Pravco China Aircraft Mfg 0208

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    China plans to realize its "large aircraft" dream

    by the year 2015

    "Large aircraft" refer to large transportation planes withmore than 150 seats

    State Council, China's cabinet, has given the go-ahead to set up a company to build the aircraft

    The State Council meeting believes that buildinglarge aircraft is an important, strategic policy of theCommunist Party and State Council, and it has alsobeen the wish of the entire nation for many years,"

    "Our country has been developing the aviation

    industry for 50 years, and already has the technicaland material base to develop large aircraft

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    Boeing 20-year forecast for China

    $340 billion

    3,400 new planes

    China to grow fivefold

    By 2026, China will be larger than todays North

    American market

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    Airbus 20-year forecast for China

    China will need over 3,000 passenger and cargoairplanes

    2,050 single-aisle airplanes

    600 small twin-aisle airplanes over 200 medium twin-aisle airplane

    180 large airplanes

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    CAAC is drafting the 11th Five-Year Plan and 2020Vision for the aviation industry

    Expected annual growth rate will be 14%

    China expects to have 186 airports

    3 national hubs 7 regional hubs

    24 medium hubs

    28 medium airports

    124 small-size airports Total investment will be $17.7 billion

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    China will Develop its Commercial Aircraft

    Manufacturing Capability

    The same way as they do with their military aircraft byco-production and licenses

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    China Aircraft Offset Programs

    Assembly/Part Program Source/Offset

    Vertical Fin & Tail Boeing 737 Boeing USA

    Empennage Boeing 757 Vought USA

    Final Assembly MD-82 McDonnell USA

    Center Wing Box ATR42 Alenia Italy

    Nose/Wing /Door A320 Airbus Europe

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    ARJ-21 China Regional Jet

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    ARJ-21 Market Outlook

    Two versions 78 and 105 seats

    500 ARJ-21s in 20 years-35 ordered

    Initially target domestic market

    Selling price is 10% to 15% less expensive thanwestern regional jets

    Avoids 23% import tax on regional jets

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    ARJ-21 Features

    Chinese design (with western design software-Catia)

    Western engines, flight controls and avionics

    US FAA certification

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    ARJ-21 Interior

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    ARJ-21Cockpit Configuration

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    ARJ-21 Production SitesCenters of Excellence

    Shanghai Aviation-final assembly and stabilizersection

    Chendgu Aircraft Factory- nose assembly

    Xian Aircraft -wing assembly and fuselage

    Shenyang Aircraft tail section

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    ARJ 21 Manual Airframe Production

    First Production Lots

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    ARJ21 Fuselage Panels

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    ARJ 21 Fuselage Panel Assembly

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    ARJ 21 Wing Box Assembly

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    ARJ 21 Mating Fuselage

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    ARJ 21 Final Assembly-Shanghai

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    ARJ 21 Final Assembly

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    Chinas Expanding Market-2007

    China's AVIC I Commercial Aircraft (ACAC) plans toestablish a representative office in the USA, and later asubsidiary, to spearhead its sales push into that market

    Chinese aircraft maker Aviation Industry Corporation(AVIC I) intends to seek US and European certificationfor all its aircraft in future so that China can increase itsability to export aircraft overseas

    AVIC I Commercial Aircraft (ACAC) has secured a

    landmark first export deal for the ARJ21 regional jetfrom Lao Airlines for two aircraft.

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    Bombardier C Series

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    C Series Geopolitical Considerations

    Launch orders for technology transfer

    Bombardier lacks the capital to build the C SeriesAircraft

    Joint venture between Bombardier and AVIC 1

    (Shenyang and Chengdu factories)

    Complete fuselage to be build in China

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    NoseFuselage

    CenterFuselage

    Wing

    Empennage

    Powerplant

    LandingGear

    Pylon

    Doors

    C Series-Risk Sharing Partners/Suppliers will designand manufacture the work packages

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    Bombardier steps up transfer of work to

    Mexico and China

    Mexican-made part will be a Challenger 850 fuselage,formerly made by its Belfast site in the UK

    B

    ombardier is also moving large parts of its majoraerospace subassembly work away from MitsubishiHeavy Industries (MHI) in Japan, and transferring iteither to Mexico or to China's Shenyang Aircraft(SAC)

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    Bombardier and China

    Long-term Strategic Cooperation Agreement

    Bombardier is to invest $100 million into China AviationIndustry Corp I's (AVIC I) ARJ21-900 project and providetechnical assistance in developing the aircraft. The twocompanies also firmed up plans to co-operate in the 90-to 149-seat civil aircraft market, including the Bombardier

    C Series.

    AVIC I plans to invest $400 million US for research anddevelopment, construction of new facilities andequipment for the C Series aircraft program, should it belaunched.

    AVIC1 and Bombardier will jointly design a new fuselageand interior for the ARJ21-900 and the aircraft promisesto include more composites

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    Embraer 140s Co-production

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    ERJ Assembly Line-China

    Joint venture with Embraer and Harbin AircraftPlant ($40 million joint investment)

    ERJs with 40-50 seats

    Capacity for assembling 24 aircraft a year

    Avoids the 23% import tax levied on regionalaircraft

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    Airbus and China JV for A320

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    A320 Final Assembly in China

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    Airbus in China

    Assembly factory of A320 series of airplanes isestablished in Tianjin China.-4 a month by 2011

    By 2009 will able to manufacture the complete

    wing structure of A320 series of airplanes

    Participation of the project in designing andmanufacturing 5 percent airplane body of A350

    China will play a more important role in the globalstrategy of Airbus Corporation

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    Airbus assisting Chinas Technology Development

    The President of Airbus (China) Company stated,"the assembly line is one of the core abilities ofthe airplane manufacturers; the establishment ofassembly line in China will enable the aviation

    industry in China to be involved in the core abilityand key technologies. The assembly line inTianjin will exercise the huge and positiveinfluence on the aviation industry in China andalso stimulate the other suppliers in this industryto enlarge their businesses in China

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    Pravco

    Dr. David Pritchard

    210 Sagewood Terrace

    Williamsville, NY 14221

    Telephone/fax 716-632-5657 (USA)

    [email protected]

    www.pravco.com

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