pOiticl Al AffiliAtiOn, civic SOciety And SuppOrt fOr ... · DEMOCRACY – POLAND 2009 IN CONTEXT...

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123 POLITICAL AFFILIATION, CIVIC SOCIETY AND SUPPORT FOR DEMOCRACY – POLAND 2009 IN CONTEXT OF POST-SOCIALIST TRANSFORMATION 1 Krzysztof ZAGORSKI 2 I. Civic culture and democratic structure – conceptual issues . II. Political affiliations. III. Correlates of political affiliations. IV. Evaluations of personal and political situation. V. Satisfac- tion with and support for democracy. VI. Correlates of demo- cratic attitudes. VII. Correlations between democratic attitu- des. VIII. Conclusions. IX. References. I. CIVIC CULTURE AND DEMOCRATIC STRUCTURE CONCEPTUAL ISSUES For the sake of clarity, I would like to begin this article by defining civic culture in a simple way as a culture of civic society, and I will concentrate on those cultural aspects that hypothetically reinforce democratic political system. One of defining elements of civic culture and civic society is that social and politi- cal participation holds an important place in the hierarchy of social values and among habitual types of social behavior (Almond and Verba, 1980, 1980a). Po- litical participation is impossible without four preconditions: (a) aims that are determined by social and political stance or interests, which partly result from a specific political culture; (b) cultural acceptance of individuals’ active enga- gement in socio-political life in order to achieve such aims; (3) individuals’ 1 This is the second chapter of this book based on the Civic Culture replication survey conducted in Poland in April 2009. If not indicated otherwise, the data presented here are from this survey and concern the year 2009. Some dynamic data, presented and discussed here, are from other sources and concern the years other than 2009. Sources and years are clearly indicated in all such cases. 2 Koźmiński University, Warsaw.

Transcript of pOiticl Al AffiliAtiOn, civic SOciety And SuppOrt fOr ... · DEMOCRACY – POLAND 2009 IN CONTEXT...

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pOliticAl AffiliAtiOn, civic SOciety And SuppOrt fOr DEMOCRACY – POLAND 2009 IN CONTEXT OF POST-SOCIALIST

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i. Civic culture and democratic structure – conceptual issues. ii. Political affiliations. iii. Correlates of political affiliations. iv. evaluations of personal and political situation. v. Satisfac-tion with and support for democracy. vi. Correlates of demo-cratic attitudes. vii. Correlations between democratic attitu-

des. viii. Conclusions. ix. references.

I. cIVIc culTure and deMocraTIc STrucTure – concePTual ISSueS

for the sake of clarity, i would like to begin this article by defining civic culture in a simple way as a culture of civic society, and i will concentrate on those cultural aspects that hypothetically reinforce democratic political system. One of defining elements of civic culture and civic society is that social and politi-cal participation holds an important place in the hierarchy of social values and among habitual types of social behavior (Almond and verba, 1980, 1980a). po-litical participation is impossible without four preconditions: (a) aims that are determined by social and political stance or interests, which partly result from a specific political culture; (b) cultural acceptance of individuals’ active enga-gement in socio-political life in order to achieve such aims; (3) individuals’

1 this is the second chapter of this book based on the civic culture replication survey conducted in poland in April 2009. if not indicated otherwise, the data presented here are from this survey and concern the year 2009. Some dynamic data, presented and discussed here, are from other sources and concern the years other than 2009. Sources and years are clearly indicated in all such cases.

2 Koźmiński University, Warsaw.

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trust in social and political institutions; and (d) the level of acceptance of the democratic political system, which makes the citizens’ engagement constructi-ve in the frame of this system, rather than destructive. Since citizens’ activities and trust constituted the subjects of a preceding chapter in this book by Katar-zyna m. Staszynska, i will put an emphasis here on the remaining elements of civic society, such as adherence to basic social attitudes, political affiliations, evaluation and legitimization of a democratic political system. however, while analyzing the strength and correlates of democratic attitudes, i will also consi-der their relationships to those components of civic society which were empi-rically defined above and described by Staszynska.

there are at least two possible approaches to the interrelationships bet-ween democracy and civic society. The first one treats civic society as an element of democracy, sometimes even as a constitutive element of it, and the second treats it as a precondition, or a factor that facilitates the functio-ning of an institutionalized, liberal-democratic, free market system.

paradoxically, this second approach has something common with the Gramscian concept of civic society (Gramsci, 1971). for a comprehensive presentation and discussion of the Gramscian idea of civic society see bab-bio (1988). Zbigniew Pełczyński has observed that Gramsci perceived civic society as neither the economic sphere of social activity alone, nor a mere addition to the state, but as

…a sphere of various autonomous organizations and activities, which by no means merely perpetuated the ideology and class interest of bourgeoisie. While in the economic and state spheres the modern bourgeoisie exercised more or less full ‘domination’, in the civil sphere it did not always have a monopoly of political, moral and intellectual influence…. Civil society was, therefore, so to speak, the ‘soft underbelly’ of the capitalist system” (Pełczyński, 1988, 365).

