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The Economic Performance of RegionsMeasuring the Role of Clusters
Professor Michael E. Porter Institute for Strategy and CompetitivenessHarvard Business School
The Competitiveness Institute – Annual Meeting Gothenburg, Sweden
19 September 2003
This presentation draws on ideas from Professor Porter’s articles and books, in particular, The Competitive Advantage of Nations (The FreePress, 1990), “The Microeconomic Foundations of Economic Development,” in The Global Competitiveness Report 2002, (World EconomicForum, 2003), “Clusters and the New Competitive Agenda for Companies and Governments” in On Competition (Harvard Business School Press,1998), and the Clusters of Innovation Initiative (www.compete.org), a joint effort of the Council on Competitiveness, Monitor Group, and Professor Porter. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted in any form or by any means - electronic,mechanical, photocopying, recording, or otherwise - without the permission of Michael E. Porter.
Additional information may be found at the website of the Institute for Strategy and Competitiveness, www.isc.hbs.edu
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2 Copyright 2003 © Professor Michael E. Porter TCI Annual Conference – 09-19-03 CK
Research on Clusters and Competitiveness
• Understanding of the microeconomic foundations ofcompetitiveness and the role of clusters has made significant progressin the last decade
• Cluster-based approaches have become an accepted part of economicdevelopment
• In addition to further research on concepts or case studies, there is apressing need for empirical research in two areas:
– Creating more consistent cross-sectional and time series data
on clusters and competitiveness
– Developing a systematic body of knowledge about the appropriateprocesses of cluster development and the appropriate roles of government, the private sector, and other institutions
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3 Copyright 2003 © Professor Michael E. Porter TCI Annual Conference – 09-19-03 CK
Agenda
• Conceptual Foundations
• Empirical Evidence
• Next Steps
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4 Copyright 2003 © Professor Michael E. Porter TCI Annual Conference – 09-19-03 CK
Sources of Prosperity
ProductivityProductivity
Innovative CapacityInnovative CapacityInnovative Capacity
Competitiveness
ProsperityProsperityProsperity
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5 Copyright 2003 © Professor Michael E. Porter TCI Annual Conference – 09-19-03 CK
Context for
FirmStrategy
and Rivalry
Context for
FirmStrategyand Rivalry
Related andSupportingIndustries
Related andSupportingIndustries
Factor(Input)
Conditions
Factor(Input)
Conditions
DemandConditions
DemandConditions
Productivity, Innovation, and the Business Environment
• Successful economic development is a process of successive economic upgrading, in which
the business environment in a nation evolves to support and encourage increasinglysophisticated ways of competing
Sophisticated and demanding localcustomer(s)
Local customer needs that anticipatethose elsewhere
Unusual local demand in specializedsegments that can be servednationally and globally
Presence of high quality,specialized inputs availableto firms –Human resources –Capital resources –Physical infrastructure –Administrative infrastructure –Information infrastructure
–Scientific and technologicalinfrastructure
–Natural resources
Access to capable, locally based suppliersand firms in related fields
Presence of clusters instead of isolatedindustries
A local context and rules thatencourage investment andsustained upgrading
–e.g., Intellectual propertyprotection
Meritocratic incentive systemacross institutions
Open and vigorous competitionamong locally based rivals
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6 Copyright 2003 © Professor Michael E. Porter TCI Annual Conference – 09-19-03 CK
The California Wine Cluster
Educational, Research, & TradeOrganizations (e.g. Wine Institute,
UC Davis, Culinary Institutes)
Educational, Research, & TradeOrganizations (e.g. Wine Institute,
UC Davis, Culinary Institutes)
Growers/VineyardsGrowers/Vineyards
Sources: California Wine Institute, Internet search, California State Legislature. Based on researchby MBA 1997 students R. Alexander, R. Arney, N. Black, E. Frost, and A. Shivananda.
Wineries/ProcessingFacilities
Wineries/ProcessingFacilities
GrapestockGrapestock
Fertilizer, Pesticides,Herbicides
Fertilizer, Pesticides,Herbicides
Grape HarvestingEquipment
Grape HarvestingEquipment
Irrigation TechnologyIrrigation Technology
Winemaking EquipmentWinemaking Equipment
BarrelsBarrels
LabelsLabels
BottlesBottles
Caps and CorksCaps and Corks
Public Relations and
Advertising
Public Relations and
Advertising
Specialized Publications(e.g., Wine Spectator, Trade
Journal)
Specialized Publications(e.g., Wine Spectator, Trade
Journal)
Food Cluster Food Cluster
Tourism Cluster Tourism Cluster CaliforniaAgricultural Cluster
CaliforniaAgricultural Cluster
State Government Agencies(e.g., Select Committee on Wine
Production and Economy)
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Clusters and Competitiveness
• Clusters Increase Productivity / Efficiency – Efficient access to specialized inputs, services, employees, information, institutions,and “public goods” (e.g. training programs)
– Ease of coordination and transactions across firms
– Rapid diffusion of best practices
– Ongoing, visible performance comparisons and strong incentives to improve vs.local rivals
• Clusters Stimulate and Enable Innovations
– Enhanced ability to perceive innovation opportunities
– Presence of multiple suppliers and institutions to assist in knowledge creation – Ease of experimentation given locally available resources
• Clusters Facilitate Commercialization
– Opportunities for new companies and new lines of established business are
more apparent
– Commercializing new products and starting new companies is easier because of available skills, suppliers, etc.
