Production

40
Production Technology 1 Production So far: We have studied consumers’ behavior. Preferences and budgets give us an individual’s choices Individual’s choices at a variety of prices yield one person’s demand Add together individual demand to get market demand . Next: Apply similar ideas to firms. Again, constrained optimization yields choices, and choices yield supply . Later: Bring together supply and demand to describe an entire market.

Transcript of Production

Page 1: Production

Production Technology 1

Production

So far: We have studied consumers’ behavior.

• Preferences and budgets give us an individual’s choices

• Individual’s choices at a variety of prices yield one

person’s demand

• Add together individual demand to get market demand.

Next: Apply similar ideas to firms. Again, constrained

optimization yields choices, and choices yield supply.

Later: Bring together supply and demand to describe an

entire market.

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Production Technology 2

What do firms choose and why?

Objective: Maximize profit

Choices:

• Outputs

– What goods and services to produce

– Quantities of each output

• Inputs

– Labor (High-skill, low-skill)

– Capital (Machines, computers, buildings…)

– Other (Raw materials, land…)

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What do firms choose and why?

Constraints:

• Technology

• Budget (-like) constraints from input and output markets.

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Example: General Electric

GE’s Outputs: Appliances, TVs, lighting, insurance, energy,

healthcare, etc.

What markets to pursue and at what scale?

GE’s Inputs: Engineers, factory labor, robots, computers,

glass, metals, etc.

Which inputs to select and in what combinations?

GE’s Constraints: How many ways to make a TV, turbine,

or lightbulb? Do competitors affect GE’s pricing?

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Our PlanFirm optimization can be very complicated. Our plan:

• Simplify where possible. (Choose between 2 inputs rather

than among 100s)

• Consider optimization in steps

How will we break the problem into parts?

• Objective: Maximize profit

Profit = Revenue – Costs

Revenue = Output price Output quantity (linear prices)

Cost = Input prices Input quantities

First we consider input quantities, and then we work on output

quantity.

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Our Plan1. Describe production technology

– Production functions & substitution between inputs

– Economies of scale

– Short and long run choices

2. Cost-minimization

– Hold fixed a goal for output quantity. What is the best

(cheapest) way to combine inputs to achieve this goal?

– We will cover:

• Appropriate measurement of costs

• Short run v. long run cost minimization

• Cost functions

3. Choose an output quantity

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An Aside on Profit Maximization

Is profit maximization realistic?

• Profit maximization is a reliable, reasonable assumption

for many situations. Think of it as a great place to start.

What is going on when firms appear to be doing something

different?

• It’s possible that there other goals

– Intentional: good corporate citizens

– Not-so-intentional: Misaligned incentives within firms

• Static v. dynamic strategies. (Focus on present v.

future)

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Production Technology

Definition: A firm’s technology specifies a quantitative

relationship between combinations of inputs and the

level of output.

Important aspects of technology:

– Marginal product

– Factor substitution

– Economies of scale

– Short and long run

We will see a few ways to describe technology (function,

graph).

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Production Technology

Examples of production technology:

• The recipe for Coca-Cola

• GE Appliances

Given 10 hours of labor, a factory, a specific collection of machinery

and parts, GE can produce a certain number of washing machines.

• Scrambled eggs

It takes 2 eggs, ¼ cup of milk, ¼ tsp each of salt and pepper, a wisk,

a pan, heat, and 10 minutes of labor to make 1 serving of scrambled

eggs.

The last example should make it clear that it is hard to describe

real-world production fully without a ton of detail. Simplify!

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Production Technology 10

Production Technology

To deal with this, we consider a single output and two inputs:

Labor (L):

• Stands in for all inputs that can be varied immediately. (We

will sometimes just say “variable inputs.”)

Capital (K):

• Represents all inputs that might not be able to change

immediately. (We will sometimes just say “fixed inputs.”)

Important: What is variable and fixed changes over time.

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Production Functions

General form: Q = f(L,K,…)

• What f(L,K) tells us: Amount of Q that comes out when L and

K go in.

• An assumption: f(L,K) tells us the maximum quantity that

comes out when L and K go in.

• Production functions can be easily tailored to include other

types of inputs or a greater number of them.

Examples

1. A utility produces electricity from coal and/or natural gas. Each ton of coal (C) produces 60 kilowatt hours, each 100 cubic meters of gas (G) produces 40 kilowatt hours.

Production function: Q = 60C + 40G

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Production Functions

Examples

2. The number of insurance claims processed in a day is

Q = K1/2L1/2

K = total computer power, L = number of claims workers.

If K = 2, L = 2: Q = 2

K = 9, L = 1: Q = 3

K = 9, L = 4: Q = 6

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Production Functions

Examples

3. John and Paul create songs. To create 4 minutes of music,

John (J) needs to work for 2 hours and Paul (P) works for 3

hours. Without both John and Paul working on a song,

nothing of value is created.

The production function is Q = 4min{J/2, P/3}

How much music is produced when J = 15 and P = 12?

