Popa Et All Final

2
Drought Effects on Forest Health and Growth in the Western Part of the Eurasian Steppe Region Ionel POPA, Ovidiu BADEA, Stefan NEAGU, Sefan LECA, Constantin NECHITA Forest Research and Management Institute-Romania (ICAS) Bd. Eroilor 128, 077190 Voluntari, jud. Ilfov, Romania, [email protected], www.icas.ro Introduction Material and Methods Results Conclusions Acknowledgments Regional warming and consequent higher water deficits along with air pollution are, most likely, the main driving forces behind forest health and growth dynamics. They are more important in the case of forest ecosystems existing under marginal or restricted ecological conditions such in south and south-eastern part of Romania (western part of Eurasian steppe). The objective is to investigate the climate influence on forest health and tree growth on south and south- eastern part of Romania. Data sets: defoliation data from the period 1992-2013 (share of damaged trees – defoliation classes 2-4) and climate data from E-OBS grid database. Tree ring chronologies for Quercus species analyzed by dendrochronological methods. Forest health dynamics 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015    %    o    f    d    a    m    a    g    e    t    r    e    e    s Year Allspecies  ECS C SM A 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015    %    o    f    d    a    m    a    g    e    t    r    e    e    s Year Broadleaves  ECS C SM A 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015    %    d    a    m    a    g    e    t    r    e    e    s Year Quercusspp.  ECS C SM A Biogeographic region of Romania (adapted from EEA) – ICP Level I network Dynamics of share of damaged trees by regions Species located in the southern and south-eastern Romania under extreme continental and steppe climate (e.g. oak species and black locust) are the most affected (22-43% share of damaged trees) comparing with beech (11%) and spruce (9%) situated on sub- mountain and alpine region. IUFRO, Salt Lake City, USA, 6-11 of October, 2014 The share of damaged trees reached the highest values in 1994, after a prolonged period of drought since 1981. After 1996 a slow increase of trees health is observed. This trend is more evident after 2001 due to a important increase of precipitation amount in the regions with hot and dry climate (ESC) and continental climate (C). Climate influence on forest health -0.15 -0.10 -0.05 0.00 0.05 pA_pA pS_pN pD_M A_A pS_A    C    o    r    r  .    K    e    n    d    a    l    l Season Nationallevel Allspec ies Broa dlea ves Coni fers Pice aa. Fagu ss. Quer cusspp. -0.2 -0.1 0.0 0.1 pA_pA pS_p N pD _ M A_A pS_A    C    o    r    r  .    K    e    n    d    a    l    l Season Allspecies ECS C SM A -0.3 -0.2 -0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 pA_pA pS_pN pD_ M A_A pS_A    C    o    r    r  .    K    e    n    d    a    l    l Season Broadleaves ECS C SM A -0.3 -0.2 -0.1 0.0 0.1 pA_p A pS_pN pD_ M A_A pS_A    C    o    r    r  .    K    e    n    d    a    l    l Season Quercusspp.  ECS C SM A Kendall’s tau correlation between the share of damaged trees and precipitation at national and regional level 0.00 0.05 0.10 0.15 0.20 0.25 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2003 2004 2005 2006 200 7 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013    P   a   r    t    i   a    l    R    2 Year  All species  p_A _A p_p D_M p_p S_p N p_p A_p A t_A _A t_p D_M t_p S_p N t_p A_p A 0.00 0.05 0.10 0.15 0.20 0.25 0.30 1992 1993 199 4 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2009 2010 2011 201 2 2013    P   a   r    t    i   a    l    R    2 Year  Broadleaves Multiple linear regression analysis between share of damaged trees and seasonal temperature and precipitation 0.00 0.10 0.20 0.30 0.40 0.50 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013    P    a    r    t    i    a     l    R    2  Year  Quercusspp.  Climate influence on share of damage trees is relatively low (r =0. 1-0. 2 at national level and r = 0.2 -0. 3 at r egio nal l evel  max max mainly of south and south-eastern Romania). Generally, precipitation is the main climatic driver on tree defoliation, a negative correlation has been observed for main species/group of species. High variability of the correlation among biogeographic regions was revealed. Variance of defoliation explained by climate decreased in the last years for all species and broadleaves. For oak species the variance explained by climate remain over 20% duri ng the analyzed period. Climate influence on tree growth -0.2 -0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 pS pO pN p D I F M A M I I A    C    o    r    r    e     l    a    t    i    o    n    c    o    e     f  . Month Quercusrobur  PLOA STFA -0.3 -0.2 -0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 pS pO p N pD I F M A M I I A    C    o    r    r    e     l    a    t    i    o    n    c    o    e     f  . Month Quercus cerris  GIRA VIDA VIDB The growth of oak species from south o f Romania is limited by the precipitation amount from current growing season. The intensity of monthly correlations varies between species. The analysis of the spatial correlation between tree ring index and seasonal precipitation allowed to establish the representativeness of each site. Drought represent the main driving factor for forest health and tree growth in the south and south-east of Romania (western part of Eurasian steppe). Significant improvement of forest health from the south and south-east of Romania was observed in the last years linked to a improvement of water balance. These forests are the only line of defense against the Eurasian steppe expansion. This research was supported by Romanian Authority for Research in Core Program for forestry – GEDEFOR - project PN09460110. 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50    Q    u    e    r    c    u    s     f    r    a    i    n    e    t    t    o    Q    u    e    r    c    u    s    p    u     b    e    s    c    e    n    s    R    o     b    i    n    i    a    p    s    e    u     d    o    a    c    a    c    i    a    Q    u    e    r    c    u    s    c    e    r    r    i    s    Q    u    e    r    c    u    s    r    o     b    u    r    Q    u    e    r    c    u    s    p    e    t    r    a    e    a    F    a    g    u    s    s    y     l    v    a    t    i    c    a    P    i    c    e    a    a     b    i    e    s    %    o     f     d    a    m    a    g    e     d    t    r    e    e    s Dynamics of share of damaged trees at national level (4x4 km) Correlation between tree ring index and precipitation from south Romania These forests are the only line of defense against the Eurasian steppe expansion These forests are the only line of defense against the Eurasian steppe expansion

