Predators on the Playground
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Transcript of Predators on the Playground
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A Presentation by Chad Ottosubmitted to
Dr. Hongwei Dong, Assistant ProfessorDepartment of Geography and City & Regional Planning
California State University, Fresno
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Background
Experience with coworker registered as a sex offender
“The hardest thing about being a sex offender is finding a home.”
Fresno does not comply with California State Laws
Serious Offense / Violent offenders most restricted
Forbidden from living with ¼ mile of any place where children gather
Schools, Playgrounds, Parks, etc.
Current City Laws: An offender can dwell wherever they chose!
What does this mean for your you?
What does this mean for your children?
Sources: (Fresno.gov,2014), (www.meganslaw.ca.gov), (Nieto & Jung, 2006, p. 17)
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What if… What if California Residency Laws were upheld within
Fresno?
Question #1: Under California Residency Restriction Laws,
what portion of registered sex offenders within Fresno City
would be in violation of the law?
Question #2: Which areas of Fresno City would be suitable
for offenders to reside in, and which areas would legally be
off limits. How much area is available, and how much is not?
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Methods1) Geocode addresses of offenders
2) Select by Attributes: Fresno County fromshapefile of CA counties, save selection as a layer file
3) Create Buffers around parks and schools
4) Merge school and park buffers together
5) Dissolve the merged buffer (Forbidden Zones)
6) Add field in attribute table and calculate area of forbidden zones
7) Erase forbidden zone from city polygon
8) Add field in attribute table and calculate area of safe zone
9) Select by location: offenders intersecting forbidden zone, save selection
as a layer file
10) Calculate percentage of violators
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Data Resources
1) tl_2010_06_county10.shp
(Polygon vector file of California Counties)
2) citylim.shp
(Polygon vector file of Fresno City limits)
3) parks.shp
(Polygon vector file of Fresno City Parks)
4) schools.shp
(Polygon vector file of Fresno City Schools)
5) offenders.csv
(Excel CSV file derived from offender address listings)
6) offenders.shp
(Geocoded point vector file of offender address listings)
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Data Resources (Contd.)
Sources:
www.meganslaw.ca.gov
(Sex offender addresses)
http://www.census.gov/cgi-bin/geo/shapefiles2010/layers.cgi
(California counties shapefile)
http://www.fresno.gov/Government/DepartmentDirectory/Infor
mationServices/GIS/Layers.htm
(All city level shapefiles)
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Analysis Results
Total Area of Fresno: 294.536 square kilometers
Total amount of suitable residency areas: 191.9935 square kilometers
Total amount of forbidden areas: 102.543 square kilometers
Forbidden land = 34.81 %
Suitable land = 65.18 %
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Analysis Results (contd.)
Fresno City Residency Restrictions
Under California State Law
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Results (contd.)
Total amount of sex offenders with Fresno City: 724
Total amount of sex offenders in violation of California residency laws: 296
Violators = 40.88 %
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Analysis Results (contd.)
Sex Offenders in Violation of
California State Residency Laws
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Conclusions
Under California State Residency Laws, within Fresno City:
65.18% (191.99 square kilometers) of land is suitable as a
dwelling area for sex offenders
34.81% (102.54 square kilometers) of land is forbidden as a
dewlling area for sex offenders
40.88% of sex offenders (296) are living in violation of the law
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Coworker’s statement not applicable to Fresno City
An abundance of land available to sex offenders would exist
under California Residency Laws
Enforcement of law would not create any undue hardship
Would not interfere with an offender’s mobility rights (“right to
travel”)
Simply put, enforcement of law would be practical and not
unfair
Conclusions (contd.)
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Visual representation highlights a significant safety issue
Large majority of parks / schools are potentially dangerous
Provides solid evidence in favor of arguments for policy change
Helps you determine which park / school to take your child to
Helps you determine which areas you should personally
avoid
Can categorize a list of potential suspects for sexual assault
crimes committed in each associated park or school
Conclusions (contd.)
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Originally wanted to include nonviolent offenders
Can come within 300ft of parks / schools
Confusion of Variable distance buffer
Apply to offenders and see if parks/ schools intersect?
Create nested buffer/ use separate shapefiles for violent and
nonviolent instead?
What percentage of forbidden lands are violators occupying?
Not achievable with geocoded point shapefile alone
Place point shapefile over shapefile of land parcels
Use land parcels to determine occupied area
Limitations / Future Prospects
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What is the sum total of sex offenders cohabiting illegally?
Would Geocoding simply assign one point to both offenders?
Limitations / Future Prospects (contd.)
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Works Cited
Fresno.gov. (2014). Answers to commonly asked questions from residents. [online] Retrieved from: http://www.fresno.gov/Government/DepartmentDirectory/Police/SexOffenderInfo/PublicFAQ.htm#q8ce76679bce05f3 [Accessed: 3 Mar 2014].
Fresno.gov. (2014). Sex offender information. [online] Retrieved from: http://www.fresno.gov/Government/DepartmentDirectory/Police/SexOffenderInfo/default.htm [Accessed: 3 Mar 2014].
Nieto, M., & Jung, D. California Research Bureau, (2006). The impact of residency restrictions on sex offenders and correctional management practices: A literature review. Retrieved from California State Library website: http://www.library.ca.gov/crb/06/08/06-008.pdf