Prelim Program

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Page 1: Prelim Program

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10:50-12:00 Risk and hazard analysis

System reliability analysis

Maintenance modelling and optimisation

Occupational safety

Bayesian methods

14:00-15:30 Risk and hazard analysis

System reliability analysis

Maintenance modelling and optimisation

Decision support systems and software tools for safety and reliability

Offshore Oil and Gas

16:00-17:30 Risk and hazard analysis

System reliability analysis

Maintenance modelling and optimisation

Decision support systems and software tools for safety and reliability

Accident and incident investigation

8:30-10:00 Risk and hazard analysis

System reliability analysis

Maintenance modelling and optimisation

Decision support systems and software tools for safety and reliability

Integrated risk management and risk-informed decision making

Critical infrastructures

10:30-12:00 Risk and hazard analysis

System reliability analysis

Maintenance modelling and optimisation

Safety management systems

Dynamic reliability

Critical infrastructures

14:00-15:30 Risk and hazard analysis

System reliability analysis

Structural reliability and design codes

Integrated risk management and risk-informed decision making

Safety culture

reliability analysis

16:00-17:30 Risk and hazard analysis

System reliability analysis

Software reliability

Integrated risk management and risk-informed decision making

Decision support systems and software tools for safety and reliability

Risk perception and communication

8:30-10:00 Risk and hazard analysis

System reliability analysis

Uncertainty and sensitivity analysis

Aeronautics and Aerospace

Safety management systems

Human Reliability

10:30-12:00 Risk and hazard analysis

System reliability analysis

Safety culture Automotive Engineering

Insurance and Finance

Monte-Carlo Methods

14:00-15:30 Risk and hazard analysis

Dynamic reliability

Organizational learning

Chemical Process Industry

Civil Engineering

Human factors

Wednessday, September 8, 2010

Monday, September 6, 2010Registration 8:00

Opening and Plenary Session 8:30 - 10:30

Tuesday, September 7, 2010

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16:00-17:30 Risk and hazard analysis

Reliability and safety data collection and analysis

Human Factors Health and Medicine

Reliability and safety data collection and analysis

Reliability analysis

8:30-10:00 Risk and hazard analysis

Reliability and safety data collection and analysis

Human factors Information Technology and Telecommunications

Surface Transportation (road and train)

safety analysis10:30-12:00 Risk and

hazard analysis

Fault identification and diagnostics

Human factors safety analysis Risk control in complex environments

occupational safeti

14:00-15:30 Risk and hazard analysis

Maintenance modelling and optimisation

Occupational safety

Nuclear Engineering

Electrical and Electronic Engineering

Monte Carlo Methods

16:00-17:30 Risk and hazard analysis

Maintenance modelling and optimisation

Occupational safety

Nuclear Engineering

Offshore Oil and Gas

Chair Elena Zaitseva

Chair Pierre-Etienne Labeau

Chair Benoit Iung

Application of standard IEC 62061 to a case study on hydraulic press brake, roberta pirani, M. Demichela, M. PatruccoRELIABILITY ESTIMATION OF A DEGRADING SYSTEM SUBJECT TO SHOCKS USING PHASE-TYPE DISTRIBUTIONS, MCarmen Segovia, Pierre-Etienne Labeau

SPARE PARTS ALLOCATION AND INVENTORY MANAGEMENT FOR MILITARY AIRCRAFT COMPONENTS, Margherita De Minicis, Francesco Costantino, Giulio Di Gravio

Registration 8:00

Opening and Plenary Session 8:30 - 10:30

Coffeebreak 10:30-10:50

Parallel sessions 10:50-12:00

The RAM+L metholodology : A Study case in Brazilian refinery, Eduardo Calixto, Leonardo Carneiro, Adilson Correa Alves

Thursday, September 9, 2010

Monday, September 6, 2010

Risk Reduction Concept to Evaluate Safety Integrity Level for Overall Emergency System in Process Plant Industry, Masayuki Tanabe, Atsumi Miyake

Formal Performability Evaluation of Architectural Models of Critical Infrastructures, Matthias Kuntz, Boudewijn R. Haverkort, Anne Remke, Stephan Roolvink

Dependability Model Transformation - A stochastic process algebra semantics for ZuverSicht models, Martin Riedl, Johann Schuster, Markus Siegle, Michael Blum, Frank Schiller

Risk and hazard analysis

System reliability analysis

Maintenance modelling and optimisation

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Chair Adrzej Grabowski

Chair Enrique Lopez Droguett

Chair Olga Aneziris

Chair Lisa Bartlett

Chair Crhristophe Berenguer

Chair Radim Bris

System reliability analysis

Maintenance modelling and optimisation

Decision support systems and software tools for safety and reliability

Planning of O&M for offshore wind turbines using Bayesian graphical models, Jannie Nielsen, John Dalsgaard Sørensen

Buckling load strength on a crane jib by theoretical calculations and finite element analysis, Kun-Yue Chen, De-Shin Liu, Lung-Chang Tsai, Yu-Chuan Liang, Chi-Min Shu

NETWORK MAINTENANCE CONTRIBUTION IN TERMS OF INTELLECTUAL CAPITAL ON DISTRIBUTION NETWORK SERVICES PROVIDERS, Juan Gómez, Adolfo Crespo, Vicente González, Carlos Parra

Occupational safety

Bayesian methods

Certain propulsion risk prediction model of a seagoing ship, Alfred Brandowski, Andrzej Mielewczyk, Hoang Nguyen, Wojciech FrackowiakA study of factors which influence the failure rate of equipment in the oil and gas industry, Stefan Isaksen, Aronmozhi AnbalaganDecomposition of Fault Trees Using a Graph Theoretic Argument, Hendrik Schaebe, Klaus Kuebler

Detailed analysis and discussion of the risk assessment method presented in Draft ISO 26262 Birgit Milius, Hendrik Schaebe

Modelling of high speed railroad geometry ageing as a nonlinear autoregressive process, Lisandro Quiroga, E. Schnieder

Imperfect testing, false alarms and maintenance scheduling, Lola Berrade, Philip Scarf, C. A.V. Cavalcante

Extending the use of dynamic risk assessments : A review of a case study in the media industry, Anne-Marie MakinPersonal Protection Equipment in Work Permits Management at Seveso Establishments, Paolo Bragatto, patrizia agnello, silvia ansaldi, paolo pittiglio, luigi cortis

Bayesian Inference for Time Trends in Parameter Values using Weighted Evidence Sets, Dana Kelly, Albert Malkhasyan

Maintenance strategies in dynamic environments for repairable systems with minimal repairs dependent on their deterioration level, Inma T Castro, Berenguer Christophe, Anne Barros, KhacTuan Huynh

Lunch 12:00-14:00

Parallel sessions 14:00-15:30

Reliability Prediction Including Aging Components – A Case Study using Different Reliability Standards, Gernot Jürgen Riedel, Roland SchmidtA Study on the Influence of the TBF Probability Distribution Model over Preventive Maintenance Scheduling, Vinícius Damaso, PAULI GARCIA, Mauricio Sant AnaReliability prediction of oil production wells by particle swarm-optimized support vector machines, Isis Lins, Márcio Moura, Enrique Lopez Droguett, Enrico Zio, Carlos Magno JacintoMeasures of component importance in repairable multistate systems -- a numerical study, Bent Natvig, Arne Huseby, Mads Reistadbakk