As such, its development should, according to Gramsci, lead to the de-mise of capitalism. history has proved otherwise, though. many political scientists have claimed that the gradual development of civic society has contributed to the decline and, finally, to the demise of communist authori-tarian system and to the establishment of free market liberal democracies in Central-East Europe - Poland first of all (Arato, 1981, 1982; Markus, 1984; Hankiss, 1988; Pełczyński, 1988; Miller, 1992; Frentzel-Zagórska, 1997). the best expression of it was a famous slogan coined by Jacek Kuron, a pro-minent polish pro-democracy dissident: “do not burn the committees,3 set

3 J. Kuron had burning communist party committees in mind.

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up your own!”. however, the opinion prevails nowadays, in poland at least, that this “spring of civic society” was appearing in an opposition to the de-clining “state-socialist” system and was halted or even reversed once the system has changed and democracy reinroduced (Grabowska and Szawiel, 2003). A minimalist approach would suggest that civic society constitutes one of the most important results of democratization, even if it is not a fac-tor that currently facilitates democracy (Grabowska et al., 2001).

i wish not to agonize over the question of whether civic society is a ne-cessary precondition of modern democracy, only a factor that facilitates the emergence and functioning of the democratic system, or merely a product of democracy, as suggested by disciplined analyses conducted by muller and Seligson (1994). While verba (1989, p.399) claimed that “the civic culture focused on those political attitudes that would be supportive of a democratic political system”, Almond (1989, 29) took a bit more flexible stance that “…political culture is treated as both an independent and a dependent varia-ble, as causing [democratic] structure and being caused by it”. The question which direction of this reciprocal influence is stronger in a given period and by how much that depends on current historical conditions and political si-tuations is of a purely empirical character. the aim of this paper is limited to the examination of how various elements of civic society, particularly its civic culture, relate to support for democracy. civic culture is necessary for consolidation and development of democracy, especially in a country such as poland, where the reinstatement of the democratic system took place recently after nearly half a century of communist rule. public support of democracy, while being a cultural determinant of it, is influenced by political experience in home country and by the demonstration effect from abroad.

II. PolITIcal affIlIaTIonS

the political spectrum is usually organized by social scientists, politi-cians, media and ordinary people around two axes, the most important of which is the axis from the political left to the political right. (despite its many shortcomings, the division between left and right is the most com-monly used to describe political scenes and affiliations) The other axis goes from liberalism to conservatism.

the most frequently voiced reservations against applying these two axes to describe the political spectrum are that they are too general —although re-searchers constantly try to distinguish more specific divisions of political spec-trum— and that many people are unable to locate themselves on them. As much

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as a fifth of people cannot do it either because they do not understand the con-cepts of left, right, liberalism and conservatism or because their own opinions and attitudes are not coherent enough to be easily labeled by these concepts.

figure 1

Source: Selected surveys “current events and opinions,” conducted monthly by public Opinion Research Center (CBOS) on representative, stratified, random samples of about 1000 adults each. Distribution of valid answers is presented. “Difficult to say” answers and no answers were deleted before computation.

polish society is not different from other democratic societies in this res-pect. responding to our survey conducted in mid-2009, 17.8% of the poles could not locate themselves on left-right scale, and 21.5% could not loca-te themselves between liberalism and conservatism. moreover, more than a third of those who did manage to identify themselves on these dimensions chose the place in the “supposed” middle of the scale. (i have used “suppo-sed” since the scale used in our research ranged from 1 to 10, with 5.5 as the unmarked middle, while people tend to take 5, rather than 6, as the middle point). The numbers of “difficult to say” answers for the question on left-right self-identification is even higher in monthly surveys by the Public Opinion Research Center (CBOS), where they vary between twenty-five and thirty percent. comparison of these surveys conducted in different years indicates significant changes in how Poles self-identify on the left and the right.

Left-right self-identification, 1992-2009

05

1015202530354045

Left 1 2 3

Center 4 5 6

Right 7

Perc

ent I/1992

I/2002XII/2009

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in 1992, at the beginning of poland’s transformation, when cbOS began collecting comparable data on political affiliation, more than forty percent of respondents placed themselves in the political center, between the left and the right. relatively few people located themselves at political extremes and the number of self-defined leftists was only negligibly lower than the number who self-defined as rightists. To some extent, that result may have come from respondents’ confusion, since they still had little experience in comparing leftist and rightist politics and ideologies. ten years later, in 2002, the number of people who located themselves on the far left side of the scale exceeded those on the far right. this result was associated with the election of the leftist government and disappointment with the former government of the post-Solidarity coalition, which became very divided and finally split up. however, the situation has reversed again, and the self-declared extreme rightists outnumbered extreme leftists more than twice by the end of 2009.

to ensure international comparability, our replicated civic culture sur-vey applied ten-point left-right and liberal-conservative scales instead of the more traditional likert-type seven-point scales.

figure 2

Note: Distribution of valid answers is presented. “Difficult to say” answers and cases of no answers are deleted from computation.

Self-identification on left-right and liberal-conservative scales

(Pearson's "r" = .321)

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in April 2009, the mean location on the left-right scale was 5.8, which denoted stronger rightist than leftist inclinations. that was, to some ex-tent (although not entirely), a result of associating the left with the disliked former communist political system; however, it also reflects negative eva-luations of the former post-transformation leftist governments. Generally speaking, the changes in left-right self-identifications are not great and they parallel the changes of power from left to right governments.

the mean on the liberalism-conservatism scale is 4.9, which denotes a little stronger liberal than conservative inclination. Polish society is very specific in this respect: The years of fierce rightist and conservative ideological propa-ganda supported by the church and not countered by an equally fierce liberal offensive—which would be in contradiction to liberal ideology itself—has re-sulted in liberalism being almost a “dirty word” for many poles, as supposedly associated with excessive tolerance to deviant or at least socially unacceptable behavior. The fact that liberal self-identifications are somewhat more frequent than conservative ones has to be highlighted in such a situation.

the means do not properly indicate the differences in number between different political inclinations, since they are affected by the great number of those in the middle. recently, those on the right have become almost twi-ce as numerous as those on the left (34.7% versus 18.7%). there are similar differences in the numbers of self-declared liberals and conservatives.

Moreover, self-identifications on both dimensions are significantly co-rrelated (pearson’s “r” = .32), meaning that those who identify themselves as rightists are inclined to call themselves conservative. however, this co-rrelation is far from perfect.

table 1

Coincidences between self-identifications on left-right and liberal-conser-vative scales

liberal (1-4) center (5-6) conservati-ve (7-10) total

left (1-4) 11.5% 4.6% 2.6% 18.7%

center (5-6) 13.9% 27.3% 5.4% 46.6%

right (7-10) 11.2% 12.9% 10.7% 34.7%

total 36.6% 44.7% 18.7% 100.0%

Note: Distribution of valid answers is presented. “Difficult to say” answers and cases of no answers are deleted from computation.

