Private Equity Activity, Growth and Performance in Morocco report 2014
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Transcript of Private Equity Activity, Growth and Performance in Morocco report 2014
1 Le Capital Investissement au Maroc – Année 2014 © 2015 Grant Thornton. All rights reserved.
Private Equity Activity in Morocco:
Growth and Performance Report
Year 2014
March 2015
© 2015 Grant Thornton Private Equity in Morocco : Growth and Performance – Year 2014
Summary
Private Equity in Morocco : Growth and Performance – Year 2014 © 2015 Grant Thornton
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1. Scope & Methodology
2. International and National Economic Context
3. Fund Management Companies
4. Funds under Management
5. Investments
6. Exits
7. Private Equity Performance
8. Private Equity Economic and Social Impact
9. Forecast 2015
10. Key Figures
11. Annexes
I. Focus on infrastructure funds
II. Focus on transregional funds
III. Acronyms
IV. Glossary
© 2015 Grant Thornton Private Equity in Morocco : Growth and Performance – Year 2014
This study includes :
• All funds management companies, members of AMIC with a local representative office in Morocco and a
portion of funds to invest dedicated to Morocco
• Funds investing mainly in SMEs and unlisted companies
• Limited Life Funds
• Infrastructure Funds both with greenfield and brownfield investment
• All investment sectors, except funds dedicated to real estate and tourism.
• Data collection was done via a survey of 21 management companies / 42 funds on a self reporting basis
Scope
1. SCOPE & METHODOLOGY
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© 2015 Grant Thornton Private Equity in Morocco : Growth and Performance – Year 2014
CAPITAL RAISED
• The amounts of funds raised only includes the part dedicated to Morocco and the part dedicated to Private
Equity
• Amounts raised by infrastructure funds are analyzed and presented separately
• For transregional Funds, when the portion dedicated to Morocco has not been communicated, only actual amounts
invested are reported
• The review of statements of certain funds resulted in technical corrections to the amounts raised by year (hence
differences from amounts presented in previous years)
INVESTMENTS
• The amounts invested represent amounts disbursed
• Detailed investment analysis does not include “Large Caps” (transaction over 200 MMAD) as this new
segment does not currently include a sufficient number of transactions
EXITS AND PERFORMANCE
• Amounts exited are amounts of sales of investments
• IRRs represent gross IRRs upon exit as reported by the funds
• The scope of IRR calculations does not include partial exits or IRRs from investments of less than 1 year
• IRR were weighted by amounts invested
• Losses caused by exceptional events have note been taken into account in the average calculation of IRR
ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL IMPACT
• The CAGR for turnover and employment were weighted by amounts invested
Methodology
1. SCOPE & METHODOLOGY
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© 2015 Grant Thornton Private Equity in Morocco : Growth and Performance – Year 2014
Fund management companies Funds
ABRAAJ GROUP
Kantara LP
Aureos Africa Fund
Africa Health Fund
Anaf II
ALMAMED Massinissa
Massinissa Luxembourg
ATLAMED AM Invest Morocco
ATTIJARI INVEST
Agram Invest
Igrane
Moroccan Infrastructure Fund
AZUR PARTNERS Nebetou Fund
BMCI DEVELOPPEMENT BMCI Développement
BROOKSTONE PARTNERS Emerald Fund
MJT Park
CDG CAPITAL INFRASTRUCTURE
Inframed
Inframaroc
CDG CAPITAL PRIVATE EQUITY
Accès Capital Atlantique
Sindibad
Cap Mezzanine
CAPITAL INVEST
Capital Morocco
Capital North Africa Venture Fund
Capital North Africa Venture Fund II
Note : Dayam, Aureos et Viveris are no longer part of the scope, but
their historical data are retained
Fund management companies Funds
CFG CAPITAL CFG Développement
Idraj
ENTREPRISE PARTNERS 3P Fund
FIROGEST Firo
HOLDAGRO Targa
INFRA INVEST Argan Infrastructure Fund
MAROC INVEST
MPEF I
MPEF II
MPEF III
Africinvest I
Africinvest III
MITC CAPITAL Maroc Numeric Fund
MEDITERRANIA CAPITAL PARTNERS
Mediterrania I
Mediterrania II
PRIVATE EQUITY INITIATIVES PME Croissance
UPLINE INVESTMENTS
Upline Technologies
Upline Investment Fund
Moussahama I et II
OIFFA
VALORIS CAPITAL
New funds in 2014 Funds in divestment phase or
divested
1. SCOPE & METHODOLOGY
6
Summary
Private Equity in Morocco : Growth and Performance – Year 2014 © 2015 Grant Thornton
1. Scope & Methodology
2. International and National Economic Context
3. Fund Management Companies
4. Funds under Management
5. Investments
6. Exits
7. Private Equity Performance
8. Private Equity Economic and Social Impact
9. Forecasts 2015
10. Key Figures
11. Annexes
I. Focus on infrastructure funds
II. Focus on transregional funds
III. Acronyms
IV. Glossary
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© 2015 Grant Thornton Private Equity in Morocco : Growth and Performance – Year 2014
In 2014, slow recovery of the global economy despite the drop in oil prices
Evolution of real GDP growth between 2012 et 2014
[%, 2012-2014]
Comments
World Europe
Emerging
markets Morocco
The recovery in advanced countries is
moderated and uneven :
• Slow recovery in Europe despite
declining oil prices and borrowing rates,
persistent deflation risks and risks
related to the Ukrainian crisis
• Stronger recovery in the US benefiting
from accommodating financial
conditions
Moderate but still strong growth in
emerging and developing countries.
