Private Equity Central European - PSIK · 2017-04-20 · Central European - Private Equity...

12
Central European July 2007 Private Equity Private Equity Confidence Survey

Transcript of Private Equity Central European - PSIK · 2017-04-20 · Central European - Private Equity...

Page 1: Private Equity Central European - PSIK · 2017-04-20 · Central European - Private Equity Confidence Survey Welcome to the latest Deloitte Central Europe Private Equity Confidence

Central European

July 2007

Private Equity

Private Equity Confidence Survey

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These materials and the information contained herein are provided by Deloitte Advisory s.r.o. and are intended to provide general information on a particular subject or subjects and are not an exhaustive treatment of such subject(s).

Accordingly, the information in these materials is not intended to constitute accounting, tax, legal, investment, consulting, or other professional advice or services. The information is not intended to be relied upon as the sole basis for any decision which may affect you or your business. Before making any decision or taking any action that might affect your personal finances or business, you should consult a qualified professional adviser.

These materials and the information contained therein are provided as is, and Deloitte Advisory s.r.o. makes no express or implied representations or warranties regarding these materials or the information contained therein. Without limiting the foregoing, Deloitte Advisory s.r.o. does not warrant that the materials or information contained therein will be error-free or will meet any particular criteria of performance or quality. Deloitte Advisory s.r.o. expressly disclaims all implied warranties, including, without limitation, warranties of merchantability, title, fitness for a particular purpose, noninfringement, compatibility, security, and accuracy.

Your use of these materials and information contained therein is at your own risk, and you assume full responsibility and risk of loss resulting from the use thereof. Deloitte Advisory s.r.o. will not be liable for any special, indirect, incidental, consequential, or punitive damages or any other damages whatsoever, whether in an action of contract, statute, tort (including, without limitation, negli-gence), or otherwise, relating to the use of these materials or the information contained therein.

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Central European - Private Equity Confidence Survey

Welcome to the latest Deloitte Central Europe Private Equity Confidence Survey which we have been running since March 2003.

In this latest issue of our survey we present for the first time a Deloitte Private Equity Confidence index. This index attempts to summarize the overall perception of market activity and the economic environment of private equity investors focused on Central Europe. It is inline with indexes introduced by other Deloitte offices conducting similar surveys throughout the world (e.g. Germany).

Index figures indicate peaking expectations regarding the market which are confirmed by private equity funds activity in the region. Similarly to the record breaking pace of global buyout markets, Central Europe also experienced acquisitions of recognized national brands by private investors in the first half of 2007 (e.g. Oaktree acquisition of Stock).

We expect interest in Central European private equity to continue to grow in 2007 and we are continuing our investment into hiring and developing private equity savvy professionals to serve private equity in Central Europe.

Garret ByrnePartnerDeloitte Central EuropeM&A Transaction Services Leader

July 2007

Introduction

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Key findings

n Overall confidence is at an all time high

n Significant focus on new investments continues

n IPO exits are even considered for middle size companies

n Economic climate is expected to continue its recent trends

Overview

The rising value of deals is luring new investors to enter the market. In the past six months we saw similar development as on the well established markets in North America and Western Europe as private equity investors acquired national brands which were not considered before. Selected examples are shown below.

Company Industry PE Fund Deal value

Eckes & Stock Wine and spirits Oaktree n/a

ETA White goods

Manufacturer

Benson Oak n/a

BTC Telecoms AIG Capital Partners EUR 1,080m

This trend should continue in the following months as other deals are running or being prepared (e.g. sale of GTS; sales of several airports in Central European countries, etc.).

PE CE Confidence Index:

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144138

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146

Mar.2003

Sep.2003

Mar.2004

Sep.2004

Mar.2005

Sep.2005

Oct.2006

Mar.2006

Apr.2007

Deloitte Private Equity Confidence index

The confidence index is based on answers received from private equity professionals focused on Central Europe. It is composed from answers to the first seven questions of the ten question survey.

For each period, the average answer ratio is computed. This average is compared to the base period, which is Spring 2003.

PE CE Confidence Index

The Private Equity Central European Confidence index shows continuous growth expectations for the region. As it reaches an all time high, we should expect record breaking deal activity in 2007.