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As table 1 indicates, there are as many left liberals as right liberals (11.5% and 11.2% of the total population), while there are almost no left conserva-tives and a very few center conservatives. the most populous group is that of those who self-identify at the center of both political dimensions. A bit more than a quarter chose such a “double centrist” political stance.

The question is how these subjective political self-identifications influen-ce support for particular political parties and whether this support also goes along left-right and liberal-conservative lines. A brief discussion of polish par-ties and the party system is needed before attempting to answer this question.

the parliamentary system in poland is a multi-party one. its party com-position is so unstable that one of the leading polish politologists, radoslaw markowski, called it a “party gathering” rather than a system. poland is an exceptional country from that point of view, since only one political party in 2007 existed also in 1991, after the first fully free Polish parliamentary election. there was even a quite unusual situation once, when the party that won one election and formed the government (AWS – Electorate Action “Solidarity”) —though it needed a coalition to form it— did not succeed in placing even a single candidate in the parliament in the next election, and it soon disappeared from the political scene altogether. not surprisingly, many political leaders and well known party activists have changed their party affiliations several times. This situation has contributed to a high level of voter volatility in Poland, which —however measured— is about four times higher than that in West european countries and two to three times higher than it was in Spain and Greece immediately after they abolished authoritarian governments and introduced parliamentary democracy. polish voters change their party preferences much too often; although they often have to do it because old parties disappear and new ones are formed by the same politicians. this is not the full explanation, however, since substantial percentage of volatile voters change their “block” preferences from, for example, “leftist” to “rightist” parties. no wonder that markowski writes about “electoral hordes” rather than “electorates.” no wonder also that the electoral turnout is comparatively low in Poland-typically below fifty per-cent of those eligible (markowski, 2006, 2007, 2008).

elections force people to support only one party. however, the electora-tes (hordes or not) divide their sympathies and antipathies among groups of parties, whether they vote for them or whether they vote at all. Sometimes voters are guided by ideological preferences and party programs and some-times by bizarre political coalitions formed by the parties for purely tactical reasons with no respect to the true nature of their programs.

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figure 3

note: the support or the opposition is expressed irrespective of the choice of party to vote for.

this situation, along with the popular dissatisfaction with quality of the current political life and political disputes in poland, gives most political parties fewer supporters than opponents. the clear exception is citizens platform, which is now leading the coalition government, although it was the main opposition party during the survey. for our purposes, the interco-rrelations between levels of support for different parties are more interes-ting than the level of support for each of them separately.

explanatory factor analysis (more precisely, principal component analy-sis) resulted in grouping support for political parties into three clusters. the first, a strongly intercorrelated one, is support for the four leftist parties (polish Social democracy, democratic Alliance, left democratic Alliance, and labor union), the centrist-liberal party with a strong anti-communist tradition (democrates pl, i.e., the former union of freedom, which led the first Polish non-communist government), and —surprisingly— a rightist and even somewhat populist extreme liberal party (union of real politics, a party with a name having nothing common with the reality). this cluster,

Support for political parties

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s' Plat

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iS

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lliance

, SD

Strong supportModerate supportNeutralModerate oppositionStrong opposition

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which is defined by support for left and liberal parties, is called here “left liberalism.”

most left-leaning parties, or at least nominally left-leaning that have their roots in former communist party (called the polish united Workers party) were actually executing quite liberal economic policy after the transforma-tion, and both left-leaning and liberal parties are subject to fierce criticism from the right. thus, high correlations between the levels of support for left and liberal parties are less surprising than they may appear to analysts who do not know the reality of polish political life.

table 2

Three dimensions of party preferences, as defined by factor analysis

SuppOrted pOliticAl pArtieS

left, liberAliSm

riGht, pOpuliSm

cliente-liSm

factor loadings (correlations with composite index)

polish Social democracy (Sdpl) .815 -.001 .047democratic Alliance (Sd) .791 .045 .208

left democratic Alliance (Sld) .786 -.117 .014labor union (up) .646 .168 .313

democrates pl (pd) .570 .043 .402union of real politics (upr) .555 .351 .127

law and Justice (piS) -.098 .793 .081league of polish families (lpr) 213 .721 .185

Self-defense (Samoobrona) 353 .683 .030citizens’ platform (pO) 240 -.585 .274

Women’s party (pK) 161 .004 .746pensioners’ party (Kpeir) 006 .164 .710

polish people (farmer) party (pSl) 215 -.072 .542

the next cluster is constituted of the main right polish party (law and Justice) and two populist parties, one of them extremely right and nationalist (league of polish families), and the other rather leftist (Self-defense). Support for these parties is strongly correlated with rejection of citizens’ platform, the centrist and moderately liberal party that is now governing. thus, i call the cluster the “right populism”, as opposed

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to the moderate liberal center rather than to the left. this grouping of the parties, or rather of the support for them, may appear to have been in-fluenced by the configuration of the political scene of the moment, sin-ce law and Justice was leading the government coalition formed with the much smaller league of polish families and Self-defense. this was a purely tactical coalition with the aim of forming the government in opposition to citizens’ platform, which took the second place in the election. Recently—actually during the survey fieldwork—the situa-tion has reversed: the coalition has disintegrated, the citizens’ platform won the last parliamentary elections and is governing in a coalition with the much weaker polish people party (farmers’ party). factor loadings presented in table 2 confirm that the main political conflict takes place between law and Justice and citizens’ platform.

