PREPARE Guatemala Second Semi-Annual Performance Report
Transcript of PREPARE Guatemala Second Semi-Annual Performance Report
PREPARE Guatemala
Second Semi-Annual Performance Report Reporting Period: April 1, 2021 – September 30, 2021
Implementation Partner: Miyamoto International
Activity Number: 720FDA20GR00246
Activity Name: PREPARE Guatemala
Implementation Country: Guatemala
Activity Start Date: October 1, 2020
Activity End Date: September 30, 2022
List of Documents Uploaded to BHA ART: Semi Annual Report, Indicator Tracking Table
Partner Name: Miyamoto International, Inc.
HQ Contact:
Roberto Brito, Regional Program Manager
+506 8384-1563
Washington DC, USA
Country Contact:
Raúl Salguero, Guatemala Program Manager
+502 4776-7839
Guatemala City, Guatemala
Semi-Annual Performance Report
USAID/BHA PREPARE Guatemala
Award Number 720FDA20GR00246
i © 2021 Miyamoto International
October 29, 2021
PREPARE Guatemala
The goal of PREPARE Guatemala is to reduce vulnerability to seismic risk in the Guatemala City
Metropolitan Area through targeted technical and capacity building assistance closely aligned with existing
disaster risk reduction (DRR) strategy and investments. The project is part of the regional PREPARE
Program, which has activities in Colombia, Costa Rica, Guatemala, México, El Salvador and Trinidad and
Tobago.
The U.S. Agency for International Development (USAID)
The U.S. Agency for International Development is an independent U.S. federal agency responsible for
planning and administering economic and humanitarian assistance around the world.
The Bureau for Humanitarian Assistance (BHA)
The Bureau for Humanitarian Assistance provides humanitarian assistance that saves lives, including food,
water, refuge, emergency medical attention, sanitation and hygiene and critical nutrition services to the
world’s most vulnerable and hardest-to-reach people.
Miyamoto International, Inc.
Miyamoto International is a global firm providing structural Engineering and disaster risk management
expertise, with experience in resilience that sustains industries and safeguards communities around the
world.
Disclaimer
This publication is made possible by the support of the American People through the United States Agency
for International Development (USAID) and its Bureau of Humanitarian Assistance. The opinions, findings
and conclusions reflect the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of USAID or the United States
Government.
The author of this publication is:
©2021 Miyamoto International, Inc. All rights reserved.
This report or part thereof should not be reproduced in any form without written permission from
Miyamoto International, Inc.
Semi-Annual Performance Report
USAID/BHA PREPARE Guatemala
Award Number 720FDA20GR0024
ii © 2021 Miyamoto International
October 29, 2021
CONTENTS
1 OVERALL PERFORMANCE...................................................................................... 1
2 CHANGES AND AMENDMENTS ............................................................................ 2
3 MEASURING RESULTS ............................................................................................ 3
3.1 Narrative Summary of Results .............................................................................................. 3
3.1 Indicator Table .......................................................................................................................... 8
4 PARTICIPATION OF AND ACCOUNTABILITY TO AFFECTED
POPULATIONS ................................................................................................................ 8
5 RISK MANAGEMENT ................................................................................................ 9
6 COORDINATION ...................................................................................................... 9
7 LESSONS LEARNED ................................................................................................. 9
8 PLANNED INTERVENTIONS ................................................................................ 10
9 EXIT STRATEGY AND SUSTAINABILITY (IF APPLICABLE) ......................... 10
Semi-Annual Performance Report
USAID/BHA PREPARE Guatemala
Award Number 720FDA20GR0024
iii © 2021 Miyamoto International
October 29, 2021
FIGURES
Figure 1. Polygon in Guatemala City where the seismic risk is being carried out. The target area measures
20 km² approximately. Picture taken from Google Earth. ............................................................................ 2
Figure 3. Special buildings polygons. ........................................................................................................... 3
Figure 2. Representative buildings polygons. ............................................................................................... 3
