Professor McKenzie Discussion Problems and Answers
-
Upload
kramakrishna1 -
Category
Documents
-
view
15 -
download
0
Transcript of Professor McKenzie Discussion Problems and Answers
Week #1 Discussion Problem
Tip Pooling At a restaurant near where the professor for this course lives, tipping servers is common
(generally between 15 and 20 percent of the total bill). The restaurant has two distinct
areas, the bar (or lounge) area where alcoholic drinks dominate people’s orders and the
“casual dining” area where whole meals. Two bartenders serve all customers in the bar.
That is, they each do not have assigned tables and bar stools. A dozen or more servers
attend to the tables in the casual dining area. Each server in this area has assigned tables.
The restaurant’s management has an interesting policy regarding tips. The two
bartenders on duty “pool” their tips and divide the total at the end of their shifts. The
servers in the rest of the restaurant keep the tips that they receive from their assigned
table. In other words, there is no tip pooling in the casual dining area.
1. First and only step in the discussion
a. Why does the restaurant management have tip pooling in the bar and not
the rest of the restaurant?
The problem of tip pooling has many of the incentive problems evident in
“communal property” or “common-access resources,” which can become
real problems when each person’s contribution to the total is
inconsequential and monitoring of all others’ contributions is costly.
(Pollution can occur for this reason.) But with only two bartenders in the
bar, each bartender can reason his/her efforts can materially affect the total
tips collected. Each can also watch the other for shirking (or not working
hard to gain tips), and each can retaliate with shirking.
In the casual dining area of the restaurant, there are a number of servers
who will share in the total tips when tip pooling is the policy. Each has an
impaired incentive to work hard to contribute to the total tips. Each only
receives a minor share of the total tips, and will only get a portion of any
increase in tips due to his/her diligence.
Hence, bartenders will likely agree to tip pooling when there are two (or
few) bartenders. When there are a “large” number of severs, tip pooling
can be a problem for management – and servers.
b. Why doesn’t management have all bartenders and servers pool their tips
and divide the total?
If all bartenders and servers pooled their tips, the prospects of shirking
will increase. Some staff members may naturally be inclined to work at a
slow pace. Others may work at a slow pace because others are doing so,
and each person can reason that the loss of total tips will be shared by all.
c. Management has instituted the tip-pooling/no-tip-pooling policy in the
different areas of the restaurant. Is management’s policy one that the
bartenders and servers would choose if they were in control of restaurant
policy on tips?
Yes, management has likely instituted a policy that is a win-win for
management and bartenders/servers. The bartenders/servers would likely
choose the same policy that management has, because of the win-win.
d. If the restaurant were to expand to where the count of bartenders required
to cover all patrons in the bar increased to, say, a dozen or two dozen
bartenders, how would management’s policy on tip pooling in the bar area
likely change? Would the bartenders likely agree to the policy change?
With a substantial increase in number of bartenders, the problem of
shirking would likely rise. The bartenders would likely press management
for each bartenders being assigned tables and stools and to abandon tip
pooling (at least beyond some expansion of the bar).
e. If management required tip pooling across all bartenders and servers in the
restaurant, what would likely happen to the required monetary earnings of
bartenders and servers both in the short run (during which people cannot
shift jobs) and the long run (during which they can seek?
Initially, the tip earnings of all bartenders and servers would likely fall as
shirking rose, due to the increase in the number of people pooling tips (and
their falling impact on total tips). However, in the long run, such broad-
based tip pooling could cause bartenders and servers to seek employment
elsewhere. If management wants to retain employees with broad tip
pooling (and the resulting increase in shirking), then management would
have to raise workers’ compensation in some form just to keep them under
the rising risk of shirking by all. This required increase in compensation
would likely pressure management to reduce the scope of tip pooling.
Week #2 Discussion Problem
Student Choices Consider a hundred students who have been asked to choose one of these two options:
Option A. Students choosing this option will receive a certain payoff of $800.
Option B: Students choosing this option have one opportunity to pull one “ticket” from
a barrel of tickets (which they cannot see). In the barrel 85 percent of the tickets are
worth $1,000; 15 percent are worth $0.
1. First step in the discussion: Which option would you take? (Which option did
other members of your group pick, if you have a group? What is the percentage
distribution of the group in the choices taken?)
To be determined by students and their groups. There is no right or wrong
answer.
2. Second step in the discussion: Suppose that 80 percent of the hundred students
choose Option A and 20 percent choose Option B.
(These two choice options have been given students in experiments classroom
settings, with the percentage of students taking Option A varying between 75
and 85 percent.)
a. Are the choices of either group “irrational” (or “not rational”)? Why or
why not?
No, neither choice is “irrational.” Some students (a majority in this
case) can be “risk averse” and will prefer the sure-thing outcome
($800) to the gamble, which does have a higher expected value ($850 =
[85% x $1,000] + [15% x $0])
b. Is there “money being left on the table” by the choices either group of
students made? Which group? If so, are their choices irrational? Why or
why not?
From the answer to 2a, there is “money being left on the table,” in a
sense. The eighty students who choose Option A receive a total of
$64,000 (80 x $800). If all of these students had chosen Option B, their
total payoff would have been $68,000 (85% x 80 x $1,000)– which
means that $4,000 is, in a sense, being left on the table. However,
choosing individually, the value of the certain payoff of $800 for each
student is greater than the cost (or “disutility”) of their individually
running the risk of getting nothing.
c. If “money is being left on the table,” how might the money be picked up?
Develop at least two ways.
There are at least three possible ways “entrepreneurs” can collect the
“money being left on the table”:
The eighty students could collectively decide to choose
Option B. They can then divide expected total received
($68,000) equally , with each of the eighty students
receiving $850.
Some smart student could sell each student inclined to
choose Option A an insurance policy that provides
protection against getting nothing.
Some smart student (an “entrepreneur”) could offer the
students inclined to choose Option A a fixed payment of
more than $800 (and less than $850), say, $810 to choose
Option B and hand over the “ticket” value (whether
$1,000 or $0). If the smart student gets all (or just a
sizable percentage) of the students inclined to choose
Option A to pick Option B, then the smart student will
receive a “profit” of $40 on each student persuaded to
take the deal.
If one smart student figures out how to make money off
of students inclined to choose Option A, then other
students can be expected to try to do the same. The
competition among the student-entrepreneurs that
ensues should drive up the payments received by the
students inclined to take Option A and drive down the
profits of those student-entrepreneurs making the
buyouts.
3. Third step in the discussion:
a. Suppose that Option A were changed to $600, while Option B
remained the same?
i. How might the distribution of the choices of the hundred
students be expected to change? Why or why not?
In any large group, members (the students) can be
expected to vary in how they assess risk (or their “risk
aversion” will vary). As the Option A payoff falls from
$800 toward $600, more and more students will see the
growing difference in the value of the two options and
will be inclined to take Option B, the value of which has
remained at $850. This suggests that the percentage of
students taking Option A can be expected to fall, while
the percentage of students taking Option B can be
expected to rise.
ii. What applicable economic principle will be at work in
making your prediction of the change in the distribution of
choices?
The applicable economic principle: the “law of
demand” (or the expected inverse relationship between
price and quality, assuming all other relevant forces on
choice remaining constant). With the decline in the
value of Option A, the cost (or price) of choosing Option
B goes down, which suggests more students will choose
Option B.
b. Suppose that Option A remained the same (a sure-thing of $800), but
Option B is changed to the following conditions: Eighty-five percent
of the tickets in the barrel are worth $10 each; 15 percent of the tickets
are worth $0 each. However, students are each given a hundred draws
from the barrel.
i. How might the distribution of the choices of the students
between A and B be expected to change? Why?
Variance of outcomes is importance in choices (because
variance can affect outcomes and the utility of given
choices). The variance in the problem as initially set up is
quite high and stark. The outcome for each student can be
$1,000 or $0. In this new specification of the problem,
students have a chance of receiving either $10 or $0 on each
draw, but they each have a hundred draws. The total value
of all hundred draws can go all the way between $0 (they
draw all $0 tickets) to $1,000 (they draw all $10 tickets).
They can also be expected to draw different combinations
of $10 and $0 tickets. Their individual totals can, for
example, be $400 or $600 or $950. The expected value of
their hundred draws is $850. Since the variance is lower in
this specification of the problem, more students would be
expected to choose Option B.
ii. What applicable economic principle will be at work in making
your prediction of the change in the distribution of choices?
Again, the applicable economic principle: the “law of
demand.” With lower variance for Option B, the cost
(price) of choosing Option B falls. The “quantity” of
Option B chosen can be expected to rise.
Week # 3 Discussion Problem (Note, there are no Professor McKenzie answers for this week)
Gasoline Price Controls As reported in the New York Times on October 30, 2012, Hurricane Sandy, widely
described as a “superstorm,” made landfall on October 29 on the New Jersey coast, but
because the hurricane was a thousand miles in diameter, it wreaked havoc along the
Eastern Coast of the United States from the North Carolina’s Outer Banks up to the
coasts of the New England states.
The storm destroyed thousands of homes and businesses and shut down transportation
systems throughout the region as the storm made its way inland to Ohio and points
beyond. Roads for miles inland were flooded and buried in sand carried inland by the
storm surge. Even the New York subway was closed because of flooding, and emergency
back-up generators at hospitals, businesses, and homes failed after being submerged in
water.
