Probabilistic Performance-Based E Optimum Seismic Design...
Transcript of Probabilistic Performance-Based E Optimum Seismic Design...
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P
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Probabilistic Performance-Based
Optimum Seismic Design of
(Bridge) Structures
PI: Joel. P. Conte
Graduate Student: Yong Li
Sponsored by the Pacific Earthquake Engineering Research Center
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(I) PEER PBEE Methodology
(Forward PBEE Analysis)
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SDOF Model and Site
• Single-Degree-of-Freedom Bridge Model:
! SDOF bridge model with the same initial period as an MDOF model of
the Middle Channel Humboldt Bay Bridge developed in OpenSees.
• Site:
! Site Location: Oakland (37.803N, 122.287W)
! Site Condition: Vs30 = 360m/s (NHERP Class C-D)
"Uniform Hazard Spectra are obtained for 30 hazard levels from the
USGS 2008 Interactive Deaggregation software/website (beta version)
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0
1.33 sec
6,150 tons
137,200 kN/m
10,290 kN
0.10
0.02
y
T
m
k
F
b
!
"
"
"
"
"
"
SDOF Model
(Menegotto-Pinto)
0k
F
U
yF
0.075 myU "
1
1 0b k#
Uniform Hazard Spectra
T1=1.33 sec
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Prob. Seismic Hazard Analysis and EQ Selection
• Seismic Hazard Curve (for single/scalar Intensity Measure IM):
• Least Square Fitting of 30 Data Points from USGS:
• Earthquake Record Selection: ! 146 Records were selected from NGA database based on fault mechanism,
M-R deaggregation, and local site condition (e.g., Vs30)
flt
i i
i i
N
IM i M R
i 1 R M
(im) P IM im m,r (m) (r) dm drf f"
$ %& " & # ' # # # #( )* + +
( , )IM MAREi i
, -1, 5%a
TS ! "
Deaggregation (T1 = 1 sec, 2% in 50 years)
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Probabilistic Seismic Demand Hazard Analysis
• Probabilistic Seismic Demand Analysis conditional on IM:
• Deaggregation of with respect to IM:
• Demand Hazard Curve:
, - , -EDP IM
IM
edp P EDP edp IM d im& &" '$ %( )+
Seismic hazard curve
, - , -, -
, -IM i
EDP i ii i
d imedp P EDP edp IM im im
im
&& $ %" ' " #.( ) .*
Contribution of bin
IM = imi to , -EDP edp&
!Cloud Method" !Convolution" !Deaggregation"
, -EDP edp&
PDF (Lognormal)
EDP: Displ. Ductility
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Probabilistic Seismic Demand Hazard Analysis
!Cloud Method" !Convolution" !Deaggregation"
PDF (Lognormal)
EDP: Normalized EH
PDF (Lognormal)
EDP: Peak Abs. Accel.
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Probabilistic Capacity (Fragility) Analysis
• Fragility Curves (postulated & parameterized):
/ 0|kP DM ls EDP edp' "
! Defined as the probability of the structure/component exceeding kth limit-state
given the demand.
! Developed based on analytical and/or empirical capacity models and
experimental data.
Displacement Ductility Absolute Acceleration Normalized EH Dissipated
Damage Measure
k-th limit state
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Probabilistic Damage Hazard Analysis
• Damage Hazard (MAR of limit-state exceedance):
| ( )k
k EDPDS
EDP
P DM ls EDP edp d edp& &$ %" ' "( )+Fragility Analysis
• Damage Hazard Results:
Associated
EDP Limit States MARE
Return
Period PE in 50 yrs
Displacement
Ductility
I (1d = 2) 0.0394 26 Years 86%
II (1d = 6) 0.0288 35 Years 76%
III (1d = 8) 0.0231 44 Years 68%
Absolute
Acceleration
I (AAbs = 0.1g) 0.0349 29 Years 82%
II (AAbs = 0.2g) 0.0104 96 Years 41%
III (AAbs = 0.25g) 0.0048 208 Years 21%
Normalized EH
Dissipated
I (EH = 5) 0.0171 58Years 57%
II (EH = 20) 0.0012 833 Years 6%
III (EH = 30) 0.0003 3330 Years 1.5%
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Probabilistic Loss Hazard Analysis
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( ) [ | ] | | |j
j k k
nls
L j DM j DS DSkDM
l P L l DM d P L l DS k& & & &2
"
$ %" ' " ' " 3( )*+
• Loss Hazard Curve:
! Component-wise Loss Hazard Curve:
! Total Loss Hazard Curve:
number of limit states for component j
1
# components
T j
j
L L=
= åMultilayer Monte
Carlo Simulation
For each damaged
component
For each damaged
component
For each EDP
For each eqke
Number of eqkes
in one year
N n"
Seismic hazard
Marginal PDFs and
correlation coefficients
of EDPs given IM Fragility curves
for all damage
states of each
failure
mechanism
Probability
distribution of
repair cost
IM im" EDP 4" DM k"j jL l"
For each eqke
For all eqkes in
one year and all
damaged
components
#
1
components
T j
j
L L"
" *Y
N
Poisson model NATAF joint
PDF model
of EDPs
Conditional
probability
of collapse
given IM
Collapse?
