Porter Analysis on the High-End Airline Industry

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    Porter Flies First Class

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    Air transportation is directly correlated to economic growth. According to Boeing 0

    to 80% of air travel demand is driven by the stability of economy. After the 2009 recession,

    the passenger air traffic industry suffered a 2% decline. However commercial aviation has

    successfully bounced back in the past and this time there is not exception. For the first half

    of 2010 the industry saw an increase of 8% growth that is forecasted remain throughout

    2014 (The Boeing Company, 2011).

    From massages, en-suite showers, Bvlgari toiletry bags and Dom Prignon over a

    seven-course meal the range of services for luxury airlines competes in a recovering

    industry still suffering the effects of the 2009 economic crisis.

    Demand in air transport would only need to build an additional 1.4 percent to "return to

    pre-crisis levels," reported the International AirTransport Association.

    Following the crisis the demand for luxury travel has regained growth as well.

    There are roughly 35 airlines that offer first class service including flat beds and

    outstanding customer service with a one-to-three crewmember per passenger. In business

    class the ratio is about 10 to 1. However, first class profits dont represent the biggest

    revenue for the high-end service carriers as the concept has become more of a marketing

    tool than it is a money-maker (Vora, World's Best First Class, 2007). On the other hand,

    "Business class is one of the biggest sources of profit for airlines," explains Aram Gesar,

    editor of the New York-basedAirGuide magazine and AirGuideonline.com

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    Forbes magazine divides the worlds best airlines in two categories, first (Table 1) and

    business class (Table 2). However most US carriers have consolidated the two in one class

    altogether. Curiously enough, there arent any North American carriers in either one of

    these lists.

    This paper will examine the full service airlines that offer luxury accommodations in

    each of Porters five competitive forces that shape strategy.

    Contending forces

    I. Threat of entryThere are seven major sources of barriers to entry:

    1. Supply-side economies of scaleWhen firms produce at large scales they are able to enjoy lower costs per unit as the cost

    will be shared by a larger output.

    The most significant example is the creation of airlines alliances. The alliances concept can

    be defined as lumping, where the firms integrate together their common activities to

    achieve economies of scale.

    British Airways is the leading airline in the UK and has two major hubs at Heathrow and

    Gatwick airports that allow a greater capacity and better benefits for passengers. Similarly

    as part of one of the three major worldwide alliances, oneteam, they are able to capitalize

    in the resources of the other members as well. Out of the three alliances, oneteam is

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    leading in utilizing their networks and Internet resources and offers their customers a

    streamlined process for scheduling and collecting points for each of their loyalty programs.

    The other two large airlines alliances, SkyTeam and Star Alliance also provide a

    continuous collaboration between each other. This way, they are able to utilize their

    resources and provide a higher value service to their passengers.

    Through alliances, airlines are able to achieve a higher level of economies of scale. Most of

    the carriers that provide an exceptional value to customers belong to one of the three

    major leading airline alliances in the world (Table 1 and Table 2). Star Alliance, SkyTeam

    and oneworld account for 60% of the worlds air transportation (Euromonitor

    International, 2010).

    2. Demand-side economies of scaleThe benefits for this side, arise when a buyers willingness to pay for a service or product

    increase with the number of buyers who also patronize the firm. In the case of luxury air

    travel, there are a considerable number of buyers that patronize air travel. Despite the

    2009 crisis, International premium traffic volume increased 9% in 2010 (Euromonitor

    International, 2011). Although it is a positive outcome the numbers cantbe compared to

    pre-recession levels in 2008. However the increase of demand for high-end air

    transportation does bring a higher number of customers demanding the service (Table 3).

    3. Consumer switching costs

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    In the air traffic industry, customers face switching costs when they give up the benefits

    associated with the multiple loyalty programs that airlines offer.

    4. Capital requirementsThis high end product is very expensive and as mentioned previously for first class

    services, these premium seats do not drive profits but they are a great marketing tool for

    branding and the added value aspect much needed in this category. On the other hand, the

    sales from business class seats do bring the most profit for the airlines.