Most important for this week’s discussion problem, Sandy knocked out electric power for
up to nine million residents at its peak (with electricity still not restored for tens of
thousands of residents three weeks after the storm’s landfall). Gasoline refineries and
gasoline distribution terminals along the coast had to be shut down. Available gasoline
supplies could not, for a time, be produced and delivered to gasoline stations. However,
the lack of fuel was of no consequence for many gasoline stations because they had lost
electricity for their pumps.
Reports emerged of people waiting in line for hours to fill their cars or five-gallon
containers at the gasoline stations that continued to operate. Throughout the initial weeks
following Sandy’s landfall, service stations were restricted in raising their prices by “anti-
price-gouging laws” on the books in New Jersey and New York. Governors in both states
warned service station owners that they stood ready to enforce the price laws, with
“gouging” subject to interpretations of local law enforcers (although reports surfaced of
some stations hiking prices by as much as $1 a gallon immediately following the storm’s
passage).
1. First step in the discussion: Assume a competitive market for gasoline for this
problem, and assume for now that the price of gasoline was held everywhere to its
pre-storm price. Given the descriptions of Sandy’s devastation effects outlined above
(and what else you can find on the extent of devastation online),
a. Draw a supply-and-demand graph for gasoline in the region affected by Sandy prior to
the superstorm. Label the curves S1 and D1.
b. In your graph, draw in the supply of gasoline immediately following the storm. Label
the new supply curve with S2. Why did you draw the curve where you did?
c. In your graph, draw in the demand curve after the storm. Label the new demand curve
with D2. Why did you draw the curve where you did?
d. Given the reports of long lines at service stations and the anti-price-gouging laws, what
should be the relative shifts in demand and supply in your graph in the weeks after the
storm hit.
1. Second step in the discussion: Given what you can observe in your redrawn graph,
a. What effect effects do the gasoline price controls have on the quantity of gasoline
available (relative to what it would have been if there had been no price control)?
b. What effect has the controls on gasoline prices done to the quantity of gasoline
demanded (relative to what it would have been if there had been no price control)?
c. What has been the net market effect of the price control?
1. Third step in the discussion:
a. What has the price control done to the “nominal pump price” of gasoline?
b. What has the price control done to the “full price” (pump price plus the value of the
wait time)?
c. Is the full price the same for all people seeking gasoline?
d. Is the pump price above or below the full price?
e. Has the price control made people better off or worse off?
f. Would you expect economists to generally favor anti-price-gouging laws?
1. Fourth step in the discussion:
a. As noted, reports surfaced that some service stations raised their price of a gallon of
gas by as much as $1.
i. Using your supply-and-demand graphs, what would have been the effects of such a
price increase?
ii. Was the price increase all “profit” to the stations that raised their prices? Put another
way, were there greater costs refineries and stations inside and outside the storm area had
to incur after the storm?
b. The federal government released 2.3 million gallons of gasoline from its reserves.
Referring to your supply-and-demand curves, what would you predict would be the
effects of that release of gasoline?
Week #4 Discussion Problem
Week #4 was skipped.
Week #5 Discussion Problem
U.S. restrictions on the importation of Brazilian ethanol The United States requires gasoline refineries to include ethanol in gasoline, equal to 10
percent of each gallon sold in the country. U.S. ethanol is primarily made from corn
grown in the country.
Brazil is second to the United States in terms of the total volume of ethanol produced
and, because of advanced technology used, is an exporter of ethanol, which is produced
primarily from sugarcane. Brazil also requires refineries to make ethanol to account for
between 10 and 22 percent of each gallon of gasoline sold.
The United States bars the importation of Brazilian ethanol.
All correct alternatives are indicated with an asterisk (*)
First step in the discussion:
1. What does the U.S. ethanol requirement for gasoline do to the (equilibrium)
price of corn in the domestic market?
a. *increases
b. decreases
c. remains the same
d. don’t know (not enough information to say)
Why have you given the answer you have?
The ethanol requirement increases the domestic demand for corn, thus causing
the price to go up. In terms of a supply-and-demand graph, the demand curve
shifts up and to the right.
The process: At the initial equilibrium price, there will be a shortage (with the
quantity demanded increasing with the increase in demand, and with the
quantity supply remaining the same, at least initially). Buyers will bid up the
price, causing the quantity demanded to fall and the quantity supplied to
increase, until both quantities are the same at the new intersection
(equilibrium).
2. What does the U.S. ethanol requirement for gasoline do to the price of corn in
the world market?
a. *increases
b. decreases
c. remains the same
d. don’t know (not enough information to say)
Why?
More U.S. corn will be used in ethanol production, which means the world
supply of corn can be expected to fall, causing an increase in the world price
and less corn consumed in the world.
Please work through the process by which the new equilibrium is
achieved.
3. What does the U.S. ethanol requirement for gasoline do to the price of
popcorn corn in the domestic market?
a. *increases
b. decreases
c. remains the same
d. don’t know (not enough information to say)
Why?
With the increase in the price of corn used in ethanol production, the relative
profitability of growing popcorn will fall, which will cause popcorn farmers to
shift to corn used in ethanol. The supply of popcorn will fall (move up and to
the left), with the price increasing.
Please work through the process by which the new equilibrium is
achieved.
4. What does the U.S. ethanol requirement for gasoline do to the quantity of U.S.
corn exported?
a. increases
b. *decreases
c. remains the same
d. don’t know (not enough information to say)
Why?
Because of the ethanol-induced greater profitability of growing corn for the
U.S. market, more U.S. corn will be diverted to ethanol, causing the quantity
of corn available for export to decrease.
Please work through the process by which the new equilibrium is
achieved.
5. What does the Brazilian ethanol requirement for gasoline do to the price of
sugar in the domestic market? In the world market?
a. *increases
b. decreases
c. remains the same
d. don’t know (not enough information to say)
Why?
The Brazilian ethanol requirement can increase the demand for sugarcane and
divert the available supply of sugarcane to ethanol production. The supply of
sugar will decrease, which will cause the price of sugar to rise.
Please work through the process by which the new equilibrium is
achieved.
6. What does the ethanol requirement in both countries do to the price of
gasoline in both countries?
a. *increases
b. decreases
c. remains the same
d. don’t know (not enough information to say)
Why?
If ethanol were less costly to produce (per unit of energy) than refined
gasoline, the ethanol requirements would not be needed. In their search for
greater profits (and higher stock prices), refineries would move to ethanol.
Hence, we can reason that ethanol must be more costly to produce than
gasoline – because of the requirements. Gasoline with ethanol must be more
costly to price than gasoline without ethanol, which means the supply of
gasoline will decrease and the price will increase.
Please work through the process by which the new equilibrium is
achieved.
Second step in the discussion:
1. What does the U.S. ethanol import restriction do to the price of gasoline in the
United States?
a. *increases
b. decreases
c. remains the same
d. don’t know (not enough information to say)
Why?
The import restriction would not be needed if U.S. ethanol were less costly
than Brazilian ethanol. Hence, the import restriction increases the production
cost of a gallon of gasoline in the United States over what it would be were
refineries able to import freely Brazilian ethanol.
Please work through the process by which the new equilibrium is
achieved.
2. What does the U.S. ethanol import restriction do to the price of gasoline in
Brazil?
a. increases
b. *decreases
c. remains the same
d. don’t know (not enough information to say)
Why?
The U.S. import restriction means that there will be a greater supply of
ethanol in the Brazilian economy than would be the case without the U.S.
import restriction. The relatively greater supply would cause the price to be
lower.
Please work through the process by which the new equilibrium is
achieved.
7. What does the ethanol requirement in both countries do to the price of
gasoline in the world market?
a. increases
b. *decreases
c. remains the same
d. don’t know (not enough information to say)
Why?
The ethanol requirement in both country would reduce the world demand for
crude oil, the price of which can be expected to fall because of the ethanol
requirements. Also, with the United States and Brazil using less crude oil
because of the required ethanol requirement and because of the resulting
higher prices of gasoline in the two countries, there will be a greater supply of
crude oil to satisfy the energy needs of all other world buyers. The world
demand outside of the United States and Brazil falls; the available supply of
crude oil for all other countries increases. Both supply and demand forces on
the world market would push the price of crude downward, which will feed
into a lower gasoline price for all other countries.
Please work through the process by which the new equilibrium is
achieved.
3. What does the U.S. ethanol import restriction do to the emissions of
greenhouse gases in the United States?
a. increases
b. *decreases
c. remains the same
d. don’t know (not enough information to say)
Why?
If ethanol causes the emission of lower greenhouse gases than gasoline (and
there is debate on this point because corn production is energy intense), then
the lower use of gasoline in the United States and Brazil will lower
greenhouse emissions. Also, the higher price of gasoline in the two countries,
because of the ethanol requirement, can lead to less miles traveled and, again,
to lower greenhouse gas emissions in the two countries.
However, it needs to be noted that the lower price for crude oil on the world
market, and the resulting lower price of gasoline outside the United States and
Brazil, should give rise to some offsetting increase in miles driven around the
world – and more greenhouse gases emitted in places other than in Brazil and
the United states.
Please work through the process by which the new equilibrium is
achieved.
Third step in the discussion:
1. What does the U.S. restriction on the importation of ethanol from Brazil do to
U.S. exports to Brazil?
a. increase
b. *decrease
c. remain the same
d. don’t know (not enough information to say)
Why?
The U.S. import restriction on Brazilian ethanol will mean fewer external
sales for Brazilians who will have fewer dollars to buy U.S. goods, which
means lower U.S. exports.
