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Transcript of Production and Development
Production and Development
Chris Bruijnzeels, Senior Vice President Operations January 2009WF10581
23
WF8263 01.09
Resource Classification System
2007 Petroleum Resources Management System (SPE PRMS) Guidelines of the Society of Petroleum Engineers (SPE), World Petroleum Congress (WPC), American Associationof Petroleum Geologists (AAPG) and Society of Petroleum Evaluation Engineers (SPEE)
PRODUCTION
RESERVES
CONTINGENTRESOURCES
PROSPECTIVERESOURCES
Proved Proved &Probable
Proved, Prob.& Possible
Commercial
Discovered but no �rm investment decision
Exploration Prospectivity
1P 2P 3P
24
WF10559 01.09
2009 Proven & Probable Reserves
Total 217.5 MMboe01.01.2008 MMboe 184.2
- Produced (forecast) -11.6+ New reserves (excl sales/acquisitions) 45.7+ Sales/acquisitions - 0.8
01.01.2009 MMboe 217.5
Reserves Replacement Ratio 394%
Increase in Reserves 26%
France (26.4)
Indonesia (15.2)
Netherlands (4.3)
Norway (70.5)*
Tunisia (0.4)
U.K. (82.1)
Russia (18.6)
* Excluding Luno
Oil 85.5%
Gas 14.5%
25
WF10559 01.09
Russia
NorwayU.K.
VenezuelaTunisiaIndonesiaNetherlandsFrance
Reserves Growth
0
50
100
150
200
250
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
MM
boe
Reserves Replacement Ratio of 324% (cumulative production: 67.8 MMBOE)
26
WF10014 01.09
Actual
Produced in 2008 Net Replacement Sales/Acquisition
Reserves Changes
-10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35
France
Indonesia
Netherlands
Norway
Tunisia
U.K.
Russia
MMboe
27
WF10014 01.09
Main Reserves Changes
Russia Kalmeastern and OGT reductions (-9.7)
UK Increased Heather and Thistle due to 3D seismic and re-development plans (+26.5) Increased Broom due to last year’s infill well results (+3.8)
Tunisia Reduced Oudna reserves due to negative reservoir performance (-1.0)
Norway Economic viability of the Nemo development project (+11.0) Increased Alvheim gas reserves (+3.4)
France Grandville field development plan (+1.7)
28
WF10149 01.09
UK Continental Shelf Licences
Lundin production licenceLundin exploration licence25th round (exploration)
29
Thistle
Lundin Petroleum 99% WI
STOIIP 846 MMstb
Produced 430 MMstb
Invested in extending life of platform
Shot 3D seismic in 2007
Sub-surface review in 2008
Identified 11 infill opportunities
Current status Opex £ 36/bbl
Re-development Opex after development £ 16/bbl Capex - drilling £ 8.00/bbl (incremental) - facility improvements £ 1.50/bbl
WF10049 01.09
OWC
ThistleDeveron
30
WF10155 01.09
Heather Development
Lundin Petroleum 100%
STOIIP Brent 507 MMstb Trias 166 MMstb
Produced 134 MMstb
Host to Broom development
Shot 3D deismic in 2006/2007
Sub-surface review in 2007/2008
Identified 6 infill and 3 coiled tubingworkover candidates
Current status - Heather/Broom Unit Opex £ 14.00/boe
Development Opex after development £ 10.00/boe (Heather/Broom Unit) Capex - drilling capex Heather £ 3.50/boe (incremental) - facility improvements £ 0.80/boe (Heather/Broom Unit)
31
WF10156 01.09
Broom Development
2008 infill well
Vertical water injector
CR potential
CR potential
Water injector
Dual lateralproducer
Water injectorconversion
Current Producer Planned Producer
Planned InjectorCurrent Injector
Lundin Petroleum 55% WI
STOIIP 172 MMstb
Produced 28.7 MMstb
4 producers, 2 injectors Successfully sidetracked 2/5-19y in 2008
2P Brent Ultimate Recovery of 36.1%
3.8 MMstb net contingent resource North Flank area Western boundary fault
Development Drilling capex £ 10.50/boe
32
WF9920 01.09
Southern North Sea - PL148
Lundin Petroleum interest: 50% (operator) Noreco 20 %, Talisman 30%
2008 appraisal well con�rmed �eld extension
Existing infrastructure nearby in UK and Norway
2P gross reserves of 22 MMboe
UK
Nemo discovery
