PRELIMINARY RESULTS - Green REIT plc REIT...30.06.2016 +28%1 v 2015 Net Rental Profit €24.8m (3.7...
Transcript of PRELIMINARY RESULTS - Green REIT plc REIT...30.06.2016 +28%1 v 2015 Net Rental Profit €24.8m (3.7...
PRELIMINARY RESULTS
SEPTEMBER 2016
This presentation document (hereinafter "this document") has been prepared by Green REIT plc (the “Company”) and Green
Property REIT Ventures Limited (“Green”), the Company’s investment manager, for information purpose only.
This document has been prepared in good faith but the information contained in it has not been the subject of a verification
exercise. No representation or warranty, express or implied, is given by or on behalf of the Company, its group companies,
Green or any of their respective shareholders, directors, officers, employees, advisers, agents or any other persons as to the
accuracy, fairness or sufficiency of the information, projections, forecasts or opinions contained in this presentation. In
particular, the market data in this document has been sourced from third parties. Save in the case of fraud, no liability is
accepted for any errors, omissions or inaccuracies in any of the information or opinions in this document.
Certain information contained herein constitutes “forward-looking statements,” which can be identified by the use of terms
such as “may”, “will”, “should”, “expect”, “anticipate”, “project”, “estimate”, “intend”, “continue,” “target” or “believe” (or the
negatives thereof) or other variations thereon or comparable terminology. Due to various risks and uncertainties, actual events
or results or actual performance of the Company may differ materially from those reflected or contemplated in such forward-
looking statements. No representation or warranty is made as to the achievement or reasonableness of and no reliance
should be placed on such forward-looking statements. There is no guarantee that the Company will generate a particular rate
of return.
DISCLAIMER
& IMPORTANT NOTICE
2
INVESTMENT MANAGER’S
PRESENTATION
Stephen Vernon
Chairman
FINANCIAL
Niall O’Buachalla
Chief Operating Officer
PORTFOLIO
Pat Gunne
Chief Executive
MARKET
Caroline McCarthy
Chief Investment Officer
SUMMARY
Stephen Vernon
Chairman
One Albert Quay l Cork
DIVIDEND
Cents per share
0.9
1.6
4.6
2014 2015 2016e
PORTFOLIO
HIGHLIGHTS
PRELIMINARY RESULTS
FULL YEAR PROFIT
NAV ANALYSIS
EPRA NAV per share
€1.52
June
2015
€1.32 per share
+15%June ‘16 v June ‘15
December
2015
€1.41 per share
+8%June ‘16 v Dec ‘15
GEARING
Property
LTV
Total
Gearing
21% 19%H1
46%
H2
54%
H1
29%
H2
71%
Basic EPS
per share
21.5 cents
Property Value
€1.24bn
EPRA EARNINGS
€10.5m
Year to30.06.2015
Year to30.06.2016
+28%1
v 2015
Net Rental Profit
€24.8m (3.7 cents per share)
+137%June ‘16 v June 15
The Board expects to declare a
dividend of 4.6c per share,
to be paid in Q4 2016
Net Profit
2016
€145.5m
+78%
+188%
€67.1m €78.4m
4(1) % increase on assets held at valuation dates H1 (31 December 2015) and H2 (30 June 2016). Includes Green REIT’s 60% interest in Mount Street and One Albert Quay “1AQ” (100%)
HIGHLIGHTS
PRELIMINARY RESULTS
5
Economy:
Irish economic growth continues to outperform within Europe
Unemployment rate now below EU average, and just over half what it peaked at in the
financial crisis
The effect of Brexit is too early to call in terms of assessing the impact or opportunity for
Ireland and real estate respectively
Apple EU tax case also too early to call, and expectations are for a protracted legal and
political international debate
Real Estate Market:
Interest rates, driven by Central Bank policy, remain very supportive of real estate as an asset
class
Take up has been very robust, driven by local and international occupiers
NAMA remains constrained in their development of assets under their control
Supply of speculative space has continued to increase, but robust take up levels have meant
that the market is operating in relative equilibrium
Rents continue to rise, but market consensus is that prime office rents are close to peak levels
Yield gap is still high due to longer term interest rates falling faster than property yields
Green REIT:
Delivering on promises, with dividend plans coming to fruition, and development projects on
plan
Very successful 12 months in active asset management witnessed by the increased security
of income and low voids within portfolio
Continued focus on driving risk adjusted returns George’s Quay l Dublin 2
INVESTMENT MANAGER’S
PRESENTATION
Stephen Vernon
Chairman
FINANCIAL
Niall O’Buachalla
Chief Operating Officer
PORTFOLIO
Pat Gunne
Chief Executive
MARKET
Caroline McCarthy
Chief Investment Officer
SUMMARY
Stephen Vernon
Chairman
One Albert Quay l Cork
132.1
153.9
17.7
3.7
2.0
-1.6
Net Assets pershare at
30.06.2015
PropertyRevaluation
Net Rental Profit& Other Income
PerformanceFee Reserve
DividendsPaid
Net Assets pershare at
30.06.2016
€685.0m€727.8m
€807.1m
€899.3m€961.5m
€1,048.0m
Net EquityRaised
30/06/2014 31/12/2014 30/06/2015 31/12/2016 30/06/2016
NAV
EPRA Net Assets of €1,048m up by €149m (16.5%) on 30 June 2015
(€899m)
EPRA NAV per share of €1.52, up 15% on June 2015 (€1.32 per share)
Profit for the year
Profit for the period of €145.5m (30 June 2015: €156.7m)
Basic EPS of 21.5 cents for the period (30 June 2015 : 23.5 cents)
EPRA EPS of 3.7 cents for the period (30 June 2015 : 1.6 cents)
Property Value
Portfolio valued at €1,241m at 30 June 2016
Increase of €117m (13%) on 30 June 2015 for assets held throughout the
period
Increase of €30m on the acquisition of the other 50% of Central Park
(acquired Jan 2016) and One Albert Quay (acquired Feb 2016)
