PRICE WATCH August 2021 Prices September 30, 2021

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FEWS NET [email protected] www.fews.net FEWS NET is a USAID-funded activity. The content of this report does not necessarily reflect the view of the United States Agency for International Development or the United States Government. PRICE WATCH August 2021 Prices September 30, 2021 KEY MESSAGES In West Africa, supplies continued to decrease during the lean season in August. Demand remained seasonally high and above average due to increased replenishment of stocks, though humanitarian assistance was reduced pressure in targeted zones. Staple food prices remained above the five-year average, especially in Nigeria. Conflict-related market disruptions were reported across parts of Mali, Burkina Faso, Niger, Nigeria, Chad, and Cameroon. Cross-border trade remained below average due to lingering COVID-19 restrictions, harassment along corridors, transport costs, governmental restrictions, and insecurity-related disruptions (Page 3). In East Africa, staple food prices followed seasonable but divergent trends. Prices declined in most markets in South Sudan due to the start of the greenbelt harvest and ongoing supply from the May-to-August harvest in Tanzania and Uganda. Prices remained stable in both Kenya as supplies from the July-to-September harvest started to enter markets and in Somalia due to the below-average harvest. Prices increased seasonably in Burundi and Ethiopia as supplies tightened, but price trends varied across Sudan. Livestock prices declined seasonably in most markets as the July-to- August export season ended. Chronic poor macroeconomic conditions sustained elevated prices in Ethiopia, Sudan, South Sudan, Burundi, and Somalia (Page 4). In Southern Africa, markets and the milling subsector are well-supplied, with maize following above-average production during the 2020/21 production year, except in Madagascar, where supply was below average. Intra-regional informal trade is below average due to domestic availability and limited import demand. Prices began increasing seasonally in August, trends that will persist through the lean season. Prices are lowest in Malawi and South Africa. South Africa has continued to export yellow maize to international markets while nearly half of white maize exports were regional. The region has benefitted from firm international commodity prices, supporting export earnings (Page 5). In Central America, markets were well supplied and operating normally. Maize prices were stable or increased seasonally. Local bean and imported rice prices were similarly stable. In Haiti, local maize and black bean prices declined following spring harvests. Imported rice prices were stable while other imported staples continued to experience depreciation-induced price increases. Markets were disrupted following the earthquake in the Sud department (Page 6). In Central Asia, wheat prices were stable in August but remained significantly above five-year average levels. Wheat prices in Kazakhstan were similar to 2020 levels, while prices were elevated relative to 2020 in Afghanistan and Pakistan. In Yemen, staple food prices remained significantly above average due to protracted conflict and persistent YER depreciation. Food and fuel price trends differed significantly between internationally recognized government (IRG) and Sana’a-based authorities (SBA) controlled areas (Page 7). International staple food markets are well supplied. Rice, maize, and soybean prices decreased on average in August, while wheat prices exhibited mixed trends (Figure 2). Global crude oil prices were stable on expectations for market re- balancing during the second half of 2021, while global fertilizer prices were generally stable in August (Page 2). Figure 1. FEWS NET market monitoring country coverage Source: FEWS NET FEWS NET monitors trends in staple food prices in countries at risk of food insecurity. The Price Watch provides an update on market and price trends in selected reference markets. Specific trends for key reference markets and commodities are available in the Price Watch Annexes 1 and 2. FEWS NET gratefully acknowledges partner organizations, ministries of agriculture, national market information systems, the Regional Agricultural Intelligence Network, the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO), the World Food Programme (WFP), and others for their assistance in providing price data.

Transcript of PRICE WATCH August 2021 Prices September 30, 2021

Page 1: PRICE WATCH August 2021 Prices September 30, 2021

FEWS NET

[email protected]

www.fews.net

FEWS NET is a USAID-funded activity. The content of this report does not

necessarily reflect the view of the United States Agency for International

Development or the United States Government.

PRICE WATCH August 2021 Prices September 30, 2021

KEY MESSAGES

• In West Africa, supplies continued to decrease during the lean season in August. Demand remained seasonally high andabove average due to increased replenishment of stocks, though humanitarian assistance was reduced pressure intargeted zones. Staple food prices remained above the five-year average, especially in Nigeria. Conflict-related marketdisruptions were reported across parts of Mali, Burkina Faso, Niger, Nigeria, Chad, and Cameroon. Cross-border traderemained below average due to lingering COVID-19 restrictions, harassment along corridors, transport costs,governmental restrictions, and insecurity-related disruptions (Page 3).

• In East Africa, staple food prices followed seasonable but divergent trends. Prices declined in most markets in SouthSudan due to the start of the greenbelt harvest and ongoing supply from the May-to-August harvest in Tanzania andUganda. Prices remained stable in both Kenya as supplies from the July-to-September harvest started to enter marketsand in Somalia due to the below-average harvest. Prices increased seasonably in Burundi and Ethiopia as suppliestightened, but price trends varied across Sudan. Livestock prices declined seasonably in most markets as the July-to-August export season ended. Chronic poor macroeconomic conditions sustained elevated prices in Ethiopia, Sudan,South Sudan, Burundi, and Somalia (Page 4).

• In Southern Africa, markets and the milling subsector are well-supplied, with maize following above-average productionduring the 2020/21 production year, except in Madagascar, where supply was below average. Intra-regional informaltrade is below average due to domestic availability and limited import demand. Prices began increasing seasonally inAugust, trends that will persist through the lean season. Prices are lowest in Malawi and South Africa. South Africa hascontinued to export yellow maize to international markets while nearly half of white maize exports were regional. Theregion has benefitted from firm international commodityprices, supporting export earnings (Page 5).

• In Central America, markets were well supplied andoperating normally. Maize prices were stable orincreased seasonally. Local bean and imported rice priceswere similarly stable. In Haiti, local maize and black beanprices declined following spring harvests. Imported riceprices were stable while other imported staplescontinued to experience depreciation-induced priceincreases. Markets were disrupted following theearthquake in the Sud department (Page 6).

• In Central Asia, wheat prices were stable in August butremained significantly above five-year average levels. Wheat prices in Kazakhstan were similar to 2020 levels, while prices were elevated relative to 2020 in Afghanistan and Pakistan. In Yemen, staple food prices remained significantly above average due to protracted conflict and persistent YER depreciation. Food and fuel price trends differed significantly between internationally recognized government (IRG) and Sana’a-based authorities (SBA) controlled areas (Page 7).

• International staple food markets are well supplied. Rice, maize, and soybean prices decreased on average in August,while wheat prices exhibited mixed trends (Figure 2). Global crude oil prices were stable on expectations for market re-balancing during the second half of 2021, while global fertilizer prices were generally stable in August (Page 2).

Figure 1. FEWS NET market monitoring country coverage

Source: FEWS NET

FEWS NET monitors trends in staple food prices in countries at risk of food insecurity. The Price Watch provides an update on market and price trends in selected reference markets. Specific trends for key reference markets and commodities are available in the Price Watch Annexes 1 and 2. FEWS NET gratefully acknowledges partner organizations, ministries of agriculture, national market information systems, the Regional Agricultural Intelligence Network, the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO), the World Food Programme (WFP), and others for their assistance in providing price data.

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PRICE WATCH September 2021

Famine Early Warning Systems Network 2

INTERNATIONAL MARKETS

Current situation (August 2021)

• International rice prices decreased further in August due tostrong competition, favorable crop prospects, rising freightcost, and weak demand (InterRice). Prices were belowAugust 2020 levels and the five-year average (Figure 2).

• International maize prices were stable or decreased inAugust as trading activity slowed down due to lower exportexpectations. Concerns remain over dry conditions in theU.S. despite an overall favorable global outlook. Maizeprices remain significantly above 2020 and five-yearaverage levels (FAO and USDA).

• International wheat prices increased in August due toongoing concerns over the likely impact of dry conditionson the North American spring crop and reflect adeterioration of several major producers' productionprospects. The global wheat supply outlook for 2021 waslowered since the previous report in July (IGC and USDA).Wheat prices remain significantly above August- 2020 andfive-year average levels.

• International soybean prices decreased further in Augustdue to lower Chinese demand and a generally favorableoutlook for the recently concluded southern hemisphereharvests (AMIS and IGC). Soybean prices remain significantlyabove 2020 and five-year average levels.

• International crude oil prices decreased in August inanticipation of supply increases over the coming months.Prices remained significantly above 2020 and five-yearaverage levels (U.S. Energy Information Administration).Global fertilizer prices trends varied but remained above2020 and five-year average levels (AMIS and WB).

Outlook (September 2021 onward)

• Rice production is expected to increase and continue to outpace consumption levels (Figure 3). Trading activity will likelyincrease during the second half of 2021, and prices are expected to be near 2020 levels (InterRice and WB).

• Maize production is projected to increase moderately in MY 2021/22, while trade activity will likely be weaker year-on-year. Stocks ending 2021 are now expected to fall for a third consecutive season. Maize prices are expected to remainsignificantly above 2020 levels (IGC and WB).

• Wheat production is expected to increase in MY 2021/22, while trade will be close to year-earlier levels. 2021 wheatprices are expected to remain significantly above 2020 levels (USDA and WB).

• Soybean production is projected to increase above the record set in 2018/19 during MY 2021/22 while stocks could fallto a three-year low. 2021 soybean prices are expected to remain significantly above 2020 levels (USDA and WB).

• Crude oil markets are expected to become more balanced through the end of 2021 with prices easing slightly. Globaldemand recovery to remain key price driver (U.S. Energy Information Administration). Fertilizer supply is expected to bestable in MY 2021/22 while demand may slow down. Prices are projected to increase on average in 2021 (AMIS and WB).

Figure 2. Food commodity prices in selected international

markets, January 2016 – August 2021

Source: Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO),

World Bank

Figure 3. Global Market Indicators, 2021/22 compared to

2020/21 and 2016-2020 average

Source: FEWS NET calculations based on USDA data

Staple food price trends across the countries monitored by FEWS NET will vary considerably in the coming months in response to local and regional market conditions; international market trends will play a more limited role in most countries (Figure 2). Fuel price trends in FEWS NET countries will depend on both international market conditions, the evolution of local exchange rates in relation to the U.S. Dollar, and the design and implementation of local fuel import and price policies.

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PRICE WATCH

Famine Early Warning Systems Network 3

WEST AFRICA

Current situation (August 2021)

• Stocks continued to decrease as the lean season peaked inWest Africa. Supplies across much of the region remainedbelow average despite localized early green harvests.Conflict-related market disruptions persisted in the GreaterLake Chad basin, the Liptako-Gourma region, northwestand north-central Nigeria, and the North-West and South-West regions of Cameroon.

• Demand remained seasonally high but above average acrossthe region due to increased replenishment of stocks andabove-average maize purchases by local industries.Nevertheless, humanitarian assistance reportedly reduceddemand pressure on households in targeted zones. Cross-border trade remained below average due to lingeringCOVID-19 restrictions, insecurity, harassment along tradecorridors, transport costs, and some governmentalrestrictions (Burkina Faso, Benin).

• In Nigeria, the NGN further depreciated in the parallelmarket following the decision of the Central Bank of Nigeria(CBN) in late July to ban sales of foreign exchange to Bureaude Change operators. The inflation rate decreased for thefifth consecutive month in August to 17.01 percent butremained among the highest levels recorded in the past fiveyears (NBS). Prices for most staples continued to trendsignificantly above average as many households relied onmarket purchases during the lean season while suppliesremained below average (Figure 4). Nevertheless, with newstocks from early harvests arriving in some markets, therewere recorded price decreases compared to the previousmonth.

• In the Sahel, locally-produced grain prices were stable or increased compared to the previous month but remained aboveaverage in most markets – especially for maize (Figure 5). Also, prices of imported and processed commodities (rice,edible oil, sugar, wheat flour, powder milk) were significantly above average despite price ceilings set by governmentalintervention. In other non-XOF Coastal countries (Ghana, Guinea, Sierra Leone, Liberia), both local and imported riceprices were above average. In Cameroon, prices of locally produced staples seasonally increased at above-average levelsin the Far North region due to increased demand from Nigeria. Also, persisting global transaction costs are maintainingimported rice above average. On the other hand, in conflict-stricken North-West and South-West regions, prices inproduction basins were below-average due to local farmers/traders’ hindered access to national and regional markets.

• In livestock markets, supply is seasonally reducing with good pasture conditions. Prices were above average for smallruminants that remained highly traded locally and below-average, mostly for cattle whose trade remained affected bypersistent insecurity, border restrictions, and a depreciated Naira.

