Preference Reversals & WTP/WTA Disparity: the case of food products Serge BLONDEL and Mahsa JAVAHERI...
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Transcript of Preference Reversals & WTP/WTA Disparity: the case of food products Serge BLONDEL and Mahsa JAVAHERI...
Preference Reversals & WTP/WTA Disparity: the case of food products
Serge BLONDEL and Mahsa JAVAHERI (INH, Angers)
FUR XII, 2006,
Potentiel subjects where very intersted…
… but we have used more standard subjects!
• Definition of preference reversals
• Preference reversals with a single lottery
• Cognitive consistency theory
• Experimental design
• Results
Preference reversals (PR)
• P-bet= (x, p)• $-bet= (y, q)
with y > x and p > q
Standard case
$ selling price > P selling
price
P-bet $-bet
PR with a single lottery
• P-bet = a sure gain P• $-bet (y, q)
Standard case$ selling price >
P P $
p
1-p
High quality [u: 1]
Low quality [u: 0]
πEU
[u: p]
Expected utility
L
0 1
ΠEU
p
π<L π>L
~
p
1-p
High quality [u: 1]
Low quality [u: 0]
~ πCC
[u: µ p + (1-µ) 1]
Cognitive consistency
L
0 1
ΠEU
p
πCC
µ p + (1-µ) 1= µ p + (1-µ)
π’CC
µ p + (1-µ) 0= µ p
π<L π<Lπ>L π>L
Predictions of cognitive consistency
Buying price (ascending auction)
► π = π’CC - ε : no PR
► π = π’CC + ε : PR possible
Selling price (descending auction)
► π = πCC - ε : PR possible
► π = πCC + ε : no PR
Buying price < Selling price
0 1
ΠEU
p
πCC
µ p + (1-µ) 1= µ p + (1-µ)
π’CC
µ p + (1-µ) 0= µ p
π<L π<Lπ>L π>L
Experimental Design
• December 2005• Orange carrots and 4 types of colored
carrots (white, yellow, pink and purple)• 2 groups, buying (34) and selling prices (30).• Stage 1: no information available
• pricing•choices
• Stage 2: information + tasting•same tasks
The lab and the products
PRICE:1 KILO OF PINK CARROTS
• you should indicate the maximum price that you are willing to pay for 1 kilo of Pink Carrots
Your Price = euros.
One number will be drawn from 1 to 30 : selling price = number 10 cent of € Your price selling price : buying at selling price Your price < selling price : no buying
Example of a buying price question
CHOICE :PINK CARROTS
You hould decide to buy or not, 1 kilo of Pink Carrots :
Price of 1 kilo of Pink Carrots = 1.10 euros
• Click on the corresponding bottom
I Buy I don’t Buy
Example of a choice question
Buying
Stage 2
(info)
Stage 1
(no-info)
Not buying at πCC - 0.1
Orange 15%
Colored 35%
Orange 21%
Colored 27%
Orange 18%
Colored 37%
Orange 21%
Colored 25%
buying at πCC + 0.1
Selling
Orange 27%
Colored 44%
Orange 10 %
Colored 11%
Orange 33%
Colored 43%
Orange 10%
Colored 9%
Not selling at πCC + 0.1
(reversed)
Selling at πCC - 0.1
(standard)
Stage 2
(info)
Stage 1
(no-info)
First stage: No information
0
0,5
1
1,5
orange white yellow pink purple
Selling
Buying
Second stage : information + tasting
0
0,5
1
1,5
orange white yellow pink purple
Selling
Buying