Figure 5. Architecture students recording infrastructure videos. In total 15 participated in the survey, 8
women and 7 men. ........................................................................................................................................ 4
Figure 6. Cover Page of the course proposal. The document will be sent to the Executive Secretary of
CONRED for his approval. ........................................................................................................................... 6
Figure 7. Evaluator graduation profile. ......................................................................................................... 7
Semi-Annual Performance Report
USAID/BHA PREPARE Guatemala
Award Number 720FDA20GR0024
iv © 2021 Miyamoto International
October 29, 2021
ACRONYMS
AGIES Asociación Guatemalteca de Ingeniería Estructural y Sísmica (Guatemalan
Association of Structural and Seismic Engineering)
BHA Bureau for Humanitarian Assistance
CESEM Centro de Estudios Superiores de Energía y Minas (Center for Higher Studies in
Energy and Mines)
CIG Colegio de Ingenieros de Guatemala (Guatemalan Engineers Association)
CONRED Coordinadora Nacional para la Reducción de Desastres (National Coordinator for
Disaster Risk Reduction)
ICG Instituto del Cemento y del Concreto (Cement and Concrete Institute)
IGN National Geographical Institute (IGN)
INSIVUMEH Instituto Nacional de Sismología, Vulcanología, Meteorología e Hidrología
DRM Disaster Risk Management
DRR Disaster Risk Reduction
MIYAMOTO Miyamoto International, Inc.
PCI Project Concern International
RVS Rapid Visual Screening
SE-CONRED Secretaría Ejecutiva de la Coordinadora Nacional para la Reducción de Desastres
(Executive Secretariat of the National Coordination for Disaster Reduction)
SEGEPLAN Secretaría de Planificación y Programación de la Presidencia (Secretariat of
Planning and Programming of the Presidency)
UMG Universidad Marino Gálvez (Marino Galve University)
URL Universidad Rafael Landivar (Rafael Landivar University)
USAC Universidad de San Carlos (University of San Carlos)
USAID United States Agency for International Development
UVG Universidad del Valle (Del Valle University)
Second Semi-Annual Performance Report
USAID/BHA PREPARE Guatemala
Award Number 72OFDA20GR00246
1 © 2021 Miyamoto International
October 29, 20201
1 OVERALL PERFORMANCE
The USAID/BHA PREPARE Guatemala program (Award # 720FDA20GR00246) began October 1, 2020,
with a $1,000,000 budget and two-year period of performance. This second semi-annual performance report
covers activities carried out from April 1 to September 30, 2021.
The goal of PREPARE Guatemala is to reduce vulnerability to seismic risk in the Guatemala City
Metropolitan Area through targeted technical and capacity building assistance closely aligned with existing
disaster risk reduction (DRR) strategy and investments. Miyamoto, in partnership with Global Communities
(formerly Project Concern International), the Government of Guatemala (GoG) and other partners is
achieving this goal through a coordinated effort to collect existing data on seismic hazard, generate new
data on seismic exposure and vulnerability and systematically analyze aggregated data for an improved
understanding of seismic risk in Guatemala City. Improved risk knowledge will then be used to inform
disaster risk management (DRM) measures in the city’s most vulnerable neighborhoods.
During the previous reporting period, a segment of Guatemala City was selected where the seismic risk and
vulnerability studies were to be carried out. The total area chosen is 20 km2 (Figure 1). The municipalities
of Guatemala and Mixco participated in this selection, as well as technical personnel from the Executive
Secretariat of the National Coordinator for Disaster Risk Reduction (CONRED). The criteria for selecting
the area was the existence of representative buildings of the entire city, such as popular housing, apartment
and office buildings, public offices, hospitals and first response facilities, shopping centers and factories.
Once the area was selected, the collection of exposure information began, including the definition of 37
sample polygons, divided into representative and special infrastructures. The building exposure data
gathering was done with the collaboration 15 final year architecture students from Rafael Landivar
University (URL). Subsequently, the structural characteristics of the buildings in the area were investigated
with the collaboration of partner organizations that provided structural engineers for this purpose. The
partner organizations were the Guatemalan Engineers Association (CIG) and the Engineering Faculty of
San Carlos University.