Outlook (September 2021 onward)

• Forecasts indicate cereal production will be between 72 and 79 million metric tons (MMT), one to 12 percent higher thanaverage (PREGEC). Prices will seasonally decrease from September/October with harvests and remain low untilFebruary/March 2022. Prices will likely be above average in most countries due to low carryover stocks, anticipatedlocalized production deficits, substantial replenishment needs, flow restrictions, and higher international prices.

• In Nigeria, as harvest begins, both markets and households' stocks will increase in the coming months until December2021. Thus, market reliance will reduce, as well as food prices, which will likely remain above average.

Figure 4. August 2021 staple prices trends compared to the

average in selected Nigerian markets

Source: FEWS NET

Figure 5. August 2021 retail maize price trends compared

the average across West Africa

Source: FEWS NET

September 2021

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Famine Early Warning Systems Network 4

EAST AFRICA

Current situation (August 2021)

• Prices in East Africa continued to follow divergent butseasonal trends in August. Staple food prices declined inSouth Sudan, remained stable in Kenya and Uganda, andincreased in Burundi and Ethiopia as supplies tightened.Price trends in Somalia and Sudan varied due to localizeddrivers. Livestock prices across the region declined as theexport season ended. Chronic poor macroeconomicconditions and below-average harvests sustained elevatedprices in Ethiopia, Sudan, South Sudan, Burundi, andSomalia.

• In Tanzania, the prices of grains continued to declineseasonably across most markets due to increased suppliesfrom the May-to-August harvest. Maize prices remainedstable in most markets in Kenya due to increased suppliesfrom the below-average July-to-September harvest andcontinued imports from Uganda and Tanzania.

• Staple food prices in Burundi increased seasonably assupplies started to tighten, but the increase was moderatedby a ban on exports of major food crops that increaseddomestic availability. However, dry bean prices declinedatypically due to an above-average July-August harvest.Staple food prices in Ethiopia increased seasonably assupplies tightened but were heightened by conflict-relatedsupply disruptions, delayed and below-average June-to-Julyharvest in south and southwestern markets, and endemiccurrency depreciation that increased the prices of importedsubstitutes in southeastern markets.

• Across Sudan, Sorghum and millet prices exhibited mixedtrends due to the tightening of stocks, speculative measuresby producers, and decreased road access caused by flooddamage. Staple commodity prices across Somalia wereatypically stable due to the below-average June-to-Julyharvest. The average prices of most essential importedcommodities (rice, wheat flour, diesel, sugar, and vegetableoil) were also stable.

• Grain prices declined in most markets in South Sudan due tothe start of the greenbelt harvest and imminent start of themain harvest in October, imports from Uganda and Sudan,increased food aid distribution in northern markets. The prices of pulses, roots, and tubers in Uganda remained stableor declined slightly as supplies from the delayed June-to-July harvest continued to flow into markets amid reducedinstitutional demand as learning institutions remained closed as part of COVID-19 measures

Outlook (September 2021 onward)

• Local currencies in Sudan and South Sudan are expected to gradually strengthen following sustained governmentinterventions. Inflation is also expected to continue to decline, but prices will remain significantly above the five-yearaverage levels

• Prices of stable commodities in Somalia are expected to increase or remain stable due to an anticipated below-averageoff-season September-to-October harvest

Figure 6. August 2021 maize prices in East Africa (USD/kg)

Source: FEWS NET estimates

Figure 7. August 2021 sorghum prices in East Africa

(USD/kg)

Source: FEWS NET estimates

September 2021

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PRICE WATCH

Famine Early Warning Systems Network 5

SOUTHERN AFRICA

Current situation (August 2021)

• In Southern Africa, regional maize supply for the 2021/22marketing year (MY) is above average. Maize prices werestable or began increasing seasonally in August (Figure 8).Consecutive seasons of drought resulted in locally increasingand volatile prices in southern Madagascar. Prices in SouthAfrica continued to track global reference markets, trendsthat have been transmitted to import-dependentneighboring countries. Intra-regional trade has been limitedto due to ample domestic supplies.

• In South Africa, MY 2021/22 production was above average.Despite favorable domestic and regional production, spotprices increased during the post-harvest period but werestable in August (Figure 8). In Tanzania, maize pricesincreased in August due to increased local demand andexport demand from neighboring Kenya now that Kenya’simport ban has been lifted. In Zambia, the governmentcontinued issuing export permits for maize grainand flour while animal feed export permits remainedsuspended. The Food Reserve Agency’s (FRA) maizepurchase plan was revised downward from 1 million MT to800,000MT. Prices were stable in surplus areas butincreased in deficit areas.

• In Mozambique, maize prices increased seasonally asdemand from local and regional millers increased. Priceincreases in the north were associated with high demandfrom internally displaced persons and humanitarianassistance delivered through cash-based transfers. Thecontinued stability of the MZN contributed to stableimported maize meal and rice prices. In Malawi, maize grainprices increased due to increased demand from ADMARCwhich is purchasing maize at government set producer priceof MWK150/kg, well above the average market price ofMKW100/kg. Prices are nevertheless well below 2020 levelsand among the lowest in the regional (Figure 8).

• In Zimbabwe, maize prices in both USD and ZWL termsincreased but remained below their respective 2020 levels, but were lower than last season prices at the same time.Maize grain transactions on open markets continued in foreign currencies because of a lack of confidence in the ZWL. InDRC, the end of August marked the start of land preparation activities for season A in the Central East and Northeast andan earlier than usual onset of the lean season following below-average season B harvests. Maize grain and flour prices,as well as imported rice and refined vegetable oil prices, remained stable. In Madagascar, local maize and imported riceprices continued to increase while cassava prices declined.

Outlook (September 2021 onward)

• Maize grain market supplies are expected to remain average to above average, given current projections for an above-average 2022 harvest. Increased regional food trade (including trade with East Africa) will lead to increasing maize grainprices in source countries in the short-to-medium term. South Africa will likely continue exporting to internationalmarkets due to strong global maize demand. Local availability is expected to remain constrained in southern Madagascar,resulting in high and variable prices. FEWS NET will monitor the status of local government purchase, sale, anddistribution plans and policies and their impacts on market dynamics and prices, especially in Malawi, Zimbabwe, andZambia.

Figure 8. Maize prices in Southern Africa, January 2016 –

August 2021

Source: FEWS NET estimates

Figure 9. August 2021 maize prices in Southern Africa

compared to 2020 levels (% change)

Source: FEWS NET estimates

September 2021

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PRICE WATCH

Famine Early Warning Systems Network 6

CENTRAL AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN

Current situation (August 2021)

• In Central America, markets were operating normally andremain supplied with local and imported staple foods. Whitemaize availability was average and relied on recent harvests,stocks, and imports. Bean supply was close to average andcomposed primarily of stocks from recent apante/postreratardía harvests. Formal and informal trade from Mexico wasstable.

• White maize wholesale and retail prices increasedseasonally in August (Figure 10). Prices were above 2020levels, except in Honduras. Rainfall deficits in Nicaragua andHonduras during the primera sowing activities delayedharvests and led to increasing prices.

• Red bean wholesale and retail prices were stable in Augustfrom apante/postrera tardía stocks and imports. Pricesremained below the 2020 average levels in El Salvador butincreased in Honduras and Nicaragua following delayedprimera harvests. Black bean wholesale prices in Guatemalaand Mexico remained stable but were above 2020 and five-year average levels.

• Rice wholesale and retail prices were stable in August dueto ample import availability and steady international prices.Progressive price increases in the preceding monthsresulted in above-average imported rice prices.

• In Haiti, infrastructure damage following the recentearthquake hindered market activities, especially in Suddepartment (e.g. Les Cayes). Insecurity disruptedcommercial activities in Port-au-Prince. In August, localmaize and black bean prices declined on average followingspring harvests. These trends were supported by the availability of food assistance in earthquake-affected areas.Imported rice prices were also stable due to international price stability and decreased market demand due to thepresence of food assistance. The prices of other imported commodities such as cooking oil, wheat flour, and sugarincreased slightly with progressive depreciation of the HTG against the USD coupled with the effects of insecurity-relatedwarehouse closures (Figure 11).

Outlook (September 2021 onward)

• In Central America, white maize prices are expected to decline as primera harvests arrive onto markets and improvegrain availability. In Guatemala, higher industrial demand and increasing fuel and transportation costs may partially offsetthe declining seasonal trend. In Nicaragua and Honduras, the ongoing extended lean season due to delayed primerasowing activities will continue to influence prices in localized areas in September. Formal and informal imports fromMexico may decrease seasonally until October harvests are underway. Red bean prices are likely to remain stablefollowing seasonal trends. Rice supply and price stability are also expected following international market and regionalexchange rate trends.

• In Haiti, above-average import requirements are anticipated for MY 2021/22. Price increases are likely to continueaffecting staple food supply, especially in urban areas, due to anticipated future insecurity and political uncertainty-related disruptions in market operations. The HTG will continue to depreciate against the USD. FEWS NET will continueto monitor food availability and access conditions in Haiti, which is currently faced with multiple shocks.

Figure 10. August 2021 maize price trends in Central

America

Source: FEWS NET

Figure 11. Average national staple food prices and exchange

rate in Haiti, January 2016 – August 2021

Source: FEWS NET/CNSA

September 2021

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PRICE WATCH

Famine Early Warning Systems Network 7

CENTRAL ASIA

Current situation (August 2021)

• Regional wheat availability and price trends varied acrossCentral Asia in August (Figure 12). Rice availability andprices remained stable. As detailed in the Central AsiaRegional Wheat Supply and Market Outlook, localizedwheat deficits are expected to be largely filled throughintra-regional trade. In Yemen, markets remain severelydisrupted by ongoing macroeconomic challenges andconflict.

• In Kazakhstan, wheat production for MY 2021/22 isexpected to slightly lower than the previous year andaverage levels (USDA). Export prices for milling wheatwere stable in August compared to July and 2020 levelsbut 25 percent above the five-year average. Pakistan’sMY 2021/22 wheat production was 27 MMT, eightpercent above the previous year’s levels (SUPRACO).Wheat prices were stable on average in August but wererespectively 28 and 40 percent higher than 2020 and five-year average levels.

• In Afghanistan, the 2020/21 agricultural season wasimpacted by below-average rainfall resulting fromLa Niña weather conditions. The domestic wheat importgap is estimated at 40 percent higher than the previousyear and 20 percent higher than average. Food pricesincreased in August compared to July following the recentpolitical transition and the resulting pressure on the localeconomy, including hard currency shortages. Wheat flourprices in markets across Afghanistan were on average fivepercent higher in August compared to July, 21 percentabove 2020 levels and 41 percent above the five-yearaverage. Tajikistan, another import-dependent country in the region, is importing wheat grain to mill locally nowthat the import tax rate is lower for wheat grain (10 percent) than for wheat flour (18 percent), discouraging wheat flourimports from traditional trade partners like Kazakhstan.

• In Yemen, staple food prices and exchange rate trends varied between internationally recognized government (IRG) areasand Sana’a based authorities (SBA) controlled areas. The national average price of the minimum survival food basketincreased by four percent in August. The largest price increases persisted in governorates within the IRG, where the YERdepreciated sharply and persistently in recent months (Figure 13). In August, national fuel prices remained significantlyabove 2020- and five-year average levels. In areas controlled by the SBA, the resumption of fuel imports through the RedSea ports since late March has supported improved petrol and diesel availability and price stability (FAO).

Outlook (September 2021 onward)

• In Kazakhstan, aggregate MY 2021/22 wheat availability and exports are projected to be close to MY 2020/21 levels(USDA). In Pakistan, traditionally a wheat exporting country, wheat imports for MY 2021/22 are forecast to remain wellabove the five-year average levels due to low opening stocks and strong domestic demand. In Afghanistan, wheat flourprices are expected to continue rising further. The above-average wheat import gap projected for MY 2020/21 will befilled mainly with regional wheat imports and complemented with imports from some non-traditional trade partners.

• In Yemen, food and fuel prices will likely continue to increase more rapidly in IRG areas in the coming months. Fuel pricesmay experience sharper volatility, particularly across SBA-controlled areas.

Figure 12. Wheat grain and flour prices in Central Asia

(USD/kg), January 2016 – August 2021

Source: WFP, VAM, APK Inform Agency, Kazakhstan

Figure 13. Average monthly secondary exchange rates and

wheat flour price trends in Yemen, June 2016 – August 2021

Source: FAO

September 2021

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Current Current

price/kg One One 5-year price/kg One One 5-year

Major markets US$ price month year avg. Major markets US$ price month year avg.