    5. Incumbency advantages independent of sizeThe current players on the high-end passenger transportation hold a significant power that

    does not take into consideration the size of their fleet. For example Qatar airlines parent

    company is the Government of Qatar which gives the company extra leverage over any

    possible competitors.

    6. Unequal access to distribution channelsAirlines alliances have lumped its members activities all together to utilize each others

    resources. The ability of an airline to join an alliance is closely analyzed in terms of law

    and regulations.

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    7. Restrictive government policyThe airlines are highly government-regulated industries. However some enjoy the benefits

    that bring when they are owned by it like the Qatar Airlines case.

    With the creation of the Open Skies Treaty in 1992 several territories have been able to

    benefit from less-regulated policies and enhance government relations as well.

    This force is very strong given the capital intensity needed to enter the market.

    Similarly, the three worldwide alliances make have brought make it very difficult to new

    players to enter and succeed in the market

    The concept started out as a simple marketing tactic and now has evolved into strategic

    agreements that allow a continuous collaboration in between its members.

    Airlines alliances have contributed to a large part of the biggest airlines development as the

    branding of such collaborations have a positive effect on the airline brand itself.

    Airlines see many benefits in alliances such as the ability to serve country-specific

    regulations in certain geographic areas without actually operating there and keeping their

    costs to a minimum. Further cost reductions are seen through the evolution of

    communication and integration of IT networks.

    Passengers also enjoy extra benefits at airports facilities and rewards in different loyalty

    programs.

    16 of the worlds 20 most profitable airlines belong to one of the three alliances

    (Euromonitor International, 2010).

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    II. The power of suppliersA supplier force is powerful based on a few different aspects:

    i.

    It is more concentrated than the industry it sells to When talking about the luxury

    airlines and the rest of the industry in general, including cargo, the aircraft

    production is concentrated in two dominant players Boeing and Airbus, therefore in

    this B2B relationship the suppliers are stronger in respect to the airline

    organizations it sells to.

    ii. The supplier group doesnt depend on the industry for its revenues All of thesuppliers heavily depend on the industry revenues, as they cannot serve another

    industry, especially aircraft manufacturers.

    iii. Industry participants face switching costs on changing suppliers Since most airlinesfleet has a combination of both Boeing and Airbus models, the cost of switching

    from one supplier to the other are not significant. Nevertheless, the fact that there

    are only two major manufacturers brings a higher leverage to the suppliers.

    iv. Suppliers offer products that are differentiatedThere is no doubt that if you were toflight with either one of the best business or best first-class airlines, you will be

    riding either an Airbus or a Boeing. Both companies hold the largest market share

    of aircrafts production worldwide.

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    Its really not a coincidence that the two most popular models for 2010 were the

    Boeings 737 and Airbus 320 models (Euromonitor International, 2011).

    With creation of planes like the Airbus 380, this supplier ensures that their product

    is highly differentiated among the rest. There is no aircraft today that can offer

    better fuel burn per seat and therefore eco-efficiency than the a380. This famous

    model offers numerous benefits to the airlines and ultimately the passengers that

    could even take a shower in the private en-suite first class cabins. The demand for

    the product is extremely high and even though the company had some delays in the

    product, firms are patiently waiting for the aircraft. As of September of 2011

    Airbus.com reported there are 236 orders placed for the $300 million aircrafts have

    been delivered.

    v. There are no substitutes for what the supplier group provides - In terms of aircraftsand labour there are no substitutes available to the aircraft industry. Especially in

    the luxurious first and business classes where the customer experienced is excelled

    to exceptional levels. To fulfill such expectations the industry is very labour

    intensive and similarly for the goods to provide such service there has to be an

    airplane. Given that flying cars have not been invented yet.

    vi. The supplier group can credibly threated to integrate forward into the industry Thiswould occur if the airlines profit margin is significantly larger to make the

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    manufacturers start up their own airline. This is very unlikely given that the

    aircraft manufacturers themselves have a significant profitability themselves.

