PRESENTATION OF CONSOLIDATED RESULTS...PRESENTATION OF CONSOLIDATED RESULTS For the quarter ended 27...
Transcript of PRESENTATION OF CONSOLIDATED RESULTS...PRESENTATION OF CONSOLIDATED RESULTS For the quarter ended 27...
PRESENTATION OF CONSOLIDATED RESULTS
For the quarter ended 27 June 2015
AGENDA2
Jürgen Schreiber
CEO
Strategic and
operational update
Jürgen Schreiber
CEO
Looking forwardFinancial review
Toon Clerckx
CFO
STRATEGIC AND OPERATIONAL UPDATE
VISION4
Creating unique
experiences
Focused customer
groupings
Exceptional value
proposition and
choice of product
Distinctive retail
formats
TRADING ENVIRONMENT
2.8%
-0.3%
-1.0%
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
Ma
y-1
4
Jun
-14
Jul-
14
Au
g-1
4
Se
p-1
4
Oct-
14
Nov-1
4
Dec-1
4
Jan
-15
Fe
b-1
5
Ma
r-1
5
Ap
r-15
Ma
y-1
5
Total retail sales_3mma - y-o-y% CTF sales
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
1Q
:201
2
2Q
:201
2
3Q
:201
2
4Q
:201
2
1Q
:201
3
2Q
:201
3
3Q
:201
3
4Q
:201
3
1Q
:201
4
2Q
:201
4
3Q
:201
4
4Q
:201
4
1Q
:201
5
76.5%77.0%77.5%78.0%78.5%79.0%79.5%80.0%80.5%
Debt- disposable income ratio Disposable income growth
3.1
% 3.8
%
4.9
%
5.0
%
1.9
%
1.9
%
1.8
%
1.7
%
1.0
%
1.0
%
1.1
% 1.6
%
2.8
%
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
1Q
:201
2
2Q
:201
2
3Q
:201
2
4Q
:201
2
1Q
:201
3
2Q
:201
3
3Q
:201
3
4Q
:201
3
1Q
:201
4
2Q
:201
4
3Q
:201
4
4Q
:201
4
1Q
:201
5 23.0%
23.5%
24.0%
24.5%
25.0%
25.5%
26.0%
26.5%
-2.0%
-1.0%
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
1Q
:201
2
2Q
:201
2
3Q
:201
2
4Q
:201
2
1Q
:201
3
2Q
:201
3
3Q
:201
3
4Q
:201
3
1Q
:201
4
2Q
:201
4
3Q
:201
4
4Q
:201
4
1Q
:201
5
GDP growth Unemployment rate
Retail sales(1) Credit & Income growth(2)
Household consumption expenditure(2) • GDP growth & Unemployment rate(2)
5
1) Stats SA
2) SARB
KEY STRATEGIC LEVERS6
• Store enhancement and portfolio management
• Continuous store optimisation
• Assortment: brands and improved private label
• Leverage growing loyalty programme
Comparable
store growth
• Sourcing
• Pricing management
• Continue to drive Group efficiencies
• Margin
expansion
• Grow existing format footprint
• Rollout of tested new formats
• Expand into rest of Africa
• Right sizing of stores
New space
growth
• Second look credit providers and other solutions
• Broaden financial services and insurance offeringCredit
HIGHLIGHTS
• Pro forma adjusted EBITDA up 2.5%
• GP Margin up 50 bps to 38.0%
• Margin accretion due to
• Improved product mix
• Reduced clearance activity
• Average space growth of 4.2%
• Successful closing of exchange offer relating to
€425 million senior notes due 2019, with
97.34% participation rate
• Reduces cash pay interest by ̴ R1 billion
• Reduces cash pay leverage by > 20%
• Set to reduce debt by R3.5 billion
Credit and cash sales growth Margin & space
Capital structure management
7
All numbers include Edgars Zimbabwe.