Clusters reflect the fundamental influence of externalities / linkagesacross firms and associated institutions in competition
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8 Copyright 2003 © Professor Michael E. Porter TCI Annual Conference – 09-19-03 CK
Levels of Clusters
• There is often an array of clusters at different locations in a given field, eachwith different levels of specialization and sophistication
• Global innovation centers, such as Silicon Valley in semiconductors, are fewin number. If there are multiple innovation centers, they normally specialize indifferent market segments
• Other clusters focus on manufacturing, outsourced service functions, or playthe role of regional assembly or service centers
• Firms based in the most advanced clusters often seed or enhance clusters inother locations in order to reduce the risk of a single site, access lower costinputs, or better serve particular regional markets
• The challenge for an economy is to move from isolated firms to an array of clusters, and then to upgrade the breadth and sophistication of clusters tomore advanced activities
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9 Copyright 2003 © Professor Michael E. Porter TCI Annual Conference – 09-19-03 CK
Leading Footwear Clusters
Vietnam/Indonesia
• OEM Production
• Focus on the low costsegment mainly for theEuropean market
China• OEM Production
• Focus on low costsegment mainly for theUS market
Portugal
• Production
• Focus on short-production runs in themedium price range
Romania
• Production subsidiariesof Italian companies
• Focus on lower tomedium price range
United States
• Design and marketing
• Focus on specific marketsegments like sport andrecreational shoes and boots
• Manufacturing only in selectedlines such as hand-sewncasual shoes and boots
Source: Research by HBS student teams in 2002
Italy
• Design, marketing,and production of premium shoes
• Export widely to theworld market
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10 Copyright 2003 © Professor Michael E. Porter TCI Annual Conference – 09-19-03 CK
GeneralGeneral
• Chambers of Commerce
• Professional associations
• School networks
• University partner groups
• Religious networks
• Joint private/public advisorycouncils
• Competitiveness councils
• Chambers of Commerce
• Professional associations
• School networks
• University partner groups• Religious networks
• Joint private/public advisorycouncils
• Competitiveness councils
Cluster-specificCluster-specific
• Industry associations
• Specialized professionalassociations and societies
• Alumni groups of core cluster companies
• Incubators
• Industry associations
• Specialized professionalassociations and societies
• Alumni groups of core cluster companies
• Incubators
Institutions for Collaboration
• Institutions for collaboration (IFC) are formaland informal organizations that
- facilitate the exchange of informationand technology
- conduct joint activities
- foster coordination among firms
• IFCs can improve the business environmentby
- creating relationships and level of trustthat make them more effective
- defining of common standards
- conducting or facilitating the organizationof collective action in areas such as
procurement, information gathering, or international marketing
- defining and communicating commonbeliefs and attitudes
- providing mechanisms to develop acommon economic or cluster agenda
Source: Porter/Emmons, Institutions for Collaboration: Overview, HBS case 9-703-436, 2003
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Institutions for CollaborationSelected Institutions for Collaboration, San Diego
Source: Clusters of Innovation project (www.compete.org)
GeneralGeneral
San Diego Chamber of Commerce
San Diego MIT Enterprise Forum
Corporate Director’s Forum
San Diego Dialogue
Service Corps of Retired Executives, San Diego
San Diego Regional Economic DevelopmentCorporation
Center for Applied Competitive Technologies
San Diego World Trade Center
UCSD Alumni
San Diego Regional Technology Alliance
San Diego Science and Technology Council
Office of Trade and Business Development
San Diego Chamber of Commerce
San Diego MIT Enterprise Forum
Corporate Director’s Forum
San Diego Dialogue
Service Corps of Retired Executives, San Diego
San Diego Regional Economic DevelopmentCorporation
Center for Applied Competitive Technologies
San Diego World Trade Center
UCSD Alumni
San Diego Regional Technology Alliance
San Diego Science and Technology Council
Office of Trade and Business Development
Cluster-SpecificCluster-Specific
Linkabit Alumni
Hybritech Alumni
Scripps Research Institute Alumni
BIOCOMM
UCSD Connect
Linkabit Alumni
Hybritech Alumni
Scripps Research Institute Alumni
BIOCOMM
UCSD Connect
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12 Copyright 2003 © Professor Michael E. Porter TCI Annual Conference – 09-19-03 CK
Influences on CompetitivenessMultiple Geographic Levels
Broad Economic AreasBroad Economic Areas
Groups of NeighboringGroups of Neighboring
NationsNations
States, ProvincesStates, Provinces
Metropolitan Areas,Metropolitan Areas,
Rural AreasRural Areas
NationsNations
World EconomyWorld Economy
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13 Copyright 2003 © Professor Michael E. Porter TCI Annual Conference – 09-19-03 CK
Shifting Responsibilities for Economic Development
Old ModelOld Model
• Government drives economic
development through policy
decisions and incentives
• Government drives economic
development through policy
decisions and incentives
New ModelNew Model
• Economic development is a
collaborative process involvinggovernment at multiple levels,
companies, teaching and
research institutions, and
institutions for collaboration
• Economic development is a
collaborative process involvinggovernment at multiple levels,
companies, teaching and
research institutions, and
institutions for collaboration
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14 Copyright 2003 © Professor Michael E. Porter TCI Annual Conference – 09-19-03 CK
Agenda