According to the assessment carried out at the beginning of the program, a probabilistic model of this type
had not been developed before for Guatemala City. It is expected that the results of the model, such as the
quantity of possible collapsed buildings, human casualties and debris generated, will be valuable for
planning prevention measures and emergency response. In addition, the involvement of local individuals in
data gathering and building investigations allowed for direct knowledge transfer that will be complemented
later with a formal course on the methodology to develop the full model.
During the reporting period, the preparation for the evaluation of critical infrastructure also began. A
meeting was held with the Executive Secretary of CONRED, who appointed four officials to coordinate the
upcoming activities: (1) Rapid Visual Screening (RVS) course and, (2) Critical infrastructure inventory in
the study area. In addition, 20 CONRED officials have already been selected and formally appointed
formally, through an engagement letter, to participate in the RVS course.
Hospitals, schools, shelters and central and municipal government buildings have been included in the
critical infrastructure inventory. Of these 73 buildings, 25 buildings will be prioritized and assessed by the
RVS course participants as the practical module of the training. Miyamoto engineers have prepared a
proposal of the RVS course that has been discussed with the CONRED team to ensure the course fits their
interest. It is important to note that this proposal has also been discussed with engineers from the
Guatemalan Association of Structural and Seismic Engineering (AGIES), the organization that issued the
existing structural safety standards validated by the Guatemalan government.
Semi-Annual Performance Report
USAID/BHA PREPARE Guatemala
Award Number 720FDA20GR0024
2 © 2021 Miyamoto International
October 29, 2021
2 CHANGES AND AMENDMENTS
No changes or amendments to the award were made during the reporting period. The only significant
change in program strategy relates to the method for collecting building exposure data. Because of the
coronavirus pandemic, building data has been collected using videos and photographs captured at a distance
instead of by deploying survey teams to collect the data in person through the physical inspection of
buildings. This method was successfully piloted in 2020 by Miyamoto and partners under the USAID/BHA
PREPARE Trinidad and Tobago Program, and lessons learned have been adopted in Guatemala to minimize
the potential spread of COVID-19 and comply with pandemic restrictions.
On July 21, 2021, Miyamoto received an official communication from the sub-awardee, Project Concern
International (PCI), stating that the legal name of the organization had officially been changed to Global
Communities. Specifically this communication stated: “At present, PCI is a wholly owned subsidiary of
Global Communities. PCI is preparing to submit a Novation Agreement to the United States Government
through USAID’s Office of the General Counsel on July 1, 2021. The Novation Agreement, once fully
accepted and signed, will result in the replacement of PCI with Global Communities as the contractor of
record with regard to all Federal prime programs/awards under which PCI is currently performing. Global
Figure 1. Polygon in Guatemala City where the seismic risk is being carried out. The
target area measures 20 km² approximately. Picture taken from Google Earth.
Semi-Annual Performance Report
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Award Number 720FDA20GR0024
3 © 2021 Miyamoto International
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Communities has submitted a draft Novation Agreement and supporting documents to the USAID Office of
the General Counsel. USAID reviewed our draft submission and sees no issue with finalizing the novation
once the final version of the novation package is submitted. In addition to the novation of prime
programs/awards from PCI to Global Communities, similarly, all sub-awards issued to PCI as a sub-
recipient under Federal awards must also be transferred to Global Communities.”
Considering the above, for all future reference, PCI will instead be referred to as Global Communities.
3 MEASURING RESULTS
3.1 Narrative Summary of Results
Sector/Sub-Sector: Risk Management Policy and Practice/Policy and Planning
Objective 1: To develop a risk exposure model of the built environment in Guatemala City and
Mancomunidad Gran Ciudad del Sur to inform municipal disaster risk reduction, preparedness and land
use planning
To build the seismic risk model in the selected area, 37 sample polygons were defined by Miyamoto’s
engineering team, 12 of representative buildings (Figure 3) and 25 of more complex shapes and materials,
called special buildings (Figure 2). Prior to 2021, Miyamoto had performed field work to gather building
exposure information in other PREPARE Program countries. However, due to the COVID-19 pandemic
and its accompanying restrictions, the new approach has been to record all the buildings inside each polygon
with high-definition cameras, and later perform the investigation in office. This method was used in 2020-
2021 in Port of Spain, Trinidad and Tobago, and this year in Guatemala City. The area covers a total of
20km2, 15 of which are inside the Municipality of Guatemala and five belong to the Municipality of Mixco.