Bohicon Rice (5% Broken) Djibo Sorghum (White)

XOF 478.72 XOF 198.00

$0.86 $0.36

Come Maize Grain (White) Koudougou Maize Grain (White)

XOF 248.23 XOF 214.00

$0.45 $0.38

Rice (5% Broken) Millet (Pearl)

XOF 425.53 XOF 257.00

$0.76 $0.46

Cotonou Beans (White) Sorghum (White)

XOF 923.91 XOF 202.00

$1.66 $0.36

Maize Grain (White) Ouagadougou Gasoline

XOF 315.93 XOF 615.00

$0.57 $1.10

Rice (5% Broken) Maize Grain (White)

XOF 531.91 XOF 232.00

$0.95 $0.42

Malanville Gari Millet (Pearl)

XOF 500.00 XOF 249.00

$0.90 $0.45

Maize Grain (White) Refined Vegetable Oil

XOF 282.89 XOF 1450.00

$0.51 $2.60

Parakou Maize Grain (White) Sorghum (White)

XOF 185.90 XOF 235.00

$0.33 $0.42

Rice (5% Broken) Whole milk powder

XOF 413.22 XOF 5350.00

$0.74 $9.60

Bobo Dioulasso Maize Grain (White) Pouytenga Maize Grain (White)

XOF 222.00 XOF 206.00

$0.40 $0.37

Millet (Pearl) Millet (Pearl)

XOF 250.00 XOF 237.00

$0.45 $0.43

Sorghum (White) Sorghum (White)

XOF 202.00 XOF 168.00

$0.36 $0.30

Djibo Maize Grain (White) Solenzo Maize Grain (White)

XOF 219.00 XOF 146.00

$0.39 $0.26

Millet (Pearl) Millet (Pearl)

XOF 226.00 XOF 149.00

$0.41 $0.27

FEWS NET

[email protected]

www.fews.net

-3 -11 -7 ► ▼ ▼

Burkina Faso Burkina Faso

-2 -13 -3 ► ▼ ►

-4 19 14 ► ▲ ▲

16 ► ▲ ▲

0 2 6 ► ► ▲

11 ▲ ▲ ▲ -1 17

3 2 10 ► ► ▲

Burkina Faso Burkina Faso

0 2 6 ► ► ▲

8 10

3 44 37 ► ▲ ▲0 33 36 ► ▲ ▲

0 0 -1 ► ► ►

► ► ▲Benin

0 0 - ► ► -

-3 -3 - ► ► - 2 2 10

- 0 45 66 ► ▲

Benin

11 15 - ▲ ▲

0 -5 6 ► ► ▲

34 ► ▲ ▲

0 31 - ► ▲ -

►Burkina Faso

0 0 0 ► ► ► 1 26

▲ 0 0 0 ► ►

Benin

5 15 40 ► ▲

4 26 13 ► ▲ ▲9 70 47 ▲ ▲ ▲

3 10 18 ► ▲ ▲

▲ ▲Benin Burkina Faso

0 0 - ► ► -

▼ ▼Benin Burkina Faso

0 17 - ► ▲ -

West

Afr

ica

1 -7 -6 ►

5 30 27 ►

one year, and one year, and

5-year avg. 5-year avg.

West

Afr

ica

1 9 13 ► ▲

% Change Over

Change over

% Change Over

Change over

one month, one month,

PRICE WATCH ANNEX 1 August 2021 Prices September 30, 2021

Food and Fuel Price Trends Food and Fuel Price Trends

FEWS NET is a USAID-funded activity. The content of this report does not necessarily reflect the view of the United States

Agency for International Development or the United States Government.

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network (FEWS NET) monitors trends in staple food prices in countries vulnerable to food insecurity. The Price Watch Annex 1 provides prices

and price changes for key markets and staple foods monitored across FEWS NET countries and regions. The prices are final monthly average prices for August 2021. Commodities

included in the Annex are the staples most often consumed by the poor in the indicated market. Additional commodities provided are important commodities consumed in the same

areas or fuel prices that affect food prices. Final monthly average prices are used. The symbols (▲►▼) depict the direction of price changes: the red upward-facing arrow denotes an

increase of five percent or greater. The blue horizontal arrow denotes no change or changes that are smaller than 5 percent, and the green downward-facing arrow denotes price

decreases that are five percent or greater. The three arrows respectively correspond to the percent change in prices this month compared to last month, last year, and the five-year

average. The “-“ symbol indicates that data are not available. The commodities with a reference (W) are wholesale prices. Otherwise, all reported prices are retail.

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PRICE WATCH ANNEX

Current Current

price/kg One One 5-year price/kg One One 5-year

Major markets US$ price month year avg. Major markets US$ price month year avg.

Solenzo Sorghum (White) Sarh Millet (Pearl)

XOF 133.00 XAF 259.00

$0.24 $0.46

Maroua Maize (Corn) (W) Sorghum (Red)

XAF 260.00 XAF 201.50

$0.47 $0.36

Sorghum (W) Bamako Millet (Pearl)

XAF 260.00 XOF 227.00

$0.47 $0.41

Abeche Millet (Pearl) Rice (Gambiaca)

XAF 215.00 XOF 405.00

$0.39 $0.73

Sorghum (Red) Gao Millet (Pearl)

XAF 175.00 XOF 265.00

$0.31 $0.48

Bol Maize Grain (White) Kayes Millet (Pearl)

XAF 295.00 XOF 296.00

$0.53 $0.53

Mongo Millet (Pearl) Koulikoro Millet (Pearl)

XAF 245.00 XOF 202.00

$0.44 $0.36

Moundou Millet (Pearl) Mopti Millet (Pearl)

XAF 237.00 XOF 200.00

$0.43 $0.36

Sorghum (Red) Segou Millet (Pearl)

XAF 210.00 XOF 200.00

$0.38 $0.36

Moussoro Maize Grain (White) Rice (Gambiaca)

XAF 300.00 XOF 392.00

$0.54 $0.70

Millet (Pearl) Sikasso Millet (Pearl)

XAF 315.00 XOF 202.00

$0.57 $0.36

Rice (5% Broken) Timbuktu Rice (Milled)

XAF 600.00 XOF 352.00

$1.08 $0.63

N'Djamena Maize Grain (White) Agadez Millet (Pearl)

XAF 260.00 XOF 319.00

$0.47 $0.57

Millet (Pearl) Refined Vegetable Oil

XAF 300.00 XOF 1100.00

$0.54 $1.97

Rice (5% Broken) Rice (5% Broken)

XAF 540.00 XOF 500.00

$0.97 $0.90

Rice (Milled) Whole milk powder

XAF 450.00 XOF 1000.00

$0.81 $1.80

Sorghum (Red) Diffa Cowpeas (Mixed)

XAF 200.00 XOF 913.00

$0.36 $1.64

125 ▲ ▲ ▲Niger

0 0 8 ► ► ▲ 32 113

-20 -32 -44 ▼ ▼0 7 3 ► ▲ ►

0 -4 -1 ► ► ►5 6 ► ► ▲

0 26 15 ► ▲ ▲

Chad Niger

0 0 11 ► ► ▲

0

2 0 12 ► ► ▲

Mali

0 -13 2 ► ▼ ►

11 23 - ▲ ▲ -

▼ ▼Mali

7 0 -1 ▲ ► ►

▲ 2 -6 -9 ►

Chad

3 -13 15 ► ▼

5 9 8 ► ▲ ▲-17 11 ► ▼ ▲

6 -2 3 ▲ ► ►

Mali

11 27 29 ▲ ▲ ▲ Mali

0

0 -6 -11 ► ▼ ▼

Chad Mali

8 13 21 ▲ ▲ ▲Chad

6 -1 -6 ▲ ► ▼

▲Chad Mali

-2 -20 1 ► ▼ ►

8 8 8 ▲ ▲22 -6 24 ▲ ▼ ▲

-2 5 ► ► ►Mali

►Chad

-3 -16 0 ► ▼ ► 0

3 8 3 ► ▲

▲ ► ►Mali

5 -17 -1 ► ▼ ►

▲ - 10 1 0

30 31 ► ▲ ▲Cameroon

-4 30 - ►

27 ▲ ▲ ▲Burkina Faso Chad

-4 11 27 ►

▲ ▲

West

Afr

ica

6 8

▲ ▲ 1

one month,

one year, and one year, and

5-year avg. 5-year avg.

West

Afr

ica

-4 9 9 ►

September 30, 2021

Food and Fuel Price Trends Food and Fuel Price Trends

% Change Over

Change over

% Change Over

Change over

one month,

___________________________________________________________________

Famine Early Warning Systems Network

_________________________________

9

Page 10: PRICE WATCH August 2021 Prices September 30, 2021

PRICE WATCH ANNEX September 30, 2021

Current Current

price/kg One One 5-year price/kg One One 5-year

Major markets US$ price month year avg. Major markets US$ price month year avg.

Diffa Millet (Pearl) Sabon Machi Cowpeas (Mixed)

XOF 300.00 XOF 545.00

$0.54 $0.98

Sorghum (Mixed) Tahoua Millet (Pearl)

XOF 286.00 XOF 356.00

$0.51 $0.64

Gaya Maize Grain (Mixed) Sorghum (Mixed)

XOF 306.00 XOF 322.00

$0.55 $0.58

Maradi Maize Grain (Mixed) Tillabéri Millet (Pearl)

XOF 320.00 XOF 326.00

$0.57 $0.59

Millet (Pearl) Sorghum (Mixed)

XOF 296.00 XOF 323.00

$0.53 $0.58

Refined Vegetable Oil Dandume Millet (Pearl)

XOF 1150.00 NGN 255.71

$2.06 $0.62

Sorghum (Mixed) Rice (Milled)

XOF 293.00 NGN 389.20

$0.53 $0.95

Whole milk powder Giwa Maize Grain (White)

XOF 1525.00 NGN 227.58

$2.74 $0.55

Niamey Diesel Sorghum (White)

XOF 538.00 NGN 254.00

$0.97 $0.62

Gasoline Ibadan Bread

XOF 540.00 NGN 606.06

$0.97 $1.47

Maize Grain (Mixed) Diesel

XOF 318.00 NGN 285.00

$0.57 $0.69

Millet (Pearl) Gasoline

XOF 308.00 NGN 166.50

$0.55 $0.41

Refined Vegetable Oil Maize Grain (White)

XOF 1200.00 NGN 278.21

$2.15 $0.68

Rice (5% Broken) Palm Oil (Refined)

XOF 500.00 NGN 793.33

$0.90 $1.93

Sorghum (Mixed) Sorghum (White)

XOF 320.00 NGN 282.13

$0.57 $0.69

Whole milk powder Ilela Millet (Pearl)

XOF 1700.00 XOF 258.00

$3.05 $0.46

Ouallam Millet (Pearl) Sorghum (Mixed)

XOF 270.00 XOF 218.00

$0.48 $0.39

Niger 3 -3 - ► ► -

Nigeria

3 -3 - ► ► -

2 6 - ► ▲ -0 -6 -13 ► ▼ ▼

0 27 73 ► ▲ ▲

69 ▲ ▲ ▲

8 13 26 ▲ ▲ ▲

▲ ▲

0 0 14 ► ► ▲ 9 56

▲ ▲ -1 41 101 ►

0 13 15 ► ▲ ▲

41 ► ▲ ▲

5 0 10 ► ► ▲

▲Nigeria

8 45 48 ▲ ▲ ▲ 4 47

► 5 55 57 ► ▲

Niger

0 0 0 ► ►

0 60 39 ►

2 37 98 ► ▲ ▲

► ▲ ▲Nigeria

0 0 0 ► ► ►

2 -10 -17 ► ▼ ▼ -3 46 75

▲ -15 -10 49 ▼ ▼

75 ▲ ▲ ▲Nigeria

0 5 28 ► ►

46 ► ▲ ▲ 8 39

18 -2 11 ▲ ► ▲

Niger Niger

2 2 20 ► ► ▲

0 53

11 -6 10 ▲ ▼ ▲9 34 44 ▲ ▲ ▲

7 19 ► ▲ ▲Niger

► ▲Niger

6 22 28 ▲ ▲ ▲ 0

▲ -Niger Niger

0 -2 7 ► ► ▲

West

Afr

ica

17 100 - ▲

12 -1 16 ▲

one year, and one year, and

5-year avg. 5-year avg.