Risk and hazard analysis

Calculation of partial safety factors for Tetrapods used in Korea, Seung-Woo Kim, Kyung-Duck Suh

OEE – a KPI for measuring the effect of improvements within maintenance management?, Ole Meland

A model of quality in preventive maintenance, Philip Scarf, Cristiano A. V. Cavalcante

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Chair Enrico Zio

Chair John Andrews

Chair German Badia

Chair Luis Ferreira

Chair Radim Bris

Offshore Oil and Gas

Risk and hazard analysis

System reliability analysis

Maintenance modelling and optimisation

Decision support systems and software tools for safety and reliability

Multicriteria approaches for maintenance policies selection, Rodrigo Ferreira, Cristiano A. V. Cavalcante, Adiel Almeida

Modelling the impact of acceleration stresses on the reliability of complex systems, Michael Todinov

On the estimation of first order sensitivity indices through random balance designs., Stefano Tarantola, Masato Koda

Parallel sessions 16:00-17:30

Dynamic Risk Assessment in the process industries: proposal of a methodology based on the System Dynamics approach, Garbolino Emmanuel, Chery Jean-PierreGuarnieri Franck

IMPROVED DECISION SUPPORT TOOL FOR USE IN THE PLANNING, COMPARISON, SELECTION AND IMPLEMENTATION OF TECHNICAL SOLUTIONS WHEN DESIGN PRODUCTION FACILIT, D Kairbekova, Tore Markeset

Evaluation of technical condition, safety and reliability of existing engineering structures, Jaroslav Mencik, Petr Rudolf, Jiri Krupka

EVALUATION OF THE SHIFT STRATEGY INFLUENCE ON THE SYSTEM RELIABILITY OF REDUNDANT DYNAMIC EQUIPMENT USING MONTE CARLO SIMULATION METHOD, Antonio Longhi, Carlos Frederico Guimarães RobbsScheduling resource constraint component activity in network-based safety-related system, langeron yves, Anne Barros, Antoine Grall, Berenguer Christophe“RAM Analysis for Communication and Remote Operation of Offshore Platforms in a New O&G Frontier, the PRE-SALT Province”, EVERTON LIMA, Guilherme Naegeli, Hilton Filho, Mario Campos

Simulation versus analytical algorithms to estimate rare-event probabilities, Radim Bris

A RISK-BASED METHODOLOGY TO IDENTIFY FIRE PROTECTION ZONES, Valerio Cozzani, Valerio Cozzani, Tiziana BARBARESI, fabrizio tallone, Alessandro TugnoliQuantifying risk and prioritizing risk reducing measures for offshore helicopter operations on the Norwegian Continental Shelf, Solfrid Håbrekke, Tony Kråkenes

Comparing risk of defective steel coil data using ROC Curves, J. Carlos García-Diaz, Ana Debón

Coffeebreak 15:30-16:00

Interweaving Safety Management and Functional Development -- Methodology, Implementation and Lessons Learned, Jan GacnikSupporting ISO 26262 with SysML, Benefits and Limits, Pierre DAVID, Mohamed SHAWKY

Using mixed effects Poisson regression models to analyse incident data, Jon Andreas Hestad, Jan erje Kvaløy, Torbjorn Lilleheier, Jan-Erik Vinnem

Metaphors and Models In Risk, Ben Ale

contribution of a systemic approach to risk analysis of an industrial system, HAFIDA BOULOIZ

Multicriteria analysis of the consequences established by the RCM (Reliability Centered Maintenance) methodology: a case study, Marcelo Alencar, Adiel Almeida

chair

Study on Methodology Determining Gas Detection System Based on Detector Efficiency in Offshore Facilities, Jinhoo Park, Samheon Jeong, Kwangpil Chang, Are Bratteteig

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Chair Stig Johnsen

Chair Enrico Zio

Chair German Badia

Chair Antoine Grall

Chair Radim Bris

Accident and incident investigation

Risk and hazard analysis

System reliability analysis

Maintenance modelling and optimisation

Decision support systems and software tools for safety and reliability

Integrated approach to the analysis of incident causes: demonstration of its important features, Milos Ferjencik

Fire investigations and analyses for a typical agricultural county in Yunlin, Taiwan, Yi-Ming Chang, Yaw-Long Wang, Lung-Chang Tsai, Siou-Yuan Wu, Chi-Min Shu

Model Checking Methodology for Supporting Safety Critical Software Development and Verification, Janne Valkonen, Jussi Lahtinen, Kim Björkman, Juho Frits, Ilkka NiemeläPOTENTIAL EFFECTS ON POPULATION DUE TO AN ACCIDETAL RELEASE OF VINYL CHLORIDE IN A SEA PORT, Richard Tavares, Silva J., Lopes M., Miranda A.I.Toward a methodology for the AltaRica modelling of multi-physical systems, Romain ADELINE, Janette CARDOSO, Christel SEGUIN, Pierre DARFEUIL, Sophie HUMBERT

Discrete event simulation versus conventional system reliability analysis approaches, Igor Kozine

End of day

Tuesday, september 7, 2010

Parallel sessions 8:30-10:00

On the preservation of the reliability classes HNBUE, NBUC and IMIT by a Poisson process stopped at an independent random time, German Badia

Buncefield: Cause and Consequences, James Venart

Safety of LPG rail transportation in the perspective of the Viareggio accident, Renato Rota, Gabriele Landucci, Alessandro Tugnoli

A model for supporting decisions regarding the operation and maintenance of offshore wind turbines, Athena Zitrou, Tim Bedford, Lesley Walls

Effects of Congestion Level on Explosion Risk in Offshore Installations, Samheon Jeong, Kwangpil Chang, Torunn Stranden DavidsenRisk Identification and Quantification in Servers Room Security, Baicu Floarea, Nicolae Popoviciu

Maximising the amount of transmitted flow and optimizing the topology of complex repairable flow networks, Michael Todinov

Optimal Maintenance and Replacement Decisions under Technological Change, Phuong Khanh Nguyen Thi, Thomas Yeung, Bruno Castanier

Analytical Calculation of Failure Probabilities in Dynamic Fault Trees including Spare Gates, Guillaume Merle, Jean-Marc Roussel, Jean-Jacques Lesage, Nicolas Vayatis

A Quality Risk Analysis Considering Human Factors for Bioprocesses, Alain Carelli, Paulo Fernando F. Frutuoso e Melo, Matheus Prieto Ladario

Data-Driven On-Line Prediction of the Available Recovery Time in Nuclear Power Plant Failure Scenarios, Enrico Zio, Francesco Di MaioAssessing airport runway conditions -- a Bayesian approach, Arne Huseby, Alex Klein-Paste, Hans Bugge