Please work through the process by which the new equilibrium is
achieved.
2. What does the U.S. restriction on the importation of ethanol from Brazil do to
the cost of producing energy in the United States?
a. *increases
b. decreases
c. remains the same
d. don’t know (not enough information to say)
Why?
There would be no need for an import restriction of Brazilian ethanol if it
were more expensive than U.S. ethanol. Hence, the import restriction
increases the price of gasoline in the United States over what it would be with
free importation.
Please work through the process by which the new equilibrium is
achieved.
Week #6 Discussion Problem
Elasticity of demand Suppose that a movie theater faces a downward sloping demand curve for popcorn, and it
increases the price of a container of popcorn from $1 to $1.20, which causes the count of
containers sold to fall from 100 to 90.
First step in the discussion:
1. What is the elasticity coefficient?
Elasticity of demand = - the percentage change in quantity/percentage change
in price = - 10%/20% = - .5
2. Is the demand elastic or inelastic?
Inelastic, as indicated by the elasticity coefficient that is below 1 and as
indicated by the fact that total revenues rise from $100 to $108 with the price
increase.
3. Should the theater consider raising the price of popcorn further?
Yes. A higher price could once again raise the firm’s revenues. The higher
price would also reduce sales, which would reduce costs, making for higher
profits.
Second step in the discussion:
1. When a firm faces a downward sloping demand curve, should it ever price its
product in the inelastic range of the demand curve?
No, aside for when the good is addictive or has network effects. Aside for the
exceptions, the firm should raise its price until it moves into the elastic range
of its demand curve.
2. Should the firm ever price it product where its elasticity coefficient is 1?
No, with an exception noted below. The firm may maximize its revenue at the
price where the elasticity coefficient equals 1, but that is not the same as
maximizing profits. The firm can increase its profit by raising the price to
where its demand is elastic (or has an elasticity coefficient greater than 1),
which means its total revenue will decline as it raise it price from where the
coefficient equals 1 to where it is greater than 1. However, its profits can rise
because its costs fall with reduced sales. So long as its costs fall by more than
its revenue, its profits will rise. The firm should stop raising its price when its
revenue falls by more than its costs. (As we will see in following lectures, the
applicable rule is that the firm should continue to raise its price until its
marginal cost equals its marginal revenue.)
The only condition under which a firm will price where the elasticity
coefficient is 1 is when all production costs are fixed, or do not vary with firm
output. (Can you think of a product that fits such a requirement?)
3. When a firm is a monopolist (or the only seller of a product), should it price
its product in the elastic or inelastic range of its demand curve?
The monopolist should price its product in the elastic range (for the reason
given just above).
4. If a firm faces a downward sloping demand curve that has an elasticity
coefficient of 1 throughout its entire range, what quantity should the firm
produce to fully maximize profits?
The profit-maximizing output level is 1. With the elasticity coefficient equal
to 1 at all points on the demand curve, the revenue at all points on the demand
curve, and at all prices, is the same. Why produce more than 1 unit? The firm
gets the same revenue with an output of 1 as with an output of 100, or 1,000.
At an output of 1, productions costs are minimized, which means that profit is
maximized.
5. Should a firm ever charge a price that is below (marginal) cost or that is below
zero (which means the firm pays customers to take the product)?
If the firm produces an addictive good or the sales of its good have
accompanying network effects, then pricing below costs and below zero can
make sense. In the case of addictive good, the added sales can cause
consumers to want more of the good over time, which means that below-cost
and below-zero pricing can increase future demand, with the higher future
price and sales justifying any loss on sales made initially with a below-cost
and below-zero price.
In the case of a good with network effects, greater current sales, induced by
the below-cost and below-zero price, can increase the value all consumers
place on their units bought, increasing demand. The higher demand can lead
to a higher price and higher sales and greater profits. (See video lecture 30
and chapter 6 in McKenzie’s Microeconomics for MBAs, 2nd
ed.)
Week #7 Discussion Problem
Wine pouring in bars Tipping servers in bars is common in the United States and many other places around the
world. This typically means that bar patrons leave a gratuity of 15 to 20 percent of the
total bar bill for the bartender(s) (when customers judge the service to be acceptable or
better).
In many bars bartenders are required to first pour ordered glasses of wine into carafes (or
small bottles tapered at the top) and then to pour the wine from the carafes into
customers’ glasses on reaching them at their positions at the bar or at tables surrounding
the bar.
First step in the discussion:
1. If possible, go to a local bar (or restaurant that serves wine) that follows the
wine-pouring procedures outlined above and ask the bartenders why they just
don’t pour the wine directly into their customers’ wine glasses and take the
wine glasses to the customers?
You will likely hear (as the professor has heard) that the carafes are used (in
spite of the greater dish-washing costs) because it helps create a desired
“ambience” in the bar, which could be a partial explanation because the
resulting increase in traffic can more than cover the (very likely small) added
dishwashing costs.
Members of your group could have heard other explanations. Just evaluate
each for their economic reasonableness (or in terms of solving some
management problems and in terms of costs and benefits).
2. Develop your own explanation for the required wine pouring procedures
based on principal-agent analysis.
The owners of the bar are the principals who want to maximize their return by
employing bartenders to pour wine as cost effectively as possible. This means
they do not want bartenders to use firm resources for their own private gain
(unless the bartenders are willing to take a cut in pay). The bartenders, who
are hired agents, want to maximize their return from work by using the
resources at their command, including the bottles of wine over which they
have some control in how the wine is pour. The carafes are used to control
the bartenders’ inclination to over pour their favored customers. It’s harder to
over pour with the carafes (because of their narrow necks) than with the wine
glasses.
3. How might tipping affect wine pouring by bartenders if they poured wine
directly into wine glasses (especially large wine glasses that bars often use to
encourage drinking)?
Bartenders get to know many of their regular customers, including how much
they typically tip. Bartenders can over pour wine for their regular customers
who can be counted on to over tip (or the extent to which they are “big
tippers”). Customers can compensate the bartenders for the extra wine with
an extra tip. Thus, agents can use the principal’s resources (wine) to pad their
pockets, with the principals incurring the added cost for wine.
Because of this principal-agent problems in bars, managers often check how
much wine has been poured in total against cash register receipts. This means
that if bartenders over pour their regular big tippers, they must under pour
other customers just to make sure their over pouring is not detected, and the
under pouring can cost the bar customers and revenues.
4. How might the bartenders’ wine pouring affect tipping?
Needless to say, customers who get more wine than expected, can be expected
to reward bartenders with higher tips, which can cause the bartenders to
extend their over pouring (and round and round until the over pouring is
detectible by managers).
Second step in the discussion:
1. What’s the basic problem that the wine pouring procedures are intended to
solve?
Very simply, principal-agent problems, or the cost of the over pouring is
shifted to owners in the form of reduced profits.
2. If bartenders are not required to follow the wine pouring procedures outlined
above, how else might management seek to solve the “problem” you
identified in the previous question?
It should be interesting to learn what monitoring/control systems students find
managers use in bars they visit. One of the most common means bars use to
control over pouring is for the manager to watch what bartenders do. The
professor has seen some bars put a wine glass at the “pouring station” with a
green line around the glass that the poured wine is not to exceed (with the
added requirement that bartenders pour all drinks at the pouring station). Bars
also have cameras aimed at the pouring station to catch offending bartenders.
3. Is the “problem” you have identified a problem in all bars? In what situations
is the “problem” more likely to be found?
The problem of over pouring and over tipping does not appear to be a problem
everywhere. Managers may have few pouring controls in place when they
know they can trust their bartenders, maybe from long years of the bartenders
working at the bar (and their reputations for honest dealing in prior bar jobs).
Obviously, there is no principal-agent problem for bartenders who own their
bars. When they over pour wine for customers, bit tippers of just friends, the
excess wine comes out of their own pockets. It follows that control
procedures are likely used with greater frequency when owners/managers
can’t monitor bartenders, at least not directly and at little cost.
However, keep in mind that some bars will want to use excess pours as a form
of promotion, or to get customers coming back (or to reward frequent
customers). For this reason, the owners of some bars give their bartenders
some leeway in over pouring (and can reward bartenders for effective use of
their discretion on over pouring).
Week #8 Discussion Problem
Opportunities and Business Decisions Suppose you are in a crowded restaurant. You overhear a discussion at the next table.
From what you hear, you deduce (accurately) that one of people is the owner of a
prominent upscale nursery in Newport Beach, California where land values are higher
than most other locations in other parts of Orange County, California, and land values in
Orange County are higher than the vast majority of counties in the country (and even in a
number of other counties of Southern California).
The eight or so acres of land on which the nursery sits are especially well positioned, and
are very pricy. The piece of land is within a mile or two of the Pacific Ocean and is on
the perimeter of a major upscale shopping center that is one of the most profitable
shopping centers in the county. The nursery and shopping center are surrounded by
densely packed multimillion-dollar homes. One real estate agent estimates that if the
land were vacant today, it would sell for about $15 million.
You hear one of the people at the close-by table ask about how the nursery can continue
to operate on such a well-positioned and high-price piece of land. The owner explains,
“Well, my father bought the property way back in the 1970s when the area was far less
developed and the land was relatively cheap. If we had to buy the land today, there is no
way we could afford to buy the land and develop the nursery. The land would probably
be used for another shopping center or condo development.”