West

Afr

ica

0 1 11 ► ►

% Change Over

Change over

% Change Over

Change over

one month, one month,

Food and Fuel Price Trends Food and Fuel Price Trends

___________________________________________________________________

Famine Early Warning Systems Network

_________________________________

10

Page 11: PRICE WATCH August 2021 Prices September 30, 2021

PRICE WATCH ANNEX September 30, 2021

Current Current

price/kg One One 5-year price/kg One One 5-year

Major markets US$ price month year avg. Major markets US$ price month year avg.

Kano Diesel Saint-Louis Millet

NGN 188.00 XOF 304.00

$0.46 $0.55

Gasoline Rice (100% Broken)

NGN 164.20 XOF 300.00

$0.40 $0.54

Groundnuts (Shelled) Tambacounda Millet

NGN 393.50 XOF 242.00

$0.96 $0.43

Maize Grain (White) (W) Ziguinchor Rice (100% Broken)

NGN 234.18 XOF 325.00

$0.57 $0.58

Millet (Pearl) (W)

NGN 227.53

$0.55

Sorghum (White) (W)

NGN 253.50

$0.62

Kaura Namoda Maize Grain (White)

NGN 245.21

$0.60

Sorghum (White)

NGN 257.42

$0.63

Lagos Yams

NGN 288.96

$0.70

Maiadua Millet (Pearl)

XOF 275.00

$0.49

Sorghum (Mixed)

XOF 270.00

$0.48

Saminaka Maize Grain (White)

NGN 222.88

$0.54

Sorghum (White)

NGN 215.99

$0.53

Dakar Millet

XOF 240.00

$0.43

Rice (100% Broken)

XOF 325.00

$0.58

Kaolak Millet

XOF 224.00

$0.40

Rice (100% Broken)

XOF 339.00

$0.61

▲ ▲

Senegal

3 9 18 ►

5 -18 6 ► ▼ ▲

Senegal

8 8 11 ▲ ▲

1 -17 -6 ► ▼ ▼

▼ ▲

Nigeria

-7 -6 46 ▼

32 1 69 ▲ ► ▲

Nigeria

2 38 37 ► ▲

Nigeria

2 35 31 ► ▲ ▲

▲-6 5 36 ▼ ►

Nigeria

-6 32 88 ▼ ▲ ▲

-12 29 83 ▼ ▲ ▲

-3 37 92 ► ▲ ▲

-19 27 60 ▼ ▲ ▲

0 11 ► ► ▲Senegal

▲Senegal

-29 25 80 ▼ ▲ ▲ 0

3 -8 8 ► ▼

3 ► ► ►

-15 29 56 ▼ ▲ ▲

► ▼ ▲Nigeria Senegal

0 11 13 ► ▲

West

Afr

ica

1 -11 15

▲ 1 -1

one year, and one year, and

5-year avg. 5-year avg.

West

Afr

ica

0 -6 -8 ► ▼

Food and Fuel Price Trends Food and Fuel Price Trends

% Change Over

Change over

% Change Over

Change over

one month, one month,

___________________________________________________________________

Famine Early Warning Systems Network

_________________________________

11

Page 12: PRICE WATCH August 2021 Prices September 30, 2021

PRICE WATCH ANNEX September 30, 2021

Current Current

price/kg One One 5-year price/kg One One 5-year

Major markets US$ price month year avg. Major markets US$ price month year avg.

Addis Ababa Maize Grain (White) (W) Nairobi Maize Grain (White) (W)

ETB 22.93 KES 40.00

$0.51 $0.37

Wheat Grain (W) Potato (White) (W)

ETB 36.68 KES 10.00

$0.82 $0.09

Bahir Dar Maize Grain (White) (W) Kigali City Beans (mixed)

ETB 22.67 RWF 600.37

$0.50 $0.60

Bure Maize Grain (White) (W) Cassava Flour

ETB 22.76 RWF 477.27

$0.51 $0.48

Wheat Grain (W) Cooking Banana (unspecified)

ETB 26.20 RWF 188.63

$0.58 $0.19

Dire Dawa Wheat Grain (W) Maize Grain (White)

ETB 37.65 RWF 266.43

$0.84 $0.27

Nekemte Maize Grain (White) (W) Potato (Irish)

ETB 20.33 RWF 328.65

$0.45 $0.33

Eldoret Beans (Rosecoco) (W) Musanze Beans (mixed)

KES 111.67 RWF 569.00

$1.03 $0.57

Maize Grain (White) (W) Beans (mixed)

KES 36.74 RWF 560.00

$0.34 $0.56

Potato (White) (W) Cooking Banana (unspecified)

KES 8.18 RWF 133.61

$0.08 $0.13

Kisumu Beans (Rosecoco) (W) Maize Grain (White)

KES 124.40 RWF 330.00

$1.15 $0.33

Maize Grain (White) (W) Rice (Milled)

KES 40.56 RWF 1014.00

$0.37 $1.02

Potato (White) (W) Baidoa Diesel

KES 7.27 SOS 25000.00

$0.07 $0.97

Sorghum (Red) (W) Gasoline

KES 44.40 SOS 26000.00

$0.41 $1.01

Mombasa Beans (Rosecoco) (W) Maize Grain (White)

KES 100.00 SOS 10600.00

$0.92 $0.41

Maize Grain (White) (W) Refined Vegetable Oil

KES 31.10 SOS 50800.00

$0.29 $1.97

Nairobi Beans (Rosecoco) (W) Rice (Parboiled)

KES 110.00 SOS 16000.00

$1.02 $0.62

► ► ▲Kenya

16 15 34 ▲ ▲ ▲ 0 3 7

▼ 2 63 91 ► ▲

Kenya

-7 2 -7 ▼ ►

0 28 35 ► ▲ ▲0 34 41 ► ▲ ▲

0 48 23 ► ▲ ▲

► ▲ ▲Somalia

0 - - ► - -

-

-47 - - ▼ - - 0 25 26

► - 14 - - ▲

Kenya

1 16 1 ► ▲

- 17 - - ▲ -

- ▼ ▼ -

0 -22 27 ► ▼ ▲

▲ -

-35 - - ▼ - - -14 -16

► ▲ - 10 - -

- ► ▼ -Kenya (Ruhengeri)

Rwanda

22 3 9 ▲

-Ethiopia

-3 -29 5 ► ▼ ► 2 -21

- 5 -19 - ► ▼

Ethiopia

13 - - ▲ -

6 -24 - ▲ ▼ -8 85 149 ▲ ▲ ▲

-6 26 - ▼ ▲ -

► ▼ -Ethiopia

0 - - ► - -

▲ - - -4 -8 -

-18 - ► ▼ -Ethiopia Rwanda

8 - -

▼ ▼ ▼

16 74 158 ▲ ▲ ▲ -2

▲ ▲ ▲Ethiopia Kenya

19 86 152 ▲ ▲

▲ ▲

East

Afr

ica

22 20 14

▲ -24 -62 -52

one month,

one year, and one year, and

5-year avg. 5-year avg.

East

Afr

ica

18 87 154 ▲

Food and Fuel Price Trends Food and Fuel Price Trends

% Change Over

Change over

% Change Over

Change over

one month,

___________________________________________________________________

Famine Early Warning Systems Network

_________________________________

12

Page 13: PRICE WATCH August 2021 Prices September 30, 2021

PRICE WATCH ANNEX September 30, 2021

Current Current

price/kg One One 5-year price/kg One One 5-year

Major markets US$ price month year avg. Major markets US$ price month year avg.

Baidoa Sorghum (Red) Galkayo Cowpeas (Red)

SOS 9100.00 SOS 54200.00

$0.35 $2.11

Beled Hawa Sorghum (Red) Rice (Parboiled)

SOS 19000.00 SOS 28000.00

$0.74 $1.09

Beled Weyn Sorghum (Red) Sorghum (Red)

SOS 14800.00 SOS 19000.00

$0.57 $0.74

Bossaso Rice (Parboiled) Garowe Rice (Parboiled)

SOS 27000.00 SOS 26500.00

$1.05 $1.03

Buale Cowpeas (Red) Hargeisa Rice (Parboiled)

SOS 29630.00 SLS 7000.00

$1.15 $0.82

Maize Grain (White) Lugh Maize Grain (White)

SOS 14100.00 SOS 13800.00

$0.55 $0.54

Burao Diesel Sorghum (Red)

SLS 6000.00 SOS 13800.00

$0.71 $0.54

Gasoline Merka Cowpeas (Red)

SLS 6500.00 SOS 21200.00

$0.76 $0.82

Maize Grain (White) Mogadishu Cowpeas (Red)

SLS 5560.00 SOS 32400.00

$0.65 $1.26

Refined Vegetable Oil Diesel

SLS 14000.00 SOS 16000.00

$1.65 $0.62

Rice (Parboiled) Gasoline

SLS 5240.00 SOS 18200.00

$0.62 $0.71

Sorghum (Red) Maize Grain (White)

SLS 4900.00 SOS 12000.00

$0.58 $0.47

Dhusamareb Diesel Refined Vegetable Oil

SOS 21200.00 SOS 33200.00

$0.82 $1.29

Gasoline Rice (Parboiled)

SOS 19200.00 SOS 12800.00

$0.75 $0.50

Refined Vegetable Oil Sorghum (Red)

SOS 53000.00 SOS 9820.00

$2.06 $0.38

Rice (Parboiled) Qorioley Diesel

SOS 27200.00 SOS 20000.00

$1.06 $0.78

El Dhere Cowpeas (Red) Gasoline

SOS 30600.00 SOS 22600.00

$1.19 $0.88

Somalia 3 26 17 ► ▲ ▲

Somalia

-4 65 30 ► ▲ ▲

5 25 16 ► ▲ ▲8 36 36 ▲ ▲ ▲

-1 18 26 ► ▲ ▲

14 ► ▲ ▲

6 15 17 ▲ ▲ ▲

▲Somalia

7 -2 -19 ▲ ► ▼ -2 16

► -25 60 58 ▼ ▲

0 24 ▲ ► ▲

6 20 -1 ▲ ▲

► ▲ ▲

3 -2 11 ► ► ▲ 6

-5 -3 -1 ► ► ► 1 49 19

▲ 7 33 15 ▲ ▲

11 ► ▲ ▲Somalia

0 17 21 ► ▲

▼Somalia

-2 -7 5 ► ▼ ► -2 19

▼ -13 -18 -20 ▼ ▼

Somalia

2 18 -7 ► ▲

6 73 27 ▲ ▲ ▲

Somalia

0 33 1 ► ▲ ►

6 73 19 ▲ ▲ ▲5 -17 42 ► ▼ ▲

0 0 24 ► ► ▲

Somalia Somalia

6 -26 2 ▲ ▼ ►Somalia Somalia

0 16 43 ► ▲ ▲4 23 51 ► ▲ ▲

58 38 ► ▲ ▲Somalia

▲ ▲Somalia

6 28 62 ▲ ▲ ▲ 0

▲ ▲Somalia Somalia

6 14 25 ▲ ▲ ▲

East

Afr

ica

0 20 17 ►

0 27 36 ►

one year, and one year, and

5-year avg. 5-year avg.

East

Afr

ica

0 46 41 ► ▲

% Change Over

Change over

% Change Over

Change over

one month, one month,

Food and Fuel Price Trends Food and Fuel Price Trends

___________________________________________________________________

Famine Early Warning Systems Network

_________________________________

13

Page 14: PRICE WATCH August 2021 Prices September 30, 2021

PRICE WATCH ANNEX September 30, 2021

Current Current

price/kg One One 5-year price/kg One One 5-year

Major markets US$ price month year avg. Major markets US$ price month year avg.