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For this week, I expect to spend the majority of my time

focusing on:

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17%

53%

30%

7%

24%

69%

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4%

74%

19%

31%

50%

8%

80%

12%

88%

17%

6%

77%

7%

86%

5%

16%

Investors’ focus

For this period, I expect the average size of transactions to:

Increase Remain the same Decrease

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11%

68%

21%

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3%

11%

37%

52%

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8%

72%

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12%

36%

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0%

40%

53%

42%

58%

Size of transactions

Raising new funds Portfolio Management New investments

Focus on new investments continues to be the dominant activity of fund managers. This is reflected in deal flow and new entries (as shown in the table at the end of this report).

Mar.2003

Sep.2003

Mar.2004

Sep.2004

Mar.2005

Sep.2005

Mar.2006

Oct.2006

Apr.2007

12%

0%

7%

79%

Mar.2003

Sep.2003

Mar.2004

Sep.2004

Mar.2005

Sep.2005

Mar.2006

Oct.2006

Apr.2007

28%

0%7%

0%

For this period, I expect the overall economic climate to:

Improve Remain the same Decline

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53%

37%

10%

69%

31%26% 26%

64%

36%

13%

56%

44%

74%

0% 4%

70% 69%

4%0%

13%

0%

47%53%

0%

For this period, I expect availability of debt finance to:

Debt finance

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Sep.2003

Mar.2004

Sep.2004

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Sep.2005

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Oct.2006

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0%

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74%

Improve Remain the same Decline

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47%42%

11%

52%48%

33%

46%

60%

40% 38%

61%

39%

62%

0% 0%

67%

50%

4%0%

33%

67%

Mar.2003

Sep.2003

Mar.2004

Sep.2004

Mar.2005

Sep.2005

Mar.2006

Oct.2006

Apr.2007

16%

84%

0% 0% 0% 0%

Survey results

Economic climate

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For this period, I expect the highest competition for new

investment opportunities in:

Start ups Middle size growing Co.

Market leaders

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44%

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7%

For this period, I expect to:

Buy more Buy and sell equally Sell more

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Investors’ activities

New investments competition

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38%

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13%

6%

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0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

35%

65%61%

53%

For this period, I expect the overall market activity to:

Improve Remain the same Decline

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31%

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6%

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44%47%

44%37%

58%

5%

Market activity

For this period, I expect efficiency of my financial

investments to:

Improve Remain the same Decline

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31%

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16%

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6%

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23%

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28%

4%

79%

21%

Investments efficiency

Mar.2003

Sep.2003

Mar.2004

Sep.2004

Mar.2005

Sep.2005

Mar.2006

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Apr.2007

0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

47%

Mar.2003

Sep.2003

Mar.2004

Sep.2004

Mar.2005

Sep.2005

Mar.2006

Oct.2006

Apr.2007

0%

69%

0% 0% 0%

67%

Commercial Due Diligence

Over the last twelve months, Deloitte in Central Europe has developed a team focused on Commercial Due Diligence. This team is drawn from our strategic consulting group and specializes in working with Private Equity funds to analyze potential acquisitions in terms of current markets, prospective markets, competitive landscape and strategy. We help our clients gain a deep understanding of market trends and dynamics in a relatively short space of time.

Our commercial due diligence offering is a core part of our value case for private equity.

Contact

Wladyslaw Szwoch, PartnerEmail: [email protected].: +48 (22) 511 0917

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IPO exit consideration

A minimum expected market capitalisation at which we would consider exiting a portfolio company via IPO would be:

Less than EUR 50m EUR 250m

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5%

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I expect the time it will take to invest my current fund to be:

Less than 2 years

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58%

Fund investment cycle

Booming markets enable fund managers to hope for rapid investment of their funds with 58% expecting to be fully invested within 2 years.

IPOs are considered as a potential exit strategy even for smaller and midsize companies as 79% of fund managers believe that they will be able to introduce their portfolio companies to the market with market cap below EUR 100m.

EUR 500m

more than EUR 500m

10%

32%

42%

0%

Investments, Exits, Funds and potential sales

Fund raising

Company Fund Value Status Time Description

Societe Generale Asset

Management Alternative

Investments

SGAM Eastern Europe

Fund

EUR 156m closed June 2007 SGAM closed its new fund focused on Central and

Eastern Europe after exceeding original target by EUR

6m.

Mezzanine Management Accession Mezzanine

Capital II

EUR 100m first closing March 2007 Mezzanine Management held first closing on its

second CEE focused fund. Fund raising started in

October 2006.

