Production World Agricultural - Cornell University · 2018-09-13 · Approved by the World...

Approved by the World Agricultural Outlook Board

United States Department of Agriculture

Foreign Agricultural Service

Circular Series WAP 3-15

March 2015

South Africa Corn: Drought During Pollination Stage Reduces Yield

South Africa’s 2014/15 corn production is forecast at 11.5 million tons, down 2.0 million tons or 15 percent from last month and down 3.5 million tons or 23 percent from last year. Area is forecast at 3.1 million hectares, down 0.1 million hectares from last month and virtually matching last year’s area of 3.096 million. The forecast yield of 3.71 tons per hectare is down 23 percent from last year’s record and down 10 percent from the 5-year average.

Seasonal rains were favorable throughout most of the country for planting in November and December but rainfall was below average in the western and central part of the country during the critical pollination stage from late January through mid-February. Above-average rainfall returned during the last week of February, but water stress during early February caused poor pollination and grain filling in western and central parts of the grain belt.

Specialists from USDA’s Foreign Agricultural Service traveled within South Africa’s corn belt during early March and observed average crop conditions in the east, below-average conditions in the central region, and very poor conditions or crop failure in the far west. Water stress during

World Agricultural Production

the pollination stage was most severe in North West Province where crop failures were observed and where 20 percent of last year’s record harvest was produced.

South Africa’s Crop Estimates Committee (CEC) released its initial crop production estimate on February 26, and total corn output was estimated to be 21 percent lower than the 5-year average and 32 percent lower than last year’s record crop. MODIS-NDVI satellite imagery indicates that corn yields in North West province will be 22 percent below the 5-year average, while the CEC estimates yields to be 32 percent lower. (For more information, please contact [email protected]).

Argentina Corn: Recent Rains Improve Crop

Argentina’s 2014/15 corn crop is forecast at 23.5 million metric tons, up 2.2 percent from last month, but down 9.6 percent from last year. Recent rains have bolstered crop conditions in Buenos Aires, La Pampa, Western Cordoba, and in northern and western fringes of the agriculture regions. Area is estimated at 2.95 million hectares, down 1.7 percent from last month, and down 13 percent from last year. Yield is estimated at 8.00 tons per hectare, up 3.9 percent from last month and up 4.2 percent from last year.

Planting in the northern provinces is finished. Recent rains have delayed early crop harvests. Corn condition generally is good, with much of the early planted crop developing through seed fill. Later planted corn is going through pollination and beginning seed fill. Soil moisture supplies for the later planted corn, about 55 percent of the crop, is excellent and was good throughout development. Early planted corn, about 45 percent of the crop, is approximately 10 percent harvested with fairly good yields. (For more information, please contact [email protected]).

2

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA March 2015Office of Global Analysis

mailto:[email protected]


Argentina Soybeans: Rain Improves Yield Prospects

Argentina’s 2014/15 soybean is estimated at 56.0 million metric tons, unchanged from last month, but up 3.7 percent from last year. Area is estimated at 19.8 million hectares, down 1.0 percent from last month, but unchanged from last year. Yield is estimated at 2.83 tons per hectare, up 1.1 percent from last month and up 3.7 percent from last year. Recent rains in southern Buenos Aires and La Pampa have

improved soil moisture conditions resulting in improved yield prospects. (For more information, please contact [email protected]).

Brazil Wheat: Production Reduced to 5.9 Million Tons

USDA estimates Brazil’s 2014/15 wheat production at 5.9 million tons, down 6.3 percent from last month but up 0.6 million tons or 11 percent from last year. Area is forecast at a near record 2.73 million hectares, up 5.0 percent from last month and up 0.5 million hectares or 24 percent from last year. Yield is forecast at 2.16 tons per hectare, down 11 percent from last month. Brazil’s wheat has been harvested. The month-to-month yield change is based on harvest data from official sources. (For more information, please contact [email protected]).

3




Thailand Rice: Production Forecast Lower as Acreage Declines

USDA forecasts Thailand’s 2014/15 milled rice production at 19.2 million tons, down 0.4 million tons or 1.8 percent from last month and down 6.4 percent from last year. Area is forecast at 10.4 million hectares, down 0.1 million hectares or 1.0 percent from last month and down 4.8 percent from last year. Yields are estimated at 2.79 tons per hectare, down 0.8 percent from last month and 1.7 percent from last year. Government restrictions on irrigation water distribution and falling domestic rice prices caused farmers to reduce rice area during the winter or dry season. The dry season crop is the second of two annual rice crops. The summer wet season crop accounts for 72 percent of total production while the dry season accounts for 28 percent.

Satellite image analysis has confirmed that rice area in February 2015 is much reduced from levels achieved last year in both the central plains and northern regions. These two regions typically account for over 80 percent of total dry season rice production. In the images the areas depicted by red and yellow colors coincide with unplanted barren fields. The total unplanted areas were measured using both MODIS and Landsat satellites for comparison purposes. Given the Landsat satellite has much better spatial resolution, the estimate of unsown area from it is considered more accurate. This analysis indicated that up to 500,000 hectares or 25 percent of land that is normally sown to rice was left fallow this year during the dry season. The planting window for dry season rice extends into late March, with harvest generally occurring from February through June. (For more information, please contact [email protected]).

4



India Rice: End of Season Favorable Conditions Increase Prospects

India's 2014/15 rice production is forecast at 102.5 million tons, up 0.5 million metric tons or 0.5 percent from last month but down 3.8 percent from last year. Area is forecast at 43.0 million hectares, down 2.1 percent from last year. Paddy yield is forecast at 3.58 tons per hectare, down 1.8 percent from last year. The kharif rice harvest is almost complete. The final estimates of kharif rice output are converging to around 89.5 million tons. Approximately 85 percent of India’s rice is grown during kharif season (southwest monsoon season, May-September) mainly in Punjab, Haryana, and Utter Pradesh. About 50 percent of kharif rice is irrigated using canals and tube wells. The rest of the rice crop is grown under irrigation during the rabi season (winter season, November-March). With the rabi rice planting nearing completion, the prevailing average seasonal weather and soil moisture conditions indicate average rice yields across most of the major rabi rice cropping regions, with output up to 13 million tons. The rabi crop is predominantly grown in the south-eastern states of West Bengal, Andhra Pradesh, Orissa, Karnataka, Assam, and Tamil Nadu. (For more information, please contact [email protected]).

5



World Agricultural ProductionU.S. Department of Agriculture

Foreign Agricultural Service / Office of Global AnalysisInternational Production Assessment Division (IPAD / PECAD)

Ag Box 1051, Room 4630, South BuildingWashington, DC 20250-1051

http://www.pecad.fas.usda.gov/Telephone: (202) 720-1156 Fax: (202) 720-1158

This report uses information from the Foreign Agricultural Service’s (FAS) global network of agricultural attachés and counselors, official statistics of foreign governments and other foreign source materials, and the analysis of economic data and satellite imagery. Estimates of foreign area, yield, and production are from the International Production Assessment Division, FAS, and are reviewed by USDA’s Inter-Agency Commodity Estimates Committee. Estimates of U.S. area, yield, and production are from USDA’s National Agricultural Statistics Service. Numbers within the report may not add to totals because of rounding. This report reflects official USDA estimates released in the World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE-539), March 10, 2015.

Printed copies are available from the National Technical Information Service. Download an order form at http://www.ntis.gov/products/specialty/usda/fas_a-g.asp, or call NTIS at 1-800-363-2068.

The FAS International Production Assessment Division prepared this report. The next issue of World Agricultural Production will be released after 12:00 p.m. Eastern Time, April 9, 2015.

Conversion Table

Metric tons to bushels

Wheat, soybeans = MT * 36.7437Corn, sorghum, rye = MT * 39.36825Barley = MT * 45.929625Oats = MT * 68.894438

Metric tons to 480-lb bales

Cotton = MT * 4.592917

Metric tons to hundredweight

Rice = MT * 22.04622

Area & weight1 hectare = 2.471044 acres1 kilogram = 2.204622 pounds

6


http://www.pecad.fas.usda.gov/

For further information, contact:U.S. Department of AgricultureForeign Agricultural ServiceOffice of Global Analysis

International Production Assessment DivisionAg Box 1051, Room 4630, South Building

Washington, DC 20250-1051

Telephone: (202) 720-1156 Fax: (202) 720-1158

GENERAL INFORMATIONActing Director Paul Provance 202-720-2974 [email protected] USDA Remote Sensing Advisor Glenn Bethel 202-720-1280 [email protected]. Analyst/Technical Lead Curt Reynolds, PhD 202-690-0134 [email protected]. Analyst/Satellite Imagery Dath Mita, PhD 202-720-7339 [email protected] Archives Manager/Technical Lead Sr. Analyst/ Global Special Jim Crutchfield 202-690-0135 [email protected] Projects Manager/Technical LeadSr. Analyst/Technical Lead Robert Tetrault 202-720-1071 [email protected] Analyst/WAP Coordinator Justin Jenkins 202-720-0419 [email protected] Analyst Mary Jackson 202-720-0886 [email protected] Analyst Rishan Chaudhry 202-720-1157 [email protected] Assistant/COTR Terri Lagarde 202-720-1156 [email protected]

COUNTRY- AND REGION-SPECIFIC INFORMATIONSouth América, Argentina and Colombia Denise McWilliams, PhD 202-720-0107 [email protected] and Central Europe, Bryan Purcell 202-690-0138 [email protected] and North AfricaRussia, Kazakhstan, Ukraine, Mark Lindeman 202-690-0143 [email protected] and other FSU-12 countries

Canada, Caribbean, Sri Lanka, Arnella Trent 202-720-0881 [email protected] and Bangladesh

East Asia, China, and Japan Paulette Sandene 202-690-0133 [email protected], Pakistan, and Nepal Dath Mita, PhD 202-720-7339 [email protected] Africa, Mexico, Curt Reynolds, PhD 202-690-0134 [email protected] Nigeria and South AfricaS.E. Asia, Indonesia, Thailand, Malaysia, Michael Shean 202-720-7366 [email protected] Cambodia, and Vietnam Brazil, Venezuela, Central America, Robert Tetrault 202-720-1071 [email protected] Australia, New Zealand, Jim Crutchfield 202-690-0135 [email protected] Papua New Guinea, and South Pacific IslandsMiddle East, Afghanistan, Iraq, Bill Baker, PhD 202-260-8109 [email protected] Iran, SyriaWestern United States Justin Jenkins 202-720-0419 [email protected] United States Paul Provance 202-720-2974 [email protected] Analyst Vacant




The Foreign Agricultural Service (FAS) updates its production, supply and distribution (PSD) database for cotton, oilseeds, and grains at 12:00 p.m. on the day the World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates

(WASDE) report is released. This circular is released by 12:15 p.m.