This restaurant conversation presents an interesting economic/business problem to
ponder, even though there may not be a definitive answer (because we don’t have all the
required details of the nursery’s operations, including its profitability). But then, many
business problems that must be taken up in a course in skeleton form don’t have
definitive answers (because of the limitations of available information). However, such
problems can bring to light concepts and principles and ways of thinking that can be
useful in considering an array of problems where the details may be far more complete.
.
1. First and only step in the discussion:
a. How do you react to the nursery owner’s claim that he could not buy
the land and develop the nursery today and that the land would be used
in some alternative business venture?
One way of looking at the issue is this: If the owner has truly
accurately assessed the real estate market in the vicinity of his nursery,
then he is saying that that he could not “afford” to buy the land today.
Interpreted differently, he is saying that the expected future
profitability of the nursery going forward in time is not sufficient for
him to pay the going price for the land. If the expected profitability of
the nursery going forward were more than sufficient to cover the cost
of the land and nursery facilities (and the differential between the
present value of the nursery’s future profits stream were greater than
the price of the land), then he should be willing to buy the land and
start the nursery. Otherwise, he would be leaving “money on the
table.”
Of course, there is an important caveat to keep in mind: if he could
invest the funds required to buy the land (and cover the cost of the
nursery’s development) in some other business venture that yielded a
higher expected profit stream into the future, then he should not buy
the land. He should invest in the most profitable other business
venture.
b. If the owner has accurately assessed the economic situation of the
nursery, what should he do?
By saying he could not afford to buy the land today, he is saying one
or both of two things: First, the current value of the expected profit
stream of the nursery cannot cover the cost of the land (and other
facilities). Again, if the current value of the profit stream were greater
than the cost of the land (and facilities), he would buy the land today.
Second, he could be saying that the price of the land is so high that he
could sell the land and invest the funds in some other venture that
would be more profitable over time (or he can get a price for his land
that reflects the higher expected profit stream someone else could get
from the deployment of the land in some other use or business
venture).
c. If the nursery owner continues to operate his business, how might you
explain his doing so, in spite of his saying that he would not start the
nursery today because of the high price of the land on which it sits?
By continuing to hold the land and operate the nursery, there is good
reason to suspect (not know) that the owner has not revealed the true
economics of continuing to operate the nursery.
The profit stream might be higher than he let on.
The land could have a lower market value than he thinks.
He gets some non-money value (the pleasure from knowing he
has the premier nursery county that has become a tourist
attraction) from operating the nursery that more than
compensates for the lack of profitability of the nursery.
He might not know of other business ventures that will give
him a higher rate of return on the sale price of his nursery
business.
The owner’s personal (and transaction) costs of selling out and
developing a new business (or buying another existing
business) are greater than any expected gain he might receive.
The owner might also be constrained by the fact that a number
of family members (and investors) may not agree on what
should be done. The owners might not agree on selling out and
on the division of the sale price.
Now that the nursery has been developed on the land and is a
going, profitable business, the owner no longer needs to worry
about the risk of undertaking a new business. There is no
longer the “risk cost” associated with starting a new, untested
business concept. If the owner were to buy the land today at its
current high price to start a nursery today, he would face the
nontrivial risks of failure, with the risk costs elevated by the
high upfront investment in the land and in the development of
the business, which could now be greater than what the risk
costs were back in the 1970s, when competition was less
prevalent and intense.
So-called “behavioral economists” (whose theories will come
up at different points in the course) argue that people are “risk
averse,” which suggests that losses of a given amount (say,
$100) loom larger in decisions in all spheres, including
business, than an equal amount of gains ($100 of losses harbor
more disutility than $100 of gains). Risk (and loss) aversion
implies that people will require a higher sale payment for a
piece of property when they own it than they would pay out of
pocket when they do not own it. So, the owner might demand
$21 million before he would sell the land on which the nursery
sits, but, at the same time, he would not pay the going market
price of $15 million for the land if he did not own it. (Granted,
this line of argument has not been taken up in the lectures –
yet. I briefly and incompletely cover it here just in case some
students (out of the thousands taking the course) are familiar
with the basic tenets of behavioral economics, a basic position
of which is that people do not always act exactly as economists
assume rational people act.)
Week #9 Discussion Problem
Monopoly Vs. Perfect Competition Following conventional market-structure theory, perfect competition (a market structure
comprised of many firms and total fluidity in the movement of resources) maximizes
output and market efficiency but reduces economic profit to zero for all firms. Monopoly
(a market structure comprised of a single producer protected by entry barriers) reduces
output below the perfectly competitive level in order to hike its price and generate
economic profits. In the process, a monopoly causes the market to be less than fully
efficient. The monopoly reduces consumer surplus by reducing output and by extracting
monopoly profits.
First step in the discussion:
1. Do you accept the argument that “perfect competition” is all “good” and
“monopoly” (or “monopoly power”) is all “bad”? Why? Why not?
2. Would you want an economy that largely perfectly competitive or largely
monopoly, or some combination?
3. How do you assess barriers to market entry in terms of enhancing consumer
welfare?
4. Would you invest your own resources in the development of a product that
will go into a perfectly competitive market? Why? Why not?
Professors McKenzie and Dwight Lee have addressed all of these issues extensively
in a book titled In Defense of Monopoly: How Market Power Fosters Creative
Production (University of Michigan Press, 2008). Professor McKenzie has excerpter
many of the arguments for an article written for a policy magazine, a major portion
of which is provided below.
TEXTBOOK MONOPOLY
Many economists and antitrust lawyers have concluded that the problem with antitrust
enforcement largely has been a matter of wrongful application of monopoly theory. A
better diagnosis is that a deeply flawed conventional monopoly theory has misguided,
and continues to misguide, enforcement.
All budding antitrust lawyers and economists learn the conventional monopoly
theory, which is almost always depicted with a graph like Figure 1. From such a graph
and underlying theory, four theoretical conclusions, all of which paint monopoly as
nothing less than a source of “market failure,” are drawn:
First, monopolies everywhere lead to curbs on production to achieve higher-than-
competitive prices. That allows a monopoly to collect “rents” — supracompetitive profits
— and impose an “inefficiency” or “deadweight loss” on markets. In Figure 1, the
monopoly restricts production, reducing it from the competitive output level where price
equals marginal cost, to the point where marginal revenue equals marginal cost. That
enables the firm to raise its price to the monopoly price, which is above the competitive
price (and the marginal cost of production). Efficiency in the allocation of resources is
always fully maximized when price equals marginal cost, or so students are required to
repeat in rote fashion.
Second, the monopoly benefits from barriers to competitors’ entering the market and
thus gains pricing power (caused by market dominance, if not just bigness), a practice
that is (conventionally) antithetical to competition and welfare gain. The barriers enable
the monopoly to maintain its supply constraint, monopoly profits, and the deadweight
loss of consumer welfare.
Third, the monopoly achieves rents that are unearned and forcibly taken from
consumers’ “surplus value” (the whole of the area under the demand curve and above the
marginal cost curve in Figure 1).
Fourth, “perfect competition” — a market in which all resources are perfectly fluid
and in which monopoly rents are nowhere achievable — should be viewed as the goal to
which antitrust enforcement presses real-world markets. Then, consumers would get their
entire consumer surplus (including the striped rectangle and triangle in the graph), which
is to say that consumer welfare is maximized.
The conclusion is that antitrust enforcers enhance consumer welfare when they
prevent or destroy barriers to market entry and increase the number of competitors —and
thereby undermine the market power of monopolies.
(Figure 1 is at the end of the article.)
THE REAL WORLD
That’s all nice theory, but it is grossly misleading for several reasons.
From the theory on which antitrust law is founded, one has to wonder why
competitors to a dominant monopoly firm would press for antitrust complaints against a
monopolist when the monopolist acts like one — that is, when it curbs production to hike
its price. Would that not mean the monopoly would be giving its competitors a chance to
gain market share even with higher prices? Would competitors really want their market to
be made even more competitive through antitrust enforcement, as Microsoft’s
competitors indicated they wanted when they proposed the breakup of Microsoft into two
“Baby Bills”? Clearly, William Baumol and Janusz Ordover damned much antitrust
enforcement when they observed, “Paradoxically, then and only then, when the joint
venture [or other market action] is beneficial [to consumers], can those rivals be relied
upon to denounce the undertaking as ‘anticompetitive.’”
Notice also how the theoretical model rigs the debate. Both in Figure 1 and in abstract
discussions of monopoly, the monopolized product and the monopoly itself are subjected
to analysis only after the firm and product have come to dominate the market. Nothing is
said about how the monopoly arose. Could it not have arisen by besting its competition
with a superior product at a lower (or even higher) price?
IGNORING THE GOOD Setting that issue aside, in the market model portrayed in the
graph, any output level below the idealized competitive output level that the monopoly
causes is considered to be detrimental to consumers. Consumers have less to buy and
must pay an inflated price for what they are able to buy because of the monopolist’s
constricted market supply. Thus, the argument goes, consumers lose the potential welfare
gain that goes up in the smoke of the monopoly profits and in the market inefficiency.
Because the good itself and all that went into bring it to market are not considered by the
analysis, the analysis simply assumes that the monopoly has no just claim to any
consumer surplus.
However, products bought and sold in real-world markets do not appear by
assumption, or fall like manna from heaven. Monopolies do not achieve their dominance
for no good reason (unless established by government fiat). Products and their markets
have to be created and developed with significant initial investments. Once those points
are recognized, a monopoly that is alone responsible for achieving its market dominance
will not want to restrict output. On the contrary,
The monopoly expands total output along with the array of available products.
