Objective

The purpose of the conference is to contribute to the development of Modeling, Simulations and its applications and to bring together the researchers and practitioners from all over the world working in the related areas to present their research, to exchange new ideas, to discuss challenging issues,to foster future collaborations and to expose young researchers.

Organized by : Sponsored by :

2 0 1

Basic Science International Conference 2

Official Site : www.basic.ub.ac.id

Mathematics Department Faculty of Sciences

Brawijaya University Jl. Veteran, Malang 65145

Phone : +62-341-581033 e-mail: basicscience@ub.ac.id

2

2

0 1

nd

Basic Science International Conference 2

SC

IEN

CE

BA

SIC

INTER

NA

TION

AL PROCEEDING 2012C

ON

FEREN

CE

2nd

BASIC SCIENCE International Conference Malang

th

February 24-25 , 2012

MATHEMATICS DEPARTMENT

FACULTY OF SCIENCES BRAWIJAYA UNIVERSITY

2nd

Basic Scienc e Internation al Conferenc e

201 2 Feb ruary 24– 25 th

, 201 2

Proce eding s

Rese arch In novation on Modeling, Simulatio n,

and its Applications

Editors

Dr. Wuryansari Muharini Kusumawinahyu

Danny Pr asetyo H artanto Rizk a Firdau si

Mutya Fani Atso mya

Ma thematics Depa rtment on beh alf of Fa culty of Sciences Brawijaya Univ ersity

FOREWORD

A very warm welcome to all participants of Basic Science International Conference (BaSIC) 2012

with theme Research Innovation on Modeling, Simulation, and its Applications, organized by

Mathematics Department on behalf of Faculty of Sciences, Brawijaya University.

More than 100 participants came from 8 countries and 3 continents joined the conference

which was held on February 24th‐25th, 2012. One of the main aims of the BaSIC 2012 is to bring

closer together basic scientists around the world to share knowledge and exchange new ideas

with cross‐disciplinary interests related to mathematics, basic sciences, and its applications,

including, but not limited to, theory and applied of mathematics, statistics, computer science,

biology, physics, and chemistry. With this in mind, we wish all participants to have fruitful and

enjoyable discussions during the two‐day conference.

The proceedings that follow are a full record of the conference. Many presentations, both oral

and poster, formed an important part of the conference. Thus, it is importance to provide more

platforms for scientists to interact among. We hope that BaSIC 2012 would continue to be an

active forum for academia and industry to discuss and exchange their ideas.

We would also like to thank the international advisory and scientific committee for their

guidance, as well as keynote and invited speakers for spending time and sharing with us the

future trends of interdisciplinary research in basic sciences. Last but not least, we would like to

express our appreciation to the reviewers for their supportive response and diligence that have

made the publication of the conference proceedings possible.

Yours sincerely,

Ratno Bagus Edy Wibowo, Ph.D. Chair of Organizing Committee

ii

Message from Dean of Faculty of Sciences

On behalf of the faculty of Sciences we are very happy to welcome you at the 2nd

International Conference on Basic Sciences 2012. Our appreciation to Prof. Dr. Ir.Yogi Sugito,

rector of the University of Brawijaya for his supports. My gratitude to all of the keynote and

invited speakers who made this conference succeed.

We can share our knowledge and experiences during this conference. Next, we would like to

thank all of the steering and organizing committee for their efforts in succeeding this

conference, especially to Ratno Bagus Edy Wibowo, Ph.D as the chair of the organizing

committee.

Last but not least for all of the participants, we are thankful for your cooperation, contribution

and very valuable support for this event.

