Potash ridge investor presentation february 13 2017
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Transcript of Potash ridge investor presentation february 13 2017
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InvestorPresentation
FEBRUARY 2017
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Certain statements in this presentation may constitute "forward-looking" statements which involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors which may cause the actual results, performance or achievements of Potash Ridge Corporation (the "Corporation"), or industry results, to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. When used in this presentation, such statements use such words as "may", "would", "could", "will", "intend", "expect", "believe", "plan", "anticipate", "estimate" and other similar terminology. These statements reflect the Corporation's current expectations regarding future events and operating performance and speak only as of the date of this presentation. Forward-looking statements involve significant risks and uncertainties, which include, but are not limited to the factors discussed under “A Cautionary Note Regarding Forward Looking Statements” and "Risk Factors" in the Corporation’s Annual Information Form dated March 28, 2016, and should not be read as guarantees of future performance or results, and will not necessarily be accurate indications of whether or not such results will be achieved. Although the forward-looking statements contained in this presentation are based upon what management of the Corporation believes are reasonable assumptions, the Corporation cannot assure investors that actual results will be consistent with these forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are made as of the date of this presentation and are expressly qualified in their entirety by this cautionary statement. Subject to applicable securities laws, the Corporation assumes no obligation to update or revise them to reflect new events or circumstances.
FORWARD LOOKING STATEMENTS
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ABOUT US
3TSX:PRK
Potash Ridge is a near term producer of potassium sulphate (SOP) fertilizer using two different processes; one in Utah and one in Quebec.
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OUR VISION IS TO BECOME THE SOP MARKET LEADER IN NORTH AMERICA
4
• Become lowest cost North American SOP producer
• Become first producer using Mannheim process in North America
• Acquired in 2015• 40,000 tpy of SOP • CDN$50 million capex• 30% after tax IRR• Proven process • Production targeted in H1
2018• Scalable• Potential for $14m in
average annual cash flows• NPV (after tax 10%) $82
million
• Original SOP project• 230,000 tpy of SOP• US $458 million capex• 20.1% after tax IRR• Lowest cost producer in
North America (US$ 172/ton)
• Major permits and water rights secured; infrastructure nearby
• Potential for US$100M in average annual cash flow
• NPV (after tax 10%) $482 million
Strategy Valleyfield(Quebec)
BlawnMountain
(Utah)
TSX:PRK
Potassium Sulphate (SOP)
• Low-chloride fertilizer required for fruits, vegetables, nuts
• Domestic selling price 3x potash (“MOP”)
• Global consumption ~7 million tonnes per year (“tpy”)
• Demand potential is 10 million tpy• 400k t current production in North
America versus projected demand of 1M t demand
• One other North American producer
• Qualifies as “organic”
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Potassium Sulphate (SOP)
Low chloride, high sulphur – providing benefits to crops not available with MOP
Global potential market demand of 10 million tpyCapacity growth limited in current North American
processUS$630/tonne in North America
Improves yield, taste, appearance and shelf life
Significant benefits for fruits, vegetables, nuts, tobacco
POTASSIUM SULPHATE: Two Macronutrients in One
ALUNITE
CRUSHING & GRINDING
CALCINATION
WATER LEACH
In fertilizers, there are 6 macro nutrients required for a plant’s life cycle. No substitutes
SO2 ACID PLANT SUPHURIC ACID
TSX:PRK
Nitrogen
Phosphate
Potassium Magnesium
Calcium
Sulphur
Potassium Sulphate
SOP
Potassium Chloride (MOP)
Contains chloride – detrimental to plants and soilGlobal market 55 million tpy
Market is in over supply, with idle capacity and multiple projects in pipeline
US$150/tonne in North America
Chloride can leach into groundwater or build-up in arid soil conditions, impacting yields and crop quality
Primarily for corn and grain crops that can withstand chloride 5
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POTASSIUM APPLICATION IMPROVES YIELD AND QUALITY – IMPACT ON TOMATOES
6University of Florida: Comparison of Potassium Sources and Rates For Tomato Production in Florida
100lb/acre 200lb/acre 300lb/acre
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POTASSIUM SULPHATE ELIMINATES CHLORIDE DAMAGE
7Clemson University, The Australian and New Zealand Field Guide to Diseases, Pests and Disorders of Grapes
Peach and grape leaves suffering salt (chloride) damage
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SOP: A top performing commodity in last 5 years
