PooledICMCampPolls2015
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Vote In 2010 Region General Election Voting Intention Social Class Age Gender NET: Eng- NET: land & Eng- Mid- Scot- Lib Lib Fe- Wales land South lands North Wales land Dem Lab Con Other UKIP Dem Lab Con DE C2 C1 AB 65+ 35-64 25-34 18-24 male Male Total 1687 1588 672 428 488 99 182 313 518 661 225 188 147 599 710 414 212 388 856 463 1032 238 137 918 952 1870 Unweighted base 1517 1418 597 398 423 98 154 285 433 532 209 186 120 544 612 360 304 495 511 360 919 244 148 783 888 1670 Weighted base 580 561 258 153 150 19 32 61 19 448 - - - - 612 103 116 195 197 178 339 68 27 273 339 612 Conservative 38% 40% 43% 39% 35% 19% 21% 21% 4% 84% - - - - 100% 29% 38% 39% 39% 50% 37% 28% 18% 35% 38% 37% 518 482 188 130 164 36 26 64 341 24 - - - 544 - 151 80 150 162 101 286 82 75 285 259 544 Labour 34% 34% 32% 33% 39% 36% 17% 22% 79% 5% - - - 100% - 42% 26% 30% 32% 28% 31% 34% 51% 36% 29% 33% 113 111 55 28 28 2 7 93 3 5 - - 120 - - 23 18 36 43 21 70 23 6 61 59 120 Liberal Democrat/ 7% 8% 9% 7% 7% 3% 5% 32% 1% 1% - - 100% - - 7% 6% 7% 8% 6% 8% 9% 4% 8% 7% 7% Liberal - - - - - - 80 7 19 2 80 - - - - 17 16 17 29 9 46 14 11 37 42 80 Scottish National - - - - - - 52% 2% 4% * 38% - - - - 5% 5% 3% 6% 2% 5% 6% 8% 5% 5% 5% Party/SNP 17 - - - - 17 - 5 2 * 17 - - - - 3 1 6 7 1 15 * 1 5 11 17 Plaid Cymru 1% - - - - 17% - 2% * * 8% - - - - 1% * 1% 1% * 2% * * 1% 1% 1% 98 90 36 28 26 8 3 32 20 4 101 - - - - 10 14 43 33 12 44 30 14 59 42 101 Green Party 6% 6% 6% 7% 6% 8% 2% 11% 5% 1% 48% - - - - 3% 5% 9% 7% 3% 5% 12% 10% 7% 5% 6% 181 165 59 56 50 15 5 24 27 49 - 186 - - - 49 55 46 36 37 112 25 12 59 127 186 UK Independence Party 12% 12% 10% 14% 12% 16% 3% 8% 6% 9% - 100% - - - 14% 18% 9% 7% 10% 12% 10% 8% 8% 14% 11% (UKIP) * * - * - - - - - - * - - - - - * - - - * - - - * * British National Party * * - * - - - - - - * - - - - - * - - - * - - - * * (BNP) 10 9 1 3 5 1 1 - 2 - 11 - - - - 5 2 1 4 * 8 2 1 4 7 11 Other 1% 1% * 1% 1% 1% 1% - * - 5% - - - - 1% 1% * 1% * 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% Page 1 Opinion Poll CATI Fieldwork : 10th-26th April 2015 Absolutes/col percents Table 1 Data derived from:- Q.A Some people have said they would not vote in a new General Election, while others have said they would vote. I would like to know how certain it is that you would actually vote in a general election? Q.B The Conservatives, Labour, the Liberal Democrats and other parties would fight a new election in your area. If there were a general election tomorrow which party do you think you would vote for? Data excludes those who definitely will not vote (6%), don't know who they would vote for (20%) or refuse to answer (8%) THIS TABLE DOES NOT INCLUDE ADJUSTMENT FOR DON'T KNOW/REFUSERS Prepared on behalf of The Guardian by ICMUnlimited - Confidential
description
Pooled results from ICM's three April 2015 election campaign telephone polls. Includes breakdown in which respondents are grouped into seats of different sorts.
Transcript of PooledICMCampPolls2015
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Vote In 2010RegionGeneral ElectionVoting IntentionSocial ClassAgeGender
NET:Eng-NET:
land &Eng-Mid-Scot-LibLibFe-WaleslandSouthlandsNorthWaleslandDemLabConOtherUKIPDemLabConDEC2C1AB65+35-6425-3418-24maleMaleTotal
168715886724284889918231351866122518814759971041421238885646310322381379189521870Unweighted base
15171418597398423981542854335322091861205446123603044955113609192441487838881670Weighted base
58056125815315019326119448----6121031161951971783396827273339612Conservative38%40%43%39%35%19%21%21%4%84%----100%29%38%39%39%50%37%28%18%35%38%37%
51848218813016436266434124---544-151801501621012868275285259544Labour34%34%32%33%39%36%17%22%79%5%---100%-42%26%30%32%28%31%34%51%36%29%33%
113111552828279335--120--2318364321702366159120Liberal Democrat/7%8%9%7%7%3%5%32%1%1%--100%--7%6%7%8%6%8%9%4%8%7%7%Liberal
------80719280----171617299461411374280Scottish National------52%2%4%*38%----5%5%3%6%2%5%6%8%5%5%5%Party/SNP
17----17-52*17----3167115*151117Plaid Cymru1%----17%-2%**8%----1%*1%1%*2%**1%1%1%
98903628268332204101----10144333124430145942101Green Party6%6%6%7%6%8%2%11%5%1%48%----3%5%9%7%3%5%12%10%7%5%6%
181165595650155242749-186---4955463637112251259127186UK Independence Party12%12%10%14%12%16%3%8%6%9%-100%---14%18%9%7%10%12%10%8%8%14%11%(UKIP)**-*------*-----*---*---**British National Party**-*------*-----*---*---**(BNP)
10913511-2-11----5214*8214711Other1%1%*1%1%1%1%-*-5%----1%1%*1%*1%1%1%1%1%1%
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Opinion PollCATI Fieldwork : 10th-26th April 2015
Absolutes/col percentsTable 1Data derived from:-Q.A Some people have said they would not vote in a new General Election, while others have said they would vote. I would like toknow how certain it is that you would actually vote in a general election?Q.B The Conservatives, Labour, the Liberal Democrats and other parties would fight a new election in your area. If there were ageneral election tomorrow which party do you think you would vote for?Data excludes those who definitely will not vote (6%), don't know who they would vote for (20%) or refuse to answer (8%)THIS TABLE DOES NOT INCLUDE ADJUSTMENT FOR DON'T KNOW/REFUSERS
Prepared on behalf of The Guardian by ICMUnlimited - Confidential
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Opinion PollCATI Fieldwork : 10th-26th April 2015
Absolutes/col percentsTable 1Data derived from:-Q.A Some people have said they would not vote in a new General Election, while others have said they would vote. I would like toknow how certain it is that you would actually vote in a general election?Q.B The Conservatives, Labour, the Liberal Democrats and other parties would fight a new election in your area. If there were ageneral election tomorrow which party do you think you would vote for?Data excludes those who definitely will not vote (6%), don't know who they would vote for (20%) or refuse to answer (8%)THIS TABLE DOES NOT INCLUDE ADJUSTMENT FOR DON'T KNOW/REFUSERS
Prepared on behalf of The Guardian by ICMUnlimited - Confidential
Constituency categorySafe
SafeLabourConser(i.e.
AllvativeLabLab-(i.e.heldConLabConConANDheldheld
marginheld>1Lab>10LD-ANDANDals5.1%,.1%,heldCON
