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Polish Academy of SciencesInstitute of Hydro-Engineering (IBW PAN), Gdansk

Participating in FLOODSite Integrated Project

2004 - 2009

GOCE-CT-2004-50542023.01.2007

Danuta Leśniewska

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Floods

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Integrated Flood Risk Analysisand Management Methodologies An integrated, European, methodology for flood risk analysis

and management

Consistency of approach to the causes, impacts and control of flooding from rivers, estuaries and the sea

Techniques and knowledge to support integrated flood risk management in practice

Dissemination of this knowledge

Networking and integration with other EC national and international research

FLOODsite will deliver

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Why have the FLOODsite IP? - Great natural disasters 1950-2002

Floods appear to be happening more often

Better publicity or climate change?

Flood damages are increasing

Insurance data

Flood risk arises from human activity

after Frans Klijn, 2006

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Why have the FLOODsite IP? - River floods 1998-2002

after: Frans Klijn, 2006, Paul Samuels, 2006

Source: European Environment Agency

Floods do not respect administrative or national borders

Public intolerance to flooding from whatever source

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FLOODsite overview

after Frans Klijn, 2006, Paul Samuels 2006

Real CasesCountries

Involved

EC grant to budget of €9.68 Million (IBW EC budget ~ €130 000)

Complemented by other funds (IBW ~ €80 000)

Start March 2004

Duration 5 years

36 Research partners http://www.floodsite.net/html/project_team

Over 150 research team members (IBW – 5 registered team members, 13 persons partly involved)

13 Countries (BE, CZ, DE, ES, FR, GR, HU, IT, NL, PL, PT, SE, UK)

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Building a project

after Paul Samuels, 2006

Starts months before the call (EoI 2002)

Get to know the Commission officers and policies

EC RTD project experience within the team

Partners should offer something unique

Achieve a spread geographically and by organisation type

Inner management team (about 6 to 8) on large projects

Connect to “end-users”

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Research set-up: Theme Structure

after Frans Klijn, 2006

Theme 3 – Integration(Rivers, Estuaries & Coasts)

Theme 1 – Advancing Scientific Knowledge &

Understanding

Th

em

e 6

- P

roje

ct N

etw

ork

ing &

Harm

onis

ati

on

Th

em

e 7

- Pro

ject M

anagem

ent

Theme 5 – Training ActivitiesKnowledge Transfer, Training and Uptake, Guidance & Tools

Theme 4 – Pilot Application SitesEstuaries

Riv

ers

& e

stu

arie

sC

oasts

& e

stu

ari

es

Ris

k A

naly

sis

1.1 – Hazard (Sources)

1.2 – Hazard (Pathways)

1.3 – Vulnerability: receptor exposure & consequences

Theme 2 – Innovative Mitigation & Sustainable Management

Ris

k M

an

ag

em

en

t2.1 – Pre-Flood Measures

2.2 – Flood Event Management

2.3 – Post-Event Activities

- subthemes contibuted by IBW

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Objectives and methodology of Theme 1

Improve understanding of the primary drivers of flood risk (waves, surges, river flow, rainfall, etc.), incl. uncertainty

Improve understanding, models and techniques for the analysis of the performance of the whole flood defence system and its diverse components

Understand the vulnerability of the receptors of risk and to improve the methods to evaluate societal consequences

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Sub-Theme 1.1

Department of Coastal Engineering and Dynamics IBW PAN – participates in Task 2, Activity 2, Action 2 (IBW): Canonical correlation analysis (CCA) - to study whether and how much variations in sea level are coupled with variations of water table in a large river in the conditions of high seasonality and diverse climate patterns.

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Task 2, Activity 2, Action 2: Canonical correlation analysis (CCA)

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Sub-Theme 1.1

Department of Wave Mechanics and Structural Dynamics IBW PAN – participates in Task 2, Action 10 (IBW): Neural NetworkAnalysis of floods in the area connected to the South Baltic as well as archives of multi-decadal atmospheric, wave and sea level data.

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Neural Network calibrated model

OUPUT: 4-hour forecast Significant Wave HeightIncrease of Sea Level

INPUT History of wind and

sea level and wave parameters

24 25 26 27 28 1 2 3 4 5 6February 1990 M arch 1990

0

2

4

6

Sig

nific

ant w

ave

heig

ht H

s (m

)

W AM 4 output

M odel A R -330

M odel A R -47

M odel A N N -47

10° 15° 20° 25° 30°

10° 15° 20° 25° 30°

54°

56°

58°

60°

62°

64°

66°

54°

56°

58°

60°

62°

64°

66°

12

3 45

67

8

9

10

Case study: Baltic Sea NW Mediterranean

Task 2, Action 10: Application of neural networks to the storm surges prediction

13

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Sub-Theme 1.1

Department of Wave Mechanics and Structural Dynamics IBW PAN – participates in Task 2, Activity 2, Action 1 (IBW): Review of existing approaches in the Flood Hazard MappingA review of existing approaches to Flood Hazard Mapping to document how this mapping is being done by national agencies.

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Sub-Theme 1.2

Department of Geotechnics IBW PAN: participates in Task 4, Geotechnicalinstability (Activity 2), Action 2, Air trapping phenomenon and cracking (IBW).Analysis of the role of entrapped air in an embankment body.

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Task 4, Acivity 2, Action 2: Air trapping phenomena and cracking

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Task 4, Acivity 2, Action 2: Air trapping phenomena and cracking

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What more...

Except these particular activities, all FLOODsite team members take part in• Annual partners meetings• Scheduled and organized ad hoc task meetings

Also• Prepare common task reports and documents• Cross-check other team members input to common documents• Write scientific papers (some prepare PhD thesis)• Take part in panel discussions• Have access to unique data bases

and other...

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To conclude…

It is all challenging but fruitful experience for IBW as a FLOODsite partner and can help to tackle practical flood problems in Poland, as we believe FLOODsite will improve the management of all types of flooding

However ...

Floods are natural and random We cannot eliminate floods but we can prepare for them

For further information www.floodsite.net