Post Mortem Forecast Review

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Post Mortem Post Mortem Forecast Review Forecast Review Contest 3 Contest 3 Wednesday, November 30, Wednesday, November 30, 2011 2011 Kirkwall, United Kingdom Kirkwall, United Kingdom

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Post Mortem Forecast Review. Contest 3 Wednesday, November 30, 2011 Kirkwall, United Kingdom. Contest 3 – Kirkwall, UK. Contest 3 – Kirkwall, UK. Sunrise: 8:39 AM Sunset: 3:20 PM. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Transcript of Post Mortem Forecast Review

Page 1: Post Mortem Forecast Review

Post Mortem Forecast Post Mortem Forecast ReviewReview

Contest 3Contest 3

Wednesday, November 30, 2011Wednesday, November 30, 2011

Kirkwall, United KingdomKirkwall, United Kingdom

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Contest 3 – Kirkwall, UKContest 3 – Kirkwall, UK

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Contest 3 – Kirkwall, UKContest 3 – Kirkwall, UK

Sunrise: 8:39 AM Sunset: 3:20 PM

Latitude: 58° 57' 13" N (deg min sec), 58.9536° (decimal), 5857.22N (LORAN)Longitude: 2° 54' 5" W (deg min sec), -2.9014° (decimal), 00254.08W (LORAN)Elevation: 26 metres (85 feet)

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Contest 3 – Kirkwall, UKContest 3 – Kirkwall, UK EGPA 010020Z AUTO 21023G37KT 9999 NCD 10/05 Q0981=EGPA 010020Z AUTO 21023G37KT 9999 NCD 10/05 Q0981= EGPA 010050Z AUTO 21021KT 8000 -DZ BKN030/// 09/06 Q0980=EGPA 010050Z AUTO 21021KT 8000 -DZ BKN030/// 09/06 Q0980= EGPA 010120Z AUTO 27018KT 9999 -DZ FEW016/// BKN027/// 07/04 Q0981=EGPA 010120Z AUTO 27018KT 9999 -DZ FEW016/// BKN027/// 07/04 Q0981= EGPA 010150Z AUTO 27019KT 9999 FEW018/// SCT022/// 07/04 Q0981=EGPA 010150Z AUTO 27019KT 9999 FEW018/// SCT022/// 07/04 Q0981= EGPA 010220Z AUTO 25016KT 9999 FEW033/// SCT040/// 07/04 Q0981=EGPA 010220Z AUTO 25016KT 9999 FEW033/// SCT040/// 07/04 Q0981= EGPA 010250Z AUTO 26015KT 9999 SCT021/// SCT026/// 07/04 Q0981=EGPA 010250Z AUTO 26015KT 9999 SCT021/// SCT026/// 07/04 Q0981= EGPA 010320Z AUTO 27018G28KT 9999 FEW015/// SCT040/// 07/04 Q0981=EGPA 010320Z AUTO 27018G28KT 9999 FEW015/// SCT040/// 07/04 Q0981= EGPA 010350Z AUTO 28018KT 9999 FEW033/// 07/03 Q0981=EGPA 010350Z AUTO 28018KT 9999 FEW033/// 07/03 Q0981= EGPA 010420Z AUTO 28021KT 9999 FEW036/// 07/03 Q0981=EGPA 010420Z AUTO 28021KT 9999 FEW036/// 07/03 Q0981= EGPA 010450Z AUTO 28022KT 9999 FEW045/// 06/01 Q0982=EGPA 010450Z AUTO 28022KT 9999 FEW045/// 06/01 Q0982= EGPA 010520Z AUTO 28026KT 9999 FEW044/// 07/01 Q0982=EGPA 010520Z AUTO 28026KT 9999 FEW044/// 07/01 Q0982= EGPA 010550Z AUTO 27024KT 9999 FEW041/// 07/02 Q0982=EGPA 010550Z AUTO 27024KT 9999 FEW041/// 07/02 Q0982= EGPA 010620Z 28029G39KT 9999 VCSH FEW012 SCT035 07/02 Q0983=EGPA 010620Z 28029G39KT 9999 VCSH FEW012 SCT035 07/02 Q0983= EGPA 010650Z 29031EGPA 010650Z 29031G45KTG45KT 9999 VCSH FEW012 SCT035 05/01 Q0984= 9999 VCSH FEW012 SCT035 05/01 Q0984= EGPA 010720Z 29030KT 9999 VCSH FEW012 SCT029 06/02 Q0984=EGPA 010720Z 29030KT 9999 VCSH FEW012 SCT029 06/02 Q0984= EGPA 010750Z 30027KT EGPA 010750Z 30027KT 9999 VCSH FEW012CB 05/01 Q0986=9999 VCSH FEW012CB 05/01 Q0986= EGPA 010820Z 31022KT 9999 -SHRA FEW012CB SCT039 06/01 Q0987=EGPA 010820Z 31022KT 9999 -SHRA FEW012CB SCT039 06/01 Q0987= EGPA 010850Z 31020KT EGPA 010850Z 31020KT 9999 VCSH SCT012CB SCT038 06/01 Q0988=9999 VCSH SCT012CB SCT038 06/01 Q0988= EGPA 010920Z 30016KT 9999 VCSH FEW012CB SCT036 05/02 Q0989 RESHRA RESHGS=EGPA 010920Z 30016KT 9999 VCSH FEW012CB SCT036 05/02 Q0989 RESHRA RESHGS= EGPA 010950Z 31020KT EGPA 010950Z 31020KT 9999 VCSH FEW012CB 05/01 Q0990=9999 VCSH FEW012CB 05/01 Q0990=