Dividend
Dividend of 4.6 cents per share, up 188% on June 2015 (1.6 cents per
share)
Total dividend €31.4m (2015: €10.7m)
FINANCIAL
KEY FINANCIALS
NAV Build-up
Basic NAV Analysis (cents per share)
+16.5%
+16.5%
+53%
7
FINANCIAL
YEAR TO 30 JUNE 2016
30 June 2016€’000
30 June 2015€’000
Gross Rent 56,432 39,432
Property Outgoings (3,883) (1,613)
Net Rent +39% 52,549 37,819
Share of Rental Profit - Central Park JV 2,740 5,018
Profit on residual business 519 0
IM Base Fee (9,669) (8,104)
IM Performance Fee (13,893) (20,982)
Admin Expenses (2,708) (2,137)
Operating Profit +146% 29,538 11,614
Net Finance Costs (4,644) (1,150)
Pre Tax Earnings 24,894 10,464
Tax (65) 0
Post Tax Earnings +137% 24,829 10,464
Movement in Fair Values:
100% Owned Properties 109,367 113,803
Central Park JV Property 11,306 32,436
Total Fair Value Movement -17.5% 120,673 146,239
Net Profit -7% 145,502 156,703
Basic earnings per share (cents) 21.5 23.5
EPRA earnings per share (cents) 3.7 1.6
Summary Income Statement
30 June 2016 30 June 2015
€MMCent per
share% of total
profit€MM
Cent per share
% of total profit
EPRA Earnings 24.8 3.7 17% 10.5 1.6 7%
Revaluation Uplifts 120.7 17.8 83% 146.2 21.9 93%
Profit for the Year 145.5 21.5 100% 156.7 23.5 100%
EPS Analysis
Developments – Update on Costs & Profit
Expenditure €MM
Estimated total Build Cost 100% 128.2
Spend to 30.06.2016 (22.5%) 28.8
Remaining Spend 77.5% 99.4
To be funded from cash and the company’s revolving credit facility
Profit Estimates €MM
Estimated Total Profit 100% 67.9
Uplifts to 30.06.2016 (17.1%) (11.6)
Estimated Future Profit 82.9% 56.3
8
FINANCIAL
FINANCING
Total gearing of 19.2% at 30.06.2016, with total debt of €255.4m, up
from 9.5% total gearing / €95.7m debt at 30.06.2015
Further capital to be deployed on One Albert Quay of €10.4m and on
our development pipeline of €99.4m
Bank of Ireland facility on Central Park extended to June 2021 (+3
years) with a margin reduction from 3% to 2%, saving €1.5m per
annum
New forward starting hedging in place on €200m
Total debt cost reduced to 1.9% at 30.06.2016 from 2.8% at
30.06.2015
Debt maturity increased to 4 years at 30.06.2016 from 3.1 years at
30.06.2015
At30 June
2015
At31 December
2015
At30 June
2016
TOTAL GEARING €MM €MM €MM
Total Debt 95.7 104.7 255.4
Total Assets 1,011.9 1,089.9 1,331.8
Total Gearing 9.5% 9.6% 19.2%
PROPERTY LTV
Total Debt 95.7 104.7 255.4
Property Value 968.3 1,034.2 1,241.0
Property LTV 9.9% 10.1% 20.6%
Debt Analysis
Gearing Analysis
Total Debt€MM
Interest Cost(per annum)
Annual Interest€MM
Gearing -Property
OnlyHedged
WeightedAverage
Maturity
At 30.06.2015 95.7 2.8% 2.7 9.9% 78% 3.1
At 30.06.2016 255.4 1.9% 4.8 20.6% 98% 4.0
9
Strong contribution from rental profit, up 137% on 2015 to
€24.8m
Strong balance sheet with low leverage
Lower debt cost of 1.9% with longer maturity of 4 years
Dividends on plan, at 4.6 cents per share, an increase of
188% on 2015
Summary
INVESTMENT MANAGER’S
PRESENTATION
Stephen Vernon
Chairman
FINANCIAL
Niall O’Buachalla
Chief Operating Officer
PORTFOLIO
Pat Gunne
Chief Executive
MARKET
Caroline McCarthy
Chief Investment Officer
SUMMARY
Stephen Vernon
Chairman
One Albert Quay l Cork
0.00
0.50
1.00
1.50
2.00
2.50
3.00
3.50
4.00
4.50
Yie
ld %
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
Yie
ld %
10 Year Bond Yield 2006 - 2016
PORTFOLIO
ACQUISITION PROFILE IN CONTEXT OF 10 YEAR BOND YIELD
Bond Yield July 2013 – August 2016
March 2014
Central Park(50%)
6.6% NIY / 7% EY
+400 bps
October 2014
Project Sapphire
6.3% NIY / 6% EY
+400 bps
“NIY” Net Initial Yield // “EY” Equivalent Yield
Source: Green REIT plc, Trading Economics and Davy, 2016
April 2014
2nd Fund Raise
January 2016
Central Park (balance 50%)
4.4% NIY / 5.3% EY
+430 bps
February 2016
1 Albert Quay
7.5% NIY / 6.8% EY
+580 bps
July 2013
IPO
June 2016
Brexit
10 weeks
1.8%
0.6%
Central Bank policy continues
to be highly supportive of
real estate, however as
witnessed in summer 2015,
a change in sentiment can
impact the yield curve
dramatically
11
31 December
2013
30 June
2014
31 December
2014
30 June
2015
31 December
2015
30 June
2016
Equivalent Yield % 7.4 6.1 5.6 5.5 5.4 5.0
10 Year Bond % 3.5 2.4 1.3 1.6 1.2 0.5
Yield Gap (bps) 390 370 430 390 420 450
October 2014
(acquisition)
5 September
2016Variance
Equivalent Yield % 5.3 5.0
10 Year Bond % 1.8 0.5
Yield Gap (bps) 350 450 +100
PORTFOLIO
YIELD GAP ANALYSIS
Source: Green REIT plc and Davy, 2016
Despite the aggregate value of
Central Park & George’s Quay
being up by 30% since
acquisition,
the yield gap is now higher
than at the point of purchase
(1) Analysis on investment assets held at stated date (Includes Green REIT’s 60% interest in Mount Street and One Albert Quay) – excludes residential element (Arena Centre), lands and property under construction at date of valuation
March 2014
(acquisition)
5 September
2016Variance
Equivalent Yield % 7.0 5.5
10 Year Bond % 3.0 0.5
Yield Gap (bps) 400 500 +100
Central Park 50%
George’s Quay & Court
Investment Assets only 1
-115
-420
390 370430
390420
450
-500
-400
-300
-200
-100
0
100
200
300
400
500
Jun-2007 Jun-2011 Dec-2013 Jun-2014 Dec-2014 Jun-2015 Dec-2015 Jun-2016
Yield Gap (bps)
Last peak
Post cra
sh
12
2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17
Phase 1 Phase 2 Phase 3 Phase 4
PORTFOLIO
ASSEMBLY
DEVELOPMENT PROJECTS
INITIATED
ACTIVE
MANAGEMENT
DEVELOPMENT AND
DIVIDEND FOCUS
7 deals / 18 properties
€353m invested1
6.8% net initial yield
420,000 sq. ft. gross area
Projected end value €244m
39% return on cost2
Active management resulting in
greater income security.
