The Landscape of Climate Finance 2012 - Climate Policy Initiative
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Transcript of Presentation by Climate Policy Initiative
11
BRAZILCHINAEUROPEINDIAINDONESIAUNITED STATES
Office #210-211, DLF South Court Saket, New Delhi 110017climatepolicyinitiative.org
Rooftop Solar Projects and Finance
Possibilities in India
November 2017
2
Agenda
1. Distributed Renewable Energy in India
2. Rooftop Solar- Current Scenario
3. Financing Lines for Rooftop Solar
4. Barriers and Solutions
5. About USICEF
6. About USICFP
7. About Climate Policy Initiative.
4
India’s renewable energy sector is an attractive market to invest
in…
solar potential: 750 GW;
wind potential: 300 GW
2nd in Renewable Energy Country
Attractiveness Index
100% transport electrification by
2030,
Installation target of 175 GW by 2022 (100 GW-Solar, 60 GW-
Wind)
Significant investment of about $189 bn to
be mobilised to achieve targets
5
Role of Distributed Solar Energy in India
Distributed Solar Projects- Rooftop Solar (RTS) and Off Grid Solar (OGS), including mini-
grids and off-grid solar products, offer a promising alternative to improve quality energy
access in India
– Extensive load-shedding and erratic electricity supply compels people to resort to use of local,
private and expensive solutions such as diesel generators, which raises both environmental and
health concerns
40% of the Govt. of India’s solar installation target for 2022 to be met through RTS
– 10 GW target to be met through residential and institutional rooftop consumers
– 30 GW target to be met through industrial and commercial consumers
OGS to play a crucial role in Govt. of India’s “Power for all” programme
– Programme aims to provide electricity access to every household by 2019
– 41 million households yet to be electrified in India
7
Rooftop Solar- Current Scenario
India added 678 MW of rooftop
solar capacity in FY 2016-17
Total installed rooftop solar
capacity reached 1.7 GW as of
August 2017
Commercial and industrial customers (C&I) remains the
biggest market segment
Public sector segment is also
expected to show robust growth in
the coming years because of a
strong government push
combined with 25-30% capital
subsidy.Source: Bridge to India
8
Rooftop Solar: Business Models
OPEX model has been gaining market share,
doubling from 12% in FY 2014-15 to 24% last
year. Large public sector procurement programs will drive further growth in this
market in the next few years
Fairly consolidated market as access to
capital remains tight and on-the-ground
execution is challenging. Top five
developers account for over 60% market
share.
Govt. enablers/ Incentives- 30% capital subsidy on system cost (residential)
- benefits of accelerated depreciation of 40%
- encouraging financing of systems under the priority
sector
- lower interest rates.Unit FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015 FY 2016 FY 2017
Source: Bridge to India
Unit FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015 FY 2016 FY 2017
An
nu
al c
ap
ac
ity
in
sta
llatio
n, M
W
CAPEX (Ownership
Model) – bids invited on
project cost
OPEX (PPA Model) –
bids invited on tariff
9
Rooftop Solar: Economics
• Rooftop projects are marked by high initial capital investment and low operating costs
• Typical rooftop project
– Typical size < 200 KW (C&I space).
– Average life of the project 25 years.
– Debt equity ratio 70:30
– Capital costs
• INR 5 million per 100 KW
• Installation time less than 3 months ( inclusive of the time required for the structure and the various
permissions)
– Marked by moderate debt coverage
• DSCR of 1.2x
– Moderate but constant returns to the investor
• Equity IRR > 12%
• Which with proper bundling, higher ratings and track record can attract investors looking for constant
flows
11
Financing Lines
• SBI- World Bank Line ( $ 625 million for grid connected solar rooftop)
– Door to door tenor of 15 years
– Cost – One year MCLR + ( 20 Bps to 50 BPs)
– Credit rating required ( Investment grade i.e. BBB and above)
– Fixed asset coverage ratio above 1.25x
– Average DSCR • at P75 > =1.35 & P90 >= 1.15
• PNB-ADB line ( $500 million multi-tranch facility by ADB)
– Door to door tenor of 15 years
– Cost – One year MCLR + ( 30 Bps to 50 BPs)
– Credit rating required ( Investment grade i.e. BBB and above)
– Fixed asset coverage ratio above 1.25x ( No collateral for loans < INR 1 million)
– Average DSCR • at P75 > =1.35 & P90 >= 1.15
• IREDA
– Cost – Cost of domestic borrowing +( 80BPs to 175 BPS) ~ 9.80 % to 10.75%
• RBL ( guaranteed by USAID)
– cost ~ <11%
13
Barriers and Solutions- Rooftop Solar
Rooftop Resource Assessment and Off-taker Credit Assessment
Limited information and validation on bankability and impact of business
projects.