In 2013/2014, the pace of growth is variable
across regions : Asia stabilizes at 6.5%, Sub
Saharan Africa at 5% and North Africa Middle
East at 2.5%
2014
2012
2013
and developing
Source : International Monetary Fund – Global Outlook January 2015
-0.7 -0.5 -1.0
-0.5
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
5.0
2. INTERNATIONAL AND NATIONAL ECONOMIC CONTEXT
4.9%
3.3%
0.8%
2.6%
4.4% 4.4% 4.7%
3.3% 3.1%
2.7%
8
© 2015 Grant Thornton Private Equity in Morocco : Growth and Performance – Year 2014
World growth is expected to increase 3.3 % in 2014 to 3.7 % in 2016 but the pace of recovery is uneven
between regions
Historical trends and forecast
[%, 2001-2016 forecasted]
• The positive impact of lower oil prices on
growth is offset by the weakness of the
overall investment
• Growth forecasts worldwide have been
scaled down globally in January 2015,
except in the United States
• The recovery is particularly slow in
Europe
• Growth in emerging markets will be
measured because of the slowdown in
China and the deteriorating situation in
Russia in particular
• Morocco, after a year of weak growth in
2014 should return to growth rates
approaching 4.5 to 5% in 2015
Comments
Source : International Monetary Fund – Global Outlook January 2015
- 6%
- 4%
- 2%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
15f 16f 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14
Emerging markets and developing
Morocco
World
Eurozone
4.7%
4.0%
3.7%
1.4%
4.4%
2.6%
3.3%
0.8%
9
2. INTERNATIONAL AND NATIONAL ECONOMIC CONTEXT
© 2015 Grant Thornton Private Equity in Morocco : Growth and Performance – Year 2014
Private Equity penetration rate – Capital invested/GDP (%)
Source : EMPEA
Morocco, with a penetration rate of 0.08% in 2014, has outperformed since 2013 all MENA region
countries
1.74
1.03 1.04
0.24 0.19 0.20
0.09 0.09 0.04 0.04 0.05
1.18
0.99
0.25 0.20 0.14 0.11 0.08
0.06 0.05 0.01
1.64
1.23
0.81
0.18 0.19 0.12 0.12 0.15 0.10
0.02 0.01 0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
MENA Turkey South
Africa
China Sub Saharan
Africa
Brazil India S. Korea USA Israel
1.47
2013 2012 2014
Morocco
0.08 0.08
0.04
10
2. INTERNATIONAL AND NATIONAL ECONOMIC CONTEXT
UK
© 2015 Grant Thornton Private Equity in Morocco : Growth and Performance – Year 2014
Evolution of global amounts raised between 2001 and 2014
Fundraising is increasing since 2012
Source : Preqin
220
141
101
208
348
541
653 666
296
228
170
315
431
495
04 03 02 01
+191%
10 09 08 07 06 05 14 13 12 11
[Bln USD, 2001-2014]
11
2. INTERNATIONAL AND NATIONAL ECONOMIC CONTEXT
© 2015 Grant Thornton Private Equity in Morocco : Growth and Performance – Year 2014
Distribution of amounts raised worldwide in 2014
Source : Preqin
12
2. INTERNATIONAL AND NATIONAL ECONOMIC CONTEXT
North
America
290 Bln $
Europe
131 Bln $
Rest of the
world
16 Bln $
Asia
55 Bln $
Latin
America
4 Bln $
© 2015 Grant Thornton Private Equity in Morocco : Growth and Performance – Year 2014
Slower growth in 2014 was due to a poor agricultural year, the sluggish construction sector and
stagnation in Europe, a strategic trading partner of Morocco
More favorable perspectives for 2015 where growth should be between 4.5 and 5%
[Bln MAD, %, 2011-2014]
1
1.8
0.9 1.3
1.9
0,4%
Ø 2
2013 2012 2011 2010 2009
[%, 2009-2014]
2013
9.2%
2012
9%
2011
8.9%
2010
9.1%
2009
9.1%
[%, 2009-2014]
[Millions MAD, 2009-2014]
[Bln MAD, 2009-2014]
Sources : High Commission for Planning , MEF, Foreign Exchange Office
GDP Growth GDP
25
32 26
29 27.7 28.5
2013 2012 2011 2010 2009
2014 2014
9.8%
2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2014
International ratings
Fitch
BBB-/Stable BBB-/Stable
805 828 873 896
0
2
4
6
500
0
1,000
2014 2011 2013 2012
Standard & Poor’s
Unemployment rate Inflation GDP & real GDP growth
FDI Household consumption
418 438 471 482 501 516
13
2. INTERNATIONAL AND NATIONAL ECONOMIC CONTEXT
Summary
Private Equity in Morocco : Growth and Performance – Year 2014 © 2015 Grant Thornton
1. Scope & Methodology
2. International and National Economic Context
3. Fund Management Companies
