Prentice Hall, 2002Chapter 3 Wheelen/Hunger 1 Chapter 3 Environmental Scanning and Industry...

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Prentice Hall, 2002 Chapter 3 Wheelen/Hunger 1 Chapter 3 Environmental Scanning and Industry Analysis

Transcript of Prentice Hall, 2002Chapter 3 Wheelen/Hunger 1 Chapter 3 Environmental Scanning and Industry...

Page 1: Prentice Hall, 2002Chapter 3 Wheelen/Hunger 1 Chapter 3 Environmental Scanning and Industry Analysis.

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Chapter 3Environmental Scanning and

Industry Analysis

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Environments

Environmental uncertainty:

The degree of complexitydegree of complexity plus the degree of changedegree of change existing in an organization’s external environment.

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Environments

Environmental scanning:

The monitoring, evaluating, and disseminating of information from the external and internal environments to key people within the corporation to avoid strategic surprise and ensure the long-term health of the firm.

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External Environment

External Environmental Variables:

Societal environmentSocietal environment:

General forces that do not directly touch on the short-run activities but often influence its long-run decisions.

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External Environment External Environmental Variables:

Task environmentTask environment:Those elements or groups that

directly affect the corporation and, in turn, are affected by it. The task environment is the industry within which that firm operates.

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External Environment

External Environmental Variables:

Industry analysisIndustry analysis:

An in-depth examination of key factors within a corporation’s task environment.

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External Environment

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External Environment

Societal environment forcesSocietal environment forces:

• Economic forces– Regulate the exchange of materials,

money, energy, and information

• Technological forces– Generate problem-solving inventions

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External Environment

Societal environment forcesSocietal environment forces:

• Political-legal forces– Allocate power, provide laws and

regulations

• Sociocultural forces– Regulate values, mores, and customs

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Societal EnvironmentImportant Variables

Economic

GDP trends

Interest rates

Money supply

Inflation rates

Unemployment levels

Wage/price controls

Devaluation/revaluation

Energy availability and cost

Disposable and discretionary income

Technological

Total government spending for R&D

Total industry spending for R&D

Focus of technological efforts

Patent protection

New products

New developments in technology transfer from lab to marketplace

Productivity improvements through automation

Political-Legal

Antitrust regulations

Environmental protection laws

Tax laws

Special incentives

Foreign trade regulations

Attitudes toward foreign companies

Laws on hiring and promotion

Stability of government

Sociocultural

Lifestyle changes

Career expectations

Consumer activism

Rate of family formation

Growth rate of population

Age distribution of population

Regional shifts in population

Life expectancies

Birth rates

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External Environment

Sociocultural Trends

• Increasing environmental awareness• Growth of the seniors market• Impact of Generation Y boomlet• Decline of the mass market• Changing pace and location of life• Changing household composition• Increasing diversity of workforce and markets

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External Environment

External Strategic Factors

Factors influencing the choice:– Personal values of managers– Functional experience of managers– Success of current strategies– Strategic myopia

• Willingness to reject unfamiliar as well as negative information

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External Environment

Issues Priority Matrix• Identify likely trends:

– Societal and task environments• Strategic environmental issues

• Assess probability of trends occurring– Low to High

• Ascertain likely impact of trends on the corporation– Low to High

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Issues Priority Matrix

High Priority

HighPriority

High Priority

Medium Priority

Medium Priority

Medium Priority

Probable Impact on Corporation

Low Priority

Low Priority

Low Priority

LowMediumHigh

Med

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Hig

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Pro

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f O

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External Environment

External Strategic FactorsDefined:

Key environmental trends that are judged to have both a medium to high probability of occurrence and a medium to high probability of impact on the corporation.

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Industry Analysis

IndustryA group of firms producing a similar product or service, such as soft drinks or financial services.

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Industry Analysis

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Industry Analysis Porter’s approach:Porter’s approach:

Assess the six forces --• Threat of new entrants• Rivalry among existing firms• Threat of substitute products • Bargaining power of buyers• Bargaining power of suppliers• Relative power of other stakeholders

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Industry Analysis

Threat of New Entrants --Threat of New Entrants --

Barriers to entry:• Economies of Scale• Product Differentiation• Capital Requirements• Switching Costs• Access to Distribution Channels• Cost Disadvantages Independent of Size• Government Policy

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Industry Analysis

Rivalry Among Existing Firms --Rivalry Among Existing Firms --

Intense rivalry related to:• Number of competitors• Rate of Industry Growth• Produce or Service Characteristics• Amount of Fixed Costs• Capacity• Height of Exit Barriers• Diversity of Rivals

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Industry Analysis

Threat of Substitute Products/ServicesThreat of Substitute Products/Services

Substitute Products:Those products that appear to be different but can satisfy the same need as another product. To the extent that switching costs are low, substitutes can have a strong effect on an industry.

