Presentation for 2015 Preliminary Economic Assessment for … · 2019-11-11 · 5 Executive Summary...
Transcript of Presentation for 2015 Preliminary Economic Assessment for … · 2019-11-11 · 5 Executive Summary...
Presentation for 2015 Preliminary Economic Assessment for Mine Expansion Plan at Lac des Iles Feb 26, 2015
2
Forward-Looking Statements Certain information included in this presentation constitutes ‘forward-looking statements’ within the meaning of the ‘safe
harbor’ provisions of the United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 and Canadian securities laws. The words ‘potential’, ‘preliminary’, ‘expect’, ‘believe’, ‘will’, ‘intend’, ‘estimate’, ‘forecast’, and similar expressions identify forward-looking statements. Such statements include, without limitation: information pertaining to the Company’s strategy,
plans or future financial or operating performance, such as statements with respect to future exploration, the Company's forward-looking guidance, projected capital requirements, operating and capital cost estimates, project timelines, production plans, mining and milling rates, cash flows, the methods by which ore will be extracted, projected grades, mill recoveries, metal prices and foreign exchange rates, and other statements that express management's expectations or estimates of future performance. Forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks that may cause the actual results to be materially different from those expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements. Such risks include, but are not limited to: the possibility that metal prices, foreign exchange rates or operating costs may differ from management's expectations, uncertainty of mineral reserves and resources, inherent risks associated with mining and processing, the risk
that the Lac des Iles mine may not perform as planned, and uncertainty of the ability of the Company to obtain financing. Forward-looking statements are necessarily based upon a number of factors and assumptions that, while considered
reasonable by management, are inherently subject to significant business, economic and competitive uncertainties and contingencies. The factors and assumptions contained in this presentation, which may prove to be incorrect, include, but are not limited to: metal prices assumptions, Canadian and U.S. dollar exchange rate assumptions, that there will be no significant disruptions affecting operations, that prices for key mining and construction supplies, including labour and transportation costs, will remain consistent with the Company's expectations, that the Company's current estimates of
mineral reserves and resources are accurate, and that the Company will be able to realize its assets and discharge its liabilities in the normal course of business. The forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance. For more details on the factors, assumptions and risks see the Company's most recent Form 40-F/Annual Information Form on file with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission and Canadian provincial securities regulatory authorities. The Company disclaims any obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, events or otherwise, except as expressly required by law. Readers are cautioned not to put undue reliance on these forward-looking statements.
All dollar amounts are in Canadian currency unless otherwise stated, all references to production refer to payable
production, and all reference to tonnes refer to metric tonnes.
3
Note to US Investors
Cautionary Note to US Investors Concerning Estimates of Measured, Indicated and Inferred Resources
This presentation uses the terms "Measured", "Indicated" and "Inferred" Resources. United States investors are advised that while such terms are recognized and required by Canadian regulations, the United States Securities and Exchange Commission does not recognize them. "Inferred Mineral Resources" have a great amount of uncertainty as to their existence, and as to their economic and legal feasibility. It cannot be assumed that all or any part of an Inferred Mineral Resource will ever be upgraded to a higher category. Under Canadian rules, estimates of Inferred Mineral Resources may not form the basis of feasibility or other economic studies. United States investors are cautioned not to assume that all or any part of Measured or Indicated Mineral Resources will ever be converted into Mineral Reserves. United States investors
are also cautioned not to assume that all or any part of an Inferred Mineral Resource exists, or is economically or legally mineable.
4
Preamble
• The following presentation is an overview of the current Preliminary Economic Assessment for the Lac des Iles Mine Expansion Plan as of February 2015 . It includes an evaluation of the potential to profitably mine all known reserves and resources at the site.
• This PEA is at a scoping level and is preliminary in nature. It includes mineral reserve that is considered too speculative geologically to have the economic considerations applied to them that would enable them to be declared as mineral reserves, and there is no certainty the conclusions of the PEA will be realized.
• The resource information in this report has been compiled by North American Palladium Qualified Persons.
• The technical evaluation has been completed by Hatch Ltd. under close supervision of NAP management.
• This report has not changed the mineral reserves of the property.