The monopolist does not charge higher prices; it lowers them.
Consumer welfare is not lowered; it is elevated (at the very least equal to the
triangular area in Figure 1 that is above the monopoly price and below the demand
curve).
The monopolist does not produce inefficiently; the identified inefficiency area in
the graph would not likely exist in many monopolized markets were it not for the
prospect of the monopoly profits.
Without the monopoly product, many products of monopoly would not exist in the
first place.
Rents are not an unjustified cash grab, they are likely the impetus for creating the
product in the first place.
When the product is created by the monopoly, the claim that the monopoly has no
just claim on the consumer surplus surely loses at least some of its force.
Of course, a monopoly would not restrict its output and elevate its price if it faced
perfectly competitive market conditions. But if a potential monopolist anticipated
anything close to perfectly competitive market conditions, it would not create the good in
the first place because there would be no incentive to do so. In a market with complete
resource fluidity, a firm would be foolish (and negligent to its stakeholders) to incur the
product and market development costs of a new product because such costs are not
recoverable in totally fluid markets. All prospects for development cost recovery would
be wiped out as numerous producers replicated the newly created product at zero
development costs, forcing price to the marginal cost of production. It follows that where
there are no barriers to entry, product and market development costs cannot be recovered
and “monopolized” products and their markets will not be developed, leaving consumers
less well off.
The idealized competitive price, which equals marginal cost, becomes all the more
absurd as a viable price when marginal cost of production approaches zero, which is the
case for many digital goods. A competitive price of zero is hardly a price that is
sustainable, given product and market development costs in addition to production costs
— unless, of course, the product is a “give-away” that enables producers to charge
monopoly prices on some other product tied to the give-away.
Indeed, in the real world where entrepreneurs create goods, the idealized competitive
price (which equals marginal cost) is hardly a better signal of what products should be
produced because it captures little (actually none in Figure 1) of the value of the product
to consumers. Instead, a monopoly price can more efficiently direct entrepreneurial
energies because such a price captures more of the value of the product than the
competitive price, a point that Paul Romer has made with force. (Remarkably,
economists typically start their classes heralding the mutual benefits from trade going to
trading partners, only to later idealize the perfectly competitive market in which
producers receive no net gain from production while consumers who had nothing to do
with the product and market development get all the gains.)
Paradoxically, the potential for market power over price through the generation of
new products can lead to greater competition in markets than when there is a complete
absence of market power, which is the case under so-called perfect competition. Perfect
competition is far less “perfect” in terms of generating consumer value over the long run
than markets with more constricted resource fluidity.
Think about it: how much entrepreneurial and entrepreneurial effort is being applied
right now to the development of products and markets where there is no chance of
making (directly or indirectly) at least enough monopoly rents to cover product and
market development costs? Indeed, the exact opposite occurs. Firms are constantly
searching for potential products that come with natural entry barriers or harbor the
prospect of being protected by artificially created and continually fortified entry barriers
with, if nothing else, ongoing product improvement. As opposed to being destructive of
consumer welfare, entry barriers in some form and at some level are essential for product
and market creation — and for the advancement of consumer welfare beyond what can be
achieved when products are given.
Antitrust enforcers decry “monopoly prices” because they cause monopoly rents. But
how many consumers and firms would want to deal with firms that make zero monopoly
profits and stand always on the brink of being supplanted by competitors at the slightest
of errant moves? Firms in such markets cannot make credible commitments to do what
they say they will do.
The standard models of monopoly and perfect competition that all antitrust enforcers
learn set aside a reality of markets: the vast majority of new products (and even new
firms) fail. Under such market conditions, the potential for monopoly prices and profits
on the relatively few successful products are absolutely essential, just so that the
development costs of all products — the successful and unsuccessful — can be covered
with some margin left over. Otherwise, firms would not systematically take on the risk
associated with the development of an array of products.
BACK TO MICROSOFT
When the U.S. Justice Department took Microsoft to court in 1998, it chided Microsoft
for having developed its market dominance on the back of “network effects” and
consumer “switching costs.” Network effects mean that the value of the product to
consumers increases as more consumers adopt the product. Switching costs means that
consumers cannot easily move to an alternative product. The Justice Department never
realized that its network-effect/switching-cost arguments together mean that consumers
have a strong interest in the maintenance of the network — and of the network-good
producer, Microsoft, taking strong action to prevent the dissolution of the network
through the entry of alternative producers.
Finally, for sake of argument, let us assume that a firm — call it Microsoft, Apple, or
Google — is the worst of monopolies as conventionally conceived. It constricts output in
order to hike its price and profit to the limit, resulting in the maximum inefficiency in its
market. Is such a firm a drag on the economy, on balance and over the long term?
Conventional monopoly theory offers a resounding “yes.” But not so fast. There can be
an untold number of firms out there busting their organizational butts to create an array of
heretofore unknown products at their own expense because they want to be like the
monopoly that is making monopoly profits.
Paradoxically, monopolized markets can be more creative, competitive, and welfare
enhancing than the most perfect of perfectly competitive markets. Indeed, perfectly
competitive markets would be totally stagnant markets, if they could exist, which is
unlikely because no one would have an incentive to create and develop the products and
their markets in the first place. Moreover, antitrust enforcers who seek to impose their
version of a “competitive” market based on wrongheaded lessons learned from standard
monopoly theory very likely can impose more damage — inefficiency — on the world’s
economy than their targeted “monopolies” ever could do.
Joseph Schumpeter is renowned for coining the term “creative destruction,” a term
most people either misinterpret or do not understand. Schumpeter had in mind a subtle
point that needs to be emblazoned in the corner of the computer screens of all antitrust
enforcers everywhere:
A system — any system, economic or other — that at every given point in time
fully utilizes its possibilities to the best advantage may yet in the long run be
inferior to a system that does so at no given point in time, because the latter’s
failure to do so may be a condition for the level or speed of long-run performance.
The prospect (and the necessary reality) of monopoly power and profits at some level is a
necessary and crucial market force driving so much creativity and competitiveness and,
thus, long-term maximization of resource efficiency and consumer welfare. Particular
products might be protected by barriers to entry from replicators of the product, but new
ideas incorporated in new and improved products cannot be denied. Or as Schumpeter
observed, “The fundamental impulse that sets and keeps the capitalist engine in motion
comes from the new consumers’ goods, the new methods of production or transportation,
and the new markets, the new forms of industrial organization that capitalist enterprises
create.” It does not come from simple price competition, as so many conventional
microeconomics courses wrongly stress.
Unlike the price competition idealized in conventional monopoly discussions,
competition from new ideas incorporated into new and improved products strikes “not at
the margins of the profits and the output of the existing firms but at [the firms’]
foundations and their very lives.” Without including an analysis of this type of non-price
competition, Schumpeter argues, any discussion of markets, even though technically
correct, is as empty as a performance of “Hamlet without the Danish prince,” — a point
that Schumpeter would surely stress to modern-day antitrust enforcers on both sides of
the Atlantic.
# # #
READINGS
Capitalism, Socialism and Democracy, by Joseph A. Schumpeter. Harper, 1942.
The Antitrust Paradox: A Policy at War with Itself, by Robert H. Bork. Basic Books,
1978.
“The Origins of Endogenous Growth,” by Paul Romer. Journal of Economic
Perspectives, Winter 1994.
Trust on Trial: How the Microsoft Antitrust Case Has Changed the Rules of Competition,
by Richard B. McKenzie. Basic Books, 2001.
“Use of Antitrust to Subvert Competition,” by William J. Baumol and Janusz Ordover.
Journal of Law and Economics, Vol. 28 (May 1985).
Week #10 Discussion Problem
Pricing Strategies With supply and demand curves, we were able to demonstrate early in the course why
competitive markets have one price that is adopted by all producers. And all producers
charge the same price for all units sold. Such analysis clearly has relevance in
commodity markets (grains, for example). However, in many markets producers are
observed charging different people different prices and different prices for different units
sold to buyers. In this last group discussion problem, you are asked to provide
explanations for observed differences in prices. (You are encouraged to come up with a
list of markets in which the identified pricing strategy is used.)
Don’t assume that the following problems always have clear economic explanations.
Indeed proposed explanations may be, to one degree or another, “speculative,” which is
understandable, given that student groups need to devise explanations without knowing
many institutional details and without time-consuming empirical analyses (which can be
used to test the validity of hypotheses that can be devised from theoretical considerations
but can’t be considered within the timeframe of this course). Also, there could be
multiple explanations for the pricing strategies identified. Student groups should also
seek to think creatively (trying to come up with explanations that escape the professor).
The pricing problems are intended to press students to apply the economic reasoning
developed throughout the entire course. Students should consider all of the following
questions (briefly) but are encouraged to address on selected questions. There isn’t
enough time to address them all thoroughly. Students are encouraged to distribute the
questions within their discussion groups and to swap and evaluate responses devised
within and across student discussion forums.
1. Many movie theaters around the world charge “seniors” (moviegoers over, for
example, sixty years of age) more than they charge younger adults. Why?
Explain why seniors’ break on ticket prices is profitable to movie theaters.
This can be explained by the analysis of market segmentation. The demand
curve of seniors is more elastic than the demand curve of younger adults.
Seniors have more time on their hands to search for the best prices for
entertainment. Their demand may also be lower (which means that the
elasticity of demand at any given price is higher).
