Preliminary Traverse Distance Estimates for Sites - Surface... · Jet Propulsion Laboratory ... •...

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Jet Propulsion Laboratory California Institute of Technology Mars 2020 Project © 2015 California Institute of Technology. Government sponsorship acknowledged. Pre-Decisional: For Planning and Discussion Purposes Only. Preliminary Traverse Distance Estimates for Sites Landing Site Workshop #2 8/4/2015 8/6/2015 Matt Heverly Hiro Ono

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Jet Propulsion LaboratoryCalifornia Institute of Technology

Mars 2020 Project

© 2015 California Institute of Technology. Government sponsorship acknowledged.

Pre-Decisional: For Planning and Discussion Purposes Only.

Preliminary Traverse Distance

Estimates for Sites

Landing Site Workshop #2

8/4/2015 – 8/6/2015

Matt Heverly

Hiro Ono

Mars 2020 Project

Jet Propulsion LaboratoryCalifornia Institute of Technology

© 2015 California Institute of Technology. Government sponsorship acknowledged.Pre-Decisional: For Planning and Discussion Purposes Only.

• Hiro Ono

• Andreas Huertas

• Eduardo Almeida

• Brandon Rothrock

• Adnan Ansar

Team

Mars 2020 Project

Jet Propulsion LaboratoryCalifornia Institute of Technology

© 2015 California Institute of Technology. Government sponsorship acknowledged.Pre-Decisional: For Planning and Discussion Purposes Only.

• Relative comparison of traverse distance required at

each site to achieve a representative mission scenario

Objective

Mars 2020 Project-3

Mars 2020 Project

Jet Propulsion LaboratoryCalifornia Institute of Technology

© 2015 California Institute of Technology. Government sponsorship acknowledged.Pre-Decisional: For Planning and Discussion Purposes Only.

• Team at JPL interpreted the submitted ROIs to define a representative

scenario for exploring each site.

– Each site requires exploration of two ROIs for this exercise

– Some ROIs are now defined as the contact between geological units

• ROI definition and “must visit” set have a big impact on traverse requirements

at the site. We will work with science and site proposers to refine the ROI

definitions as we move forward.

Regions Of Interest (ROIs)

Mars 2020 Project-4

NE SyrtisAny one of the ROIs 1 through 6

&

Any one of 1, 2, 4, or 6 that you didn't visit above

McLaughlin CraterAny point on the contact between ROI #1 and #2

&

ROI #3

Mars 2020 Project

Jet Propulsion LaboratoryCalifornia Institute of Technology

© 2015 California Institute of Technology. Government sponsorship acknowledged.Pre-Decisional: For Planning and Discussion Purposes Only.

• Minimize distance to

achieve the minimum

ROI requirement from a

given landing point

• Optimal route computed

by the newly developed

Sequential Dijkstra

algorithm

Optimal Route Planning

Mars 2020 Project-5

3

5

6

2

4

1

Landing point

Example: NE Syrtis

Mars 2020 Project

Jet Propulsion LaboratoryCalifornia Institute of Technology

© 2015 California Institute of Technology. Government sponsorship acknowledged.Pre-Decisional: For Planning and Discussion Purposes Only.

Optimal Route Planning

Mars 2020 Project-6

3

5

6

2

4

1

• Minimize distance to

achieve the minimum

ROI requirement from a

given landing point

• Optimal route computed

by the newly developed

Sequential Dijkstra

algorithm

Landing point

Example: NE Syrtis

Mars 2020 Project

Jet Propulsion LaboratoryCalifornia Institute of Technology

© 2015 California Institute of Technology. Government sponsorship acknowledged.Pre-Decisional: For Planning and Discussion Purposes Only.

Optimal Route Planning

Mars 2020 Project-7

3

5

6

2

4

1

• Minimize distance to

achieve the minimum

ROI requirement from a

given landing point

• Optimal route computed

by the newly developed

Sequential Dijkstra

algorithm

Landing point

Example: NE Syrtis

Mars 2020 Project

Jet Propulsion LaboratoryCalifornia Institute of Technology

© 2015 California Institute of Technology. Government sponsorship acknowledged.Pre-Decisional: For Planning and Discussion Purposes Only.

Monte-Carlo Simulation

Mars 2020 Project-8

Landing points

provided by EDL

team

Consists of

8,000 samples

Optimal route

computed from

all samples

Mars 2020 Project

Jet Propulsion LaboratoryCalifornia Institute of Technology

© 2015 California Institute of Technology. Government sponsorship acknowledged.Pre-Decisional: For Planning and Discussion Purposes Only.