Qorioley Maize Grain (White) El Obeid Millet

SOS 10000.00 SDG 177.00

$0.39 $0.40

Refined Vegetable Oil Sorghum (Feterita)

SOS 45600.00 SDG 135.48

$1.77 $0.31

Rice (Parboiled) Wheat Grain

SOS 16800.00 SDG 283.87

$0.65 $0.64

Sorghum (Red) Geneina Millet

SOS 11000.00 SDG 140.00

$0.43 $0.32

Togwajale Sorghum (White) Sorghum (Feterita)

SLS 4600.00 SDG 111.00

$0.54 $0.25

Ad Damazin Millet Kadugli Millet

SDG 198.25 SDG 200.00

$0.45 $0.45

Sorghum (Feterita) Sorghum (Feterita)

SDG 150.00 SDG 116.00

$0.34 $0.26

Wheat Grain Wheat Grain

SDG 250.00 SDG 217.00

$0.57 $0.49

Al Qadarif Millet Nyala Millet

SDG 162.00 SDG 173.00

$0.37 $0.39

Sorghum (Feterita) Sorghum (Feterita)

SDG 96.00 SDG 90.00

$0.22 $0.20

Wheat Grain Wheat Grain

SDG 264.00 SDG 188.40

$0.60 $0.43

Dongola Millet Om Durman Millet

SDG 250.00 SDG 240.00

$0.57 $0.54

Sorghum (Feterita) Sorghum (Feterita)

SDG 167.00 SDG 159.50

$0.38 $0.36

Wheat Grain Wheat Grain

SDG 200.00 SDG 244.00

$0.45 $0.55

El Fasher Millet Port Sudan Millet

SDG 150.00 SDG 200.00

$0.34 $0.45

Sorghum (Feterita) Sorghum (Feterita)

SDG 125.00 SDG 133.00

$0.28 $0.30

Wheat Grain Arua Cassava Chips

SDG 366.50 UGX 600.00

$0.83 $0.17

▼Uganda▲ 0 -25 -43 ► ▼

64 - ► ▲ -

10 213 790 ▲ ▲

▲Sudan Sudan

-13 82 440 ▼ ▲ ▲ 0

▲ 14 100 478 ▲ ▲

307 849 ▲ ▲ ▲

-7 105 445 ▼ ▲

► ▲ ▲

0 283 - ► ▲ - 17

► ▲ - 3 166 663

118 578 ▲ ▲ ▲Sudan Sudan

0 112 -

► ▲ ▲

0 88 - ► ▲ - 15

20 203 707 ▲ ▲ ▲ 4 144 540

▲ 4 86 401 ► ▲

► ▲ ▲Sudan Sudan

-1 15 296 ► ▲

4 76 435 ► ▲ ▲ 5 74 413

▲ 0 210 699 ► ▲

168 639 ► ▲ ▲

0 247 698 ► ▲

▲Sudan Sudan

43 127 558 ▲ ▲ ▲ -1

- 0 233 698 ► ▲

Somalia

10 123 - ▲ ▲

0 27 - ► ▲ -

Sudan

10 130 28 ▲ ▲ ▲

0 56 - ► ▲ -

874 ▲ ▲ ▲

0 115 53 ► ▲ ▲

▲ ▲

5 20 17 ► ▲ ▲ 32 252

▲ ▲Somalia Sudan

2 86 91 ► ▲ ▲

East

Afr

ica

0 89 459 ►

-3 75 453 ►

one year, and one year, and

5-year avg. 5-year avg.

East

Afr

ica

-5 48 71 ► ▲

Food and Fuel Price Trends Food and Fuel Price Trends

% Change Over

Change over

% Change Over

Change over

one month, one month,

___________________________________________________________________

Famine Early Warning Systems Network

_________________________________

14

Page 15: PRICE WATCH August 2021 Prices September 30, 2021

PRICE WATCH ANNEX September 30, 2021

Current Current

price/kg One One 5-year price/kg One One 5-year

Major markets US$ price month year avg. Major markets US$ price month year avg.

Gulu Beans (K124/Nabe 4) Beni Cassava Flour

UGX 2400.00 CDF 1187.50

$0.68 $0.60

Kampala Beans (mixed) (W) Maize Grain (White)

USD 0.52 CDF 787.50

$0.52 $0.40

Cooking Banana (unspecified) Rice (Milled)

UGX 703.69 CDF 1850.00

$0.20 $0.93

Maize Grain (White) Rice (Milled)

UGX 1512.50 CDF 1645.82

$0.43 $0.83

Sorghum (Red) (W) Bukavu Cassava Flour

USD 0.33 CDF 880.00

$0.33 $0.44

Lira Beans (K124/Nabe 4) Maize Grain (White)

UGX 2575.00 CDF 790.00

$0.73 $0.40

Masindi Beans (mixed) (W) Maize Meal (White)

USD 0.48 CDF 880.00

$0.48 $0.44

Maize Grain (White) (W) Maize Meal (Yellow)

USD 0.22 CDF 1500.00

$0.22 $0.76

Sorghum (Red) (W) Rice (Milled)

USD 0.31 CDF 2055.42

$0.31 $1.04

Mbarara Beans (K124/Nabe 4) Rice (Milled)

UGX 2000.00 CDF 1777.58

$0.57 $0.90

Cooking Banana (unspecified) Goma Cassava Flour

UGX 499.50 CDF 1175.07

$0.14 $0.59

Soroti Millet (Finger) Maize Grain (White)

UGX 2650.00 CDF 594.17

$0.75 $0.30

Maize Meal (White)

CDF 998.00

$0.50

Rice (Milled)

CDF 1050.32

$0.53

Rice (Milled)

CDF 1247.30

$0.63

Kalemie Cassava Flour

CDF 759.63

$0.38

Maize Grain (White)

CDF 619.54

$0.31

- ► ▼ -

-Democratic

Republic of the

Congo

3 -60

-1 3 - ► ►

-50 - ► ▼ -

► ▼ -

0

-

0 -60 -

0 -6 - ► ▼

- ▲ ► -Uganda

-Democratic

Republic of the

Congo

18 77 58 ▲ ▲ ▲ 14 -1

▼ 0 44 - ► ▲

Uganda

-2 -13 -35 ► ▼

0 -5 - ► ► -0 -43 -22 ► ▼ ▼

0 14 - ► ▲ -

- ► ▲ -

-18 54 -11 ▼ ▲ ▼

-Uganda

5 57 21 ► ▲ ▲ 0 15

▼ 0 -11 - ► ▼

Uganda

14 -23 -26 ▲ ▼

0 -3 - ► ► -

► ▼ -Democratic

Republic of the

Congo

3 -26 -1 ► ▼ ►

-

-22 78 39 ▼ ▲ ▲ 0 -6 -

▲ 0 -9 - ► ▼

6 - ▼ ▲ -

7 9 10 ▲ ▲

▲ -Uganda

2 7 -18 ► ▲ ▼ -10

▲ -Uganda Democratic

Republic of the

Congo

-1 -34 -21 ► ▼ ▼

So

uth

ern

Afr

ica

9 36 - ▲

7 26 - ▲

one year, and one year, and

5-year avg. 5-year avg.

East

Afr

ica

4 -36 -12 ► ▼

Food and Fuel Price Trends Food and Fuel Price Trends

% Change Over

Change over

% Change Over

Change over

one month, one month,

___________________________________________________________________

Famine Early Warning Systems Network

_________________________________

15

Page 16: PRICE WATCH August 2021 Prices September 30, 2021

PRICE WATCH ANNEX September 30, 2021

Current Current

price/kg One One 5-year price/kg One One 5-year

Major markets US$ price month year avg. Major markets US$ price month year avg.

Kalemie Maize Meal (White) Fianarantsoa I Dried Cassava

CDF 782.50 MGA 950.00

$0.40 $0.25

Maize Meal (Yellow) Rice (Gasy)

CDF 1000.00 MGA 2330.00

$0.51 $0.61

Rice (Milled) Toamasina I (CL) Rice (Gasy)

CDF 1669.69 MGA 2200.00

$0.84 $0.57

Rice (Milled) Toliara I (CL) Dried Cassava

CDF 1428.57 MGA 1050.00

$0.72 $0.27

Lubumbashi Cassava Flour Rice (Gasy)

CDF 833.33 MGA 2450.00

$0.42 $0.64

Maize Grain (White) Karonga Cassava

CDF 858.57 MWK 208.17

$0.43 $0.26

Maize Meal (White) Maize Grain (White)

CDF 833.33 MWK 123.65

$0.42 $0.15

Maize Meal (Yellow) Rice (Milled)

CDF 666.67 MWK 493.42

$0.34 $0.61

Rice (Milled) Lilongwe Cassava

CDF 1872.86 MWK 450.00

$0.95 $0.56

Uvira Cassava Flour Maize Grain (White)

CDF 678.57 MWK 120.00

$0.34 $0.15

Maize Grain (White) Rice (Milled)

CDF 956.67 MWK 800.00

$0.48 $1.00

Maize Meal (White) Lunzu Cassava

CDF 714.29 MWK 477.50

$0.36 $0.59

Maize Meal (Yellow) Maize Grain (White)

CDF 1085.71 MWK 143.75

$0.55 $0.18

Rice (Milled) Rice (Milled)

CDF 1657.14 MWK 762.50

$0.84 $0.95

Rice (Milled) Mitundu Cassava

CDF 1457.14 MWK 235.72

$0.74 $0.29

Antananarivo Rice (Gasy) Maize Grain (White)

MGA 2080.50 MWK 105.07

$0.54 $0.13

Rice (Milled) Rice (Milled)

MGA 1977.00 MWK 750.00

$0.51 $0.93

►▲ 7 2 5 ▲ ►

Average

Madagascar

2 -1 15 ► ►

5 -34 -32 ► ▼ ▼

▲ ▲ ▲Malawi

-8 16 15 ▼ ▲ ▲

1 -10 - ► ▼ - 16 22 17

- 7 -5 9 ▲ ►

-21 -20 ► ▼ ▼

-1 -12 - ► ▼

▲ ▲Malawi

-6 -6 - ▼ ▼ - 3

▼ - 4 19 31 ►

0 0 4 ► ► ►

Democratic

Republic of the

Congo

-9 17 - ▼ ▲

0 -29 - ►

0 -20 -30 ► ▼ ▼

Malawi

-2 -15 - ► ▼ -

-

0 -25 -15 ► ▼ ▼-1 108 - ► ▲ -

10 8 0 ▲ ▲ ►

-18 ▲ ▼ ▼

0 -13 - ► ▼ -

▲Malawi

0 5 - ► ► - 10 -20

- 0 11 79 ► ▲

- ► ▲ -Democratic

Republic of the

Congo

-4 21 - ► ▲

-Madagascar

0 -13 - ► ▼ - 4 7

- 0 75 - ► ▲

- ► ▲ -Madagascar

0 - - ► -

▲ -

13 -13 - ▲ ▼ - 0 22

▲ -Democratic

Republic of the

Congo

(CL)

Madagascar

0 -17 - ► ▼ -

-

So

uth

ern

Afr

ica

-19 64 - ▼

4 11 - ►

one year, and one year, and

5-year avg. 5-year avg.

So

uth

ern

Afr

ica

10 -16 - ▲ ▼

% Change Over

Change over

% Change Over

Change over

one month, one month,

Food and Fuel Price Trends Food and Fuel Price Trends

___________________________________________________________________

Famine Early Warning Systems Network

_________________________________

16

Page 17: PRICE WATCH August 2021 Prices September 30, 2021

PRICE WATCH ANNEX September 30, 2021

Current Current

price/kg One One 5-year price/kg One One 5-year

Major markets US$ price month year avg. Major markets US$ price month year avg.

