PROJECT DESCRIPTION & GOALS The Trip Demand Synthesis Process and the aTaxi + Rail Transit Mobility...

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PROJECT DESCRIPTION & GOALS The Trip Demand Synthesis Process and the aTaxi + Rail Transit Mobility Concepts By Julia Phillips Hill Wyrough

Transcript of PROJECT DESCRIPTION & GOALS The Trip Demand Synthesis Process and the aTaxi + Rail Transit Mobility...

Page 1: PROJECT DESCRIPTION & GOALS The Trip Demand Synthesis Process and the aTaxi + Rail Transit Mobility Concepts By Julia Phillips Hill Wyrough.

PROJECT DESCRIPTION& GOALSThe Trip Demand Synthesis Process and the aTaxi + Rail Transit Mobility ConceptsBy

Julia Phillips

Hill Wyrough

Page 2: PROJECT DESCRIPTION & GOALS The Trip Demand Synthesis Process and the aTaxi + Rail Transit Mobility Concepts By Julia Phillips Hill Wyrough.

The Need for Change• New Jersey has 3rd longest commute time in nation1

• Average NJ commuter in traffic over 52 hrs/yr

• Average cost of NJ traffic is $8.3 billion – equivalent to $1,465 per licensed NJ driver

• Total of $345 million in fuel wasted in congestion per annum

1 US Census Bureau 20052 NJIT 2007 – Alternative Performance measures for Evaluating Congestion3 Ibid.4 Ibid.

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Potential within aTransportation• Reduce congestion through ridesharing and greater

utilization of existing NJT railway infrastructure

• Reduce fuel consumption and spending, minimize environmental impact

• Improve highway safety by removing human error

• Create a mode of transportation superior in efficiency, comfort, and availability to existing modes

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aTaxi System• Autonomous Transit as a subgroup of Personal Rapid

Transit• No new infrastructure• Both spatially and temporally specific

• Preexisting technology

• Ability to meet existing demand currently met by automobile industry as well as demand of those presently lacking access to personal transportation

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Goal of ORF467 aTaxi Project• To assess the potential for ridesharing in New Jersey as

comprehensively as possible

• Increase accuracy of data extrapolated by trip generator

through continued collection of real data

• Bulid upon Fall 2012’s findings regarding improved efficiency with relaxation of constraints to: • Destination pixel size (CD – common destination) • Wait times (DD – departure delays)

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Fall 2013 Advancements• Substantially improved employment and patronage data

by:• Correcting data for major employers• Using patronage data and total sales numbers to more accurately

produce employee data

• Time of day data• Factored in NJ Railway Transit

• Multimodal trips• Intrastate rail trips

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Trip Generation• Step 1: Identify population (Age/Gender/Class of Worker)

• Generate number of residents per location• Uniform sampling of ages by range• Assign “traveler types”• Produce income data

# people, Lat, Long

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Trip Generation• Step 2: Assign place of work

• Assign a county > industry > employer per traveler of “work” type

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Trip Generation• Step 3: Assign schools

• Check person’s age/education level/enrollment• Assign to Private (~15%) and Public (~84%) schools• Dormitory students attend closest University

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Trip Generation• Step 4: Assign activity patterns

• Each resident follows a specific type of tour• Tours can consist of between 0 and 7 arcs between Home, Work, School, Other

• 17 Patterns• Type determined by specific demographic data• Averages out to 3.5-4.5 daily trips per person

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Tour Types

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Assumptions• Residents located at centroid of census blocks• Uniform distribution within age intervals• All tours begin and end at home

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Pixelation of New Jersey• Convert New Jersey into a grid system of 0.50mi x 0.50mi

pixels• Convert longitude and latitude as follows:

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Pixelation of New Jersey

NJ State Gride Zoomed-In Grid of Mercer

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Pixelation of New Jersey• Locate an aTaxi stand at the center of each pixel in NJ

• Any trip to within the pixel can be reasonably assumed to be served by nearest aTaxi stand

• All trips within New Jersey can then be converted to trips from aTaxi stand to aTaxi stand

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Deep South Jersey oTrips

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Deep South Jersey oTrips

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South Jersey oTrips

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South Jersey oTrips

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Jersey Shore oTrips

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Jersey Shore oTrips

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Route 18 Corridor oTrips

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Route 18 Corridor oTrips

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Route 206 Corridor oTrips

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Route 206 Corridor oTrips

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North Western New Jersey oTrips

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North Western New Jersey oTrips

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North New Jersey oTrips

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North New Jersey oTrips

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North East New Jersey oTrips

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North East New Jersey oTrips

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Out of State oTrips

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Out of State oTrips

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Trip Type Distributions for NJ

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Distribution of oaTaxiTrips: Hunterdon

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Distribution of oaTaxiTrips: Atlantic

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Distribution of oaTaxiTrips: Salem

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Distribution of oaTaxiTrips: Sussex

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Distribution of oaTaxiTrips: Warren

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Distribution of oaTaxiTrips: Bergen

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Distribution of oaTaxiTrips: Cape May

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Distribution of oaTaxiTrips: Cumberland

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Distribution of oaTaxiTrips: Essex

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Distribution of oaTaxiTrips: Mercer

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Distribution of oaTaxiTrips: Hudson

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Mode Split Model• 3 modes

• Walking/Bicycling• NJ Transit railway• aTaxis

• Walking/Bicycling • Intrazonal• oPixel adjacent to dPixel

• Train• All trips to/from NYC or Philadelphia• Trips originating or ending near train stations• Can be combined with aTaxi and/or walking

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Mode Split Model

NJ Transit Rail Lines Congested Roadways NJDOT Statewide Capital Investment Strategy FY2008

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Geographic Distribution of oTrainTrips

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Geographic Distribution of ShortTrips

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Geographic Distribution of oaTaxiTrips

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Breakdown of Trip Types