Preliminary Results CMAQ and CMAQ-AIM with SAPRC99 Gail Tonnesen, Chao-Jung Chien, Bo Wang, UC...

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Preliminary Results CMAQ and CMAQ-AIM with SAPRC99 Gail Tonnesen, Chao-Jung Chien, Bo Wang, UC Riverside Max Zhang, Tony Wexler, UC Davis Ralph Morris, Steven Lau, Bongyoung Koo ENVIRON International Corporation T.W. Tesche, Dennis McNally and Greg Stella Alpine Geophysics RPO Meeting, Denver, CO, May 25, 2004

Transcript of Preliminary Results CMAQ and CMAQ-AIM with SAPRC99 Gail Tonnesen, Chao-Jung Chien, Bo Wang, UC...

Page 1: Preliminary Results CMAQ and CMAQ-AIM with SAPRC99 Gail Tonnesen, Chao-Jung Chien, Bo Wang, UC Riverside Max Zhang, Tony Wexler, UC Davis Ralph Morris,

Preliminary ResultsCMAQ and CMAQ-AIM with SAPRC99

Gail Tonnesen, Chao-Jung Chien, Bo Wang, UC Riverside

Max Zhang, Tony Wexler, UC Davis

Ralph Morris, Steven Lau, Bongyoung KooENVIRON International Corporation T.W. Tesche, Dennis McNally

and Greg StellaAlpine Geophysics

RPO Meeting, Denver, CO, May 25, 2004

Page 2: Preliminary Results CMAQ and CMAQ-AIM with SAPRC99 Gail Tonnesen, Chao-Jung Chien, Bo Wang, UC Riverside Max Zhang, Tony Wexler, UC Davis Ralph Morris,

Sectional PM Models

CMAQ-AIM CAMx4 CMAQ-MADRID1 CMAQ-MADRID2

Gas-Phase SAPRC99 CB4, SAPRC99

CB4, RADM2

RADM2_CI4RADM2 with four-product

isoprene chemistry

CACMCaltech Atmospheric

Chemistry Mechanism

Inorganic AIM ISORROPIA ISORROPIA ISORROPIA

Organic Dynamic Partit.

(UC Davis)SOAP

Odum/Griffin

Algorithm

AER/EPRI/Caltech

(AEC) Algorithm

Aqueous RADM RADM CMU, RADM CMU, RADM

Size Nine-SectionTwo-Section

(Fine/Coarse)

Two-Section

(Fine/Coarse)Multiple-Section

(>2)

Page 3: Preliminary Results CMAQ and CMAQ-AIM with SAPRC99 Gail Tonnesen, Chao-Jung Chien, Bo Wang, UC Riverside Max Zhang, Tony Wexler, UC Davis Ralph Morris,

CMAQ-AIM

• Aerosol Inorganic Module (AIM) Clegg et al.

• CMAQ-AIM uses simplified AIM thermodynamics to reduce computation cost.

• Sectional aerosol algorithm (9 sections).

• Uses SAPRC99 gas chemistry.

Page 4: Preliminary Results CMAQ and CMAQ-AIM with SAPRC99 Gail Tonnesen, Chao-Jung Chien, Bo Wang, UC Riverside Max Zhang, Tony Wexler, UC Davis Ralph Morris,

SOA in CMAQ-AIM

• Simplified SOA speciation: uses 1 anthropogenic and 1 biogenic SOA.

• Dynamic gas-particle partitioning:

jp

ijii

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ji

D

CyCDD

dt

dm

8

1

2 0

Page 5: Preliminary Results CMAQ and CMAQ-AIM with SAPRC99 Gail Tonnesen, Chao-Jung Chien, Bo Wang, UC Riverside Max Zhang, Tony Wexler, UC Davis Ralph Morris,

NaCl Thermodynamics

• Forms coarse mass NaNO3– Should give reduced fine NO3 in CMAQ-AIM

• CMAQ includes Sea salt species but chemistry is not yet implemented in ISORROPIA.

• CMAQ-AIM includes sea salt.

Page 6: Preliminary Results CMAQ and CMAQ-AIM with SAPRC99 Gail Tonnesen, Chao-Jung Chien, Bo Wang, UC Riverside Max Zhang, Tony Wexler, UC Davis Ralph Morris,

Sea Salt Emissions

• Used EPA code for sea salt emissions:– Only represented open ocean emissions.