• Conceptual Foundations
• Empirical Evidence
• Next Steps
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15 Copyright 2003 © Professor Michael E. Porter TCI Annual Conference – 09-19-03 CK
Measuring the Composition and Performance of RegionsSources of U.S. Data
• The U.S. provides the most accessible data on regional economies; we utilizetwo main datasets in our research
– County Business Patterns (CBP)
– Patent data from the U.S. Patent and Trademark Office (PTO) and CHIResearch
• The CBP data provides employment, wage, and establishment data for the1990 to 2001 period at the four-digit SIC level (five-digit NAICS level since1997)
– Building up from the county level, data can be aggregated to the level of metropolitan statistical areas (MSA), economic areas (EA), states, andother geographic units
– We use mainly data on the 172 EAs because they are meaningful, self-contained economic units
• The patent data, also for the 1990 to 2001 period, is matched to the CBP data
– Allocation of patent technology codes to SIC codes uses an algorithmdeveloped by Silverman (1999)
– Allocation to geographies is based on the location of the patentor
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16 Copyright 2003 © Professor Michael E. Porter TCI Annual Conference – 09-19-03 CK
Economic Performance of RegionsEvidence from the United States
Source: Michael E. Porter, The Economic Performance of Regions”, Regional Studies , Vol. 37, 2003
• U.S. regions differ widely in terms of their economic performance
Wages
• Average wage levels range from $19,225 (McAllen, TX) to $49,351 (Bay Area, CA)
• Wage growth between 1990 and 2001 has averaged 3.6% annually, ranging from 1.9%(Wheeling, WV-OH) to 5.9% (Austin-San Marcos, TX)
• Wage growth during this period had a weak negative relationship to starting wage levels
Employment
• Average annual employment growth between 1990 and 2000 ranged from -.1% (Syracuse,NY) to 6.4% (Austin-San Marcos, TX)
• Employment growth in this period has had little relation to starting level wages but was
positively and significantly related to wage growth• Employment growth varies more strongly across regions than either wages or wage growth(Coefficients of variation: .47 vs. .17 and .16)
• Large regions with high absolute employment levels registered significantly higher wages butlower wage growth and employment growth
Patenting• Patenting intensity and growth in patenting intensity varies even more strongly across
regions than employment (Coefficient of variations are 1.3 and 1.2)
• Patenting intensity is positively and significantly related to wage levels. About 30% of theregional variation in wages is accounted for by variations in patenting intensity
• The breadth of innovators in a region, as measured by patentor concentration, is alsopositively related to wages
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17 Copyright 2003 © Professor Michael E. Porter TCI Annual Conference – 09-19-03 CK
1.5%
2.5%
3.5%
4.5%
5.5%
6.5%
$10,000 $15,000 $20,000 $25,000 $30,000
Austin-San Marcos, TX
New York, NY
Bay Area, CA
Anchorage, AK
North Platte, NE-CO
McAllen, TX
Aberdeen, SD
Source: County Business Patterns; Michael E. Porter, The Economic Performance of Regions”, Regional Studies , Vol. 37, 2003
Economic Performance of RegionsWage Level and Growth, U.S. Economic Areas
Annual Wage GrowthRate, 1990-2001
Average Wage, 2001
y = 4E-05x + 2.8316
R2 = 0.0339P-value = .016Wheeling, WV-OH
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18 Copyright 2003 © Professor Michael E. Porter TCI Annual Conference – 09-19-03 CK
-0.5%
0.5%
1.5%
2.5%
3.5%
4.5%
5.5%
6.5%
7.5%
0 1,000,000 2,000,000 3,000,000 4,000,000
y = -2E-07x + 2.2394
R2 = 0.0309P-value = .021
New York, NY(9,974,160, 0.61%)
Source: County Business Patterns; Michael E. Porter, The Economic Performance of Regions”, Regional Studies , Vol. 37, 2003
Annual EmploymentGrowth Rate, 1990-
2001
Employment in Starting Period, 1990
Economic Performance of RegionsEmployment Level and Growth, U.S. Economic Areas
Los Angeles, CA(6,276,102, 0.75%)
Austin-San Marcos, TX
Las Vegas, NV-AZ-UT
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19 Copyright 2003 © Professor Michael E. Porter TCI Annual Conference – 09-19-03 CK
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
7.0%
-0.5% 0.5% 1.5% 2.5% 3.5% 4.5% 5.5% 6.5%
Source: County Business Patterns; Michael E. Porter, The Economic Performance of Regions”, Regional Studies , Vol. 37, 2003
Annual Wage GrowthRate, 1990 – 2001
Annual Employment Growth Rate, 1990-2001
Economic Performance of RegionsEmployment and Wage Growth, 1990 – 2001, U.S. Economic Areas
Las Vegas, NV-AZ-UT
Austin-San Marcos, TX
Bay Area, CA
y = 2E-07x + 3.4717R2 = 0.1439
P-value < .001
Wheeling, WV-OH
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20 Copyright 2003 © Professor Michael E. Porter TCI Annual Conference – 09-19-03 CK
$15,000
$25,000
$35,000
$45,000
$55,000
0 2,000,000 4,000,000 6,000,000 8,000,000 10,000,000
Source: County Business Patterns; Michael E. Porter, The Economic Performance of Regions”, Regional Studies , Vol. 37, 2003
Average Wage, 2001
Employment , 2001
Los Angeles, CA
New York, NYBay Area, CA
y = 3436.5Ln(x) - 15161R2 = 0.6908
Economic Performance of RegionsSize and Wage Level, U.S. Economic Areas
y = 0.0029x + 26325R2 = 0.5419
P-value < .001
Note: Since the employment size of the Los Angeles and New York EAs are substantially larger than the size of the rest of the regions, we alsoexamined the results after dropping these two observations. R2 rises and the coefficient of size remains positive but is somewhat higher for both the linear
and the non-linear specification of the regression
Boston, MA
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21 Copyright 2003 © Professor Michael E. Porter TCI Annual Conference – 09-19-03 CK
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
Patents per 10,000Inhabitants, 2001
Economic Areas
Innovation Performance of RegionsPatenting Intensity, U.S. Economic Areas