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Drought Effects on Forest Health and Growth in the Western Partof the Eurasian Steppe Region

Ionel POPA, Ovidiu BADEA, Stefan NEAGU, Sefan LECA, Constantin NECHITAForest Research and Management Institute-Romania (ICAS)Bd. Eroilor 128, 077190 Voluntari, jud. Ilfov, Romania, [email protected], www.icas.ro

Introduction

Material and Methods

Results

Conclusions

Acknowledgments

Regional warming and consequent higher water deficits

along with air pollution are, most likely, the main drivingforces behind forest health and growth dynamics. They aremore important in the case of forest ecosystems existingunder marginal or restricted ecological conditions such insouth and south-eastern part of Romania (western part ofEurasian steppe).

The objective is to investigate the climate influence on

forest health and tree growth on south and south- easternpart of Romania.

Data sets: defoliation data from the period 1992-2013 (share

of damaged trees – defoliation classes 2-4) and climate datafrom E-OBS grid database. Tree ring chronologies forQuercus species analyzed by dendrochronological methods.

Forest health dynamics

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1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015

   %   o   f   d   a   m   a   g   e   t   r   e   e   s

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Allspecies   ECS C SM A

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   %   o   f   d   a   m   a   g   e   t   r   e   e

   s

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Broadleaves   ECS C SM A

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   %   d   a   m   a   g   e   t   r   e   e   s

Year

Quercusspp.   ECS C SM A

Biogeographic region of Romania (adapted from EEA) – ICP Level I network

Dynamics of share of damaged trees by regions

Species located in the southern and south-eastern Romania under

extreme continental and steppe climate (e.g. oak species and blacklocust) are the most affected (22-43% share of damaged trees)comparing with beech (11%) and spruce (9%) situated on sub-mountain and alpine region.

IUFRO, Salt Lake City, USA, 6-11 of October, 2014

The share of damaged trees reached the highest values in

1994, after a prolonged period of drought since 1981. After1996 a slow increase of trees health is observed. This trend ismore evident after 2001 due to a important increase of

precipitation amount in the regions with hot and dry climate(ESC) and continental climate (C).

Climate influence on forest health

-0.15

-0.10

-0.05

0.00

0.05

pA_pA pS_pN pD_M A_A pS_A

   C   o   r   r .   K   e   n   d   a   l   l

Season

Nationallevel

Allspecies Broadleaves Conifers Piceaa. Faguss. Quercusspp.