Thank you,

Prof. Dr. Marjono, MPhil.

iii

INTERNATIONAL ADVISORY COMMITTEE

Prof.Dr. Ir. Yogi Sugito, Brawijaya University, Indonesia

Prof.Dr. Marjono, M.Phil, Brawijaya University, Indonesia

Prof. Kiyoshi Okuda, DVM.,Dr.med.,Vet.,Ph.D., Faculty of Agriculture, Okayama University, Japan

Prof. Don Faust, Dept. Mathematics and Computer Science, North Michigan University,

USA

SCIENTIFIC COMMITTEE

Prof. M. E. O'Neill (Sydney University ‐ Australia)

Dr. Edgar Paski (BCIT‐Canada)

Dr. Francois Malherbe (Swinburne University of Technology ‐ Australia)

Dr. Lilibeth Coo (University of Philippine ‐ Philippine)

Dr. Agus Suryanto, M.Sc (Brawijaya University ‐ Indonesia)

Dr. Wuryansari Muharini, M.Sc (Brawijaya University ‐ Indonesia)

Dr. Rahma Fitriani, M.Sc (Brawijaya University ‐ Indonesia)

Dr. M. Bernadetha (Brawijaya University ‐ Indonesia)

Dr. Rurini Retnowati (Brawijaya University ‐ Indonesia)

Dr. Endang Ariesoesilaningsih (Brawijaya University ‐ Indonesia)

Dr. Abdur Rouf (Brawijaya University ‐ Indonesia)

Drs. Abdul Rouf Alghofari, Ph.D. ( Brawijaya University‐ Indonesia)

iv

CONTENTS

FOREWORD ii MESSAGE FROM DEAN OF FACULTY OF SCIENCES iii COMMITEE iv CONTENTS v

KEYNOTE SPEAKERS

Adytia, D.,M.Woran,Prof. E. van Groesen, Faculty of Electrical Engineering, K – 1 Mathematics and Computer Science (EEMCS), University of Twente, Netherlands ‐

LabMath Indonesia: EffectofapossibleAnakKrakatau explosionin theJakartaBay

Acep Purqon, Ph.D., Assistant Professor, Computational Bioscience, Kanazawa K – 6 University, Assistant Professor, Earth Physics and Complex systems, ITB Special

Adviser for promotion of globalization, Kanazawa University Guest researcher,

Institute for Chemical Research, Kyoto University Guest researcher, Institute for

Molecular Science, Japan:SELF‐ASSEMBLY FLUCTUATION MODES AND

SYNCHRONIZATION PATTERS IN BIONANOCLUSTERS

Dr. Takeshi Igawa, Hiroshima University, Japan, A case study of conservation K – 7 genetics for endangered species in Japan: Landscape genetics and captive breeding

in endangered frogs of genus Odorrana.

INVITED SPEAKERS

Dr. Agus Suryanto, M.Sc., Brawijaya University, Indonesia I – 1 Dr. Ing. Setiawan P. Sakti., M.Eng., Brawijaya University, Indonesia I – 7

CONTRIBUTED PAPERS

MATHEMATICS

Darmajid, The Geometric Representation of Semisimple Module M – 1 L.H. Wiryanto, Stream Near a Separation of Solid Boundary M – 5

E. Herawaty, THE BOUNDEDNESS OF SUPERPOSITION OPERATOR ON 〖L_Φ〗^((L) ) M – 9 A.Meiza, Fuzzy Parameters Estimation Method for The Cusp Catastrophe Model M–14 Cicik Alfiniyah, THE EFFORTS TO MINIMIZE FLOODING ALONG THE RIVER THROUGH M–18 A WEIR NOTCH DESIGN (CASE STUDY)

Lily Montarcih Limantara, Optimization of Linear Programming Model For Water M–21 Irrigation Area of Jatimlerek, East Java of Indonesia

Mulia Astuti, A Special Class of Integral Hypergraphs M–24 Sigit Pancahayani, Backbone Chromatic Number on Harary Graph M–27 Endang Wahyu H, THE NET SINGLE PREMIUM IN COLLECTIVE LIFE INSURANCE BASED M–30 ON INSURED STATUS

Marsudi, STABILITY ANALYSIS OF THE HIV/AIDS EPIDEMIC MODEL WITH TWO AGE M–33 GROUPS IN INDONESIA

Muhammad Hamzah Syahruddin, Modeling Groundwater Flow With Boundary M–38 Element Method (BEM)

v

Ari Andari : Tensor Product of Free‐Modules Over M–42 Integral Domain

Moch. Aruman Imron : On p‐non One Sided Bounded Variation Sequences and M–46 Functions