Finally, the third cluster is defined by political support for so-called “in-terest groups” or “client” parties, such as the feminist Women’s party, the pensioners’ party and the polish people party (farmer’s party). i call this cluster “clientelism”.

figure 4

the support for each party was measured on a 5-points scale from 1 (strong opposition) through 3 (neutral) to 5 (strong support). the mean su-

Support for types of political parties

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Support (3.6-5)Indifference (2.6-3.5)Rejection (1.0-2.5)

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pport for each group of parties is presented in figure 4. Of the three po-litical dimensions of party support, the most interesting —or, rather, the most important— is the support for “right populist” parties. In this case, the rejection of these parties (indicated by a mean not higher than 2.5 points) outnumbers the support (indicated by a mean higher than 3.5 points) more than ten-fold. however, the mean rejection may indicate not only lack of support for right populism, but also strong support for the center-liberal party that is governing now.

As to the strength of the correlations between political self-identifica-tions and political party support, first, the “clientelism” (That is, support for “interest group parties”) significantly correlates with neither “left-right” nor “liberal conservative” self-identifications but seems to be related more to being a woman, a pensioner or a farmer, whose interests are each repre-sented by one of the three parties.

figure 5

Self-identification on the left-right political dimension as a rightist is significantly and positively correlated with the support for right and po-pulist parties and is negatively correlated with support for left and liberal parties. Similarly, self-identification on the liberal-conservative dimension as a conservative correlates with support for right populist and left liberal

Correlations between political self-identifications and generalized party support

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parties. However, all these correlations, though statistically significant, are low, which is probably an outcome of the instability of the party system and the high level of voter volatility.

III. correlaTeS of PolITIcal affIlIaTIonS

Let us turn our attention now to the correlates of political self-identifica-tion and party support the same variables will be analyzed as potential co-rrelates to socio-political activities as were analyzed in the preceding chap-ter by Katarzyna m. Staszynska.

Self-identification on a left-right dimension as being a rightist has a strong positive correlation with religious trust and religiosity. it is so-mewhat less, though still significantly, correlated with self-trust, political trust, understanding politics, perceiving international surroundings as frien-dly and interest in politics.

Self-identification on the conservative side of the political spectrum is positively correlated with religious trust, religiousness and political trust, but also with age, and there is a negative correlation with education and interest in politics.

figure 6

Significant correlates of political self-identifications.

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All in all, the “rightists” are more religious than the “leftists,” more trus-ting, more positive in their perceptions of the outer world, more interested in politics and more understanding of it. the “conservatists” are more re-ligious than the “liberals” and share some other common features with the “rightists,” but they are also less educated and less interested in politics.

As far as party preferences are concerned, left liberalism is positively correlated with political and social trust and negatively associated with reli-giousness, age, education and perception of other nations as hostile.

figure 7

right populists are more religious, less educated and older, they unders-tanding less about politics, do not perceive many other nations as friendly, feel they have no influence on political decisions, have lower incomes and are not very interested in politics.

clientelism is positively correlated with political and social trust as well as with age, but it is negatively correlated with education, income and male gender. Obviously, older people support the pensioners’ party, and men are unlikely to support the Womens’ Party, which influences the correlations with generalized support for all three clientelist parties.

Significant correlates of party preferences

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IV. eValuaTIonS of PerSonal and PolITIcal SITuaTIon

next parts of this chapter concern the legitimacy of the democratic sys-tem and its correlates. Among them, the perceptions of one’s personal and society’s situation are considered important, though not equally, by most political scientists. the most doubtful correlate of legitimacy is evaluation of material living conditions experienced by the citizens. the opinion pre-vailed in the past that there is a strong correlation between material con-ditions of people and their democratic participation as well as support for democracy. the fear was expressed that poor people are more passive and have less democratic attitudes than richer representatives of middle and upper classes (for example lipset, 1963) more recent analyses proved that this is not true and that the poor are no less active and no less supportive for democracy than the rich (for example Krishna, 2008). in post-communist Poland, household income has no significant effect on support for demo-cracy as the best system, evaluation of functioning of actual democracy and evaluation of government in power. however, subjective evaluation of material situation of the household influences evaluation of democracy but not support for it in general (Zagorski, 2001). Adam przeworski (2008) suggested that these relations and the resulting viability of democratic sys-tem may differ between countries of different level of wealth and economic development. thus, the question of the relations between material situation and democracy has to be put into the more general context of economic change, especially that democratic and economic development should lead to increased satisfaction of people, if not otherwise.

the economic transformation from a centrally planned and politically controlled socialist system to a democratic free market has started in poland in 1989, in a time of serious economic crisis. this crisis began much earlier and it contributed, along with other mainly political factors, to social pro-tests, the “Solidarity” movement, subsequent communist martial law and, finally, the systemic change. The dismantling of the communist economy and construction of the free market anew was known as balcerowicz’s shock therapy (balcerowicz, 1995). initially, this change was associated with further economic decline and growing material difficulties experien-ced by a great part of the polish society. however, balcerowicz’s reforms soon began to work. The first sign of this was the abundance of goods on the market and curbing the hyper-inflation. The economy started to grow as soon as 1992, although the Gdp reached its 1989 level again not earlier than 1995. however, the material situation of average poles, measured as

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their per capita income in the family, continued to decline a bit longer. it be-gan to improve in 1995, three years later than the Gdp, the growth of which led to the subsequent improvement of living conditions.

the most important fact is that the per capita household income initially declined faster and then rose faster than the Gdp, if 1994 is taken as a ben-chmark. that situation may have indicated a delayed recompense not only for the “shock therapy” period but also for the population’s overall low income during the whole communist period. (Although i do not discuss it here, income inequality grew after the transformation).

figure 8

Note: GDP and income growth are calculated in fixed 1994 prices. The sources of raw figures for GDP and inflation are statistical yearbooks published by Central Statistical Office (GuS). the income data are from monthly surveys conducted by public Opinion research Center (CBOS), all of them on representative, stratified, random samples of ca 1000 adults.

While family income was and still is growing faster than Gdp, income satisfaction is growing even faster than income.

Changes in GDP and family income per capita, 1994=100.

0

50

100

150

200

250

1989

r.

1991

r.