Review video lecture 42. Market Segmentation (25 minutes)
2. Movie theaters also charge different prices for different size containers of
popcorn, for example, $5 for a “small” (8 ounces), $6.50 for a “medium” (16
ounces), and $7.00 for a “large tub” (32 ounces with refills). (Similar pricing
strategies are used for sodas and packages of fries at fast food restaurants.)
Why do movie theaters charge less per additional ounce as customers buy the
larger sizes?
This pricing strategy can be explained by the analysis of imperfect price
discrimination. Movie theaters recognize that in order to sell people larger
sizes of popcorn, they must progressively lower their prices on the additional
ounces. Theaters are, in effect, “walking moviegoers down their demand
curves.” The fact that they must drastically lower the prices of the additional
ounces indicates that the demand for popcorn is highly inelastic. Movie
theaters put a high price on the small container and then include that high
price in the price of the medium and large tub (that is, the medium price is the
sum of the $5 price for the first 8 ounces plus $1.50 for the next 8 ounces.
Review video lecture 41. Perfect and Imperfect Price Discrimination (29
minutes).
3. Name brands often sell their lines of sweaters, jeans, and shirts in upscale
department stores and low-end big-box stores at different prices. When is
such a pricing strategy profitable?
Low-end big-box stores attract customers with more elastic demands than do
upscale stores. Again, this pricing strategy can be understood through the
graphics of market segmentation.
Again, review video lecture 42. Market Segmentation (25 minutes).
4. Airlines charge passenger who book their flights weeks in advance less than
they charge passengers who book their flights just before they want to travel.
Why?
The analysis for this problem is the same as for question 3. All that needs to
be noted is that the airlines have found that customers who book their flights
early have more elastic demands than those who book them days before.
(Some airlines have begun to offer tickets bought the day before departure at a
drastically reduced rate, give that last-minute customers may have even more
elastic demands than customers who book their flights weeks in advance.)
Again, review video lecture 42. Market Segmentation (25 minutes).
5. People who show up at restaurants with coupons get a break in the price that
is not given to all other patrons?
Again, a pricing problem best viewed through prism of market segmentation.
Those patrons who show up with coupons reveal that they are price sensitive,
which means they have more elastic demands than patrons without coupons.
Those patrons with coupons reveal to restaurants their own elasticity of
demand, but they also reveal that customers without coupons have relatively
less elastic demands.
Again, review video lecture 42. Market Segmentation (25 minutes).
6. National governments impose higher tax rates on peoples’ incomes than
state/provincial governments impose and state/provincial governments have
higher tax rates than local governments. Why?
People have demands for living within governmental jurisdictions. Tax rates
can be viewed as “prices” governmental jurisdictions. They can more easily
move among states than countries. Hence, their demand for living within any
given state/province is more elastic than living within a given country. Hence,
the “price” (tax rate) states can charge is going to be lower than national
governments can charge. People can move even more easily among local
governmental jurisdictions than among state jurisdictions. Hence, prices (tax
rates) of local governments should be expected to be lower than state
governments.
It follows that increases in people and capital mobility across governmental
boundaries can be expected to be a force for keeping tax rates of governments
lower than they might otherwise be.
7. Many retailers sell goods on their web sites for different prices than they
charge at their “brick-and-mortar stores.” Which outlet category – online or
brick-and-mortar -- would you expect to have higher prices?
Another market segmentation problem with the online and brick-and-mortar
markets having different elasticities.
Many students are likely to conclude that the online market segment has a
more elastic demand than brick-and-mortar. This is because people can more
easily (or less costly) compare prices online, which can make them more price
sensitive. However, customers of brick-and-mortar stores can also fairly
easily compare prices by going to their smartphones and taking pictures of
posted UR codes, which can bring up prices for the products from alternative
sellers.
Moreover, for many product categories, the elasticity of demand for online
purchases might be more inelastic (at least for many products). People who
go online may might so because they are highly time constrained. They may
have little time to search alternative web sites and compare prices. They just
want to buy what they need or want as quickly as they can (and move to
projects that have higher values than the value of the savings from extended
searches). (They go to Amazon.com, find their desired item, and hit the “1-
click” button, with some buyers not even taking the time to notice the price!.)
Researchers have found that the demand for online grocery sales is more
inelastic than brick-and-mortar stores, and as a consequence, online prices are
higher. However, keep in mind that the relative elasticities can vary by
product categories, which means relative prices can vary across product
categories, and products.
8. Many retail stores regularly have sales that run for a set period of time during
set seasons of the year. How can sales be explained?
Yet another case that can be analyzed in terms of market segmentation, at
least in part. The short answer to the problem is that buyers differ in their
elasticities and their demands differ at different times of the year.
A sizable group of buyers spend a lot of time watching for bargains – in
announced sales in advertisements! Other buyers pay little attention to prices
– and sales. They may have little time to pay attention to and gather
information on sales. When stores announce sales, the stores draw in a
disproportionate number of price-sensitive buyers who can be expected to
stock up on the sale items. Stores can then sell to price-insensitive buyers on
non-sale days. Admittedly, some price-insensitive buyers will “stumble” into
stores when they have sales. However, such an observation does not destroy
the basic point of sales.
Sales may be seasonal. Again, this can be the case because product demands
increase and decrease over the year. The elasticities of demands can also
change by the season. (Many observers of Christmas gift giving may feel
pressed to have gifts under the tree on Christmas morning, which means
before Christmas their demands can be higher and their demand elasticities
can be lower than after Christmas, which helps explains after-Christmas
sales.) And do note that when demand of any product goes up, the elasticity
of demand at any given price goes down, which means that a demand increase
increases the likelihood of a price increase leading to a higher price.
(As an aside, note that the effectiveness of sales actually generating greater
sales can depend upon buyer’s willingness to “stock up.” Of course their
ability to stock up depends on their storage room, which can depend on the
cost of storage (housing) room.)
For an extended discussion of the reasons for sales, and citations to the
literature, consider reading chapter 13 in McKenzie and Gordon Tullock, The
New World of Economics, 6th
ed. (Springer 2012).
9. Notre Dame University, a perennial football powerhouse with a massive fan
following in the United States (and probably in other [parts of the world), will
play against the University of Alabama for the championship for all major
universities in January 2013. By late November, 2012, Notre Dame had
received had over 100,000 advanced ticket requests for the championship
game, with only 17,000 tickets available for sale by the University. The
difference between available tickets and ticket requests suggest suggests that
its ticket prices are way below "market." As evidence of that, Notre Dame
football tickets in the "secondary market" (now, mainly online sales) ranged in
late November from $1,000 to as much as much $4,300 (for midfield second-
row seats), and ticket prices were expected to go higher as the day for the
game approached. (Such "excess" resale prices have been a common
“problem” for the University.)
Why does Notre Dame continue with its below-market ticket pricing
strategy, which requires that many tickets be distributed by lottery?
Why doesn't the University collect the revenues that are being
collected by resellers by raising University prices for tickets?
After all, the University produces the games and their consumer value, not the
resellers. If the University feels bad about "exploiting" football fans (many, if
not most, of whom are quite well off), then it could raise its ticket prices,
collect the addition revenues, and distribute the additional revenues to the
"poor" (or to any other charitable venture the University or the Catholic
Church deems appropriate).
Moreover, it’s a safe bet that few Notre Dame students would pay the prices
for their tickets charged on the secondary market. But many students will go
to the game with “free tickets.” Why don’t they resale them?
There are probably several ways the questions in this problem can be
addressed.
a. Notre Dame may be held back from charging market-clearing prices
because of religious considerations: University officials simply don’t see
market-clearing prices as “right” and “fair.” Alternatively, the University
may be simply trying to divide the “net gains” from being in the
championship game for between fans and the University.
b. “The logic of queues” might help explain the “below-market price.” See
Perspective 3 that was assigned I Week 2. By holding the ticket price
down, the University has a “stock” of buyers in reserve, and the University
might figure that it wants to have the “stock “ buyers that retail stores have
for wanting to have “inventories” of goods available. The University may
also fear that as it raises its price, it will overshoot the market-clearing
price and end-up unsold tickets – an empty seats (but then this leaves open
the question of why the University doesn’t use past experience with
secondary-market prices as guides for current ticket prices).
c. The University might actually be maximizing its revenues from (at least
two) interconnected sources, donations to the University and ticket sales.
Ticket recipients only have a chance of buying tickets at the announced
“below-market price” if they have previously made some minimum
contribution to the University and/or its athletic program (which can run
into the thousands of dollars). Payments are tickets are not generally tax
deductible; contributions are. By extracting tax-deductible contributions
from attendees getting tickets, then might be inclined to pay more in total.
Notre Dame economics Professor Barry Keating pointed to this line of
argument when asked to this question:
About Notre Dame football tickets...
Surely you are correct at noting the university sells them "below market"
year after year. Of course, the trick is to define the market correctly! My
own "take" is that the university views its total take as the item to be
maximized. This, of course, includes donations.
In order to be in the lottery for tickets alumni must make a minimum
donation to the Annual Fund. Tips are the "price" of a lottery ticket that, if
it is a winner, allows the holder to purchase a ticket (or perhaps two tickets
- they seem to sell in twos). The probability of winning this lottery
increases as the size of the Annual Fund donation reaches certain
thresholds. These thresholds have names in the Development Office. A
gift of more than a certain amount, for instance, would "admit" you to the
Sorin Society and all its privileges. With Sorin Society membership comes
a higher probability of winning the lottery. I don't know this from any
published literature; I am deducing it from observation.