5
Executive Summary A low cost, low risk, open pit mine expansion
Current Mine Plan
• Expanded to 23.0 Mt @ 2.1 g/t Pd, after tax NPV(5%) of $457 M
Open Pit Expansion
• 39.0 Mt @ 1.3 g/t Pd, after tax NPV(5%) of $136 M, IRR of 30%
Base Case Expansion – current and open pit combined
• 62.0 Mt @ 1.6 g/t Pd, after tax NPV(5%) of $593 M, no negative cashflow
Phase 2 Shaft Deepening – future opportunity, ongoing exploration
• 10.9 Mt @ 3.3 g/t Pd, after tax NPV(5%) of $22 M, IRR 7%
Low Risk Project
• Right jurisdiction, existing infrastructure, permitted tailings facility, established First Nations relationships
Palladium - the right metal at the right time
• Strong forward looking market demand and supply constraints
By-product Credits – the resource at LDI contains significant quantities of Pt, Au, Cu & Ni which adds approx. 35% more revenue to the Pd total.
6
Why a PEA?
• A PFS level Technical Report was published in March of 2014, what has changed:
– Results from 2014 exploration drilling program primarily focused on targets below the 1000 m level are included and contain inferred mineral resources.
– Based on running LDI mill on a full time basis as opposed to previous 2 week per month batch process, delivering economies of scale and lower unit costs have been realized.
– Metal prices and foreign exchange rates that reflect current and longer-term analyst consensus have been used – potential to make lower grade material economic.
• Current mine plan has already changed and future opportunities are significantly different due to the above factors. This warranted a PEA level study to assess these opportunities.
7
Favourable Location
• Provincial highway access
near Thunder Bay, Ontario
• Decades of successful
mining history
• Experienced and focused
management team
• Mining friendly jurisdiction
8
Existing Site Infrastructure
• Shaft access to 825 meter level
• 15,000 tpd Mill
• Expandable Tailings Management Facility
• Existing camp
• Truck shops and offices
• Idled Open Pit
• All utilities supply and distribution in place at site
9
Understanding the Ore Body
Cross Section Looking North Section Looking West
10
Mineral Reserve & Mineral Resource
MINERAL RESERVES AND RESOURCES Tonnes Pd Pt Au Ni Cu Pd Contained
Category (000's) (g/t) (g/t) (g/t) (%) (%) (000's oz)
Total Proven Reserves 16,259 1.76 0.16 0.13 0.07 0.04 918
Total Probable Reserves 4,108 3.61 0.26 0.25 0.10 0.09 477
Total Proven + Probable Reserves 20,367 2.13 0.18 0.16 0.08 0.05 1,395
Total Measured Resources 43,080 1.83 0.20 0.13 0.07 0.05 2,532
Total Indicated Resources 28,388 2.20 0.21 0.16 0.08 0.06 2,011
Total Measured + Indicated Resources 71,468 1.98 0.20 0.14 0.07 0.06 4,543
Total Reserves and Measured &
Indicated Resources91,835 2.01 0.20 0.14 0.07 0.05 5,938
Total Inferred Resources 15,039 2.67 0.20 0.17 0.08 0.07
As released on February 25, 2015
11
Production Plan – Current Plan
Tailings
Phase 1
Roby FW
RGO
23.0 Mt Mined
12
Production Plan Base Case (Current Plan + Open Pit Expansion)
Tailings
Offset FW Phase 1
Roby/Sherriff Pit
Roby FW
RGO
62 Mt Mined
13
Base Case – Payable Pd Ounces
Payable Pd Ounces Contribution
14
Base Case Operating Cost Summary
Base CaseTailings
/ RGO
Open
Pit
Offset
Phase 1
Offset
Phase 2
Roby
FW
Offset
FW
(Current Plan + Open Pit) $18.34 $20.01 $55.39 N/A $47.35 $56.29
Cost per Tonne Milled
15
Life of Mine and Project Capital
BASE CASE
CURRENT PLAN
OPEN PIT
$Cnd x 1 Million SUM 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031
Current Plan 131.9 39.0 38.1 19.2 13.4 11.6 9.0 1.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Project Capital 7.5 0.0 7.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Sustaining Capital 124.4 39.0 30.6 19.2 13.4 11.6 9.0 1.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
$Cnd x 1 Million SUM 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031
Open Pit Expansion 196.2 0.0 1.0 0.0 8.5 22.0 20.8 30.8 28.4 23.7 19.9 11.7 10.4 10.4 6.1 2.6 0.0 0.0
Project Capital 51.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.5 22.0 20.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Sustaining Capital 145.1 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 30.6 28.4 23.7 19.9 11.7 10.4 10.4 6.1 2.6 0.0 0.0
$Cnd x 1 Million SUM 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031
Base Case 329.6 39.0 39.1 19.2 21.9 33.6 29.9 32.4 28.4 23.7 19.9 11.7 11.9 10.4 6.1 2.6 0.0 0.0
Project Capital 58.6 0.0 7.5 0.0 8.5 22.0 20.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Sustaining Capital 271.0 39.0 31.6 19.2 13.4 11.6 9.5 32.2 28.4 23.7 19.9 11.7 11.9 10.4 6.1 2.6 0.0 0.0
16
Expected Mill Recovery
Ranges between
74% - 85% over the life of
mine depending on the
ratio of surface to
underground materials.