8.711.7
6.3 7.4
-3.8 -12.1 -9.6 -10.5
2Q:FY15 3Q:FY15 4Q:FY15 1Q:FY16
Cash sales (%) Credit Sales (%)
Retail
sales
LFL
EDGARS DIVISION – OPERATIONAL PERFORMANCE
• Strong cash sales growth of 10.9%
• Credit sales reduced 6.4%
• International brands continue to drive
foot traffic
• Diversity of performance between
malls and credit driven CBD stores
• Margin maintained
• Pricing initiatives
• Better clearance
• Promotions remain key for the chain
Sales growth Margin
8
1.8%
2.2%
GP
margin
40.3%
0pts
EDGARS DIVISION – CAPITAL INVESTMENT
• Total of R24 million spent in the quarter
• Bulk of spend on refurbishments
• Limited expansion outside South Africa
• 21 stores opened (and 5 closures)
• 14 Edgars store chains opened
• 6 Edgars, 5 Edgars Active, 2 Boardmans
and 1 Red Square
• 7 mono-branded stores opened in
malls including
• Dune, TM Lewin, River Island, Express
and Tom Tailor
• Edgars Connect stand alone stores
equity accounted
• Blue Label Telecoms as partner
Capex (R millions) New space growth
9
Average
837m2
549 stores
6.8%
Refurbishment
R16m; 67%
Expansion
R8m; 33%
Retail
sales
LFL
DISCOUNT DIVISION – OPERATIONAL PERFORMANCE
• Cash sales growth of 7.1%
• Credit sales reduced 17.8%
• Good cash sales growth in premium
malls
• Credit driven CBD stores continue to
hold back overall performance
• Continued expansion
• Margin improvement through
• Improved buying and sourcing
• Pricing initiatives
Sales growth Margin
3.1%
4.9%
GP
margin
35.9%
1.1pts
10
DISCOUNT DIVISION – CAPITAL INVESTMENT
• Total of R31 million spent in the quarter; all spent
on expansion
• Expansion in both South Africa and rest of Africa,
including Namibia and Zambia
• 19 stores opened (and 10
closures)
• 12 Jet
• 5 Legit
• 2 Jet Mart
Capex (R millions) New space growth
11
Expansion
R31m; 100%
Average
641m2
728 stores
2.2%
CNA DIVISION
• Performance of
certain categories
and decrease in
average space
negatively
impacted sales
• Capex spend of
R2m for the
quarter
• Decreasing space
growth due to
continued right
sizing
Sales growth New space growth Margin
• Margin impacted
by increased
promotions
Retail
sales
LFL
12.9%
12.8%
Average
81m2
197 stores
4.7%
GP
margin
28.4%
0.6pts
12
FINANCIAL REVIEW
KEY CONSIDERATIONS FOR Q1:FY16
• Credit: Cash sales ratio of 42.0% from 46.5% in
Q1:FY15*
• Finding a long-term partner remains a priority albeit
in-house credit option performing well
• Margin management improvements
• Good progress on gross margin
• Ongoing overhead cost improvements
• Continued focus on improving working capital
management
• Post closing of successful exchange offer
relating to the improved liquidity and balance
sheet
• Cash pay interest payment obligations reduced by
approximately ~R1 billion (from ~ R3.1 billion to
~ R2.1 billion)
• Debt set to reduce by ~ R3.5 billion
14
Pro forma adjusted EBITDA improving
*Including Edgars Zimbabwe
-6.6%
1.4%2.5%
Q1:FY15 FY15 Q1:FY16
% change on previous year
STATEMENT OF COMPREHENSIVE INCOME
(R millions) Q1:FY15 Q1:FY16 % change
Retail sales 6 561 6 500 (0.9)
Gross profit 2 458 2 470 0.5
Gross profit margin 37.5 38.0 0.5pts
Other income 261 294 12.6
Store costs (1 467) (1 575) 7.4
Other operating costs (1 066) (949) (11.0)
Share of profits from insurance business 177 161 (9.0)
Trading profit 363 401 10.5
Pro forma adjusted EBITDA 679 696 2.5
15
PRO FORMA ADJUSTED EBITDA
(R millions) Q1:FY15 Q1:FY16 % change
Trading profit 363 401 10.5
Depreciation & amortisation 263 249
Net asset write off(1) 3 5
Profit/(loss) from discontinued operations(2) (2) 19
Non-recurring costs(3) 33 22
Adjusted EBITDA 660 696 5.5
Net (loss)/income from previous card programme(4) 11 (9)
Net income from new card programme(5) 8 9
Pro forma adjusted EBITDA 679 696 2.5
Pro forma adjusted EBITDA margin 10.3% 10.7% 0.4 pts
16
(1) Relates to assets written off in connection with store conversions, net of related proceeds.