Sobri : The Effect of Road Characteristics on Motorcycle Accident M–51 in Batu East Java Indonesia

Eko Noerhayati : Discharge Model Based on Water Balance M–57 in Konto Upstream River, Indonesia

Endar H. Nugrahani: Traffic Light Strategies in Optimizing Vehicular Traffic Flow M‐61

STATISTICS

Anwar Fitrianto, Classical and a Robust Method in Dealing with Outlier in Factorial S – 1 Designs:An Empirical Example

Maylita Hasyim, SPATIAL MIXTURE SURVIVAL MODEL BY NORMAL DISTRIBUTION OF S – 5 FRAILTY FOR INCIDENCE RATE OF DENGUE HEMORRHAGIC FEVER (DHF) IN

PAMEKASAN

Mohammad Masjkur, MODELING PHOSPHATE SORPTION ON KAOLINITIC AND S–10 SMECTITIC SOILS

anwar fitrianto, Effects of an Outlying Observation on Multiple Linear Regression S–19 Model: An Empirical Example in Forward Selection Procedures

Idhia Sriliana, TRUNCATED SPLINE REGRESSION IN LINEAR PARTIAL MODEL FOR S–23 LONGITUDINAL DATA

Lilik Hidayati, MULTIVARIABLE CUBIC SPLINE REGRESSION IN SCORE MODELING S–27 NATIONAL EXAM

Andoyo Supriyantono, Estimation of (Co)Variance Components and Genetic S‐31 Parameter of Withers Height, Chest Girth and Body Length of Bali Cattle Using

Animal Model

Nur Chamidah, Biresponse Local Polynomial Regression of Baby Growth Curve in S–34 Case of Heteroscedasticity

Doris Erwantoro, Speech/Music Discrimination on Phone Line Channel Using Fisher S–38 Linear Discriminant Analysis

Ardilliansah Hari Pristyandana, Seemingly Unrelated Regression (SUR) with Spatial S–43 Effect for Modeling Main Sector GDP in East Java

Solimun, Investigation the Instrument Validity: Consistency between Criterion S–46 Validity and Unidimensional Validity

Dian Anggraeni, Cluster Validation in Correlated Simulation Data Using R Package S –51 clValid

M. Arif Zainul Fuad, Local Spatial Auto‐correlation Characteristics of Multispectral S–56 Satellite Imagery of a Different Benthic Cover Types Assessed by Local Spatial

Statistics

Atiek Iriany, Suhariningsih, Setiawan, and B. N. Ruchjana, Development of GSTAR S–60 Model using SUR Approach

vi

COMPUTER SCIENCE

Atmaja, B. T., D. Arifianto, Y.Chisaki, T. Usagawa: Signal Enhancement by Using C – 1 Sound Separation MethodsBased On Binaural Inputs

Rosyid, H. A.: Adaptive Digital Game‐based Learning Cognitive Content C – 7 Prasetya, D. D.: Game‐based Learning for Children with Math Disability C–13 Arifin, M. Z.: Semantic Commerce : How to Get Valuable Customer C–17 Nugroho, F., H. Nurhayati: Facial Animation At Embodied Agent In C–20 Computer Gamefor Islamic Ellementary School

Syauqi, A., F. N. Sabyla: Implementing Semantic Web Technology for Digital Library C–25 Search Engine

Dewi, C., C. Adiyasa: Optimization of Fuzzy Time Series Based on Candlestick Theory C–30 in Stock Price Forecasting Using Intraday Average ObservationsModel

Arwin D., D., F. Kurniawan: Zakat Recipients Determination Based On The Clothing C–35 PatternsClassification Using Agent

Susilo, A. D.: Social Semantic, Integrating Semantic Web and Social Media C–40 Saparudin, I. U. Nkole, G. B. Sulong: An Enhanced Iris Segmentation Algorithm Using C–44 Circle HoughTransform

Marji, D. E. Ratnawati, L. Muflikhah: Character Code for Half‐Byte Compression C–50 Based on Maximal Pattern Pair Frequency

Puspasari, S.: Eigen Space Based Character Recognition Applicationsfor Learning C–52 Mandarin

