Plus ça change: 20 years of aviation inventory distribution technology

27
plus plus plus plus ça ça ça ça change change change change The more things change the more they stay the same they stay the same Timothy O’Neil-Dunne Managing Partner T2Impact Ltd

description

An industry analysis of where we are. Timothy O'Neil-Dunne is a contributing Node to Tnooz. He writes about travel in particular aviation, technology, startups and innovation in long and short forms.He has two day jobs: managing partner at travel consultancy firm, T2Impact, where he serves as the lead for the airline, aviation and airport practice. His is also co-founder of VaultPAD, an accelerator devoted exclusively to travel and travel-related startup businesses.Timothy was a founding management team member of the Expedia team where he headed the international and ground transportation portfolios, before founding T2Impact in 1998 and VaultPAD in 2012.He has worked in aviation and travel distribution for more than 30 years, including time with Worldspan as head of technology where he managed international technology services from infrastructure to product.Timothy is also a permanent advisor to the World Economic Forum and writes as Professor Sabena. He sits on a number of advisory and executive boards.

Transcript of Plus ça change: 20 years of aviation inventory distribution technology

Page 1: Plus ça change: 20 years of aviation inventory distribution technology

plus

plus

plus

plus ça

ça

ça

ça

change

change

change

change

Th

e m

ore

th

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the

y s

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th

e s

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e

Tim

oth

y O

’Ne

il-D

un

ne

Ma

na

gin

g P

art

ne

r

T2

Imp

act

Ltd

Page 2: Plus ça change: 20 years of aviation inventory distribution technology

“Mo

st m

od

ern

ca

len

da

rs m

ar

the

sw

ee

t si

mp

lici

ty o

f

OS

CA

R W

ILD

E

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st m

od

ern

ca

len

da

rs m

ar

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sw

ee

t si

mp

lici

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f

ou

r li

ves

by r

em

ind

ing

us

tha

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ach

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y t

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es

is

the

an

niv

ers

ary

of

som

e p

erf

ect

ly u

nin

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stin

g e

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t.”

Page 3: Plus ça change: 20 years of aviation inventory distribution technology
Page 4: Plus ça change: 20 years of aviation inventory distribution technology

Do

yo

u r

em

em

be

r w

he

n t

his

pic

ture

wa

s ta

ken

?

Page 5: Plus ça change: 20 years of aviation inventory distribution technology

Wh

o/W

ha

t is

T2

Imp

act

?

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ad

ing

Glo

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Bu

sin

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up

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vel

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d T

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rism

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cs f

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sive

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on

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igh

ly e

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rie

nce

d w

orl

dw

ide

.

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ee

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kil

ls in

in

du

stry

se

cto

rs

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via

tio

n,

Tra

vel

an

d T

ou

rism

IS

ou

r o

nly

bu

sin

ess

•B

roa

d G

eo

gra

ph

y –

EM

EA

, A

me

rica

s a

nd

Asi

a P

aci

fic

•S

tro

ng

ne

two

rk p

art

ne

rs a

nd

cli

en

ts

Page 6: Plus ça change: 20 years of aviation inventory distribution technology

So

me

T2

Imp

act

cu

sto

me

rs

Page 7: Plus ça change: 20 years of aviation inventory distribution technology

AN

D W

E H

AV

E B

EE

N I

N B

US

INE

SS

10

YE

AR

S!!

!!

Page 8: Plus ça change: 20 years of aviation inventory distribution technology

Oh

ho

w h

as

the

ma

rke

t ch

an

ge

d!

Th

is m

od

el

is u

nsu

sta

ina

ble

Page 9: Plus ça change: 20 years of aviation inventory distribution technology

Jet

fue

l p

rici

ng

.