Source: U.S. Patent and Trademark Office; CHI Research; Michael E. Porter, The Economic Performance of Regions”, Regional Studies , Vol. 37, 2003
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22 Copyright 2003 © Professor Michael E. Porter TCI Annual Conference – 09-19-03 CK
$15,000
$25,000
$35,000
$45,000
$55,000
0 50 100 150 200 250 300
Average Wage, 2001
Patents per 100,000 Inhabitants, 2001
Rochester, NY
New York, NY
Bay Area, CA
y = 3729.6Ln(x) + 18486R2 = 0.4538
Boise City, ID-OH
y = 84.73x + 26495R2 = 0.2301
P-value < .001
Innovation Performance of RegionsPatenting Intensity and Wage Level, U.S. Economic Areas
Austin-San Marcos, TX
San Diego, CA
Source: U.S. Patent and Trademark Office; CHI Research; County Business Patterns;Michael E. Porter, The Economic Performance of Regions”, Regional Studies , Vol. 37, 2003
Boston, MA
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23 Copyright 2003 © Professor Michael E. Porter TCI Annual Conference – 09-19-03 CK
$15,000
$25,000
$35,000
$45,000
$55,000
0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0
Average Wage, 2001
Patent Herfindahl-Hirschman Index, 2001
y = -3752.8Ln(x) + 21269R2 = 0.3872
y = -12922x + 30961R2 = 0.1961
Source: U.S. Patent and Trademark Office; CHI Research; County Business Patterns;Michael E. Porter, The Economic Performance of Regions”, Regional Studies , Vol. 37, 2003
Innovation Performance of RegionsPatentor Concentration and Wage Level, U.S. Economic Areas
New York, NY
Bay Area, CA
Boston, MA
Anchorage, AK
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24 Copyright 2003 © Professor Michael E. Porter TCI Annual Conference – 09-19-03 CK
Mapping Regional ClustersStatistical Definition of Clusters
• Many previous studies have used ad-hoc cluster definitions, in somecases supported by input-output data
• The Cluster Mapping Project set out to delineate the boundaries of
clusters statistically
– Cluster boundaries are based on the actual patterns of co-locationof industry employment across U.S. states
• The process of identifying cluster involves two steps: – Distinguishing local, traded, and natural-resource dependent
industries
– Grouping 590 traded industries into 41 traded clusters
• Findings and details of the methodology are available at the web site of the Institute for Strategy and Competitiveness www.isc.hbs.edu and in“Michael E. Porter, The Economic Performance of Regions”, Regional Studies , Vol. 37, 2003”.
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Composition of Regional EconomiesUnited States, 2001
Traded ClustersTraded ClustersTraded Clusters Local ClustersLocal ClustersLocal Clusters Natural Resource-Driven Industries
Natural ResourceNatural Resource--
Driven IndustriesDriven Industries
31.6%
1.7%
$44,956
133.84.5%
144.1
21.7
590
31.6%31.6%
1.7%1.7%
$44,956$44,956
133.8133.84.5%4.5%
144.1144.1
21.721.7
590590
67.6%
2.8%
$28,288
84.23.7%
79.3
1.3
241
67.6%67.6%
2.8%2.8%
$28,288$28,288
84.284.23.7%3.7%
79.379.3
1.31.3
241241
0.8%
-1.0%
$33,245
99.02.0%
140.1
7.2
48
0.8%0.8%
--1.0%1.0%
$33,245$33,245
99.099.02.0%2.0%
140.1140.1
7.27.2
4848
Share of Employment
Employment Growth, 1990to 2001
Average Wage
Relative WageWage Growth
Relative Productivity
Patents per 10,000Employees
Number of SIC Industries
Note: 2001 data, except relative productivity which is 1997 data.Source: Cluster Mapping Project, Institute for Strategy and Competitiveness, Harvard Business School
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26 Copyright 2003 © Professor Michael E. Porter TCI Annual Conference – 09-19-03 CK
Broad Composition of Regional EconomiesSelected Findings
• 42% of employment in traded industries is goods producingindustries while 58% is in services
– The relative share of employment in service industries has increased inboth traded (+11.9%) and local industries (+0.5%) in the last decade
• Traded services industries have 20% higher average wages thantraded goods
Composition and wages
• The average level of local wages is strongly associated to the level oftraded wages in a region, with causality likely to run from traded tolocal wages
• The relative wage of regions is most strongly influenced by the relativewages for each broad industry group (80.6% of variation acrossregions) versus their relative shares (ratio of traded versus localemployment) (19.4%)
Source: Michael E. Porter, The Economic Performance of Regions”, Regional Studies , Vol. 37, 2003
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27 Copyright 2003 © Professor Michael E. Porter TCI Annual Conference – 09-19-03 CK
$15,000
$20,000
$25,000
$30,000
$35,000
$40,000
$15,000 $25,000 $35,000 $45,000 $55,000 $65,000 $75,000
Source: County Business Patterns; Michael E. Porter, The Economic Performance of Regions”, Regional Studies , Vol. 37, 2003
Average Local Wage,2001
Average Traded Wage, 2001
New York, NY
Bay Area, CA
y = 0.33x + 12069R2 = 0.6869
P-value < .001
Boston, MA
Broad Composition of Regional EconomiesLocal versus Traded Wages
Anchorage, AK
Reno, NV
Las Vegas, NV
Seattle, WA
Wheeling, WV-OH
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28 Copyright 2003 © Professor Michael E. Porter TCI Annual Conference – 09-19-03 CK
Composition of Regional EconomiesEmployment in Traded Clusters
Note: Negative growth rates in italicsSource: Cluster Mapping Project, Institute for Strategy and Competitiveness, Harvard Business School
Employment, 2001
5.6%
2.5%
2.5%
3.4%
3.3%3.1%
3.1%0.4%
0.2%1.6%
5.2%-0.1%
1.9%3.1%
-1.6% 1.7%
0.3%-5.1%
-1.7% -0.3%
-0.4% -0.4%
-3.3%
-0.4%
0.2%
2.5%
-1.2%
-6.3%
-0.3% 2.6%
3.6%
0.1%
0.8%0.6%
-1.6%
-0.4%
-9.3%
-1.0% -0.7%
-4.3% 0.8%
0
1,000,000
2,000,000
3,000,000
4,000,000
5,000,000
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i v e n P r o d
u c t s
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s t P r o d u c
t s
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r e
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i c a l D e v
i c e s
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n d G
a s P r
o d . a
n d S e r v
i c e s
A e r o
s p a c
e V e h i c
l e s a n d
D e f .
