prezentare AEP [Autosaved] [Autosaved] · 2018. 5. 15. · Spain Ukraine Greece Slovenia Norway...
Transcript of prezentare AEP [Autosaved] [Autosaved] · 2018. 5. 15. · Spain Ukraine Greece Slovenia Norway...
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LIBERALIZING POLITICAL PARTICIPATIONTHROUGH LOW THRESHOLDS AND EASY VOTING
Șerban MARINESCU USR parliamentary advisor
2nd SCIENTIFIC ELECTORAL EXPERTS DEBATES EQUAL SUFFRAGE, 3-4 May 2018, Sinaia, Romania
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1. WHY DO WE NEED TO LIBERALIZE POLITICAL PARTICIPATION?
2. HOW DOES USR PROPOSE TO DO THAT?
- Easy registration of candidates- Easy voting- Low thresholds - Better representation for diaspora
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Number of signatures required for candidates in one constituency (parliamentary elections)
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
8000
Slovenia Croatia Ireland Germany Romania
Slovenia Croatia Ireland Germany Romania
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Number of signatures required for candidates (european elections)
0
50000
100000
150000
200000
250000
Netherlands Finland Austria Germany Belgium Spain Romania
Netherlands Finland Austria Germany Belgium Spain Romania
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Case study: Sinaia
Population:10.410(2011)
1%ofpopulation:104
Numberofsignaturesneeded:minimum500(5%)
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High administrative barriers discourage political participation
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Romanians living abroad
734748
3700000
0
500000
1000000
1500000
2000000
2500000
3000000
3500000
4000000
estimatedbyINS estimatedbyMAE
estimatedbyINS estimatedbyMAE
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People not voting because the voting station is too far away from where they live – 18%
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Young people not voting because the voting station is too far away from where they live – 30%
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Participation in parliamentary elections
76 76
6558
39 41 39
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016
1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016
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Legal thresholds in European countries
3 3 34 4 4
5 5 5
7
10
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
Spain Ukraine Greece Slovenia Norway Bulgaria CzechRepublic
Poland Romania Russia Turkey
Spain Ukraine Greece Slovenia Norway Bulgaria CzechRepublic Poland Romania Russia Turkey
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Votes for candidates below the threshold
7323368
5911794
500000880000
0
1000000
2000000
3000000
4000000
5000000
6000000
7000000
8000000
parliamentary2016 EP2014
totalvoters lostvotes
7% 16%
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High thresholds discourage political participation
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Mayor of Bucharest - 13,7% of registered voters
1793263
595822
246553
0
200000
400000
600000
800000
1000000
1200000
1400000
1600000
1800000
2000000
totalvoters actualvoters Fireavoters
totalvoters actualvoters Fireavoters
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Current representation of diaspora
310000734748
3700000
0
500000
1000000
1500000
2000000
2500000
3000000
3500000
4000000
formuladeducted estimatedbyINS estimatedbyMAE
formuladeducted estimatedbyINS estimatedbyMAE
2senators4deputies
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• the ballot requirements are too high; • the postal vote is, in its current form, too complicated
and very restrictive as to who can vote; • the thresholds are way too high and this leads to
wasted votes; •Romanians who are living aboard are shockingly
underrepresented in Parliament;
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Number of parties after liberalization
30
59
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
2012 2016
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Proposed reduction of the number of signatures
current proposed
Parliamentary 1%* 182.751 0,5%** 36.060
Local 1%* - 0,5%** -
Presidential 200.000 0,5%** 57.765
European parliament 200.000100.000
0,5%**0,5%**
27.83327.833
100%
25%
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
1%* 0,5%**
1%*=onepercentoftotalvoters
0,5%**=halfprocent ofthenumberofvotersinthelastsimilarelection
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Postal vote for everybody
734748
18284066
0
2000000
4000000
6000000
8000000
10000000
12000000
14000000
16000000
18000000
20000000
current proposed
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Proposed reduction of thresholds
current proposed
Parliamentary 5% 3%
Local 5% natural threshold
European parliament 5% natural threshold
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Proposed representation of diaspora
310000734748
3700000
0
500000
1000000
1500000
2000000
2500000
3000000
3500000
4000000
formuladeducted estimatedbyINS estimatedbyMAE
formuladeducted estimatedbyINS estimatedbyMAE
proposed:4senators10deputies
current:2senators4deputies
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Romania does not have a stability problem.
Romania needs change through participation.
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THANK YOU
Șerban MARINESCU USR parliamentary advisor
phone: 0723 218 650email: [email protected]
2nd SCIENTIFIC ELECTORAL EXPERTS DEBATES EQUAL SUFFRAGE, 3-4 May 2018, Sinaia, Romania