FAS Reports and Databases:Current World Market and Trade and World Agricultural Production Reports:

http://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdDataPublications.aspxArchives World Market and Trade and World Agricultural Production Reports:

http://usda.mannlib.cornell.edu/MannUsda/viewTaxonomy.do?taxonomyID=7Production, Supply and Distribution Database (PSD Online):

http://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdHome.aspxGlobal Agricultural Trade System (U.S. Exports and Imports):

http://apps.fas.usda.gov/gats/default.aspxExport Sales Report:

http://apps.fas.usda.gov/esrquery/Global Agricultural Information Network (Agricultural Attaché Reports):

http://gain.fas.usda.gov/Pages/Default.aspx

Other USDA Reports:World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE):

http://www.usda.gov/oce/commodity/wasde/Economic Research Service:http://www.ers.usda.gov/topics/crops

National Agricultural Statistics Service:http://www.nass.usda.gov/Publications/


http://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdDataPublications.aspx

http://usda.mannlib.cornell.edu/MannUsda/viewTaxonomy.do?taxonomyID=7

http://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdHome.aspx

http://apps.fas.usda.gov/gats/default.aspx

http://apps.fas.usda.gov/esrquery/

http://gain.fas.usda.gov/Pages/Default.aspx

http://www.usda.gov/oce/commodity/wasde/

http://www.ers.usda.gov/topics/crops

http://www.nass.usda.gov/Publications/

Million Metric Tons

Table 01 World Crop Production Summary

World

-

Total

Foreign

North

America

North

America

North

America

Former

Soviet

Former

Soviet

Asia

(WAP)

Asia

(WAP)

Asia

(WAP)

Asia

(WAP)

Asia

(WAP)

South

America

South

America

Selected

Other

Selected

Other

Selected

Other

All

Others

none

-

none

-

United

States

Mexico

-

Canada

-

Russia

-

Ukraine

-

China

-

India

-

Indo-

nesia

Paki-

stan

Thai-

land

Argen-

tina

Brazil

-

Aus-

tralia

Turkey

-

none

-

none

-

South

Africa

Commodity

---Million metric tons---

Wheat

2012/13 219.716.01.922.94.49.30.023.30.094.9121.015.837.73.227.261.3597.2658.5

2013/14 prel. 240.018.81.826.95.310.50.024.00.093.5121.922.352.13.437.558.1658.0716.1

2014/15 proj.

Feb 246.515.31.824.06.312.50.025.00.095.9126.024.859.03.729.355.1669.9725.0

Mar 246.615.31.824.05.912.50.025.00.095.9126.024.859.03.729.355.1669.6724.8

Coarse Grains

2012/13 312.110.612.911.484.337.24.75.68.539.9212.229.528.728.924.4285.3850.91,136.3

2013/14 prel. 330.113.115.612.482.635.75.05.69.142.9225.139.935.732.028.7367.1913.61,280.6

2014/15 proj.

Feb 341.79.514.111.277.730.55.05.69.238.8222.239.340.631.121.9377.1898.41,275.5

Mar 341.99.512.111.577.731.05.05.69.239.3222.239.340.631.121.9377.1897.91,275.0

Rice, Milled

2012/13 143.60.50.00.88.01.020.25.836.6105.2143.00.10.70.10.06.3465.7472.0

2013/14 prel. 147.20.50.00.68.31.020.56.736.3106.5142.50.10.60.10.06.1471.0477.1

2014/15 proj.

Feb 147.30.50.00.58.31.019.56.536.5102.0144.50.10.70.20.07.1467.5474.6

Mar 147.50.50.00.58.31.019.26.536.5102.5144.50.10.70.20.07.1467.8474.9

Total Grains

2012/13 675.427.114.735.196.747.624.934.745.1240.1476.245.467.132.251.6353.01,913.82,266.8

2013/14 prel. 717.332.317.440.096.247.225.436.345.4243.0489.562.388.435.566.3431.32,042.52,473.8

2014/15 proj.

Feb 735.425.215.935.792.344.024.537.145.7236.7492.764.2100.235.051.2439.32,035.82,475.1

Mar 736.025.213.936.091.944.524.137.145.7237.7492.764.2100.235.051.2439.32,035.32,474.6

Oilseeds

2012/13 77.32.21.45.784.853.70.65.110.837.559.812.710.90.919.093.3382.5475.8

2013/14 prel. 80.52.41.95.290.357.50.65.111.536.858.916.713.60.923.499.0405.3504.3

2014/15 proj.

Feb 84.72.51.94.297.759.90.65.412.136.357.816.312.81.021.7117.3414.8532.1

Mar 84.62.51.94.397.759.90.65.512.136.257.816.312.81.021.7117.3414.9532.2

Cotton

2012/13 18.42.70.04.66.00.80.09.30.028.535.00.00.01.00.017.3106.3123.6

2013/14 prel. 17.72.30.04.18.01.20.09.50.031.032.80.00.00.90.012.9107.5120.4

2014/15 proj.

Feb 17.63.20.12.27.01.10.010.40.030.530.00.00.01.20.016.1103.3119.4

Mar 17.33.20.12.27.01.10.010.50.030.530.00.00.01.20.016.1103.2119.2

1/ Includes wheat, coarse grains, and rice (milled) shown above.


Table 02 Wheat Area, Yield, and Production

From last month From last year

MMTPercent

Yield

(Metric tons per hectare)

Mar 2012/13 MMT

Country / Region

Area

(Million hectares)

Production

(Million metric tons)

Change in Production

2012/13

Prel.

2013/14 Feb Feb

Prel.

2013/14 Mar

Prel.

2013/14 Feb Mar Percent

2014/15 Proj.2014/15 Proj. 2014/15 Proj.

2012/13

216.30World 1.218.66-0.04-0.28724.76220.88 221.97 222.11 3.04 3.24 3.27 3.26 658.54 716.10 725.03

19.73United States -5.12-2.980.000.0055.1318.35 18.77 18.77 3.11 3.17 2.94 2.94 61.30 58.11 55.13

196.56Total Foreign 1.7711.64-0.04-0.28669.63202.54 203.20 203.34 3.04 3.25 3.30 3.29 597.24 657.99 669.91

none

25.97European Union 8.4812.170.000.00155.6925.83 26.80 26.80 5.16 5.56 5.81 5.81 133.95 143.51 155.69

24.27China 3.344.070.000.00126.0024.12 24.10 24.10 4.99 5.06 5.23 5.23 121.02 121.93 126.00

South Asia

29.86 India 2.502.34-0.06-0.0695.8530.00 30.60 30.60 3.18 3.12 3.13 3.13 94.88 93.51 95.91

8.66 Pakistan 4.171.000.000.0025.008.64 8.83 8.83 2.69 2.78 2.83 2.83 23.30 24.00 25.00

2.51 Afghanistan 0.500.030.000.005.032.55 2.56 2.56 2.01 1.96 1.96 1.96 5.05 5.00 5.03

0.77 Nepal 2.630.050.000.001.950.77 0.77 0.77 2.45 2.48 2.53 2.53 1.88 1.90 1.95

Former Soviet Union - 12

21.30 Russia 13.266.910.000.0059.0023.40 23.60 23.60 1.77 2.23 2.50 2.50 37.72 52.09 59.00

5.63 Ukraine 11.102.470.000.0024.756.57 6.30 6.30 2.80 3.39 3.93 3.93 15.76 22.28 24.75

12.40 Kazakhstan -6.78-0.950.000.0013.0012.95 11.92 11.92 0.79 1.08 1.09 1.09 9.84 13.94 13.00

1.40 Uzbekistan 5.150.350.000.007.151.40 1.40 1.40 4.79 4.86 5.11 5.11 6.70 6.80 7.15

0.71 Belarus 37.960.8011.540.302.900.69 0.70 0.73 3.58 3.06 3.71 4.00 2.55 2.10 2.60

9.50Canada -21.93-8.230.000.0029.3010.44 9.46 9.46 2.86 3.59 3.10 3.10 27.21 37.53 29.30

South America

3.60 Argentina 19.052.000.000.0012.503.50 4.20 4.20 2.58 3.00 2.98 2.98 9.30 10.50 12.50

1.90 Brazil 11.320.60-6.35-0.405.902.20 2.60 2.73 2.31 2.41 2.42 2.16 4.38 5.30 6.30

0.44 Uruguay 21.820.360.000.002.010.50 0.58 0.58 3.58 3.30 3.50 3.50 1.58 1.65 2.01

12.98Australia -10.88-2.930.000.0024.0013.47 13.80 13.80 1.76 2.00 1.74 1.74 22.86 26.93 24.00

Africa

1.35 Egypt -0.61-0.050.000.008.201.35 1.30 1.30 6.30 6.11 6.31 6.31 8.50 8.25 8.20

3.14 Morocco -27.14-1.900.000.005.103.28 3.06 3.06 1.23 2.13 1.67 1.67 3.87 7.00 5.10

1.63 Ethiopia 3.430.150.000.004.401.75 1.80 1.80 2.11 2.43 2.44 2.44 3.44 4.25 4.40

2.00 Algeria -42.46-1.400.000.001.901.73 1.70 1.70 1.70 1.91 1.12 1.12 3.40 3.30 1.90

Middle East

7.80 Turkey -18.67-3.500.000.0015.257.70 7.71 7.71 2.05 2.44 1.98 1.98 16.00 18.75 15.25

7.00 Iran -10.34-1.500.000.0013.007.00 6.80 6.80 1.97 2.07 1.91 1.91 13.80 14.50 13.00

1.54 Iraq 6.060.200.000.003.502.57 2.46 2.46 1.36 1.29 1.42 1.42 2.10 3.30 3.50

1.60 Syria -37.50-1.500.000.002.501.55 1.30 1.30 2.31 2.58 1.92 1.92 3.70 4.00 2.50

0.58Mexico 8.380.280.000.003.660.64 0.69 0.69 5.58 5.29 5.29 5.29 3.23 3.38 3.66

8.04Others -0.81-0.18-0.52-0.1222.107.96 8.16 8.15 2.64 2.80 2.72 2.71 21.23 22.29 22.22

World and Selected Countries and Regions


Table 03 Total Coarse Grain Area, Yield, and Production


MMTPercent

Yield


Mar 2012/13 MMT

Country / Region

Area

(Million hectares)

Production



2012/13

Prel.

2013/14 Feb Feb

Prel.

2013/14 Mar

Prel.


2014/15 Proj.2014/15 Proj. 2014/15 Proj.