AIG Capital Partners New Europe Fund II EUR 522.5m closed March 2007 Second fund was closed above initial cap of EUR

500m. It is a follow up after EUR 321m New Europe

Fund.

Argus Capital Partners Argus Capital Partners II EUR 262.7m closed December

2006

Second fund of Argus Capital Partners exceeded its

initial target of EUR 200m and hard cap of EUR 250m.

GED GED Eastern Fund II EUR 150m closed January 2007 GED closed its second fund EUR 50m above target

(according to company). It will focus on Southeastern

countries, mainly on Romania and Bulgaria.

KD Private Equity South Eastern Europe

fund

EUR 31m first closing January 2007 Fund was launched in spring 2006 and plans its final

closing at EUR 70m in summer 2007.

SigmaBleyzer Southeast European

Fund IV

EUR 250m closed February 2007 40 limited partners committed capital 25% above the

funds target. Fund was launched in August 2005 and

will focus on Bulgaria, Romania and Ukraine primarily.

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Major investments

Company PE House Period Value Stake Description

Eckes & Stock GmbH Oaktree Capital

Management

June 2007 n/a 100% Oaktree acquired alcoholic beverages producer with companies based

in Czech Republic, Slovakia, Slovenia, Italy, Austria and USA. Company

holds top selling brands in Czech Republic, Italy and Austria.

ETA Hlinsko, a.s. Benson Oak June 2007 n/a 100% Benson Oak, an established private equity investor in Central Europe

acquired ETA, Czech electrical goods manufacturer with 1,100

employees.

Zabka Polska SA Penta Investments,

a.s.

May 2007 EUR 131m 100% Penta acquired Polish convenience stores chain. Seller (AIG Global

Investment Group) earned exit multiples of 0.4x revenues and 11x

EBITDA.

Grafika Press KBC Private Equity May 2007 n/a n/a In its first deal in Hungary KBC PE acquired minority share in printing

company. KBC PE also provided mezzanine financing for acquisition of

Szikra, another printing company.

Bulgarian

Telecommunications

Company (BTC)

AIG Capital Partners

Inc.

May 2007 EUR 1,080m 65% AIG Capital Partners acquired BTC in auction process from Viva

Ventures (investment arm of Advent International). Implied multiples

were 3.5x revenues and 10.6x EBITDA.

AAT Group Argan Capital May 2007 n/a n/a Management of AAT Group backed by Argan Capital acquired the

company in MBO. AAT Group distributes security products and

systems in Poland.

Carnex AD Ashmore Investment

Management Ltd.

May 2007 EUR 16m 41% UK based private equity firm invested in Serbian meat producer and

increased its stake to almost 92%.

Antenna Hungaria Rt. TPG; Axa Private

Equity; Charterhouse

Capital Partners

May 2007 EUR 327m 100% Telediffusion De France (TDF), the private equity controlled broadcaster,

acquired the Hungarian broadcaster from Swisscom. Swisscom paid

EUR 236m in 2005 for the company.

SC Digital Cable

Systems SA

AIG Capital Partners

Inc.

May 2007 EUR 45m 40% AIG Capital Partners (part of AIG Global Investment Group) acquired

40% stake in MBO of Romanian video re-transmission services

provider.

Bank Wspolpracy

Europejskiej SA

Innova Capital May 2007 n/a 81% Innova/4LP fund of Innova Capital acquired stake in Polish commercial

bank.

Grupa Jaan/Nordglass Enterprise Investors

(EI)

April 2007 EUR 82m 100% EI acquired automotive glass manufacturer and distributor in leveraged

buyout with EUR 38m of financing provided by the banks. Entry

multiples were 2.2x revenues and 12.6x operating profit.

Keko Varicon dd Mohar Satler

Investicije dd

March 2007 EUR 7m 100% Slovenian based private equity firm acquired voltage regulating and

equipment manufacturer.

Ardaf PPF Investments March 2007 EUR 35m 56% PPF Investments acquired controlling interest in Romanian based

insurance and reinsurance company, increasing its stake to 70.6%.

Transaction remains subject to competition council approval.

Komfort Enterprise Investors

(EI)

February

2007

EUR 64m 100% EI acquired retail division of Komfort Market. Target operates the

biggest chain of stores selling rugs, carpets and floorings in Poland.

Entry multiples were 0.7x revenues and 12.8x EBITDA.

