Power Transformers – A Holistic Asset Management · PDF filePower Transformers – A...
Transcript of Power Transformers – A Holistic Asset Management · PDF filePower Transformers – A...
©2013 Doble Engineering Company. All Rights Reserved
SMART GRID LATIN AMERICAN FÓRUM/2013
SMART GRID LATIN AMERICAN FÓRUM/2013
Dave Zabetakis
Power Transformers –A Holistic Asset Management
Approach
Power Transformers –A Holistic Asset Management
Approach
Doble Engineering Overview 2
• World leader in diagnostic test solutions for the electric power industry
• Helping customers improve safety, efficiency and reliability since 1920
• Subsidiary of ESCO Technologies Inc.
Doble Engineering CompanyDoble Engineering Company
Doble Engineering Overview 3
Material & HVLaboratories
Cable & Switchgear
Diagnostics TransformerDiagnostics
Circuit BreakerDiagnostics
ProtectionDiagnostics
RotatingMachinery
Diagnostics
Doble Consulting & Testing Services
Doble Client Services & Application Engineering Teams
Supporting Over 5500 Customers in 110 CountriesSupporting Over 5500 Customers in 110 Countries
Doble Engineering Overview 4
Market TrendsMarket Trends
MaintenanceRun to Failure/
Reactive
Scheduled / Interval
Maintenance
Real-Time Condition Based
Maintenance
Counter Based Maintenance
Condition Based Maintenance
Historically prevailing maintenance modelMarket
Trending
Rationale
Lower O&MMore cost effective for lower value assetsMore tenable where downstream impact
is limited
Higher reliabilityMore efficient Capex and O&MBetter asset life extension
Doble Engineering Overview 5July 2010 Confidential – Do Not Reproduce 5
Where Industry is going: ARMSWhere Industry is going: ARMS
•Shifting approaches to asset management and maintenanceRun to Failure/
Reactive
Scheduled / Interval
Maintenance
Real-Time Condition Based
Maintenance
Counter Based Maintenance
Condition Based Maintenance
Implementation Cost
O&M Cost
Reliability Improvement
Overlay of a maintenance schedule
based on age
Change maintenance schedule to be based
on events
Schedule asset performance data
collection - maintain asset based on
performance parameters
Continuously monitor asset performance and perform maintenance
when there is an indicator of a problem
Highest level of reliability issues
Less expensive than other methodologies
High O&M costs
Low Implementation Costs
Maintenance can introduce failure risk (human error)
High O&M costs Maximum Reliability Grid Visibility across
aging assets Efficient O&M Just in time / risk
assessment included
Rationale/ Issues
Better Reliability More efficient O&M
Most Utilities Doble ARMS
Doble Engineering Overview 6
Substation Monitoring and Maintenance Value ChainSubstation Monitoring and Maintenance Value ChainSubstation Monitoring and Maintenance Value Chain
Value Added Services
Data Management and Communications
Monitoring Devices/ Instruments
Applications
Products and
Services
LimitingConstraints
Power system protection Circuit breaker diagnostics
Partial discharge detection
Protection diagnosis
Sweep frequency response analysis
Power system measurement Continuous online
diagnostics
Surge arresters monitoring
Transformer diagnosis Insulation analysis
Transformer diagnosis
Oil / materials analysis insulation analysis
Protocols Data collectionData storage, presentation and
access managementCommunications connectivity,
security and network management
Offline testing diagnosticsAsset management systems Condition based maintenance and
monitoringAdvanced approaches including risk
based maintenance analysis and just in time maintenance modeling
Product trainingMaterials lab testing servicesKnowledge management and
facilitation Engineering services
Design and configuration assessment
Testing services and diagnostics
Expert consultations and interpretation
Upfront implementation costs may make initial CAPEX for real-time CBM devices untenable for lower cost assets
Communications can not be assumed
Limited awareness of data valueIntegration difficulty
Limited understanding of how to solve integration requirements
Disparate stakeholders limit ability to focus on using data strategically
This space is very competitive as instrument-makers, consulting firms, and industry associations participate in the value chain
Trends
Monitoring and diagnostic devices are moving towards more automated analytics
Relay/IED devices are increasing level of analytics and breadth of communications capabilities
Smart grid trend and funding is facilitating automation and communications deployment
There is a concerted push to use analytics to prolong the life of assets and save on catastrophic asset failures
Also focused on reducing O&M costs
The aging workforce and internal knowledge loss is prompting utilities to outsource many of the maintenance and testing capabilities that were once done in-house
Doble Engineering Overview 7
What Are We Trying to AchieveWhat Are We Trying to Achieve
Doble Engineering Overview 8
ASSET MANAGEMENTASSET MANAGEMENT
•CBM offers a number of areas of benefit to utilities
Lost revenue associated with undelivered power caused by catastrophic failure of assets
The life of transformers can be extended improving utilities capital efficiency
Life Extension/ Cost of Capital
Repair Time Reduction
Overtime Savings
Description
Pre-emptive repairs with diagnostic information are less time intensive than ad-hoc repairs on failed transformers
Maintenance (Labor w/overtime) costs associated with repairing failing assets on an ad-hoc basis
Lost Revenue
Benefits
Doble Engineering Overview 9
Large IOU Failure History, 1988 – 2008 (96 failures)
What are the most common transformer failure modes?What are the most common transformer failure modes?