EVERESTNemo Discovery
-3500
-3525-3500
-3800-3750-3700-3650-3600-3550-3500-3450-3400-3350-3300
Depth
0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500m
1:63457
-
ODT -3323
PL148
TOP GYDA RESERVOIR MAP
Trias
sic Po
d
P1
I1
7/7 2
7/7-3
Lundin Petroleum OperatorLundin Petroleum Partner
33
WF10420 01.09
8
3
PL505
009
0025
0024
0026
PL304
PL150
PL363
PL412
PL413
PL340
PL203
PL036cPL088P090 (9/15a)
UK
Norway
Peik Field
Greater Alvheim Area - Peik Development
Moving towards host selection
Reviewed and updated conceptual development plan
Reserves: 37 MMboe Gross
Lundin Petroleum: ~40%
Well “C” Well “B”
Top Reservoir
THugin
Well “A”
34
WF10595 01.09
Russia 2P
Pechoraneftegas and Recher Komi Successful exploration/appraisal in Recher Komi Good infill performance Increased reserves (+5.5 MMstb)
Kalmeastern Low oil price + high transport costs low netback Uncertain investment climate Reduced reserves (-6.3MMstb)
OGT Poor performance from pilot production wells No investment decision Reduced reserves (-3.4 MMstb)
Russia
China
Ukraine
Kazakhstan
Uzbekistan
Turkmenistan
Iran
SwedenNorw
ay
Finland
Artic Ocean
Black Sea
Casp
ian
Sea
Moscow
Komi/Nenets RegionPNG/RK
Orenburg RegionOGT
Kalmykia RegionKE
35
2009 Development Capital Expenditure
WF10024 01.09
UK, 53
Norway, 111
Other, 23
Indonesia, 27 2009 Forecast 215 MMUSD
36
WF10535 01.09
Development Highlights 2009
NORWAYVOLUND- 4 wells to be drilled- Offshore installation substantially complete- First oil late 2009
UNITED KINGDOMTHISTLE- Drilling: Top drive installation- Facilities: B turbine reinstatement (costs recovered by insurance)HEATHER- Routine facilities upgradesPEIK- Pre-development studies.
FRANCE - Facilities: water injection facilities Vert-la-Gravelle
INDONESIASALAWATIS- Development drillingSINGA- Development drilling (2 wells and 1 recompletion) and gas facilities construction- First gas mid 2009
NETHERLANDS- Drilling: development drilling- Facilities: E17 development project
RUSSIA- PNG & Recher-Komi (RK): drilling + RK pipeline
37
PL203
PL203
PL150
PL150
P1283P1283
PL340PL340
PL413
PL413
PL088 BS
P090
P090
PL036C
PL036C
PL088PL088
PL088
PL088
PL088 BS
PL088 BS
GEKKO
ALVHEIM
ALVHEIM
ALVHEIM
VOLUND
0024/09 (Area 3)
HEIMDAL
PEIK (UK)
PEIK (NO)
SKENE
0025
009
0024
25/7-6
25/7-5
25/4-8
25/4-7
25/4-3
24/9-7
24/9-624/9-5
24/9-4
24/6-3
24/6-2
24/6-1
9/19-12
9/15b-49/15b-3
9/15a-2
9/15a-1
9/14a-6
9/14b-2B
0 KM 82
2009 Projects - Norway Volund
WF10026 01.09
Reserves 49 MMboe (gross)
2009 CAPEX USD 100 Million
Lundin Petroleum 35%Marathon 65% (operator)
2009 Drilling3 producers, 1 water injector
First production late 2009
Deep Sea Bergen 2 wellsSonga Dee 2 wells
LundinPetroleum Partner
LundinPetroleum Operator
Volund
UK
Norway
38
Indonesia - Singa Development
WF6831 12.08
KALIMANTAN
SULAWESI IRIAN JAYA
SUMATRA KALIMANTAN
JAVA JAVA
SULAWESI IRIAN JAYA
SUMATRA
Indonesia
0 km 500
LEMATANG
A i r N
i r u
A i r E n i m
LEMATANG W
LEMATANG E Singa
Harimau
Lagan
Rambutan Betung
Belimbing
Limau Niru
Kampong Minyak
Suban Jerigi
Beringin
Air Serdang
Limau Tengah
Benuang
Gunung Kemala
Prabumulih
Talang Jimar
Karagan
Limau Timur
Oil Field
Gas Field 0 KM 10
Lundin Petroleum 25.88%
Gross reserves 123 bcf
2009 CAPEX USD 21 Million 2 wells Facilities
Gas Sales Agreement at 48 mmcfd for 5 years – declining thereafter Gas sold to PT PLN (Indonesian electricity company)
Gas exported via 40km 10” pipeline
39
WF10022 01.09
2009 Production Forecast
Net boepd
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
45,000
50,000
Q4Q1 Q2 Q3
High
Low
Norway38%
Tunisia2%
UK24%
Russia14%
Indonesia7%
Netherlands6%
France9%
Norway
UK
France
Indonesia
Netherlands
Russia
Tunisia
40
Norway
Indonesia
Russia
UK
WF10590 01.09
Norway - Alvheim vessel regularity and plant capacity- Volund �rst production timing