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a n d E l
e c t r i c a
l E q u i p
.
P r e f
a b r i c a
t e d E n
c l o s u r
e s
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r G e n
e r a t
i o n a n d
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m .
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r a l P r o d
u c t s
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h a r m
a c e u t
i c a l s
C o n s
t r u c t i o n
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s
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r P r o d u c
t s
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t a l s
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t i n g , R e
c r . a
n d C h i l d . G o
o d s
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s p a c
e E n g i n e
s
F i s h i n g
a n d F i
s h i n g P r o d
u c t s
T o b a
c c o
F o o t w e
a r
Annual Employment Growth Rate, CAGR, 1990–2001
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29 Copyright 2003 © Professor Michael E. Porter TCI Annual Conference – 09-19-03 CK
Composition of Regional EconomiesWages in Traded Clusters
Source: Cluster Mapping Project, Institute for Strategy and Competitiveness, Harvard Business School
Average Wage,2001
9.7%
7.8%
5.0%6.2%6.0%
3.8%
4.4%3.8%
4.8%5.4%
3.6%3.4%
5.2%3.3%
2.6%
2.7%4.2%
3.5%4.2%
3.0%
3.0%
2.9%
2.3%3.8%
3.1%
3.9%
3.1%
3.0%
5.0%
2.6%
4.4%3.4%
3.4%3.3%
3.7%4.2%
3.9%
4.5%4.7%3.9%
3.3%
$0
$10,000
$20,000
$30,000
$40,000
$50,000
$60,000
$70,000
$80,000
$90,000
$100,000
I n f o
r m a t
i o n T e
c h n o
l o g y
F i n a
n c i a l
S e r v i c e
s
P o w e
r G e n
e r a t
i o n a n d
T r a n s
m .
C o m m
u n i c a
t i o n s E q u i p m
e n t
B u s i n
e s s S e r v
i c e s
A e r o
s p a c
e V e h i c
l e s a n d
D e f .
O i l a
n d G
a s P r
o d . a n
d S e r v i c e
s
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s
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t i c a l I n
s t r u m
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D i s t r i b u
t i o n S e r v
i c e s
C h e m
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u c t s
B i o p
h a r m
a c e u t
i c a l s
M e d
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i c e s
T o b a
c c o
A u t o m
o t i v e
F o r e
s t P r o d u c
t s
P u b l i s h i
n g a n
d P r i n
t i n g
P r o d
u c t i o n
T e c h n o
l o g y
E n t e
r t a i n m
e n t
M e t
a l M
a n u f a c t u
r i n g
H e a v
y C o n
s t r u
c t i o n S e r v
i c e s
H e a v
y M a c h i n e
r y
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s p o r
t a t i o n
a n d
L o g i s t i c s
L i g h t i n g
a n d E l
e c t r i c a
l E q u i p
.
M o t
o r D r
i v e n P r o d
u c t s
J e w e
l r y a n d
P r e c
i o u s M e
t a l s
P l a s
t i c s
P r o c
e s s e d F
o o d
E d u c
a t i o n
a n d
K n o w
l e d g e C
r .
P r e f
a b r i c a
t e d E n
c l o s u r
e s
S p o r
t i n g , R e
c r . a
n d C h i l d . G o
o d s
C o n s
t r u c t i o n
M a t e r i a l
s
B u i l d i
n g F i
x t u r e
s , E q u i
p , a . S
e r v .
A g r i c u l t u r
a l P r o d
u c t s
T e x t i l e s
L e a t h e
r P r o d u c
t s
F i s h i n g
a n d F i
s h i n g P r o d
u c t s
F u r n i t u r
e
F o o t w e
a r
A p p
a r e l
H o s p
i t a l i t y a
n d T o u
r i s m
Annual Wage Growth Rate, CAGR, 1990–2001
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30 Copyright 2003 © Professor Michael E. Porter TCI Annual Conference – 09-19-03 CK
Plastics
Oil andGas
ChemicalProducts
Pharma-ceuticals
Power
Generation
AerospaceVehicles &Defense
Lightning &ElectricalEquipment
FinancialServices
Publishingand Printing
Entertainment
Hospitality
and Tourism
Transportationand Logistics
InformationTechnology
Communi-cations
Equipment
MedicalDevices
AnalyticalInstruments
Educationand
KnowledgeCreation
ApparelLeather
andSportingGoods
AgriculturalProducts
ProcessedFood
Furniture
BuildingFixtures,
Equipmentand
Services
Note: Clusters with overlapping borders or identical shadinghave at least 20% overlap (by number of industries) in both directions
Sporting,
Recreation and
Children’s
Goods
BusinessServices
DistributionServices
Fishing &Fishing
Products
Footwear
ForestProducts
HeavyConstruction
Services
Jewelry &PreciousMetals
ConstructionMaterials
PrefabricatedEnclosures
Textiles
Tobacco
HeavyMachinery
AerospaceEngines
Automotive
ProductionTechnology
Motor DrivenProducts
MetalManufacturing
Traded Cluster Overlap
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31 Copyright 2003 © Professor Michael E. Porter TCI Annual Conference – 09-19-03 CK
Patents per 10,000Employees, 2001
Source: U.S. Patent and Trademark Office; CHI Research; Cluster Mapping Project, Harvard Business School.
