PPA 415 – Research Methods in Public Administration

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PPA 415 – Research Methods in Public Administration Lecture 8 – Chi-square

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PPA 415 – Research Methods in Public Administration. Lecture 8 – Chi-square. Introduction. The chi-square (  2 ) has probably been the most frequently used test of hypothesis in the social sciences, largely because its assumptions are the easiest to satisfy. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Transcript of PPA 415 – Research Methods in Public Administration

Page 1: PPA 415 – Research Methods in Public Administration

PPA 415 – Research Methods in Public Administration

Lecture 8 – Chi-square

Page 2: PPA 415 – Research Methods in Public Administration

Introduction

The chi-square (2) has probably been the most frequently used test of hypothesis in the social sciences, largely because its assumptions are the easiest to satisfy.

It assumes only that the sample is randomly selected and the variable is measured at the nominal level.

No assumptions about shape of distribution or the sampling distribution.

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Bivariate Tables

Bivariate tables are used to find if there is a significant relationship between the independent and dependent variable.

Rows (dependent variables), columns (independent variables), and cells (independent by dependent variable).

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Bivariate Tables

Table 1. President's disaster recommendation by presidential administration, 1974-1981

37 94 131

29.1% 38.5% 35.3%

18 44 62

14.2% 18.0% 16.7%

72 106 178

56.7% 43.4% 48.0%

127 244 371

100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

Turndown

Emergency Declaration

Major disaster declaration

President'srecommendation

Total

Gerald R. Ford Jimmy Carter

Presidential administration

Total

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The Logic of Chi-Square

In two-sample tests, independence means that the two samples are randomly selected.

In chi-square, independence means that the classification of a case on one variable has no influence on how cases are classified on the other variable.

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The Logic of Chi-SquareTable 2. President's recommendation by presidential administration, expected

frequencies

44.8 86.2 131.0

35.3% 35.3% 35.3%

21.2 40.8 62.0

16.7% 16.7% 16.7%

60.9 117.1 178.0

48.0% 48.0% 48.0%

127.0 244.0 371.0

100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

Turndown

Emergency Declaration

Major disaster declaration

President'srecommendation

Total

Gerald R.Ford Jimmy Carter

Presidentialadministration

Total

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The Computation of Chi-Square

Chi-square is calculated by comparing the observed frequency (fo) each cell to the expected frequency (fe)if there were no relationship.

The larger the difference between observed and expected frequency, the larger is chi-square.

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The Computation of Chi-Square

N

marginalColumn x marginal Row

)(2

2

e

e

eo

f

f

ffobtained

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The Computation of Chi-Square

Example:

8732.5)(

0522.10232.22510.4830.7058.3580.1)(

1.117

1.117106

9.60

9.6072

8.40

8.4044

2.21

2.2118

2.86

2.8694

8.44

8.4437)(

2

2

2222

2222

obtained

obtained

f

ffobtained

e

eo

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Five-Step Hypothesis Test

Step 1. Making assumptions. Independent random samples. Nominal level of measurement.

Step 2. Stating the null hypothesis. H0: The two variables are independent.

H1: The two variables are dependent (related).

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Five-Step Hypothesis Test

Step 3. Selecting the sampling distribution and establishing the critical region. Sampling distribution = 2 distribution. Alpha=0.05. Df=(r-1)(c-1)=(3-1)(2-1)=2(1)=2. 2(critical)=Appendix C, p. 466=5.991.

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Five-Step Hypothesis Test

Step 4. 2(obtained)=5.87 (from slide 9).

Step 5. Making a decision. 2(obtained) < 2(critical), therefore do not

reject the null hypothesis that there is no relationship between presidential administration and disaster recommendations.

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Example 2Have you ever experienced discrimination when renting or buying a house? * What ethnic

background is the head of household? Crosstabulation

46 80 0 126

37.8 85.2 3.0 126.0

90.2% 69.6% .0% 74.1%

5 35 4 44

13.2 29.8 1.0 44.0

9.8% 30.4% 100.0% 25.9%

51 115 4 170

51.0 115.0 4.0 170.0

100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

Count

Expected Count

% within What ethnicbackground is thehead of household?

Count

Expected Count

% within What ethnicbackground is thehead of household?

Count

Expected Count

% within What ethnicbackground is thehead of household?

No

Yes

Have you everexperienceddiscriminationwhen renting orbuying a house?

Total

White Black Other

What ethnic background is the headof household?

Total

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Example 2

Step 1. Making assumptions. Independent random samples. Nominal level of measurement.

Step 2. Stating the null hypothesis. H0: The two variables are independent.

H1: The two variables are dependent (related).

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Example 2

Step 3. Selecting the sampling distribution and establishing the critical region. Sampling distribution = 2 distribution. Alpha=0.05. Df=(r-1)(c-1)=(2-1)(3-1)=1(2)=2. 2(critical)=Appendix C, p. 466=5.991.

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Example 2

Step 4.

Chi-Square Tests

19.570a 2 .000

20.367 2 .000

15.378 1 .000

170

Pearson Chi-Square

Likelihood Ratio

Linear-by-LinearAssociation

N of Valid Cases

Value dfAsymp. Sig.

(2-sided)

2 cells (33.3%) have expected count less than 5. Theminimum expected count is 1.04.

a.

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Example 2

Step 5. Making a decision. 2(obtained) >2(critical), therefore reject the

null hypothesis that there is no relationship between ethnicity and whether or not Birmingham residents have experienced discrimination. Minorities are significantly more likely to report that they have experienced discrimination than whites.

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Limitations of Chi-Square

The chi-square becomes difficult to interpret if the table is larger than 4 x 4.

When sample size is small, expected frequencies can be less than five per cell. If the table is 2 x 2, use the following correction.

e

eoc f

ffobtained

2

2 5.)(

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Limitations of Chi-Square

If table is more than 2 x 2, there is no correction for small sample size.

Chi-square is also sensitive to large sample sizes. For example, doubling the sample size, doubles chi-square. For large samples, very small (and meaningless) differences can be significant. You should also calculate a measure of association. See the next lecture.