- Komi assets in�ll well performance
- Gas lift availability- Platform regularity
- Singa project �rst gas and rampup pro�leIndonesia
UK
Russia
Factors Affecting 2009 Production Range
41
2009 Production - Norway Alvheim
WF10025 01.09
Lundin Petroleum 15% Marathon 65% (operator), ConocoPhillips 20%
Gross Reserves 223 mmboe (01.01.09) Up from 215 mmboe (01.01.08)
Average 2008 gross production 41,300 boepd (start-up in June 08) Peak Alvheim Norway production to date 109,000 boepd Water free production until late December – better than prognosis
FPSO status Commenced production in June 2008 Peak throughput (to date) of 133,000 bbl/d and 62 mmscf/d - original design capacity of 120,000 bbl/d, 125 mmcfd - de-bottlenecking ongoing – stretch target is 150,000 bbl/d Vilje �eld tied-in Volund �eld (Lundin Petroleum 35%) to be tied-in in late 2009
Wells 10 producers completed - 5 Kneler Wells - 3 Boa Wells - 2 Kameleon wells 3 further wells to be drilled in 2010/2011
42
WF10456 09.08
Norway - Alvheim/Volund
43
2009 Projects – Norway Alvheim
WF10029 08.09
BOA 12
Kameleon
East Kameleon
Kneler
BoaBOA 11
BOA 09
KAM 03
KAM 02
EKAM 01
EKAM 02
KN 02
KN 05
KN 03
KN 06
KN 07
KAM 01
Drilled Development WellsPhase 2 Targets
73.8 km out of 102 km planned development wells completed27.2 km out of 33 km planned horizontal section completed10 Phase 1 development wells completed, 8 on production (2 remaining, mid-February 2009)
44
WF10539 01.09
Volund
Vilje
Alvheim
Volund tie-in SAGE shut-inCapacity assumption 134 Mbopd
Norway - Alvheim FPSO Oil Production Forecast
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
140,000
Q1 Q2
2009 2010
Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
bopd
45
WF10560 01.09 * Excludes Dordives discovery
to R
eser
ves
Others, 13.0
188.3 MMboe net Lundin Petroleum
Norway, 105.4
UK, 60.3
France, 9.6
294* MMboe net Lundin Petroleum
2008
Morskaya, Pi, SE Walio
NemoThistleHeatherBroomPeikGrandville
Discoveries +120* MMboe
45.7 MMboe
2009
Contingent Resources - 1 January 2009
Norway, 97.5
UK, 56.3
France, 9.9
Others, 15.6
Russia, 115.0
- Luno- Greater Alvheim Area- Pi - SE Tor
-Morskaya
- Thistle Infill- Heather Infill- Heather Triassic- SW Heather- Broom Infill- Scolty
46
WF10560 01.09
Contingent Resource History
MM
boe
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
2006 2007 2008 2009
RussiaVenezuelaIrelandNigeriaCongoIndonesiaTunisiaFranceNorwayUK
47
WF10560 01.09
Contingent Resource Movement
-20 0 20 40 60 80 100 120
Norway - Pi
Norway - Luno
Norway - Nemo (PL148)
UK - Heather
UK - Thistle
UK - Broom
France
Russia - Morskaya
MMBoe
West Heather infill well close to fault
CR to Reserves, Increased CR due to study results
CR to Reserves, Increased CR due to study results
CR to Reserves
Pi North Result
Grandville to Reserves
2008 Discovery
48
WF10018 12.08
Lundin Petroleum interest: 50% (Operator) Wintershall 30%, RWE 20%
Discovery 16/1-8 Largest discovery in Norwegian North Sea in the last decadeLight oil discoveryNew play concept provenSignificant working interest in adjoining acreage
Contingent Gross Resources
Discovered in 2007
Discovery MMBOE
65 - 190Luno
Luno Discovery
009
0016
0025
016
008
0015015
0024
0026
0017
PL304
PL359
PL338 PL501
PL505
PL410
PL409
PL412
PL363PL413
PL203
PL340
PL150
PL036c
PL088P090
PL167PL167B
0 20KM
Alvheim fieldPeik field
Volund field
Lundin Petroleum OperatorLundin Petroleum Partner
UKNorway
Luno discovery
49
WF10598 01.09
16/1-8 (Luno discovery well)
16/1-10(Luno appraisal well)
Tested4,000 bopd
OWC
Schematic Illustration of Luno Discovery
50
WF10598 01.09
Luno Reserves Status
Decision to incorporate Luno appraisal results before booking reserves
Incorporate drilling and test results into updated subsurface model