An original multi-nets approach for modelling and evaluating maintenance strategies, Francois, Laurent Bouillaut, DuboisMaintenance Control in Risk Management Process, Hana Paèaiová, Juraj Sinay, Stefan Kacvinsky

Improvement of after-sales maintenance service using TPM principles, Isabel Lopes, Eduardo Moreira, Sérgio Sousa

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Chair Sabestian Martorell

Chair Jaime Santoryes

Chair John Andrews

Chair Edward Korczak

Chair Antoine Grall

Integrated risk management and risk-informed decision making

Critical infrastructures

Risk and hazard analysis

System reliability analysis

Risk Informed Decision Making - Approach for Consideration of Time-at-Risk, Adrian Bujor

Real-Time Security Monitoring of Interdependent Services in Critical Infrastructures.Case study of a Risk-Based Approach., Jocelyn Aubert, Thomas Schaberreiter, Christophe Incoul, Djamel Khadraoui

A Formal Approach Supporting Effective and Efficient Training Program for Improving Operators’ Reliability: Application to Satellite Control Operatio, Célia Martinie, philippe palanque, Navarre David, Marco WincklerAssessing life-cycle uncertainty in rail track system: A Bayesian model to predict rail defects, António Andrade, Paulo Fonseca TeixeiraAn approach for Risk Based Testing (RBT) optimization of safety systems at chemical plants, SEBASTIAN MARTORELLSOME CONSIDERATIONS ON CRITICAL INFRASTRUCTURE VULNERABILITY ASSESSMENT, Wolfgang Kröger, Enrico Zio

Analysis of the factors involved in incidents reported in the Greek petrochemical industry, Zoe Nivolianitou, Myrto Konstandinidou, Chrys Caroni

Approach of an Automotive Generic Hazard List, Daniel Beisel, C. Reuß, E. Schnieder

Method for assuring that self-imposed changes made by adaptive systems do not compromise safety, André Hauge, Ketil Stølen, Terje Sivertsen

Solving homogeneous semi-Markov processes through a faster and straightforward way, Márcio Moura, Enrique Lopez DroguettStatistical estimation, modelling and prediction for recurrent events from repairable systems submitted to partial observation, Vincent Couallier, Genia Babykina

Maintenance modelling and optimisation

Decision Support by Manoeuvring Prediction On-Board Ships, Knud Benedict, Sandro Fischer, Michael Gluch, Matthias Kirchhof, Michael Baldauf

Use of Delay Time Concept, Fuzzy Set Modelling and BN for Effective Maintenance Planning, Jin Wang Jin Wang

Parallel sessions 10:30-12:00

RISK ORIENTED INSIGHTS IN TRANSFORMER FIRES AT NUCLEAR INSTALLATIONS, Heinz-Peter Berg, Nicole Fritze, Burkhard Forell, M. Roewekamp

Improving the Efficiency of Dynamic Fault Tree Analysis by Considering Gates FDEP as Static, Guillaume Merle, Jean-Marc Roussel, Jean-Jacques Lesage

Reliability Analysis of Multi-State Degraded Systems Containing Multiple Performance Parameters Subject to Random Shocks, Chun-yang Li, Xun Chen, Jun-yong Tao, Xin-xin Li

Use of resilience in PHA and HAZOP, Stig Johnsen

A model based approach to the risk thermostat, Geeta Devgun, Tim Bedford

Automating the Risk and Hazard Analysis via Generic Domain Concepts in Formal Ontologies, Henning Jost

Coffeebreak 10:00 - 10:30

Automated System for Plan Realization in Nuclear Power Plants, Miltiadis Alamaniotis, Andreas Ikonomopoulos, Lefteri H. Tsoukalas

The use of maintenance optimization models – an empirical study from the Norwegian oil and gas industry, Jon Selvik, Roger Flage, Terje Aven

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Chair Ben Ale

Chair Hans van der Weide

Chair Edward Korczak

Chair Andrija Volkanovski

Chair Edward Korczak

Estimation of cascade failure probability in electrical transmission networks by Subset Simulation, Enrico Zio, Lucia Golea, Nicola Pedroni, Giovanni Sansavini

Level diagrams for decision aiding in multiobjective optimization problems, Enrico Zio, Roberta Bazzo

Framing vulnerability analysis of critical infrastructure regarding information security, Ling Zhou, Wolfgang Kröger, Ralf Mock

Critical infrastructures and risk analysis of electricity supply, Gerd Kjølle, Ingrid B Utne, Per Hokstad

Application of a Reliability Centered Maintenance model to assess the performances of complex maintenance strategies in nuclear power plants., Valérie Zille, Berenguer Christophe, Antoine Grall, Antoine Despujols

Safety management systems

Dynamic reliability

Modeling Dialysis Service in Disaster to Assess Its Resilience, Toshio Fujii

Analysis of LPG vessels with defective thermal coatings in large scale fire scenarios, Simone Larcher, Gabriele Landucci, Alessandro Tugnoli, Valerio Cozzani

On the Time Paradox of Dynamic Multi-System Reliability Simulation, Uwe Kay Rakowsky

Reliability of a System Subject to a Random Shock Process, Ji Cha

Assessment of industrial applicability of Electric Signature Analysis, Luca Fumagalli, Stefano Ierace, Marco Macchi, Sergio Cavalieri

Critical infrastructures

Risk and hazard analysis

System reliability analysis

Exposure Assessment addressing random failures and deviations of critical control points in processing food, EVA DOMENECH, I. Escriche, SEBASTIAN MARTORELLRISK ASSESSMENT OF INFECTIONS CAUSED BY ZOONOSES IN BRNO CITY, Pavla Krejcova, František Božek, Jiri Dvorak, Josef Kellner

A time-discrete extended Gamma process for deterioration processes, Gianpaolo Pulcini, Maurizio Guida, Fabio PostiglioneEstimating Parameters of Mixed Weibull Distributions using Genetic Algorithms, Benjamin Klein, Bernd Bertsche

Supporting the Safety Management – Automated Safety Case Processes, Jörg Müller

Electrical cables diagnostics using an experimental dataset of Partial Discharge measurements containing contradictory patterns, Piero Baraldi, Enrico Zio, Michele Compare, Michele de Nigris, Giuseppe Rizzi

Lunch 12:00-14:00

Parallel sessions 14:00-15:30

Use of Bayesian network for modelling Risk Indicator Factors, Ole Magnus Nyheim, Jørn Vatn, Jan Erik Vinnem, Bjørn Axel Gran, Linda Martens Pedersen

The "taylorization" of safety management, Stian Antonsen, Kari Skarholt

The Social Construction of HSE Culture, JAN KARLSEN, HARALD VALEN

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Chair Terje Aven

Chair Sabestian Martorell

Chair Myrto Konstandinidou

Chair Elena Zaitseva

Chair Paolo Trucco

Integrated risk management and risk-informed decision making

Safety culture

reliability analysis

Risk and hazard analysis

“Though Men Cries” - - Learning from Sharp End Military Aviation, Trygve Steiro, Christian Moldjord, Kristian Firing, Pål FredriksenEducational aspects of systematic occupational training, Trine Stene