Fuady, M. J.: Deductive DBMS Using Relational DBMS Facts C–57 Ashoor, A. S., S.Gore: Network Intrusion Detection System Using Multi‐Agents C–61 Pudjiantoro, T. H., F. Renaldi, T. Fauziah: Decision Support System for Travel C–65 Arrangements in Bandung using Clustering on Demand

Rahajoe, A. D., E. Winarko: Applying a Proper m‐Colorings of The Vertices of a Graph C–71 forClass Scheduling Problem

Winarko, E.: STORE‐SP: A TOOL FOR STORING, RETRIEVING, AND VISUALIZING C–76 SEQUENTIAL PATTERNS

Santoso, E., R.B.E. Wibowo, B. Rahayudi: SPEECH RECOGNITION IN NOISY C–83 ENVIRONMENT WITH THE LPC AND NNC USING THE ROOT‐CEPSTRUM FEATURE

Melani, R. I., M. Haid, M. Hariadi, Purnama, IKE: Gesture Recognition Based on HMM C–89 with the Signal from INS

CHEMISTRY

Cici Darsih, BAGASSE DELIGNIFICATION EFFECT ON REDUCING SUGAR PROCESSES Ch ‐ 1 USING SIMULTANEOUS SACCHARIFICATION AND FERMENTATION

Gunandjar, IMOBILIZATION OF URANIUM RADIOACTIVE WASTE USING MATRIX Ch ‐ 6 MATERIALS OF SYNROC TITANATE AND BITUMEN

Hermin Sulistyarti, Ion Selective Electrode for Thiocyanate Determination In Batch Ch ‐ 13 and Flow Systems

Leny Yuanita, The Effect of Immersion Time, Citric Acid and Phytase Concentration Ch ‐ 17 in Corn (Zea mays L) to Bioavailability of Zinc Mineral (In ‐ vitro)

vii

Zainus Salimin, UTILIZATION OF EXTRACELLULAR POLYMERIC SUBSTANCES FOR Ch ‐ 22 REMOVAL OF URANIUM, THORIUM AND LEAD FROM RADIOACTIVE LIQUID WASTE

Ahmad Yudi, SYNTHESIS AND CHARACTERIZATION OF ACTIVATED CARBONS FROM Ch ‐ 28 WASTE TIRES WITH NaCl ACTIVATOR

Lusiani Dewi Assaat, GC‐MS and NMR Analysis of ethyl‐p‐methoxycinnamate Ch ‐ 35 Isolated From Kaempferia galanga L Using Distillation Method

Lestyo Wulandari, TLC Determination of Hydroquinone in Whitening Creams and Ch ‐ 38 Validation of The Method

Sentot Joko Raharjo, THE CHARACTERISTIC OF PATCHOULI OILS OF THE RESULT Ch ‐ 42 STEAM DISTILLATION PATCHOULI LEAVES OF THE DEWAXING AND FERMENTATION

USING Aspergilus niger

Sulistyo Saputro, Clarification of Chromium Mobility in Natural Water by using Ch ‐ 52 Solid‐phase Spectrophotometry and ICP‐MS

Uyi Sulaeman, Solvothermal Synthesis of La and N codoped SrTiO3 in KOH Aqueous Ch ‐ 57 Solution for Visible Light Photocatalysis

Sucipta, Safety Assessment of Demonstration Disposal for Low Level Radioactive Ch – 61 Waste in Serpong Nuclear Area Using PRESTO Software

Atikah, Qonitah Fardiyah, Nimas lintang,Renny Wibrata, Chitosan as a Carrier in a Ch – 66

Coated Wire Membrane Electrode for Iodate Sensor

BIOLOGY

Windi Alzahra, Asep Saefuddin, Luki Abdullah: Model Simulation To Analyze Forage B – 1 Susitainability For Small Holder Dairy Farm In Lembang, West Java

Rahayu, S., T. J. Acosta, S. Yoshioka, T. Sota, Tin, K. Okuda:Quantitative analysis of B – 5 Bone Morphogenetic Protein‐15 andGrowth Differentiation Factor‐9 Expression in