Ensemble of FE seismic response simulations
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Parametric PBEE Analysis
• Varying Parameter: Yield Strength Fy
Demand Hazard for
EDP = !d
Demand Hazard for
EDP = AAbs.
Demand Hazard for
EDP = EH
Cost
Hazard
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Parametric PBEE Analysis
• Varying Parameter: Initial Stiffness k0
Demand Hazard for
EDP = !d
Demand Hazard for
EDP = AAbs.
Demand Hazard for
EDP = EH
Cost
Hazard
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Optimization Formulation of PBEE
5 6, -
, -, -
0
0, , ,
0
0
, , ,
:
, , , 0
, , , 0
y
yk F b
y
y
Minimize f k F b
subject to
k F b
k F bg
"
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!
!
!
!
! !
h
• Optimization Problem Formulation:
! Objective (Target/Desired) Loss Hazard Curve: ( )T
ObjL l&
! Objective function:
! Optimization Problem:
• Optimization Performed using OpenSees-SNOPT extended
Framework
Gu, Q., Barbato, M., Conte, J. P., Gill, P. E., and McKenna, F., !OpenSees-SNOPT Framework for Finite Element-Based
Optimization of Structural and Geotechnical Systems," Journal of Structural Engineering, ASCE, in press, 2011.
, - 20 0, , , | ( , , , , ) ( ) |
T T
Objy L i y iL
i
f k F b l k F b l& &" 3*! !
( )T
ObjL l&
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(II) Optimization Tool of
OpenSees-SNOPT
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OpenSees and SNOPT
• OpenSees:
Open source objected-oriented FE analysis software framework, used to
model structural, geotechnical and SSI systems to simulate their responses to
static and dynamic loads, especially for earthquakes (PEER)
! Supports distributed computing capabilities & cloud computing
! Includes modules for FE response sensitivity and reliability analysis
! Flexibility to incorporate with other software packages
• SNOPT:
General purpose nonlinear optimization code using Sequential Quadratic
Programming (SQP) algorithm (Professor Phillip Gill @UCSD)
! Advantages of SNOPT as an optimization toolbox for solving
structural/geotechnical problems requiring optimization (e.g., structural
optimization, FE model updating, design point search problems):
# Applies to large scale problems
# Tolerates gradient discontinuities
# Requires relatively few evaluations of the limit-state (objective) function
# Offers a number of options to increase performance for special problems
! Open source in Fortran language available for academic use
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OpenSees-SNOPT Extended Framework
Optimization Framework in OpenSees
Flowchart for OpenSees-SNOPT
FE-based Optimization
• OpenSees & SNOPT Link:
! After abstract class of Optimization, subclass
SNOPTClass is used to encapsulate the SNOPT
software package as an interface
! Subclass SNOPTReliability for the design point
search problem in reliability analysis; while the
SNOPTOptimization structural optimization &
model updating
ObjectiveFunction
ConstraintFunction
DesignVariable
DesignVariablePositioner
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(III) Illustration of Performance-
Based Optimum Seismic Design
(Inverse PBEE Analysis)
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Illustrative Example
6,150 tons
0.10
0.02
m
b
!
"
"
"
SDOF Model
(Menegotto-Pinto)
0k
F
U
yF
0.075 myU "
1
1 0b k#
*
0
*
137,200 kN/m
10,290 kNy
k
F
"
"
0 ? /
? y
k kN m
F kN
"
"
PBEE
Analysis
A priori selected optimum
design parameters
Starting Point
0 100,000 kN/m
14,000 kNy
k
F
"
"
, -0, TL yk F&
T
Obj
L&
, -
* T T
0 y
Obj 2L 0 y L
i
Objective function : f k , F
= | ! "# $%& ' ( ! )
Expected Optimizer OpenSees-
SNOPT
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Objective Function
5 6, -
0
0,
0
,
:
80,000 187,200 (kN/m)
6,290 15,290 ( )
y
yk F
y
Minimize f k F
subject to
k
F kN
7 7
7 7
!
(0) (0)
0 100,000 kN/m, 14,000kN yk F" "
Obje
ctiv
e F
un
ctio
n
Zoom
• Optimization Problem:
• Starting Point:
• Objective Function Plot:
Obje
ctiv
e F
unct
ion
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Optimization Results
Loss Hazard Curve
Demand Hazard Curve
• Optimization Route:
Objective Function
, -D
* *
EDP=! " #v k ,F
X* =
[137,200kN/m,
10,290 kN]
Xstart =
[100,000kN/m,
14,000 kN]
Xend =
[135,774kN/m,
10,038 kN]
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Current and Future Work • Application to base isolated
bridge structure:
! Using nonlinear MDOF models of
increasing complexity.
! With increasing number of
optimization parameters, e.g., base
isolation parameters.
! Considering multiple objectives and
practical constraints, such as
constraints on demand hazard.
Marga-Marga Bridge, Vina del Mar in Chile
Isolator
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!"#$%&'()&*&
+),-./($-0&