Presentation to Task Force on Structural Change …revenue.louisiana.gov/Miscellaneous/Final...

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Presentation to Task Force on Structural Change The Evolution of the Louisiana Tax Structure Dr. Jim Richardson Alumni Professor of Economics and Public Administration Louisiana State University And Dr. Greg Upton Assistant Professor Center for Energy Studies Louisiana State University Assisted by Mr. Nathan Babb Class of 2016 Louisiana State University

Transcript of Presentation to Task Force on Structural Change …revenue.louisiana.gov/Miscellaneous/Final...

Page 1: Presentation to Task Force on Structural Change …revenue.louisiana.gov/Miscellaneous/Final Tax...Presentation to Task Force on Structural Change The Evolution of the Louisiana Tax

Presentation to Task Force on Structural Change The Evolution of the Louisiana Tax Structure

Dr. Jim Richardson Alumni Professor of Economics and Public Administration

Louisiana State University

And

Dr. Greg Upton Assistant Professor

Center for Energy Studies Louisiana State University

Assisted by

Mr. Nathan Babb Class of 2016

Louisiana State University

Page 2: Presentation to Task Force on Structural Change …revenue.louisiana.gov/Miscellaneous/Final Tax...Presentation to Task Force on Structural Change The Evolution of the Louisiana Tax

HISTORY OF LOUISIANA TAX STRUCTURE, 1964 THROUGH 2020

Data made available by Mr. Greg Albrecht, Louisiana Legislative Fiscal Office

Page 3: Presentation to Task Force on Structural Change …revenue.louisiana.gov/Miscellaneous/Final Tax...Presentation to Task Force on Structural Change The Evolution of the Louisiana Tax

Sales

PIT

CIFT

Minerals

Other Gaming Excise

Gasoline

Page 4: Presentation to Task Force on Structural Change …revenue.louisiana.gov/Miscellaneous/Final Tax...Presentation to Task Force on Structural Change The Evolution of the Louisiana Tax

• 1970 – Sales tax increase from 2 to 3%

• 1973 – Increase oil and gas taxes; reduction in sales

taxes and PIT

• 1977 – Increase in Corporate Income Tax

• 1980 – reduction in PIT; increased Homestead

Exemption

• 1983 – increase in PIT

• 1984 – increase in sales tax, gasoline, tobacco,

franchise, insurance

• 1986 – Federal Tax Reform Act of 1986

• 1987-88 – increase sales tax—eliminated sales tax

exemptions--temporary for over 15 years

Notable Tax Changes Affecting Louisiana Tax Collections

Page 5: Presentation to Task Force on Structural Change …revenue.louisiana.gov/Miscellaneous/Final Tax...Presentation to Task Force on Structural Change The Evolution of the Louisiana Tax

Notable Tax Changes Continued

• 1990s – gaming (done from 1990 to 1995)

• 1990s – initiated Inventory Ad Valorem Tax

Credit

• 2001/2003 – Federal Tax Cuts

• 2002 – Stelly: switch from Sales to PIT

• 2002 – Louisiana Motion Picture Tax Incentive

2004 – initiated phase out of MME for Sales Tax

from 2004 to 2010

• 2007 – initiated Louisiana Earned Income Tax

Credit

• 2007 and 2008 – reduction in PIT

Page 6: Presentation to Task Force on Structural Change …revenue.louisiana.gov/Miscellaneous/Final Tax...Presentation to Task Force on Structural Change The Evolution of the Louisiana Tax

History of Income Tax Brackets for Joint Filers (single filer)

Pre 2002 (% of excess itemized deductions allowed)

2%; $0 to $20,000 ($0 to $10,000)

4%; $20,000 to $100,000 ($10,000 to $50,000)

6%, over $100,000 (over $50,000)

2003 to 2008 (no deduction of excess itemized deductions)

2%; $0 to $25,000 ($0 to $12,500)

4%; $25,000 to $50,000 ($12,500 to $25,000)

6%, over $50,000 (over $25,000)

Post 2008 (100% deduction of Excess itemized deductions)

2%; $0 to $25,000 ($0 to $12,500)

4%; $25,000 to $100,000 ($12,500 to $50,000)

6%, over $100,000 (over $50,000)

Page 7: Presentation to Task Force on Structural Change …revenue.louisiana.gov/Miscellaneous/Final Tax...Presentation to Task Force on Structural Change The Evolution of the Louisiana Tax

• Also in 2002, the electorate voted to place a constitutional

prohibition against sales tax on:

• Food purchased for consumption at home

• Natural Gas

• Electricity

• Water sold directly to consumers for residential use

• Prescription Drugs

In 2002, the state increased income taxes and decreased

sales taxes.

In 2007/2008, the state decreased income taxes back to rates

similar to pre-2003 and but made no change to sales taxes.