2012/13

315.86World -0.44-5.61-0.04-0.461,275.03323.86 318.97 318.65 3.60 3.95 4.00 4.00 1,136.26 1,280.65 1,275.49

39.21United States 2.7310.030.000.00377.1239.81 37.74 37.74 7.28 9.22 9.99 9.99 285.31 367.09 377.12

276.65Total Foreign -1.71-15.65-0.05-0.46897.91284.06 281.23 280.90 3.08 3.22 3.19 3.20 850.95 913.56 898.37

none

37.08China -1.30-2.920.000.00222.1538.38 39.07 39.07 5.72 5.86 5.69 5.69 212.19 225.07 222.15

31.36European Union 6.159.740.000.00168.2531.34 31.05 31.05 4.65 5.06 5.42 5.42 145.89 158.51 168.25

South America

16.88 Brazil -5.92-4.890.000.0077.7116.81 16.01 16.01 4.99 4.91 4.85 4.85 84.25 82.60 77.71

6.84 Argentina -13.04-4.651.640.5031.025.93 5.02 4.97 5.45 6.01 6.08 6.25 37.25 35.67 30.52


14.18 Russia 13.474.820.000.0040.5515.49 16.74 16.74 2.02 2.31 2.42 2.42 28.66 35.74 40.55

8.55 Ukraine -1.44-0.570.000.0039.358.78 8.44 8.44 3.45 4.55 4.66 4.66 29.53 39.92 39.35

1.95 Kazakhstan -3.45-0.120.000.003.392.26 2.31 2.31 1.17 1.55 1.47 1.47 2.28 3.51 3.39

1.27 Belarus 11.760.454.690.194.241.23 1.20 1.21 3.45 3.10 3.38 3.50 4.38 3.79 4.05

Africa

12.73 Nigeria -3.13-0.600.000.0018.6013.25 13.25 13.25 1.46 1.45 1.40 1.40 18.57 19.20 18.60

3.44 South Africa -22.33-3.48-14.19-2.0012.103.31 3.42 3.32 3.75 4.71 4.13 3.65 12.87 15.57 14.10

5.22 Tanzania -5.32-0.350.000.006.195.25 5.25 5.25 1.18 1.25 1.18 1.18 6.16 6.54 6.19

3.91 Burkina -3.32-0.160.000.004.604.05 3.85 3.85 1.17 1.17 1.19 1.19 4.56 4.76 4.60

5.18 Ethiopia -7.73-1.120.000.0013.356.16 5.89 5.89 2.37 2.35 2.27 2.27 12.29 14.47 13.35

0.98 Egypt -0.75-0.050.000.006.620.94 0.94 0.94 6.83 7.09 7.07 7.07 6.67 6.67 6.62

3.33 Mali 26.620.930.000.004.403.02 3.20 3.20 1.41 1.15 1.38 1.38 4.70 3.48 4.40

25.08India -8.36-3.591.340.5239.3325.86 24.41 24.25 1.59 1.66 1.59 1.62 39.94 42.92 38.81

Southeast Asia

3.00 Indonesia 1.100.100.000.009.203.12 3.12 3.12 2.83 2.92 2.95 2.95 8.50 9.10 9.20

2.56 Philippines 4.890.370.000.007.902.58 2.63 2.63 2.84 2.91 3.01 3.01 7.26 7.53 7.90

1.16 Vietnam 6.250.330.000.005.631.20 1.25 1.25 4.15 4.43 4.50 4.50 4.80 5.29 5.63

1.11 Thailand 0.000.000.000.004.961.15 1.13 1.13 4.20 4.31 4.38 4.38 4.66 4.96 4.96

8.92Mexico -2.75-0.880.000.0031.149.39 9.15 9.15 3.24 3.41 3.41 3.41 28.88 32.02 31.14

5.35Canada -23.76-6.830.000.0021.925.40 4.43 4.43 4.57 5.33 4.95 4.95 24.43 28.75 21.92

5.20Australia -7.33-0.912.940.3311.545.29 5.33 5.32 2.20 2.35 2.10 2.17 11.41 12.45 11.21

Middle East

4.16 Turkey -27.53-3.600.000.009.484.24 4.28 4.28 2.55 3.08 2.21 2.21 10.60 13.08 9.48

2.04 Iran 0.000.000.000.004.471.94 1.94 1.94 2.29 2.31 2.31 2.31 4.67 4.47 4.47

65.21Others 2.402.340.000.0099.8667.72 67.96 67.95 1.47 1.44 1.47 1.47 95.58 97.52 99.86

World and Selected Countries and Regions; Coarse Grain includes: Barley, Corn, Millet, Mixed Grains, Oats, Rye and Sorghum


Table 04 Corn Area, Yield, and Production


MMTPercent

Yield


Mar 2012/13 MMT

Country / Region

Area

(Million hectares)

Production



2012/13

Prel.

2013/14 Feb Feb

Prel.

2013/14 Mar

Prel.


2014/15 Proj.2014/15 Proj. 2014/15 Proj.

2012/13

177.59World 0.010.05-0.16-1.63989.66180.61 178.34 178.17 4.89 5.48 5.56 5.55 868.00 989.61 991.29

35.36United States 2.809.820.000.00361.0935.39 33.64 33.64 7.73 9.93 10.73 10.73 273.19 351.27 361.09

142.24Total Foreign -1.53-9.77-0.26-1.63628.57145.22 144.70 144.52 4.18 4.40 4.36 4.35 594.80 638.34 630.20

none

35.03China -1.37-2.990.000.00215.5036.32 37.00 37.00 5.87 6.02 5.82 5.82 205.61 218.49 215.50

South America

15.80 Brazil -6.25-5.000.000.0075.0015.80 15.00 15.00 5.16 5.06 5.00 5.00 81.50 80.00 75.00

4.00 Argentina -9.62-2.502.170.5023.503.40 3.00 2.95 6.75 7.65 7.67 7.97 27.00 26.00 23.00

0.31 Bolivia 0.000.000.000.000.730.32 0.32 0.32 2.26 2.30 2.30 2.30 0.70 0.73 0.73

9.72European Union 15.419.900.000.0074.169.74 9.57 9.57 6.06 6.60 7.75 7.75 58.90 64.26 74.16

Africa

3.24 South Africa -23.24-3.48-14.81-2.0011.503.10 3.20 3.10 3.82 4.84 4.22 3.71 12.37 14.98 13.50

4.16 Nigeria -2.60-0.200.000.007.504.25 4.25 4.25 1.83 1.81 1.76 1.76 7.63 7.70 7.50

2.01 Ethiopia -12.76-0.950.000.006.502.68 2.40 2.40 3.06 2.78 2.71 2.71 6.16 7.45 6.50

0.75 Egypt -0.86-0.050.000.005.750.71 0.71 0.71 7.73 8.12 8.10 8.10 5.80 5.80 5.75

4.12 Tanzania -6.65-0.360.000.005.004.00 4.00 4.00 1.24 1.34 1.25 1.25 5.10 5.36 5.00

1.65 Malawi 7.940.290.000.003.931.68 1.75 1.75 2.19 2.17 2.25 2.25 3.62 3.64 3.93

1.08 Zambia 30.450.780.000.003.351.00 1.21 1.21 2.65 2.57 2.78 2.78 2.85 2.57 3.35

2.27 Kenya -3.57-0.100.000.002.701.80 2.00 2.00 1.50 1.56 1.35 1.35 3.39 2.80 2.70

1.10 Uganda -5.39-0.150.000.002.601.00 0.85 0.85 2.50 2.75 3.06 3.06 2.73 2.75 2.60

0.96 Zimbabwe 62.500.500.000.001.300.95 1.30 1.30 1.01 0.84 1.00 1.00 0.97 0.80 1.30


4.37 Ukraine -7.93-2.450.000.0028.454.83 4.63 4.63 4.79 6.40 6.15 6.15 20.92 30.90 28.45

1.94 Russia -1.16-0.140.000.0011.502.32 2.60 2.60 4.24 5.01 4.42 4.42 8.21 11.64 11.50

South Asia

8.91 India -7.25-1.760.000.0022.509.43 9.30 9.30 2.50 2.57 2.42 2.42 22.26 24.26 22.50

1.14 Pakistan 0.000.000.000.004.991.14 1.14 1.14 4.39 4.38 4.38 4.38 5.00 4.99 4.99

0.91 Nepal 0.880.020.000.002.300.91 0.91 0.91 2.28 2.52 2.54 2.54 2.07 2.28 2.30

Southeast Asia

3.00 Indonesia 1.100.100.000.009.203.12 3.12 3.12 2.83 2.92 2.95 2.95 8.50 9.10 9.20

2.56 Philippines 4.890.370.000.007.902.58 2.63 2.63 2.84 2.91 3.01 3.01 7.26 7.53 7.90

1.16 Vietnam 6.250.330.000.005.631.20 1.25 1.25 4.15 4.43 4.50 4.50 4.80 5.29 5.63

1.08 Thailand 0.000.000.000.004.901.12 1.10 1.10 4.26 4.38 4.45 4.45 4.60 4.90 4.90

6.90Mexico 1.400.320.000.0023.207.05 7.08 7.08 3.13 3.24 3.28 3.28 21.59 22.88 23.20

1.42Canada -18.98-2.690.000.0011.501.48 1.23 1.23 9.21 9.59 9.35 9.35 13.06 14.19 11.50

0.53Turkey -5.88-0.300.000.004.800.58 0.55 0.55 8.38 8.79 8.73 8.73 4.40 5.10 4.80

22.16Others 1.420.74-0.25-0.1352.6922.73 22.63 22.60 2.16 2.29 2.33 2.33 47.81 51.95 52.82



Table 05 Barley Area, Yield, and Production


MMTPercent

Yield


Mar 2012/13 MMT

Country / Region

Area

(Million hectares)

Production



2012/13

Prel.

2013/14 Feb Feb

Prel.

2013/14 Mar

Prel.


2014/15 Proj.2014/15 Proj. 2014/15 Proj.

2012/13

50.18World -3.28-4.770.370.52140.7250.74 49.82 49.83 2.59 2.87 2.81 2.82 129.80 145.49 140.20

1.33United States -18.44-0.870.000.003.851.23 0.99 0.99 3.60 3.84 3.89 3.89 4.77 4.72 3.85

48.86Total Foreign -2.77-3.900.380.52136.8749.51 48.83 48.84 2.56 2.84 2.79 2.80 125.03 140.77 136.35

none

12.53European Union 0.480.290.000.0059.9312.36 12.44 12.44 4.38 4.83 4.82 4.82 54.88 59.64 59.93


7.63 Russia 29.964.610.000.0020.008.02 8.80 8.80 1.83 1.92 2.27 2.27 13.95 15.39 20.00

3.29 Ukraine 24.981.890.000.009.453.23 3.20 3.20 2.11 2.34 2.95 2.95 6.94 7.56 9.45

1.60 Kazakhstan -5.00-0.130.000.002.411.84 1.91 1.91 0.94 1.38 1.26 1.26 1.50 2.54 2.41

0.56 Belarus 34.410.587.140.152.250.57 0.60 0.63 3.44 2.94 3.50 3.60 1.92 1.67 2.10

0.29 Azerbaijan -27.01-0.220.000.000.600.33 0.30 0.30 2.54 2.50 2.00 2.00 0.74 0.82 0.60

2.75Canada -30.45-3.120.000.007.122.65 2.14 2.14 2.91 3.86 3.33 3.33 8.01 10.24 7.12

3.64Australia -17.78-1.724.610.357.953.94 3.80 3.80 2.05 2.45 2.00 2.09 7.47 9.67 7.60