SOP: SUPERIOR PRODUCT WITH ATTRACTIVE MARKET DYNAMICS
1 Compass Minerals Q3 2016 Report, 2 Potash Corp Q3 2016 Report
SERVING AN UNDERSERVED MARKET
8
MOP2
SOP1 $US/ton
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 -
200.0
400.0
600.0
800.0
1,000.0
1,200.0
SOP price influenced by high-value crop economics not MOP price
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SOURCES OF POTASSIUM SULPHATE
SOPCHEMICAL REACTION: Mannheim Process50% of all SOP produced uses Mannheim ProcessUsed in Asia, Middle East and EuropeSoluble and granular form
SOPEVAPORATION: Salt LakeFinite resourceFound in USA, Chile, China, EuropeGranular form
9TSX:PRK
SOPMINERAL PROCESSING: AluniteProven processSoluble and granular form
POTASH RIDGE’S TWO SOP PROJECTS
BLAWN MOUNTAIN (Utah)
VALLEYFIELD FERTILIZER CORP. (Quebec)
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SOP CONSUMPTION MATCHES LOCAL AVAILABLE PRODUCTION
10Green Markets, Northern Shoreline, company reports
North A. South A. Europe Asia Middle East0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
4500
5000
North America is Underserved
Current Production Existing Consumption Estimated Demand
000’s tonnes
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TWO PROJECTS STRATEGICALLY LOCATED TO SERVE SOP-DEMANDING CROPS
Valleyfield
Blawn Mountain
AlmondsGrapesApplesLettuce
CitrusVegetablesPotatoesTobacco
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Valleyfield ProjectQuebec
TSX:PRK
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VALLEYFIELD PROJECT (QUEBEC)
13
Low capex with fixed price contract (CAD$50 million)
Short build time: 9-12 months
40,000 tpy of SOP (scalable)
Other locations in North America being for expansion opportunities
Utilities and logistics infrastructure well-established
Technology and commercial relationships create barrier to entry
Land use approved by local city council – enthusiastic government support
Long term offtake for hydrochloric acid by product secured
Long term supply of sulphuric acid secured
Phase 1 - Economic Summary (CDN$)
Initial capital cost $50.0 million
IRR (unlevered after tax) 30%
NPV (after tax at 10%) $82.0 million
SOP price/tonne $820
Opex/tonne 3701
Margin/tonne $450
TSX:PRK (1) Net of acid credit.
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Located in industrial area near Montreal, Quebec
Property secured in industrial zone
Strong local support
Rail access at site
Port within 2 km, allowing access into key U.S. markets
Within 5 km of sulphuric acid supplier
Located near hydrochloric acid customers
Quebec Government highly supportive of new investments that create employment (including providing financial support)
14
VALLEYFIELD: STRATEGICALLY LOCATED
TSX:PRK
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PROVEN MANNHEIM PROCESS
Converts MOP to SOP
Proven production process (150 year history), with numerous operating facilities in Europe and China
(50% of current SOP production is from Mannheim)
High quality, consistent production process
Scale allows for construction time of 12-months
Migao Corp. (long-term SOP producer) engaged to provide procurement and technical services
POTASSIUM CHLORIDE
SULPHURIC ACID
HEAT
MANNHEIM
FURNACE
POTASSIUM SULPHATE
(SOP)
HYDRO-CHLORIC ACID
(HCl)
TSX:PRK 15
Raw Material Finished Products2-Stage Process
550oC
.84t
.56t
1.0t
1.2t
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VALLEYFIELD MILESTONES
1
Engineering
Preliminary engineering
completed Q1 2017Phase I near completion
Partnered with Migao Corp. to
leverage 20-year Mannheim experience
Expected to proceed with execution in Q1,
2017
2
Permitting
Applications being submitted
Q1 2017 City has
passed resolution for use of land
3
CommercialArrangements
Negotiating long term supply of
MOP Long term
supply of sulphuric acid
secured Lock in natural
gas contract HCl offtake
with Jones Hamilton secured
4
SOP Offtake
Negotiating long term offtake agreements
Direct sales to local growers
5
Financing
Debt and Equity negotiations ongoing at
Valleyfield levelQuebec & Federal
government financial programs
available
6
ConstructionMilestones
Break ground Q2 2017
Complete construction Q1
2018Ramp up to full production H1
2018
16TSX:PRK
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Blawn Mountain ProjectUtah
TSX:PRK
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BLAWN MOUNTAIN PROJECT (UTAH)
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Will be lowest cost producer in north America
45+ years proven + probable reserves
Initial production rate of 255,000 tons per year
Can expand to 645,000 tons per year
All infrastructure within 30 miles
Processing technology optimized by Potash Ridge over last 3 years
Commercial arrangements well advanced
Permits and water rights secured
Offtake for sulphuric acid byproduct secured
Upside potential through monetization of tailings rich in alumina
PFS Economic Summary (US$)
Initial capital cost $458 million
IRR (unlevered after tax) 20.1%
NPV (after tax at 10%) $482 million
SOP price/ton $673
Opex/ton(1) $172
Margin/ton $501
(1) Net of acid credit and excluding royalties.