Page 10: Plus ça change: 20 years of aviation inventory distribution technology

Sin

ce t

he

hig

h i

n 2

00

0

•T

he

US

Air

lin

e I

nd

ust

ry

•H

as

she

d m

ore

th

an

Ha

s sh

ed

mo

re t

ha

n

20

% o

f it

s la

bo

ur

forc

e

wh

ile

at

the

sa

me

tim

e

carr

yin

g m

ore

th

an

12

%

mo

re p

ass

en

ge

rs

Page 11: Plus ça change: 20 years of aviation inventory distribution technology

US

Air

lin

es

Page 12: Plus ça change: 20 years of aviation inventory distribution technology

Ch

an

ge

ha

s a

lwa

ys m

ad

e u

s le

ap

•B

ut

ma

ny t

ime

s w

e

forg

et

the

ga

p a

nd

fa

ll

•H

ow

ma

ny t

ech

no

log

ies

•H

ow

ma

ny t

ech

no

log

ies

are

: LA

TE

, IN

CO

MP

LET

E,

CO

MP

LIC

AT

ED

…..

•D

ISA

PP

OIN

TIN

G

Page 13: Plus ça change: 20 years of aviation inventory distribution technology

Re

tro

is

no

t in

•A

irli

ne

s co

nti

nu

e t

o b

e

silo

s

•Tr

ue

re

form

ati

on

ha

s •

Tru

e r

efo

rma

tio

n h

as

no

t o

ccu

rre

d

•T

he

air

lin

es

are

sti

ll

me

sse

d u

p

•T

he

y s

till

act

lik

e

Lem

min

gs

Page 14: Plus ça change: 20 years of aviation inventory distribution technology

Ag

ing

co

mp

lica

ted

AT

C s

yste

ms

•N

ot

en

ou

gh

sys

tem

cap

aci

ty

•P

ress

ure

fro

m t

he

Gre

en

Lo

bb

y

•A

re s

ho

rt h

au

l fl

igh

ts

an

ti-s

oci

al?

Page 15: Plus ça change: 20 years of aviation inventory distribution technology

Va

stly

in

cre

ase

d t

raff

ic w

orl

dw

ide

•Is

tra

vel

a r

igh

t o

r a

pri

vil

eg

e?

•W

ha

t is

th

e t

rue

so

cia

l •

Wh

at

is t

he

tru

e s

oci

al

cost

of

flyin

g

•W

ha

t h

ap

pe

ns

wh

en

the

re

st o

f th

e w

orl

d

catc

he

s u

p?

Page 16: Plus ça change: 20 years of aviation inventory distribution technology

Air

lin

es

we

do

n’t

ha

ve a

ny

mo

re

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ero

Llo

yd

•A

ir C

ha

rte

r

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ir H

oll

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d

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ab

en

a

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an

tax

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wis

sair

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ala

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CA

L

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ns

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ran

iff

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3

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ast

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lin

es

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lyin

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ige

rs

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B A

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ays

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In

ter

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tt

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ys

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A

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TA

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ran

iff

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3

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on

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ort

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rg A

irli

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C

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ae

rsk

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aci

fic

Inte

rsta

te

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an

Am

Page 17: Plus ça change: 20 years of aviation inventory distribution technology

Ho

w f

ar

did

we

co

me

?

Page 18: Plus ça change: 20 years of aviation inventory distribution technology

Its

stil

l W

AY

to

o c

om

pli

cate

d

Page 19: Plus ça change: 20 years of aviation inventory distribution technology

Ho

w f

ar

ha

ve w

e r

ea

lly

co

me

?

Page 20: Plus ça change: 20 years of aviation inventory distribution technology

I th

ou

gh

t I

wo

uld

go

to

th

e s

ou

rce

Page 21: Plus ça change: 20 years of aviation inventory distribution technology

Gre

at

thin

gs

tha

t h

ap

pe

ne

d in

19

88

•A

ma

de

us

bo

rn (

19

87

te

chn

ica

lly

).