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Production FunctionsWe have now seen production functions in which…

• Inputs are perfectly substitutable: Q = 60C + 40G

• Inputs are perfectly complementary: Q = 4min{J/2, P/3}

• Inputs are imperfectly substitutable: Q = K1/2L1/2

Additional facts about Cobb-Douglas technology, Q = kLaKb:

• The relative size of a and b affect the relative productivity of

L and K

• The sum (a+b) determines economies of scale

• The term k cannot be ignored (as in utility), as it shifts Q in a

tangible way.

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Illustrating Production Tech.Just as we used indifference curves to illustrate preferences, we

can draw isoquants to show how different combinations of

inputs can yield the same output quantity.

K

Q = 60

L

Q = 90

Q = 40

2 3

2

3

Assume a firm has Q = 10LK.

How can it combine L and K to

produce a variety of Q levels?

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Illustrating Production Tech.Example:

• Return to the electricity production function: Q = 60C + 40G

• Draw the isoquant for 1200 kilowatt hours of the electricity

production technology.

G

C20

30• Where do the intercepts

come from?

• What does the slope of

the isoquant mean?

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Illustrating Production Tech.Example:

• Return to the music production function: Q = 4min{J/2,P/3}

• Draw the isoquant for 40 minutes of music production.

P

J

• How do we interpret the

kink?

• How will J and P choose

to allocate their time?

20

30

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Marginal & Average Product

Given fixed K, what’s the

benefit to adding L?

L K Q Q/L dQ/dL

0 10 0 - -

1 10 10 10 10

2 10 30 15 20

3 10 60 20 30

4 10 80 20 20

5 10 95 19 15

6 10 108 18 13

7 10 112 16 4

Average

Product

of Labor

Marginal

Product

of Labor

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Marginal Product

Marginal Product of Labor (MPL)

Increase in output from one more L, holding K fixed.

Marginal Product of Capital (MPK)

Increase in output from one more K, holding L fixed.

• We generally assume MPL & MPK > 0.

• MPs are important for choosing the optimal L and K.

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Marginal Product

Example: Q = L0.5K0.5

Suppose L = 9 and K = 4, so Q = 6.

What’s the benefit from adding another worker or unit of

capital?

MPL = 0.5L-0.5K0.5 = 1/3.

Interpretation: With another unit of L, Q increases to 6.33.

MPK = 0.5L0.5K-0.5 = 0.75

Interpretation: With another unit of K, Q increases to 6.75.

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Marginal Product

Example: Q = min{3L, 2K}

Suppose L = 2 and K = 2, so Q = 4.

What’s the benefit from adding another worker or unit of

capital?

MPL = 0

Interpretation: Without additional K, more L does no good.

MPK = 2

Interpretation: With another unit of K, Q increases to 6.

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Marginal Product

Law of Diminishing Marginal Returns

• Eventually, the marginal product of every input declines.

• This means that MPL (or MPK) eventually falls. It does

NOT mean that it must become negative.

• Also, it is NOT the case that later L are lower quality

(e.g., less educated) than initial L.

Example: Q = L0.5K0.5

• What is MPL at K = 4? MPL = L-0.5

• How does this change as L ? Bigger L Smaller MPL

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Marginal and Average Product

Average Product of Labor

• This is “Labor Productivity.” International comparisons of

productivity use this measure. (This is a short run concept.)

• What are the main determinants of this?

• What determines productivity growth in services, agriculture?

Marginal, Average Products of Capital

• Note that we can define the same concepts for capital (K)

• This could be because we want to treat K as flexible relative

to L, plus we need the concepts for long run analysis.

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Illustrating Productivity

Q

L

MPL

APL

L

MPL

APL

For any production function, we can illustrate MPL and/or

APL, given a level of K

( , )f L K

Notice that APL increases when MPL is above it, and APL

falls when MPL is below it.

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Illustrating Productivity

Another look at the relationship between MPL and APL:

Q

L

Q0

L0

( , )f L K

• APL at L0 is Q0/L0 = Slope

of red dashed line.

• How do we illustrate MPL

for this production fn?

• Interpretation of why APL

and MPL are different

here?

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Production Technology 26

Illustrating Productivity

For higher levels of K, we will usually see higher levels of MPL.

MPL

L

MPL1

MPL2

• MPL1 is associated

with a low level of K

• MPL2 is associated

with higher K

• What do we make of

the way MPL1 and

MPL2 differ (more at

high L than low L)?

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Factor Substitution

K

Q = 10

L

Slope of an isoquant:

Marginal Rate of Technical

Substitution (MRTS)

MPL

MRTSMPK

Interpretation: Holding Q fixed, how much K is the firm

willing to give up for one more unit of L?

Various L and K can lead to the same Q when inputs are

substitutable. This follows from MPL > 0 and MPK > 0.

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Factors Substitution

Why are we sure that MRTS is the slope of the isoquant?

• MPx is the magnitude of change in output if input x goes up

or down by a small amount.