    Given that there are only two dominant players in the aircraft manufacturing, this force

    is very relevant to the success of the industry. With more than a two year delay of the

    Airbus A380 model, some companies like Singapore Airlines, Emirates and Qantas have

    been highly affected as in some cases new business plans were developed around the two-

    decker 500-passenger capacity boost.

    III. The power of buyersA consumer group has negotiating leverage if:

    i. There are a few buyers or each of the volumes they purchase is very large incomparison to a single vendor Just like any category of air transportation, the

    economy plays a significant role. Upon the 2009 recession some airlines completely

    removed their first class session while others invested extra resources in serving

    the privileged market.

    Business traveling shows a steady growth for the next couple of years. However,

    domestic business trips will experience a fast growth thanks to emerging countries

    like China, Brazil and India whose booming economies are likely to lead the way

    (Table 4).

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    ii. The industry products are standardized or highly undifferentiated First class orbusiness passengers have a wide range of options when flying especially if

    commenting between the most popular hubs in the world.

    iii. Buyers face few switching costs if they switch vendors There are not significantlosses in switching airlines. However, there may be costs associated with the switch

    of airlines if a loyalty program is well establish and the switch represents the loss of

    miles that can eventually obtain the consumer an actual seat. Also if for

    organizations or individuals that have an agreement with an organization to provide

    special fares over the sale of numerous business class seats, they can loss the

    discounted price if they take their business elsewhere.

    iv. Buyers can credibly threated to integrate backward and product the industrysproduct themselves if vendors are too profitable This aspect ties back to the barriers

    to entry. Since the airline industry in general is extremely expensive to enter into

    there are very little chances that individuals can provide the service themselves.

    A buyer is price sensitive if:

    i. The product it purchases form the industry represents a significant fraction of its coststructure or procurement budget In terms of business travel, the portion of flight

    tickets costs may be a minimal fraction of the cost in terms of business transactions.

    If a senior executive is working on a business deal with an international corporation,

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    the cost of the ticket may be irrelevant to the return of investment in a large

    business negotiation.

    On a similar case, for first-class leisure travels the cost structure of their trip would

    be more valued at the experience level rather than the hefty price ticket.

    Since the average business class customer travels about six to 12 times each year

    (Vora, World's Best Business Class, 2007), the competition for their market share is

    very high. With continuous innovation and a combination of service and product

    that provide the customer with a superior experience they are able to do that.

    ii. The buyer group earns low profits and is under pressure to reduce its purchasing costs The great recession placed a decrease in airlines industry all together. However,

    the industry has optimistic forecast for the next 20 years. Airbus predicts there will

    be a 26% growth from emerging economies by 2030 (Table 5). Nations like China,

    Brazil and India are likely to lead the way in domestic business trips thanks to their

    growing economies (Euromonitor International, 2011).

    iii. The quality of buyers product or services is little affected by the industrys product Inthe case of luxury airlines accommodations. Passengers that value conform and

    believe that the fact that being rested and more relaxed after a flight will have a

    significant impact on their performance, they will pay little attention to the prices of

    business or first class seats.

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    iv. The industrys product has little effect on the buyers other costs In order for thisaspect to make the buyer group sensitive, firms would have to value the service

    enough to believe that a business class seat pays for itself in the event that a very

    important executive would be more likely to close a deal if he/she flew on business

    class.

    IV. The threat of substitutesThe threat of substitutes is high if:

    i. It offers and attractive price-performance trade-off to the industrys product Interms of price trade-off, consumers can highly benefit from flying with the low cost

    airlines or if they enjoy the experience with the full-service airlines, they can simply

    booking a seat in their economy class.

    Since most of the luxury airlines most frequent flights are between major

    international hubs, its not possible for consumers to use a different mean of

    transportation other than fly.

    ii. The buyers cost of switching to the substitute is low This can be also referred to thebenefits that loyalty programs bring to consumers. If the benefits are high, i.e. fast

    earning on miles to accumulate for a real ticket, consumers will bear the cost of the

    possible rewards by switching.

