand
• Slightly slower sales rate
• Stronger profit and margin
• A decrease in working capital had positive impact on cash flow
January - June Full-year
SEK m 2018 2017 2017
Revenue 2,334 2,299 4,309
Operating profit 1) 394 339 669
Operating margin, % 16,9 14,7 15.5
Number of available building rights 10,300 10,000 10,100
Number of residential units in current production 2,280 2 279 2,351
1) Of which property sales 0 - -
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Sjösidan, Lund 92 residential units
JM International
• Good level of activity in Norway with slight increase in prices and stable housing market in Finland
• The low level of housing starts during the first six months is in line with the annual plan, and will increase during the year
• Somewhat improved profit and margin
• Cash flow burdened by investments in development properties
January - June Full-yearSEK m 2018 2017 2017
Revenue 1,574 1,615 3,262of which JM Norway 1,344 1,352 2,777
Operating profit 1) 136 124 271of which JM Norway 127 121 263
Operating margin, % 8.6 7.7 8.3of which JM Norway 9.4 8.9 9.5
Number of available building rights 11,400 10,700 10,500
Number of residential units in current production 1,466 1,348 1,4541) Of which property sales 11 - -
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Visertäjä, Esbo, Finland 39 residential units
JM Property Development
• The completed Dalénum rental project, Lidingö consisting of 97 apartments is held in JM’s balance sheet
• Housing start, in own balance sheet, during the second quarter of rental project Manegen, Täby Park, Täby with 128 apartments
• Ongoing production in four rental projects in JM’s balance sheet:‐ Tjärtunnan, Stureby, 187 apartments ‐ Spaken, Hägernäs, Täby, 136 apartments ‐ Alphyddan, Nacka, 93 student apartments ‐ Alba Lilium, Bredäng, 137 apartments
• 681 rental units and residential care units in current production
January - June Full-yearSEK m 2018 2017 2017
Revenue 30 37 60
Operating profit 1) 1 24 27
Number of available building rights 700 900 800
Number of residential units in current production 681 416 553
1) Of which property sales - 8 8
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Rental unit project Manegen, Täby
JM ConstructionJanuary - June Full-year
SEK m 2018 2017 2017
Revenue 1) 1,467 1,229 2,751
Operating profit 0 19 11
Operating margin, % 0.0 1.5 0.4
1) Of which internal 231 254 525
• Good demand but tough competition
• Good orders
• Increased revenue
• Lower profit and margin – negative revaluations in the Swedish operations
• A long-term project is underway to raise profitability
• Cash flow is burdened by increase in working capital
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Available building rights portfolio
1) Rounded to the nearest hundred2) Of which 700 and 900 building rights for rental units and residential care units3) West region4) East region
No. of building rights 1)
Region 06/30/2018 06/30/2017
Stockholm 14,300 2) 13,900 2)
Malmö/Lund 2,900 3,600
Gothenburg 3) 3,700 3,200
Uppsala 4) 3,700 3,200
Norway 7,900 7,800
Helsinki 3,300 2,700
Belgium 200 200
Total 36,000 34,600
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Increased level of development properties Building rights in Balance Sheet
Jan-Jun
SEK m 2015 2016 2017 2018
Opening balance 6,802 7,067 7,121 7,543
Plus 2,695 1,903 2,017 2,057
Minus -2,430 -1,849 -1,595 -731
Closing balance 7,067 7,121 7,543 8,869
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Project properties
Properties under development 1,100 548 837
Fully developed rental unit properties 1) 224 225 224
Fully developed commercial properties 11 18 13
Total 1,335 791 1,074
SEK m 06/30/2018 06/30/2017 12/31/2017
1) Dalénum, Lidingö, 97 apartments
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Approx. 6 years production in Balance Sheet
No. of building rights 1)
06/30/2018In Balance
SheetHousing
starts 2)Average
period, years 3)
JM Residential Stockholm 8,100 1,144 7.1
JM Residential Sweden 6,400 1,285 5.0
JM International 5,700 877 6.5
JM Property Development 200 265 0.8
Group 20,400 3,571 5.7
1) Residential building rights2) 12-month period3) Guideline value 5 years
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269 267
309 309322
0
100
200
300
400
Q2 2017 Q3 2017 Q4 2017 Q1 2018 Q2 2018
79 unsold residential units in Balance Sheet, SEK 322mSEK m
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Cash flow
Cash flow statement, SEK m Q2
2017Q3
2017Q4
2017Q1
2018Q2
2018
From operating activities 1) 2) 3) 293 574 145 -18 -204
From investing activities -3 -1 -3 -1 -2
From financing activities -697 -225 -128 1 -286
Total cash flow for the quarter -407 348 14 -18 -492
Cash and cash equivalentsend of period 2,211 2,557 2,572 2,564 2,078
1) Of which net investment project properties -104 -98 -196 -118 -116
2) Of which net investment development properties -15 6 -489 -318 -255
3) Of which paid tax -121 -93 -48 -261 -137
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According to segment reporting
Components of profit/loss – housing business Percentage of completion method (gross) Q2 2018 (Q1 2018)
Cost-based effectSEK 420m (440)
Revaluation effectSEK 470m (439)+ +
= Profit/loss for the periodSEK 754m (750)
Sales effectSEK -136m (-129)
Recognized expenses ×contribution margin (for the current period).
Changed assessment about forecast total contribution margin and/or total cost of a project that involves revaluation of recognized profit/loss from earlier periods.
Change in the relationship between stage of completion and sales rate in a period (incoming – outgoing)(Adjustment of accumulated profit for unsold homes).
Always positive Usually positive Positive/negative
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Revaluation effects – housing business
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Business segment Stockholm Sweden International Total
Q1 2018 194 197 48 439
Q2 2018 183 202 85 470
The net of positive and negative revaluation effects in residential projects during Q2 2018 totaled SEK 470m, with current assessment of market
conditions for the actual forecast period.
SEKm Q2 2017 Q3 2017 Q4 2017 Q1 2018 Q2 2018
Group 367 402 487 439 470
JM today
• Customer focused – strong brand
• 36,000 building rights in attractive locations
• Fundamentally favorable prospects
• Cautious market in Stockholm
• Sustainable urban planning
• Efficient management system
• Investments in digital support
• Strong balance sheet – offers freedom of action
• Well balanced risk profile
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Nor, Täby Park, Täby