Page 8: Presentation to Task Force on Structural Change …revenue.louisiana.gov/Miscellaneous/Final Tax...Presentation to Task Force on Structural Change The Evolution of the Louisiana Tax

• 2015 – change in tax credits, tobacco

• 2016 – sales tax rate, exemptions, tobacco,

liquor, wine, and beer

• 2016 – changes in corporate income tax with

add back and other changes

• 2016 – on ballot proposal to eliminate federal

deductibility for corporations with rate of 6.5%

as opposed to current structure of 4% to 8%

with 8% starting at $200,000

Notable Tax Changes Continued

Page 9: Presentation to Task Force on Structural Change …revenue.louisiana.gov/Miscellaneous/Final Tax...Presentation to Task Force on Structural Change The Evolution of the Louisiana Tax
Page 10: Presentation to Task Force on Structural Change …revenue.louisiana.gov/Miscellaneous/Final Tax...Presentation to Task Force on Structural Change The Evolution of the Louisiana Tax

In 1982, mineral

revenues peaked at 42

percent of total state

revenues.

Personal Income Tax

was about 5 percent of

Louisiana revenues.

Page 11: Presentation to Task Force on Structural Change …revenue.louisiana.gov/Miscellaneous/Final Tax...Presentation to Task Force on Structural Change The Evolution of the Louisiana Tax

In FY 2008, mineral

revenues were at a

recent high of 16

percent of total state

revenues.

Sales and PIT made up

53 percent of total

revenues.

Page 12: Presentation to Task Force on Structural Change …revenue.louisiana.gov/Miscellaneous/Final Tax...Presentation to Task Force on Structural Change The Evolution of the Louisiana Tax

In the FY 2015, mineral

revenues were less

than 10 percent of total

revenues.

Sales and PIT making

up 57 percent of total

revenues.

Page 13: Presentation to Task Force on Structural Change …revenue.louisiana.gov/Miscellaneous/Final Tax...Presentation to Task Force on Structural Change The Evolution of the Louisiana Tax

In FYs 2017 and 2018,

the two years before

the tax increases go off

the books, sales taxes

will make up an

estimated 36 percent

of total revenues.

This will be the highest

share of state revenues

made up by sales tax

in Louisiana’s history.

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Page 15: Presentation to Task Force on Structural Change …revenue.louisiana.gov/Miscellaneous/Final Tax...Presentation to Task Force on Structural Change The Evolution of the Louisiana Tax
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Page 17: Presentation to Task Force on Structural Change …revenue.louisiana.gov/Miscellaneous/Final Tax...Presentation to Task Force on Structural Change The Evolution of the Louisiana Tax

• Sales taxes as a share of total revenues have remained

relatively flat at 29 percent over the last decade, but will go up

as more emphasis on sales tax as of Special Session 2016

• PIT have steadily increased in total share of revenues from

about 5 percent in early 1980s to 28 percent in 2015. Most

significant impact is federal tax policy.

• Over the last decade, mineral revenues have consisted of about

13 percent of state revenues (taxes, licenses, and fees).

• This is compared to the 1980s when mineral revenues

consisted of about 27 percent of state revenues with a peak

of over 40 percent in early 1980s.

Page 18: Presentation to Task Force on Structural Change …revenue.louisiana.gov/Miscellaneous/Final Tax...Presentation to Task Force on Structural Change The Evolution of the Louisiana Tax

$1 billion below

prediction

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WHEN DID LOUISIANA ADOPT EXEMPTIONS, EXCLUSIONS, REBATES, AND TAX CREDITS?

Exemptions, Exclusions,

Rebates, and Credits

Exemptions and Exclusions: Erode the Tax Base

Credits: Reduce Tax Liability

Page 20: Presentation to Task Force on Structural Change …revenue.louisiana.gov/Miscellaneous/Final Tax...Presentation to Task Force on Structural Change The Evolution of the Louisiana Tax

Timeline for CIFT Tax Exemptions and Credits

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Page 21: Presentation to Task Force on Structural Change …revenue.louisiana.gov/Miscellaneous/Final Tax...Presentation to Task Force on Structural Change The Evolution of the Louisiana Tax

Corporate Exemptions and Credits, Est. $1.722 billion

Exemptions and Credits Projections, 2016

Subchapter S Corporation $545 million—not really exemption; a pass-through

Inventory Ad Valorem—modified in 2015

$458 million—must apply 75% to all inventory taxes paid, not just refundable. Nothing to do with CIFT

Net Operating Loss—modified in 2015

$373 million—poorly drafted law in 2015

Federal Tax Liability $208 million--constitutional

Motion Picture Tax Credit $136 million—not really a corporate credit—just use CIFT to write off—modified in 2015 session

Quality Jobs $42 million—must examine closely

Enterprise Zone $42 million—eliminate—simply not a productive exemption

All Others $126 million

Page 22: Presentation to Task Force on Structural Change …revenue.louisiana.gov/Miscellaneous/Final Tax...Presentation to Task Force on Structural Change The Evolution of the Louisiana Tax

Timeline for PIT Exemptions and Credits

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Page 23: Presentation to Task Force on Structural Change …revenue.louisiana.gov/Miscellaneous/Final Tax...Presentation to Task Force on Structural Change The Evolution of the Louisiana Tax