Patenting Intensity by Traded Cluster
Average: 35.6
0
50
100
150
200
250
C o m m u
n i c a t i o n
s E q u i p m e n
t
A n a
l y t i c a
l I n s t
r u m
e n t s
B
i o p h
a r m
a c e u
t i c a l s
I n f o r m
a t i o
n T e c h
n o l o g y
M e d
i c a l D e
v i c e s
C h e m
i c a l P r
o d u c
t s
P r o d u
c t i o n
T e c h n
o l o g y
P l a s
t i c s
M o t o
r D r i v e
n P r o d
u c t s
L e a t
h e r a n
d R e l a t
e d P r
o d u c
t s
A u t o
m o t
i v e
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y M a c
h i n e
r y
L i g h t
i n g a n d E
l e c t r i c a
l E q u i p m
e n t
S p o r
t i n g ,
R e c r
e a t i o n
a l a n d C
h i l d r
e n ' s G
o o d s
C o n s
t r u c t i o
n M a t
e r i a
l s
F o o t
w e a r
M
e t a l
M a n
u f a c
t u r i n
g
F o r e
s t P r o d
u c t s
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r G e n
e r a t i o n
a n d
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s m i s s
i o n
P u b
l i s h i n
g a n
d P r i n
t i n g
F i s h
i n g a n
d F i s h
i n g P r
o d u c
t s
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n g F i
x t u r
e s , E q u i
p m e n
t a n d
S e r
v i c e s
O i l a
n d G
a s P r o
d u c t s
a n d
S e r
v i c e s
T e x t i l e s
E n t e
r t a i n m
e n t
P r e f a b
r i c a t e
d E n c l o s
u r e s
T o b a
c c o
A e r o
s p a c
e V e h i c l e
s a n d
D e f e
n s e
A e r
o s p a
c e E n
g i n e s
P r o c
e s s e
d F o o d
A g
r i c u l t u
r a l P r
o d u c
t s
F u r n
i t u r e
A p p a
r e l
H e a v
y C o n s
t r u c t i o
n S e r
v i c e s
J e w e
l r y a n d
P r e c
i o u s
M e t
a l s
E d u c
a t i o
n a n d K
n o w l
e d g e C
r e a t
i o n
T r a n
s p o r t a
t i o n a
n d L o
g i s t i c s
H o s p i t a
l i t y a n d
T o u r
i s m
B u s i n e
s s S e r
v i c e s
D i s t
r i b u t i o
n S e r
v i c e s
F i n a
n c i a
l S e r
v i c e s
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32 Copyright 2003 © Professor Michael E. Porter TCI Annual Conference – 09-19-03 CK
Traded ClustersKey Observations
Cluster composition of regions
• The mix of clusters varies widely across U.S. regions with an average standarddeviation of employment rank for a given cluster of 6.8
• U.S. state economies were, on average, more concentrated in specific traded
clusters in 2000 than in 1990
Cluster mix and wage
• The average traded cluster wage in a region is most strongly influenced by therelative wages within given traded clusters (73.8% of variation across regions)versus the mix of clusters (26.2%)
Cluster specialization and economic performance
• The share of traded employment in a region in strong clusters (LQ ≥ .8) is
positively and significantly related to average wages and to patenting• Increasing concentration of employment in specific clusters is positively andsignificantly associated with wage growth
Source: Michael E. Porter, The Economic Performance of Regions”, Regional Studies , Vol. 37, 2003
Specialization of Regional Economies
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33 Copyright 2003 © Professor Michael E. Porter TCI Annual Conference – 09-19-03 CK
Specialization of Regional EconomiesSelect U.S. Geographic Areas
BostonAnalytical InstrumentsEducation and Knowledge CreationCommunications Equipment
BostonAnalytical InstrumentsEducation and Knowledge CreationCommunications Equipment
Los Angeles Area
ApparelBuilding Fixtures,Equipment andServices
Entertainment
Los Angeles Area
ApparelBuilding Fixtures,Equipment andServices
Entertainment
ChicagoCommunications EquipmentProcessed FoodHeavy Machinery
ChicagoCommunications EquipmentProcessed FoodHeavy Machinery
Denver, COLeather and Sporting GoodsOil and GasAerospace Vehicles and Defense
Denver, COLeather and Sporting GoodsOil and GasAerospace Vehicles and Defense
San DiegoLeather and Sporting GoodsPower GenerationEducation and KnowledgeCreation
San DiegoLeather and Sporting GoodsPower GenerationEducation and KnowledgeCreation
San Francisco-Oakland-San JoseBay AreaCommunications
EquipmentAgriculturalProductsInformationTechnology
San Francisco-Oakland-San JoseBay AreaCommunications
EquipmentAgriculturalProductsInformationTechnology
Seattle-Bellevue-Everett, WAAerospace Vehicles andDefenseFishing and FishingProducts
Analytical Instruments
Seattle-Bellevue-Everett, WAAerospace Vehicles andDefenseFishing and FishingProducts
Analytical Instruments
HoustonHeavy Construction ServicesOil and GasAerospace Vehicles and Defense
HoustonHeavy Construction ServicesOil and GasAerospace Vehicles and Defense
Pittsburgh, PAConstruction MaterialsMetal ManufacturingEducation and Knowledge
Creation
Pittsburgh, PAConstruction MaterialsMetal ManufacturingEducation and Knowledge
Creation
Atlanta, GADistributionTransportation and LogisticsBusiness Services
Atlanta, GADistributionTransportation and LogisticsBusiness Services
Raleigh-Durham, NCCommunications EquipmentInformation TechnologyEducation andKnowledge Creation
Raleigh-Durham, NCCommunications EquipmentInformation TechnologyEducation andKnowledge Creation
Wichita, KSAerospace Vehicles and
DefenseHeavy MachineryOil and Gas