• Added new code to represent surf zone emissions.

• Simple approximations of surf zone area:– 100 m width– If cell is between 20 and 80% water use cell full

length as coast.

Page 7: Preliminary Results CMAQ and CMAQ-AIM with SAPRC99 Gail Tonnesen, Chao-Jung Chien, Bo Wang, UC Riverside Max Zhang, Tony Wexler, UC Davis Ralph Morris,
Page 8: Preliminary Results CMAQ and CMAQ-AIM with SAPRC99 Gail Tonnesen, Chao-Jung Chien, Bo Wang, UC Riverside Max Zhang, Tony Wexler, UC Davis Ralph Morris,
Page 9: Preliminary Results CMAQ and CMAQ-AIM with SAPRC99 Gail Tonnesen, Chao-Jung Chien, Bo Wang, UC Riverside Max Zhang, Tony Wexler, UC Davis Ralph Morris,

CMAQ-AIM Evaluation

• CMAQ-AIM is still under development.

• Initial Comparison of CMAQ-AIM to CMAQ was presented to VISTAS February 2004.

• More recent results still being analyzed

Page 10: Preliminary Results CMAQ and CMAQ-AIM with SAPRC99 Gail Tonnesen, Chao-Jung Chien, Bo Wang, UC Riverside Max Zhang, Tony Wexler, UC Davis Ralph Morris,

SO4 (IMPROVE); CMAQ-AIM vs. CMAQ

US (FB, -14% vs. -2%) Vistas States (FB, -30% vs.-15%)

Page 11: Preliminary Results CMAQ and CMAQ-AIM with SAPRC99 Gail Tonnesen, Chao-Jung Chien, Bo Wang, UC Riverside Max Zhang, Tony Wexler, UC Davis Ralph Morris,

CMAQ-AIM Summary

• CMAQ-AIM tends to have lower predictions larger negative bias compared to CMAQ

• Should we look at the size bins that are being included in PM2.5?

• Does CMAQ-AIM have some SO4 and NO3 mass in larger size bins?

• Still need to look at sea salt for recent simulation.

Page 12: Preliminary Results CMAQ and CMAQ-AIM with SAPRC99 Gail Tonnesen, Chao-Jung Chien, Bo Wang, UC Riverside Max Zhang, Tony Wexler, UC Davis Ralph Morris,

Comparison and Diagnostic Evaluation of Air Quality Models

for Particulate Matter: CAMx, CMAQ, CMAQ-MADRID

Zion Wang, Chao-Jung Chien and Gail TonnesenUniversity of California, Riverside

Eladio M. Knipping and Naresh KumarEPRI

Page 13: Preliminary Results CMAQ and CMAQ-AIM with SAPRC99 Gail Tonnesen, Chao-Jung Chien, Bo Wang, UC Riverside Max Zhang, Tony Wexler, UC Davis Ralph Morris,

Modeling Episode• Southern Oxidant Study (SOS)

– June 29 to July 10, 1999

• Meteorology processed from MM5 Simulations– MCIP2.2: CMAQ, CMAQ-MADRID– mm5camx: CAMx

• Emissions files courtesy of TVA• Simulation

– 32-km horizontal resolution without nesting

• Sensitivity Simulation– Increase ammonia emissions by 50% across-the-board

Page 14: Preliminary Results CMAQ and CMAQ-AIM with SAPRC99 Gail Tonnesen, Chao-Jung Chien, Bo Wang, UC Riverside Max Zhang, Tony Wexler, UC Davis Ralph Morris,

Summary of EPRI StudyNo single model is the “performance winner”.• All models over-estimated aerosol sulfate concentrations. CAMx

showed a higher tendency to over-estimate aerosol sulfate concentration across a wide region of the domain compared to CMAQ and CMAQ-MADRID.

• CMAQ under-estimated aerosol nitrate concentrations by a factor of ~2.5, whereas CMAQ-MADRID and CAMx over-estimated nitrate by a factor of ~3. However, CAMx exhibited a higher propensity to over-estimate nitrate in the southeast than CMAQ-MADRID.

• All models under-estimated organic mass. However, CMAQ predicted the least organic mass of all three model

• The models responded differently to changes in ammonia emissions.