Powering the future Synergy AB, November 5th, 2014

J.M.K.C. Donev, G. Dharan, B. A. Heffernan, J. Jenden,

E.R. Lloyd, J. Toor, J. E. Williams

Jason, we haven’t seen you for 2 years! What’s new?

• energyeducation.ca • Energy 101 for

people in industry

What I’ll talk about • Who’s using how much energy?

• How and why that’s getting bigger

• The biggest problem with that.

OECD countries =

wealthy countries (OECD = organization of

economic cooperation and development)

Total Energy Use (Mtoe) non-OECD growing faster

Total Electricity Use (TWh) Faster than energy use

World Population is leveling off The world population

will hit and stay at ~10 billion people

Where’s the growth?

Population

Per capita Energy Use (toe/person)

Per capita Electricity Use (kWh/person)

Who cares about energy? • We don’t want

– Calories – Gasoline – Electricity – Natural gas – Pipelines

It’s what energy gives us!

• We want – Food – Travel – Entertainment – Warm houses – Jobs

A person produces ~100 W • Bend your wrist, ~1 W • Deep knee bends ~100 W = 1 energy servant • These servants give us:

- trips to the store - the goods in a store - the power to run the goods from the store

Humans are energy rich

People use ~20 energy servants

On average humans use 20x the energy produced by human body

Non-OECD

People use ~14 energy servants

OECD

People use ~50 energy servants

Canada is energy rich!

Canadians use ~110 energy servants

Get =

16 TW

80 TW =

5x today’s energy

Power in 2014 Power in future?

Energy is needed to live the way we want to.

Energy dense fuels give a high quality of life

non-OECD world wants the energy wealth.

Where does the world get energy now? How’s that changing?

Electricity generation varies across the world

Fastest growing energy source?

Coal toe/person

Total use is scarier!

Coal Mtoe

AB coal use in 1 year Coal train 2880 km long From Calgary to Sudbury (world use=40x around Earth)

Wind farms

Solar

To avoid CO2 use

Nuclear

This much CO2 creates dangerous changes to

climate. ~30 scientists All 24 papers:

http://www.jamespowell.org/Rejections/index.html

http://www.jamespowell.org/Rejections/index.htmlhttp://www.jamespowell.org/Rejections/index.html

Color shows how world is warming (image from NASA: 6 decades of warming Earth)

Want

balanced against stopping:

Energyeducation.ca / Energy 101 team

Worked on project: •Ellen Lloyd •Braden Heffernan •Jacqueline Williams •James Jenden •Jasdeep Toor

Volunteered for project: •Yuen-ying Carpenter •Gokul Dharan •Shining Chen • Isaac Faubert •Karen Street

529/507 students who contributed senior projects

Bonus slides for questions

Distribution of ages in (2014) stolen from Hans Rosling

1 Billion people

1 Billion people Under 15 (born 1999-2014)

15 – 30 year olds (1984-1999)

30-45 year olds (1969-1984) 1 Billion people

1 Billion people

1 Billion people

1 Billion people

45-60 year olds (1954-1969) 1 Billion people

60+ year olds(1902-1954)

2 Billion born! (2029) stolen from Hans Rosling

1 Billion people

1 Billion people

Under 15 (born 2014-2029)

15 – 30 year olds (1999-2014)

30-45 year olds (1984-1999) 1 Billion people

1 Billion people

1 Billion people 45-60 year olds (1969-1984)

1 Billion people 60+ year olds(1920-1969)

1 Billion people

1 Billion people

2 Billion born! (2044) stolen from Hans Rosling

1 Billion people

1 Billion people

Under 15 (born 2029-2044)

15 – 30 year olds (2014-2029)

30-45 year olds (1999-2014)

1 Billion people

1 Billion people

1 Billion people

45-60 year olds (1984-1999)

60+ year olds(1930-1984)

1 Billion people

1 Billion people

1 Billion people

1 Billion people

2 Billion born! (2059) How many people?

1 Billion people

1 Billion people

Under 15 (born 2044-2059)

15 – 30 year olds (2029-2044)

30-45 year olds (2014-2029)

1 Billion people

1 Billion people

45-60 year olds (1999-2029)

60+ year olds(1945-1999)

1 Billion people

1 Billion people

1 Billion people

1 Billion people

1 Billion people

1 Billion people

The great fill up: finally catch up with population explosion

1 Billion people

Never born

Peak child

Peak child

30 years ago 1 billion kids

1 Billion people

Never born

60 years ago 1 billion kids

Age groups will balance

1 Billion people

Never born

1 Billion people

1 Billion people

1 Billion people

1 Billion people

Powering the futureSynergy AB, November 5th, 2014Jason, we haven’t seen you for 2 years! What’s new?What I’ll talk aboutOECD countries =Slide Number 5Slide Number 6World Population is leveling offSlide Number 8Slide Number 9Slide Number 10Who cares about energy?A person produces ~100 WHumans are energy richNon-OECD OECDCanada isenergy rich!Get = Energy is needed to live the way we want to.Energy dense fuels give a high quality of lifeSlide Number 20Electricity generation varies across the worldFastest growing energy source?Total use is scarier!AB coal use in 1 year�Coal train 2880 km long�From Calgary to Sudbury(world use=40x around Earth)To avoid CO2 useThis much CO2 creates dangerous changes to climate.Color shows how world is warming� (image from NASA: 6 decades of warming Earth)WantEnergyeducation.ca / Energy 101 teamBonus slides for questions Distribution of ages in (2014)�stolen from Hans Rosling2 Billion born! (2029)�stolen from Hans Rosling2 Billion born! (2044)�stolen from Hans Rosling2 Billion born! (2059)�How many people?The great fill up: finally catch up with population explosion