Recall that Notre Dame is private; there is no legislature to run to when
funds are needed. Tuition may cover 20% or 25% of the operating
expenses but donation must cover the rest. The donations must also cover
any capital expenditures over and above operating expenses. That means
Alumni relations are very important; you don't want to annoy your donor
base. If the university were to act economically (rationally as you and I
would see it), they would surely anger a large portion of the alumni. The
university must be doing something correctly here because Notre Dame,
although a small school with relatively few graduates, has one of the
largest and most generous alumni association in the world.
So, maybe the university is charging the true market price; it's simply
collecting part of the revenue in a publicly viewable manner while
collecting an additional portion of the total in a somewhat difficult-to-
measure manner. It is very difficult to separate the single game ticket price
from the "bundled" revenue stream.
d. It might seem odd (or illogical or irrational) for Notre Dame students go to
the game with their “free tickets” when they are not willing to paying the
market-clearing price. Behavioral economists have a direct explanation for
why Notre Dame students go to the game with “free tickets” when they are
unwilling to pay the “market-clearing price”: “the endowment effect.” Read
about the endowment effect in the section below drawn from McKenzie and
Gordon Tulluck’s The New World of Economics, 6th
ed.:
Endowment Effect
Mainstream microeconomic theory posits that rational people
unwilling to pay $200 for a football ticket should be willing to sell such a
ticket she is given, or has bought at a much lower price, if the ticket can be
sold for at least $200. The reasoning is straightforward: people unwilling to
pay $200 for the ticket are saying that they have something better to do with
$200, or else they would buy the ticket. The utility of the something else is
greater than the utility of seeing the game. If people have been given the
ticket, then they still have something better to do with the $200, unless
something has changed. They should sell the ticket and do the something else
that is more valuable to them.
But abundant anecdotal evidence from everyday life suggests that
people’s buying and selling prices often differ, sometimes markedly. We
have taught at big-time sports universities with strong and popular sports
rivals, especially in football. Key games between rivals are almost always
sellouts, with the result being that tickets are often scalped days before the
game for hundreds of dollars. Before the big games, we have asked our
students if they would be willing to pay the known price for scalped tickets,
which, to illustrate the point, is, say, $200. Typically, no students have raised
their hands. We have then asked how many of them would be going to the
game. Many hands go up. We can’t resist asking, “Why? You just said you
wouldn’t pay $200 for a ticket, and you can get $200 for the ‘free’ student
ticket you have. Why not sell your ticket and use the $200 to do what you
would have done with $200 had you not received the ‘free’ student ticket and
had not bought a ticket? Something is amiss.” No doubt the students would
sell their tickets at some price (as, you might remember, Wicksteed postulated
a century ago), but for most, the price would clearly have to be much higher
than $200.
Dan Ariely put our anecdotal evidence to a more rigorous test. He
contacted a hundred Duke University students, half of whom had won the
lottery on receiving basketball tickets to a home game and half of whom had
not. All hundred students had camped out for days to be in the lottery for
tickets. The students who did not have tickets were willing to pay an average
of only $170 for a ticket, whereas the students who had tickets were willing to
sell their tickets for an average price of $2,400. No student who had a ticket
was willing to sell a ticket for a price that anyone who did not have a ticket
was willing to pay.i
To a conventional economist, the students’ buy/sell decisions on sports
tickets are puzzling. Richard Thaler (2000b) argues that we have here is a
general principle: people are commonly willing to pay less to obtain a good
than they are willing to accept as payment on selling the good. He notes that
income effects and transaction costs can explain the differences between
people’s buying and selling prices. Students who are given a ticket are, in
effect, given a real income grant, which results in a higher wealth. Students’
greater wealth might result in a suppression of their need to sell the ticket,
which shows up in a greater price to sell their tickets than the price they would
be willing to pay, absent the wealth represented by the ticket. However,
Kahneman, Knetsch, and Thaler ran an experiment in which they gave coffee
mugs to some subjects in the group. Those who were given the mugs set their
selling prices two to three times the buying prices of those who were not given
mugs. These researchers conclude that people’s difference between “willing
to buy” and “willingness to pay” are “too large to be explained by income
effects” alone.ii The income and wealth effects involved in things like tickets
must be minor, if not trivial, when compared to people’s expected total
lifetime wealth.
Students might not be willing to sell their tickets for the $200 specified
in our anecdote because of the transaction cost of finding a willing buyer and
finalizing the exchange (especially when anti-scalping laws are enforced,
which introduces a risk cost as well). When the transaction costs are deducted
from the $200-ticket price, the net price is lower than what the students would
be willing to pay at maximum for the ticket. But such an explanation can
surely be dismissed, since the enforcement of anti-scalping laws is minimal at
most major college sporting events and the probability of getting caught could
easily be less than a small fraction of 1 percent.
Thaler suggests a more “parsimonious” explanation for the differences
between people’s buying and selling prices, the “endowment effect,” which is
different from the wealth effect noted above.iii
According to Thaler, the
endowment effect is the inertia built into consumer choice processes due to
the fact that consumers simply value goods that they hold more than the ones
that they do not hold (which has an evolutionary explanationiv
).
Thaler traces the endowment effect to a difference (not recognized in
conventional microeconomics) between opportunity costs and out-of-pocket
expenditures, with the former viewed by many consumers as foregone gains
and the latter as losses. Given people’s observed inclination toward loss
aversion, the pain of loss will suppress consumers’ buying prices below their
selling prices. Similarly, their required selling prices can be inflated because
decision weights for gains (implied in the selling price of a good received free
of charge or bought at a lower price) are subjectively suppressed.
To support his endowment effect arguments, Thaler points to an
experiment with MBA students by other researchers (Becker, Ronen, and
Sorter 1974). The students were given a choice between two projects that
differed in only one regard: one project required the students or their firms to
incur an opportunity cost, and the other required that the students or their
firms make out-of-pocket (or out-of-firm coffers) expenditures. “The students
systematically preferred the project with the opportunity cost.”v This finding
suggests that the students should be willing to accept a lower rate of return on
opportunity-cost investment projects than out-of-pocket-expenditure projects
of equal amounts. Similarly, researchers studying the choice of schooling in
the Seattle-Denver Income Maintenance Experiment found that changes in
parents’ out-of-pocket expenditures for school had a stronger effect on
schooling choice than did an equivalent change in opportunity costs.vi
If, as behavioral economists attest, buyers subjectively weigh
opportunity costs as less than an equal dollar amount in out-of-pocket
expenditures, then we have another explanation for the long queues in retail
stores, at movies, and elsewhere.vii
When sellers cut the number of ticket
booths or checkout counters, they can curb their costs and, in turn, lower their
prices, thus lowering buyers’ out-of-pocket expenditures. But, the lower
prices can lead to lines that impose a time cost, or opportunity cost, on buyers.
According to standard analysis, sellers should continue to maintain their ticket
booths and checkout counters so long as sellers can lower their prices by more
than buyers incur in opportunity costs. Sellers have optimized on the length
of their queues when the increase in buyers’ opportunity cost (say, $1) from
the last increase in the length of the queues equals the reduction in the price
(say, $1).
However, if behavioralists are right on the differential weights buyers
apply to opportunity costs and out-of-pocket expenditures, then the dollar
equality suggested above would mean that the line is suboptimal—or too
short. Firms can increase their profits and consumer welfare by increasing the
length of their lines. This is because buyers would subjectively weigh the last
increase in length of the queue (opportunity cost) as less than the last
reduction in price (out-of-pocket expenditures). Hence, sellers should
continue to curb their ticket booths and checkout counters, extending the
length of their queues until the additional subjectively weighted opportunity
costs equal the subjectively weighted reduction in out-of-pocket expenditures.
10. Coursera and any number of other educational platforms that have emerged
relatively rapidly (since 2010) have what seem to be a straight forward pricing
strategy for their MOOCS (“massive open online courses”): Free! This is to
say, very large numbers of students from around the world can take the listed
courses without tuition payments (as you know), at least for now. This means
that the professors teaching the courses get nothing from tuition. While many
of the costs of MOOC are sunk costs (mainly in the form of the computer,
video, and internet equipment investments on the part of the MOOC providers
and in the form of lecture development by professors), there are at least
moderate operating costs that must be incurred by the MOOC platform
providers and their professors. Coursera has had people working away during
the ten weeks of this course, and I (McKenzie) can assure you that I have been
engaged at one level or another in the course from its start in mid-January
(and so have several of my colleagues from Distance Learning at UC-Irvine).
In this last problem, I want to see how you might analyze and assess a pricing
strategy of “free!” for MOOCs.
a. If there are ongoing costs for operating MOOCs, why might MOOC
providers charge you nothing for taking this course? What concepts
considered in this course might be applicable to a pricing strategy of
“free!”?