(2) The results of discontinued operations are included before tax.
(3) Relates to costs associated with the sale of the trade receivables book of R15 million in Q1:FY15, costs associated with corporate and operational overhead reductions of R5 million in Q1:FY16 (R18 million in Q1:FY15),
onerous lease reversals of R11 million in Q1:FY16, as well as costs of R28 million relating to various strategic initiatives in Q1:FY16.
(4) Net loss/income derived from 100% of the trade receivables including finance charges revenue, bad debts and provisions.
(5) Pro forma fee earned by Edcon under the new arrangement with Absa, based on 100% of the trade receivables book.
UPDATE ON COST PROGRAMME
(R millions) Q1:FY16
LTM pro forma adjusted EBITDA (reported) 2 742
Permanent adjustments:
Corporate and operational overhead reductions 240
Renegotiation of contracts 43
LTM pro forma adjusted EBITDA (incl. adjustments) 3 025
Net debt (1)/LTM pro forma adjusted EBITDA (times) 7.9x
• Corporate and overhead reductions relate mainly to
restructuring
• Newly negotiated contracts relate mainly to reduced
intercharge card fees
17
1) Net debt has been adjusted by trade receivables still to be sold of R356 million in Q1:FY16.
.
COST ANALYSIS FOR Q1:FY16
• Store costs increased 7.4%,
• Manpower costs were well managed increasing by
4.1%
• Rental costs increased by 12.3%
• Rental and manpower constituted 61.8% of total
costs for Q1:FY16
Other operating costs Store costs
• Overhead costs and store card costs
improvements due to operational efficiencies
• Non-recurring costs include:
• Q1:FY15 - costs associated with the sale of the trade
receivables book of R15 million, costs associated with
corporate and operational overhead reductions of
R18 million
• Q1:FY16 - costs associated with corporate and
operational overhead reductions of R5 million, costs of
R28 million relating to various strategic initiatives and
less onerous lease reversals of R11 million.
18
(R millions) Q1:FY15 Q1:FY16
%
change
Other operating costs 898 844 (6.0)
Store card administration 135 83
Non-recurring costs 33 22
Total other operating costs 1 066 949 (11.0)
CAPEX INVESTMENT
• Total capex, excluding leases, of R117m for
the quarter
• Capex decreased by R150m from prior
comparative period
• 42 new stores opened
• Capex budget of R600m for FY16
• Approximately half expected to be
expansion capex
19
Total capex breakdown (R millions)
24
312
57
3
Edgars Discount CNA IT Other
Store capex mix* (R millions)
16
41
Refurbishment Expansion
* Excluding Edgars Zimbabwe
220
170162
669
Financing
activities
Closing cash
balance
1 73320
Tax
16
Net
financing
costs
Working
capital
Operating
activities
CapexOpening
cash
balance
1 288
Inventories
309
Trade
receivables,
other
receivables and
prepayments
Trade and
other payables
108
CASH FLOW FOR Q1:FY1620
(1) Includes R6m of currency adjustments
Working capital
39
(1)
LIQUIDITY AND CAPITAL RESOURCES
Hedging of gross debt
36%
11%
27%
25%
1%
ZAR USD (hedged) EURO (hedged)
EURO (unhedged) Other loans
21
• Total net debt increased by 1% from the end of
Q4:FY15 to R24,193 million
• Cash and cash equivalents of R1,733 million
• Facilities available of R1,388 million
• Available under RCF R388 million
• Available under liquidity facility R1,000 million
• Successful exchange offer set to improve liquidity
and stabilise balance sheet going forward
• Cash interest reduced by ~R1,000 million
• Debt set to reduce by ~R3,485 million
• Next peak in working capital cycle anticipated in
November 2015
• Anticipated conversion date for new Option A PIK notes
and new Option B PIK notes
• All principle amounts hedged, except 10% of 2018