1993

r.

1995

r.

1997

r.

1999

r.

2001

r.

2003

r.

2005

r.

2007

r.

GDPIncome

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figure 9

because income is an important, if not the most important, element of a family’s material living conditions, income satisfaction is an important (but not lone) component or determinant of satisfaction with more general ma-terial living conditions. As figure 10 indicates, Poles evaluate their material living conditions as moderately good: About a third consider them as good, while only about a fifth rate them as bad. However, more of them expect deterioration than improvement of their conditions, probably as a result of the current world economic crisis, which actually does not concern poland as much as most other countries, but which dominates the news and dam-pens expectations.

figure 10

Changes in family income per capita and income satisfaction, 1994=100.

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

1994

r.

1996

r.

1998

r.

2000

r.

2002

r.

2004

r.

2006

r.

2008

r.

Income

Incomesatisfaction

Evaluation of family material conditions

12%

12%

9%

42%

25%

BadRather badNeitherRather goodGood

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figure 11

evaluations of some aspects of the functioning of the political system constitute the next topic of importance here.

individual aspects of the functioning of the political system may be eva-luated very differently, based on the real differences among them. thus, for example, the majority of Poles feel they have no influence over poli-tical decisions: Only 14% declare that they can do something if the na-tional government undertakes a decision unfavorable to citizens, and only 29.3% think that they can do something on the local government level. More people—although not many more—evaluate their ability to influence decisions on the work-place level (33.4%). however, that percentage must be interpreted keeping in mind the fact that many people do not work.

table 3

belief in one’s ability to do something if the authorities undertake a decision that is contrary to the people’s interest

Authority level yes no no opinion/ irrelevant total

Government 14.0 78.6 7.4 100.0local self-government 29.3 63.4 7.3 100.0

management in workplaceAll 33.4 50.4 16.2 100.0

Working 43.5 47.2 9.3 100.0not working 22.6 77.4 100.0

13% 18%

62%

Prediction of change in family material conditions

Certainly willdeteriorate

Probably willdeteriorate

Will not change

Probably willimprove

Centainly willimprove

3%4%

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the ability to intervene on the workplace level was declared by as many as 43% of working people, and only a few more feel they have no ability to intervene if their managers make a bad decision. for almost one in ten, this problem seems to be irrelevant: these may be people who are working individually on their own, farmers-owners among them. Surprisingly, some of those who are not working (about one of four) feel their capacity to in-fluence the decisions in the workplace. This view may be held by those who believe in their influence over functioning of some enterprises operating in their place of residence.

The sense about citizens’ influence can be best measured by comparing the number of those who feel they have an ability to interfere at all three, two or only one of the levels. here, all those uncertain of their ability and those who consider the question irrelevant for them (e.g., non-working per-sons responding to the question about the workplace) are counted along with those who gave negative answers about their level of influence. The number of such “non-influential” people exceeds half of Polish adult popu-lation. On the other extreme, only 13% feel some power of influence on all three levels.

figure 12

Despite feeling that they have little influence on political decisions, half of all poles believe that they will be treated like anyone else if they turn to the authorities with a problem. not many more than one in ten have the opposite opinion and expect to be treated worse than other people, while about a third are uncertain about their chances for equal treatment.

13%

18%

Feeling of influence

NoneOn one levelOn two levelsOn three levels

15%

54%

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figure 13

the number of those who feel that the authorities would treat them the same as other people is similar to the number of those who believe that human rights are respected in poland. however, not many people share the opinion that human rights are highly respected, and the number who say they are respected to some extent is not much higher than the number who believe they are not much respected.

figure 14

NotSometimesYesDifficult to say

Feeling of just treatment by authorities(Would you be treatet as well as all others?)

35%

12%

49%

4%

Are human rights respected in Poland?

Not at allNot muchTo some extentVery muchDifficult to say

40%

6%3%6%

45%

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To conclude, about half of all Poles feel some ability to influence the decisions of the authorities, although only some feel that they can exert their influence on all three levels (workplace, local and central govern-ment). half of poles also believe they would be treated by the authori-ties as well as others, and a similar number believe that human rights are respected, at least to some extent. thus, we are facing the old dilemma of whether the glass is half full or half empty. in such an ambivalent si-tuation, the question of how people evaluate the actual functioning of the democratic system in poland and what they think about democracy in ge-neral should be raised.

V. SaTISfacTIon wITh and SuPPorT for deMocracy

About half of the Poles are dissatisfied with the way the democracy is currently functioning in poland that number is similar to the number of those who feel they have no political influence, who think they would be unjustly treated by the authorities, and who think that human rights are neglected in Poland. People satisfied with democracy constitute about forty percent of the adult population. their number was changing signi-ficantly since the beginning of Polish transformation. At the end of 2007, those satisfied with democracy slightly exceeded forty per cent, with a tendency to slow decline, but the number grew again at the end of 2007 (by 14 percent points since mid-2007) because of the parliamentary elec-tions that resulted in the demise of the right-populist government and the ascendance of the more centrist and liberal coalition. A similar temporary improvement in evaluations of democracy took place after other parlia-mentary or presidential elections in 1993, 1996, 1997, 2000 and 2005. this kind of response to democracy has been regularly observed in many democratic countries; elections are won by the majority, so the majority feels better about the politics of the day after winning. the attitude toward currently functioning democratic institutions also varies in response to the changing political situation and even to specific events on the political scene. The amplitude of these changes is quite substantial; for example, satisfaction with democracy in poland changed from above forty percent in 1997 to about twenty percent in 2003-04 to above forty percent again in 2007-2009.

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figure 15

Source: Selected surveys “current events and opinions,” conducted monthly by the public Opinion Research Center (CBOS) on representative, stratified, random samples of about 1000 adults each. (See also roguska, 2007.)