Middle East

3.30 Turkey -45.21-3.300.000.004.003.33 3.40 3.40 1.67 2.19 1.18 1.18 5.50 7.30 4.00

1.68 Iran 0.000.000.000.003.201.58 1.58 1.58 2.03 2.03 2.03 2.03 3.40 3.20 3.20

0.60 Iraq 5.930.060.000.001.001.07 1.15 1.15 0.83 0.88 0.87 0.87 0.50 0.94 1.00

1.25 Syria -61.11-0.550.000.000.351.28 0.50 0.50 0.64 0.71 0.70 0.70 0.80 0.90 0.35

Africa

1.02 Ethiopia 2.290.050.000.002.101.21 1.25 1.25 1.75 1.70 1.68 1.68 1.78 2.05 2.10

1.89 Morocco -37.04-1.000.000.001.701.69 1.44 1.44 0.63 1.60 1.18 1.18 1.20 2.70 1.70

1.00 Algeria -13.33-0.200.000.001.300.90 0.80 0.80 1.50 1.67 1.63 1.63 1.50 1.50 1.30

0.32 Tunisia 181.250.580.000.000.900.24 0.58 0.58 1.25 1.31 1.55 1.55 0.40 0.32 0.90

0.09 South Africa 17.670.050.000.000.310.08 0.09 0.09 3.51 3.28 3.68 3.68 0.30 0.27 0.31

South America

1.50 Argentina -36.84-1.750.000.003.001.27 0.90 0.90 3.33 3.74 3.33 3.33 5.00 4.75 3.00

0.12 Uruguay -1.27-0.010.000.000.390.11 0.11 0.11 3.50 3.59 3.55 3.55 0.42 0.40 0.39

0.10 Brazil 0.000.000.000.000.330.11 0.11 0.11 2.79 3.14 3.14 3.14 0.29 0.33 0.33

0.77India 4.570.081.100.021.830.78 0.81 0.81 2.10 2.24 2.23 2.26 1.62 1.75 1.81

0.49China 3.330.050.000.001.550.45 0.45 0.45 3.32 3.33 3.44 3.44 1.63 1.50 1.55

0.33Mexico 0.000.000.000.000.550.22 0.22 0.22 3.15 2.56 2.56 2.56 1.03 0.55 0.55

0.25Afghanistan 0.000.000.000.000.400.28 0.28 0.28 0.90 1.43 1.43 1.43 0.23 0.40 0.40

1.86Others -2.99-0.130.020.004.251.98 1.99 1.98 2.17 2.21 2.13 2.15 4.04 4.38 4.25



Table 06 Oats Area, Yield, and Production


MMTPercent

Yield


Mar 2012/13 MMT

Country / Region

Area

(Million hectares)

Production



2012/13

Prel.

2013/14 Feb Feb

Prel.

2013/14 Mar

Prel.


2014/15 Proj.2014/15 Proj. 2014/15 Proj.

2012/13

9.45World -4.08-0.960.000.0022.599.66 9.50 9.49 2.23 2.44 2.38 2.38 21.11 23.55 22.59

0.41United States 7.780.070.000.001.010.41 0.42 0.42 2.19 2.30 2.43 2.43 0.89 0.94 1.01

9.04Total Foreign -4.57-1.030.000.0021.589.25 9.09 9.08 2.24 2.44 2.38 2.38 20.21 22.61 21.58

none

2.67European Union -6.19-0.520.000.007.872.62 2.59 2.59 2.97 3.20 3.04 3.04 7.91 8.39 7.87


2.86 Russia 6.450.320.000.005.253.01 3.08 3.08 1.41 1.64 1.70 1.70 4.03 4.93 5.25

0.30 Ukraine 30.620.140.000.000.610.24 0.25 0.25 2.09 1.94 2.49 2.49 0.63 0.47 0.61

0.13 Belarus 33.520.124.440.020.470.13 0.14 0.14 3.22 2.65 3.21 3.36 0.42 0.35 0.45

0.15 Kazakhstan -25.90-0.080.000.000.230.22 0.19 0.19 1.33 1.39 1.18 1.18 0.20 0.31 0.23

0.99Canada -25.50-1.000.000.002.911.11 0.91 0.91 2.85 3.51 3.20 3.20 2.81 3.91 2.91

South America

0.26 Argentina 3.370.020.000.000.460.22 0.23 0.23 1.91 2.07 2.00 2.00 0.50 0.45 0.46

0.17 Brazil 0.000.000.000.000.380.17 0.17 0.17 2.14 2.24 2.24 2.24 0.36 0.38 0.38

0.13 Chile 14.750.090.000.000.700.14 0.13 0.13 5.35 4.49 5.60 5.60 0.68 0.61 0.70

0.03 Uruguay 5.260.000.000.000.040.03 0.03 0.03 1.40 1.41 1.43 1.43 0.04 0.04 0.04

Oceania

0.73 Australia -11.44-0.15-1.74-0.021.130.72 0.73 0.72 1.54 1.76 1.58 1.57 1.12 1.28 1.15

0.00 New Zealand 7.140.000.000.000.030.01 0.01 0.01 4.50 4.67 5.00 5.00 0.02 0.03 0.03

0.20China 3.450.020.000.000.600.20 0.20 0.20 3.00 2.90 3.00 3.00 0.60 0.58 0.60

Africa

0.09 Algeria 0.000.000.000.000.110.09 0.09 0.09 1.29 1.29 1.29 1.29 0.11 0.11 0.11

0.05 Morocco 0.000.000.000.000.060.05 0.05 0.05 1.19 1.19 1.19 1.19 0.06 0.06 0.06

0.03 South Africa 0.000.000.000.000.060.03 0.03 0.03 2.00 1.83 1.83 1.83 0.06 0.06 0.06

Other Europe

0.07 Norway 0.000.000.000.000.240.07 0.07 0.07 3.42 3.42 3.42 3.42 0.24 0.24 0.24

0.03 Serbia 0.000.000.000.000.070.03 0.03 0.03 2.20 2.20 2.20 2.20 0.07 0.07 0.07

0.01 Albania -3.570.000.000.000.030.01 0.01 0.01 2.08 2.15 2.08 2.08 0.03 0.03 0.03

0.01 Bosnia and Herzegovina 0.000.000.000.000.030.01 0.01 0.01 2.70 2.70 2.70 2.70 0.03 0.03 0.03

0.09Turkey 0.000.000.000.000.210.09 0.09 0.09 2.36 2.33 2.33 2.33 0.21 0.21 0.21

0.05Mexico 0.000.000.000.000.090.05 0.05 0.05 1.79 1.80 1.80 1.80 0.08 0.09 0.09

0.01Others 0.000.000.000.000.030.01 0.01 0.01 1.86 1.86 1.86 1.86 0.03 0.03 0.03



Table 07 Rye Area, Yield, and Production


MMTPercent

Yield


Mar 2012/13 MMT

Country / Region

Area

(Million hectares)

Production



2012/13

Prel.

2013/14 Feb Feb

Prel.

2013/14 Mar

Prel.


2014/15 Proj.2014/15 Proj. 2014/15 Proj.

2012/13

5.03World -8.48-1.341.050.1514.495.44 5.02 5.03 2.74 2.91 2.86 2.88 13.77 15.83 14.34

0.10United States -5.67-0.010.000.000.180.11 0.10 0.10 1.64 1.72 1.76 1.76 0.17 0.19 0.18

4.93Total Foreign -8.51-1.331.060.1514.305.33 4.91 4.92 2.76 2.94 2.88 2.90 13.61 15.64 14.15

none

2.38European Union -13.72-1.400.000.008.792.56 2.16 2.16 3.69 3.98 4.06 4.06 8.76 10.19 8.79


1.42 Russia -1.79-0.060.000.003.301.78 1.86 1.86 1.50 1.89 1.77 1.77 2.13 3.36 3.30

0.39 Belarus 46.600.3018.750.150.950.32 0.33 0.34 2.76 2.01 2.42 2.79 1.08 0.65 0.80

0.30 Ukraine -25.55-0.160.000.000.480.28 0.19 0.19 2.27 2.29 2.57 2.57 0.68 0.64 0.48

0.05 Kazakhstan 41.860.020.000.000.060.04 0.04 0.04 1.00 1.10 1.42 1.42 0.05 0.04 0.06

0.14Turkey 0.000.000.000.000.350.14 0.14 0.14 2.59 2.50 2.50 2.50 0.37 0.35 0.35

0.12Canada -12.56-0.030.000.000.200.09 0.08 0.08 2.74 2.56 2.38 2.38 0.34 0.22 0.20

South America

0.01 Chile 16.670.010.000.000.070.01 0.01 0.01 6.20 5.45 5.83 5.83 0.06 0.06 0.07

0.02 Argentina -23.08-0.010.000.000.040.04 0.03 0.03 1.74 1.49 1.60 1.60 0.04 0.05 0.04

Other Europe

0.00 Bosnia and Herzegovina 0.000.000.000.000.010.00 0.00 0.00 3.67 3.67 3.67 3.67 0.01 0.01 0.01

0.00 Switzerland 0.000.000.000.000.010.00 0.00 0.00 5.50 5.50 5.50 5.50 0.01 0.01 0.01

0.00 Serbia 0.000.000.000.000.010.00 0.00 0.00 2.50 2.50 2.50 2.50 0.01 0.01 0.01

0.06Australia 0.000.000.000.000.020.04 0.04 0.04 0.70 0.57 0.57 0.57 0.04 0.02 0.02

0.03Others 0.000.000.000.000.020.03 0.03 0.03 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.02 0.02 0.02



Table 08 Sorghum Area, Yield, and Production


MMTPercent

Yield


Mar 2012/13 MMT

Country / Region

Area

(Million hectares)

Production



2012/13

Prel.

2013/14 Feb Feb

Prel.

2013/14 Mar

Prel.


2014/15 Proj.2014/15 Proj. 2014/15 Proj.