Wichita, KSAerospace Vehicles and
DefenseHeavy Machinery
Oil and Gas
Note: Clusters listed are the three highest ranking clusters in terms of share of national employmentSource: Cluster Mapping Project, Institute for Strategy and Competitiveness, Harvard Business School
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34 Copyright 2003 © Professor Michael E. Porter TCI Annual Conference – 09-19-03 CK
0
1
2
3
4
-50 0 50 100
Specialization of Regional EconomiesAtlanta Metro Area
PercentageShare ofNational
ClusterEmployment
in 2000
Percentage Change, 1990–2000
= 0–19,999 = 20,000–49,999 = 50,000–99,999 = 100,000+
Power Generation(1.8, 320.1)
Oil and Gas
Agricultural Products
Leather Products
Heavy Construction Services
Heavy Machinery
Processed Food
Analytical InstrumentsProduction Technology
MetalManufacturing
Education andKnowledge Creation
DistributionServicesFinancial
Services
Transportation and Logistics(4.1, 74.7)
BusinessServices
Jewelry andPrecious Metals
PrefabricatedEnclosures
Furniture
Lighting andElectrical
Equipment
Apparel
Hospitalityand
Tourism
Pharmaceuticalsand Biotechnology
Atlanta’s AverageShare = 1.9%
Note: Uses narrow cluster definitions to avoid overlapSource: Cluster Mapping Project, Institute for Strategy and Competitiveness, Harvard Business School
Motor DrivenProducts
Aerospace Vehiclesand Defense
Aerospace Engines(0.5, 601.7)
Textiles
Building Fixtures,
Equipmentand Services
Sporting Products
Automotive
IT
CommunicationsEquipment
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35 Copyright 2003 © Professor Michael E. Porter TCI Annual Conference – 09-19-03 CK
-$30,000
-$20,000
-$10,000
$0
$10,000
$20,000
$30,000
-$25,000 -$20,000 -$15,000 -$10,000 -$5,000 $0 $5,000 $10,000 $15,000
Source: County Business Patterns; Michael E. Porter, The Economic Performance of Regions”, Regional Studies , Vol. 37, 2003
Cluster Wage LevelEffect, 2001
Cluster Mix Effect, 2001
New York, NY
Bay Area, CA
Boston, MAAnchorage, AKLas Vegas, NV
Seattle, WA
Wheeling, WV-OH
Traded ClusterCluster Wage and Cluster Mix Effect
Austin-San Marcos, TX
Median=$-3,419
Median=$-12,264
C
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36 Copyright 2003 © Professor Michael E. Porter TCI Annual Conference – 09-19-03 CK
$15,000
$25,000
$35,000
$45,000
$55,000
50 100 150 200 250 300
Average RegionalWage, 2001
Share of Traded Employment in Strong Clusters (LQ ³ .8), 2001
y = 96.736x + 16218R2 = 0.377
New York, NY
Bay Area, CA
Boston, MA
Traded ClusterEmployment in Strong Clusters and Wage Levels
Source: County Business Patterns; Michael E. Porter, The Economic Performance of Regions”, Regional Studies , Vol. 37, 2003
T d d Cl
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37 Copyright 2003 © Professor Michael E. Porter TCI Annual Conference – 09-19-03 CK
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
4.0%
4.5%
5.0%
5.5%
-0.06 -0.04 -0.02 0.00 0.02 0.04 0.06 0.08 0.10
Source: County Business Patterns; Michael E. Porter, The Economic Performance of Regions”, Regional Studies , Vol. 37, 2003
Annual Regional WageGrowth Rate, 1990-2001
Change of Cluster Employment GINI, 1990-2001
y = 8.7905x + 3.6107R2 = 0.2626
P-value = .0001
Traded ClusterChange in Cluster Employment Concentration and Wage Growth
MANY
Economy
becoming less specialized
Economy
becoming more specialized
Explaining Average Regional Wages
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38 Copyright 2003 © Professor Michael E. Porter TCI Annual Conference – 09-19-03 CK
Explaining Average Regional WagesMultiple Regression Model
Independent VariableIndependent Variable
• Total regional employment
• Patents per capita
• Patentor concentration
• Share of strong clusters inregional employment
• Cluster breadth
• Total regional employment
• Patents per capita
• Patentor concentration
• Share of strong clusters inregional employment
• Cluster breadth
EffectEffect
Positive, significant
Positive, significant
Negative, significant
Positive, significant
Positive, significant
Positive, significant
Positive, significant
Negative, significant
Positive, significant
Positive, significant
Dependent variable: Regional Average Wage
Note: Regression uses 2001 data for 172 U.S. economic areasSource: Michael E. Porter, The Economic Performance of Regions”, Regional Studies , Vol. 37, 2003
Explained Variation (adjusted R2): 72.8%
Cluster Mapping Web Site
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39 Copyright 2003 © Professor Michael E. Porter TCI Annual Conference – 09-19-03 CK
Cluster Mapping Web Site
• The web site of the Cluster Mapping Data project (access throughwww.isc.hbs.edu) provides
– Regional data (state, EA, MSA)
– Cluster and subcluster data – Time-series data
• Much of the data is available based on registration only. A subscription
site provides access to more detailed data and options for enhanceddata downloading
Agenda
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40 Copyright 2003 © Professor Michael E. Porter TCI Annual Conference – 09-19-03 CK
Agenda
• Conceptual Foundations
• Economic Performance of Regions