4. Funds under Management
5. Investments
6. Exits
7. Private Equity Performance
8. Private Equity Economic and Social Impact
9. Forecasts 2015
10. Key Figures
11. Annexes
I. Focus on infrastructure funds
II. Focus on transregional funds
III. Acronyms
IV. Glossary
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© 2015 Grant Thornton Private Equity in Morocco : Growth and Performance – Year 2014
Number of fund management companies : 21 including 3 dedicated to infrastructure
Discretionary management : 57%
Average staffing (including Infra) : 5.7 including 4 working on investing activities and 1.7 in support
2014
Distribution of the capital of fund
management companies
Investment comittees (in number)
5%
57% 31%
3% 2%
2%
48% 41%
29% 32%
24% 27%
Comittees with the systematic presence of investors
2013
3. FUND MANAGEMENT COMPANIES
15
Internal comittees only
Comittees with some investors or experts Investment companies
Management teams
Financial institutions
Others*
Caisse de dépôt
Individuals
* Funds of funds, private holdings, government agencies
Summary
Private Equity in Morocco : Growth and Performance – Year 2014 © 2015 Grant Thornton
1. Scope & Methodology
2. International and National Economic Context
3. Fund Management Companies
4. Funds under Management
5. Investments
6. Exits
7. Private Equity Performance
8. Private Equity Economic and Social Impact
9. Forecasts 2015
10. Key Figures
11. Annexes
I. Focus on infrastructure funds
II. Focus on transregional funds
III. Acronyms
IV. Glossary
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© 2015 Grant Thornton Private Equity in Morocco : Growth and Performance – Year 2014
Distribution of funds by legal form (in number)
16% 14%
13% 12% 11%
3% 8% 7% 7%
3% 6% 5% 5% 5%
34%
End of 2010
47%
End of 2011
34%
43%
End of 2012 End of 2013
42%
32% 36%
40% 39%
End of 2014
39%
Foreign
SA : Société Anonyme, equivalent to standard Corporation in common law
SAS : Société par Actions Simplifée, equivalent to Limited Liability Company (LLC)
OPCC: Special venture capital funds vehicle created by Law 18-14 – Organisme de Placement Collectif en Capital
SCA: Société en Commandite par Actions, a partnership limited by shares
At the end of 2014, the funds using the SA/SAS legal form are 50% of total, in continued diminuation
With the enactment of Law n°18-14 relative to Collective Investment in Capital Schemes (OPCC), this
legal form should substantially increase in the future
4. FUNDS UNDER MANAGEMENT
17
© 2015 Grant Thornton Private Equity in Morocco : Growth and Performance – Year 2014
End of 2014 End of 2011
End of 2013 End of 2010
End of 2012
57%
33%
26%
49%
18%
2011 onward
17%
2006-2010
-24%
Europe Rest of World Morocco
Per year Per fund generation
Funds country of domiciliation (in value)
Half of the funds are located in Morocco
2/3 of the 3rd generation (starting in 2011) are located abroad
59% 55% 60%
51% 51%
27% 25%
22% 34% 33%
18% 16% 20% 15% 14%
18
4. FUNDS UNDER MANAGEMENT
© 2015 Grant Thornton Private Equity in Morocco : Growth and Performance – Year 2014
In value
2% 6% 5% 5%
3% 3% 3% 3%
2% 2% 2% 2%
End of 2014
33%
58%
End of 2013
57%
33%
End of 2012
52%
37%
End of 2011
52%
41%
Independents Captives financial institutions State captives Investment companies Others captives
2% 11% 4%
3% 3%
69%
17%
2006-2010
47%
44%
2011 onward
+22%
Nature of funds (Private Equity and Infrastructure)
19
4. FUNDS UNDER MANAGEMENT
© 2015 Grant Thornton Private Equity in Morocco : Growth and Performance – Year 2014
Capital raised per year (Mln MAD)
Total amounts raised since inception to end 2014 for Private Equity: 10.23 billion MAD
Amounts raised in Morocco by infrastructure funds: 5.49 billion MAD
Total amount raised by all funds: 15.72 billion MAD
230
488
946
480
916
423
2014
1,478
2012 2011 2010 2009 2008
1,633
2007
1,106
2006
1,499
2005
Average
funds raised
(2005 – 2009) :
991.2 Mln MAD
Average funds
raised including
Infra (2010 – 2014) :
1,947.2 Mln MAD
2,839
980
2,416
3,078
Capital raised (including Infrastructure funds)
2013
20
4. FUNDS UNDER MANAGEMENT