SAVE ME Project: improving safety of transportation infrastructures using innovative technologies, S. Marsella, U. Delprato, M. MarzoliBenchmark study for a flammable liquid depot - A comparison of two risk analyses, C.J.A. Lenoble, F.R.Antoine, C. Bovin, E.S. Kooi, P.A.M. Uijt De Haag

Risk-informed decision-making on changes to Allowed Outage Times addressing uncertainties, SEBASTIAN MARTORELL

Fault diagnosis in the steel coil manufacturing process, J. Carlos Garcıa-Dıaz, A. Debon

Parallel sessions 16:00-17:30

SOME MULTIVARIATE WEIBULL DISTRIBUTIONS WITH APPLICATION TO STRUCTURAL RELIABILITY ASSESSMENT, Bernt Leira

”Inclusion” or ”exclusion”: Two different approaches in safety management when working with contractors, Rolf Bye, Jørn Fenstad

An approach for reliability optimization of mechatronic systems during design phase, Amir Kazeminia, Marco Junglas, Dirk Söffker

Cost-based reliability optimization of a very large volume neutrino telescope system, Ioannis Papazoglou, Eftychia MarcoulakiAnalysis, quantification, and optimization of system reliability-formalized definition of reliability topologies and values for system optimization, Marco Junglas, Amir Kazeminia, Eick, Rüdiger, Dirk SöffkerStructural reliability and design codes

Reliability elements for assessment of existing concrete bridges, Milan Holicky, Jana Markova

Reliability analysis of structures affected by icing, Jana Markova

Can we understand complex systems in terms of risk analysis?, J. Vatn

Dynamic Modelling of Vulnerability and Interoperability in Critical Infrastructures, P. Trucco, E. Cagno, M. De Ambroggi, P. Grassi, M. ErreraA preventve replacement policy for a system under random time horizon, A. Khatab, N. Rezg, D. Ait-Kadi

Assessment of prognostic in maintenance decision-making for a deteriorating system under indirect condition monitoring, K.T. Huynh, A. Barros, C. Berenguer

HAZOP Study for Kiln Start-up Process of a Cement Production Plant, G. Maragos, C. Kouris, Y. Pilihos, S. Zacharis, C. Malami, P.D. Petrolekas

European Project ESSEEM: How Can It Contribute to Safety in European Explosive Sector?, Milos Ferjencik

Coffeebreak 15:30-16:00

Risk, the end is nigh?, Ali Hessami

Cost-effectiveness analysis and multicriteria approaches: two irreplaceable paradigms for different problems in risk and safety problems, Adiel Almeida-Filho, Adiel AlmeidaIncorporating some security-related aspects in the functional safety analyses of distributed control and protection systems, Tomasz Barnert, Kazimierz Kosmowski, Marcin Sliwinski

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Chair Lisa Bartlett

Chair Philipe Palanque

Chair Claudia Vivalda

Chair Radim Bris

Chair Ioannis Papazoglou

System reliability analysis

Software reliability

Integrated risk management and risk-informed decision making

Risk perception and communication

Decision support systems and software tools for safety and reliability

Risk Informed Decision Making - Specific Aspects for Risk-Informing Decisions in a Regulatory Environment, Adrian Bujor, Raducu Gheorghe

Dependability Analysis of Hard- and Softwaremodels using SoftArc, Boudewijn R. Haverkort, Matthias Kuntz, Florian Leitner-Fischer, Anne Remke, Stephan Roolvink

Identifying General Rules for Selecting the Most Important Component Failure Dependencies in Compound Software, Monica KristiansenDependability Measures Maximum Likelihood Estimation for a Redundant System with Minimal, Perfect and Failed Rejuvenation, Vasilis Koutras, Agapios Platis, Nikolaos LimniosService-oriented reliability analysis for collaborative mechatronic laboratories involved in virtual training, Henrik Madsen, Grigore Albeanu, Radu Tarca, Popentiu FlorinIntuitionistic Fuzzy Methods in Software Reliability Modelling and Optimization, Henrik Madsen, Grigore Albeanu, Popentiu Florin

Risk management based on choosing of signal from multiple measurements, Jan Kamenicky

Risk perception and learning from experience, J.R. Eiser

Risk Communication Design Based on Persona Method, N. Suka, T. Kaneko, K. Furuta, T. Kanno

Risk Perception of Work Related Musculoskeletal Disorders in Pre-hospital Emergency Nursing Staff, Pedro Arezes, Madalena Torres, Pedro Arezes

Common-cause failures and true availability of network connections: Size effects, Christian Tanguy

Not Yet Another Language for Petri-Nets, Bernhard Fechner

Availability assessment of transmission networks consisting of a few ATMLightRings, STAMENKOVIC BORIVOJE

Concurrent Importance and Sensitivity analysis applied to multiple Fault-trees, Sergio Contini, Luciano Fabbri, Vaidas Matuzas

Development and Validation of an Information Security Model for Decision Makers, Danielle Chrun, Michel Cukier, Ali Mosleh, Gerry SneeringerCausal Modelling of Lower Consequence Rail Safety Incidents, William Marsh, George Bearfield

Further validation of organizational influencing factors of proactive risk management, Joel Luyk, Jan L. Rouvroye

Quality Function Deployment Methodology as a systematic assessment tool for the efficiency of Organizational Training in Occupational Safety, P. I. Bouzakis, A. A. Chalkidou, G. A. Papadakis

End of day

Wednessday, september 8, 2010

Quantification of Maritime Operational Risks to enhance Alert Management onboard Ships, Michael Baldauf, Jens-Uwe Schröder, Knud Benedict, Florian Motz

Conference dinner

Security In Civil Aviation Post 9/11, Elise Anonby Olsvik, Ole A. Engen

Parallel sessions 8:30-10:00

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Chair Dirk Proske

Chair Pierre-Etienne Labeau

Chair Stefano Tarantola

Chair Zoe Novolianitou

Chair Terje Aven

Chair Luca Podofillini

Risk and hazard analysis

System reliability analysis

Uncertainty and sensitivity analysis

Probability-possibility transformations for comparing different approaches to the treatment of epistemic uncertainties in fault tree analysis, Roger Flage, Piero Baraldi, Enrico Zio, Terje AvenEstimation via expert judgement of the solubility limit distributions for five elements in the near field in a nuclear waste repository in granite, Ricardo Bolado, L. Duro, J.L. Cormenzana, M.A. Cunado, M. Grivé

Identification of Errors of Commission for a Swiss Nuclear Power Plant: application of the CESA method, luca Podofillini, Vinh Dang, Olivier Nusbaumer, Dennis Dres

Sensitivity analysis of steel frame structures, Zdenek Kala

Quantification of Uncertainty in Fault Tree Analysis with Correlated Basic Events, DurgaRao Karanki, Vinh Dang, A.K. Verma

ASSESSMENT OF THE AVIATION OBJECT RELIABILITY AS REFERRED TO THE OPERATIONAL-USE SAFETY, Mariusz Zieja, Antonina Krutkow, Mieczyslaw Piglas