The concepts of lagged demand, network effects, and experience goods
can be applied to the MOOC providers’ pricing strategy. MOOCs are
new, and not yet fully tested or even fully developed. Much MOOC
development remains experimental (as you have no doubt found) for both
producers (MOOC platform developers and professors) and buyers
(students). In short, many students and potential students have not
“experienced” MOOCs before they take the courses, which means their
demands could be suppressed because they don’t know how to evaluate
the available courses (and what might seem to be a “strange” means of
taking courses). Their demands could be held down for fear of “lemon-
type problems” and for fear that MOOCs are no better than what they’ve
heard about all prior online courses (and criticism, real or imagined, they
hear, coming from administrators and professors who don’t even know
what “MOOC” stands for). To the point, MOOC providers might
rightfully hold their prices to zero (or even below zero) INITIALLY to
pull in students who need “experience” (to see what can be gained). The
expectation may rightfully be that the experience will raise demand with
time (with, supposedly, improvements in people’s assessments of MOOCs
having value). Hence, there can be a “lagged demand.” As students tell
others of their experiences (hopefully, good), there can be “network
effects,” with the perceived value of the MOOCs rising with the number
of students who enroll. The concept of “rational addiction” might also
apply, in that some students might find education “addictive,” leading
them to take additional courses over time (and trying to convince others of
MOOCs’ value).
b. Even when you have to pay Coursera nothing to take this course, has it
been costless?
MOOCs (or on-campus courses) are never costless, or “free.” Education
is one of those goods that can’t be “bought” without work, which almost
always has an opportunity cost. (The time cost of taking MOOCs can be
much higher than any fees that might be charged.) There is no way that
knowledge can be poured into brains; knowledge must be “learned.”
c. Do you expect the MOOC providers to continue to provide their courses
free? Why or why not?
Not very likely from my perspective. At least, I expect some form of
charges (disguised or otherwise) will be imposed. The producers of
MOOCs will, at some point, need to cover their costs (which, in the long
run, are all variable costs, as you learned). They might be able to continue
with zero tuition payments, but only because someone, or some
foundation, gets value out of making charitable contributions – for a time,
to prove the concept. However, if the demand for MOOCs rises with time,
we should expect MOOC developers to start charging – to pull in the
future revenues they anticipated when they set their initial prices at zero.
And they can increase value with payments, or students can have more
surplus value with a charge than without, mainly because the charge can
elevate the value of the courses.
MOOC developers will likely price discriminate when (or if) they start
charging, mainly because they have a world market with transparent
differences in demand and the elasticities of demands in different parts of
the world. And they will be able to price discriminate because, given the
special nature of education noted above, students will find it difficult (or
costly) to move across markets to find a lower price. (No doubt the
potential for illegal copying of video lectures will hold down the prices
that can be charged, because the potential for piracy will increase the
elasticity of demand given markets.)
d. If courses remain free, and professors continue to get nothing in the way
of money payments for providing their courses, what can we surmise
about the provision of MOOCs provided by professors into the future?
I would expect many professors to continue to remain unpaid for their
courses. After all, many MOOCs will be derivative goods that professors
can produce as they get paid for their on-campus courses. Some
professors might incur few to no additional costs for their MOOCs (as
their universities do nothing more that record their on-campus classes).
Also, I can attest that I have gotten something of a charge from being able
to tell colleagues and friends that I teach “tens of thousands” of students
from around the world, and I have taught more students during this class
than I taught in my forty-five years at conventional universities.
However, the supply curve of MOOCs is likely to be upward sloping (with
the lower end cutting the horizontal axes at some unknown number of
courses provided at zero prices. This means that payments to professors in
some way and in some form can cause a rise in the available courses,
which can be desirable by both professors and students. Many students
might, indeed, want required tuition payment, some portion of which goes
to professors, because of the inherent value of having more choices that
will allow students to pick out higher valued courses (and some courses
produced with payments can be expected to have a higher value than at
least some courses produced for free). It is the marginal expansion of
courses, and upgrades of course quality, that will be of interest for some
students.
With professor payments and the marginal growth in the array of courses,
organization can agglomerate available courses into whole “programs”
(MBA programs?), which can be taken, potentially, at a far lower cost
(maybe 5 percent of the cost of many on-campus MBA programs).
But we should not forget the power of market competition. If all currently
operating MOOC platform developers refuse to pay professors and
professors’ work is costly and vital to MOOCs, we might expect new
MOOC platform developers to get a bright idea: Pay professors, which can
induce some to cross MOOC platforms. To hold their professors, MOOC
platform developers not initially paying will feel market pressure to pay
their professors, with the payments feeding into the charges for courses.
e. Some professors who have or will develop MOOCs are also authors of
textbooks that relate to their MOOCs. Other professors are authors of
other books that are related to the subject of their MOOCs. Still other
professors probably have not written books on any level. How would you
rank the three groups of professors in terms of their likelihood of
providing MOOCs (and continuing to maintain their MOOCs once
provided)?
I would order the three groups of professors in terms of their likelihood of
providing MOOCs, from greatest likelihood to lowest, this way:
i. Professors with textbooks.
ii. Professors with related textbooks.
iii. Professors with no books.
Professors with textbooks have the greatest incentives to develop MOOCs,
because they can receive side-payments from the sale of their textbooks.
Professors with related books might find some students buying their
related books just to expand their knowledge, especially since they might
have found their professors adding value (in short, the experience good of
courses can increase their demand for related goods).
Some professors who have no books available (or other potential tie-in
sales) may continue to develop MOOCs for non-monetary reasons already
given. All we can really say is that those professors with books to sell will,
because of the side payments, be more willing than otherwise to develop
MOOCs.
Indeed, the potential side payments from textbook can inspire some
professors/textbook authors now without MOOCs to provide MOOCs for
two reasons, “offensive” and “defensive.” The offensive reason is the
added income. The defensive reason can be the protection of their
textbook income streams. Textbook authors might be induced to develop
MOOCs for fear that if they don’t do so, they might lose textbook market
share from other textbook competitors who develop MOOCs and attract
more adoptions. (One of my marketing colleagues said he would be
developing a MOOC for this very defensive reason.)
f. How might the MOOC providers and professors make money off of
MOOCs?
We have noted the potential revenue from textbook sales for professors.
Professors might devise any number of auxiliary materials not now
known. If programs comprised totally (or in part) are not devised by
MOOC platform providers, then professors (or even outsiders to the
educational establishment, including non-educational businesses) might
get into the business of program development employing the growing
array of MOOCs.
There are probably a thousand and one potential tie-in sales, several of
which your group might have devised.
g. Would you want everyone involved in the development of MOOCs to
make money? If they do make money, what would you expect to happen
in the market for MOOCs?
Many things are done for charitable reasons. No need for money to be
involved in everything people do. Charges can even undermine the value
of some goods (normal sex between spouses, for example). Without
money charges, some unknown number of professors and MOOC platform
developers can continue to give their life to the “cause.” However,
without charges we might expect the count and quality of courses to be
lower than what would otherwise likely be available. After all, the cost of
MOOC development is hardly trivial.
h. What effects might MOOCs have on conventional (on-campus)
universities around the world?
From my perspective of being a long-time university professor, I suspect
that those conventional universities that provide courses with small
enrollments that allow for significant professor-student interactions will
not be severely competitively challenged by MOOCs (although I can
imagine such conventional colleges and universities to see in MOOCs a
technology that be applied to their “small classes,” which can make those
classes more meaningful).
However, those universities that have relied on very large, lecture-hall
classes (with 500 or 900 students in the classes) that offer little to know
student-professor interaction will very likely be competitively challenged.
MOOCs do have drawbacks (little chance for student-professor
interaction, at least that the one-on-one, personal level), but the
opportunity for interactions may be in only a minor way be different from
large on-campus classes. However, MOOCs have some decided pluses,
not the least of which is that the lectures can be slowed and replayed for
note taking. The courses can also be prescreened for quality, and they can
be taught by professors of prominence at elite universities, with the
credentials of the universities and professors increasing the value of
MOOCs.
Can you name other pluses and minuses of MOOCs?
i. Suppose that MOOC developers start charging students tuition,
a. What can be the expected effect of the change in pricing policy?
The counts of enrolled students can be expected to fall (perhaps
precipitously, depending on the elasticity of demand, which will
vary across courses) and depending the charge that is leveled.
b. Would professors want the MOOC platform developers to charge
for MOOCs or just charge for “certification”?
Most students’ first thought is likely to be that all (or most)
professors would want to tap into the revenue streams from courses
charges. That is more likely to be the case for the professors
without the potential for tie-in sales than for the professors who
have textbooks. After all, they will receive a percentage share of
the income stream.
However, the economic interest of professors with textbooks is
somewhat uncertain, especially after little economic reasoning is
applied to the pricing problem. If charges are leveled just for, say,
“certification,” professors with textbooks can reason that they can
share in the revenues, as well as in the sale of textbooks. However,
the certification charge of, say, $100 can mean that the number of
students taking courses – and buying textbooks – can fall. If
students don’t have to pay $100 to receive certification credit, then
they have $100 to buy the course textbook (and other course
materials). All depends on the price elasticity of for taking
MOOCs and on the (cross-) price and income elasticities of
demand for textbooks.
In theory, we can’t say, but professors (and the MOOC platform
providers) can learn from experience, and price accordingly in
future course offerings. To come to the conclusion that theory
alone will not provide a definitive answer doesn’t mean theory is
not useful. Without theory, people can unthinkingly, and
sometimes wrongly, conclude that that charges are always good (or
bad) for professors (as some students in this course have concluded
in addressing this problem).
i Ariely (2008, pp. 129-133).
ii Kahneman, Knetsch, and Thaler (1986).
iii Thaler (2000b, p. 273-276).
iv See McKenzie (2010, chap. 7).
v Thaler (2000b, p. 274).
vi Weiss, Hall, and Dong (1980).
vii For a review of various explanations for queues, see chapter 17.