© 2015 Grant Thornton Private Equity in Morocco : Growth and Performance – Year 2014
596
960
825
314
946
90
850
117
903
146
808
173
393
66
423
2007 2006 2014 2013
1,361
2012 2011 2010
-
2009 2008
Transregional funds
Moroccan funds 6%
94%
Capital raised by funds type (Mln MAD)
94% of funds raised for Morocco over the period 2013 – 2014 were transregional
21
4. FUNDS UNDER MANAGEMENT
© 2015 Grant Thornton Private Equity in Morocco : Growth and Performance – Year 2014
In value
1%
2%
1% 41%
15%
4%
8%
4%
6%
20%
3%
7%
9%
9%
77%
38%
2011 2014
55%
79%
2013 2012
21%
30%
8% 8%
7%
7% 6% 3% 2%
18%
2011 forward
60%
11%
7%
9%
25%
2006-2010
* Others: individuals, private companies
** Investment vehicles: funds of funds, holdings, investment companies
Insurance companies
Others* State and public organizations
Pension funds
International development organizations
Investment vehicles**
Banks and asset management companies
Capital raised by investor type (excluding infrastructure funds)
The share of international development organizations (IFC, EBRD, EIB and others) has increased
significantly with the 3rd generation funds
22
4. FUNDS UNDER MANAGEMENT
© 2015 Grant Thornton Private Equity in Morocco : Growth and Performance – Year 2014
* Saudi Arabia, UAE, Kuwait, Tunisia, USA
53% 47% 45%
34% 41% 41%
End of 2012
13% 13%
End of 2014
14%
End of 2013
EU
Other countries*
Morocco
45% 55%
Moroccan capital
Foreign capital
34%
66%
Other foreign investors
International development organizations
To end 2014
Capital raised by investor nationality
23
4. FUNDS UNDER MANAGEMENT
Summary
Private Equity in Morocco : Growth and Performance – Year 2014 © 2015 Grant Thornton
1. Scope & Methodology
2. International and National Economic Context
3. Fund Management Companies
4. Funds under Management
5. Investments
6. Exits
7. Private Equity Performance
8. Private Equity Economic and Social Impact
9. Forecasts 2015
10. Key Figures
11. Annexes
I. Focus on infrastructure funds
II. Focus on transregional funds
III. Acronyms
IV. Glossary
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© 2015 Grant Thornton Private Equity in Morocco : Growth and Performance – Year 2014
Evolution of invested and reinvested funds
15
12
21
15
6
17
14
Amounts invested and reinvested (in Mln MAD)
50
80
112
100
89
497
422
585
309
170
586
607
2008 547
2014 696
2013 686
2012 282
2011 344 35
2010 665
2009 432 10
Amounts invested Amounts reinvested Number of companies
Number of new investments
A sustained level of investment in 2014 with 696 Mln MAD invested including 14 investment acts and 11
reinvested companies
155 companies invested since inception for a total of 4.9 Bln MAD. 99 companies still in portfolio
Including large caps
8 1,382
5. INVESTMENTS
25
© 2015 Grant Thornton Private Equity in Morocco : Growth and Performance – Year 2014
Location of invested companies
5% 5%
9%
9%
68%
5%
9 %
9%
Tangier - Tetouan
Casablanca region
68% Fez - Boulemane
Rabat - Salé
End of 2014 (in value)
*Other regions : Chaouia-Ouardigha, Gharb-Chrarda-Beni-Hssen,
Oriental, Souss-Massa-Draa
Rabat - Salé - Zemmour - Zaer
Tangier - Tetouan
Fez - Boulemane Casablanca region
Other regions*
Foreign
Marrakech -Tensift - Al Haouz
Meknes - Tafilalet
1 %
2 % 1 %
26
5. INVESTMENTS
© 2015 Grant Thornton Private Equity in Morocco : Growth and Performance – Year 2014
2% 7%
26%
12%
5%
6% 6%
12%
2%
2%
4% 4%
4%
7%
9%
2014 2013
52%
27%
75%
2012
60%
2011
56%
20%
Casablanca region
Tangier - Tetouan
Rabat - Salé - Zemmour - Zaer
Fez - Boulemane
Other regions*
Foreign
Marrakech -Tensift - Al Haouz
Meknes - Tafilalet *Other regions : Chaouia-Ouardigha, Gharb-Chrarda-Beni-Hssen,
Oriental, Souss-Massa-Draa
By year
13% 5%
11%
8% 3%
4%
7%
4% 4% 2%
4% 3%
1% 3%
2011 onward
61%
13%
2006 - 2010
72%
8%
2000 - 2005
74%
By funds generation
27
5. INVESTMENTS
Location of invested companies
© 2015 Grant Thornton Private Equity in Morocco : Growth and Performance – Year 2014
Sectors of invested companies
25%
12% 13%
9% 1%
4% 7%
3% 2% 5%
14%
26%
2011 onward
29%
2006 - 2010
24%
11%
13%
3% 4%
7%
11%
16%
13%
25%