The area also includes two of the main mobilization axes in the city, the North-South and West-East roads,
important features for the municipalities, as they understand the importance of keeping these routes cleared
during an emergency.
Figure 2. Representative buildings polygons. Figure 3. Special buildings polygons.
Semi-Annual Performance Report
USAID/BHA PREPARE Guatemala
Award Number 720FDA20GR0024
4 © 2021 Miyamoto International
October 29, 2021
Under the supervision of structural design professors and the program manager, 15 architecture students in
their final year at the Universidad Rafael Landivar (Figure 3) participated in the exposure survey, including
eight women and seven men. With the support of Municipal police and Global Communities staff, the
students recorded all building facades and lateral sides and organized the information in Google Earth and
Excel files to be sent to structural engineers. These recordings were made over three consecutive days. A
civil engineer from the Municipality of Guatemala also participated to learn the method.
Figure 4. Architecture students recording infrastructure videos. In total 15 participated in the survey, 8 women and 7 men.
The files with all the information obtained by the students were transferred to 12 volunteer structural
engineers (one woman and 11 men) of the Engineers Association of Guatemala (CIG), the Center for Higher
Studies in Energy and Mines (CESEM) and professors from the Graduate Program in Structures of San
Carlos University. The engineers classified each building according to the methodology used by Miyamoto,
which contains the characterization of features such as: lateral force resisting system, materials, building
typology, plan shape, number of stories, among others. A total of 1,689 individual buildings were
investigated. This information was sent to Miyamoto's offices in California for quality control and the
initiation of probabilistic simulations. The results are expected to be ready by December 2021.
Sector/Sub-Sector: Risk Management Policy and Practice/Policy and Planning
Objective 2: To assess the seismic vulnerability of prioritized critical infrastructure to guide decision-
makers in planning and resource allocation for retrofits and other structural upgrades
In conjunction with the municipalities of Guatemala and Mixco, and technical personnel from CONRED,
an inventory of critical buildings was made. These critical buildings are within the study area of 20 km2
shown in Figure 1. A total of 73 buildings were inventoried: hospitals, schools, government buildings,
shelters, and fire stations. Of these, 25 will be prioritized and assessed using the RVS methodology. The
assessment will be carried out by the participants of the RVS course under the supervision of Miyamoto’s
engineers. The RVS course will be explained in detail in the description of the Objective 3 results.
Semi-Annual Performance Report
USAID/BHA PREPARE Guatemala
Award Number 720FDA20GR0024
5 © 2021 Miyamoto International
October 29, 2021
Results by indicator:
Indicator 1. Number of hazard risk reduction plans, policies, strategies, disaster preparedness and
contingency plans developed and in place
This standard BHA indicator is not applicable to PREPARE Guatemala. Building vulnerability assessments
will most likely lead to investments in seismic retrofits and other structural upgrades, but it is beyond the
scope of this program to track this indicator.
Indicator 2. Number of people participating in discussions about national risk reduction strategies
as a result of the program
The life of program target (LOP) for this indicator is 40. A wide discussion at the technical and political
level has been generated around seismic risk as a result of Program. During this reporting period, this
discussion has taken place through numerous small meetings with a total of 33 officials participating; 23
men and 10 women, from:
• Mancomunidad Gran Ciudad del Sur Municipalities: Guatemala, Mixco, Amatitlán, Mixco, San
Miguel Petapa, Santa Catarina Pinula, Villa Canales and Villa Nueva.
• SE-CONRED
• Secretariat of Planning and Programming of the Presidency (SEGEPLAN)
• National Institute of Seismology, Volcanology, Meteorology and Hydrology (INSIVUMEH).