WAULT up 56% from 5 year to 7.8
years3 and 98% occupancy by ERV
across the portfolio
Delivery on the dividend and securing
development properties through the
lease up of new space
Dividend
4.6c per share
+188% y-o-y
Development projecting
39% return on cost
Central Park
2 Burlington Rd
INM Building
Mount Street
Central Park
Molesworth Street
Ormond Building
Harcourt Rd (CGI)Harcourt St
Mount Street George’s Quay One Albert QuayWestend Shopping Park
PORTFOLIO
THE CYCLE
(1) Actual acquisition price (net of costs). One Albert Quay – payments made of €41m (80%) with the balance €10.35m (20%) to be paid on or before March 2017
(2) Figures updated in June 2016 – see appendix for further details
(3) % uplift from last results (Jun 2015). WAULT is the rent-weighted average remaining term on leases to lease expiry/ break date (whichever comes first). Excludes residential component
(4) On the basis of acquired portion of One Albert Quay (80%) only
2 deals / 7 properties
€400m invested1
4.9% net initial yield
2 properties
€206.3m invested1
6.0% net initial yield4
ACQUISITIONS ACQUISITIONS
13
In LegalsReserved
FY 2014 FY 2015 Movement FY 2016
Portfolio
Value 1 2 €402.9m €968.3m+€359m
-€87m €1,240m
% Prime 70% 72% 93%
Contracted
Rent (pa) 1 2 €29.4m €55.7m+€12.2m
-€6.6m €61.3m
Initial Yield(on expiry of rent free)
Investment 4 7.2% 5.8% 5.2%
Portfolio 7.0% 5.5% 4.7%
Equivalent Yield
Investment 4 6.1% 5.5% 5.0%
Portfolio 6.0% 5.3% 4.8%
WAULT 3
(years) 6.0 5.0 7.8
EPRA
Occupancy 91% 98% 98%
PORTFOLIO
ANALYSIS
Portfolio Value Build-up 1 2
Contracted Rent Build-up 1 2
(1) Value and rental income at valuation dates. Includes Green REIT’s 60% interest in Mount Street
(2) One Albert Quay – payments made of €41m (80%) with the balance €10.35m (20%) to be paid on or before March 2017. Includes annual contracted rent €3.2m
(3) WAULT is the rent-weighted average remaining term on leases to lease expiry/ break date (whichever comes first). Excludes residential component
(4) Analysis on investment assets held at stated date – excludes residential element, lands and property under construction at date of valuation
+28%(12 months)
+10%(12 months)
+20%(6 months)
+11%(6 months)
+€9.0m
+€3.2m -€5.7m
-€0.5m
-€86.7m +86.9m
€155m
Central Park
1AQ, €51.3m+140% +28%
+89% +10%
-17% +56%
7.8
98%
14
WAULT 3
(years)
EPRA
Occupancy
Value 1 Contracted Rent 2 ERV (Let element only) Vacant
ERV
€m pa
WAULT
(years)Top Tenants
June 2016% of
total€ psf €m pa
% of
total
€psf
(ex car)€m pa
€psf
(ex car)
Off
ices
Dublin
City
Centre
€562.4m 45% €1,023 €24.4m 40% €42.20 €27.7m €48.10 €0.01m 7.8
Central
Park &
Lands
€345.7m 28% €500 €18.0m 29% €22.80 €20.1m €26.10 €0.00m 7.4
Dublin -
Other€35.5m 3% €233 €2.8m 5% €16.60 €2.2m €12.50 €0.00m 8.1
Cork€63.8m
(AQ 100%)5% €478 €3.2m 5% €23.40 €3.5m €25.20 €0.83m 2 10.8
Office
Total€1,007.4m 81% €660 €48.4m 79% €29.40 €53.5m €32.80 €0.85m 7.9
Retail €181.5m 15% €394 €10.7m 18% €23.30 €8.8m €19.00 €0.75m 8.0
Industrial €37.8m 3% €214 €1.3m 2% €7.20 €1.3m €7.30 €0.34m 5.0
Other €14.0m 1% €88 €0.9m 1% €5.70 €1.1m €4.60 - 6.0
Portfolio
Total€1,240.7m 100% €534 €61.3m 100% €24.5 €64.7m €26.20 €1.95m 7.8
PORTFOLIO
ANALYSIS
(1) Value and rental income as at 30 June 2016. Includes Green REIT’s 60% interest in Mount Street and One Albert Quay (100%). Arena (office element) is included in ‘Offices’
(2) One Albert Quay – payments made of €41m (80%) with the balance €10.35m (20%) to be paid on or before March 2017. Includes annual contracted rent €3.2m. Vacant ERV of €0.83m relates to portion not yet acquired
(3) WAULT is the rent-weighted average remaining term on leases to lease expiry/ break date (whichever comes first). Excludes residential component
Offices
81% by value 1
with 7.9 years
WAULT
Dublin
93%by value 1
5%reversionary
on portfolio rent
15
-32.8%
-22.4%
-9.5%
-1.1%
3.4% 5.2%
-40%
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
Q4 2013 Q2 2014 Q4 2014 Q2 2015 Q4 2015 Q2 2016
PORTFOLIO
INCOME ANALYSIS
(1) Based on contracted rent and market rent on let element only, at valuation dates
(2) WAULT is the rent-weighted average remaining term on leases to lease expiry/ break date (whichever comes first). Excludes residential component
Rent relative to Market Rent at Valuation Dates 1
Reve
rsio
na
ryO
ve
r-re
nte
d
Offices, 81% of our
portfolio value, being the
standout rental performer
to date
61%of portfolio income on
upwards only with 7.9 years WAULT
-25.3% -15.7% -4.3%
5.4% 10.1% 9.5%
-30%
-25%
-20%
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
Q4 2013 Q2 2014 Q4 2014 Q2 2015 Q4 2015 Q2 2016
OFFICES RETAIL INDUSTRIAL
-69.1%
-50.2%
-30.5% -30.2%-25.4%
-22.6%
-80%
-70%
-60%
-50%
-40%
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
Q4 2013 Q2 2014 Q4 2014 Q2 2015 Q4 2015 Q2 2016
-0.8%
-15.3% -15.3%
-10.9%
1.6%2.3%
-20%
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
Q4 2013 Q2 2014 Q4 2014 Q2 2015 Q4 2015 Q2 2016
61%of ERV
37%of ERV
2%
7.9 years7.6 years
-
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
8.0
9.0
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
Upwards only Up/down Vacant ERV
Rent Review Clause & WAULT2
16
Top Irish International Contracted Rent pa 1 As a % of Group Rent WAULT 2
€31m 51% 8.3
€12m 19% 8.3
€6m 10% 7.6
Top 30tenants
account for
€49m(80%)
of portfolio
rental income
25% 75%(1) Rental income as at 30 June 2016. Includes Green REIT’s 60% interest in Mount Street and One Albert Quay €3.2m contracted rent
(2) WAULT is the rent-weighted average remaining term on leases to lease expiry/ break date (whichever comes first). Excludes residential component 17
75%of which is from
international covenants
PORTFOLIO
INCOME ANALYSIS
Financial41%
TMT23%
Retail18%
Government (Irish)
6%
Other9%
Professional3%
€61.3mRent Roll
Finance/
Financial Services
7.4 76%
WAULT
(yrs)
International
Occupiers
Technology, Media &
Telecommunications
8.7 97%
WAULT
(yrs)
International
Occupiers
Retail Trade
8.4 61%
WAULT
(yrs)
International
Occupiers
Government (Irish)
6.8 -
WAULT
(yrs)
International
Occupiers
Professional Services
7.1 94%
WAULT
(yrs)
International
Occupiers
Others
7.2 72%
WAULT
(yrs)
International
Occupiers
Diverse sectoral exposure with
high concentration of
international occupiers(€45m/ 73% of group rent)
(1) Rental income as at 30 June 2016. Includes Green REIT’s 60% interest in Mount Street and One Albert Quay €3.2m contracted rent
(2) WAULT is the rent-weighted average remaining term on leases to lease expiry/ break date (whichever comes first). Excludes residential component
PORTFOLIO
INCOME ANALYSIS 1 2
18
29%
27%
13%
7%
5%
28%
28%
11%
7%
5%
Served by:
Served by:
Strong focus
on cost efficiency
and labour pool
€1.24bnPortfolio Value
€61.3mRent Roll
Central Park
George’s Quay & Court
George’s Quay & Court
19%
€45 / €50 100% 7.5 / 4.8
Rent psf
Contracted / ERV
Occupancy WAULT (years) 3
Current/ At Acquisition
€23 / €26 100% 7.3 / 5.0
Rent psf
Contracted / ERV
Occupancy WAULT (years) 3
Current/ At Acquisition
(1) Value and rental income as at 30 June 2016. Includes Green REIT’s 60% interest in Mount Street
(2) One Albert Quay – payments made of €41m (80%) with the balance €10.35m (20%) to be paid on or before March 2017. Includes annual contracted rent €3.2m
(3) WAULT is the rent-weighted average remaining term on leases to lease expiry/ break date (whichever comes first). Excludes residential component
Focus on
City Centre & Profile
Clustering financial
services
One Albert Quay
2 Burlington Road
Westend Shopping Park
21%
Other 16 assets
Top five assets accounting for
79% of portfolio value and
81% of group rent
19
PORTFOLIO
ASSET ANALYSIS 1 2
New Build Subject to planning
Contracted August 2016
80,000 sq. ft.