20%
Auto industry
Primary ICT
Chemical industry
Trade and distribution
Agribusiness
Other industries
Construction sector
Services and transport
By funds generation End of 2014
The industrial sector represents 47% of investments made since 2011
Services and transport sector ranks second with 29% of investments
1%
1%
28
5. INVESTMENTS
© 2015 Grant Thornton Private Equity in Morocco : Growth and Performance – Year 2014
Invested companies by development stage (in value)
9% 4%
25%
16%
60%
73%
4% 5%
2011 onward 2006 - 2010
By funds generation
2/3 of investments have been in companies in the growth stage
2% 2%
67%
6%
21%
5% 2%
End of 2014
Turn around Venture Seed Buy out Growth
29
5. INVESTMENTS
© 2015 Grant Thornton Private Equity in Morocco : Growth and Performance – Year 2014
Companies funded by percent of capital acquired
15% 8%
4%
60%
47% 47%
15%
16% 32%
8%
8%
6% 22%
11%
2011 onward 2006 - 2010 2000 - 2005
2%
More than 67% <5 5 - 34 34 - 50 50 - 67
The share of majority transactions declined significatively (from 30 to 17%) between 2nd and 3rd
funds generation in conjunction with the decrease of buy out investments
30
5. INVESTMENTS
© 2015 Grant Thornton Private Equity in Morocco : Growth and Performance – Year 2014
18% 23%
10%
13% 12%
10% 10%
10%
22% 10%
29% 35%
2006 - 2010 2011 onward
More than 50 40 to 50 30 to 40 20 to 30 10 to 20 0 to 10 Mln MAD
19% 13% 17%
24%
36%
10%
7%
18%
21%
14%
13% 17%
12% 14%
7%
18% 7% 14%
13%
17%
6%
7%
29%
47% 50%
24% 29%
2014 2013 2012 2011 2010
By year By funds generation
The investment trend of the last generation of funds is towards larger transactions (36% over 40 Mln
MAD) and continued investment in the seed/venture stage
31
Companies funded by transaction size
5. INVESTMENTS
© 2015 Grant Thornton Private Equity in Morocco : Growth and Performance – Year 2014
Average ticket size of new investments (Mln MAD per year)
29
20
28
34
43
2014 2013 2012
+54%
2011 2010
The average ticket size invested between 2010 and 2014 is 31 Mln MAD, which has sharply increased
with the 3rd generation funds
32
5. INVESTMENTS
Summary
Private Equity in Morocco : Growth and Performance – Year 2014 © 2015 Grant Thornton
1. Scope & Methodology
2. International and National Economic Context
3. Fund Management Companies
4. Funds under Management
5. Investments
6. Exits
7. Private Equity Performance
8. Private Equity Economic and Social Impact
9. Forecasts 2015
10. Key Figures
11. Annexes
I. Focus on infrastructure funds
II. Focus on transregional funds
III. Acronyms
IV. Glossary
3
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© 2015 Grant Thornton Private Equity in Morocco : Growth and Performance – Year 2014
35
268
360
148
81
99
+23%
2013 2014 2012 2011 2010 2009
Exits were up 23% compared to 2013
Since inception, the total amount exited reached 2 Bln MAD, representing 41 % of the overall
amount invested by the Private Equity industry
Evolution of exits in value (Mln MAD)
By year By funds generation
181
688
2006 - 2011 2011 onward 2000 - 2005
1,115
* 2 undisclosed amounts
*
6. EXITS
34
© 2015 Grant Thornton Private Equity in Morocco : Growth and Performance – Year 2014
3%
10%
7%
2011 onward
44%
34%
5%
2005 - 2010
25%
63%
9%
Industrials (Trade sales)
Private equity buyers IPO or sale of shares
Repayments Management
Loss realized
19%
4%
7%
5%
31%
42%
2005 - 2010
23%
19%
2011 onward
30%
21%
In value In number
Types of exits by generation
35
6. EXITS
Summary
Private Equity in Morocco : Growth and Performance – Year 2014 © 2015 Grant Thornton
1. Scope & Methodology
2. International and National Economic Context
3. Fund Management Companies
4. Funds under Management
5. Investments
6. Exits
7. Private Equity Performance
8. Private Equity Economic and Social Impact
9. Forecasts 2015
10. Key Figures
11. Annexes
I. Focus on infrastructure funds
II. Focus on transregional funds
III. Acronyms
IV. Glossary
3
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© 2015 Grant Thornton Private Equity in Morocco : Growth and Performance – Year 2014
Weighted average IRR by the end of 2014 : 15%