• If L increases by dL, then Q increases by: MPL dL

• If K decreases by dK, then Q falls by: – MPK dK

In general,

• MPLdL + MPKdK = dQ. This holds for (+) or (–) dL & dK.

• Since we are moving along an isoquant, we are interested in

dQ = 0. Insert this and rearrange to get:

MPL dK

MPK dL

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Variation in Factor Substitution• When K is high and L is low, MRTS may be high. Why?

Look at MPL and MPK.

• Diminishing MRTS: Flexibility in exchanging K for L becomes

more difficult as the initial amount of K falls.

K

Q = 10

L

1

2

MRTS = MPL/MPK

MRTS1 > MRTS2

because of differences

in labor and capital

productivity.

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Production Technology 30

Scale Economies

A firm’s efficiency may depend on how large it is. What do

we mean by efficiency?

High output for relatively low inputs

Example: 3 Restaurants – Which is most efficient?

a. Small. One chef in a small kitchen.

– Must do everything himself & use limited equipment

b. Medium. Ten chefs in a kitchen 10 as large as in (a).

– Tasks divided among chefs saves time for all.

Specialized capital.

– More than 10 the output of (a)

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Scale Economies

Restaurant example, continued

c. Large. 100 chefs in a huge kitchen, 10 size of (b).

– Fine division of tasks requires a lot of coordination. No

additional benefits from specialized capital.

– Less than 10 the output of (b).

Would you say the small, medium, or large restaurant is most

efficient?

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Quantifying Scale Economies

Suppose we have the production function f(L,K).

Steps in considering the scale economies of f :

1. Start with certain amounts of the inputs, L1 and K1.

2. Now think about scaling-up the inputs by a factor >

1, so that L2 = L1 > L1 and K2 = K1 > K1

Example: = 1.5, to represent a 50% increase in L and K.

3. What happens to output? (Does it increase by more

or less than ?)

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Production Technology 33

Quantifying Scale Economies

How to do #3: Compare Q2 = f(L1, K1) to Q1 = f(L1,K1).

The function f has…

• Increasing returns to scale if Q2/Q1 > .

• Constant returns to scale if Q2/Q1 = .

• Decreasing returns to scale if Q2/Q1 < .

Examples: What are the returns to scale for…

• Q = 3L + 2K

• Q = 3L1/2 + 2K1/2

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Quantifying Scale Economies

• Example: Cobb-Douglas production Q = LaKb.

• L and K increase by . What happens to output?

• Compare to Q1 = LaKb. What determines Q2/Q1 ?

• Whether a+b > depends on how (a+b) compares to 1.

E.g.: if (a+b) > 1, then f has increasing returns to scale.

2 ( ) ( )

( )( )

a b

a b a b

Q L K

L K

2

1

( )( )

( )

a b a ba b

a b

Q L K

Q L K

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Illustrating Scale EconomiesWe measure scale economies by asking how much output

increases if inputs increase by some factor (e.g., double).

If inputs double…

• Double the output:

Constant returns to scale

• More than double:

Increasing returns to scale

• Less than double:

Decreasing returns to scale

K

Q = 10

L

Q = ??

8 16

16

8

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Production Technology 36

Scale Economies

• Most real-world technologies are believed to have…

– increasing returns to scale (RTS) for low Q, and

– decreasing RTS for high Q.

• Why shouldn’t we expect to observe many increasing

RTS situations at firms’ observed sizes?

General intuition:

• In long-run equilibrium, we should expect firms to

operate at their most efficient scale.

• It’s no accident that coffee shops are small and auto

plants are huge.

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Production Technology 37

Scale Economies

Example: Decreasing RTS in microprocessor production.

• Microprocessors produced in clean “fabs”

• Fabs are often the same size

• Increasing returns for very small fabs, but as fabs get

larger is it difficult to keep them clean and organized.

• Intel has many fabs.

More generally, the average U.S. manufacturing firm has 4

similarly sized plants.

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Production Technology 38

Short Run and Long Run

Suppose that a firm is “locked in” to a fixed level of capital

for the immediate future. Examples:

- Changing capital levels would mean building a new factory

or selling-off an old one, and this doesn’t happen quickly.

- New high-tech machinery can be obtained immediately,

but it takes a while for workers to learn how to use it.

What this means for the firm:

- The firm should try to use its current capital as well as

possible.

- The firm must pay for all of the capital it currently has.

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Production Technology 39

Short Run and Long Run

Given a fixed level of capital, K1, in the short run, how

difficult is it to change output goals?

K

Q = 10

L

Q = 20

K1

L1

• Suppose a production goal

changes from Q = 10 to 20.

• Given the blue isoquants,

what new level of L is needed

to achieve the new goal?

• Given the red isoquants, what

is the new level of L?

• Which technology (set of

isoquants) allows more

substitution between inputs?LB LR

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Summary

We have covered:

• How to describe a production technology

• Important details:

– Marginal and average productivity

– Scale economies

– Long run v. short run flexibility

This will be useful to us because:

• Firms costs follow directly from productivity.

• Changes to firms’ organizational strategies depend on

what’s possible under the production technology.