BovineGranulosa Cells (GCs) during follicular development

Isnaini, N., S. Wahjuningsih: The Effects of a Hypothalamus and Midbrain Extract B – 9 Administration on the Reproductive Performance in Anestrus Potpartum Dairy Cows

Mastuti, R.: Role of In Vitro System as Continuous Betalain Sources B–13 Soesilohadi, R. C. H., R. Pratiwi, R. H. Adi: Tahu waste product as a source protein B–20 hydrolisate using for main material attractant for adult fruit fly

Bactroceracarambolae (Diptera: Tephritidae)

Maramis, A. A., M. Amin, Sumarno, A. D. Corebima: The Effect of Repeated Exposure B–24 of Formalin‐containing Fishagainst Apoptosis of The Liver Cell of Mice

Mukaromah, L., N. Enright, H. Kobryn: A Multivariate Approach To Explore The B–30 Relationship of Hyperspectral Wavebands to Floristic and Environmental Attributes

Miftahu Soleh:Far Infrared Radiation Induced Mesenterial Mast Cell Degranulation, B‐36 Role of Mast Cell in Thermoregulation

Novi Harun AR:Stomatal Morphology and Numbers of Genus Ficus B‐44 Novi Harun AR:THE STUDY OF MALE GAMETE DEVELOPMENT IN BEGONIA (Begonia B‐48 spp)

Estri Laras Arumingtyas : Molecular Identification of Csla Gene Encoding Glycosil B‐52 Transferase Responsible for The Synthesis of Glucomannan in Porang

(Amorphophallus muelleri Blume)

viii

Tatas H.P. Brotosudarmo : Predicting Novel Structure of a Light Harvesting B‐56 Complexes by Single Molecule Spectroscopy Analysis – a Review

Novi Harun AR: POLLEN SIZE MEASUREMENT AND IN VITRO GERMINATION B‐61

IN BEGONIA (Begonia spp)

PHYSICS

Rokhmat, M., M. Prima, A. Hambali: Solution of Multiple Cladding Fiber Model Using P – 1 Bisection Methods and Its Application to Communication System

Sunaryo: STUDY ON QUANTITY AND QUALITY OF ARJUNOWELIRANG P – 5 VOLCANO‐GEOTHERMAL ENERGY ZONE BY MEANS OF MAGNETIC SURVEY Marsoem, P. et. al: National Intercomparison of Gamma‐ray Emission‐rate P–13

Measurement by Means of Gamma Spectrometers60

Co and 131

I Sources

Susilo, A.: Community Based Disaster Management (Case Study of Malang Regency) P–17 Syahruddin, M. H.: Distribution Hydraulic Conductivity Value with SP Method P–21 Abdurrouf: A Direct comparison between the three dimensions and the planar P–25 model for high harmonic generation signal of aligned molecules

Budiantari, C. T., N. Rajagukguk, A.Firnando F.: THE IAEA/WHO TLD POSTAL DOSE P–30 QUALITY AUDIT FOR A 10 MV PHOTON BEAM

Naba, A., S. Bahar, D. H. Santjojo: Ultrasonic Wave‐Based System For Measuring P–34 Small Displacement

H. Candra, Pujadi, G. Wurdiyanto: DETERMINATION OF 177Lu IMPURITY; CENTER P–39 FOR RADIOISOTOPES AND RADIOPHARMACEUTICALS BATAN PRODUCT Wijono, G. Wurdiyanto, Pujadi: Determination of Detector Characteristics of P–43

Centronic IG11on 226

Ra, 137

Cs and 60

Co Counting

Herwiningsih, S.: Monte Carlo Simulation of iView a‐Si EPID for ErrorDetection P–48 ofIMRT delivery

Didik R. Santoso : Application of Piezoelectric (PVDF Film) Sensor for Static Load P‐52 Measurements

Syamsu Rosid and Evy Rosa Fault : Determination Using Gravity Anomaly Data P‐56 at Singkarak Area, West Sumatra