Cesky Olej (Setuza) PPF Investments February

2007

n/a n/a PPF Investments through its subsidiary company AB Credit entered into

Cesky Olej (controlling owner of Setuza with 90.7% stake) via merger

with Campaspol (current owner).

Bite Group, a.s. MidEuropa Partners January 2007 EUR 450m 100% MidEuropa acquired Baltics telecommunications company. Entry

multiple was 2.6x revenues.

SIA Trials Askembla Growth

Fund

January 2007 n/a 90% Swedish private equity fund acquired stake in Latvian meat processing

company.

Przedsiebiorstwo

Budownictwa

Technicznego Hawe

Ventus SA January 2007 EUR 8.3m 100% Capital Partners (listed polish investment company) via its subsidiary

Ventus SA acquired stake in Polish telecommunications networks

company.

PM Zbrojniky Penta Investments December

2006

n/a 75% Czech based Penta acquired stake in Slovakia based meat processing

company. Zbrojniky employs 527 people and has revenues of EUR

37m.

GTX Hanex Plastic Argus Capital

Partners II

December

2006

n/a n/a Argus Capital backed MBO in which Montluc Holdings sold majority

stake to new investors and continues to keep minority stake. GTX

Hanex is a Polish producer of PET bottles and films.

Rhodia Butler Capital

Partners

December

2006

n/a n/a French private equity company acquired industrial fibers business of

Rhodia with operations also in Latvia, Poland and Slovakia.

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Major exits

Company Seller Buyer Date Value Stake Description

Baltic Motors Corp.;

SIA BM Auto

MVC Capital, Inc. Inchcape plc. June 2007 USD 120m 100% US listed private equity company sold its two Baltic

portfolio companies for total consideration of EUR

89m to UK based automotive group. Initial

investments were USD 6m in Baltic Motors Corp. (in

2004) and USD 8m in SIA BM (in 2006).

La Fantana Oresa Ventures Innova Capital May 2007 EUR 35m 83% Swedish private equity company sold its stake in

Romanian water-cooler bottling and distribution

company to Polish private equity company for

approximately EUR 35m.

United Milk

Company AD

Global Finance SA;

Doverie Capital Plc

Vivartia SA April 2007 EUR 25.7m 100% Greek private equity house (Global Finance) and

Bulgarian investment company (Doverie) sold

Bulgarian diary products producer to Greek food

group in transaction with exit multiples of 1.5x

revenues and 25.7x EBITDA on EUR 18m revenues

and EUR 1m EBITDA.

PolCard S.A. Innova Capital First Data

International

March

2007

EUR 61.3m 25% Innova Capital and GTECH Corp. sold their stakes

(25.24% and 74.43% respectively) on cash free debt

free basis for an enterprise value of EUR 243m (EUR

61.3m relates to Innova stake).

Elsoe Lakashitel (ELLA

Bank)

Royalton Partners AXA Holdings March

2007

n/a 100%

(including

13%

manage-

ment stake)

Royalton Partners exited their investment after two

years.

Agros Nova Sp. z.o.o. Enterprise Investors

(EI)

Sonda SA February

2007

EUR 64m 60% EI sold juice and preservers producer to strategic

investor. Exit multiples were 2.5x initial investment

and implied multiple of 0.5x revenues.

Tisza Chemical Group

Plc.

VCP Capital Partners MOL February

2007

EUR 149m 32% VCP Capital Partners exited its investment in Tisza as

MOL increased its holding to 76.1%. Implied multiples

were 0.5x revenues and 4.6x EBITDA.

Motorpal, a.s. Rex Invest Gubera, a.s. February

2007

n/a 85% Czech based Rex Invest exited Czech engineering firm

focused on automotive sector.

Salgglas The Riverside

Company

CEE Industrial

Holdings Ltd.

January

2007

n/a 100% In its first exit of 2007 US based private equity

company realised 19% IRR and 4x initial investment

return. Salglas is Hungarian manufacturer of

automotive glass products.

Invitel GMT

Communications

Partners; MidEuropa

Partners

Hungarian

Telephone and

Cable Corp.

January

2007

EUR 470m 100% Consortium of private equity houses led by MidEuropa

exited the second largest Hungarian fixed line provider

with exit multiples of 1.4x revenues and 3.9x EBITDA

(financials for last twelve months ending September

2006).