Support for democracy as the best possible political system changes much less and is much higher than satisfaction with the current functioning of democracy in the country. Since 1993, support for democracy varied in po-land between sixty and seventy five percent, peaking in 2007 and 2009. It was exceptionally low in 1992 because of difficulties related to the initial phase of transformation.

figure 16

Source: Selected surveys “current events and opinions” conducted monthly by public Opi-nion Research Center (CBOS) on representative, stratified, random samples of about 1000 adults each. (See also roguska, 2007).

 

Are you satisfied with the way the democracy is functioning in Poland?

3624 30

44 40 4128 35 27 37 34 24 22 20 21 26 32 34 40 30 31 32

46 43 42

52 67 5847 50 46 62 56 64 51 53 64 67 71 68 63 58 56 46 58 59 54

42 47 49

12 9 12 9 10 13 10 9 9 12 14 12 11 9 11 12 10 10 14 12 10 14 12 10 9

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

XI 1993

V 1995

IX 1995

XI 1996

X 1997

V 1998

III 1999

XII 1999

IV 2000

X 2000

XI 2001

III 2002

III 2003

VII 2003

V 2004

XI 2004

IX 2005

XI 2005

II 2006

XI 2006

IV 2007

V 2007

XI 2007

VII 2008

IV 2009

No opinionNoYes

 

Is democracy the best system of all?

5262 61 67 61

71 67 63 64 71 70 63 66 60 61 62 63 5974

6575

1511 16

1717

12 12 16 19 12 1217 14

18 15 18 16 19

1117

1433 27 23 16 22 17 21 21 17 17 18 20 20 22 24 20 21 22 15 18 11

0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%

100%

IX 1992

VI 1993

XI 1993

V 1995

IX 1995

X 1995

XI 1996

X 1997

III 1999

IV 2000

X 2000

XI 2001

III 2002

V 2004

II 2006

XI 2006

IV 2007

V 2007

XI 2007

VII 2008

IV 2009

No opinionNoYes

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All in all, the evaluations for the current functioning of democracy in poland, though not bad nowadays, are much worse than the general support for democracy as the best possible political system. most recently, three-quarters of poles (74.7%) reported believing that democracy is the best of all possible political systems, while only 13.6% did not agree.

figure 17

the opinion that democracy is the best system for poland is expressed as frequently as the opinion that it is the best system in general; there are no differences in this respect. however, not all elements of the democra-tic political system are equally loved. About 80% of the poles surveyed believe that parliamentary elections are the best way to select the gover-nment and that the parliament is needed for the democracy to function properly. fewer (only two-thirds) believe that we need political parties, perhaps because of the general disregard for party politicians and party activities in poland.

 

2.6

39.3

39.7

9.88.6

27

47.7

11.71.911.7

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Satisfactionwith actualdemcracy

Support fordemocracy

Evaluation of functioning of actual Polish democracy and support for democracy as the best system

Difficult to say Definitely notRather notRather yesDefinitely yes

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145pOliticAl AffiliAtiOn, civic SOciety And SuppOrt fOr demOcrAcy

figure 18

the correlations between the opinion that democracy is best for poland and that we need elections as well as parties and parliament for the demo-cratic system to function well are so strong that a composite index can be calculated that indicates support for the parliamentary, multi-party, demo-cratic system in poland. the index was computed as a mean of four an-swers, each one coded from 1 (definitely not) to 4 (definitely yes).

 

Support for specific aspects of democracy as a system best for Poland.

12.2 8.915.6

8.5

47.3 48.245.5

50.6

26.6 32.7 22 26.7

11 7.6 12.2 11.7

2.53 4.82.60%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Democracybest forPoland

Electionsbest

Partiesneeded

Parliamentneeded

Difficult to sayDefinitely yesRather yesRather notDefinitely not

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figure 19

(a) missing data indicates no valid answers given for all four questions.in other cases, the means were computed for those questions for whichthe answers were given. thus, the means concern from one to four items (answers).

the support for polish democracy, so measured, is much stronger than its rejection (79% versus 18%). thus, however measured, support for de-mocracy in general and the more specific support for Polish parliamentary democracy are expressed by 75-80% of population.

VI. correlaTeS of deMocraTIc aTTITudeS

let’s now examine the correlates of satisfaction with the functioning of democracy in poland, the support for democracy as the best system for poland and the support for democracy as the best political system of all. Table 3 presents significant correlation coefficients among the three pro-democracy attitudes and other attitudinal variables discussed in this and the preceding chapter by K. m. Staszynska. i have decided to present correla-tion coefficients rather than regression models since the later assume causal relationships. it seems that the relationships between most of the variables analyzed here have a reciprocal nature. for example, trust in political insti-tutions may improve the evaluations of democratic institutions, and positive evaluations of democratic institutions may enhance political trust.

Generalized support for parliamentary democracyin Poland

Strong rejection (1.0-1.9)

Moderate rejection (2.0-2.5)

Moderate support 2.6-3.0

Strong support 3.01-4.00

Missing data (a)

16%3% 2%

39%

40%

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One would expect that civic activity, measured by membership in va-rious organizations, is positively correlated with pro-democratic attitudes, but these correlations are actually very weak, if not statistically insignifi-cant. the correlations of pro-democratic attitudes with interest in politics are somewhat stronger.

the correlations of different dimensions of trust are much higher and much more interesting. both social trust and political trust are relatively highly co-rrelated with evaluations of the current democratic regime, support for parlia-mentary democracy in poland and for democracy in general. it is not surpri-sing that correlations of political trust with those evaluations are somewhat stronger than the respective correlations of social trust. moreover, political trust correlates the highest with the evaluation of democracy, a bit lower with the support for parliamentary democracy in poland and the lowest (though still quite significantly) with a generalized pro-democracy attitude.