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Contest 3 – Kirkwall, UKContest 3 – Kirkwall, UK SYNOPT> 03017 0zSYNOPT> 03017 0z ( ) 03017 15883 /2027 ( ) 03017 15883 /2027 1009410094 20051 39784 49815 56053 60001 92350 20051 39784 49815 56053 60001 92350 333 55/// 20090 87/57 90710 91142 91038=333 55/// 20090 87/57 90710 91142 91038=

SYNOPT> 03017 3z SYNOPT> 03017 3z ( ) 03017 47565 /2518 ( ) 03017 47565 /2518 1006010060 20045 39778 49810 56005 757// 90250 20045 39778 49810 56005 757// 90250 333 55300 20000 81/20 85/24 85/48 90710 91130=333 55300 20000 81/20 85/24 85/48 90710 91130=

SYNOPT> 03017 6zSYNOPT> 03017 6z ( ) 03017 15666 /2628 ( ) 03017 15666 /2628 10068 20008 10068 20008 39792 49823 53013 39792 49823 53013 6002260022 90550 90550 333 20057 3/004 4//// 55000 55300 20000 70024 84/41 90710 91142=333 20057 3/004 4//// 55000 55300 20000 70024 84/41 90710 91142=

SYNOPT> 03017 9zSYNOPT> 03017 9z ( ) 03017 47656 /( ) 03017 47656 /30183018 1005010050 20017 39852 49883 53059 723// 90850 20017 39852 49883 53059 723// 90850 333 55300 20000 81/37 86/50 90710 91133 91033=333 55300 20000 81/37 86/50 90710 91133 91033=

SYNOPT> 03017 12zSYNOPT> 03017 12z ( ) 03017 15665 /3018 10054 21011 39903 49935 51051 ( ) 03017 15665 /3018 10054 21011 39903 49935 51051 6994169941 91150 91150 333 55300 20205 87/48 90710 91128=333 55300 20205 87/48 90710 91128=

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Contest 3 – Kirkwall, UKContest 3 – Kirkwall, UK

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Contest 3 – Kirkwall, UKContest 3 – Kirkwall, UK

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Contest 3 – Kirkwall, UKContest 3 – Kirkwall, UK

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Contest 3 – Kirkwall, UKContest 3 – Kirkwall, UK

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Contest 3 – Kirkwall, UKContest 3 – Kirkwall, UK

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Kirkwall, UK StandingsKirkwall, UK Standings

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Kirkwall, UK StandingsKirkwall, UK Standings

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Up Close and PersonalUp Close and Personal

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Lessons Learned in the UKLessons Learned in the UK

Carry a sturdy mackintoshCarry a sturdy mackintosh Rapidly deepening lows within a large cyclonic Rapidly deepening lows within a large cyclonic

circulation can cause ‘relatively’ large circulation can cause ‘relatively’ large fluctuations in air temperaturefluctuations in air temperature

Wind direction does not change much in these Wind direction does not change much in these large stormslarge storms

Remember warm advection (usually over a Remember warm advection (usually over a dome of high pressure) can cause higher dome of high pressure) can cause higher precipitation amounts than CAD.precipitation amounts than CAD.