Organizational failures leading to accidents in aviation: A case study from helicopter emergency medical services operations, STATHIS MALAKISTom KontogiannisCoordinability and Consistency in Accident Causation and System Safety: Towards a Formal Foundation of Safety in Sociotechnical and Multilevel Systems, Raghvendra V Cowlagi, Joseph H. Saleh

ELISA: AN INNOVATIVE APPROACH FOR ENHANCED AIRCRAFT SYSTEM LEAN INSTALLATION SAFETY ASSESSMENTS, Sylvain METGE, MOUTIER Hélène, SCHONBECK Emma, PLACE Gilles, NARAYAN VishalManaging ATC Expertise based on Distributed Cognition Analysis, Satoru Inoue, Keiichi Nakata, Hisae Aoyama, Kazuo Furuta

Aeronautics and Aerospace

Safety management systems

Human Reliability

AIR TRAFFIC SMOOTHNESS AS A MEASURE OF AIR TRAFFIC SAFETY, Jacek Skorupski

Combining FMEA and FT for declining safety requirements of complex systems, Guillerm Romaric, Demmou Hamid, sadou nabilRisk based thinking is more important than accurate risk modelling, Ove Njå, Eivind Rake, Ragnhild Aanestad, Geir Sverre Braut

Addressing HRA Model Differences, Erasmia Lois,Ali Mosleh,John A. Forester

Dormant Raliability Analysis for Dam Spillways, Maryam Kalantarnia, Luc Chouinard

Stochastic Activity Networks for the modelling and simulation of fault-tolerant systems, Samia MAZA

Investigation of Borehole Problems during Drilling in an Iranian Central Field Using CFD, Mojtaba Owrangi, Masoud Naseri

SEISMIC RESPONSE OF THE SWISS ELECTRICAL TRANSMISSION GRID, Evangelos Bilis, Mathias Raschke

Risk Analysis and Retention Optimization of Road Safety Barriers Based on Bayesian Networks, Karel Jung, Jana MarkovaRisk perception, climate change adaptation and counter-terror policies, Urs brandt

Analysis and some improvements of FMECA, Jaroslav Zajicek

MULTICRITERIA DECISION ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK FOR RISK MANAGEMENT OF OIL AND GAS PIPELINES, Alex Dawotola

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Chair Enrico Zio

Chair Lisa Bartlett

Chair Myrto Konstandinidou

Chair Stefan Bracke

Chair Christian Kirchsteiger

Sócio-cognitive mediating links between safety climate and safety behaviors in chemical industry, Carla Fugas, José L. Meliá, S.A. SilvaTraining Programme as an important factor in integration processes, Margit Hermundsgård

DOES INTERPRETING THE HUMAN FACTOR AS A COOPERATION QUALITY IMPROVE OUR CAPABILITY OF UNDERSTANDING THE NATURE OF INDUSTRIAL ACCIDENTS?, Paulo Santos, Paulo Fernando F. Frutuoso e Melo

Coffeebreak 10:00 - 10:30

HRA Dependency Analysis Using the EPRI HRA Approach, J.A. Julius, J.F. Grobbelaar, K.D. Kohlhepp

Cross-cultural surveys on patient views of adverse events between China and Japan, Xiuzhu Gu, Kenji Itoh

A Holistic and network-based approach to analyzing and improving operational safety at nuclear power plants, Kristiina Hukki

Reduced ZBDD construction algorithm for large fault trees analysis, Sergio Contini, Vaidas Matuzas

Economical considerations of the use of risk acceptance criteria in safety management, Eric Abrahamsen

Bibliographical review and numerical comparison of statistical estimation methods for the three-parameter Weibull distribution, Emmanuel REMY, Edwige Idee, Philippe BRIAND, Romain FRANCOIS

Switchyard fault tree analysis, Marko Cepin

Parameters estimation in a perturbed gamma process, Bordes, Christian Paroissin, Ali SALAMI

A New Approach Towards Systematic Reuse of Safety and Reliability Models, Carolina GómezPeter Liggesmeyer, Oliver Mäckel, Ariane Sutor

Parallel sessions 10:30-12:00

Dependencies in Event Trees analyzed by Petri Nets, Ondrej Nyvlt, Marvin Rausand

Modeling of Ship Collision Probability using Dynamic Traffic Simulation, Floris Goerlandt

Risk and hazard analysis

System reliability analysis

Safety culture

‘Optimised Multi-Stage Sampling Procedures (OMSP)’ concept, contribution to the field-data-analysis of complex damage causes, Stefan Bracke, Stephan HallerDesign of Prototype test Procedures (DPP concept) for complex damage causes in automotive engineering, Stefan Bracke, Roderich Rose, Ralf BreedeReliability and safety in full brake systems with ABS, Dirk Althaus, Andreas Braasch, Marco Schlummer, Arno MeynaHardware-fault-metrics in IEC 61508 and ISO 26262 – a comparison, Maria Binfet-Kull

The Financial Crisis in an Operational Risk Management Context – A Review of Causes and Influencing Factors, Lasse Berg Andersen, David Häger, Marianne Bay Næss,Malene TunglandThe Influence of Unhealthy Organisational Culture on Operational Risk Exposure in Financial Trading, Marianne Bay Næss, Lasse Berg Andersen, David Häger

Automotive Engineering

Insurance and Finance

An Event Classification Scheme for Causal Modeling of Operational Risk in the Financial Industry, Lasse Berg Andersen, David Häger

Page 12: Prelim Program

Chair Andrea Monferini

Chair Enrico Zio

Chair Florent Brissaud

Chair Lisbeth Hansson

Chair Andrija Volkanovski

Chair Terje AvenCivil Engineering

Influences of different inert gases on explosion range of methane detecting via 20-L-apparatus and using grey entropy approach, Yi-Ming Chang, Mei-Li You, Siou-Yuan Wu, Fang-Chang Tsai, Chi-Min Shu

Standby phenomena investigation from both internal and external perspectives, salvatore distefano

Single-Purpose View of Complex Systems: Fundamental Limitation of Established Safety, Reliability and Fault Analysis, Atoosa P-J ThunemMobility versus continuity at work - What are the HSE consequences?, Lisbeth Hansson, Kari Skarholt, Stian Antonsen

Grid Computing Dependability Analysis Based on Monte Carlo Simulation, Sonia Malefaki, Agapios Platis

Modelling of transport of radioactive substances from underground storage for risk assessment - a case study, Josef Chudoba, Pavel Praks, Pierre-Etienne LabeauElements of risk analysis for collision of oil tankers, Jakub Montewka, Kaarle Stahlberg, Tapio Seppala, Pentti Kujala

Probabilictic Risk Assessment of NPP Systems for Earthquake Events, In-Kil Choi, Jung-Han Kim, Jin-Hee ParkOperational Risk in Banking Identification Tool (ORBIT): A Proactive Approach to Loss Event Identification, Lasse Berg Andersen, Malene Tungland

A process and risk metamodel for business process management by uncertainty, Gurvan Uguen, Claire LassudrieUse of CFD for calculation of dispersion of LPG along rail transport routes situated above or below ground level, Inge Trijssenaar, Johan Reinders

