PORTUGAL ECONOMY OVERVIEW ECONOMY OVERVIEW Business Meeting PORTUGAL - SERBIA 2 July 2009.
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Transcript of PORTUGAL ECONOMY OVERVIEW ECONOMY OVERVIEW Business Meeting PORTUGAL - SERBIA 2 July 2009.
A SSO C I A Ç Ã O I N D U ST R I A L P O R T U G U E SAC O N F E D E R A Ç Ã O E M P R E SA R I A L
PORTUGALPORTUGAL
ECONOMY OVERVIEWECONOMY OVERVIEW
Business MeetingBusiness Meeting
PORTUGAL - SERBIA PORTUGAL - SERBIA
2 July 20092 July 2009
A SSO C I A Ç Ã O I N D U ST R I A L P O R T U G U E SAC O N F E D E R A Ç Ã O E M P R E SA R I A L
A SSO C I A Ç Ã O I N D U ST R I A L P O R T U G U E SAC O N F E D E R A Ç Ã O E M P R E SA R I A L
European Union 27European Union 27
PORTUGALPORTUGAL
Inflation rateInflation rate 2.6%
excl. energy 2.2%
UnemploymentUnemployment 7.6%
Public DeficitPublic Deficit 2.6%
Tax revenue Tax revenue 34.8% (%GDP, 2007)(%GDP, 2007)
(% GDP)(% GDP)
ExportsExports 33%
ImportsImports 42%
Foreign InvestmentForeign Investment
StockStock (2007)(2007)
Inward 51%
Outward 31%
Main features - 2008Main features - 2008 A SSO C I A Ç Ã O I N D U ST R I A L P O R T U G U E SAC O N F E D E R A Ç Ã O E M P R E SA R I A L
GDP M€ 166 128
GDP p/cap € 15 640
Population 10.6 mio
Employment
Rate 68.2%
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCTGROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCTReal growth rateReal growth rate
Source: INE , Eurostat
A SSO C I A Ç Ã O I N D U ST R I A L P O R T U G U E SAC O N F E D E R A Ç Ã O E M P R E SA R I A L
-2,0
0,0
2,0
4,020
03
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
Portugal
EA 16
ECONOMY OVERVIEWECONOMY OVERVIEW
... through external trade ... through external trade
A SSO C I A Ç Ã O I N D U ST R I A L P O R T U G U E SAC O N F E D E R A Ç Ã O E M P R E SA R I A L
EXPORTS STRUCTURE EVOLUTIONEXPORTS STRUCTURE EVOLUTIONMain Sectors - 1985-2007Main Sectors - 1985-2007
Source: INE
A SSO C I A Ç Ã O I N D U ST R I A L P O R T U G U E SAC O N F E D E R A Ç Ã O E M P R E SA R I A L
(% total)
3,8
5,2
11,7
11,8
12,4
13,3
17,7
12,8
3,5
4,5
19,8
8,5
8,8
6,9
0 5 10 15 20 25
Transport Equipment
Footwear
Textiles
Machinery and appareils
Agric. and Food Prods
Wood, Cork and Paper
Clothing
1985 2007
Source: INE
A SSO C I A Ç Ã O I N D U ST R I A L P O R T U G U E SAC O N F E D E R A Ç Ã O E M P R E SA R I A LMain Sectors in Trade - 2008 Main Sectors in Trade - 2008
(% total)
0% 5% 10% 15% 20%
Footwear
Wood and Cork
Textiles
Paper
Chemical products
Food industries
Mineral fuels
Plastic and Rubber
Clothing
Base metals
Transport Equipment
Machinery
Exports
Imports
Automotive
Biotechnology
Forestry
Moulds
Technicalfabrics
... world performing clusters... world performing clusters
3,8 %
10,8 %
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
1996 2008
Source: Balance of Payments, Banco de Portugal
A SSO C I A Ç Ã O I N D U ST R I A L P O R T U G U E SAC O N F E D E R A Ç Ã O E M P R E SA R I A LSIGNIFICANT GROWTH OF SERVICES EXPORTS SIGNIFICANT GROWTH OF SERVICES EXPORTS
(% GDP)
... leading niche provider... leading niche provider
Construction Services
Technical Assistance
Services
ICT ServicesTourism
DIVERSIFYING EXPORT DESTINATIONSDIVERSIFYING EXPORT DESTINATIONS
… … growing in growing in Portuguese speaking Portuguese speaking
countriescountries
Extra EU Exports
26
20