Incorporate 2008 ocean bottom seismic results
Revised reserves statement expected in the next two to three months
Expected to be within previously annouced range of 65-190 MMboe
52
Makhachkala Aktau
AtyrauAstrakhan
Kazakhstan
Russia
Astrakhan Field100 tcfg
Tengiz Field9 BBO
CPC Pipeline
Kalamkas Field1-2 BBO
Rakushechnoye Field4.4 tcfg
Khvalynskoye Field 266 MMBO
Sarmatskoye Field
Viktor Filanovsky600 MMBO, 1.2 tcfg
Caspian Field
MorskayaPetrovskaya
Kashagan Field15 BBO
Caspian Sea
Oil FieldGasCondensateOil PipelineGas PipelineTerminal
Korchagin Field380 MMBO
Russia - Lagansky Block
Lundin Petroleum 70%, Mintley 30% (pre-Gazprom option exercise)Lundin Petroleum 50%, Gazprom 50% (post-Gazprom option exercise)
Morskaya major oil discovery 2Q 2008
Laganskaya well completed (non-commercial) Small hydrocarbon shows, potential structure updip
Petrovskaya prospect to be drilledin 2009 targeting gross prospective resources of 300 MMboe
Local partner Gazprom throughoption agreement
WF10357e 01.09
53
Russia - Morskaya Discovery
WF10357c 08.08
0 MK 02
Lagansky Block
Kaspiskoye
Yuri Korchagin
Rakushechnoye Field4.4 TCF
Severo-Rakushechny
Northern Caspian
Viktor Filanovski600 MMbbls1.2 TCF
Morskaya Discovery
Petrovskaya Prospect LundinConcessionOil Field
Gas Field
Prospects
Rak-4Rak-2
Rak-1
Morskaya-1Laganskaya-1
COC well
Morskaya-1 discovery
Large structure with arealextent of 130 km2
Tested two horizons withcombined �ow rate of 2,500bopd, restricted by choke size
Estimated �ow rates forhorizontal development wellsof 4,000 (Aptian) to 8,000 bopd(Neocomian)
Gross resource range on block: 110 - 450 MMbo.Mid case 230 MMbo
2009 3D seismic
Additional Morskaya well to be drilled in 2009
54
WF10456 09.08
Russia - Lagansky Block
55
Lagansky Block - Morskaya discovery
WF10356 08.08
Tested at 800 bopdTheoretical Flow Rate 4,000 bopd 32° API oil
in Aptian andNeocomian
25 km
M-1
Tested at 1,700 bopdTheoretical Flow Rate 8,000 bopd
ALBIAN
APTIAN
NEOCOMIAN
56
WF9434 01.09
PL292
PL203
Thistle/Deveron
PL340
P1107
PL006c
P090
Heather/Broom/SW Heather
PL006c:South East Tor
75% interest (operator)gross resources: 22.5 mmboeappraisal currently drilling
PL292:Pi
40% interestgross resources: 17 mmboeProgressing development plan
PL340 15% interestgross resources: 11.0 mmboedrilling Marihone prospect in 2009
P1107:Scolty
40% interest (operator)gross resources: Scolty ~10 mmboe
Heather 100% interest (operator)gross resources: 16.7 mmboe
Broom 55% interest (operator)gross resources: 6.9 mmboe
Thistle/Deveron 99% interest (operator)gross resources: 17.5 mmboe
SW Heather: 55% interest (operator)gross resources: 9.6 mmboe
PL203Gekko/Kobra
15% interestgross resources: ~36.6 mmboe
P090 9/10b discovery
85% interestgross resources: ~10.6 mmboe
Net Contingent Resources: ~154 MMboe
UK / Norwegian Undeveloped Discoveries
57
WF10017 01.09
Other Contingent Resources
Congo Indonesia
France
Tunisia
Russia
TUNISIABirsa
40% interestgross resources: 17 mmboe
FRANCE Paris Basin gross 7.6 MMbblsAquitaine Basin net 2.3 MMbblsTotal France net 9.9 MMbbls
TUNISIAZelfa
44% interestgross resources: 2.5 mmboe
INDONESIASalawati Basin
25.936% interestgross resources: 11.6 mmboe
INDONESIASalawati Island
14.5% interestgross resources: 9.6 mmboe
CONGOBlock XI
18.75% interestViodo discovery - gross resources: 17 mmboe
RUSSIALagansky
50% interestMorskaya discovery - gross resources: 230 mmboe
Total Net Contingent Resources: 294 MMboe (of which North Sea 154 MMboe)
58
WF10017 01.09
2009 Contingent Resource Work Programme
Norway PL006C (SE Tor) appraisal well Progress Pi (PL292) towards FDP
France Dordives testing Dordives-2 appraisal well
Indonesia SE Walio - 2 appraisal wells
Russia Morsakaya-2 appraisal
Congo Viodo appraisal well
NorwayRussia
IndonesiaCongo
France
59