• Cluster Composition of Regions
• Next Steps
Future Empirical Research Agenda
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41 Copyright 2003 © Professor Michael E. Porter TCI Annual Conference – 09-19-03 CK
Future Empirical Research AgendaCurrent Efforts
• Develop cluster data at the national level using international tradepatterns – Launch of new data website at www.isc.hbs.edu before the end of 2003
• Roll out the methodology to countries besides the United States – Canada, 2001 (www.competeprosper.ca)
– Sweden, 2003 (www.cluster-research.org)
• Analysis of rural regions and their relationships to nearby metropolitan
areas – On-going effort with the Economic Development Agency (EDA –
Department of Commerce) in the United States
• Collection of further data on the regional business environments to
understand the drivers of cluster composition and performance – Studies in selected U.S. regions in the Clusters of Innovation -project
– New initiative to collect cluster data via the Cluster Competitiveness Report offered by the “Fundacio Clusters I Competitivitat”(www.clustercompetitiveness.org)
Selected References on Clusters Competition Innovation
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42 Copyright 2003 © Professor Michael E. Porter TCI Annual Conference – 09-19-03 CK
Selected References on Clusters, Competition, Innovation,and Regional Economies
Professor Michael E. Porter• “The Economic Performance of Regions”, Regional Studies, Vol. 37, 2003
• “UK Competitiveness: Moving to the Next Stage”, with Christian Ketels, DTI Economics Papers, No.3,London: 2003
• “The Competitive Advantage of Corporate Philanthropy,” with Mark Kramer, Harvard Business Review,December 2002
• “Building the Microeconomic Foundations of Prosperity: Findings from the MicroeconomicCompetitiveness Index” in The Global Competitiveness Report 2002-03, New York: Oxford UniversityPress, New York: Oxford University Press, 2002
• “Clusters of Innovation Initiative: Research Triangle Report,” (with the Council on Competitiveness,Monitor Group, and ontheFRONTIER), Washington, DC: Council on Competitiveness, 2002
• “Clusters of Innovation Initiative: Pittsburgh Report,” (with the Council on Competitiveness, Monitor Group, and ontheFRONTIER), Washington, DC: Council on Competitiveness, 2002
• “Clusters of Innovation Initiative: Atlanta Report,” (with the Council on Competitiveness, Monitor Group,and ontheFRONTIER), Washington, DC: Council on Competitiveness, 2002
• “Clusters of Innovation Initiative: Wichita Report,” (with the Council on Competitiveness, Monitor Group,and ontheFRONTIER), Washington, DC: Council on Competitiveness, 2002
• “Enhancing the Microeconomic Foundations of Prosperity: The Current Competitiveness Index” in The
Global Competitiveness Report 2001-02, New York: Oxford University Press, 2001
Selected References on Clusters, Competition, Innovation,
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43 Copyright 2003 © Professor Michael E. Porter TCI Annual Conference – 09-19-03 CK
• “U.S. Competitiveness 2001,” with Debra van Opstal, Washington, DC: Council on Competitiveness, 2001
• “Innovation Lecture,” published by the Dutch Ministry of Economics, 2001
• “National Report: Clusters of Innovation Initiative,” (with the Council on Competitiveness, Monitor Group,and ontheFRONTIER), Washington, DC: Council on Competitiveness, 2001
• “Clusters of Innovation Initiative: San Diego Report,” (with the Council on Competitiveness, Monitor Group,and ontheFRONTIER), Washington, DC: Council on Competitiveness, 2001
• “The Current Competitiveness Index: Measuring the Microeconomic Foundations of Prosperity” in TheGlobal Competitiveness Report 2000-01, New York: Oxford University Press, 2000
• “Location, Competition, and Economic Development: Local Clusters in a Global Economy,” (EconomicDevelopment Quarterly, February 2000, 15-34)
• “Locations, Clusters, and Company Strategy” in The Oxford Handbook of Economic Geography, (G. L.Clark, M.P. Feldman, and M.S. Gertler, eds.), New York: Oxford University Press, 2000
• “Attitudes, Values, Beliefs and the Microeconomics of Prosperity,” in Culture Matters: How Values ShapeHuman Progress, (L.E. Harrison, S.P. Huntington, eds.), New York: Basic Books, 2000
• “Clusters and the New Competitive Agenda for Companies and Governments” in On Competition, Boston:Harvard Business School Press, 1998
• The Competitive Advantage of Nations, New York: The Free Press, 1990
pand Regional Economies (continued)
Professor Michael E. Porter
Web resources
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44 Copyright 2003 © Professor Michael E. Porter TCI Annual Conference – 09-19-03 CK
Web resources
• Institute for Strategy and Competitiveness www.isc.hbs.edu
– Cluster Mapping Project data.isc.hbs.edu/isc
– Cluster Profiles data.isc.hbs.edu/cp
• Clusters of Innovation Initiative
– Council on Competitiveness www.compete.org
– Monitor Company www.monitor.com
• Cluster Competitiveness Report
– “Fundacio Clusters I Competitivitat” www.clustercompetitiveness.org