PowerPoint Presentationtobaccotaxation.org/cms_upload/pages/files/Bosnia... · 2019-07-19 · Gains...
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Transcript of PowerPoint Presentationtobaccotaxation.org/cms_upload/pages/files/Bosnia... · 2019-07-19 · Gains...
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-0.85
-0.75
-0.65
-0.55
-0.45
-0.35
-0.25
-0.15
-0.05 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Deciles
Chile Ukraine
Moldova South Africa
Bangladesh Indonesia
Russian Federation Bosnia and Herzegovina
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2011
2015
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Price Elasticity Poorest 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Richest National
Lower bound -1.182 -0.970 -0.773 -0.784 -0.681 -0.656 -0.606 -0.530 -0.530 -0.402 -0.603
Point estimate -1.081 -0.871 -0.687 -0.700 -0.604 -0.580 -0.532 -0.461 -0.461 -0.336 -0.557
Upper bound -0.980 -0.773 -0.602 -0.615 -0.527 -0.504 -0.458 -0.392 -0.392 -0.271 -0.511
Price shock scenario +25% Poorest 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Richest
Complete pass-through -0.37 -0.47 -0.45 -0.47 -0.56 -0.53 -0.54 -0.53 -0.55 -0.48
Low-bound elasticity 0.17 0.10 -0.02 -0.01 -0.08 -0.09 -0.13 -0.18 -0.19 -0.24
Medium elasticity 0.13 0.04 -0.06 -0.06 -0.14 -0.14 -0.18 -0.22 -0.23 -0.28
Upper-bound elasticity 0.08 -0.02 -0.11 -0.11 -0.19 -0.19 -0.23 -0.27 -0.28 -0.32
Deciles
Price shock scenario +25% 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Low-bound elasticity 0.51 0.36 0.25 0.22 0.19 0.17 0.13 0.10 0.09 0.05
Medium elasticity 0.47 0.32 0.22 0.20 0.17 0.15 0.11 0.09 0.08 0.04
Upper-bound elasticity 0.42 0.28 0.20 0.18 0.15 0.13 0.10 0.08 0.07 0.03
Price shock scenario 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Low-bound elasticity 0.0005 0.0005 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0003
Medium elasticity 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0003 0.0003 0.0003 0.0003
Upper-bound elasticity 0.0004 0.0004 0.0003 0.0003 0.0003 0.0003 0.0003 0.0003 0.0003 0.0002
Price shock scenario 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Low-bound elasticity 0.685 0.456 0.236 0.216 0.111 0.074 -0.002 -0.074 -0.094 -0.192
Medium elasticity 0.595 0.361 0.159 0.143 0.036 0.004 -0.067 -0.133 -0.154 -0.239
Upper-bound elasticity 0.506 0.268 0.083 0.069 -0.040 -0.065 -0.133 -0.192 -0.213 -0.286
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