Possible expansion of a
further 80,000 sq. ft.
15 years
Unit B1
Unit completed May 2016
Terms agreed with a global
logistics company
44,000 sq. ft.
10 years
Building Tenant TypeArea
sq. ft.
Contracted
Rent
€m pa
Term
(years)
v Jun-15
ERV
One Albert Quay
New Letting 73,986 1.72 20 -
ARUP New Letting 20,586 0.54 15 -
New Letting 13,937 0.33 15 -
Malwarebytes New Letting 10,360 0.27 10 -
New Letting 8,008 0.21 15 -
Investec New Letting 3,680 0.10 15 -
New Letting 2,738 0.07 20 -
Central Park New Letting 7,602 0.21 2 +7%
Parkway
Retail Park
New Letting 2,800 0.06 10 +19%
Costa Coffee New Letting 2,872 0.05 20 -
Westend
Shopping Park
Freshly
ChoppedNew Letting 1,802 0.06 15 +11%
Various 2 New lettings/ 5 Short Term licences 6,861 0.16 - +129%
Total – New Lettings/ Renewals 155,232 3.77+10
(average)+3.2%
2 Burlington Road 85,266 4.20 +10
Various 9 tenants 88,042 1.40 +1.4
Total – Break option not exercised 173,308 5.60 +5.6
PORTFOLIO
LEASING ACTIVITY COMPLETED SINCE JANUARY 2016 1
Horizon Logistics Park 2
124,000 sq. ft. contracted
with rent 12% above ERV
and
possible expansion of a further
80,000 sq. ft.
20(1) Lease events/ lettings secured since 1 January 2016
(2) Completed post 30 June 2016
INVESTMENT MANAGER’S
PRESENTATION
Stephen Vernon
Chairman
FINANCIAL
Niall O’Buachalla
Chief Operating Officer
PORTFOLIO
Pat Gunne
Chief Executive
MARKET
Caroline McCarthy
Chief Investment Officer
SUMMARY
Stephen Vernon
Chairman
DEVELOPMENT
Block H l Central Park l Dublin 18
Site Cost, €48m
Expenditure to Jun-16, €29m
Development Cost (Est. balance),
€99m
Valuation uplift (since acquisition), €12m
Projected Future Profit,
€56m
PORTFOLIO
DEVELOPMENT
(1) Net present value to allow for void on NDV and notional purchaser’s costs of 4.46%
(2) Estimated total profit on acquisition cost
(3) Estimated rent on completion, revised in June 2016
(4) On estimated build cost plus site cost, development levies and fees. Excludes financing
Rounded to the nearest hundred thousand. Figures subject to change
BLOCK H CENTRAL PARK
Under Construction
HORIZON LOGISTICS PARK
Complete
In Legals
4- 5 HARCOURT ROAD
Under Construction
€244.4mProjected Net
Development Value 1
€68m(10c per share)
Total Projected
Profit 2
of which
€57m(8.2c per share)
is unrealised
€13.3mRent
Estimate 3
7.5%Yield on
Cost 4
39%Return on Cost 4
32 MOLESWORTH STREET
Under Construction
Reserved
ONE MOLESWORTH STREET
Under Construction
Total 5 Projects
Total Cost€176m
Total Projected
Profit€68m
22
Site Cost€24m
Site Cost, €4m
Site Cost€16m
Site Cost, €4m
Expenditure to Jun-16€5m
Expenditure to Jun-16€14m
Expenditure to Jun-16€5m
Development Cost (Est. balance)
€33m
Development Cost (Est. balance)
€34mDevelopment Cost
(Est. balance)€25m
Development Cost (Est. balance)€8m
Total Cost2, €4.5m
Valuation uplift (since acquisition), €3m
Valuation uplift (since acquisition), €1m
Valuation uplift (since acquisition), €2m
Valuation uplift (since acquisition), €5m
Projected Future Profit€31m
Projected Future Profit€16m
Projected Future Profit€5m
Projected Future Profit€5m
Total Projected Profit1, €1m
€0m
€20m
€40m
€60m
€80m
€100m
1 Molesworth St Block H Central Park 4&5 Harcourt Rd 32 Molesworth St Horizon Logistics Park
€11.6m (17%) profit
reflected
in valuation
Total Cost2
€62m
Total Cost2
€52mTotal Cost2
€41m
Total Cost2
€17m
Total Projected
Profit1
€34m
Total Projected
Profit1
€17m
Total Projected Profit1
€6m
Total Projected Profit1
€10m
Complete
In Legals
Under Construction
Reserved
PORTFOLIO
DEVELOPMENT
23(1) Estimated total profit on acquisition cost
(2) Estimated build cost plus site cost, development levies and fees. Excludes financing and tenant incentives (void and rent free)
Rounded to the nearest hundred thousand. Figures subject to change
Initial Underwrite
€10.8m
Feb-16€13.5m
Jun-16€13.3m
Initial Underwrite
€185.0m
Feb-16€246.3m
Jun-16€244.4m
Rent Estimate 2 Net Development Value 3
Total Cost 4 Return on Cost
Initial Underwrite
€143.2m
Feb-16€172.5m
Jun-16€176.4m
Initial Underwrite
28%
Feb-1643% Jun-16
39%
50%
Centr
al P
ark
50%
Centr
al P
ark
50%
Centr
al P
ark
50%
Centr
al P
ark
-1% -0.7%
+2%
+25% +33%
+20% +15%
Build cost inflation
is still evident in the
development process,
however the cost of our
projects have, to a large
extent been de-risked
Estimated return on cost
running at 39% v 43%
in Feb 2016 and 28% at the original time of underwrite
PORTFOLIO
DEVELOPMENT 1
24(1) On an overall basis (5 projects). Figures updated in June 2016 but are subject to change
(2) Estimated rent on completion, revised in June 2016
(3) Net present value to allow for void on NDV and notional purchaser’s costs of 4.46%
(4) On estimated build cost plus site cost, development levies and fees. Excludes financing and tenant incentives (void and rent free)
INVESTMENT MANAGER’S
PRESENTATION
Stephen Vernon
Chairman
FINANCIAL
Niall O’Buachalla
Chief Operating Officer
PORTFOLIO
Pat Gunne
Chief Executive
MARKET
Caroline McCarthy
Chief Investment Officer
SUMMARY
Stephen Vernon
Chairman
ASSET DISPOSALS
Ormond Building l Dublin 7
Arena Centre Classon House
Ormond Building Parnell Car Park
Parkway Retail Park Globe Retail Park
PORTFOLIO
DISPOSALS
Glas Collection
Announced in February
the intention to
dispose of
€100m
of assets in
calendar year
2016
(1) 4 assets sold in H1 2016 (calendar year) with sale price of €75m (Acquisition price of €43m)
26
Arena Centre
Parkway Retail Park
Glas Collection
€75m / 75%(of target sales)
achieved to date releasing a
75% uplift
on purchase price
SOLD
SOLDSOLD
SOLD
(1) 4 assets sold in H1 2016 (calendar year) with sale price of €75m (acquisition price of €43m)
(2) 75% uplift is before acquisition costs and sales fees
PORTFOLIO
DISPOSALS
27
2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 >2017
Phase 1 Phase 2 Phase 3 Phase 4 Next Phase
PORTFOLIO
ASSEMBLY
DEVELOPMENT
PROJECTS INITIATED
ACTIVE
MANAGEMENT
DEVELOPMENT AND
DIVIDEND FOCUS
Decisions around our
development exposure once
existing programme is
de-risked 7 deals / 18 properties
€353m invested1
6.8% net initial yield
420,000 sq. ft. gross area
Projected end value €244m
39% return on cost2
Active management resulting
in greater income security.