Average multiple (unweighted) : 2.1 (Seed - Venture : 1.1 / Growth : 2.7 / Buy out : 1.5)
Average investment length: 5.6 years
42%
18%
7%
-21%
1st Quartile
2nd Quartile 3rd Quartile 4th Quartile
Unweighted average IRR per quartile
2.1 x
Gross IRR
15 %
Global multiple
Gross Internal Rate of
Return (IRR)* & Multiple 2000 - 2014
* Average Gross IRR on exits (Cf. Methodology)
7. PRIVATE EQUITY PERFORMANCE
37
Summary
Private Equity in Morocco : Growth and Performance – Year 2014 © 2015 Grant Thornton
1. Scope & Methodology
2. International and National Economic Context
3. Fund Management Companies
4. Funds under Management
5. Investments
6. Exits
7. Private Equity Performance
8. Private Equity Economic and Social Impact
9. Forecasts 2015
10. Key Figures
11. Annexes
I. Focus on infrastructure funds
II. Focus on transregional funds
III. Acronyms
IV. Glossary
3
7
14
16
24
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© 2015 Grant Thornton Private Equity in Morocco : Growth and Performance – Year 2014
13% 13% 14% 16% 18%
23%
Trade and
distribution Services Other
industries
Construction
BTP Agribusiness ICT
Turnover CAGR (compound annual growth rate) of invested companies
by the end of 2014* = 15.37 %
CAGR by end of 2013 = 13,8 %
CAGR by end of 2012 = 16,41 %
1%
17%
57%
Seed / Venture Growth Buy out / Turn
around
Turnover CAGR by development stage
Turnover CAGR by sector
11 5 10 12 11 19
X Number of companies by sector / category
Employment CAGR by the end of 2014* = 4.2 %
CAGR by end of 2013 = 7,7 %
CAGR by end of 2012 = 9 %
- 1%
4%
18%
Seed / Venture Growth Buy out
Employment CAGR by development stage
13 42 18
Turnover growth and employment growth of invested companies (by end 2014)
* Based on data of 73 invested companies
8. PRIVATE EQUITY ECONOMY AND SOCIAL IMPACT
39
© 2015 Grant Thornton Private Equity in Morocco : Growth and Performance – Year 2014
21%
66%
End of 2014 At time of acquisition
16%
42%
End of 2014 At time of acquisition
32%
56%
End of 2014 At time of acquisition
15%
28%
End of 2014 At time of acquisition
13%
30%
End of 2014 At time of acquisition
19%
37%
End of 2014 At time of acquisition
Annual training plan Strategic workforce planning Code of ethics
Actions engaging the
company in social activities
Actions for environmental
protection
Quality management system
ISO 9001
40
8. PRIVATE EQUITY ECONOMY AND SOCIAL IMPACT – CSR and Certification
© 2015 Grant Thornton Private Equity in Morocco : Growth and Performance – Year 2014
67%
100%
End of 2014 At time of acquisition
38%
98%
End of 2014 At time of acquisition
37%
98%
End of 2014 At time of acquisition
42%
98%
End of 2014 At time of acquisition
37%
96%
End of 2014 At time of acquisition
Company audit Oversight and steering
committees Reporting tools
Performance indicators and
scoreboards
Budgeting and budget
monitoring policies
41
8. PRIVATE EQUITY ECONOMY AND SOCIAL IMPACT – Governance
Summary
Private Equity in Morocco : Growth and Performance – Year 2014 © 2015 Grant Thornton
1. Scope & Methodology
2. International and National Economic Context
3. Fund Management Companies
4. Funds under Management
5. Investments
6. Exits
7. Private Equity Performance
8. Private Equity Economic and Social Impact
9. Forecasts 2015
10. Key figures
11. Annexes
I. Focus on infrastructure funds
II. Focus on transregional funds
III. Acronyms
IV. Glossary
3
7
14
16
24
33
36
38
42
46
48
49
50
51
52
42
© 2015 Grant Thornton Private Equity in Morocco : Growth and Performance – Year 2014
28%
23% 25%
25%
Identifying exits
Managing underperforming companies
Fundraising
Investing in new companies
Sub Saharan Africa Egypt
Tunisia Algeria
Morocco
Main challenges for 2015 Priority investment areas
(for transregional funds)
9. FORECASTS 2015
43
26%
13%
9%
30%
17%
5%
Other countries
© 2015 Grant Thornton Private Equity in Morocco : Growth and Performance – Year 2014
12%
18%
29%
6%
35%
Not planned S2 2016 S1 2016 S2 2015 S1 2015
Planned fund raising for new funds
15%
22%
15%
22%
26%
S1 2016 S2 2015 S1 2015 Not planned S2 2016
Planned exits for the majority of portfolio companies