Mzuzu Cassava Tete Rice (5% Broken)

MWK 450.00 MZN 68.33

$0.56 $1.08

Maize Grain (White) Chipata Maize Grain (White)

MWK 126.25 ZMW 3.33

$0.16 $0.18

Rice (Milled) Roller Maize Meal

MWK 770.00 ZMW 4.48

$0.96 $0.25

Nsanje Maize Grain (White) Choma Maize Grain (White)

MWK 162.50 ZMW 2.78

$0.20 $0.15

Salima Cassava Roller Maize Meal

MWK 116.67 ZMW 4.00

$0.15 $0.22

Maize Grain (White) Kabwe Maize Grain (White)

MWK 133.33 ZMW 3.44

$0.17 $0.19

Rice (Milled) Roller Maize Meal

MWK 600.00 ZMW 4.03

$0.75 $0.22

Maputo Cowpeas (Mixed) Kasama Maize Grain (White)

MZN 51.20 ZMW 3.33

$0.81 $0.18

Diesel Roller Maize Meal

MZN 57.42 ZMW 4.40

$0.91 $0.24

Maize Grain (White) Kitwe Maize Grain (White)

MZN 26.86 ZMW 3.61

$0.43 $0.20

Maize Meal Roller Maize Meal

MZN 41.33 ZMW 4.15

$0.66 $0.23

Rice (5% Broken) Lusaka Diesel

MZN 49.33 ZMW 17.62

$0.78 $0.98

Maxixe Maize Grain (White) Maize Grain (White)

MZN 17.90 ZMW 3.75

$0.28 $0.21

Rice (5% Broken) Roller Maize Meal

MZN 59.00 ZMW 4.17

$0.94 $0.23

Nampula Diesel Mansa Maize Grain (White)

MZN 59.22 ZMW 2.89

$0.94 $0.16

Tete Cowpeas (Mixed) Roller Maize Meal

MZN 50.00 ZMW 4.22

$0.79 $0.23

Maize Grain (White) Mongu Maize Grain (White)

MZN 12.57 ZMW 4.24

$0.20 $0.24

▲ ▲Zambia- 0 18 53 ►

41 ► ▲ ▲Mozambique

0 - - ► -

► - - 2 12

18 51 ► ▲ ▲Mozambique Zambia

2 - -

▲ ▲

0 -2 - ► ► - 0

▲ 0 20 49 ►

Mozambique

-2 15 23 ► ▲

4 12 42 ► ▲ ▲

▲ ▲Zambia

4 - - ► - -

► 0 13 48 ►

16 45 ► ▲ ▲

-1 26 4 ► ▲

▲Zambia

-14 1 -14 ▼ ► ▼ 0

3 5 30 ► ►4 -3 21 ► ► ▲

-6 34 62 ▼ ▲ ▲

▲Mozambique Zambia

0 -3 3 ► ► ►

0 19 69 ► ▲12 -6 29 ▲ ▼ ▲

2 15 45 ► ▲ ▲

▲ ▲Zambia

0 -8 -10 ► ▼ ▼

▼ 3 35 54 ►

37 ▲ ► ▲Malawi

11 -26 -24 ▲ ▼

► ▼ ▼ 17 4

0 35 ► ► ▲Malawi Zambia

4 -28 -49

- -

8 -10 -15 ▲ ▼ ▼ 0

▲ 5 - - ►

66 ► ▲ ▲Zambia

-1 3 13 ► ►

▲ - -Malawi Mozambique

-22 -21 -16 ▼ ▼

So

uth

ern

Afr

ica

17 - -

▼ 0 20

one year, and one year, and

5-year avg. 5-year avg.

So

uth

ern

Afr

ica

-10 40 55 ▼ ▲

Food and Fuel Price Trends Food and Fuel Price Trends

% Change Over

Change over

% Change Over

Change over

one month, one month,

___________________________________________________________________

Famine Early Warning Systems Network

_________________________________

17

Page 18: PRICE WATCH August 2021 Prices September 30, 2021

PRICE WATCH ANNEX September 30, 2021

Current Current

price/kg One One 5-year price/kg One One 5-year

Major markets US$ price month year avg. Major markets US$ price month year avg.

Mongu Roller Maize Meal San Jose Beans (Black) (W)

ZMW 5.47 USD 1.81

$0.30 $1.81

Solwezi Maize Grain (White) Beans (Red) (W)

ZMW 3.29 USD 2.06

$0.18 $2.06

Roller Maize Meal Maize Grain (White) (W)

ZMW 4.64 USD 0.64

$0.26 $0.64

Refined sugar (W)

USD 1.10

$1.10

Ahuachapán Beans (Seda Red) (W)

USD 1.28

$1.28

Maize Grain (White) (W)

USD 0.40

$0.40

La Unión Beans (Seda Red) (W)

USD 1.19

$1.19

Maize Grain (White) (W)

USD 0.42

$0.42

San Miguel Beans (Red) (W)

USD 0.92

$0.92

Beans (Seda Red) (W)

USD 1.23

$1.23

Maize Grain (White) (W)

USD 0.42

$0.42

San Salvador Beans (Red)

USD 1.50

$1.50

Beans (Seda Red)

USD 1.61

$1.61

Maize Grain (White)

USD 0.44

$0.44

Rice (10% Broken)

USD 1.10

$1.10

San Vicente Maize Grain (White) (W)

USD 0.42

$0.42

Santa Ana Beans (Seda Red) (W)

USD 1.23

$1.23

20 0 0 ▲ ► ►

El Salvador

El Salvador

12 31 9 ▲ ▲ ▲

0 0 9 ► ► ▲

-14 ► ▼ ▼

► ►

0 -20

3 11 ► ► ▲El Salvador

0 3 4 ►

▲ ▲ ►

0

11 21 5

20 -4 1 ▲ ► ►

El Salvador -2 -23 -20 ► ▼ ▼

5 8 -2 ► ▲ ►

El Salvador 3 -16 - ► ▼ -

13 17 7 ▲ ▲ ▲

El Salvador 19 2 4 ▲ ► ►

-1 7 3 ► ▲ ►

7 23 -2 ▲ ▲ ►

► ► ►Zambia

2 22 51 ► ▲ ▲

► ► ►Zambia Costa Rica

21 28 67 ▲ ▲

▲ ▲

Cen

tral

Am

eri

ca a

nd

Cari

bb

ean

1 -4 1

▲ 0 0 -3

one month,

one year, and one year, and

5-year avg. 5-year avg.

So

uth

ern

Afr

ica

1 14 51 ►

Food and Fuel Price Trends Food and Fuel Price Trends

% Change Over

Change over

% Change Over

Change over

one month,

___________________________________________________________________

Famine Early Warning Systems Network

_________________________________

18

Page 19: PRICE WATCH August 2021 Prices September 30, 2021

PRICE WATCH ANNEX September 30, 2021

Current Current

price/kg One One 5-year price/kg One One 5-year

Major markets US$ price month year avg. Major markets US$ price month year avg.

Santa Ana Maize Grain (White) (W) Hinche Maize Meal

USD 0.40 HTG 64.30

$0.40 $0.67

Usulután Beans (Seda Red) (W) Refined Vegetable Oil

USD 1.39 HTG 224.55

$1.39 $2.33

Maize Grain (White) (W) Refined sugar

USD 0.44 HTG 128.60

$0.44 $1.33

Chiquimula Beans (Black) Wheat Flour

GTQ 11.02 HTG 69.81

$1.45 $0.72

Maize Grain (White) Jacmel Beans (Black)

GTQ 3.31 HTG 198.42

$0.44 $2.06

Guatemala City Beans (Black) Maize Meal

GTQ 11.02 HTG 88.19

$1.45 $0.91

Diesel Refined Vegetable Oil

GTQ 6.05 HTG 240.08

$0.80 $2.49

Gasoline Refined sugar

GTQ 7.43 HTG 132.28

$0.98 $1.37

Maize Grain (White) Rice (4% Broken)

GTQ 4.54 HTG 108.03

$0.60 $1.12

Huehuetenango Beans (Black) Wheat Flour

GTQ 12.13 HTG 99.21

$1.60 $1.03

Maize Grain (White) Jeremie Beans (Black)

GTQ 4.03 HTG 166.89

$0.53 $1.73

Cap Haitien Beans (Black) Maize Meal

HTG 273.37 HTG 44.90

$2.83 $0.47

Maize Meal Refined Vegetable Oil

HTG 110.23 HTG 243.92

$1.14 $2.53

Refined Vegetable Oil Refined sugar

HTG 219.26 HTG 117.14

$2.27 $1.21

Refined sugar Rice (4% Broken)

HTG 110.23 HTG 104.11

$1.14 $1.08

Rice (4% Broken) Wheat Flour

HTG 110.23 HTG 73.49

$1.14 $0.76

Hinche Beans (Black) Port-au-Prince Beans (Black)

HTG 165.35 HTG 156.16

$1.71 $1.62

Haiti Haiti -24 -41 18 ▼ ▼ ▲-8 -36 19 ▼ ▼ ▲

4 10 39 ► ▲ ▲0 0 34 ► ► ▲

4 -6 - ► ▼ -0 -9 20 ► ▼ ▲

-5 -20 18 ► ▼ ▲

78 ▲ ▲ ▲

20 19 73 ▲ ▲ ▲

▲Haiti

0 5 82 ► ► ▲ 11 23

▲ -39 -21 20 ▼ ▼

17 ▲ ▼ ▲Haiti

-4 3 77 ► ►

▲(Western)

Guatemala

2 33 37 ► ▲ ▲ 8 -37

▲ 13 29 45 ▲ ▲

-18 32 ▲ ▼ ▲

2 -8 10 ► ▼

► ► ▲

16 37 - ▲ ▲ - 11

2 38 26 ► ▲ ▲ 0 -4 38

▲ 12 21 75 ▲ ▲

66 ► ► ▲Guatemala

1 37 24 ► ▲

▲Haiti

0 0 - ► ► - 0 -2

► 0 -28 29 ► ▼

(Eastern)

Guatemala

3 -6 -1 ► ▼

1 2 44 ► ► ▲0 -17 -4 ► ▼ ►

0 -30 0 ► ▼ ►

▲ ▲ ▲El Salvador

5 16 4 ► ▲ ►

► ▼ ▲El Salvador Haiti

3 -4 2 ► ►

0

Cen

tral

Am

eri

ca a

nd

Cari

bb

ean

0 -7 25

► 6 22 85

one year, and one year, and

5-year avg. 5-year avg.

Cen

tral

Am

eri

ca a

nd

Cari

bb

ean

10 14 2 ▲ ▲

Food and Fuel Price Trends Food and Fuel Price Trends

% Change Over

Change over

% Change Over

Change over

one month, one month,

___________________________________________________________________

Famine Early Warning Systems Network

_________________________________

19

Page 20: PRICE WATCH August 2021 Prices September 30, 2021

PRICE WATCH ANNEX September 30, 2021

Current Current

price/kg One One 5-year price/kg One One 5-year

Major markets US$ price month year avg. Major markets US$ price month year avg.

Port-au-Prince Maize Meal Mexico City Refined sugar (W)

HTG 64.57 MXN 15.17

$0.67 $0.76

Refined Vegetable Oil Rice (10% Broken) (W)

HTG 211.34 MXN 22.00

$2.19 $1.10

Refined sugar Managua Beans (Red) (W)

HTG 110.23 NIO 32.42

$1.14 $0.93

Rice (4% Broken) Beans (Tinto) (W)

HTG 110.23 NIO 32.42

$1.14 $0.93

Wheat Flour Maize Grain (White) (W)

HTG 88.19 NIO 16.66

$0.91 $0.48

Comayagua Beans (Red) (W) Rice (20% Broken) (W)

HNL 22.32 NIO 31.42

$0.96 $0.90

Maize Grain (White) (W) Rice (4% Broken) (W)

HNL 8.79 NIO 34.07

$0.38 $0.98

Siguatepeque Beans (Red) (W) Sorghum (White) (W)

HNL 20.53 NIO 17.77

$0.88 $0.51

Maize Grain (White) (W)

HNL 8.79

$0.38

Tegucigalpa Beans (Red)

HNL 29.06

$1.24

Maize Grain (White)

HNL 10.21

$0.44

Rice (4% Broken)

HNL 20.83

$0.89

Mexico City Beans (Black) (W)

MXN 23.00

$1.15

Beans (Red) (W)

MXN 26.00

$1.30

Eggs (Fresh, White) (W)

MXN 31.00

$1.54

Maize Grain (White) (W)

MXN 9.20

$0.46

Refined Vegetable Oil (W)

MXN 30.35

$1.51

▲1 23 30 ► ▲

0 26 45 ► ▲ ▲

3 13 35 ► ▲ ▲

Mexico

-3 -17 22 ► ▼

0 -8 13 ► ▼ ▲

-1 5 3 ► ► ►

Honduras

3 3 5 ► ► ►

-2 5 18 ► ► ▲

-

36 ▲ ▲ ▲Honduras

2 - - ► -

▲ ▲

-11 - - ▼ - - 15 34

- - 4 7 16 ►

10 - ► ▲ -Honduras

8 - - ▲

► ▲ ▲

-4 - - ► - - 5

-6 1 59 ▼ ► ▲ 2 40 26

▲ -6 4 7 ▼ ►

5 ▼ ► ►Nicaragua

0 -13 48 ► ▼

▼ ▲

0 0 30 ► ► ▲ -6 4

▼ ►Haiti Mexico

5 0 60 ► ► ▲

Cen

tral

Am

eri

ca a

nd

Cari

bb

ean

-4 -19 -2 ►

0 -21 22 ►

one year, and one year, and

5-year avg. 5-year avg.