relatively strong correlation between political trust and evaluation of democracy may be interpreted in terms of reciprocal relationships between them. religious trust shows no correlations with opinions about democracy, thus the respective coefficients are not shown in the table. However, there are significant correlations between self-trust and support for democracy. It may be concluded, in accordance with psychological theories of authorita-rianism, that self-confident persons tend to be more democratic than those who are not confident in themselves. Individuals who trust neither themsel-ves nor people close to them and who experience resulting psychological insecurity tend to be more authoritarian.

perception of international surroundings as friendly may be an indirect indicator of psychological security and self-confidence. If so, it may be also a correlate of democratic attitudes. As expected, perception of other countries as hostile is negatively correlated with satisfaction with current functioning of democracy. However, it shows no significant correlations with other democratic attitudes. On the other hand, perception of other countries as friendly is, as expected, positively correlated with positive eva-luation of current democratic regime and with support for parliamentary democracy as the best for poland, but not with support for democracy as the best political system of all. thus, neither the perception of the outer world as friendly nor the perception of it as hostile is significantly correlated with the most general opinion that democracy is the best political system.

let’s turn now to the relationships between democratic attitudes and po-litical stances. the level of support for left and liberal parties is weakly, though significantly, correlated only with the positive evaluation of current

Correlations between political self-identifications and generalized party support

-0,3

-0,2

-0,1

0

0,1

0,2

0,3

Right p

opuli

sm

Left

liber

alism

Party support (no significant correlations with support for "clientelist" parties)

Pear

son'

s "r

"

Left-right self-id.Liberal-conserv. self-id.

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democratic institutions. much stronger are the negative correlations bet-ween democratic attitudes and support for right and populist parties. the type of support, which has been called here “clientelist” shows no correla-tions at all with attitudes toward democracy.

These findings are not entirely consistent with the pattern of corre-lations between democratic attitudes and location on political-ideologi-cal dimensions. people who locate themselves on the right side of the left-right scale are more satisfied than the leftists with the functioning of democracy and are more likely to advocate it as the best system for poland this correlation may seem inconsistent with the fact that strong supporters of right and populist parties are anti-democrats, but there are at least two possible explanations for it: The first stems from the fact that our previous statistical analysis of party support grouped together support for rightist and populist parties, and that the supporters of the latter have anti-democratic attitudes. the second reason stems from the fact that our grouping of party support was determined more by the attitudes toward a particular right-populist coalition government of the day than by actual rightist attitudes. in addition, the term “political left” is associated by many poles with the former communist regime, so many of those who support center-liberal parties and who were grouped with the left parties by factor analysis, actually defined themselves as having rightist incli-nations. finally, recall that there are relatively low correlations between dimensions of party support and left or right inclinations.

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Table 4

correlaTeS of Pro-deMocracy aTTITudeS

Satisfaction with actual functioning of democracy

in poland

Support for parliamentary democracy for poland

General support for democracy as the best

political system of all

number of memberships in organizationsa) .06ns .08* .04ns

interest in politics .09** .29** .07*Social trust 17** .17** .18**political trust 33* .22** 13**Self-trust 05 .10** .12**number of countries seen as hostile -.12** -.04ns -.04ns

number of countries seen as friendly .18** .16** -.04Support for left and liberal parties .08* .03ns .02ns

Support for right and populist parties -.08* -.19** -.14**Left-right self-identification (right) .09* .06ns .13**Liberal-conservative self-identification (conservative) -.03ns -.07* -.04ns

Satisfaction with current material conditions of family .16** .13** .03ns

prediction of future material conditions of family .20** .05ns .02ns

Feeling of influence over authorities’ decisions .09* .19** .02ns

perceived level of human rights observance .35** .19** .06ns

feeling of just treatment by authorities .07* .08** .10**

**) Significant at .01 level. *) Significant at .05 level. ns) Not significant. a) Number of types of organizations to which a person belongs.

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there is an understandable fear that negative side effects exerted by the democratic transformation on material living conditions of some groups may erode public support for both the transformation and democracy in ge-neral (Mishler and Rose,1996, 2002; Fuchs and Roller, 2006). Our analysis indicates that although both the evaluation of material living conditions at present and expectations concerning them in the future are significantly co-rrelated with the evaluation of the current functioning of democratic insti-tutions, they are not correlated at all with support for democracy in general. Moreover, as the “light in the tunnel theory” suggests (Hirschman, 1981; Zagorski, 1994, 2001), the evaluations of current political situation are de-termined more by the hopes for the future than by the satisfaction with the current situation.

All three pro-democracy stances are positively related to the feeling of equal treatment by authorities. both satisfaction with and advocacy of de-mocracy in poland are positively related to the belief in one’s ability to influence authorities and to the perceived level of observed human rights. However, evaluations of citizens’ influence on authority and the perceived level of human rights are not significantly correlated with the support for democracy as an ideal system. that result leads to the question about the nature of the interrelationships between all three pro-democracy attitudes.

how to summarize all these interrelations? there are twenty hypotheti-cal correlates of pro-democracy attitudes presented above. correlation ra-ther than regression coefficients were discussed, consistent with frequently expressed and well grounded opinions that the causality direction can not be assumed and that a lot of reciprocity exist here at least. Since we have no r-squared to measure the strength of relations between pro-democracy atti-tudes and all other variables, a very simple (if not oversimplified) measure can be used, namely the mean of absolute values of correlation coefficients. these means are quite small. the highest, albeit still very low, is the mean co-rrelation with evaluation of current functioning of democratic institutions (.11). the mean correlation with support for parliamentary democracy in poland is only a bit lower (.10). however, the mean correlation of generalized su-pport for democratic system is almost negligible (.06).