2012/13

37.97World 2.591.560.000.0062.0340.49 39.78 39.78 1.52 1.49 1.56 1.56 57.77 60.46 62.03

2.02United States 10.251.020.000.0010.992.67 2.59 2.59 3.11 3.74 4.24 4.24 6.29 9.97 10.99

35.95Total Foreign 1.070.540.000.0051.0437.83 37.19 37.19 1.43 1.33 1.37 1.37 51.48 50.50 51.04

none

Africa

4.77 Nigeria -3.08-0.200.000.006.305.00 5.00 5.00 1.25 1.30 1.26 1.26 5.94 6.50 6.30

1.71 Ethiopia -2.77-0.110.000.004.001.82 1.80 1.80 2.11 2.26 2.22 2.22 3.60 4.11 4.00

4.10 Sudan 55.621.250.000.003.505.60 5.60 5.60 1.10 0.40 0.63 0.63 4.52 2.25 3.50

1.79 Burkina -2.06-0.040.000.001.901.80 1.80 1.80 1.08 1.08 1.06 1.06 1.92 1.94 1.90

0.86 Mali 58.540.480.000.001.300.94 1.00 1.00 1.41 0.87 1.30 1.30 1.21 0.82 1.30

3.11 Niger -6.76-0.090.000.001.203.00 3.00 3.00 0.44 0.43 0.40 0.40 1.38 1.29 1.20

0.74 Cameroon 0.000.000.000.001.150.80 0.80 0.80 1.50 1.44 1.44 1.44 1.10 1.15 1.15

0.84 Tanzania 0.960.010.000.000.840.90 0.90 0.90 1.00 0.92 0.93 0.93 0.84 0.83 0.84

0.14 Egypt 0.000.000.000.000.760.14 0.14 0.14 5.29 5.29 5.29 5.29 0.76 0.76 0.76

0.37 Uganda 0.000.000.000.000.320.35 0.35 0.35 0.90 0.91 0.91 0.91 0.34 0.32 0.32

0.23 Ghana 8.300.020.000.000.300.23 0.25 0.25 1.21 1.20 1.20 1.20 0.28 0.28 0.30

0.62 Mozambique 19.680.040.000.000.230.63 0.62 0.62 0.39 0.30 0.36 0.36 0.24 0.19 0.23

0.06 South Africa -16.04-0.040.000.000.230.08 0.08 0.08 2.33 3.39 2.81 2.81 0.15 0.27 0.23

1.64Mexico -14.12-1.200.000.007.302.07 1.80 1.80 3.76 4.10 4.06 4.06 6.17 8.50 7.30

South America

1.05 Argentina -9.09-0.400.000.004.001.00 0.85 0.85 4.48 4.40 4.71 4.71 4.70 4.40 4.00

0.80 Brazil 5.820.110.000.002.000.73 0.73 0.73 2.62 2.59 2.74 2.74 2.10 1.89 2.00

South Asia

6.30 India -4.76-0.250.000.005.005.90 5.50 5.50 0.84 0.89 0.91 0.91 5.30 5.25 5.00

0.24 Pakistan 0.000.000.000.000.150.24 0.24 0.24 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.15 0.15 0.15

0.62China 0.000.000.000.002.700.65 0.67 0.67 4.10 4.15 4.03 4.03 2.56 2.70 2.70

0.65Australia 80.670.890.000.002.000.49 0.66 0.66 3.44 2.25 3.03 3.03 2.23 1.11 2.00

0.11European Union 19.480.120.000.000.740.12 0.13 0.13 4.19 5.13 5.62 5.62 0.47 0.62 0.74

5.18Others -0.89-0.050.000.005.145.34 5.27 5.27 1.06 0.97 0.98 0.98 5.52 5.19 5.14




Table 09 Rice Area, Yield, and Production


MMTPercent

Yield


Mar 2012/13 MMT

Country / Region

Area

(Million hectares)

Production



2012/13

Prel.

2013/14 Feb Feb

Prel.

2013/14 Mar

Prel.


2014/15 Proj.2014/15 Proj. 2014/15 Proj.

2012/13

158.20World -0.47-2.220.060.30474.86160.88 160.19 159.64 4.45 4.42 4.42 4.43 472.00 477.08 474.56

1.08United States 15.550.950.000.007.071.00 1.18 1.18 8.37 8.62 8.49 8.49 6.35 6.12 7.07

157.11Total Foreign -0.67-3.180.060.30467.79159.88 159.01 158.46 4.42 4.40 4.39 4.40 465.65 470.96 467.49

none

East Asia

30.14 China 1.381.970.000.00144.5030.31 30.31 30.31 6.78 6.72 6.81 6.81 143.00 142.53 144.50

1.58 Japan -1.95-0.150.000.007.681.60 1.58 1.58 6.74 6.73 6.70 6.70 7.76 7.83 7.68

0.85 Korea, South 0.260.010.000.004.240.83 0.82 0.82 6.37 6.76 6.91 6.91 4.01 4.23 4.24

0.58 Korea, North -9.57-0.180.000.001.700.57 0.57 0.57 4.62 5.07 4.63 4.63 1.74 1.88 1.70

South Asia

42.41 India -3.79-4.040.490.50102.5043.94 43.50 43.00 3.72 3.64 3.52 3.58 105.24 106.54 102.00

11.65 Bangladesh 0.610.210.000.0034.6011.77 11.80 11.80 4.35 4.38 4.40 4.40 33.82 34.39 34.60

2.40 Pakistan -2.99-0.200.000.006.502.76 2.76 2.76 3.63 3.64 3.53 3.53 5.80 6.70 6.50

1.56 Nepal -7.77-0.260.000.003.101.50 1.56 1.56 2.89 3.37 2.98 2.98 3.00 3.36 3.10

1.17 Sri Lanka 0.350.015.560.152.851.15 1.10 1.15 3.36 3.63 3.61 3.64 2.68 2.84 2.70

Southeast Asia

12.19 Indonesia 0.550.200.000.0036.5012.10 12.16 12.16 4.72 4.72 4.73 4.73 36.55 36.30 36.50

7.86 Vietnam 0.320.090.000.0028.257.79 7.77 7.77 5.60 5.79 5.82 5.82 27.54 28.16 28.25

10.84 Thailand -6.40-1.31-1.79-0.3519.1510.92 10.50 10.40 2.82 2.84 2.81 2.79 20.20 20.46 19.50

7.04 Burma 1.610.190.000.0012.157.05 7.07 7.07 2.60 2.65 2.69 2.69 11.72 11.96 12.15

4.70 Philippines 2.880.340.000.0012.204.80 4.89 4.89 3.86 3.92 3.96 3.96 11.43 11.86 12.20

2.98 Cambodia -0.53-0.030.000.004.702.97 3.03 3.03 2.45 2.49 2.43 2.43 4.67 4.73 4.70

0.93 Laos 5.800.090.000.001.550.87 0.90 0.90 2.81 2.68 2.73 2.73 1.66 1.47 1.55

0.69 Malaysia 2.560.050.000.001.800.69 0.69 0.69 3.79 3.91 4.02 4.02 1.69 1.76 1.80

South America

2.39 Brazil 0.000.000.000.008.302.40 2.40 2.40 4.95 5.09 5.09 5.09 8.04 8.30 8.30

0.39 Peru -2.60-0.060.000.002.100.41 0.40 0.40 7.72 7.72 7.61 7.61 2.10 2.16 2.10

Africa

0.77 Egypt -5.26-0.250.000.004.500.77 0.65 0.65 8.80 8.94 10.03 10.03 4.68 4.75 4.50

1.55 Madagascar 19.080.440.000.002.751.30 1.45 1.45 2.94 2.78 2.97 2.97 2.91 2.31 2.75

2.00 Nigeria -8.01-0.220.000.002.552.50 2.30 2.30 1.88 1.76 1.76 1.76 2.37 2.77 2.55

0.45European Union 0.460.010.000.001.970.44 0.43 0.43 6.73 6.46 6.60 6.60 2.10 1.97 1.97

0.53Iran 2.000.030.000.001.680.59 0.60 0.60 4.43 4.24 4.25 4.25 1.54 1.65 1.68

9.47Others -0.58-0.120.000.0019.969.86 9.79 9.79 3.11 3.09 3.09 3.09 19.43 20.08 19.96

Yield is on a rough basis, before the milling processProduction is on a milled basis, after the milling process



Table 10 Total Oilseed Area, Yield, and Production


MMTPercent

Yield


Mar 2012/13 MMT

Country / Region

Area

(Million hectares)

Production



2012/13

Prel.

2013/14 Feb Feb

Prel.

2013/14 Mar

Prel.


2014/15 Proj.2014/15 Proj. 2014/15 Proj.

2012/13

--World Total 5.5327.890.010.05532.20-- -- -- -- -- -- -- 475.82 504.31 532.15

--Total Foreign 2.369.560.010.05414.86-- -- -- -- -- -- -- 382.50 405.30 414.80

--Oilseed, Copra -0.88-0.050.000.005.53-- -- -- -- -- -- -- 5.80 5.58 5.53

--Oilseed, Palm Kernel 4.800.760.000.0016.49-- -- -- -- -- -- -- 14.89 15.73 16.49

none

226.83Major OilSeeds 5.6327.180.010.05510.18229.44 233.66 233.19 2.01 2.11 2.18 2.19 455.14 483.00 510.13

36.68United States 18.5118.330.000.00117.3435.44 39.32 39.32 2.54 2.79 2.98 2.98 93.32 99.02 117.34

none

190.15Foreign Oilseeds 2.318.850.010.05392.84194.00 194.34 193.87 1.90 1.98 2.02 2.03 361.81 383.99 392.79

56.61South America 6.3110.270.000.00172.8859.64 61.21 61.01 2.72 2.73 2.82 0.00 153.71 162.62 172.88

28.77 Brazil 8.217.400.000.0097.6031.47 32.75 32.75 2.94 2.87 2.98 0.00 84.67 90.19 97.60

21.76 Argentina 4.212.420.000.0059.9422.04 22.31 22.11 2.47 2.61 2.69 0.00 53.68 57.52 59.94

3.34 Paraguay 4.790.400.000.008.753.32 3.48 3.48 2.53 2.52 2.52 0.00 8.44 8.35 8.75

1.26 Bolivia 4.120.110.000.002.781.18 1.24 1.24 2.29 2.26 2.24 0.00 2.88 2.67 2.78

1.32 Uruguay -2.57-0.090.000.003.441.48 1.28 1.28 2.78 2.40 2.69 0.00 3.67 3.54 3.44

25.43China -1.88-1.110.000.0057.8124.78 24.38 24.38 2.35 2.38 2.37 0.00 59.79 58.92 57.81

39.53South Asia -0.24-0.100.000.0041.3541.32 39.69 39.59 1.07 1.00 1.04 0.00 42.27 41.45 41.35

35.25 India -1.44-0.52-0.28-0.1035.5537.18 35.55 35.45 1.04 0.97 1.00 0.00 36.80 36.07 35.65

3.96 Pakistan 8.210.421.840.105.543.87 3.87 3.87 1.30 1.32 1.41 0.00 5.15 5.12 5.44

11.40European Union 11.463.630.000.0035.3212.04 11.94 11.94 2.47 2.63 2.96 0.00 28.15 31.69 35.32

19.87Former Soviet Union - 12 -4.08-1.42-0.16-0.0633.4420.77 21.19 21.08 1.41 1.68 1.58 0.00 27.97 34.86 33.50

8.45 Russia -6.10-0.830.000.0012.759.11 9.18 9.18 1.29 1.49 1.39 0.00 10.87 13.58 12.75

7.46 Ukraine -2.55-0.430.000.0016.307.65 7.98 7.98 1.70 2.19 2.04 0.00 12.71 16.73 16.30

1.35 Uzbekistan -2.31-0.040.000.001.571.29 1.29 1.29 1.31 1.25 1.22 0.00 1.77 1.61 1.57

10.52Canada -7.34-1.720.000.0021.669.90 10.34 10.34 1.81 2.36 2.09 0.00 19.04 23.38 21.66

16.89Africa 0.700.11-0.05-0.0115.3316.33 16.54 16.47 0.89 0.93 0.93 0.00 15.10 15.22 15.33