Cen

tral

Am

eri

ca a

nd

Cari

bb

ean

13 -30 18 ▲ ▼

Food and Fuel Price Trends Food and Fuel Price Trends

% Change Over

Change over

% Change Over

Change over

one month, one month,

___________________________________________________________________

Famine Early Warning Systems Network

_________________________________

20

Page 21: PRICE WATCH August 2021 Prices September 30, 2021

PRICE WATCH ANNEX September 30, 2021

Current Current

price/kg One One 5-year price/kg One One 5-year

Major markets US$ price month year avg. Major markets US$ price month year avg.

Faizabad Rice (Low Grade) Kandahar Wheat Flour (Low Quality)

AFN 48.46 AFN 35.00

$0.60 $0.44

Wheat Flour (Low Quality) Wheat Grain

AFN 33.68 AFN 34.60

$0.42 $0.43

Wheat Grain Maimana Rice (Low Grade)

AFN 31.04 AFN 45.00

$0.39 $0.56

Hirat Diesel Wheat Flour (Low Quality)

AFN 51.20 AFN 34.00

$0.64 $0.42

Refined Vegetable Oil Wheat Grain

AFN 146.88 AFN 30.40

$1.83 $0.38

Rice (Low Grade) Mazar-e-Sharif Diesel

AFN 42.40 AFN 58.40

$0.53 $0.73

Wheat Flour (Low Quality) Refined Vegetable Oil

AFN 27.50 AFN 144.00

$0.34 $1.80

Wheat Grain Rice (Low Grade)

AFN 28.30 AFN 50.00

$0.35 $0.62

Jalalabad Rice (Low Grade) Wheat Flour (Low Quality)

AFN 44.00 AFN 32.60

$0.55 $0.41

Wheat Flour (Low Quality) Wheat Grain

AFN 35.00 AFN 29.80

$0.44 $0.37

Wheat Grain Nili Rice (Low Grade)

AFN 30.00 AFN 71.40

$0.37 $0.89

Kabul Diesel Wheat Flour (Low Quality)

AFN 55.60 AFN 36.40

$0.69 $0.45

Refined Vegetable Oil Wheat Grain

AFN 161.20 AFN 35.00

$2.01 $0.44

Rice (Low Grade) Karachi Rice (Long Grain, Basmati)

AFN 40.40 PKR 116.19

$0.50 $0.71

Wheat Flour (Low Quality) Rice (Long Grain, IRRI-6)

AFN 37.00 PKR 80.03

$0.46 $0.49

Wheat Grain Wheat Flour

AFN 32.00 PKR 62.77

$0.40 $0.38

Kandahar Rice (Low Grade) Lahore Rice (Long Grain, IRRI-6)

AFN 38.40 PKR 60.00

$0.48 $0.37

4 8 ► ► ▲Afghanistan Pakistan

► ▼ ▲

0 -11 11 ► ▼ ▲ 0

▲ ▲ ▲ 1 -7 30

0 16 47 ► ▲ ▲

Pakistan

18 16 44 ▲ ▲ ▲

15 7 26

1 22 43 ► ▲ ▲

18 ▲ ▲ ▲

5 22 -23 ► ▲ ▼

▲Afghanistan

13 60 102 ▲ ▲ ▲ 6 17

▲ 10 1 12 ▲ ►

4 ► ► ►Afghanistan

4 68 32 ► ▲

▲ ▲

14 3 23 ▲ ► ▲ 4 2

▲ ▲ 7 15 39 ▲

5 34 ▲ ► ▲Afghanistan

16 13 34 ▲

▲ ▲ ▲

25 38 39 ▲ ▲ ▲ 17

► ▲ ▲ 11 11 20

7 47 72 ▲ ▲ ▲

Afghanistan

-4 20 23 ► ▲ ▲

5 16 45

7 54 43 ▲ ▲ ▲

36 ► ▲ ▲

19 6 23 ▲ ▲ ▲

▲Afghanistan

22 41 83 ▲ ▲ ▲ 3 22

▲ 16 10 36 ▲ ▲

8 ► ► ▲Afghanistan

17 46 27 ▲ ▲

▲ ▲

3 15 28 ► ▲ ▲ 0 0

▲ ▲Afghanistan Afghanistan

8 -8 16 ▲ ▼ ▲

Cen

tral

Asi

a

5 17 36 ►

10 15 36 ▲

one year, and one year, and

5-year avg. 5-year avg.

Cen

tral

Asi

a

15 -27 -14 ▲ ▼

Food and Fuel Price Trends Food and Fuel Price Trends

% Change Over

Change over

% Change Over

Change over

one month, one month,

___________________________________________________________________

Famine Early Warning Systems Network

_________________________________

21

Page 22: PRICE WATCH August 2021 Prices September 30, 2021

PRICE WATCH ANNEX September 30, 2021

Current Current

price/kg One One 5-year price/kg One One 5-year

Major markets US$ price month year avg. Major markets US$ price month year avg.

Lahore Wheat Flour

PKR 55.02

$0.34

Multan Rice (Long Grain, Basmati) Gulf of Mexico Maize

PKR 99.18 United States (Yellow No. 2)

$0.61 USD 0.25

Rice (Long Grain, IRRI-6) $0.25

PKR 67.09 Randfontein Maize

$0.41 South Africa (Yellow)

Wheat Flour (SAFEX) ZAR 3.39

PKR 53.99 $0.23

$0.33 Maize

Peshawar Rice (Long Grain, Basmati) (White)

PKR 100.00 ZAR 3.23

$0.61 $0.22

Rice (Long Grain, IRRI-6) Up River Maize

PKR 70.00 Argentina ARS 23.00

$0.43 $0.24

Wheat Flour

PKR 56.20

$0.34

Quetta Rice (Long Grain, IRRI-6) Bangkok Rice

PKR 89.91 Thailand (100% B)

$0.55 THB 14.34

Wheat Flour $0.43

PKR 61.56 Rice

$0.38 (A1 Super)

THB 12.79

$0.39

Hanoi Rice

Vietnam (5% broken)

VND 8,738

$0.38

Gulf of Mexico Sorghum (Yellow No. 2)

United States USD 0.28

$0.28

Gulf of Mexico Soybeans

United States USD 0.59

$0.59

Caribbean* Sugar (Raw)

(Average) USD 0.43

$0.43

▼ ►

-12 -14 -1 ▼ ▼ ►

RICE

0 -17 -3 ► ▼ ►

▲ ▲

1 10 15 ► ▲ ▲

MAIZE

-10 69 63 ▼ ▲ ▲

11 11 14 ▲ ▲ ▲

SUGAR

-2 1 -1 ► ► ►

SOYBEANS

-6 41 69 ▼ ▲ ▲

SORGHUM

► ▲

0 -9 3 ►

Pakistan

0 4 39 ►

0 -5 38 ► ► ▲

1 2 34 ► ► ▲

▲ 1 44 46 ► ▲

Pakistan

0 0 27 ► ►

4 11 26 ► ▲ ▲

1 16 30 ►

1 20 40 ► ▲ ▲

Pakistan

-2 1 28 ► ► ▲

Pakistan

1 6 19 ► ▲ ▲

Inte

rnati

on

al

one year, and one year, and

5-year avg. 5-year avg.

Cen

tral

Asi

a

1 28 40 ► ▲

Food and Fuel Price Trends Food and Fuel Price Trends

% Change Over

Change over

% Change Over

Change over

one month, one month,

___________________________________________________________________

Famine Early Warning Systems Network

_________________________________

22

Page 23: PRICE WATCH August 2021 Prices September 30, 2021

PRICE WATCH ANNEX September 30, 2021

Current

price/kg One One 5-year

Major markets US$ price month year avg.

Saryagash Milling Wheat

Kazakhstan KZT 103.90

$0.24

Black Sea Milling Wheat

(Average) USD 0.29

$0.29

Eastern States Wheat (ASW)

Australia AUD 0.40

(standard) $0.29

Gulf of Mexico Wheat

United States No. 2, Hard Red Winter

USD 0.32

$0.32

Gulf of Mexico Wheat

United States No. 2, Soft Red Winter

USD 0.27

$0.27

Randfontein Wheat Grain

South Africa ZAR 5.51

(SAFEX) $0.37

Rouën Wheat

France (Grade 1)

EUR 0.25

$0.29

St. Lawrence Wheat

Canada (CWRS)

CAD 0.47

$0.37

Up River Wheat

Argentina (Trigo Pan)

ARS 27.72

$0.29

WTI Crude Oil*

United States USD 67.73

$67.73

Brent Crude Oil*

Northern Sea USD 70.02

$70.02

Dubai Crude Oil*

Persian Gulf USD 68.85

$68.85

*reported in $/bbl

▲ ▲

▲ ▲

CRUDE OIL

-7 60 31 ▼ ▲ ▲

► ▲

18 34 43 ▲ ▲ ▲

WHEAT

11 46 51 ▲ ▲ ▲

-6 58 28 ▼

-6 58 28 ▼ ▲ ▲

4 19 27 ►

8 58 56 ▲ ▲ ▲

6 -4 19 ▲

6 28 40 ▲ ▲ ▲

4 35 27 ► ▲ ▲

19 41 45 ▲ ▲ ▲

-3 4 43 ► ► ▲

one year, and

5-year avg.

Inte

rnati

on

al

Food and Fuel Price Trends

% Change Over

Change over

one month,

___________________________________________________________________

Famine Early Warning Systems Network

_________________________________

23

Page 24: PRICE WATCH August 2021 Prices September 30, 2021

FEWS NET

[email protected]

www.fews.net

PRICE WATCH ANNEX 2 August 2021 prices September 30, 2021

We

st A

fric

a

Figure 14. Millet prices in West Africa (2016 - 2021) Figure 15. Sorghum prices in West Africa (2016 - 2021)

Figure 16. Maize prices in West Africa (2016 - 2021) Figure 17. Rice prices in West Africa (2016 - 2021)

East

Afr

ica

Figure 18. Dry bean prices in East Africa (2016 - 2021) Figure 19. Sorghum prices in East Africa (2016 - 2021)

Sources of prices in West Africa: Information System on agricultural markets (SIMA) Niger, Agricultural Market Observatory (OMA) Mali, Burkina Faso SONAGESS, Information System

market (SIM) in Senegal, Liberia Institute of Statistics and Geo-Information Services (LISGIS) and FEWS NET.

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network (FEWS NET) monitors trends in staple food prices in countries vulnerable to food insecurity. The Price Watch Annex 2 provides prices

trends for key markets and staple foods monitored across FEWS NET countries and regions. The commodities with a reference (W) are wholesale prices. Otherwise, all reported

prices are retail.

FEWS NET is a USAID-funded activity. The content of this report does not necessarily reflect the view of the United States Agency for International Development or the United States Government.

____________________* imported rice

0.00

0.25

0.50

0.75

Jan

-16

Ap

r-1

6

Jul-

16

Oct

-16

Jan

-17

Ap

r-1

7

Jul-

17

Oct

-17

Jan

-18

Ap

r-1

8

Jul-

18

Oct

-18

Jan

-19

Ap

r-1

9

Jul-

19

Oct

-19

Jan

-20

Ap

r-2

0

Jul-

20

Oct

-20

Jan

-21

Ap

r-2

1

Jul-

21

USD

/kg

Dori, Burkina Faso N'Djamena, ChadKoutiala, Mali Tillabéri, Niger (W)Matam, Senegal

0.00

0.25

0.50

0.75

1.00

Jan

-16

Ap

r-1

6

Jul-

16

Oct

-16

Jan

-17

Ap

r-1

7

Jul-

17

Oct

-17

Jan

-18

Ap

r-1

8

Jul-

18

Oct

-18

Jan

-19

Ap

r-1

9

Jul-

19

Oct

-19

Jan

-20

Ap

r-2

0

Jul-

20

Oct

-20

Jan

-21

Ap

r-2

1

Jul-

21

USD

/kg

Maradi, Niger Bobo Dioulasso, Burkina FasoMaroua, Cameroon (W) Ould Yenge, MauritaniaKayes, Mali

0.00

0.25

0.50

0.75

Jan

-16

Ap

r-1

6

Jul-

16

Oct

-16

Jan

-17

Ap

r-1

7

Jul-

17

Oct

-17

Jan

-18

Ap

r-1

8

Jul-

18

Oct

-18

Jan

-19

Ap

r-1

9

Jul-

19

Oct

-19

Jan

-20

Ap

r-2

0

Jul-

20

Oct

-20

Jan

-21

Ap

r-2

1

Jul-

21

USD

/kg

Bol, Chad Malanville, BeninKano, Nigeria (W) Korhogo, Côte d'IvoireLomé, Togo

0.00

0.50

1.00

1.50

2.00

Jan

-16

Ap

r-1

6

Jul-

16

Oct

-16

Jan

-17

Ap

r-1

7

Jul-

17

Oct

-17

Jan

-18

Ap

r-1

8

Jul-

18

Oct

-18

Jan

-19

Ap

r-1

9

Jul-

19

Oct

-19

Jan

-20

Ap

r-2

0

Jul-

20

Oct

-20

Jan

-21

Ap

r-2

1

Jul-

21

USD

/kg

Accra, Ghana (W) Douala, CameroonDakar-Tilène, Senegal Conakry-Madina, GuineaIbadan-Bodija, Nigeria