Accuracy analysis for reliability parameters estimation of a network system with non-independent components, Jacek Malinowski

Monte-Carlo Methods

Risk and hazard analysis

Dynamic reliability

Organizational learning

Chemical Process Industry

Lunch 12:00-14:00

Parallel sessions 14:00-15:30

Dynamic Reliability Modeling of Cooperating Digital-Based Systems, Florent Brissaud, Carol Smidts, Anne Barros, Berenguer ChristopheANALYSIS OF A DIGITAL CONTROL SYSTEM FOR A PWR PRESSURIZER THROUGH A DYNAMIC MODEL SIMULATION, Jonathan M. O. PintoPedro Saldanha, Paulo F. F. Frutuoso e Melo

Reliability from the point of view of the dynamics of fatigue processes, Mariusz Zieja, Henryk Tomaszek, Jozef Zurek, Zbigniew Smalko

The Virthualis Project - Safety organisation resilience based on frontline teams: added value of virtual reality technologies, Emmanuel Plot, Chiara LEVA, Andrea Monferini, Tom Kontogiannis, Myrto Konstandinidou

Standardisation and harmonisation of work processes - a challenging organisational change, Lisbeth Hansson, Lone Slettbakk RamstadOrganisational Learning through Reporting of Operational Loss Events in Banking, Lasse Berg Andersen, Marianne Bay Næss, Malene Tungland

Sympathetic detonation – why and how to include it in risk analysis of plants handling with explosives, Lukáš DostálTowards a method to calculate risks of underground pipelines, Margreet Spoelstra, Gerald Laheij

Page 13: Prelim Program

Chair Adrzej Grabowski

Chair Olga Aneziris

Chair Zoe Novolianitou

Chair Radim Bris

Human factors

Risk and hazard analysis

Reliability and safety data collection and analysis

Human Factors

A Proposed Model for Maturity Evaluation in Occupational Health and Safety Management Systems, Luis Franz, Pedro Arezes, Fernando Amaral

Challenges in reliablity and safety data collection for offshore wind turbines, Zafar Hameed, Jørn Vatn, Mahmoud ValibeglioLifetime Prediction of Accelerated Degradation Testing Using Support Vector Machine and Proportional Hazards-Proportional Odds, Tingting Huang, Ruijian Huo, Tongmin Jiang, Shuzhen LiOn the use of stochastic processes for RUL estimation: a case study, Khanh Le Son, Anne Barros, Mitra FouladiradStatistical analysis of exceedances related to the accidental snow loads, Milan Stehlik, Zoltan Sadovsky

Development of a visual interface for the assessment of the common performance conditions in Human Reliability Analysis, Piero Baraldi, angelo sogaro, Myrto Konstandinidou, Zoe Nivolianitou

Orthopedic physical therapist fs musculoskeletal disorders, Jian-Ming Wei, Chi-Min Shu, Hui-Ming LiuYung-Chuan Chu

Multidimensional FMECA for assessing the impact of RFId technology on blood transfusion risks, Paolo Trucco, Michela Cavallin

Prognosis of machine tool warranty costs considering arising risks through weak data sets and unknown load profiles, Prof. Dr.-Ing. Gisela Lanza, Benjamin Behmann, Patrick Werner

Coffeebreak 15:30-16:00

Parallel sessions 16:00-17:30

Human & Organizational Factors impact on risk level in an NG treatment and storage plant, Andrea Monferini, Myrto Konstandinidou, M. Demichela, Chiara LEVA, Steen WeberA Proposed Model to Account for Human Factors in Safety-critical Systems, Vincentius Rumawas, Bjørn Egil Asbjørnslett

Abstract - The Impact of Maintenance on Passenger Airline Safety: A Statistical Analysis, Matthew Robichaud, Dr. Karen Marais, Sarah ArnacA BBN approach for analysis of maritime accident scenarios, Svein Kristiansen

Atypical Major Hazards/Scenarios and their Inclusion in Safety Assessments, Nicola Paltrinieri, Mike Wardman, Nicolas Dechy, Ernesto Salzano, Valerio Cozzani

Communicating Risk in Planning Activities Distributed in Time, Sizarta Sarshar, Thorbjørn Sand

Resampling expert estimates for the consequence parameterization of explosions, Thomas Aschmoneit, Ivo Häring

Comfort criteria for Footbridge Response on Single Pedestrian Induced Vibration Analysis, Jiri Kala, Petr Hradil, Vlastislav SalajkaOptimum Target Reliability Levels for Industrial Heritage Buildings, Miroslav Sykora, Milan Holicky, Jana Markova, Knut Kvaal, Thomas ThiisThe effect of blast in bridge design, Eva Karasová, Marek Foglar, Vladimír Køístek

STUDIES ON THE EFFECT OF FLAW DETECTION PROBABILITY ASSUMPTIONS ON RISK REDUCTION AT NON-DESTRUCTIVE INSPECTION, Kaisa Simola, Ilkka Männistö, Jens Gunnars, Lars Alverlind, Luca Gandossi

Page 14: Prelim Program

Chair Ioannis Papazoglou

Chair Stefan Bracke

Chair Edward Korczak

Chair Dirk Proske

Chair Zoe Novolianitou

Health and Medicine

Reliability and safety data collection and analysis

Reliability analysis

Risk and hazard analysis

Reliability and safety data collection and analysis

Progress in Guttman Scaling of IT Security Objectives, Ralf Mock, Eva Kollmann, Philipp Aeschlimann, Corin Ballhaus

“Clinical pathway control rules”: a new approach for predicting and preventing risk against patient safety in clinical settings, Stefano Arici, Paolo Bertelè, Paolo TruccoSystematic monitoring and assessment of safety barriers in the surgical process, Paolo Trucco, Francesco Lorenzi

On the ethics of risk assessment, Jan-Erik Vinnem

Determining Critical Path on Accident Causes by Subcontract Work in Construction Sites, KiSang SON, WonMo GAL

Analysis of the factors involved in incidents reported in the Greek petrochemical industry, Zoe Nivolianitou, Myrto Konstandinidou, Chrys CaroniSome methods to estimate reliability for nonlinear degradation measurements : application on fatigue crack length data, Julien Baussaron, Mihaela Barreau, Leo Gerville-Reache, Fabrice Guérin, Paul Schimmerling

GIS software tools application for dangerous goods transport risk evaluation, Tomas Saska, Jan Novak, Jiri Havlicek, Jiri Smida, Radovan Sousek

End of day

Integrated analysis of system reliability and productive capacity of a production line, Adolf Arata, Enrico Zio, Fredy Kristjanpoller, Pablo ViverosNear Surface Repository Reliability Analysis Considering Parameter Uncertainties, L.A. Aguiar, V.C. Damaso, P.A.A. GarciaPattern-based Safety Engineering: Semantic Enrichment of System-Architecture Models for Semi- Automated Safety Analysis, Kay Höfig, Dominik Domis, Mario Trapp, Heiko StallbaumLife and Reliabilitry Prediction of Constant-Stress Accellerated Degradation Testing using Time Series Method, Li Wang, Xiaoyang Li, Tongmin Jiang, Tingting Huang