3.29 Nigeria -0.76-0.03-0.79-0.033.543.23 3.24 3.16 1.15 1.10 1.10 0.00 3.79 3.56 3.56

1.08 South Africa -2.54-0.050.700.011.881.17 1.24 1.25 1.31 1.65 1.50 0.00 1.41 1.93 1.86

1.34 Tanzania -1.13-0.01-1.13-0.010.961.24 1.24 1.24 0.77 0.79 0.79 0.00 1.03 0.98 0.98

3.52Southeast Asia -0.12-0.010.000.005.183.46 3.46 3.46 1.39 1.50 1.50 0.00 4.90 5.19 5.18

1.14 Indonesia -2.20-0.040.000.001.781.12 1.09 1.09 1.54 1.63 1.63 0.00 1.76 1.82 1.78

1.94 Burma 0.000.000.000.002.511.90 1.90 1.90 1.20 1.32 1.32 0.00 2.32 2.51 2.51

3.80Australia -18.07-0.942.720.114.273.16 3.02 3.03 1.51 1.65 1.37 0.00 5.72 5.21 4.15

1.07Turkey 2.950.070.000.002.481.10 1.03 1.03 2.05 2.20 2.40 0.00 2.19 2.41 2.48

1.53Others 2.230.070.000.003.121.51 1.54 1.54 1.95 2.02 2.04 2.04 2.98 3.06 3.12

World Total and Total Foreign: (Major Oilseeds plus copra and palm kernel)Major Oilseeds: (soybeans, sunflowerseeds, peanuts(inshell), cottonseed and

rapeseed)


Table 11 Soybean Area, Yield, and Production


MMTPercent

Yield


Mar 2012/13 MMT

Country / Region

Area

(Million hectares)

Production



2012/13

Prel.

2013/14 Feb Feb

Prel.

2013/14 Mar

Prel.


2014/15 Proj.2014/15 Proj. 2014/15 Proj.

2012/13

109.32World 11.0431.320.000.00315.06113.33 118.21 118.01 2.46 2.50 2.67 2.67 268.77 283.74 315.06

30.82United States 18.1916.630.000.00108.0130.86 33.61 33.61 2.69 2.96 3.21 3.21 82.79 91.39 108.01

78.50Total Foreign 7.6414.690.000.00207.0482.47 84.60 84.40 2.37 2.33 2.45 2.45 185.97 192.35 207.04

none

South America

27.70 Brazil 9.007.800.000.0094.5030.10 31.50 31.50 2.96 2.88 3.00 3.00 82.00 86.70 94.50

19.40 Argentina 3.702.000.000.0056.0019.80 20.00 19.80 2.54 2.73 2.80 2.83 49.30 54.00 56.00

3.16 Paraguay 3.660.300.000.008.503.20 3.30 3.30 2.60 2.56 2.58 2.58 8.20 8.20 8.50

1.09 Bolivia 12.500.300.000.002.701.00 1.16 1.16 2.42 2.40 2.33 2.33 2.63 2.40 2.70

1.30 Uruguay -2.86-0.100.000.003.401.45 1.25 1.25 2.81 2.41 2.72 2.72 3.65 3.50 3.40

East Asia

7.17 China 1.230.150.000.0012.356.85 6.80 6.80 1.82 1.78 1.82 1.82 13.05 12.20 12.35

0.08 Korea, South -17.53-0.030.000.000.130.08 0.07 0.07 1.52 1.93 1.72 1.72 0.12 0.15 0.13

0.12 Korea, North 1.230.000.000.000.170.12 0.12 0.12 1.46 1.41 1.40 1.40 0.17 0.16 0.17

0.13 Japan 3.540.010.000.000.210.13 0.13 0.13 1.80 1.56 1.64 1.64 0.24 0.20 0.21

10.70India 10.531.000.000.0010.5012.20 11.00 11.00 1.14 0.78 0.95 0.95 12.20 9.50 10.50

1.68Canada 12.890.690.000.006.051.86 2.24 2.24 3.03 2.88 2.71 2.71 5.09 5.36 6.05


1.35 Russia 55.010.900.000.002.541.20 1.88 1.88 1.39 1.36 1.35 1.35 1.88 1.64 2.54

1.41 Ukraine 40.591.130.000.003.901.35 1.80 1.80 1.71 2.05 2.17 2.17 2.41 2.77 3.90

0.42European Union 39.540.490.000.001.720.47 0.60 0.60 2.25 2.62 2.85 2.85 0.95 1.23 1.72

Southeast Asia

0.45 Indonesia -4.62-0.030.000.000.620.45 0.45 0.45 1.33 1.44 1.38 1.38 0.60 0.65 0.62

0.12 Vietnam 7.950.010.000.000.190.12 0.13 0.13 1.42 1.47 1.46 1.46 0.17 0.18 0.19

0.05 Thailand 0.000.000.000.000.070.04 0.04 0.04 1.70 1.67 1.75 1.75 0.09 0.07 0.07

0.17 Burma 0.000.000.000.000.250.17 0.17 0.17 1.23 1.47 1.47 1.47 0.21 0.25 0.25

0.14Mexico 14.170.040.000.000.290.16 0.17 0.17 1.75 1.60 1.76 1.76 0.25 0.25 0.29

0.07Iran 4.840.010.000.000.200.08 0.08 0.08 2.35 2.45 2.44 2.44 0.17 0.19 0.20

Africa

0.52 South Africa -2.54-0.020.000.000.920.50 0.56 0.56 1.52 1.88 1.64 1.64 0.79 0.94 0.92

0.57 Nigeria 0.000.000.000.000.450.44 0.44 0.44 1.02 1.02 1.02 1.02 0.58 0.45 0.45

0.12 Zambia 0.000.000.000.000.210.11 0.11 0.11 2.14 1.88 1.88 1.88 0.26 0.21 0.21

0.15 Uganda 0.000.000.000.000.170.15 0.15 0.15 1.00 1.11 1.11 1.11 0.15 0.17 0.17

Middle East

0.07 Iran 4.840.010.000.000.200.08 0.08 0.08 2.35 2.45 2.44 2.44 0.17 0.19 0.20

0.02 Turkey 4.000.010.000.000.130.04 0.04 0.04 3.50 3.57 3.71 3.71 0.07 0.13 0.13

0.34Others 6.030.040.000.000.700.33 0.34 0.34 1.73 2.00 2.06 2.06 0.59 0.66 0.70



Table 12 Cottonseed Area, Yield, and Production


MMTPercent

Yield


Mar 2012/13 MMT

Country / Region

Area

(Million hectares)

Production



2012/13

Prel.

2013/14 Feb Feb

Prel.

2013/14 Mar

Prel.


2014/15 Proj.2014/15 Proj. 2014/15 Proj.

2012/13

33.51World -0.67-0.300.120.0545.0431.88 33.36 33.29 1.39 1.42 1.35 1.35 46.52 45.35 44.99

3.77United States 26.441.010.000.004.823.05 3.93 3.93 1.36 1.25 1.23 1.23 5.14 3.81 4.82

29.74Total Foreign -3.16-1.310.130.0540.2228.83 29.43 29.36 1.39 1.44 1.36 1.37 41.38 41.53 40.17

none

South Asia

12.00 India -0.39-0.050.000.0012.9011.70 12.70 12.70 1.01 1.11 1.02 1.02 12.10 12.95 12.90

3.00 Pakistan 12.200.502.220.104.603.00 3.05 3.05 1.33 1.37 1.48 1.51 4.00 4.10 4.50

5.30China -8.40-1.080.000.0011.764.80 4.40 4.40 2.59 2.67 2.67 2.67 13.72 12.84 11.76


1.35 Uzbekistan -2.31-0.040.000.001.571.29 1.29 1.29 1.31 1.25 1.22 1.22 1.77 1.61 1.57

0.60 Turkmenistan 0.000.000.000.000.590.58 0.58 0.58 1.04 1.03 1.03 1.03 0.63 0.59 0.59

0.20 Tajikistan -21.71-0.04-22.16-0.040.140.19 0.18 0.18 1.18 0.92 1.01 0.78 0.24 0.18 0.18

0.15 Kazakhstan -27.07-0.040.000.000.100.14 0.13 0.13 1.10 0.96 0.76 0.76 0.16 0.13 0.10

South America

0.90 Brazil -11.03-0.320.000.002.581.12 1.00 1.00 2.48 2.59 2.58 2.58 2.23 2.90 2.58

0.36 Argentina -7.14-0.030.000.000.390.56 0.52 0.52 0.72 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.26 0.42 0.39

Middle East

0.41 Turkey 38.650.290.000.001.030.33 0.43 0.43 2.12 2.24 2.39 2.39 0.87 0.74 1.03

0.13 Syria -64.86-0.180.000.000.100.11 0.06 0.06 2.72 2.51 1.62 1.62 0.34 0.28 0.10

0.11 Iran 6.670.010.000.000.100.10 0.11 0.11 1.14 0.90 0.87 0.87 0.12 0.09 0.10

0.45Australia -46.15-0.600.000.000.700.44 0.24 0.24 3.20 2.98 2.98 2.98 1.42 1.30 0.70

0.36European Union 2.300.010.000.000.490.31 0.36 0.36 1.36 1.54 1.37 1.37 0.48 0.48 0.49

Africa

0.59 Burkina 6.710.025.480.020.370.65 0.63 0.64 0.57 0.53 0.55 0.57 0.34 0.34 0.35

0.52 Mali 17.430.040.000.000.280.48 0.57 0.57 0.47 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.25 0.24 0.28

0.21 Cameroon 4.000.010.000.000.260.22 0.22 0.22 1.10 1.14 1.18 1.18 0.23 0.25 0.26

0.38 Cote d'Ivoire 10.330.020.000.000.240.36 0.39 0.39 0.49 0.60 0.61 0.61 0.18 0.21 0.24

0.25 Benin 4.210.010.000.000.200.27 0.28 0.28 0.73 0.70 0.71 0.71 0.18 0.19 0.20

0.50 Tanzania -6.29-0.01-6.29-0.010.160.40 0.40 0.40 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.41 0.22 0.18 0.18

0.14 Egypt 20.300.030.000.000.160.13 0.16 0.16 1.04 1.02 1.03 1.03 0.15 0.13 0.16

0.30 Nigeria -23.89-0.03-24.56-0.030.090.29 0.30 0.22 0.47 0.40 0.38 0.40 0.14 0.11 0.11

0.08 Uganda 65.570.040.000.000.100.05 0.05 0.05 1.16 1.22 1.94 1.94 0.09 0.06 0.10

0.30 Zimbabwe -5.00-0.010.000.000.100.26 0.23 0.23 0.36 0.39 0.41 0.41 0.11 0.10 0.10

0.05 Sudan -20.48-0.020.000.000.070.06 0.07 0.07 0.82 1.34 0.99 0.99 0.04 0.08 0.07

0.16Mexico 29.940.090.000.000.410.12 0.18 0.18 2.27 2.64 2.33 2.33 0.35 0.31 0.41

0.35Burma 0.000.000.000.000.370.30 0.30 0.30 1.11 1.24 1.24 1.24 0.39 0.37 0.37

0.63Others 13.640.053.360.010.400.60 0.64 0.65 0.62 0.58 0.60 0.62 0.39 0.35 0.39



Table 13 Peanut Area, Yield, and Production


MMTPercent

Yield


Mar 2012/13 MMT

Country / Region

Area

(Million hectares)

Production



2012/13

Prel.