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    V. Rivalry among existing competitors

    The intensity of rivalry is greatest if:

    i. Competitors are numerous or are roughly equal in size and power There arenumerous air transport providers. For full-service luxury accommodations the

    players are as powerful as they are many. Alliances have also increased the power

    and their resources by the integration of activities.

    ii. Industry grow is slow which precipitates fights for the market share availableProjections show a growth in the airline industry of over 50% by the year 2030

    (Table 5).

    iii. Exit barriers are high In the airline industry, the investment to enter the market isvery capital intensive, therefore in order to exit the industry the firm must be

    willing to sustain significant loses and debt. When Mexicana ceased to fly in August

    of 2010, they had filed for bankruptcy protection with Mexico and the US with a

    debt over one billion dollars (Euromonitor International, 2011) .

    iv. Rivals are highly committed to the business and have aspirations for leadership,especially if they have goals that go beyond economic performance in the particular

    industry This aspect if probably the strongest in the luxury airlines. Emirates

    Airlines is one of the leading of its kind. Number ten in most profitable airlines

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    (Table 5). The company reportedly spent about $112,000,000 in cabin and

    entertainment upgrades in 2010 (The Emirates Group, 2011).

    v. Firms cannot read each others signals well This does not occur in the airlineindustry as some of the major players that provide the highest ranked business and

    first class seats have been in the market for a while and have a clear understanding

    of the market itself.

    Price competition is most likeable to occur if:

    i. Products or services of rivals are nearly identical and there are a few switching costsfor buyers For airlines that offer business class the differences on the service and

    amenities do not vary widely. The differentiations would be based mostly on

    company reputation and the benefits passengers seek in loyalty programs and

    alliances.

    ii. Fixed costs are high and marginal costs are low Given that the service is perishableand the competition is tight, with services like first class some airlines do not even

    expect to make a high profit but to utilize such offerings as a marketing tool to add

    value to their brand.

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    iii. The product is perishable Just like any other services, airline seats are perishable;they cannot be replaced or charged after a flight has departed.

    Politcs

    There isnt probably an event more significant to an industry as 9/11 and the impact it had

    in had in the airline industry. Similarly,

    Economics

    According to Boeing, 60-80% of air travel demand is driven by economic growth, which

    further affects the high-end service airlines.

    Social

    Flying first and business class is also socially seen and a high status and part of an elite-

    only member club that is true to the price level of each seat, ten times more than the

    economy class.

    Technological

    Mobility has started to become a major factor in the airline industry. Some airlines

    like British Airways in 2010 have developed mobile applications that not only allow

    passenger to check in but also purchase and manage bookings. The proper utilizations of

    resources can highly benefit a firm if used wisely, however, as previously mentioned can

    also bridge customers closer to competitors. Mobility commerce sales will nearly double

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    by 2015 especially in the Asia-Pacific regions where most of the business class seats are

    sold with (Table 4).

    Similarly, on the technological aspect, with more fuel-efficient planes, airlines will become

    more competitive and also benefit with marketing efforts aligned with their environment

    causes.

    PESTEL

    Environmental

    It is highly linked with technology and the advancements in the development of more

    environmentally friendly aircrafts. The Air Transport Association (IATA) has a goal of

    reducing utilization to 10% and employ alternative fuels by 2017 (Euromonitor

    International, 2011).

    Legal

    The Open Skies agreement has brought numerous benefits to the airlines in participant

    territories. For example, The UAE has one of the most open agreements in the world as

    they hope to make Dubai a global hub.

    Other nations need to keep their skies closed for some reasons. Due to the popularity

    that Brazil will have for the next FIFA world cup in 2014, the nation has been more reliscint

    towards the agreement only signing one with the US in 2010 (Euromonitor International,

    2011).