0.00

0.40

0.80

1.20

1.60

2.00

Jan

-16

Ap

r-1

6

Jul-

16

Oct

-16

Jan

-17

Ap

r-1

7

Jul-

17

Oct

-17

Jan

-18

Ap

r-1

8

Jul-

18

Oct

-18

Jan

-19

Ap

r-1

9

Jul-

19

Oct

-19

Jan

-20

Ap

r-2

0

Jul-

20

Oct

-20

Jan

-21

Ap

r-2

1

Jul-

21

USD

/kg

Arusha, Tanzania (W) Kigali City, Rwanda

Eldoret, Kenya (W) Masindi, Uganda (W)

Gitega, Burundi

0.00

0.50

1.00

1.50

2.00

Jan

-16

Ap

r-1

6

Jul-

16

Oct

-16

Jan

-17

Ap

r-1

7

Jul-

17

Oct

-17

Jan

-18

Ap

r-1

8

Jul-

18

Oct

-18

Jan

-19

Ap

r-1

9

Jul-

19

Oct

-19

Jan

-20

Ap

r-2

0

Jul-

20

Oct

-20

Jan

-21

Ap

r-2

1

Jul-

21

USD

/kg

Al Qadarif, Sudan Baidoa, Somalia

Kampala, Uganda (W) Juba, South Sudan

*

*

*

Page 25: PRICE WATCH August 2021 Prices September 30, 2021

PRICE WATCH ANNEX

Famine Early Warning Systems Network

East

Afr

ica

Figure 20. Maize prices in surplus areas of East Africa (2016 - 2021) Figure 21. Maize prices in deficit areas of East Africa (2016 - 2021)

Figure 24. Imported rice prices in Southern Africa (2016 - 2021)So

uth

ern

Afr

ica

25

Figure 22. White maize prices in Southern Africa (2016 - 2021) Figure 23. Bean and cowpea prices in Southern Africa (2016 - 2021)

Figure 25. Maize meal prices in Southern Africa (2016 - 2021)

September 2021

Sources of prices in East Africa: Food and Agriculture Market Information System (FAMIS) FSTS/FEWS NET in Somalia, Uganda Bureau of Statistics and Farmgain, Tanzania Ministry of

Industry, Trade and Marketing (MITM), Ethiopia Grain Trade Enterprise (EGTE), Ministry of Agriculture of Kenya, Arid Lands Resource Management Project (ALRMP), SIFSIA, WFP VAM and

Save the Children.

Sources of prices in Southern Africa: Ministry of Agriculture, Irrigation, and Water Development of Malawi, Ministry of Industry, Trade and Marketing (MITM)) of Tanzania, Observatoire du

Riz of Madagascar, Ministry of Agriculture of Mozambique, Central Statistics Office of Zambia, SAFEX, WFP and FEWS NET.

Government.

____________________* dry beans** cowpeas

0.00

0.25

0.50

0.75

1.00

Jan

-16

Ap

r-1

6

Jul-

16

Oct

-16

Jan

-17

Ap

r-1

7

Jul-

17

Oct

-17

Jan

-18

Ap

r-1

8

Jul-

18

Oct

-18

Jan

-19

Ap

r-1

9

Jul-

19

Oct

-19

Jan

-20

Ap

r-2

0

Jul-

20

Oct

-20

Jan

-21

Ap

r-2

1

Jul-

21

USD

/kg

Lilongwe, Malawi Lusaka, Zambia

Harare, Zimbabwe Maputo, Mozambique

Mbeya, Tanzania (W) Randfontein, South Africa

0.00

0.50

1.00

1.50

2.00

Jan

-16

Ap

r-1

6

Jul-

16

Oct

-16

Jan

-17

Ap

r-1

7

Jul-

17

Oct

-17

Jan

-18

Ap

r-1

8

Jul-

18

Oct

-18

Jan

-19

Ap

r-1

9

Jul-

19

Oct

-19

Jan

-20

Ap

r-2

0

Jul-

20

Oct

-20

Jan

-21

Ap

r-2

1

Jul-

21

Titl

e

Arusha, Tanzania (W) Dodoma, Tanzania (W)

Maputo, Mozambique Goma, Virunga (Central), DRC

0.00

0.25

0.50

0.75

Jan

-16

Ap

r-1

6

Jul-

16

Oct

-16

Jan

-17

Ap

r-1

7

Jul-

17

Oct

-17

Jan

-18

Ap

r-1

8

Jul-

18

Oct

-18

Jan

-19

Ap

r-1

9

Jul-

19

Oct

-19

Jan

-20

Ap

r-2

0

Jul-

20

Oct

-20

Jan

-21

Ap

r-2

1

Jul-

21

USD

/kg

Bahir Dar, Ethiopia (W) Eldoret, Kenya (W)Kampala, Uganda (W) Qorioley, SomaliaSongea, Tanzania (W)

0.00

0.50

1.00

1.50

2.00

Jan

-16

Ap

r-1

6

Jul-

16

Oct

-16

Jan

-17

Ap

r-1

7

Jul-

17

Oct

-17

Jan

-18

Ap

r-1

8

Jul-

18

Oct

-18

Jan

-19

Ap

r-1

9

Jul-

19

Oct

-19

Jan

-20

Ap

r-2

0

Jul-

20

Oct

-20

Jan

-21

Ap

r-2

1

Jul-

21

USD

/kg

Dire Dawa, Ethiopia (W) Jamame, SomaliaJuba, South Sudan Nairobi, Kenya (W)Gode, Ethiopia Rubaho, Burundi

* *

** *

0.00

0.20

0.40

0.60

0.80

1.00

1.20

Jan

-16

Ap

r-1

6

Jul-

16

Oct

-16

Jan

-17

Ap

r-1

7

Jul-

17

Oct

-17

Jan

-18

Ap

r-1

8

Jul-

18

Oct

-18

Jan

-19

Ap

r-1

9

Jul-

19

Oct

-19

Jan

-20

Ap

r-2

0

Jul-

20

Oct

-20

Jan

-21

Ap

r-2

1

Jul-

21

USD

/kg

Maputo, Mozambique Antananarivo, Madagascar

0.00

0.20

0.40

0.60

0.80

1.00

1.20

Jan

-16

Ap

r-1

6

Jul-

16

Oct

-16

Jan

-17

Ap

r-1

7

Jul-

17

Oct

-17

Jan

-18

Ap

r-1

8

Jul-

18

Oct

-18

Jan

-19

Ap

r-1

9

Jul-

19

Oct

-19

Jan

-20

Ap

r-2

0

Jul-

20

Oct

-20

Jan

-21

Ap

r-2

1

Jul-

21

USD

/kg

Lusaka, Zambia Maputo, Mozambique

Harare, Zimbabwe Maseru (district average), Lesotho

Page 26: PRICE WATCH August 2021 Prices September 30, 2021

PRICE WATCH ANNEX September 2021

Government.

Famine Early Warning Systems Network 26

Cen

tral A

sia

Figure 30. Wheat grain prices in Central Asia (2016 - 2021) Figure 31. Wheat flour prices in Central Asia (2016 - 2021)

Cen

tral A

meri

ca a

nd

Cari

bb

ean

Figure 28. Imported rice prices in Haiti (2016 - 2021) Figure 29. Black bean prices in Haiti (2016 - 2021)

Cen

tral A

meri

ca a

nd

Cari

bb

ean

Figure 26. White maize prices in Central America (2016 - 2021) Figure 27. Dry bean prices in Central America (2016 - 2021)

**

**

**

*

Sources of prices in Central America and Caribbean: Coordination nationale de la sécurité alimentaire (CNSA) and FEWS NET, MAL, Dirección General de Economía Agropecuaria (DGEA),

Sistema de Información de Mercados Productos Agrícolas de Honduras (SIMPAH), Secretaria de Economia de Mexico, and Ministerio de Agricultura, Ganaderia y Alimentacion de Guatemala

(MAGA).

____________________* black beans ** red beans

Sources of prices in Central Asia: Afghanistan, WFP and FEWS NET.

0.00

0.40

0.80

1.20

1.60

2.00

Jan

-16

Ap

r-1

6

Jul-

16

Oct

-16

Jan

-17

Ap

r-1

7

Jul-

17

Oct

-17

Jan

-18

Ap

r-1

8

Jul-

18

Oct

-18

Jan

-19

Ap

r-1

9

Jul-

19

Oct

-19

Jan

-20

Ap

r-2

0

Jul-

20

Oct

-20

Jan

-21

Ap

r-2

1

Jul-

21

USD

/kg

Cap Haïtien, Haiti Hinche, HaitiJacmel, Haiti Jérémie, HaitiPort-au-Prince, Haiti

0.00

1.00

2.00

3.00

4.00

Jan

-16

Ap

r-1

6

Jul-

16

Oct

-16

Jan

-17

Ap

r-1

7

Jul-

17

Oct

-17

Jan

-18

Ap

r-1

8

Jul-

18

Oct

-18

Jan

-19

Ap

r-1

9

Jul-

19

Oct

-19

Jan

-20

Ap

r-2

0

Jul-

20

Oct

-20

Jan

-21

Ap

r-2

1

Jul-

21

USD

/kg

Guatemala City, Guatemala (W) San Salvador, El Salvador

San Jose, Costa Rica (W) Tegucigalpa, Honduras

0.00

0.20

0.40

0.60

0.80

Jan

-16

Ap

r-1

6

Jul-

16

Oct

-16

Jan

-17

Ap

r-1

7

Jul-

17

Oct

-17

Jan

-18

Ap

r-1

8

Jul-

18

Oct

-18

Jan

-19

Ap

r-1

9

Jul-

19

Oct

-19

Jan

-20

Ap

r-2

0

Jul-

20

Oct

-20

Jan

-21

Ap

r-2

1

Jul-

21

USD

/kg

Guatemala City, Guatemala Managua, Nicaragua (W)

San Salvador, El Salvador Mexico City, Mexico (W)

Tegucigalpa, Honduras

0.00

1.00

2.00

3.00

4.00

Jan

-16

Ap

r-1

6

Jul-

16

Oct

-16

Jan

-17

Ap

r-1

7

Jul-

17

Oct

-17

Jan

-18

Ap

r-1

8

Jul-

18

Oct

-18

Jan

-19

Ap

r-1

9

Jul-

19

Oct

-19

Jan

-20

Ap

r-2

0

Jul-

20

Oct

-20

Jan

-21

Ap

r-2

1

Jul-

21

USD

/kg

Cap Haïtien, Haiti Hinche, Haiti

Jacmel, Haiti Jérémie, Haiti

Port-au-Prince, Haiti

0.00

0.10

0.20

0.30

0.40

0.50

Jan

-16

Ap

r-1

6

Jul-

16

Oct

-16

Jan

-17

Ap

r-1

7

Jul-

17

Oct

-17

Jan

-18

Ap

r-1

8

Jul-

18

Oct

-18

Jan

-19

Ap

r-1

9

Jul-

19

Oct

-19

Jan

-20

Ap

r-2

0

Jul-

20

Oct

-20

Jan

-21

Ap

r-2

1

Jul-

21

USD

/kg

Kabul, Afghanistan Lahore, Pakistan

Mazar-e-Sharif, Afghanistan Saryagash, Kazakhstan

0.00

0.20

0.40

0.60

0.80

Jan

-16

Ap

r-1

6

Jul-

16

Oct

-16

Jan

-17

Ap

r-1

7

Jul-

17

Oct

-17

Jan

-18

Ap

r-1

8

Jul-

18

Oct

-18

Jan

-19

Ap

r-1

9

Jul-

19

Oct

-19

Jan

-20

Ap

r-2

0

Jul-

20

Oct

-20

Jan

-21

Ap

r-2

1

Jul-

21

USD

/kg

Mazar-e-Sharif, Afghanistan Kabul, Afghanistan

Faizabad, Afghanistan National Average, Tajikistan

**

* **

**