95 204
Total Seed / Venture
1,458
Buy out Growth
1,159
Investments forecasts for 2015 by development stage in Mln MAD
* 11 management companies
44
9. FORECASTS 2015
© 2015 Grant Thornton Private Equity in Morocco : Growth and Performance – Year 2014
10%
9% 8%
8%
7%
7%
6%
6% 4%
12%
9%
15% 16%
14%
12%
12%
11%
10%
10%
15%
Health
Energy Consumer goods
New technologies
Distribution Transport and Logistics
Telecom Agribusiness
Services
Education
Automobile
BTP
Agadir
Fez
Oujda
Laayoune Rabat
Casablanca
Tangier
Marrakech
Investment sectors over the next 5 years Investment regions over the next 5 years
45
9. FORECASTS 2015
Summary
Private Equity in Morocco : Growth and Performance – Year 2014 © 2015 Grant Thornton
1. Scope & Methodology
2. International and National Economic Context
3. Fund Management Companies
4. Funds under Management
5. Investments
6. Exits
7. Private Equity Performance
8. Private Equity Economic and Social Impact
9. Forecasts 2015
10. Key Figures
11. Annexes
I. Focus on infrastructure funds
II. Focus on transregional funds
III. Acronyms
IV. Glossary
3
7
14
16
24
33
36
38
42
46
48
49
50
51
52
46
© 2015 Grant Thornton Private Equity in Morocco : Growth and Performance – Year 2014
Funds raised
Investments
Exits
Economic and
social impact
Performance Average multiple
= 2.1
15.7 Bln MAD raised by
Private Equity and
infrastructure funds
94 % funds raised since
2012 are by transregional
funds
4.9 Bln MAD invested in
155 companies by the end
of 2014
696 Mln MAD invested
in 2014
Average investment
ticket = 43 Mln MAD
98% of companies have
implemented a complete
system of governance
Weighted average
gross IRR
= 15%
Average investment time
= 5.6 years
Employment CAGR = 4.2 %
Turnover CAGR = 15.4 %
Accumulated amounts exitd
= 2 Bln MAD
78 % of exits since 2011 are through trade
sales or sale of shares (IPO)
4 Bln MAD still
available for
investment
10. KEY FIGURES 2014
47
Summary
Private Equity in Morocco : Growth and Performance – Year 2014 © 2015 Grant Thornton
1. Scope & Methodology
2. International and National Economic Context
3. Fund Management Companies
4. Funds under Management
5. Investments
6. Exits
7. Private Equity Performance
8. Private Equity Economic and Social Impact
9. Forecasts 2015
10. Key Figures
11. Annexes
I. Focus on infrastructure funds
II. Focus on transregional funds
III. Acronyms
IV. Glossary
3
7
14
16
24
33
36
38
42
46
48
49
50
51
52
52
48
© 2015 Grant Thornton Private Equity in Morocco : Growth and Performance – Year 2014
Capital raised by investor type
4%
13%
26%
57%
Caisse de dépôt
International Development organizations
Insurance companies
Financial institutions
3 management companies manage 5 infrastructure funds : 2 OPCCs and 3 foreign legal entities
Target size of funds: 12.93 Bln MAD
Amounts raised for Morocco: 5.49 Bln MAD
11. ANNEXE I – FOCUS ON INFRASTRUCTURE FUNDS
49
© 2015 Grant Thornton Private Equity in Morocco : Growth and Performance – Year 2014
220
2011
1,557
2012 2013
8,653
TOTAL
5,009
1,867
2014
Amounts raised by transregional funds
for Maghreb zone / Sub Saharan Africa (in Mln MAD)
For transregional funds (MPEF III, AfricInvest III, CNAV II, Mediterrania II, AAF, AHF, ANAF II), the
cumulative amount of target sizes for Maghreb zone / Sub Saharn Africa is 13.6 Bln MAD
11. ANNEXE II – FOCUS ON TRANSREGIONAL FUNDS
50
© 2015 Grant Thornton Private Equity in Morocco : Growth and Performance – Year 2014
Bln MAD Billions of Moroccan dirhams
CAGR Compound Annual Growth Rate
EBRD European Bank for Reconstruction and Development
EIB European Investment Bank
EMPEA Emerging Markets Private Equity Association
GDP Gross Domestic Product
ICT Information and Communications Technology
IFC International Finance Corporation
IPO Initial Public Offering
IRR Internal Rate of Return
MEF Ministry of Economy and Finance
MMAD Millions of Moroccan dirhams
OPCC Organisme de Placement Collectif en Capital : Collective Investment in Capital
Scheme
11. ANNEXE III – ACRONYMS
51
© 2015 Grant Thornton Private Equity in Morocco : Growth and Performance – Year 2014