2013/14 Feb Feb

Prel.

2013/14 Mar

Prel.


2014/15 Proj.2014/15 Proj. 2014/15 Proj.

2012/13

23.94World -2.15-0.860.000.0038.9823.75 23.09 23.09 1.68 1.68 1.69 1.69 40.12 39.84 38.98

0.65United States 24.830.470.000.002.360.42 0.54 0.54 4.72 4.49 4.41 4.41 3.06 1.89 2.36

23.29Total Foreign -3.49-1.330.000.0036.6223.33 22.55 22.55 1.59 1.63 1.62 1.62 37.06 37.94 36.62

none

4.64China -2.78-0.470.000.0016.504.63 4.70 4.70 3.60 3.66 3.51 3.51 16.69 16.97 16.50

Africa

2.42 Nigeria 0.000.000.000.003.002.50 2.50 2.50 1.27 1.20 1.20 1.20 3.07 3.00 3.00

1.62 Sudan 0.000.000.000.000.851.00 1.00 1.00 0.64 0.85 0.85 0.85 1.03 0.85 0.85

0.71 Senegal 2.110.020.000.000.730.77 0.77 0.77 0.98 0.92 0.94 0.94 0.69 0.71 0.73

0.41 Cameroon 0.000.000.000.000.550.40 0.40 0.40 1.39 1.38 1.38 1.38 0.57 0.55 0.55

0.35 Ghana 0.000.000.000.000.440.40 0.40 0.40 1.38 1.10 1.10 1.10 0.48 0.44 0.44

0.41 Chad 0.000.000.000.000.400.50 0.50 0.50 0.90 0.80 0.80 0.80 0.37 0.40 0.40

0.35 Malawi -1.57-0.010.000.000.380.36 0.37 0.37 1.09 1.05 1.03 1.03 0.39 0.38 0.38

0.48 Congo (Kinshasa) 0.000.000.000.000.370.48 0.48 0.48 0.78 0.78 0.78 0.78 0.37 0.37 0.37

0.74 Niger 2.040.010.000.000.350.78 0.74 0.74 0.39 0.44 0.47 0.47 0.29 0.34 0.35

0.34 Mali 0.000.000.000.000.330.35 0.35 0.35 0.95 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.33 0.33 0.33

0.30 Uganda 0.000.000.000.000.300.30 0.30 0.30 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.30 0.30 0.30

0.36 Burkina 0.000.000.000.000.270.35 0.35 0.35 0.73 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.26 0.27 0.27

0.22 Guinea 0.000.000.000.000.260.21 0.21 0.21 1.38 1.24 1.24 1.24 0.30 0.26 0.26

0.06 Egypt 0.000.000.000.000.190.06 0.06 0.06 3.17 3.17 3.17 3.17 0.19 0.19 0.19

0.10 Central African Republic 0.000.000.000.000.150.10 0.10 0.10 1.55 1.50 1.50 1.50 0.15 0.15 0.15

0.05 South Africa 9.090.010.000.000.120.05 0.06 0.06 1.19 2.12 2.00 2.00 0.06 0.11 0.12

0.39 Mozambique 0.000.000.000.000.110.29 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.11 0.11 0.11

0.08 Cote d'Ivoire 0.000.000.000.000.090.08 0.08 0.08 1.21 1.13 1.13 1.13 0.09 0.09 0.09

0.13 Benin 0.000.000.000.000.090.13 0.13 0.13 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.08 0.09 0.09

South Asia

5.00 India -15.04-0.850.000.004.805.40 4.60 4.60 1.00 1.05 1.04 1.04 5.00 5.65 4.80

0.11 Pakistan 0.000.000.000.000.100.11 0.11 0.11 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.10 0.10 0.10

Southeast Asia

0.68 Indonesia -0.86-0.010.000.001.150.66 0.63 0.63 1.68 1.77 1.83 1.83 1.15 1.16 1.15

0.88 Burma 0.000.000.000.001.400.89 0.89 0.89 1.56 1.58 1.58 1.58 1.37 1.40 1.40

0.22 Vietnam 3.770.020.000.000.550.23 0.24 0.24 2.28 2.30 2.29 2.29 0.49 0.53 0.55

0.03 Thailand 0.000.000.000.000.050.03 0.03 0.03 1.53 1.67 1.67 1.67 0.05 0.05 0.05

South America

0.38 Argentina 5.320.050.000.001.050.38 0.39 0.39 2.67 2.64 2.73 2.73 1.02 1.00 1.05

0.10 Brazil -20.33-0.070.000.000.290.11 0.10 0.10 3.36 3.37 2.90 2.90 0.33 0.36 0.29

0.06Mexico 0.000.000.000.000.100.06 0.06 0.06 1.98 1.75 1.75 1.75 0.12 0.10 0.10

1.70Others -1.12-0.020.000.001.681.75 1.74 1.74 0.95 0.97 0.96 0.96 1.63 1.70 1.68



Table 14 Sunflowerseed Area, Yield, and Production


MMTPercent

Yield


Mar 2012/13 MMT

Country / Region

Area

(Million hectares)

Production



2012/13

Prel.

2013/14 Feb Feb

Prel.

2013/14 Mar

Prel.


2014/15 Proj.2014/15 Proj. 2014/15 Proj.

2012/13

23.77World -7.29-3.13-0.22-0.0939.7824.36 23.26 23.13 1.51 1.76 1.71 1.72 35.97 42.91 39.87

0.75United States 9.600.090.000.001.010.59 0.61 0.61 1.67 1.55 1.65 1.65 1.24 0.92 1.01

23.02Total Foreign -7.66-3.22-0.22-0.0938.7723.76 22.65 22.52 1.51 1.77 1.72 1.72 34.73 41.99 38.86

none


6.13 Russia -16.96-1.790.000.008.766.80 6.25 6.25 1.30 1.55 1.40 1.40 7.96 10.55 8.76

5.50 Ukraine -12.07-1.400.000.0010.205.30 5.30 5.30 1.64 2.19 1.92 1.92 9.00 11.60 10.20

0.68 Kazakhstan -10.47-0.062.600.010.510.82 0.80 0.77 0.59 0.70 0.63 0.67 0.40 0.57 0.50

4.29European Union 1.800.160.000.009.044.51 4.21 4.21 1.65 1.97 2.15 2.15 7.09 8.88 9.04

South America

1.62 Argentina 19.050.400.000.002.501.30 1.40 1.40 1.91 1.62 1.79 1.79 3.10 2.10 2.50

0.02 Uruguay 25.710.010.000.000.040.03 0.03 0.03 1.10 1.40 1.47 1.47 0.02 0.04 0.04

0.17 Bolivia -70.37-0.190.000.000.080.18 0.08 0.08 1.47 1.50 1.00 1.00 0.25 0.27 0.08

0.07 Brazil -2.17-0.010.000.000.230.15 0.15 0.15 1.57 1.59 1.55 1.55 0.11 0.23 0.23

0.05 Paraguay 31.250.030.000.000.110.05 0.06 0.06 1.78 1.60 1.69 1.69 0.10 0.08 0.11

0.89China 2.040.050.000.002.500.97 0.98 0.98 2.61 2.54 2.56 2.56 2.32 2.45 2.50

South Asia

0.80 India -25.37-0.17-16.67-0.100.500.75 0.65 0.55 0.88 0.89 0.92 0.91 0.70 0.67 0.60

0.47 Pakistan -10.00-0.060.000.000.540.40 0.36 0.36 1.49 1.50 1.50 1.50 0.70 0.60 0.54

Middle East

0.60 Turkey -14.29-0.200.000.001.200.69 0.53 0.53 1.88 2.03 2.26 2.26 1.13 1.40 1.20

0.07 Iran 0.000.000.000.000.090.07 0.07 0.07 1.32 1.29 1.29 1.29 0.09 0.09 0.09

0.01 Israel 0.000.000.000.000.020.01 0.01 0.01 1.60 1.60 1.60 1.60 0.02 0.02 0.02

Africa

0.01 Egypt 6.250.000.000.000.020.01 0.01 0.01 2.20 2.67 2.43 2.43 0.01 0.02 0.02

0.05 Morocco 0.000.000.000.000.070.06 0.06 0.06 1.04 1.13 1.13 1.13 0.05 0.07 0.07

0.51 South Africa -6.21-0.050.000.000.800.60 0.61 0.61 1.10 1.42 1.31 1.31 0.56 0.85 0.80

0.54Burma 0.000.000.000.000.490.54 0.54 0.54 0.65 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.35 0.49 0.49

0.04Canada 5.770.000.000.000.060.03 0.03 0.03 2.18 1.86 1.90 1.90 0.09 0.05 0.06

0.03Australia 43.750.010.000.000.050.03 0.04 0.04 1.47 1.19 1.28 1.28 0.04 0.03 0.05

0.48Others 5.350.050.000.000.980.49 0.50 0.50 1.36 1.90 1.98 1.98 0.65 0.93 0.98



Table 15 Rapeseed Area, Yield, and Production


MMTPercent

Yield


Mar 2012/13 MMT

Country / Region

Area

(Million hectares)

Production



2012/13

Prel.

2013/14 Feb Feb

Prel.

2013/14 Mar

Prel.


2014/15 Proj.2014/15 Proj. 2014/15 Proj.