• National Geographical Institute (IGN)
• San Carlos University (USAC)
• Mariano Galvez University (UMG)
• Rafael Landivar University
• Del Valle University (UVG)
• Cement and Concrete Institute (ICG)
• Guatemalan Engineers Association (CIG)
• Guatemalan Association of Structural and Earthquake Engineering (AGIES)
Indicator 3. National and local risk assessment, hazards data, and vulnerability information is
available within target area
The LOP target for this indicator is Yes (Y). Data gathering took place in the target area. This data contains
the structural conditions of the built environment in 20km2 in Guatemala City and is being processed by
Miyamoto’s experts. The processing consists in the modeling of possible conditions that the built
environment will face in case a large earthquake occurs, based also in soil conditions and its seismic
response. In order to perform this study, seismic hazard and exposure information was collected from
specialized institutions (CONRED, INSIVUMEH and the National Planning Secretariat -- SEGEPLAN)
and municipalities, such as. Information collected included micro-zonation maps with expected peak
ground acceleration and probability of exceedance in a determined time period, studies about the soil’s
geotechnical characteristics, local fault lines, among others. Also, census information was collected from
the National Institute of Statistics (INE). The output information of the model will include: damage level
of buildings, number of deceased, injured and displaced people, and volume of debris generated. The model
will be ready by the end of 2021 and the program team will work to ensure the information is available to
the public and stakeholders, free of charge.
Semi-Annual Performance Report
USAID/BHA PREPARE Guatemala
Award Number 720FDA20GR0024
6 © 2021 Miyamoto International
October 29, 2021
Indicator 4. Risk data is incorporated into municipal and departmental risk management and
response policy and plans
The LOP target for this indicator is Y. This indicator will be measured at the end of the program. Findings
and recommendations from the risk model outputs and the critical infrastructure assessment will inform
public policy and plans for improved DRM and disaster response.
Sector/Sub-Sector: Risk Management Policy and Practice/Capacity Building & Training
Objective 3: To strengthen the DRR and response capacity of national and municipal disaster
representatives and the private sector through targeted training and technical assistance informed by the
vulnerability analysis
During the reporting period, a draft of a training course on Rapid Visual Screening was developed. The
name of the course is: Structural Damage Identification due to Natural Events Pre- and Post-earthquake.
This course has been developed with the technical support of AGIES and CONRED. The course will train
40 officials from governmental organizations and universities in its first cohort. Later it will be uploaded
to CONRED’s teaching platform1 to be permanently available.
In order to design the course, the current national seismic regulations were analyzed and included in the
course modules. CONRED will issue a certificate to the participants that successfully complete the course.
The objective is to start building a group of people that can be called upon and deployed for assessing
damage in structures when an earthquake occurs, or in case there is a requirement due to other types of
events that also affect the integrity of the built environment.
1 https://campusvirtual.conred.gob.gt/cursos/
Figure 5. Cover Page of the course proposal. The document will be sent
to the Executive Secretary of CONRED for his approval.
Semi-Annual Performance Report
USAID/BHA PREPARE Guatemala
Award Number 720FDA20GR0024
7 © 2021 Miyamoto International
October 29, 2021
In order to be accepted into the course, the participants must be officials with knowledge in civil engineering,
architecture and/or risk management, preferably as first responders. The course learning objectives include
the ability to:
• Identify damage to the various components of structures
• Understand basic knowledge about the behavior of structures
• Act as a certified damage evaluator for first response
• Evaluate buildings quantitatively and qualitatively against adverse events with emphasis on
earthquakes
Results by indicator:
Indicator 5. Number of people trained in disaster preparedness, risk reduction and management
The LOP target for this indicator is 70. The structural damage identification course is the first of a series of
trainings that will take place. The first training will aim to train a cohort of 40 people, but it is expected that
the course will be available on CONRED’s training platform and will be used beyond the life of the program.
The other trainings will be the course for trainers, to strengthen the national capacity to teach the structural
damage course, and also a 30-hour course on how to perform the probabilistic risk model, aimed at people
with knowledge of probability, statistics, seismology and engineering. Updates will be provided in the next
semi-annual report.