PIT Exemptions and Credits—Est. $2.180 billion

Exemptions and Credits Projections for 2016

Federal Tax Liability $845 million--constitutional

Excess Itemized Deductions $360 million—eliminated in 2002; added back in 2007, not used consistently in other states

Personal Exemption/Standard Deduction

$258 million—common in other states—on average higher in LA

Retirement Benefits $232 million—state, teachers, federal and social security

Taxes Paid to Other States $89 million—amended in 2015 session based on 2015 presentation

Earned Income Tax Credit—working and low income

$50 million—based on federal EITC and 26 states now use to assist workers at lower income levels

Net Capital Gains—higher income $46.0 million—applicable to LA residents selling LA business

Others $300 million

Page 24: Presentation to Task Force on Structural Change …revenue.louisiana.gov/Miscellaneous/Final Tax...Presentation to Task Force on Structural Change The Evolution of the Louisiana Tax

Timeline for Sales and Use Tax : Exemptions

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Page 25: Presentation to Task Force on Structural Change …revenue.louisiana.gov/Miscellaneous/Final Tax...Presentation to Task Force on Structural Change The Evolution of the Louisiana Tax

Timeline for Sales and Use Tax : Exclusions

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Page 26: Presentation to Task Force on Structural Change …revenue.louisiana.gov/Miscellaneous/Final Tax...Presentation to Task Force on Structural Change The Evolution of the Louisiana Tax

Sales and Use Tax, $3.346 billion

Exemption and Credits Amount

Food for Home Consumption $408 million--Constitutional

Electrical Power for Nonresidential $419 million – changed in 2015—business development, but other states tax

Gasoline and special fuels $380 million--Constitutional

Prescription Drugs $295 million--Constitutional

State/local governments $203 million--Administration

Utilities for Residences $205 million--Constitutional

Machinery & Equipment $76 million—economic development

All Others $1,360 million—very soft number

Page 27: Presentation to Task Force on Structural Change …revenue.louisiana.gov/Miscellaneous/Final Tax...Presentation to Task Force on Structural Change The Evolution of the Louisiana Tax

INTERSTATE COMPARISONS

Page 28: Presentation to Task Force on Structural Change …revenue.louisiana.gov/Miscellaneous/Final Tax...Presentation to Task Force on Structural Change The Evolution of the Louisiana Tax

LA will be #1

Page 29: Presentation to Task Force on Structural Change …revenue.louisiana.gov/Miscellaneous/Final Tax...Presentation to Task Force on Structural Change The Evolution of the Louisiana Tax

Interstate Income Tax Comparison

State State Rates # of Brackets SD/PE Highest Rate

Applicable

Federal

Deductibility

Alabama 2 to 5% 3 $11,500 $6,000 yes

Arkansas 0.9% to 6.9% 6 $4,400 and

credits

$35,099 No

Florida None

Georgia 1 to 6% 6 $13,400 $10,000 No

Kentucky 2 to 6% 6 $2,460, credits $75,000 No

Louisiana 2 to 6% 3 $11,000 $100,000 Yes

Mississippi 3 to 5% 3 $19,600 $10,000 No

Page 30: Presentation to Task Force on Structural Change …revenue.louisiana.gov/Miscellaneous/Final Tax...Presentation to Task Force on Structural Change The Evolution of the Louisiana Tax

Interstate Income Tax Comparison

State State Rates # of Brackets SD/PE Highest Rate

Applicable

Federal

Deductibility

Louisiana 2 to 6% 3 $11,000 $100,000 Yes

North

Carolina

5.75% 1 $0 0 No

South

Carolina

3.0 to 7.0% 5 Federal

Standard

Exemption

$24,800 No

Tennessee Applies to interest and dividend income only, 6% rate

Texas None

Virginia 2 to 5.75% 4 $9,720 $17,000 No

West

Virginia

3 to 6.5% 5 $8,000 $60,000 No

Page 31: Presentation to Task Force on Structural Change …revenue.louisiana.gov/Miscellaneous/Final Tax...Presentation to Task Force on Structural Change The Evolution of the Louisiana Tax

Corporate Tax Rate Comparison: Top Marginal Tax Rate (number of tax brackets)

0.0% 1.0% 2.0% 3.0% 4.0% 5.0% 6.0% 7.0% 8.0% 9.0%

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SC

FL

GA

KY

NC

VA

AL

AR

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WV

LA

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Page 32: Presentation to Task Force on Structural Change …revenue.louisiana.gov/Miscellaneous/Final Tax...Presentation to Task Force on Structural Change The Evolution of the Louisiana Tax

Gaming Activity

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Presentation to Task Force on Structural Change The Evolution of the Louisiana Tax Structure

Dr. Jim Richardson Alumni Professor of Economics and Public Administration

Louisiana State University

And

Dr. Greg Upton Assistant Professor

Center for Energy Studies Louisiana State University

Assisted by

Mr. Nathan Babb Class of 2016

Louisiana State University