Cumulative Distribution of Distance

Mars 2020 Project-9

50th percentile distance: 7.8 km

90th percentile distance: 11.2 km

Mars 2020 Project

Jet Propulsion LaboratoryCalifornia Institute of Technology

© 2015 California Institute of Technology. Government sponsorship acknowledged.Pre-Decisional: For Planning and Discussion Purposes Only.

Inputs to Analysis

Mars 2020 Project-10

Traversability

HazardsSlope

Rock

Abundance

Mars 2020 Project

Jet Propulsion LaboratoryCalifornia Institute of Technology

© 2015 California Institute of Technology. Government sponsorship acknowledged.Pre-Decisional: For Planning and Discussion Purposes Only.

NE Syrtis

Jezero

Nili Fossae Trough

Holden

McLaughlin

SW Melas

Mawrth

E Margaritifer

Data Availability

Mars 2020 Project-11

Hazard Slope Rock

Mars 2020 Project

Jet Propulsion LaboratoryCalifornia Institute of Technology

© 2015 California Institute of Technology. Government sponsorship acknowledged.Pre-Decisional: For Planning and Discussion Purposes Only.

Hazard Map

Mars 2020 Project-12

Non-Traversable

Benign Terrain

Complex Terrain

Would not choose

to traverse

Example: NE Syrtis• Manual assessment

by Heverly

• Use HiRISE mosaic

with 1m resolution

• Assume that red and

orange are

untraversable

Mars 2020 Project

Jet Propulsion LaboratoryCalifornia Institute of Technology

© 2015 California Institute of Technology. Government sponsorship acknowledged.Pre-Decisional: For Planning and Discussion Purposes Only.

Slope Map

Mars 2020 Project-13

Example: SW Melas

• Generated from

HiRISE DEMs

• 1m resolution

• Typically does not

cover the entire ellipse

• Threshold: 12°based

on MSL’s experience

on soft soil

5°- 10° 10°- 15° 15°- 20° 20°- 25° >25°

Mars 2020 Project

Jet Propulsion LaboratoryCalifornia Institute of Technology

© 2015 California Institute of Technology. Government sponsorship acknowledged.Pre-Decisional: For Planning and Discussion Purposes Only.

Rock Abundance (CFA) Map

Mars 2020 Project-14

>=20%15%-20%10%-15%7%-10%

• CFA = cumulative fraction

of area covered by rocks

• Based on rock counts on

HiRISE images

• Automated rock detection

algorithm by A. Huertas

• 15% threshold based on

simulation

Example: SW Melas

Mars 2020 Project

Jet Propulsion LaboratoryCalifornia Institute of Technology

© 2015 California Institute of Technology. Government sponsorship acknowledged.Pre-Decisional: For Planning and Discussion Purposes Only.

Combined Traversability Assessment

Mars 2020 Project-15

Example: NE Syrtis

• Use all available data

for each site

• Assume conservative

thresholds on slope

and rock abundance• 12 deg for slope

• 15% for CFA

Mars 2020 Project

Jet Propulsion LaboratoryCalifornia Institute of Technology

© 2015 California Institute of Technology. Government sponsorship acknowledged.Pre-Decisional: For Planning and Discussion Purposes Only.

• To get an estimate of fidelity traverse distance estimation was done in

the same way for Gale Crater

• Route planner shows 30% less distance than actual vehicle odometry

between Yellowknife Bay and Pahrump

Gale Crater Example

Mars 2020 Project-16

Actual traverse from Yellowknife

Bay on sol 324 to arrival at

Pahrump Hills on sol 753 has

vehicle odometry of 8.6km

Route planner from orbital data

gives 6.4 km (under estimate of

~30%)

Mars 2020 Project

Jet Propulsion LaboratoryCalifornia Institute of Technology

© 2015 California Institute of Technology. Government sponsorship acknowledged.Pre-Decisional: For Planning and Discussion Purposes Only.