11. ANNEXE IV – GLOSSARY
52
Seed Capital :
Seed Capital investors bring, along with equity, a professional network and personal experience in early stage entrepreneurial
projects that are still in development.
Venture Capital (early stage) :
Equity or quasi equity in young enterprises and start-ups.
Growth Capital (late stage venture capital) :
Investment in equity and quasi-equity in order to finance the development of a business or the acquisition of new
stocks. The business partner is a company established in its markets, profitable and having significant growth prospects.
Frequently called Growth Venture Capital.
Buy out Capital (transmission capital) :
Transmission capital investments in management or owner succession aimed buyouts in mature firms.
Raised Capital :
Confirmed investment commitments in venture or private equity funds.
Invested Capital :
Capital invested in enterprises by venture or private equity fund companies.
Private Equity Fund :
An investment vehicle that raises capital from a diverse group of investors with a view to investing in unlisted private firms and
realizing capital gains shared among investors.
Funds of Funds :
A fund raising funds from multiple sources for investment in a diverse number of private equity funds.
© 2015 Grant Thornton Private Equity in Morocco : Growth and Performance – Year 2014 53
11. ANNEXE IV – GLOSSARY
Transregional Funds
Funds targeting several investment geographies at the country level (in contrast to ‘regional’ funds within Morocco focused on
regional investment within Morocco alone)
Discretionary Management :
Classic private equity structure where individual investment decisions are in the hands of the management team.
Exit Mode : Management
Share by-back from PE investor by management of the enterprise.
Exit Amount :
Exit valued at proceeds of sale of investment in the enterprise.
Multiple :
Investment Multiple = Proceeds of sale / Invested amount.
Quartile :
Division of the quartiles are the values that share a set of values into four equal parts. Thus, in the distribution of IRR for
example, the first quartile is the IRR below which lie 25% of IRRs.
Quasi Equity :
Financing vehicles that combine both debt and equity characteristic.
Small and Mid Caps :
The definition of small and mid caps varies depending on the maturity of the markets. In Morocco, AMIC considers that the
investments “Small and Mid Caps” correspond to transactions less than 200 Mln MAD
IRR (Internal Rate of Return) :
Measurement of the average annualized rate of return of an investment consisting of negative flows (cash
outflows) and positive flows (cash inflows). It is used to measure and monitor performance of private equity transactions.
© 2015 Grant Thornton Private Equity in Morocco : Growth and Performance – Year 2014
Site Web : www.fidarocgt.com Site Web : www.amic.org.ma
Founded in 2000, AMIC (the Moroccan Private Equity Association)
is an independent professional association whose mission is to
unite, represent and promote the private equity profession to
local and international investors, entrepreneurs and governmental
bodies.
AMIC's main mission is to strengthen the private equity
industry’s competitiveness in Morocco and abroad via:
- Effective and clear communication about the private equity
industry
- Executing reliable reports and surveys on the state of
Private Equity in Morocco
- Active participation in discussions on any draft law
regulating the sector
- Establishing a good governance and ethics code for the
Private Equity industry and promoting compliance with this
code
- Providing support services to members on regulatory
issues related to the profession
- Development of a quality training program touching on all
industry fundamental skills.
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in Morocco, and member of the Grant Thornton International, a
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For over twenty years, Fidaroc Grant Thornton has supported its
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