WAULT up 56% from 5 year to
7.8 years3 and 98% occupancy
by ERV across the portfolio
Delivery on the dividend and
securing development
properties through the lease up
of new space
Dividend
4.6c per share
+188% y-o-y
Development
projecting
39% return on cost
2 Burlington Rd
INM Building
Mount Street
Central Park
Molesworth Street
Ormond Building
Harcourt Rd (CGI)Harcourt St
George’s Quay One Albert Quay
Mount St
PORTFOLIO
THE CYCLE
2 deals / 7 properties
€400m invested1
4.9% net initial yield
2 properties
€206.3m invested1
6.0% net initial yield4
Being ready
to take advantage
of any market
pricing or liquidity
dislocation
by maintaining
prudent leverage
and a disciplined
approach to
speculative
development
Exploiting any
opportunity
arising from
Brexit
“
”
“
”ACQUISITIONS ACQUISITIONS
28
Central Park One Albert QuayGeorge’s Quay Westend Shopping Park
(1) Actual acquisition price (net of costs). One Albert Quay – payments made of €41m (80%) with the balance €10.35m (20%) to be paid on or before March 2017
(2) Figures updated in June 2016 – see appendix for further details
(3) % uplift from last results (Jun 2015). WAULT is the rent-weighted average remaining term on leases to lease expiry/ break date (whichever comes first). Excludes residential component
(4) On the basis of acquired portion of One Albert Quay (80%) only
In LegalsReserved
Aerial view of Dublin / Dublin Docklands1. George’s Quay2. 1 Molesworth Street (under construction)3. 32 Molesworth (under construction)
1
2 3
INVESTMENT MANAGER’S
PRESENTATION
Stephen Vernon
Chairman
FINANCIAL
Niall O’Buachalla
Chief Operating Officer
PORTFOLIO
Pat Gunne
Chief Executive
MARKET
Caroline McCarthy
Chief Investment Officer
SUMMARY
Stephen Vernon
Chairman
Historic High15.1%
0.00%
2.00%
4.00%
6.00%
8.00%
10.00%
12.00%
14.00%
16.00%
2006
M08
2007
M08
2008
M08
2009
M08
2010
M08
2011
M08
2012
M08
2013
M08
2014
M08
2015
M08
2016
M08
MARKET
ECONOMIC
GDP Growth Rate – Ireland v EU28 Unemployment Rate (10 Years to August 2016)
Debt to GDP – Ireland v EU28 Office Yields relative to 10 Yr. Irish Bond Yields
Unemployment continue to fall
Source: Eurostat, August 2016 Source: CSO, August 2016
3.7
5.5
7.5
7.5 7.5 7.2
6.2
5.0 4.8 4.7 4.5
5.1
6.0
9.4
14.1
8.9
4.3 3.5
1.8 0.5 -
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
16.0
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Q2 2016
%
Yield Bond
Source: Eurostat, August 2016 Source: CBRE and Davy, September 2016
201526.3%
2016(consensus)
4.4%20152.0%
2016f1.6%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016f
Ireland EU (28 countries)
200723.9%
2016f93.8%
200757.8%
2016f86.4%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
140%
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016f
Ireland EU (28 countries) Yield spreads remain
relatively high
30
Aug-16
8.3%
TenantSigned
or O/O
Gross
Area 1
sq. ft.
Headline
Rent
€psf
P 320,000 -
P 185,000 €47.50
O 165,000€49.00-
€55.00
P 152,000 -
P 140,000€49.00-
€50.00
P 130,000 €39.00
NTMA O 100,000 -
O 86,000 €60.00
O 43,000 €60.00
P 376,000 -
MARKET
OFFICE SECTOR
2014 2015 H1 2016(calendar year)
Consensus
2017
Prime Rent
€psf€45 €55 €60 €65
Prime Yield 5.0% 4.8% 4.65%4.5% -
4.65%
Take-up
(sq. ft.)(Rounded)
2.4m 2.7m 1m 2m(average)
Overall Vacancy
Rate12.7% 9.4% 8.3% --
Total Under
Construction (sq. ft.)Nil 126k
(completed)5.3m --
Speculative -- -- 55%
Pre-let / Owner
Occupied “O/O”-- -- 45%
Construction Tender
Cost (1998=100)115.2 121.5 130
(2016f) --
Source: CBRE; SCSI and Bruce Shaw, 2016
+5% +7%
+22% +14% +8%
Rental growth has
moderated in the
last quarter, whilst
robust take-up
reduces the risk
of the market
becoming
oversupplied
against a
backdrop of
increased
construction
(1) Gross floor area (sq. ft.) – Rounded to the nearest hundred thousand
31
Top 5
Tra
nsactions 2013 2014 2015 H1 2016
€1.8bn €4.6bn €3.5bn €2.95bn (H1)
1
Ulysses Portfolio
€152mProject Sapphire
€375m
Project Molly
€350m
Blanchardstown
Shopping Centre
€950m
2
Project Arc
€128m
Central Park
€310m
4&5
Grand Canal Sq
€233m
One Spencer Dock
€240m
3
One Grand Canal
€93m
Project Cherry
€280m
Elm Park
€190m
Whitewater
Shopping Centre
€180m
4
Clancy Quay
€82m
Liffey Valley
Portfolio
€250m
The National
Portfolio
€177m
The Oval
€140m
5
75
St Stephen Green
€75m
Redwood Portfolio
€215m
Sovereign
Portfolio
€154m
Project Kells
€93m
MARKET
INVESTMENT
Source: JLL, 2016 (Top 5 Transactions); CBRE, 2016 (Total Investment Volume)
The market has continued to evolve
from the opportunistic phase to core
with Irish, German and US buyers
being the dominant force
Core/ Core Capital
TRANSITIONINGOPPORTUNISTIC CORE
Brexit will likely continue this
theme as EU destined funds
reallocated from London
Investment Spend by Purchaser Type
Source: CBRE, 2016
> €1 million in value
H1
2016
Total
Investment
Volume
Core
Core
Core
Core
Core
Core
Core
Core
Core
Core
Core
Core
32
Probable, 66% Probable, 86%
Probable, 33% Probable,
41%Probable, 6%
Probable,32%
Possible, 34% Possible, 14%
Possible,60%
Possible, 38% Possible,
42%
Possible, 42%
Unlikely, 8%
Unlikely, 21%
Unlikely,52%
Unlikely,26%
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
Feb-16 Sep-16 Feb-16 Sep-16 Feb-16 Sep-16 Feb-16 Sep-16
Mil
lio
ns
2016 2017 2018 2019/20
City,35% City,
20%
City,65%
City,42%
City, 100%
City, 100%
City, 100%
Suburbs,15%
Suburbs, 8%
In Legals, 38%
In Legals,24%
Signed,50%
Signed,12%
Signed,35%
Signed,34%
Completed & let,22%
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
2.0
Feb-16 Sep-16 Feb-16 Sep-16 Feb-16 Sep-16 Feb-16 Sep-16
Mill
ion
s
MARKET
DUBLIN OFFICE DEVELOPMENTUnder Construction
Let/ In LegalsUnder Construction – analysis of Feb v Sep 2016
Planning Granted – analysis of Feb v Sep 2016
Speculative28%
Let/ Owner Occupied
50%
Overall
planning granted
up 15% to
5.4m sq. ft.