Johan A.E. Noor : Quality Assurance in CT Imaging P‐61 Johan A.E. Noor : Current Advances in CT Imaging: A Review P‐65 Sukir Maryanto : Volcanic Earthquakes at Semeru Volcano, East Java, Indonesia P–70 Icuk Setyawati, Abdurrouf : The Eigenvalue Computation for Electronic Structure P–75 Calculation of Graphene by Using Laplace Theorem

ix

Noerhayati, E. Basic Science International Conference 2012

Discharge Model Based on Water Balance in Konto Upstream River, Indonesia

Eko Noerhayati

Abstract

The purpose of this study was to formulate discharge model based on water balance. The factor that

wasinfluenced and considered to the model was not only rainfall but there were many factors instead of soil

watercontent, water loss and land use rate. The land use rate would be the functions of forest area, irrigated

rice field,residential area, farm, dry field and shrub. Case study was in upstream Konto River. Results can be

used toverify in the other watersheds.

Key words: discharge model, water balance

I. INTRODUCTION

The main objective of water resources planning and management is to solve the equation of demand andsupply of water resource for a specific

area taking into account various dimensions like space, time, economy,politics, environment, and

other aspects. Also, water management means the reconciliation of all users,preservation of water and related land resources, and previous of enough

water for constantly expanding needs. One of the global climate exchanges are the

increasing of frequency and intensity of climate

extreme such ashurricane, flood, and drought. Some

research before were shown many indicators climate

exchange as rise in sealevel [2], flood, drought, some

wealthy problem and any problem in water resources

development. There wasneeded an adaptable

management to manage successfully in one

watershed. In fact, many regions had realizeddeficit in

water. It was caused by 1) upstream of watershed that

was not well maintained would influenced

thedownstream; 2) some upstream of watersheds were

as critical condition; 3) human needs of water would

beincreasing; and 4) there was not regional management based on water balance. Hydrological approaches in the watershed systems

have granted great many contributions to hydraulicstructured planning. There are many patterns to develop discharge model. One of them is based on regressionanalysis [3]. Statistical regression is one of the patterns for analyzing hydrological models [4]. It is considered

thatwatershed is too complex and heterogen to identify its parameters detail. Therefore, this paper studied thedischarge model. This was intended to formulate discharge model. This model was due to water balance so thatwas produced design of management land cover which was based on water

balance and would fulfill any kinds ofproblem in water resources.

II. MATERIALS AND METHODS Location of this study was at upstream Konto

watershed, Malang Region, that was instead of 12

villages in2 districts such as Ngantang District and

Pujon District, with approximately 23,000 ha of

area. This area wasconsisted of forest, farm, dry

field, irrigated rice field, shrub and esidential area.

Location of this study was asFigure 1 below.

DEM-Das KontoHulu

Fig. 1.Location of Study

The data was used for this study consist of primary and secondary data. Primary data was

measurementof river discharge in year 2009 and soil sample of each land use. Secondary data was consisted of:

1) daily rainfall from year 1993 to 2006; 2) topography map in scale of 1: 25,000, 3) climate

data from year 1993 to 2006,4) digital photography for land sat and aster, 5) digital map of land use, and 6) water level at Cobanrondo in year from

1993 to 2006.To formulate the discharge model, there was carried out some models as the steps of

methodologies. Themethodologies were consisted of: 1) to analyze watershed rainfall rate, to analyze potential vapotranspiration,3) to

analyze water holding capacity, 4) to analyze actual evapotranspiration, 5) to analyze run off rate fromJanuary to December, it was used water balance method; 6) to formulate discharge model. Table 1 was described summary of formulating discharge model.

M.57

K R M

Noerhayati, E. Basic Science International Conference 2012

Table 1.Summary of Formulating Discharge Model

III. RESULTS AND DISCUSSION

Before formulating the discharge model in the

watershed, it was carried out to formulate discharge

model for each land use from January to December.