Challenges and mitigating factors in remote operations of critical processes., Stig Johnsen

Thursday, september 9, 2010

Parallel sessions 8:30-10:00

Dimensions of Healthcare Safety Climate and Their Correlation with Safety Outcomes in Japanese Hospitals, Kenji Itoh, Henning AndersenUse of discriminant analysis for medical data evaluation, Marcela Rabasová, Lubomír Martínek

A Comparative Study of Vessel Accident Databases from a Risk Management Perspective, Bjørn Egil Asbjørnslett, Martin Hassel, Lars Petter Hole

How to detect trends in ageing and forecast component failures of power utilities with NHPP ?, Veronique VERRIER, Marie-Agnès Garnero, Edwige IdeeMission profile and its effect onto system reliability, David Valis, Miroslav Koucky

Case study: reliability analysis of natural-gas pressure-regulating installation, Marko Gerbec

Uncertainty Analysis of Ultimate Limit State of Steel-Concrete Structural Members, Abayomi Omishore, Abayomi Omishore

Page 15: Prelim Program

Chair Luca Podofillini

Chair Dirk Proske

Chair Elena Zaitseva

Chair Enrico Zio

Chair Andrija Volkanovski

Chair Harald Thunem

Human factors

Information Technology and Telecommunications

Surface Transportation (road and train)

Risk and hazard analysis

Fault identification and diagnostics

Coffeebreak 10:00 - 10:30

Quantitative operational risk analysis for dangerous goods transportation through cut and cover road tunnels, K. Kirytopoulos, A. Rentizelas, K. Kazaras, I. Tatsiopoulos

The context matters: Maritime safety in the Vessel Traffic Service (VTS) domain, Gesa Praetorius, Karl Bruno, Margareta Lützhöft

Information security diagnosis for small and medium-size enterprises-a case study on a southern Taiwanese retail business, Wen-Tsung HwangJ.F. Yen, Fang-Chang Tsai, Chi-Min ShuReliable and Secure Data in Grid Environments, salvatore distefano

Integrating Team Effect into the Current Human Reliability Analysis Methods, Jun Zhao, JieJuan TONG, Tao Liu, Yu Yu, XiangRui HuangChaotic Voice Analysis Method for Human Arousal Level Evaluation, Kakuichi Shiomi, Kiyoshi Sato

Basis of Assessment of Structural Robustness, M. Sykora & M. Holicky

Experts’ elicitation of prior knowledge on accidental releases in a natural gas pipeline, T.V. Garcez, A.T. de Almeida-Filho, A.T. de Almeida & M.H. AlencarAssessment of accidental snow loads for the design of structures, Z. Sadovský, P. Faško, K. Mikulová, J. PechoRisks of new technologies: Tradeoffs of target and ancillary risks, A. S. Jovanović

A stand with human factors in maintenance, Radim Doležal

ShapeShifter: A Generic Framework for Identifying, Categorizing, Analyzing, Configuring and Managing Information Assets of Systems and Their Agents, Harald ThunemMethodology of Specification of the Information Security Requirements in the Information and Communication Technology Systems, Ireneusz Jozwiak, Tomasz Nowakowski, Artur Szleszynski

Tanker versus Cargo - The use of Safety Management Systems within Dry Cargo Shipping, Helle Oltedal, Ole A. Engen

Physical specialization of components and interdependencies in the vulnerability analysis of complex infrastructures, Enrico Zio, Giovanni SansaviniModel for Reliability Description of Non-Repaired Items Group, Zdenek Vintr, Michal Vintr

Extend learning monitored domain defined in operating condition space using one-class SVM - Application to civil turbofan start capability monitoring., A. Ausloos, pierre beauseroy, E. Grall-MaësAntoine Grall, J.R. Masse

Parallel sessions 10:30-12:00

Severe accidents in the context of energy security and critical infrastructure protection, Peter Burgherr, Petrissa Eckle, Stefan HirschbergSelecting Accident Scenarios for Land Use Planning Purposes, Michalis Christou, Lorenzo Van Wijk, Zsuzsanna GyenesAlessandro Tugnoli, Gigliola SpadoniAnalyzing Security Risks in Critical Infrastructures Embedded in Systems of Systems: How to Capture the Impact of Interdependencies, Olav Ligaarden, Ketil StølenTime coordination of primary and back-up distance protections with starting elements in electrical power systems, Jan Magott

safety analysis

Page 16: Prelim Program

Chair Luca Podofillini

Chair Stefano Tarantola

Chair Zoe Novolianitou

Chair Miltiades Alamaniotis

Chair Olga Aneziris

Human factors

safety analysis

Control of ageing of industrial facilities: comparison of the policies in France and in 4 foreign countries, Valérie DE DIANOUS, Ahmed Adjadj, Gaëtan Prodhomme, Mathieu ReimeringerComparison of different methods of aggregation of model ensemble outcomes in the validation and reconstruction of real nuclear power plant signals, Piero Baraldi, Giulio Gola, Mario Hoffmann, francesca mangili, Davide RoversoWAVELET BASED ALGORITHM FOR FAULT DETECTION ON TEXTILES, Vaclav Finek, Dana Cerna

A framework for the layer of protection analysis and alarm system design including human factors, Kazimierz Kosmowski, Przemyslaw KacprzakEnhanced Bayesian THERP – Experiences from HRA method evaluation, Kent Bladh, Jan-Erik Holmberg, Johanna Oxstrand, Pekka Pyy

Parallel sessions 14:00-15:30

Lessons learned from the assessment of the CESA-q HRA method against simulator data, luca Podofillini, Bernhard Reer

Decision analysis versus risk management: comparing two approaches to a maintenance decision for an ageing system, T.E. Nøkland, S.Guikema, T.AvenFire and thermal explosion accident investigations of cumene hydroperoxide in Taiwan, H.C. Chou, J.M. Wei, S.H. Wu, J.H. Chi, A. Bandyopadhyay, C.M. Shu

Important parameters for the successful management of floods in Greece, Zoe Nivolianitou, B. Synodinou

Lunch 12:00-14:00

Reliability of Web-Services and Multimedia Teaching, Popentiu Florin

Solving homogeneous semi-Markov processes through a faster and straightforward way, Márcio Moura, Enrique Lopez DroguettRisk control in complex environments

occupational safeti

Risk and hazard analysis

POSSIBILITIES FOR PRACTICAL IMPLEMENTATION OF BLUE-GREEN ALGAE BLOOM REDUCTION, Josef Kellner, Lenka Šubrtová, Josef Navrátil, Alena Langerová, Alena BumbováIdentifying Gaps in Crisis Management and Emergency Preparedness: A Methodological Approach for Studying Inter-Organizational Collaboration Needs in, Janne Hagen, Håvard FridheimReal Problems of Critical Infrastructure Threatening the Region Safety, Dana Prochazkova