26% increase in
office development
since Feb-2016
bringing the total from
4.2m to 5.3m sq. ft. with
45% (2.4m sq. ft.)
let or in legals
an increase of 57%
1.81m+2%
1.96m+3%
1.3m+141%
0.25m
Let/ Owner Occupied
58%
Speculative42%
0.25m-26%
1.3m-46%
3.9m+105%
Probability Analysis
“Probable” – 75% probability
“Possible” – 50% probability
“Unlikely” – 25% probability
Source: Green REIT plc, JLL, CBRE, Savills, CIS, 2016 (Historic data 2001 – 2015 obtained from JLL, 2016 – 2020 data obtained from various sources to include CBRE, Savills and CIS)
Probability analysis on schemes with planning permission conducted by Green Property REIT Ventures (Investment Manager for Green REIT plc) on February 2016 and updated in September 2016.
This is a subjective view by Green Property REIT Ventures. Showing schemes > 10,000 sq. ft. (gross area), details as per planning applications and is subject to change.
* Updated in September 2016
Speculative100%
Speculative100%
1.77m1.91m
0.54m
2016 2017 2018 2019/20
0.34m
2.4m
1.9m
33
Practical
Completion (PC):
Planned
Delivery in:
1.8m2m
1.3m
0.2m
Probable
Probable
Probable
Possible
Possible
Possible
Unlikely
Unlikely
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016* 2017* 2018* 2019/20*
Mill
ion
s sq
. ft.
(gr
oss
)
MARKET
OFFICE DEVELOPMENT
Potential Office Supply 2016 – 2020 *
10.7m sq. ft.+17% v Feb-16
16.3m sq. ft.
deliveredNo development
Rents
30-40%
Rents
50-60%
Rents
100%
Rents
75-85%
Planning Granted
Under Construction
0.2m
1.3m
3.9m
Source: Green REIT plc, JLL, CBRE, Savills, CIS, 2016 (Historic data 2001 – 2015 obtained from JLL, 2016 – 2020 data obtained from various sources to include CBRE, Savills and CIS)
Probability analysis on schemes with planning permission conducted by Green Property REIT Ventures (Investment Manager for Green REIT plc) on February 2016 and updated in September 2016.
This is a subjective view by Green Property REIT Ventures. Showing schemes > 10,000 sq. ft. (gross area), details as per planning applications and is subject to change.
* Updated in September 2016
2016 – 2020
5.3m sq. ft. under construction
• 2.4m sq. ft. let/ in legals
• 2.9m sq. ft. speculative
5.4m sq. ft. planning granted
• 36% “Probable”
• 40% “Possible”
• 24% “Unlikely”
“ Robust levels of take-up
leading to a well-balanced
market ”
34
2016
€53
€58
€56 €56
€60
€62
€65 €65
€60 €60
€62
€65
€50
€52
€54
€56
€58
€60
€62
€64
€66
€68
€70
2015 2016 2017 2018
€63
€57.50
€60€60
€61€60
€25
€30
€35
€40
€45
€50
€55
€60
€65
€70
2007 Q3 2010 Q3 2013 Q3 2016 Q3
CBRE
JLL
Savills
MARKET
TRENDS
Prime Office Rents (€ psf) JLL Prime Office Rents Projections
Prime Yields 2002 – July 2016
3.25
4.65
5.75
4.75
0
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
9.00
10.00
Q1
20
02
Q3
20
02
Q1
20
03
Q3
20
03
Q1
20
04
Q3
20
04
Q1
20
05
Q3
20
05
Q1
20
06
Q3
20
06
Q1
20
07
Q3
20
07
Q1
20
08
Q3
20
08
Q1
20
09
Q3
20
09
Mar-
10
Ju
l-10
No
v-1
0
Mar-
11
Ju
n-1
1
Au
g-1
1
Oc
t-1
1
Dec-1
1
Fe
b-1
2
May-1
2
Ju
l-12
Sep
-12
No
v-1
2
Jan
-13
Mar-
13
May-1
3
Ju
l-13
Sep
-13
No
v-1
3
Jan
-14
Mar-
14
May-1
4
Ju
l-14
Sep
-14
No
v-1
4
Jan
-15
Mar-
15
May-1
5
Ju
l-15
Sep
-15
No
v-1
5
Jan
-16
Mar-
16
May-1
6
Ju
l-16
Yie
ld %
Prime High Street Prime Offices Prime Industrial Prime Shopping Centre
Source: CBRE; JLL; Savills, July 2016 Source: JLL, July 2016
Source: CBRE, July 2016
PEAK2007
TROUGH
2012
€28 – 30psf
RECOVERY
2014
€40psf
2016 2017-2018
Jun-2015
Dec-2015
35
Construction Tender Prices Y-O-Y Changes
Source: SCSI, 2016
2.8%
-0.12
-0.10
-0.08
-0.06
-0.04
-0.02
0.00
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.08
0.10
H1 1
99
8
H2 1
99
8
H1 1
99
9
H2 1
99
9
H1 2
00
0
H2 2
00
0
H1 2
00
1
H2 2
00
1
H1 2
00
2
H2 2
00
2
H1 2
00
3
H2 2
00
3
H1 2
00
4
H2 2
00
4
H1 2
00
5
H2 2
00
5
H1 2
00
6
H2 2
00
6
H1 2
00
7
H2 2
00
7
H1 2
00
8
H2 2
00
8
H1 2
00
9
H2 2
00
9
H1 2
01
0
H2 2
01
0
H1 2
01
1
H2 2
01
1
H1 2
01
2
H2 2
01
2
H1 2
01
3
H2 2
01
3
H1 2
01
4
H2 2
01
4
H1 2
01
5
H2 2
01
5
MARKET
ECONOMIC
IDA Performance against Targets (2015 – 2019) Origin of IDA Ireland Supported Companies 2015
Source: IDA, July 2016
212 investments won by
IDA in 2015
36
Ireland ranked 5th highest for
Foreign Direct Investment inflows
in Europe (2009 – 2014)
2015 and 2016 have been record
years for employment growth and
investment flows
““
””
INVESTMENT MANAGER’S
PRESENTATION
Stephen Vernon
Chairman
FINANCIAL
Niall O’Buachalla
Chief Operating Officer
PORTFOLIO
Pat Gunne
Chief Executive
MARKET
Caroline McCarthy
Chief Investment Officer
SUMMARY
Stephen Vernon
Chairman
One Albert Quay l Cork
GREEN REIT PLC
SUMMARY
Continued decline in the risk free rate means property yields
still look attractive on a relative basis despite being close to
previous cycle peak
Brexit, whilst a net negative for Ireland, could result in an
increase in UK based tenants looking to take space in Dublin &
Ireland. Too early to have a firm view at this stage, but
monitoring carefully for opportunity