Small ticket size investments leading to high transaction costs
Fin
an
cia
l b
arr
iers
SOLUTIONS (Market needs)
Technology-driven
platform to enable
technical and off-taker
credit risk assessment
Project Preparatory
Support
14
Barriers and Solutions- Rooftop Solar
Concerns on the credit quality of off-takers
Lack of project financing options for small ticket sizes due to which collateral
requirements are high
Shortage of long-term capital with Indian financial institutions makes funding for this
sector more difficult
Limited equity investments due to small ticket sizes and high return expectations
Fin
an
cia
l b
arr
iers
SOLUTIONS (Market needs)
Portfolio level guarantee
constructs to provide
comfort to lenders.
Financial facility to drive
inflow of long-term foreign
capital
Blended Equity Model
Payment security mechanism
to address liquidity concerns.
15
USICEFIndia’s first Distributed Solar Energy focused portfolio
preparation facility sourced equally from US
foundations and MNRE with Overseas Private
Investment Corporation (OPIC) of US as the anchor
lender for distributed solar projects to address the
early-stage project capital gap
Instruments through which these solutions can be implemented
USICFPUSICFP is a $40 million joint commitment
focused on the provision of catalytic finance made between the government of India and
a consortium of US foundations during Prime
Minister Modi’s 2016 visit to the US
17
USICEF: Process Flow
India’s first project preparation facility to scale up distributed solar power projects
and drive long-term financing
18
Key objectives:
Increase prospects for getting debt financing from OPIC and other DFIs/
lenders
Enable critical mass of projects to
unlock access to capital from public
and private sources
US Investors
…USICEF, managed by CPI, provides a suitable partnership
for investing in this sector…
Keystone of the commitment made between the Indian and US governments at COP21 in Paris to mobilize finance for Indian
distributed clean energy projects
USICEF
OPIC/IREDA/other lenders
Project Developer(RTS/ OGS)
Target segments:1. Mini-Grid & Micro-Grid Power
Generation
2. Market-Based Solutions3. Renewable Energy Infrastructure
Catalyzers
20
...USICFP, advised by CPI, provides an opportunity to engage
in risk mitigation in this sector
US-India Catalytic Finance Program (USICFP) is a $40 million joint commitment focused
on the provision of catalytic finance made between the government of India and a
consortium of US foundations during Prime Minister Modi’s 2016 visit to the US.
These instruments will serve as a tool for joint decision making for ICFP, between the
Government of India and the consortium of US foundations.
Catalytic financing interventions selected for detailed design and
structuring for ICFP: Rooftop Solar Financing Facility
Foreign Exchange Hedging Facility
Rooftop Solar Payment Security Mechanism
Venture Debt Facility
Small and medium-sized enterprise support facility
21
Role of CPI in USICFP
CPI will be serving as a communications liaison between the Government of India(GOI) and the consortium of US foundations.
Providing analytical support, preparing a report identifying the potential market development, best implementation methods and the risks associated with it.
As a facilitator
CPI will be supporting the program to achieve its objectives. That is, providing flexible financing to attract commercial capital from domestic and international financing sources into high impact projects and mobilize capital flow in the distributed solar sector in India.
As an overseeing agency
23
A global team of analysts and advisors
Climate Policy Initiative (CPI) works to improve the most important
energy and land use policies around the world, with a particular focus
on finance. We support decision makers through in-depth analysis on
what works and what does not.
We work in places that provide the most potential for policy impact,
including Brazil, China, Europe, India, Indonesia, and the United States.
Our work helps nations grow while addressing increasingly scarce
resources and climate risk. This is a complex challenge in which policy
plays a crucial role.
24
CPI India’s clients and stakeholders
Policymakers
• Ministry of
Finance
• Ministry of
Power/MNRE
• Central
Electricity
Regulatory
Commission
• NITI Aayog
Multilateral/
bilateral
organizations
• World
Bank/IFC
• ADB
• USAID
Public sector
banks
• RBI
• IREDA
• IIFCL
Research partners:
Indian School of Business, New
Climate Economy, ICRIER, Shakti
Sustainable Energy Foundation
29
Innovative and implementable financial instruments launched
by the India Lab can drive investment Loans4SMEs (endorsed)
• Peer-to-peer lending platform to help
small and medium enterprises operating
in renewable energy and energy
efficiency raise debt finance
• Potential to mobilize $2.20 billion of debt
to the SME sector for renewable energy
and energy efficiency initiatives by 2022
• Has closed transactions with a total
deal size of $5.7 mn, 80% in support of
SMEs in renewable energy and
infrastructure.
Rooftop Solar Financing Facility (endorsed)• Financing facility to provide long debt
financing at a reasonable rate to rooftop
solar developers through aggregation of
loan pools and securitization
• Potential to mobilize USD $32.3 billion of
capital to the rooftop solar sector, and
create an additional 20,000 jobs by 2022
• A $100 mn pilot requires $30 mn of
concessional finance at 8% INR; the pilot
can support in adding 168MW capacity
of rooftop solar
FX Hedging Facility (endorsed)• A customizable currency hedging product that lowers currency hedging cost,
allowing allocation of risks to suitable parties and eliminating the credit risk premium• Can reduce cost of currency hedging by ~30%
• In discussions with three foreign institutional investors/lenders to facilitate hedging of a
total of approximately $900 mn.