2012/13

36.30World 0.210.150.120.0871.3336.12 35.74 35.67 1.76 1.97 1.99 2.00 63.76 71.18 71.24

0.70United States 13.550.140.000.001.140.51 0.63 0.63 1.56 1.96 1.81 1.81 1.09 1.00 1.14

35.60Total Foreign 0.020.010.120.0870.1935.61 35.11 35.04 1.76 1.97 2.00 2.00 62.68 70.18 70.10

none

6.33European Union 14.102.980.000.0024.086.75 6.77 6.77 3.10 3.13 3.55 3.55 19.63 21.10 24.08

8.80Canada -13.42-2.410.000.0015.568.01 8.08 8.08 1.58 2.24 1.93 1.93 13.87 17.97 15.56

7.43China 1.670.240.000.0014.707.53 7.50 7.50 1.88 1.92 1.96 1.96 14.01 14.46 14.70

South Asia

6.75 India -6.16-0.450.000.006.857.13 6.60 6.60 1.01 1.02 1.04 1.04 6.80 7.30 6.85

0.38 Pakistan -6.25-0.020.000.000.300.36 0.35 0.35 0.92 0.89 0.86 0.86 0.35 0.32 0.30

0.30 Bangladesh 0.000.000.000.000.230.25 0.25 0.25 1.00 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.29 0.23 0.23


0.55 Ukraine -6.46-0.150.000.002.201.00 0.88 0.88 2.38 2.36 2.50 2.50 1.30 2.35 2.20

0.97 Russia 4.380.060.000.001.451.11 1.05 1.05 1.07 1.25 1.39 1.39 1.04 1.39 1.45

0.42 Belarus 7.990.054.290.030.730.40 0.43 0.40 1.67 1.68 1.65 1.82 0.71 0.68 0.70

3.27Australia -10.07-0.383.420.113.412.65 2.70 2.71 1.27 1.43 1.22 1.26 4.14 3.80 3.30

South America

0.04 Chile 17.650.020.000.000.160.04 0.04 0.04 3.80 3.68 3.81 3.81 0.16 0.14 0.16

0.08 Paraguay 133.330.070.000.000.130.05 0.09 0.09 1.37 1.15 1.40 1.40 0.11 0.05 0.13

0.20Kazakhstan -0.410.00-19.67-0.060.240.25 0.30 0.24 0.58 0.95 1.00 0.99 0.12 0.24 0.30

0.02Switzerland 0.000.000.000.000.070.02 0.02 0.02 3.14 3.14 3.14 3.14 0.07 0.07 0.07

0.05Ethiopia 0.000.000.000.000.070.05 0.05 0.05 1.59 1.45 1.45 1.45 0.07 0.07 0.07

0.01Others 0.000.000.000.000.020.01 0.01 0.01 1.67 1.67 1.67 1.67 0.02 0.02 0.02



Table 16 Copra, Palm Kernel, and Palm Oil Production

Country / Region

Production


2012/13

Prel.

2013/14

2014/15 Proj.

Feb Mar MMT Percent MMT Percent



Oilseed, Copra

0.00 0.00 -0.05 -2.08 Philippines 2.65 2.352.352.40

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Indonesia 1.56 1.581.581.58

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 India 0.67 0.670.670.67

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Vietnam 0.24 0.240.240.24

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mexico 0.21 0.210.210.21

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Papua New Guinea 0.13 0.130.130.13

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thailand 0.07 0.070.070.07

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sri Lanka 0.07 0.070.070.07

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Solomon Islands 0.03 0.030.030.03

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Cote d'Ivoire 0.03 0.030.030.03

0.00 0.00 -0.05 -0.90 World 5.80 5.535.535.58

Oilseed, Palm Kernel

0.00 0.00 0.65 8.07 Indonesia 7.48 8.708.708.05

0.00 0.00 0.05 0.98 Malaysia 4.87 5.155.155.10

0.00 0.00 0.01 1.39 Nigeria 0.70 0.730.730.73

0.00 0.00 0.01 2.27 Thailand 0.43 0.450.450.44

0.00 0.00 0.01 4.17 Colombia 0.25 0.250.250.24

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Papua New Guinea 0.13 0.130.130.13

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Cameroon 0.11 0.110.110.11

0.00 0.00 0.01 9.09 Ecuador 0.11 0.120.120.11

0.00 0.00 0.01 10.00 Ghana 0.10 0.110.110.11

0.00 0.00 0.01 10.00 Honduras 0.10 0.110.110.10

0.00 0.00 0.76 4.83 World 14.89 16.4916.4915.73

Oil, Palm

0.00 0.00 2.50 8.20 Indonesia 28.50 33.0033.0030.50

0.00 0.00 0.34 1.69 Malaysia 19.32 20.5020.5020.16

0.00 0.00 0.10 4.65 Thailand 2.14 2.252.252.15

0.00 0.00 0.07 6.73 Colombia 1.14 1.111.111.04

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Nigeria 0.91 0.930.930.93

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Papua New Guinea 0.61 0.630.630.63

0.00 0.00 0.01 1.79 Ecuador 0.54 0.580.580.57

0.00 0.00 0.01 2.04 Ghana 0.47 0.500.500.49

0.00 0.00 0.01 2.33 Honduras 0.41 0.440.440.43

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Cote d'Ivoire 0.39 0.400.400.40

0.00 0.00 3.02 5.08 World 56.49 62.4462.4459.42



Table 17 Cotton Area, Yield, and Production


MBalesPercent

Yield

(Kilograms per hectare)

Mar 2012/13 MBales

Country / Region

Area

(Million hectares)

Production

(Million 480 lb. bales)


2012/13

Prel.

2013/14 Feb Feb

Prel.

2013/14 Mar

Prel.


2014/15 Proj.2014/15 Proj. 2014/15 Proj.

2012/13

34.39World -0.99-1.20-0.11-0.13119.2432.78 34.27 34.14 783 800 758 760 123.63 120.44 119.37

3.77United States 24.603.180.000.0016.083.05 3.93 3.93 999 921 891 891 17.31 12.91 16.08

30.62Total Foreign -4.07-4.37-0.13-0.13103.1629.73 30.34 30.21 756 788 741 743 106.32 107.53 103.29

none

South Asia

12.00 India -1.61-0.500.000.0030.5011.70 12.70 12.70 517 577 523 523 28.50 31.00 30.50

3.00 Pakistan 10.531.000.960.1010.503.00 3.05 3.05 675 689 742 750 9.30 9.50 10.40

5.30China -8.40-2.750.000.0030.004.80 4.40 4.40 1,438 1,486 1,484 1,484 35.00 32.75 30.00

South America

0.90 Brazil -12.50-1.000.000.007.001.12 1.00 1.00 1,452 1,555 1,524 1,524 6.00 8.00 7.00

0.36 Argentina -7.79-0.100.000.001.130.56 0.52 0.52 454 474 471 471 0.75 1.22 1.13

0.05 Paraguay 28.570.010.000.000.050.02 0.03 0.03 363 381 392 392 0.08 0.04 0.05

Africa

0.59 Burkina 6.850.095.580.071.330.65 0.63 0.64 448 419 434 451 1.22 1.24 1.26

0.52 Mali 17.650.150.000.001.000.48 0.57 0.57 362 386 382 382 0.87 0.85 1.00

0.38 Cote d'Ivoire 10.180.080.000.000.880.36 0.39 0.39 398 485 495 495 0.69 0.80 0.88

0.25 Benin 4.350.030.000.000.600.27 0.28 0.28 479 464 467 467 0.55 0.58 0.60

0.14 Egypt 20.690.090.000.000.530.13 0.16 0.16 746 729 737 737 0.49 0.44 0.53

0.21 Cameroon 0.000.000.000.000.500.22 0.22 0.22 477 495 495 495 0.46 0.50 0.50

0.50 Tanzania -6.25-0.03-6.25-0.030.380.40 0.40 0.40 218 219 218 204 0.50 0.40 0.40

0.30 Nigeria -23.08-0.06-28.57-0.080.200.29 0.30 0.22 236 199 203 203 0.33 0.26 0.28

0.30 Zimbabwe -4.58-0.010.000.000.250.26 0.23 0.23 204 224 237 237 0.28 0.26 0.25

0.10 Ethiopia 2.940.010.000.000.180.12 0.13 0.13 307 308 305 305 0.14 0.17 0.18


1.32 Uzbekistan -2.44-0.100.000.004.001.29 1.29 1.29 745 695 678 678 4.50 4.10 4.00

0.60 Turkmenistan -3.33-0.050.000.001.450.58 0.55 0.55 581 568 579 579 1.60 1.50 1.45

0.20 Tajikistan -22.22-0.10-22.22-0.100.350.19 0.18 0.18 653 516 560 435 0.60 0.45 0.45

0.15 Kazakhstan -26.47-0.090.000.000.250.14 0.13 0.13 611 536 425 425 0.42 0.34 0.25

Middle East

0.41 Turkey 39.130.900.000.003.200.33 0.43 0.43 1,407 1,517 1,620 1,620 2.65 2.30 3.20

0.13 Syria -50.00-0.300.000.000.300.10 0.06 0.06 1,263 1,306 1,089 1,089 0.73 0.60 0.30

0.11 Iran -6.25-0.020.000.000.300.12 0.11 0.11 591 606 594 594 0.29 0.32 0.30

0.45Australia -46.34-1.900.000.002.200.44 0.24 0.24 2,251 2,047 2,038 2,038 4.60 4.10 2.20

0.16Mexico 32.030.300.000.001.220.12 0.18 0.18 1,455 1,691 1,476 1,476 1.04 0.92 1.22

0.35Burma 0.000.000.000.000.900.30 0.30 0.30 585 653 653 653 0.94 0.90 0.90

1.87Others -0.30-0.01-2.32-0.103.991.78 1.90 1.85 446 490 468 471 3.84 4.00 4.09



TABLE 18The table below presents a record of the differences between the March projection and the final Estimate. Using world wheat production as an example, the "root mean square error” means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the current forecast will not be above or below the final estimate by more than 0.6 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90% confidence level) that the difference will not exceed 1.0 percent. The average difference between the March projection and the final estimate is 2.5 million tons, ranging from 0.0 million to 8.0 million tons. The March projection has been below the estimate 24 times and above 7.3 times.

RELIABILITY OF PRODUCTION PROJECTIONS 1/

Difference between forecast and final estimate

YearsCOMMODITY AND

REGIONRoot mean

square error

90 percent confidence

intervalAverage Smallest Largest

Below final

Above final

Percent ---Million metric tons---

WHEAT

World 0.6 1.0 2.5 0.0 8.0 24 9

U.S. 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.3 13 9

Foreign 0.7 1.1 2.4 0.1 8.0 24 9

COARSE GRAINS 2/

World 1.1 1.8 8.6 0.5 21.7 28 5

U.S. 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.3 13 7

Foreign 1.5 2.6 8.7 0.5 21.7 28 5

RICE (Milled)

World 1.4 2.3 3.5 0.2 13.8 24 9

U.S. 1.4 2.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 11 6

Foreign 1.4 2.4 3.4 0.1 13.8 24 9

SOYBEANS

World 2.3 3.9 3.1 0.1 12.4 18 15

U.S. 1.4 2.3 0.6 0.0 2.5 15 11

Foreign 3.8 6.5 3.0 0.1 12.6 18 15

COTTON ---Million 480-lb. bales---

World 1.8 3.0 1.3 0.0 5.2 21 10

U.S. 1.0 1.7 0.1 0.0 0.3 12 20

Foreign 2.2 3.7 1.3 0.0 5.3 21 11

UNITED STATES -------Million bushels-------

CORN 0.2 0.3 2 0 38 1 2

SORGHUM 0.2 0.3 0 0 4 0 2

BARLEY 0.5 0.9 1 0 11 13 4

OATS 0.4 0.6 0 0 2 4 4

1/ Marketing years 1981/82 through 2013/14. Final for grains, soybeans and cotton is defined as the first November estimates following the marketing year for 1981/82 through 2013/14.2/ Includes corn, sorghum, barley, oats, rye, millet, and mixed grain

March 2015 Office of Global Analysis, FAS, USDA


Production World Agricultural - Cornell University · 2018-09-13 · Approved by the World...

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Transcript of Production World Agricultural - Cornell University · 2018-09-13 · Approved by the World...