Results

Mars 2020 Project-17

50% 90%

NE Syrtis 10.1 km 14.6 km

Jezero Crator 11.3 km 16.8 km

Nili Fossae 13.1 km 17.6 km

Holden (Land-On) 12.2 km 16.4 km

McLaughlin Crater 8.7 km 13.5 km

SW Melas 8.3 km 12.6 km

Mawrth Vallis 3.5 km 8.5 km

E Margaritifer 3.3 km 5.7 kmValues represent potential vehicle odometry and

include 30% increase over map distance

• Clear difference between

“go to” and “land on” sites

• Placement and number of

required ROIs has a big

impact on traverse distance

• Work to go to mature these initial

estimates• More traversability data for each of

the sites

• Refined ROI definitions

Mars 2020 Project

Jet Propulsion LaboratoryCalifornia Institute of Technology

© 2015 California Institute of Technology. Government sponsorship acknowledged.Pre-Decisional: For Planning and Discussion Purposes Only.

Backups

Mars 2020 Project-18

Mars 2020 Project

Jet Propulsion LaboratoryCalifornia Institute of Technology

© 2015 California Institute of Technology. Government sponsorship acknowledged.Pre-Decisional: For Planning and Discussion Purposes Only.

Mars 2020 Project-19

Slope: Binary Travsersability

Threshold: 25°

Assumption: Slope above threshold

is untraversable

Example: SW Melas

Mars 2020 Project

Jet Propulsion LaboratoryCalifornia Institute of Technology

© 2015 California Institute of Technology. Government sponsorship acknowledged.Pre-Decisional: For Planning and Discussion Purposes Only.

Mars 2020 Project-20

Threshold: 12°

Assumption: Slope above threshold

is untraversable

Slope: Binary Travsersability

Example: SW Melas

Mars 2020 Project

Jet Propulsion LaboratoryCalifornia Institute of Technology

© 2015 California Institute of Technology. Government sponsorship acknowledged.Pre-Decisional: For Planning and Discussion Purposes Only.

Mars 2020 Project-21

Slope: Sensitivity

Conservative Assessment Optimistic Assessment

Sensitivity analysis by E. Almeida

Mars 2020 Project

Jet Propulsion LaboratoryCalifornia Institute of Technology

© 2015 California Institute of Technology. Government sponsorship acknowledged.Pre-Decisional: For Planning and Discussion Purposes Only.

CFA: Binary Travsersability

Mars 2020 Project-22

Example: SW Melas

Threshold: 15%

Assumption: CFA above threshold

is untraversable

Mars 2020 Project

Jet Propulsion LaboratoryCalifornia Institute of Technology

© 2015 California Institute of Technology. Government sponsorship acknowledged.Pre-Decisional: For Planning and Discussion Purposes Only.

CFA: Binary Travsersability

Mars 2020 Project-23

Example: SW Melas

Threshold: 10%

Assumption: CFA above threshold

is untraversable

Mars 2020 Project

Jet Propulsion LaboratoryCalifornia Institute of Technology

© 2015 California Institute of Technology. Government sponsorship acknowledged.Pre-Decisional: For Planning and Discussion Purposes Only.

Mars 2020 Project-24

Rock Abundance: Sensitivity

Conservative Assessment Optimistic Assessment

Sensitivity analysis by E. Almeida

Mars 2020 Project

Jet Propulsion LaboratoryCalifornia Institute of Technology

© 2015 California Institute of Technology. Government sponsorship acknowledged.Pre-Decisional: For Planning and Discussion Purposes Only.

Assessment Types

Three assessments are performed for each site

Conservative Assessment

Optimistic Assessment

No-Hazard Assessment

Mars 2020 Project-25

Mars 2020 Project

Jet Propulsion LaboratoryCalifornia Institute of Technology

© 2015 California Institute of Technology. Government sponsorship acknowledged.Pre-Decisional: For Planning and Discussion Purposes Only.

Conservative Assessment

Mars 2020 Project-26

Example: NE Syrtis

• Use all available data

• Assume conservative

thresholds on slope and

rock abundance

Mars 2020 Project

Jet Propulsion LaboratoryCalifornia Institute of Technology

© 2015 California Institute of Technology. Government sponsorship acknowledged.Pre-Decisional: For Planning and Discussion Purposes Only.

Optimistic Assessment

Mars 2020 Project-27

Example: NE Syrtis

• Use all available data

• Assume optimistic

thresholds on slope and

rock abundance

Mars 2020 Project

Jet Propulsion LaboratoryCalifornia Institute of Technology

© 2015 California Institute of Technology. Government sponsorship acknowledged.Pre-Decisional: For Planning and Discussion Purposes Only.

No-Hazard Assessment

Mars 2020 Project-28

• Assuming that the entire

site is traversable

• Gives lower bound on

distance to achieve

scientific success

• Allows to compare sites

on the same basis

Example: NE Syrtis