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    CONCLUSION

    The future is very optimistic. As historical data has demonstrated that after

    recessions and other environmental effects like SARS and 9/11 the industry has bounced

    back and is en route to grow and double traffic by 2030 (Table 5).

    North America still dominates world traffic today but by 2030 Asia-Pacific will take the

    lead (Airbus, 2011).

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    Works Cited

    Airbus. (2011). Global Market Forecast 2011 - 2030. Blagnac: Retrieved fromhttp://www.airbus.com/.

    Euromonitor International. (2011).Air Transportation: Clear Skies Ahead?Retrieved from

    http://www.euromonitor.com/.

    Euromonitor International. (2010). Global Airline Alliances Safety in Numbers. Retrievedfrom http://www.euromonitor.com/.

    Euromonitor International. (2011). Luxury TravelCapturing the New Luxury. Retrievedfrom http://www.euromonitor.com/.

    The Boeing Company. (2011). Current Market Outlook 2011 - 2030. Seattle: Retrieved fromhttp://www.boeing.com/cmo.

    The Emirates Group. (2011).Annual Report 2010-2011. Dubai: Retrieved fromwww.theemiratesgroup.com.

    Tinseth, R. (2011, August). Current Market Outlook 2011. Retrieved October 8, 2011, fromThe Boeing Company:www.boeing.com/commercial/cmo/pdf/2011_Paris_Presentation.pdf

    Vora, S. (2007, 08 09). World's Best Business Class. Retrieved 10 10, 2011, from Forbes.com:http://www.forbes.com/2007/08/09/travel-business-airlines-forbeslife-cx_sv_0809bizclass.html

    Vora, S. (2007, August 10). World's Best First Class. Retrieved October 10, 2011, fromForbes.com: http://www.forbes.com/2007/08/08/travel-airlines-firstclass-forbeslife-cx_sv_0809firstclass.html

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    APPENDIX

    World's Best First Class

    1 Qatar Airways Qatar

    2 Singapore Airlines Singapore Star Alliance

    3 Cathay Pacific Aiways Hong Kong oneworld4 Malaysia Airlines Malaysia

    5 Thai Aiways Thailand Star Alliance

    6 EmiratesUnited ArabEmirates

    7 Jet Airways India

    8 Lufthansa Germany Star Alliance

    9 Korean Air South Korea SkyTeam

    10 Qantas Airways Australia oneworld

    Table 1 -Source: Forbes.com

    World's Best Business Class

    1 Singapore Airines Singapore Star Alliance

    2 Virgin Atlantic Aiways United Kindom

    3 Cathay Pacific Airways Hong Kong oneworld

    4 Malaysia Airlines Malaysia

    5 Air New Zeland New Zeland Star Alliance

    6 British Airways United Kindom oneworld

    7 Jet Airways India

    8 Qatar Airways Qatar

    9 Qantas Airways Australia oneworld10 Etihad Airways UAE

    Table 2 -Source: Forbes.com

    Table 3 Source: IATA

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    Table4 -Source: Euromonitor International

    Top Airline Groups by Revenue

    GroupRevenue($B)

    Operatingresult ($B)

    Net result($B)

    1 Lufthansa Group 36.1 1.76 1.49

    2 United Continental Holdings 34 1.82 0.85

    3 Delta Air Lines 31.8 2.22 0.59

    4 Air France-KLM Group 31.3 0.16 0.81

    5 FedEx Express 24.6 1.23

    6 AMR Corporation 22.2 0.31 -0.41

    7 International Airlines Group(British Airways/Iberia)

    19.5 0.3 0.13

    8 Japan Airlines Corporation 16 2.22

    9 All Nippon Airways Group 16 0.8 0.27

    10 The Emirates Group 14.8 1.48 1.46

    Table 1 - Source: Airline Business August 2011,FlightglobalData Research

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Flightglobalhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Flightglobalhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Flightglobalhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Flightglobal
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    Table 2 -Source: Euromonitor International

    Table 3 - Source: Airbus