Indicator 6. Number of people passing final exams or receiving certificates
The LOP target for this indicator is 70. CONRED will issue a “Structural Damage Evaluators using Rapid
Assessment Screening” certificate to the people that successfully complete and pass the course exams.
However, this will be carried out in the next reporting period.
Indicator 7. Percentage of people trained who retain skills and knowledge after two months
The LOP target for this indicator is 80%. Training and capacity building activities are expected to begin in
year two. All training participants will be tested on the course subject matter before, immediately after and
two months after each training to measure knowledge generation and retention. Updates on this indicator
BASIC
KNOWLEDGE ON
STRUCTURAL
BEHAVIOUR
CAPACITY TO
EVALUATE BUILDINGS
AGAINST VARIOUS
INCIDENTS
STRUCTURAL
DAMAGE
IDENTIFICATION
CERTIFIED
DAMAGE
EVALUATOR
2
4
1
3 Figure 6. Evaluator graduation profile.
Semi-Annual Performance Report
USAID/BHA PREPARE Guatemala
Award Number 720FDA20GR0024
8 © 2021 Miyamoto International
October 29, 2021
will be reported after the two-month knowledge retention exam has been administered and results have
been analyzed.
3.1 Indicator Table
Sector/Sub-Sector: Risk Management
Policy and Practice/Policy and Planning
Objective 1: Develop a risk exposure model of the built environment in Guatemala City and Mancomunidad
Gran Ciudad del Sur to inform municipal disaster risk reduction, preparedness and land use planning
Objective 2: Assess the seismic vulnerability of prioritized critical infrastructure to guide decision-makers in
planning and resource allocation for retrofits and other structural upgrades.
Indicator Baseline Target Achieved in this reporting
period
Number of hazard risk reduction
plans, policies, strategies, disaster
preparedness and contingency plans
developed and in place
N/A
Building vulnerability assessments will
most likely lead to investments in
seismic retrofits and other structural
upgrades, but it is beyond the scope of
this program to track this indicator.
Number of people participating in
discussions about national risk reduction
strategies as a result of the program
0 40 (65% male,
35% female)
33
(23 males and 10 females)
National and local risk assessment, hazards
data, and vulnerability information is
available within target areas (Y/N)
N Y N
Risk data is incorporated into municipal and
departmental risk management and response
policy and plans (Y/N)
N Y N
Sector/Sub-Sector: Risk Management Policy and Practice/Capacity Building and Training
Objective 3: Strengthen the DRR and response capacity of national and municipal disaster representatives
and the private sector through targeted training and technical assistance informed by the vulnerability
analysis.
Indicator Baseline Target Achieved in this reporting
period
Number of people trained in disaster
preparedness, risk reduction and
management
0 70 (65% male,
35% female) 0
Number of people passing final exams or
receiving certificates 0
70 (65% male,
35% female) 0
Percentage of people trained who retain
skills and knowledge after two months 0 80% 0%
4 PARTICIPATION OF AND ACCOUNTABILITY TO AFFECTED POPULATIONS
The goal of the PREPARE Guatemala program is to reduce vulnerability to seismic risk in the Guatemala
City Metropolitan Area through targeted technical and capacity building assistance closely aligned with
existing disaster risk reduction (DRR) strategy and investments. The program does not work directly with
vulnerable or affected populations, therefore the strategy has been to highly involve stakeholders in the
Semi-Annual Performance Report
USAID/BHA PREPARE Guatemala
Award Number 720FDA20GR0024
9 © 2021 Miyamoto International
October 29, 2021
exposure survey data collection and the design of the structural damage assessment course. This has been
done by working with small technical groups formally appointed by institutional authorities. Stakeholder
involvement in these processes is crucial to ensure that the program outcomes and results are able to
positively impact the greater population of the Guatemala City Metropolitan Area, including an estimated
1,500,000 people considered to be living in areas with high risk to natural disaster.
PREPARE Guatemala’s main partners are the Municipalities of Guatemala and Mixco, the Executive
Secretariat of CONRED, the Universities of Rafael Landivar and San Carlos, and national engineering
associations (CIG and AGIES). These partnerships have not excluded other partners from joining meetings
and providing input on implementation and how the results should be used. The program looks to transfer
knowledge and create new skills in every one of the outputs of the project. So far, this methodology has
been widely accepted by all the partners.