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Industry Analysis

Bargaining Power of Buyers --Bargaining Power of Buyers --

Buyer is powerful when:• Buyer purchases large proportion of seller’s products• Buyer has the potential to integrate backward• Alternative suppliers are plentiful• Changing suppliers costs very little• Purchased product represents a high percentage of a buyer’s costs• Buyer earns low profits• Purchased product is unimportant to the final quality or price of a

buyer’s products

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Industry Analysis

Bargaining Power of Suppliers --Bargaining Power of Suppliers --

Supplier is powerful when:• Supplier industry is dominated by a few companies but

sells to many• Its product is unique and/or has high switching costs• Substitutes are not readily available• Suppliers are able to integrate forward and compete

directly with present customers• Purchasing industry buys only a small portion of the

supplier’s goods.

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Industry Analysis

Industry EvolutionIndustry Evolution

Fragmented Industry –No firm has large market share and each firm serves only a small piece of the total market in competition with others.

Consolidated Industry –Dominated by a few large firms, each of which struggles to differentiate its products from the competition.

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Continuum of International Industries

Multidomestic

Industry in which companies tailor their products to the specific needs of consumers in a particular country.

• Retailing

• Insurance

• Banking

Global

Industry in which companiesmanufacture and sell the same products, with only minor adjustments made for individual countries around the world.

Automobiles

• Tires

• Television sets

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Industry Analysis Global IndustriesGlobal Industries

Industry primarily multidomestic or primarily global based on:

–Pressure for coordination– Within the multinationals in that industry

–Pressure for local responsiveness– Individual country markets

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Industry Analysis

Strategic GroupsStrategic Groups

Defined:

A set of business units or firms that pursue similar strategies with similar resources.

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Industry Analysis

Strategic TypesStrategic Types

Defined:

Category of firms based on a common strategic orientation and a combination of structure, culture, and processes consistent with that strategy.

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Industry Analysis

Strategic Types –Strategic Types –

Categorized by one of four general strategic orientations:

• Defenders– Companies with a limited product line;

focus on improving efficiency of current operations

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Industry Analysis Strategic Types Strategic Types (continued)––

• Prospectors:–Companies with fairly broad product

lines; focus on product innovation and market opportunities.

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Industry Analysis Strategic Types Strategic Types (continued)––

• Analyzers:

–Corporations that operate in at least two different product-market areas – one stable and one variable.

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Industry Analysis Strategic Types Strategic Types (concluded)––

• Reactors:

–Corporations that lack a consistent strategy-structure-culture relationship.

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Industry Matrix

Key Success Factors Weight

Company ARating

Company AWeighted Score

Company BRating

Company BWeighted Score

1 2 3 4 5 6

Total 1.00

Source: T. L. Wheelen and J. D. Hunger, “Industry Matrix.” Copyright © 2001 by Wheelen and Hunger Associates. Reprinted by permission.

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Industry Analysis

Forecasting Techniques:Forecasting Techniques:

• Extrapolation• Brainstorming• Expert opinion• Statistical modeling• Scenario writing

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External Factor Analysis Summary (EFAS)

ExternalFactors Weight Rating

Weighted Score Comments

1 2 3 4 5

1.00

Opportunities

Threats

Total Weighted Score

Notes: 1. List opportunities and threats (5–10) in column 1. 2. Weight each factor from 1.0 (Most Important) to 0.0 (Not Important) in Column 2 based on that factor’s probable impact on the company’s strategic position. The total weights must sum to 1.00. 3. Rate each factor from 5 (Outstanding) to 1 (Poor) in Column 3 based on the company’s response to that factor. 4. Multiply each factor’s weight times its rating to obtain each factor’s weighted score in Column 4. 5. Use Column 5 (comments) for rationale used for each factor. 6. Add the weighted scores to obtain the total weighted score for the company in Column 4. This tells how well the company is responding to the strategic factors in its external environment.Source: T. L. Wheelen and J. D. Hunger, “External Strategic Factors Analysis Summary (EFAS).” Copyright © 1991 by Wheelen and Hunger Associates. Reprinted by permission.

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External Factor Analysis Summary (EFAS)Maytag Example

External Factors Weight RatingWeighted Score Comments

1.00

Opportunities• Economic integration of

European Community

• Demographics favor quality appliances

• Economic development of Asia

• Opening of Eastern Europe

• Trend to “Super Stores”

Threats• Increasing government regulations

• Strong U.S. competition

• Whirlpool and Electrolux strong globally

• New product advances

• Japanese appliance companies

Total Scores

.20

.10

.05

.05

.10

.10

.10

.15

.05

.10

4

5

1

2

2

4

4

3

1

2

.80

.50

.05

.10

.20

.40

.40

.45

.05

.20

Acquisition of Hoover

Maytag quality

Low Maytag presence

Will take time

Maytag weak in this channel

Well positioned

Well positioned

Hoover weak globally

Questionable

Only Asian presence is Australia

3.15

1 2 3 4 5