fixed rate notes and all of the 2019 fixed rate notes
SUCCESSFUL 2019’S EXCHANGE OFFER
Matter Detail
Approval level • 97.34% of principal amount, tendered notes for settlement
Election • 45.3% of the noteholders selected Option A
• 54.7% of the noteholders selected Option B, which will include an equity
exposure
New notes issued • Edcon Holdings Limited issued €200 million of new Option A senior
13.375% PIK notes and €241 million of new Option B senior 13.375%
PIK(1) notes
• Edcon Limited issued €21.7 million of new super senior 8.0% PIK(1) notes
as early consent consideration
Remaining notes • Effect certain amendments to the Notes: (i) interest on the Notes will be
PIK (1) (and no longer in cash) at a rate of 5% per annum, starting on 30
June 2015, (ii) the maturity of the Notes not tendered in the exchange offer
be extended to 30 June 2022 and (iii) the principal amount of Notes not
tendered in the exchange offer be reduced by 72.5%
• Consequently, Edcon Limited will have approximately €3.3 million in
remaining 2019 Notes outstanding
22
(1) PIK interest means interest is not cash settled but rather capitalised over time
23
NET DEBT AND PRO FORMA NET DEBT
23
(R millions)Q1:FY15
Drawn (1)
Q1:FY16
Drawn (1) Pro forma(2)
Super senior secured
ZAR Revolving credit facility(3) 888 2 864 2 864
ZAR Floating rate notes due 4 April 2016 J+625bps 1 010 1 006 1 006
New EUR Super senior PIK notes due 30 June 2019 8.0% 1 580
Senior secured
ZAR term loan due 16 May 2017 J+700bps 4 016 4 112 4 112
EUR fixed rate note due 1 March 2018 9.5% 8 654 8 217 8 217
USD fixed rate note due 1 March 2018 9.5% 2 612 3 023 3 023
New EUR Senior secured PIK notes due 30 June 2019(4) 9.75% 494
Deferred option premium 1 127 1 102 1 102
Lease liabilities 390 362 362
Senior
EUR fixed rate notes due 30 June 2019(5) 13.375% 5 920 5 604 45
Other loans(6) 200 292 292
Gross debt 24 817 26 582 23 097
Derivatives (1 655) (656) (656)
Cash and cash equivalents (496) (1 733) (1 733)
Net debt 22 666 24 193 20 708
Lower debt 3 4851) FX rates at end Q1:FY15 were R10.59:$ and R14.45:€ and at end Q1:FY16 were R12.20:$ and R13.64:€.
2) Pro forma for implementation of the exchange offer including conversion of the new Option A and B notes to new super senior PIK notes and new senior secured PIK notes (excluding fees
estimated at EUR26 million ). All EUR notes are converted at the FX rates at end Q1:FY16.
3) The total limit under the super senior revolving credit facility is R3 717 million which matures on 31 December 2016. The maximum utilisation of the revolving credit facility during Q1:FY16 was
R3 222 million. At the end of the period R433 million of the facilities were utilised for guarantees and LC’s.
4) The notes are 9.75% cash pay with a toggle option to 12.75% PIK.
5) The maturity of the 2019 Notes not tendered has been extended to 30 June 2022 and the interest rate reduced to 5.0% as part of the amendments.
6) The portion of this debt relating to Zimbabwe was R276 million in Q1:FY16 and R180 million in Q1:FY15.
LOOKING FORWARD
25
OUTLOOK
Improved liquidity and stabilised balance sheet
• Improved liquidity with a R1 billion reduction in cash interest
• Stabilised balance sheet with gross debt set to reduce by R3.5 billion
Reduced capex needs
• Capex normalized
Sales growth to grow market share
• Continue to drive cash sales
• Find a solution to declining credit sales
Further margin and cost management
• Gross margin opportunities
• Maintain store and overhead cost efforts
Leadership changes
THANK YOU
For more information
Our website: www.edcon.co.za
Edcon contacts for more information:
Executive Investor Relations and Media:
Debbie Millar 011 495 4086 / [email protected]