5 RISK MANAGEMENT
Increasing political instability, including civil unrest and constant street protests in Guatemala City, has
complicated partner engagement at times, particularly with those national and municipal level government
officials whose attention has turned away from the program in order to address security concerns. This is
especially problematic since in Guatemala decision-making is often highly centralized. As a consequence,
there have been some minor delays related to data collection for the risk assessment. These delays have
been mitigated through the intense collection of information in a three-day period by two different groups,
starting very early in the morning, with at least two police officers escorting each group.
Miyamoto is currently working to update its global and country-specific safety and security plans to address
the COVID-19 pandemic threat as well as other regional and country specific risks. In the case of Guatemala,
this includes political instability, high urban crime rates and potential security challenges related to the
recent increase in migration from and through Guatemala by people from the Northern Triangle countries.
6 COORDINATION
Aiming for institutionalization and sustainability, Miyamoto works closely with Global Communities on
all aspects of program design, planning and implementation. Global Communities’ alliances with municipal
and local governments, as well as civil society organizations and the business community, have been critical
to the achievements of the program outputs so far. PREPARE Guatemala’s primary government partners
are highly involved in decision making and implementation, as are private organizations such as Rafael
Landivar University, CIG, AGIES and the Institute of Cement and Concrete. The program is reinforcing
the use of Guatemala’s seismic-resistant construction regulations, through the RVS course and the
consultation with partners on how the use of these norms should be supported to be fully embodied by the
users.
7 LESSONS LEARNED
At this moment and according to what has been observed, the lessons learned are the following:
1. In Guatemala, it is common for individuals in institutions to change when the central government
changes. The central government changes every four years. Considering that PREPARE
Guatemala was formulated during the previous governmental period, it took considerable effort
Semi-Annual Performance Report
USAID/BHA PREPARE Guatemala
Award Number 720FDA20GR0024
10 © 2021 Miyamoto International
October 29, 2021
to secure buy-in from new institutional authorities and personnel. This could be better tackled if a
formal commitment could be obtained when formulating each project.
2. Universities (public and private), as well as private organizations such as AGIES can be very
strong partners and provide sustainability to the results of the program due to stability they have,
specifically concerning the low rotation of their personnel. It is likely that after many years the
same people will be in the same position or will have moved higher in the organization. Therefore,
it is recommended that strong formal links be created with them and that they be invited to
participate in the formulation of new project proposals.
8 PLANNED INTERVENTIONS
For the next reporting period (October 1 to March 31, 2022), PREPARE Guatemala will
implement the following activities:
• Present the seismic risk model results to partners
• Conduct the RVS course with 40 participants in the first cohort
• Upload the RVS course to CONRED’s online training platform
• Assess the structural conditions of 25 critical buildings, including a detailed evaluation of
five of the 25 critical buildings
• Implement a 30-hour course on how to develop the probabilistic risk model, using Guatemala
as a case study
9 EXIT STRATEGY AND SUSTAINABILITY (IF APPLICABLE)
Miyamoto is looking to create program sustainability through the following strategies:
• Encouraging the high involvement of officials from partner organizations in the development of
the probabilistic risk model.
• Designing a step-by-step course to teach the methodology used to make the probabilistic risk model.
This course will complement the knowledge already transferred to the participants from the
exposure survey and will also allow for the inclusion of new participants from the same partner
organizations, as well as others.
• Encouraging the high involvement of Guatemalan technical engineering organizations to design
the RVS course, using the national regulation as a reference. The objective is to create more
appropriation of the national legislation and institutions.
• Uploading the RVS course into CONRED’s training platform, which will make the course
permanent. The goal is to create a certified volunteer group that can be activated when needed.
Miyamoto is seeking to create a course for trainers to fully transfer the capacity to teach this course
without any external support.
PREPARE GUATEMALA SEMI-ANNUAL PERFORMANCE REPORT - 2021