Portfolio is dominated by high grade Dublin office assets
which remain a strong performer, as illustrated by the results
Development assets continuing on plan, and team focussed to
secure tenancies and release profits from value uplift
Asset management has been very successful with 61% of
income in the portfolio being reviewed on an upwards only
basis and portfolio WAULT now standing at 7.8 years, up by
56% from this time last year
Dividend increased by 188% to 4.6c per share
38
One Albert Quay l Cork
Prime Real Estate
with strong tenants
on secure leases
in a growth economy
Structured to maximise risk adjusted returns
with appropriate development exposure
and moderate debt ratios,
whilst being alert to future opportunity
““
””
Q&A
APPENDIX
Fitzwilliam Hall l Dublin 2
Dublin City Centre45%
Dublin - Other28%
Cork5%
Retail15%
Industrial 2%
Other5%
Offices78%
Portfolio
21 Properties
€1.24 billion portfolio value at 30 June 2016
€45.9 million annual passing rent rising to €61.3 million on expiry of rent
frees
Dublin Centric
93% of assets by value1 2 located in Dublin
Focus on Office Sector (split by value 1 2)
78% Offices (Excludes Arena office element)
15% Retail
2% Industrial
5% Land & Other
Active Management
105 Tenants
36 new lettings3 completed in the last 12 months with a contracted rent of
€9.5m per annum
5 lease re-gears completed in the last 12 months with a contracted rent of
€14m per annum
WAULT increased to 7.8 years4 from 5 years in June 2015
98% EPRA occupancy by Estimated Rental Value (ERV)
PORTFOLIO
AT 30 JUNE 2016
(1) Excludes 4 assets sold within the period – they are 1) Globe Retail Park, 2) Classon House, 3) Ormond Building and 4) Parnell Car Park
(2) Based on latest valuation 30 June 2016. Includes Green REIT’s 60% interest in Mount Street property and 100% of One Albert Quay (Cork) (contracted to purchase)
(3) Includes short term lettings
(4) WAULT is the rent-weighted average remaining term on leases to lease expiry/ break date (whichever comes first). Excludes residential component
Value by Sector 1 2
Value by Geography 1 2
Dublin City Centre46%
Dublin - Other47%
Cork5%
Limerick2%
41
PORTFOLIO
TOP ASSETS
Central ParkGeorge’s
Quay &
Central Park
accounting
for
56%of
portfolio rent
& value1 2€16.8m 27% 350,000 28
Contracted
Rent
of
Group Rent
Floor Area
sq. ft.
Tenants
€18m 29% 692,000 14
Contracted
Rent
of
Group Rent
Floor Area
sq. ft.
Tenants
€7.7m 13% 300,000 34
Contracted Rent of Group Rent Floor Area sq. ft. Tenants
€4.2m 7% 85,000
Contracted Rent of Group Rent Floor Area sq. ft.
€3.2m 5% 164,000 7
Contracted Rent of Group Rent Floor Area sq. ft. Tenants
Westend Shopping Park 2 Burlington Road One Albert Quay
George’s Quay & Court
42(1) Value and rental income at valuation dates. Includes Green REIT’s 60% interest in Mount Street
(2) One Albert Quay – payments made of €41m (80%) with the balance €10.35m (20%) to be paid on or before March 2017. Includes annual contracted rent €3.2m
€7.3m
€4.5m
€3.7m
€3.4m
€2.8m €2.7m
€1.9m€1.7m €1.7m
€1.4m
10.310.7
11.4
10.7
4.2 4.2
2.21.7
11.6
5.9
€0.0m
€1.0m
€2.0m
€3.0m
€4.0m
€5.0m
€6.0m
€7.0m
€8.0m
Vodafone Ireland Allied Irish Bank Fidelity Pioneer Ulster Bank OPW Northern Trust Bank of America ML Tyco GAM
Mill
ion
s Contracted Rent Unexpired Term
Central Park 2 Burlington Rd GQ Blk E&F GQ Blk A Central Park Mount St George’s Court Central Park One Albert Quay George’s Court
PORTFOLIO
INCOME ANALYSIS
As % of Total Group Rent:
By Contracted Rent and WAULT 1 2
No of
property:
Top 10 tenants paying
51% of total rent
8 International
Irish Bank (Irish govt.)
Irish Government
12% 7% 6% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 3% 2%1 2 1 1 2 2 1 1 1 1
(1) Rental income as at 30 June 2016 includes Green REIT’s 60% interest in Mount Street
(2) WAULT is the rent-weighted average remaining term on leases to lease expiry/ break date (whichever comes first). Excludes residential component 43
Jan 2018
Jan 2016
Jan 2017
76-78 Harcourt St
Q1 2017 (E) 24,382 sq. ft.Rent €1.0m
GQ Blk E&F
Q2 2016 (B)
41,302 sq. ft.
Rent €1.9m
(1) Showing leases with an annual rent over €0.5 million/ Excludes short term licences/ Date of Analysis 30 June 2015
(2) Central Park – Rent represents Green REIT plc’s 50% share. Green REIT plc has since acquired the JV partner’s interest of 50%
Central ParkQ1 2018 (B)74,215 sq. ft. Rent €0.9m
4&5 Harcourt Rd
Q4 2015 (E)
Rent €1.3m
Central Park
Q4 2018 (B) **
263,000 sq. ft.
Rent €3.7m
GQ Block A
Q2 2017 (B)
62,782 sq. ft.
Rent €3.4m
2 Burlington Road
Q2 2017 (B)
85,266 sq. ft.
Rent €4.2mArena Centre
Q1 2018 (B)
63,586 sq. ft.
Rent €1.4m
84-93 Mount St
Q1 2016 (E)
49,353 sq. ft.
Rent €1.7m GQ Blk E&F
Q3 2016 (B)
26,444 sq. ft.
Rent €1.3m
Legend
Expiry
Break
Redevelopment
George’s
Court
Q3 2016 (E)
16,255 sq. ft.
Rent €0.8m
George’s Court
Q3 2018 (B)
44,380 sq. ft.
Rent €1.8m
GQ Blk AQ2 2017 (B)8,344 sq. ft.Rent €0.5m
GQ Blk A
Q2 2017 (B)
8,473 sq. ft.