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
2005 2008
Portuguese Speaking countries Exports(in % of EU-extra)
20
30
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
2005 2008
A SSO C I A Ç Ã O I N D U ST R I A L P O R T U G U E SAC O N F E D E R A Ç Ã O E M P R E SA R I A L
PORTUGALPORTUGAL
MAIN STRENGHTSMAIN STRENGHTS
A SSO C I A Ç Ã O I N D U ST R I A L P O R T U G U E SAC O N F E D E R A Ç Ã O E M P R E SA R I A L
Macau
Guinea-BissauSao Tome and Principe
Cape Verde
BrazilEast Timor
MozambiqueAngola
PortugalPortugal
A GEOSTRATEGIC LOCATIONA GEOSTRATEGIC LOCATION
• New stage on GlobalisationNew stage on Globalisation• Main investor in Brazil, Angola…Main investor in Brazil, Angola…
A SSO C I A Ç Ã O I N D U ST R I A L P O R T U G U E SAC O N F E D E R A Ç Ã O E M P R E SA R I A L
Strong investment in all Portuguese speaking
countries
Access to 230 Millions Consumers
Most modern telecom networks
Logistic Platforms
Network and privileged access
BUILDING ON NEW CHALLENGES - BUILDING ON NEW CHALLENGES -
RENEWABLE ENERGYRENEWABLE ENERGY
A SSO C I A Ç Ã O I N D U ST R I A L P O R T U G U E SAC O N F E D E R A Ç Ã O E M P R E SA R I A L
Share of renewable energy ingross electric consumption - 2007
4th Portugal 30.1%
EU 27 15.6%
windwindhydrohydro
solarsolar
wavewave
biomassbiomass
4th world wind energy producer
THE CAPACITY OF CHANGINGTHE CAPACITY OF CHANGING
e-Government availability
e-Government Sophistication
Technological Plan fostering company innovation and broadband Investment
Administrative Simplification Company on time
Mobile Broadband - high penetration - 3 rd country of EU27
R&D Centers of multinational companies
Portugal Spain Ireland EU 27
70% 50%
90%
59%
Portugal Spain Ireland EU 27
82% 78%
90%
77%
A SSO C I A Ç Ã O I N D U ST R I A L P O R T U G U E SAC O N F E D E R A Ç Ã O E M P R E SA R I A L
A PEACEFUL COUNTRY TO INVESTA PEACEFUL COUNTRY TO INVEST
Source: Global Peace Index 2008 Economist Intelligence Unit Nations considered the most peaceful have lower index scores
• Portugal is the 7th most peacefulcountry in the World
Committed to the European Growth and Stability Pact
Quality of life
Diversity of qualified, multilingual workforce
Suppliers capacity for big corporations
CountryRank Score
Japan
Iceland
Denmark
Norway
New Zeland
Ireland
Portugal
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
1.176
1.333
1.343
1.350
1.358
1.410
1.412
A SSO C I A Ç Ã O I N D U ST R I A L P O R T U G U E SAC O N F E D E R A Ç Ã O E M P R E SA R I A L
ECONOMIC INFORMATIONECONOMIC INFORMATION
PORTUGALPORTUGAL
www.aip.ptwww.aip.pt
A SSO C I A Ç Ã O I N D U ST R I A L P O R T U G U E SAC O N F E D E R A Ç Ã O E M P R E SA R I A L
A SSO C I A Ç Ã O I N D U ST R I A L P O R T U G U E SAC O N F E D E R A Ç Ã O E M P R E SA R I A L
MAGNA CARTA FOR COMPETITIVENESSMAGNA CARTA FOR COMPETITIVENESS
ANNUAL REPORTS ON COMPETITIVENESSANNUAL REPORTS ON COMPETITIVENESS
BENCHMARKS AND RECOMMENDATIONSBENCHMARKS AND RECOMMENDATIONS
InformationInformation
• Economic Economic
A SSO C I A Ç Ã O I N D U ST R I A L P O R T U G U E SAC O N F E D E R A Ç Ã O E M P R E SA R I A L
Key short-term Key short-term indicatorsindicators
ForecastsForecastsStructural Structural indicatorsindicators
A SSO C I A Ç Ã O I N D U ST R I A L P O R T U G U E SAC O N F E D E R A Ç Ã O E M P R E SA R I A L