Estonian Railways

(ER)

MidEuropa Partners Republic of

Estonia

January

2007

EUR 54m n/a MidEuropa portfolio company, Baltic Rail Services, sold

66% stake in ER for consideration of EUR 150m.

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Central European - Private Equity Confidence Survey

10

Private Equity Regional contacts

Garret Byrne M&A Transaction Services Leader +420 246 042 339 [email protected]

Krzysztof Moczulski Tax M&A, Regional Service Line Leader +48 22 511 0504 [email protected]

lain Child Regional Managing Partner, Financial Advisory +421 2 582 49 112 [email protected]

Graeme Hutchison Debt Advisory, Regional Service Line Leader +48 22 511 00 29 [email protected]

Wladyslaw Szwoch Commercial Due Diligence Service Line Leader +48 22 511 09 17 [email protected]

Corporate Finance Regional Sector Team contacts

Sector Leader Number Email

Energy and Resources Kurt Werth +420 246 042 368 [email protected]

Consumer Business (Food & beverage and retail) Martin Scholz +420 246 042 182 [email protected]

Financial Services Andras Fulop +36 1 428 6937 [email protected] Healthcare and Pharmaceuticals Bertalan Jaszkuti +36 1 428 6941 [email protected] Technology , Media & Telecomunications Peter Karli +36 1 428 6718 [email protected]

Aviation and Transport Martin Iltis +420 246 042 784 [email protected]

Real Estate and Construction Kurt Werth, +420 246 042 368 [email protected] Dalibor Hlavac +420 246 042 235 [email protected]

Industry contacts

Industry Leader Number Email

Financial Services Industry Mike Jennings +420 246 042 576 [email protected]

Energy and Resources Vladimir Vanek +420 246 042 361 [email protected]

Technology, Media and Telecommunications Dariusz Nachyla +48 22 511 0631 [email protected]

Central European - Private Equity Confidence Survey

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Central European - Private Equity Confidence Survey

11

Country contacts

Adriatics (Bosnia-Herzegovina, Croatia, Slovenia)

Francois Swanepoel M&A Transaction Services Leader +385 1 2351 920 [email protected]

Gerald Lambert Tax M&A Transaction Services Leader +385 1 2351 944 [email protected]

Vladimir Milosevic Financial Advisory Leader +385 1 2351 934 [email protected]

Balkans (Albania, Bulgaria, Kosovo, Moldova, Romania)

Hein van Dam M&A Transaction Services Leader +40 21 222 1661 [email protected]

Rodica Segarceanu Tax M&A Transaction Services Leader +40 21 222 1661 [email protected]

Maksim Caslli Financial Advisory Leader +40 21 222 1661 [email protected]

Baltics (Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania)

Gavin Hill M&A Transaction Services Leader +48 225 110 786 [email protected]

Janis Zelmenis Tax M&A Transaction Services Leader +371 7210 097 [email protected]

Linas Galvele Financial Advisory Leader +370 5255 3022 [email protected]

Czech Republic

Garret Byrne M&A Transaction Services Leader +420 246 042 339 [email protected]

Miroslav Svoboda Tax M&A Transaction Services Leader +420 246 042 924 [email protected]

Iain Child Financial Advisory Leader +420 246 042 362 [email protected]

Hungary

Andras Fulop M&A Transaction Services Leader +36 1 428 6937 [email protected]

Petr Oszko Tax M&A Transaction Services Leader +36 1 428 6768 [email protected]

Bela Seres Financial Advisory Leader +36 1 428 6936 [email protected]

Poland

Gavin Hill M&A Transaction Services Leader +48 225 110 786 [email protected]

Krzysztof Moczulski Tax M&A Transaction Services Leader +48 225 110 504 [email protected]

Wojciech Roman Financial Advisory Leader +48 225 110 871 [email protected]

Serbia, Montenegro, Macedonia

Maja Mijovic M&A Transaction Services Leader +381 11 361 3457 [email protected]

Srdjan Petrovic Tax M&A Transaction Services Leader +381 11 361 2524 [email protected]

Vladimir Poznanic Financial Advisory Leader +381 11 361 3457 [email protected]

Slovakia

Garret Byrne M&A Transaction Services Leader +420 246 042 339 [email protected]

Steve Gawronski Tax M&A Transaction Services Leader +421 2 582 49 167 [email protected]

Iain Child Financial Advisory Leader +421 2 582 49 112 [email protected]

Central European - Private Equity Confidence Survey

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