Rent €0.5m
GQ Blk AQ1 2017 (B)16,734 sq. ft.Rent €1.0m
€21m (72%)*
of lease eventsbetween 2016-2018 now secured
* As a % of 2016-2018 total (€29.3m pa) on 30 June 2015
PORTFOLIO
INCOME ANALYSIS
44
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
One Molesworth Street
32 & rear of Molesworth Street
4-5 Harcourt Road
Block H Central Park
Horizon Logistics Park
PlanningConstruction
90,000 sq. ft. (Letttable)Completion & Void
Income
producing
ERV €4.7m
PlanningConstruction
28,374 sq. ft (Letttable)Completion & Void
Income
producing
ERV €1.45m
PlanningConstruction
48,243 sq. ft. (Letttable) 2Completion & Void
Income
producing
ERV €2.5m
PlanningConstruction
150,000 sq. ft. (Letttable) (100%) 2Completion & Void
Income
producing
ERV €4.35m
PlanningConstruction
66,000 sq. ft. 3
(2 units)
Completion & VoidIncome
producingERV €0.35m
TODAY
(1) Updated June 2016. Contingent on obtaining the necessary planning and board approvals which are outside of the control of the Manager
(2) Estimated rent on completion and lettable areas revised in June 2016
(3) Comprises two new buildings – 44,000 sq. ft. to hold and 22,000 sq. ft. is complete and was sold in Q4 2015. ERV represents one unit (44,000 sq. ft.)
PORTFOLIO
DEVELOPMENT 1 2
45
In Legals
Reserved
Office Industrial
One
Molesworth Street
Dublin 2
4 & 5
Harcourt Road
Dublin 2
32 & Rear of
Molesworth Street
Dublin 2
Block H,
Central Park
Dublin 18
Unit 1, Horizon
Logistics Park
Dublin Airport
Sub Total – Office Under Construction Under Construction Under Construction Under Construction Complete
Are
a
Existing NIA
(sq. ft.)86,800 42,400 32,400 12,000 0 0
New GIA
(sq. ft.)376,292 120,000 63,000 43,292 150,000 44,0006
Lettable Area
(sq. ft.)/ Net Ratio313,374 83% 90,000 75% 45,000 71% 28,374 66% 150,000 100% 44,0006 100%
Co
st Site Cost €48m €153 psf5 €24m €267 psf5 €16m €356 psf5 €4m €141 psf5 €4m €27 psf5 €0.3m €6.8 psf5
All in Build Cost² €120m €383 psf5 €38m €422 psf5 €21m €467 psf5 €13m €458 psf5 €48m €320 psf5 €4.2m €95 psf5
Ren
t
Rent Estimate³ €13.1m €42 psf5
(ex cars)€5.0m €55 psf5
(€3,500 pcs)€2.3m €50 psf5
(€3,500 pcs)€1.45m €50 psf5
(€3,500 pcs)€4.35m €25 psf5
(€2,000 pcs)€0.35m €8.0 psf5
Void 12 – 18 months 12 Months 12 Months 12 Months 18 Months 12 Months
Income Producing 2017/18 2018/19 2018/19 2017/18 2018 2017/18
Retu
rn
Net Development
Value (NDV)4 €241m €769 psf5 €101m €1,122 psf5 €44m €978 psf5 €27m €952 psf5 €69m €460 psf5 €5.3m €120 psf5
Yield on Cost 7.8% 8.1% 6.2% 8.5% 8.4% 7.8%
Yield on Value 5.0% 4.5% 4.75% 4.75% 5.5% 6.0%
Value v. Cost +44% +63% +19% +59% +33% +18%
100% interest
in Central Park
€124m€391 psf
64,374
48,243
€25m€517 psf
377,666
316,617
€96m€1,063 psf
€239.1m€755 psf
€47m€983 psf
6.0%7.6%7.5%
16%54%39%
€4.7m€55 psf
€13.0m€42 psf
€2.5m€50 psf
Current Estimate v Feb ‘16 Estimate
Build Costs +2.3% (€3.9m)
Total Rents -1.0% (€0.1m)
Value (NDV) -0.8% (€1.9m)
Value v costs now 39%
(1) Contingent on obtaining the necessary planning and board approvals. Financial appraisals subject to change. Central Park
financial analysis accounts for Green REIT’s 100% interest
(2) Estimated build cost plus development levies and fees. Excludes financing and tenant incentives
(3) Estimated rent on completion
(4) Net present value to allow for void on NDV and notional purchaser’s costs of 4.46%
(5) On lettable area
(6) Figures & appraisal represent one unit (44,000 sq. ft.) which is constructed to hold. Unit 2 (22,000 sq. ft.) was completed
and sold in Q4 2015
PORTFOLIO
DEVELOPMENT 1
46
In LegalsReserved
Office Industrial
One
Molesworth Street
Dublin 2
4 & 5
Harcourt Road
Dublin 2
32 & Rear of
Molesworth Street
Dublin 2
Block H,
Central Park
Dublin 18
Unit 1, Horizon
Logistics Park
Dublin Airport
Sub Total – Office Under Construction Planning Granted Under Construction Under Construction Complete
Are
a
Existing NIA
(sq. ft.)86,800 42,400 32,400 12,000 0 0
New GIA
(sq. ft.)377,666 120,000 64,374 43,292 150,000 44,0006
Lettable Area
(sq. ft.)/ Net Ratio316,617 84% 90,000 75% 48,243 75% 28,374 66% 150,000 100% 44,0006 100%
Co
st Site Cost €48m €151 psf5 €24m €267 psf5 €16m €332 psf5 €4m €141 psf5 €4m €27 psf5 €0.3m €6.8 psf5
All in Build Cost² €124m €391 psf5 €38m €422 psf5 €25m €517 psf5 €13m €458 psf5 €48m €320 psf5 €4.2m €95 psf5
Ren
t
Rent Estimate³ €13.0m €42 psf5
(ex cars)€4.7m €55 psf5
(€3,500 pcs)€2.5m €50 psf5
(€3,500 pcs)€1.45m €50 psf5
(€3,500 pcs)€4.35m €25 psf5
(€2,000 pcs)€0.35m €8.0 psf5
Void 12 – 18 months 12 Months 12 Months 12 Months 18 Months 12 Months
Income Producing 2017/18 2018/19 2019 2017/18 2018 2017/18
Retu
rn
Net Development
Value (NDV)4 €239.1m €755 psf5 €96m €1,063 psf5 €47m €983 psf5 €27m €952 psf5 €69m €460 psf5 €5.3m €120 psf5
Yield on Cost 7.5% 7.6% 6.0% 8.5% 8.4% 7.8%
Yield on Value 5.0% 4.5% 4.75% 4.75% 5.5% 6.0%
Value v. Cost +39% +54% +16% +59% +33% +18%
On an overall basis
June 2016:
Total costs €176m
Total rents €13.3m
NDV €244m
Value v Cost 39%
(1) Contingent on obtaining the necessary planning and board approvals. Financial appraisals subject to change. Central Park
financial analysis accounts for Green REIT’s 100% interest
(2) Estimated build cost plus development levies and fees. Excludes financing and tenant incentives
(3) Estimated rent on completion
(4) Net present value to allow for void on NDV and notional purchaser’s costs of 4.46%
(5) On lettable area
(6) Figures & appraisal represent one unit (44,000 sq. ft.) which is constructed to hold. Unit 2 (22,000 sq. ft.) was completed
and sold in Q4 2015
PORTFOLIO
DEVELOPMENT 1
47
In LegalsReserved