VII. correlaTIonS beTween deMocraTIc aTTITudeS

earlier analyses have indicated that, in many countries, support for de-mocracy as the best political system is very weakly related to evaluations of the current functioning of democratic institutions and that support for

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democracy as an ideal political system is usually much higher than evalua-tions of its actual functioning in a given country (fuchs, Guidorossi, Svens-son, 1995; Norris, 1999a).

table 5

correlates of pro-democracy attitudes

Support for parliamentary democracy for poland

General support for democracy as the best

political system of all

Satisfaction with functio-ning of actual democracy in poland

.23** .09*

Support for parliamentary democracy for poland --- .39**

**) Significant at .01 level. *) Significant at .05 level.

this observation is true of both well established “old” democracies and reinstated “new” ones, Poland included (Zagórski, 2001, 2006; Fuchs and roller, 2006). Still, this is not a universal rule, since a few exemptions can be found (Wessels and Klingemann, 1998).

the correlations between different democratic attitudes show a pattern consistent with earlier studies. Satisfaction with the actual functioning of polish democracy is moderately correlated with the opinion that parliamen-tary democracy, in which elections and political parties play decisive roles, is the best system for poland however, it is very weakly, though still sig-nificantly, correlated with the opinion that democracy is the best system in general. this correlation (r = .09) is much weaker than any person taking a “deterministic” approach could have expected. more consistent with the expectation is the fact that the support for democracy as the best system in general is relatively strongly correlated with support for parliamentary de-mocracy as best for poland.

VIII. concluSIonS

One has to agree with przeworski (2008, 128) that that also c“asking people questions about their attitudes to democracy is now a huge industry all over the world”. oncerns post-communist societies. the two waves of

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international, comparative survey “consolidation of democracy”, conduc-ted under scientific leadership of Hans-Dieter Klingemann (Wessels and Klingemenn, 1989, 2006) in almost all european transformation countries, constitute the best example of such research (Barnes and Simon, 1998; Fuchs, roller and Zagorski, 2006).

it would be unreasonable to contest przeworski’s opinion that democra-tic (civic) culture is neither sole nor decisive determinant of viability of democratic system. he discusses several intervening or determining struc-tural factors, such as level of wealth and inequality, nature of the military as well as economic development in the society as a whole (przeworski, 2008). international factors should be added to this list (see pridham, 2001). We can add that the differences in democratic attitudes between state-so-cialist countries in Central and Eastern Europe were insignificant from the viewpoint of re-emerging democracy as long as the central control by powerful Soviet Union was exercised. More recently, it would be difficult to imagine that the democratic system is overturned in a country belonging to the european union with its net of intertwined national and international interests, cooperation, checking mechanisms and incentives. thus, why to get engaged in the “hughe industry” of investigating democratic attitudes and civic culture? first, though not always decisive for consolidation of democracy, they prove to be significant. One can not deny that historically shaped cultural factors, discussed at the beginning of Staszynska’s prece-ding chapter, has contributed to the fact that poland was considered “the most cheerful barrack in the communist camp” and that it was the first to take the road of political and economic transformation. besides structural and external factors, one also can not underestimate the role of prussian authoritarian culture, perhaps reinforced during the nazi period, in making east Germany one of “the least cheerful barracks in communist camp” and in recent emergence of extreme social movements in that part of now uni-ted Germany. Second, there are some fears still expressed that supposed lack of democratic historical experience and culture in central-east europe (compared to what: italy, Germany, Spain or portugal?) may contribute to the erosion of democracy there. All these makes investigation of political culture and democratic attitudes quite significant.

K. Staszynska has documented in a previous chapter serious weaknesses of polish civic culture and civic society, such as a low level of political and social trust and low interest as well as involvement in politics. however, general findings from other countries and from earlier research in Poland are confirmed by our survey. The support for democracy in general is still

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weakly dependent on the evaluation of the actual functioning of polish de-mocratic institutions and of other aspects of the situation in the country, as well as the material situation of the families. These finding renders too-thless the fear, expressed by fuchs and roller (2006) and earlier by mishler and rose (1996, 2002), that experience with some negative aspects of the actual functioning of politicians and political institutions in newly reinsta-ted central-east european democracies may erode the support for democra-tic principles there. the results of many surveys demonstrate that while the level of satisfaction with the current functioning of democracy has been vo-latile in poland since the beginning of the 1990s, the support for it as for the best system is not only much higher, but is also much more stable (see also feliksiak, 2009). the situation is not different in this respect than it was ten years ago when the surveys were conducted, on the results of which fuchs and roller based their doubts about consolidation of democracy in “post-communist” european countries. Our results are consistent with pipa norris (1999) conclusion, best expressed by a spurious contradiction in a title of her book “Critical Citizens – Global Support for Democratic Governance”.4 She claims that growing criticism of current functioning of democratic ins-titutions does not erode the support for democracy as a desirable system. it is possible to conclude that support for democratic principles is also very weakly, if not insignificantly from macro-social point of view, related to all elements of civic culture as discussed above. civic culture elements are somewhat stronger, though still quite weakly, correlated with evaluation of current politics, but their correlations with support for democracy as a system are almost negligible. the highest is the correlation of social (not political!) trust and support for democracy, but even that is not high (r=.18). No one correlation coefficient reaches .20 level and many of them are sta-tistically insignificant.

One of possible reasons for the constant and high support of democracy as a system despite low civic involvement, critical and changing evalua-tions of its present manifestation and of living conditions is that pro-de-mocratic attitudes constitute an important component of polish (and other central-east european) democratic political culture, which has been shaped not only by bad communist and post-communist experience but also by dee-ply rooted historical tradition (see Staszynska’s preceding chapter). One has not underestimate also the “demonstration effect”, resulting from a growing

4 Gabriel Almond has expressed his appreciation of this book by writing a sentence on its front cover: “it is the civic culture study 40 years later”.

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knowledge of other, more highly developed democracies. the minimalistic explanation is possible as well that, while people see many of the less at-tractive sides of democracy, they do not see a better alternative.

figure 20

Support for democracy, though high, is not universal and the evalua-tions of its actual functioning are even worse. however, three-quarters of the poles support democracy in general and as the best system for poland the same three-quarters support the notion formulated many years ago by Winston churchill that democracy is not the ideal system, but nobody has yet invented a better one. These are not pessimistic findings.

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