Correlation models in flood risk analysis, Ferdinand Diermanse, Chris Geerse

Risk analysis of extraordinary accident in industrial company, Petra Suchardova, Ales Bernatik, Oldrich SuchardaGenerating unambiguous and more complete HAZOP-deviations, Bernhard Hulin, Rolf Tschachtli

TOWARDS AN INTEGRATED USE OF VIDEO TECHNOLOGY AND PERFORMANCE MEASUREMENT TO IMPROVE WORKPLACE SAFETY: A PRELIMINARY FRAMEWORK, Paola Cocca, Filippo Marciano, Marco A scale-free network model for probabilistic assessment of Romanian Power Grid, Anatoli Ulmeanu, Virgilius DUMBRAVA

A semi-quantitative approach for an effective near-miss management system, patrizia agnello, MariaGrazia Gnoni, Gianni LetteraOccupational safety, health and major accident hazard at an industrial Park, Paolo Bragatto, patrizia agnello, MariaGrazia Gnoni, ilaria ragusa

Page 17: Prelim Program

Chair Antoine Grall

Chair Ioannis Papazoglou

Chair Zoe Novolianitou

Chair Claudia Vivalda

Chair Andrea Monferini

A fuzzy-probabilistic maintenance optimization model for two interactive failure modes, Mariana Carvalho, Eusébio Nunes, José TelhadaMaintenance optimisation of k-out-of-n systems based on costs, David Valis, Zdenek Vintr

Reliability models for air connections, Artur Kierzkowski

Maintenance modelling and optimisation

MOSAIQUE - A software for estimating probabilistic uncertainty of safety analysis using computerized simulation models, SangHoon HAN, Ho-Gon Lim, Yun-Je ChoEstimation of the failure probability of a thermal-hydraulic passive system by means of Artificial Neural Networks and quadratic Response Surfaces, Enrico Zio, George E. Apostolakis, Nicola Pedroni

Assessing the failure modes of ports: A supply chain view on port throughput vulnerability, Oyvind Berle, Jim Rice, Bjørn Egil Asbjørnslett

U.S. NRC Activities in the Area of Dynamic Level 2 Probabilistic Safety Assessments, Donald Helton, Nathan Siu, Jeff LaChance, Tunc Aldemir, Ali Mosleh

A Survey of Secondary Effects from Fires in Nuclear Power Plants, Burkhard Forell, Svante Einarsson

Maintenance Process Analysis for System Functional Capability Requirements, John Andrews, Sean Reed, Sarah Dunnett

Occupational Risk of building construction, Olga Aneziris

Occupational Risk Management for release of hazardous substances from closed containments, Ioannis PapazoglouOccumational Risk Management for fires, O. Aneziris

Safety factor of crane hooks by various approaches, Kun-Yue Chen, De-Shin Liu, Lung-Chang Tsai, Min-Siou Liaw, Chi-Min Shu

Occupational safety

Nuclear Engineering

Electrical and Electronic Engineering

Principles for maintenance and reinvestments management of electricity distribution assets, Agnes Nybø, DagEirik NordgårdA Fault Model for Integrated Parallel Systems, Bernhard Fechner

Extraordinary Events - Understanding Sequence, Causes, and Remedies, Emil Johansson, Agnes Nybø, Kjetil Uhlen, Gerd Kjølle, Oddbjørn GjerdeDecision support for risk-based electricity distribution system asset management, Maria Catrinu, DagEirik Nordgård, Kjell Sand

Coffeebreak 15:30-16:00

Parallel sessions 16:00-17:30

Monte-Carlo-Method for non-linear tolerance chains: a case study, F. Plinke, A. Braasch, D. Althaus , A. Meyna

Monte Carlo Methods

Monte Carlo Simulation for modelling & analysing External Explosion Event probability, J. Hauschild & M. AndernachtProblems of reliability analysis of passenger transportation process M. Młyńczak, T. Nowakowski, F. Restel, S. Werbińska-WojciechowskaSecurity In Civil Aviation Post 9/11, Elise Anonby Olsvik, Ole A. Engen

Page 18: Prelim Program

Chair Elena Zaitseva

Chair Luis Ferreira

Chair Ioannis Papazoglou

Chair Dirk Proske

Chair Claudia Vivalda

Manual handling operations risk assessment, Armando Burciaga-Ortega, JAIME SANTOS-REYES

Uncertainty Analysis by Dempster Shafer theory in Probabilistic Risk Assessment, Tu-Duong LE DUY, Dominique Vasseur, Laurence Dieulle, Berenguer Christophe, Mathieu CoupletNuclear Power Plant on-site power system reliability, Andrija Volkanovski, Marko Èepin

Rare Event Simulation Speed-Up of Extended Coloured Stochastic Petri Nets, Andrea Dieter, Steffen Nebel, Bernd BertscheCondition-based maintenance and non homogenous gamma process, Mitra Fouladirad, Christian Paroissin, Antoine Grall

Optimal inspection strategy for rubble mound breakwaters with time-dependent reliability analysis., Viet Nguyen Dai, Pieter van Gelder, J.K.VrijlingGeneralization of the Proportional Hazards model for maintenance optimization, Estelle Deloux, Yann Dijoux, Mitra Fouladirad

Mission Reconfiguration Based on Real-time System Reliability Assessment, John Andrews, Wen Hua Chen, Kristina Brazenaite

Risk and hazard analysis

Maintenance modelling and optimisation

Occupational safety

Nuclear Engineering

Offshore Oil and Gas

Risk Quantification for the food company in terms of the effectiveness of the self-control system required by public administration, EVA DOMENECH, I. Escriche, SEBASTIAN MARTORELLSensitivity analysis of stress state in the crack-prone areas of thin-walled girder considering transient effect, Jiri Kala, Miroslav SkaloudA comparison of RUL-based and deterioration-based maintenance policies for gradually deteriorating systems, Elias KHOURY, Berenguer Christophe, Antoine Grall

The ErgoDesign of Workplaces, Laura Tkatsova, Piia Tint

Fire prevention management at TFT-LCD of high-tech plants in Taiwan, Mei-Li You, Huei-Ling Yao, Fang-Chang Tsai, Chi-Min Shu

Investigations of emergency plan on semiconductor and display panel plants, Gong-Yih Shiue, Chung–Yun Gau, Tsan–Ming Chang, Jian-Ming Wei, Chi-Min Shu

CLOSING SESSION TBA

Conformance test of logic controllers of critical systems from industrial specifications, Jean-Marc Faure, Francois Chériaux, Laurence Picci, Julien ProvostTechnical health of a system - in the context of condition based maintenance, Pratichi Vaidya, Marvin Rausand

Major hazard indicators, status and future outlook, Jan-Erik Vinnem

Confidence Limits with Improved Accuracy for Time Dependent Ignition Probabilities of Blowouts in the Oil & Gas Industry, Pavel Praks, Sava MedonosReliability stochastic model applied to evaluate the economic impact of the failure in the life cycle cost analysis (LCCA). Case of study in the oil, Carlos Parra, Adolfo Crespo, Vicente González Díaz, Adolfo Arata, Fredy Kristjanpoller