Doble Engineering Overview 10
Failure Modes… internalFailure Modes… internal
Doble Engineering Overview 11
Failure Modes… externalFailure Modes… external
20048.8 Strikes per square mile
Sub #15 : A squirrel contacted the bushing terminals on the 1 Transformer, destroying the bushing and operating A and B phase fuses.
Doble Engineering Overview 12
Motivations:-Real time information-Improve understanding of ‘true’ asset condition-Support asset related decisions – short and long term
Expected benefits-Reliability improvement
- can reduce the risk of an un-scheduled outage.-Failure avoidance costs:
- Equipment replacement costs- Safety & Environmental penalties and fines- O & M Costs
-Capital investment deferment-O&M cost reduction
Condition Monitoring: Motivations & BenefitsCondition Monitoring: Motivations & Benefits
Doble Engineering Overview 13
• Which failure modes can we detect?- Are there particular families or types to target?
• Are available monitoring technologies cost effective?- Do we have examples of ‘saves’?
• What are the true implementation and operational costs?- Consumables, connections etc
• Will monitoring technologies reduce the failure rate?
Business Case JustificationBusiness Case Justification
Doble Engineering Overview 14
Monitoring:
To Name But a Few Online Measurements…To Name But a Few Online Measurements…
Partial Discharge / RFI
Moisture
Geomagnetic Induced Currents
Oil Oil Analysis
Frequency Response Power Factor
Bushing Monitoring
Doble Engineering Overview 15
Complete Diagnostic SolutionsComplete Diagnostic Solutions
Doble Engineering Overview 16
Online Data is Only Part of the PictureOnline Data is Only Part of the Picture
Doble Engineering Overview 17
What do utilities need?What do utilities need?
The future is likely to lead us1. Consolidation of diagnostics- multiple vendor systems fed into a common integrator-
leading to only one data stream.2. Rationalization of communications- hard wired, wireless, fiber etc3. A need to be able to deal with many protocols- IEC61850, DNP3, Modbus etc4. The ability to interplay SCADA data in CIM with such diagnostic data
Plus1. Automated analyses to trigger alerts2. The ability to assess meaning of alerts through easy access databases3. Expertise to interpret diagnostics in terms of equipment engineering
dobleARMS™
Doble Engineering Overview 19
• Criticality– What happens if there is an unplanned failure?
• Health– What are the chances of failure?
• Risk = Criticality * health– Low risk - No unusual deterioration– Increased risk – possible early life failure– Assess risk - deterioration identified and progressing– Manage risk – identify intervention
• Maintenance is the management of deterioration
Asset Management ViewAsset Management View
Doble Engineering Overview 20
• Look at Assets as interrelated Systems• Create Failure Categories• Focus on “Failure Methods/Modes”• Apply Relevance Weighting at all levels• No data-Self Healing• Goal: Asset Health Risk and dSCORE
Relevance
Doble Engineering Overview 21
Reporting – Business IntelligenceReporting – Business Intelligence
Summary Reporting•Fleet•Region•Location•Risk•Rankings•Capital•Back Office – Testing•Statistics•Alerts - Notifications
Doble Comprehensive Analysis• Artificial Intelligence
• Power of the dobleDATABASE™
• Unique Failure Mode & Effect Analysis predictive system
• Fully configurable and customizable
Operational Awareness• SCADA
• DNP3
• IEC61850
Instant Risk Updates• Reliability
• Availability
• Customer Impact
• Environmental Impact
• Personnel Safety
• Financial
• Instant Revenue
Doble Engineering Overview 24
Assessment
application dAppsAssessment
application dApps
Assessment
FMEA ScoringAssessment
FMEA Scoring
&
©2013 Doble Engineering Company. All Rights Reserved
Asset Management presents challenges, but great value can be found: Online Monitoring
Offline Diagnostics
Actionable Intelligence
Monitoring may create vast amount of data for analysis
Need a coordinated analytics system At the asset, at the station, across families
Great opportunity to realize a truly intelligent grid
Conclusions – Why Bother?
Proprietary and Confidential ©2013 Doble Engineering Company. All Rights Reserved
Coming together is a beginning; Coming together is a beginning; keeping together is progress; working keeping together is progress; working
together is success. together is success.
Henry Ford
Proprietary and Confidential ©2013 Doble Engineering Company. All Rights Reserved
OBRIGADO
David Zabetakis, PresidentDoble Engineering
Rua Correia Dias, 113 – ParaisoSao Paulo – SP – Brasil
CEP. 04104-000