17
Pricing & Exchange Rate Consensus Pricing Used for Analysis
Source: Average of bank and analyst estimates compiled by NAP, Jan. 28, 2015
Price Unit 2016 2017 2018 2019+
Palladium USD$/oz 901 935 948 855
Platinum USD$/oz 1,440 1,543 1,600 1,611
Gold USD$/oz 1,265 1,253 1,246 1,275
Nickel USD$/lb 9.31 9.53 10.11 8.87
Copper USD$/lb 3.11 3.29 3.39 3.01
Exchange Rate CAD per USD 1.15 1.12 1.11 1.11
Consensus pricing
18
Cash Flows – Current Plan
$457 M
$522 M
19
Cash Flows – Open Pit Project
$136 M
$248 M
20
Cash Flows – Base Case (Current Plan + Open Pit)
$593 M
$770 M
21
Base Case Project Sensitivity Palladium & Foreign Exchange
22
Future Opportunities
OPPORTUNITIES TO ENHANCE THE BASE CASE
Phase 2 10.9 Mt @ 3.3 g/t
23
Production Plan – Phase 2 Potential
Tailings
Offset FW
Phase 2
Phase 1
Roby/Sherriff Pit
Roby FW
RGO
72.8 Mt Mined
24
Phase 2 Payable Pd Ounces Contribution
25
Phase 2 – Operating and Capital Cost Summary
Cost per Tonne Milled
Tailings / RGO
Open Pit
Offset Phase 1
Offset Phase 2
Roby FW
Offset FW
Base Case (Current Plan + Open Pit)
$18.34 $20.01 $55.39 N/A $47.35 $56.29
Phase 2 with Shaft Deepening
$18.09 $20.01 N/A $52.11 $46.33 $51.56
OPEX
CAPEX $Cnd x 1 Million SUM 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031
Phase 2 Expansion 289.8 0.0 35.2 76.7 99.7 35.4 9.8 10.4 10.7 8.5 3.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Project Capital 242.2 0.0 35.2 76.7 99.7 29.3 1.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Sustaining Capital 47.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.1 8.5 10.4 10.7 8.5 3.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
26
Cash Flows – Current Plan + Open Pit + Phase 2
$614 M
$889 M
27
Phase 2 Project Sensitivity Palladium & Foreign Exchange
28
Low Risk Relative to other PGM Projects
The LDI site has the following advantages:
• An existing operation in a mining friendly jurisdiction with power, roads, water services all in place.
• Over 20 years of near continuous operating history.
• A large capacity mine shaft, an operating mill with excess capacity, and known recoveries and a permitted tailings facility with long-term expansion capability.
• Well established, positive relations with the regional communities and First Nations groups.
• A management team with extensive experience at managing similar projects.
29
The Way Forward – Base Case
• Commence a Preliminary Feasibility Study (PFS) on the Base Case mine plan which includes the open pit expansion and selective mining of the footwall zone.
• Investigate opportunities for accelerating some higher grade open pit options that exist within shell of the major pit expansion.
30
The Way Forward – Phase 2
• Continue exploration and definition drilling at depth to upgrade and expand the lower Offset Zone resource to support future evaluation of the Phase 2 shaft deepening.
• Perform engineering optimization studies to improve the business case for Phase 2.
Presentation for 2015 Preliminary Economic Assessment for Mine Expansion Plan at Lac des Iles Feb 26, 2015
For more information, please visit
www.nap.com
or contact Investor Relations at