-0.2

-0.1

0.0

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pA_pA pS_ pN pD _M A_ A pS_A

   C   o   r   r .   K   e   n   d   a   l   l

Season

Allspecies ECS C SM A

-0.3

-0.2

-0.1

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pA_pA pS_pN pD _M A_ A pS_ A

   C   o   r   r .   K   e   n   d   a   l   l

Season

Broadleaves E CS C S M A

-0.3

-0.2

-0.1

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pA_ pA pS_pN pD _M A_A pS_A

   C   o   r   r .   K   e   n   d   a   l   l

Season

Quercusspp.   ECS C

SM A

Kendall’s tau correlation between the share of damaged trees andprecipitation at national and regional level

0.00

0.05

0.10

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0.25

1 99 2 1 99 3 1 99 4 1 9 95 1 99 6 1 99 7 1 99 8 1 99 9 2 00 0 2 00 1 2 00 3 2 00 4 2 00 5 2 00 6 2 0 07 2 00 9 2 01 0 2 01 1 2 01 2 2 01 3

   P  a  r   t   i  a   l   R   2

Year  

All species  p _A_A p _pD _M p _pS _pN p _pA_pA t _A_A t _pD _M t _pS _pN t _pA_pA

0.00

0.05

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0.15

0.20

0.25

0.30

1 99 2 1 99 3 1 9 94 1 99 5 1 99 6 1 99 7 1 99 8 1 99 9 2 00 0 2 00 1 2 00 3 2 00 4 2 00 5 2 00 6 2 00 7 2 00 9 2 01 0 2 01 1 2 0 12 2 01 3

   P  a  r   t   i  a   l   R   2

Year  

Broadleaves

Multiple linear regression analysis between share of damaged trees andseasonal temperature and precipitation

0.00

0.10

0.20

0.30

0.40

0.50

1 99 2 1 99 3 1 99 4 1 99 5 1 99 6 1 99 7 1 99 8 1 99 9 2 00 0 2 00 1 2 00 3 2 00 4 2 00 5 2 00 6 2 00 7 2 00 9 2 01 0 2 01 1 2 01 2 2 01 3

   P   a   r   t   i   a    l   R   2

 

Year

 

Quercus spp. 

Climate influence on share of damage trees is relatively low(r =0.1-0.2 at national level and r = 0.2-0.3 at regional level max max

mainly of south and south-eastern Romania). Generally,precipitation is the main climatic driver on tree defoliation, anegative correlation has been observed for mainspecies/group of species. High variability of the correlationamong biogeographic regions was revealed.

Variance of defoliation explained by climate decreased in the

last years for all species and broadleaves. For oak speciesthe variance explained by climate remain over 20% during theanalyzed period.

Climate influence on tree growth

-0.2

-0.1

0.0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

pS pO pN pD I F M A M I I A

   C   o   r   r   e    l   a   t   i   o   n   c   o   e    f .

Month

Quercusrobur   P LO A S TF A

-0.3

-0.2

-0.1

0.0

0.1

0.2

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0.4

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pS pO pN pD I F M A M I I A

   C   o   r   r   e    l   a   t   i   o   n   c   o   e    f .

Month

Quercus cerris  G I RA V I DA V I DB

The growth of oak species from south of Romania is limited

by the precipitation amount from current growing season.The intensity of monthly correlations varies betweenspecies. The analysis of the spatial correlation between treering index and seasonal precipitation allowed to establish

the representativeness of each site.

Drought represent the main driving factor for forest health

and tree growth in the south and south-east of Romania(western part of Eurasian steppe).

Significant improvement of forest health from the south and

south-east of Romania was observed in the last years linkedto a improvement of water balance.

These forests are the only line of defense against the

Eurasian steppe expansion.

This research was supported by Romanian Authority forResearch in Core Program for forestry – GEDEFOR - projectPN09460110.

0

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   Q   u   e   r   c   u   s    f   r   a   i   n   e   t   t   o

   Q   u   e   r   c   u   s   p   u    b   e   s   c   e   n   s

   R   o    b   i   n   i   a

   p   s   e   u    d   o   a   c   a   c   i   a

   Q   u   e   r   c   u   s   c   e   r   r   i   s

   Q   u   e   r   c   u   s   r   o    b   u   r

   Q   u

   e   r   c   u   s   p   e   t   r   a   e   a

   F   a   g   u   s   s   y    l   v   a   t   i   c   a

   P   i   c   e   a   a    b   i   e   s

   %   o    f    d   a   m   a   g   e    d   t   r   e   e   s

Dynamics of share of damaged trees at national level (4x4 km)

Correlation between tree ring index and precipitation from south Romania

These forests are the only line of defense against the Eurasian steppe expansionThese forests are the only line of defense against the Eurasian steppe expansion