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Transcript of Presentation on international broadband data
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The Good News About US Broadband
Broadband Policy Summit IVJune 12, 2008
Scott [email protected]
www.techpolicyinstitute.org www.wallsten.net
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i l l i o n s
Total Counted High-Speed Connections in the U.S.
Source: FCC (2008)
cable
dsl
mobile
fiber satellite & fixed
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K o r e a
*
N e
t h e r l a n
d s
C a n a
d a
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D e n m a r k
J a p a n
( S e p
t e m
b e r )
F i n
l a n
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B e
l g i u m
S w e
d e n
U n
i t e d S t a
t e s
( M a r c
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E s t o n
i a
U n
i t e d K i n g
d o m
F r a n c e
L u x e m
b o u r g
S l o v e n
i a
G e r m a n y
S p a
i n
A u s t r i a
P o
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L a t v i a
H u n g a r y
L i t h u a n
i a
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l
C z e c
h R e p u
b l i c
I t a l y
I r e l a n
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B u
l g a r i a
R o m a n
i a
S l o v a
k R e p u
b l i c
C y p r u s
G r e e c e
T u r k e y
p e r c e n
t h o u s e h
o l d s w
i t h b r o a
d b a n
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Household Broadband Penetration as of Nov 2006(November 2006 unless otherwise stated)
Sources: European Community (2007); US Census (2007), Pew Internet & American Life Foundation (2006); Korean National InformationSociety Agency (2007); Japan Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications (2007). See footnote 8 in Wallsten (2008).
October 2007March 2007
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OECD (and FCC) cant count business connections
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Jun-00 Dec-00 Jun-01 Dec-01 Jun-02 Dec-02 Jun-03 Dec-03 Jun-04 Dec-04 Jun-05 Dec-05 Jun-06 Dec-06 Jun-07
m i l l i o n s
U.S. Wired High-Speed Lines as counted by the FCC
Total
Residential
Business (implied)
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66 million connections (OECD)72 million workplace
138 million U.S. wired broadband connections
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m i l l i o n s
U.S. Wired High-Speed Lines as counted by the FCC
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Jun-00 Dec-00 Jun-01 Dec-01 Jun-02 Dec-02 Jun-03 Dec-03 Jun-04 Dec-04 Jun-05 Dec-05 Jun-06 Dec-06 Jun-07
m i l l i o n s
U.S. Wired High-Speed Lines
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Why is the U.S. OECD rank falling?
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Household size.Countries with larger households will have fewer connections per capita.
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Hermitopiapopulation: 20
Grphaus Republicpopulation: 20
2001 penetration rateshousehold: 5% household: 25%per capita: 5% per capita: 5%
2001
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Hermitopiapopulation: 20
Grphaus Republicpopulation: 20
2001 penetration rateshousehold: 5% household: 25%per capita: 5% per capita: 5%
2007 penetration rateshousehold: 50% household: 100%per capita: 50% per capita: 20%
2007
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2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
r a n
k
year
Effect of Household Size on Broadband Per Cap Rank
Korea
Sweden
Canada
Denmark
Belgium
Netherlands
Austria
United States
Iceland
JapanScott Wallsten
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Speedsconsider actual, not advertised
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M b p s
Average Tested Download Speeds2007 - 2008
Source: Speedtest.net. Scott Wallsten
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Jun-05 Dec-05 Jun-06 Dec-06 Jun-07
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b p s
m i l l i o n s o
f c o n n e c
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U.S. Broadband Speeds
>=200Kbps in only one direction 200Kbps - 2.5 Mbps 2.5-10Mbps
10-25 Mbps 25-100 Mbps >100 Mbps
Weighted average speed (right axis)
Source: FCC (2008). Scott Wallsten
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p e r c e n
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Share of U.S. Households with Broadband, October 2007
All U.S. Urban Rural
Source: U.S. Census (2007). Scott Wallsten
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A National Broadband Policy
! Make more spectrum available.
! Study existing programs.
! U.S. Census should continue to gather annual data.
! Gather better data on business broadband.
! Require cost-benefit analysis of any proposal.
! Focus on removing potential entry barriers.
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Conclusion
Relax. Were fine.
Scott Wallsten