Thornwaite-Matter method was used in this study

with giving assumption that 50% surplus water would

become as runoff and the reduce water would enter in

the ground and appear again 50% by next

month.Statistical analysis that was used in this

modeling was double linier regression, which was

divided to 4types due to the kind of land use such

as (q = discharge): q forest as q hutan, q farm as q

kebun, q residential as q pemukiman and q

irrigated rice as q sawah. The independent variable

was q and the dependent variables wererainfall (P),

area of land use (A), evapotranspiration (E) and the change of soil water content (ΔS). As

someexamples for January to April and November

to December, the results of models were as follows

(Notes: hutan,kebun, pemukiman, sawah stand for

forest, farm, human settlement and rice-field

respectively).

M.58

Liner equation for matrix method was used to formulate the discharge model of regional management. Data

was used to formulate this model was in year 1993, 1995, 1997, 2003, 2005 and 2006. Model formulation was

as below:

.

(This model had been corrected by observed data)

1. Q(X) = - 0.314 - 0.000353 P(x) - 0.00328 EA(x) 3. Q(K) = - 1.48 + 0.000039 P(k) - 0.000569 EA(k)

+ 0.00143 S(x) + 0.00449 WHC(x) + 0.000114 S(k)+ 1375 WHC(k)

2. Q(Y) = 0.255 + 0.000311 P(y) - 0.00198 EA(y) 4. Q(L) = - 0.72 + 0.000027 P(l) - 0.000093 EA

+ 0.000040 S(y) + 0.000524 WHC(y) (l)+ 0.000442 S(l) + 0.019 WHC(l)

M.59

Noerhayati, E. Basic Science International Conference 2012

WHC(x) = - 0.114 + 4.18 L(h)

WHC(y) = -4.21 + 3.56 L(k)

WHC(k) = - 0.000041 + 0.000174 L(m)

WHC(l) = 31.3 + 0.552 L(w)

Q teory = Q(X) + Q(Y) + Q(K) + Q(L)

Q = 0.197 + 0.677 Q teory

(Q = discharge model, X = area of forest, Y = area

of farm, K = area of residential, L = area of

irrigatedrice, P = presitation, EA =

evaptranspiration, S = themore over water in land WHC = Water holding capacity)

IV. CONCLUSIONS . According to the analysis as above, the formulation

of discharge model at Konto upstream river

was:.Q(X) = - 0.314 - 0.000353 P(x) - 0.00328

EA(x) + 0.00143 S(x) + 0.00449 WHC(x)

Q(Y) = 0.255 + 0.000311 P(y) - 0.00198 EA(y) +

0.000040 S(y) + 0.000524 WHC(y)

Q(K) = - 1.48 + 0.000039 P(k) - 0.000569 EA(k)

+ 0.000114 S(k)+ 1375 WHC(k)

Q(L) = - 0.72 + 0.000027 P(l) - 0.000093 EA (l)+

0.000442 S(l) + 0.019 WHC(l)

WHC(x) = - 0.114 + 4.18 L(h)

WHC(y) = -4.21 + 3.56 L(k)

WHC(k) = - 0.000041 + 0.000174 L(m)

WHC(l) = 31.3 + 0.552 L(w)

Q teory = Q(X) + Q(Y) + Q(K) + Q(L)

Q = 0.197 + 0.677 Q teory

REFERENCES

INWRDAM. 2001. Decision Support System

in the Field of Water Resources Planning And

Management.Published on line in

http://www.nic.gov.jo/inwrdam/dss.htm1.

March 12, 2001. Susandi, Armidkk. 2008. Dampak

Perubahan Iklim Terhadap Ketinggian Muka Laut Di Wilayah Banjarmasin .Jurnal Ekonomi LingkunganVol. 12/No.2/2008

Blazkova, S. and K. Beven. 1997. Flood

Frequency Prediction for Data Limited

Catchments in theCzech Republic Using a

Stochastic Rainfall Model and TOPMODEL,

Journal of Hydrology 195:256-278. Sri Harto, 1993, Hidrologi, Universitas

Gajah Mada, Yogyakarta

(Q = discharge model, X = area of forest, Y = area of farm, K = area of residential, L = area of

irrigatedrice, P = presitation, EA =

evaptranspiration, S = the more over water in land WHC = Water holding capacity)

This model had been corrected by observed data. And itwas recommended as the reference for

regional management.