TSX:PRK
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BLAWN MOUNTAIN PROJECT (UTAH)
19
• Drilling work to date has established 45+ years of reserves
• Over 100 years of potential potash production
• Ranked #2 state for business and top 10 mining jurisdiction globally(1)
• 100% state-owned land• Strong state government and local
support• All necessary infrastructure nearby(1) Forbes Magazine, 2015 Ranking and Fraser Institute,
2015
12
3
54
1 Area 2 Mining Zone 2 Processing Plant Location 3 Access Road 4 Area 1 Mining Zone 5 Ore Test Pit
TSX:PRK
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PERMITTING ESSENTIALLY COMPLETED
The following table identifies the major permits and approvals that the Corporation has or still needs to obtain prior to construction:
20
PERMIT/APPROVAL ISSUING AGENCY COMPLETED
Exploration Permit Utah Division of Oil, Gas and Mining October, 2011
US Army Corps of Engineers Jurisdictional Waters Concurrence US Army Corps of Engineers March, 2014
Groundwater Permits Utah Division of Water Quality July, 2014
Large Mine Operation Approval Utah Division of Oil, Gas and Mining August, 2014
Air Quality Emission Standard Utah Division of Air Quality
Air Quality Emission Standard requires the engineering to be partially completed before the application is filed. It is technically not a permit, but more an agreed upon emission target that the Project must be designed to meet.
TSX:PRK
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INDUSTRY PROVEN FLOWSHEET
ALUNITE
CRUSHING & GRINDING
CALCINATION
WATER LEACH
ALUMINA RICH TAILINGS
SO2
SOP SOLUTION
ACID PLANT
CRYSTALLIZING DRYING,COMPACTING & SIZING
SUPHURIC ACID
SOP
21
• Existing plant in Azerbaijan currently mothballed (Ganja Refinery)
• Flowsheet similar to commercial-scale production processes historically used in US and Australia
• Extensive test work optimizes proven technology of SOP process
• Planned additional test work will include bulk samples at equipment vendor facilities – will result in vendors providing production guarantees
TSX:PRK
• PFS economics exclude revenue from alumina rich material
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BLAWN MOUNTAIN DEVELOPMENT TIMELINE
Late 1970’s$25 million
invested developing
Project
April 2012Initial
resource estimate
August 2014Large Mine Operating
Permit issued
December 2012IPO $80M market cap
March 2014US ACOE confirms
no US federal permits required; exploration lease converted to
mining lease
July 2014Groundwater
Discharge Permit issued
December 2013Prefeasibility
Study established 40 years of
reserves
November 2012Preliminary Economic
Assessment
2011Project Acquired
October 2014Entered into
offtake and marketing
arrangement for by-product
sulphuric acid
22TSX:PRK
January 2017Updated PFS
issued showing reduced capex
and maintaining strong
economics
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BLAWN MOUNTAIN MILESTONES
1
Maintain Value Created to Date While Raising
Pre-Construction Capital
Mining lease modified
in June 2015 to defer lease payments
Permits remain intact Commercial
arrangements already negotiated
for support infrastructure remain
in place
2
Evaluated Reduced Scale Alternative
Completed updated PFS in Q1 2017
Next step to obtain EPC quote
3
Offtake
MOU signed for sale of by-
product sulphuric acid
In discussions with potential offtake of SOP
partnersOngoing
discussions with potential partners
to assess the upside for the
alumina
4
Financing
Strong interest in construction financing
– continue dialogue with potential
financiers
23TSX:PRK
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GUY BENTINCKPresident & Chief Executive Officer• Chartered Professional Accountant• 20 years mining/resource experience• Sherritt CFO and SVP Capital Projects
EXPERIENCED AND PROVEN MANAGEMENT
ROSS PHILLIPSChief Operating Officer & Chief Financial Officer• MA (Econ)/MBA/CFA/CPA• 15 years experience in large resource and energy sector projects• Sherritt, Capital Power
JAY HUSSEYPresident, Valleyfield Fertilizer& VP Corporate Finance• 20 years capital markets consulting• 9 years SOP operational experience with Migao Corporation (TSX-listed, China-based, Mannheim SOP producer)
OVER 55YEARS
COMBINED EXPERIENCE
24TSX:PRK
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CAPITAL STRUCTURE
126.4MTotal Common Shares Outstanding
10.6MStock Options
25.2MWarrants
162.2MTotal Fully
Diluted Shares
25TSX:PRK
Date/Price Price Proceeds$mm
February 2011 $0.05 $1.1
August 2011 $0.25 5.4
November 2011 $0.25 1.5
December 2011 $0.25 0.5
December 2011 $0.75 10.5
December 2012 $1.00 20.0
November 2015 $0.03 0.6
April 2016 $0.15 1.75
May 2016 $0.25 $1.4
January 2017 Convertible Debenture $3.4
Total $46.15
CAPITAL RAISESAs of February 13, 2017
Shares outstanding 126 million
52 week range $0.50 - $0.05
February 13 , 2017share price $0.25
Market Cap $31 million
Management and Board 2.2 million shares
MARKET FIGURES
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10 King Street East, Suite 300
Toronto, Ontario416.362.8640
www.potashridge.com