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art

ne

rs w

as

bo

rn

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fth

an

sa h

ad

a n

ew

co

at

of

pa

int

(liv

ery

)

•P

an

Am

Fli

gh

t 1

03

exp

lod

es

ove

r Lo

cke

rbie

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eh

ran

Na

sse

ri,

“Te

rmin

al

Ma

n”

is s

tuck

at

CD

G

•P

roza

c is

in

tro

du

ced

as

an

an

ti-d

ep

ress

an

t.

•S

teff

i G

raff

win

s U

S O

pe

n T

en

nis

•C

Ds

ou

tse

ll v

iny

l fo

r th

e f

irst

tim

e e

ver.

Page 22: Plus ça change: 20 years of aviation inventory distribution technology

Wh

at

ha

ve b

ee

n t

he

big

win

ne

rs a

nd

lose

rs o

ver

the

la

st 2

0 y

ea

rs?

No

Ch

an

ge

rs

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DS

Scr

ee

ns

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riva

te F

are

s

Lose

rs

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an

kru

pt

Air

lin

es

•G

DS

Mo

de

l

Win

ne

rs

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icke

tle

ss

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nli

ne

Tra

vel

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riva

te F

are

s

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arg

ain

s

•E

very

ye

ar

an

oth

er

ne

w

com

pa

ny

•M

ore

ho

t a

ir

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ig T

ou

r O

pe

rato

rs

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ck o

f sm

art

p

eo

ple

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DS

Mo

de

l

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en

da

nt

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icke

t P

rin

ters

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ave

l A

ge

nts

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revie

w T

rave

l

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ou

ntl

ess

Te

ch

com

pa

nie

s

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uro

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rlin

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vest

ors

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lig

ht

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che

ns

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lita

lia

/Ma

rgin

al

Air

lin

es

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nli

ne

Tra

vel

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eo

ple

wit

h s

tam

ina

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ma

de

us

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xpe

dia

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ire

ct C

ha

nn

els

•LC

Cs

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oo

gle

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eg

a C

arr

iers

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llia

nce

s

Page 23: Plus ça change: 20 years of aviation inventory distribution technology

So

me

qu

est

ion

s w

e a

ske

d

Eu

rop

e

•O

po

do

–w

ha

t w

ere

th

ey

th

ink

ing

??

?

•LH

’s f

irst

pa

pe

rle

ss

exp

eri

me

nt

US

A a

nd

Ro

W

•A

nse

ttA

NZ

an

d S

inga

po

re A

ir –

a g

oo

d m

arr

iag

e?

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uji

–sm

art

?e

xpe

rim

en

t

•W

hy

did

Co

nco

rde

sh

ut

do

wn

?

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lym

pic

an

d B

A?

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lita

lia

an

d a

ny

thin

g?

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issa

ir a

nd

an

yth

ing

?

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uro

Dis

ne

y?

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ng

Ha

ul

LCC

e.g

. O

asi

s?

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S R

yan

air

=S

ky

bu

s= F

ail

ure

•A

tra

din

g f

loo

r fo

r se

ats

?

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isn

ey

lan

d in

Ho

ng

Ko

ng

?

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rofi

tab

le A

irli

ne

s in

In

dia

?

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via

tio

n in

Afr

ica

?

Page 24: Plus ça change: 20 years of aviation inventory distribution technology

So

me

Mil

est

on

es:

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96

4 S

ab

re i

s la

un

che

d a

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irst

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mp

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rva

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yst

em

), l

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ing

all

off

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s o

f A

A.

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96

9 F

ou

r U

S u

niv

ers

itie

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pu

ter

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fir

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97

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an

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Page 25: Plus ça change: 20 years of aviation inventory distribution technology

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Page 26: Plus ça change: 20 years of aviation inventory distribution technology

So

we

are

sti

ll g

oin

g i

n t

he

sa

me

dir

ect

ion

•B

asi

call

y n

ow

he

re!

Page 27: Plus ça change: 20 years of aviation inventory distribution technology

Th

an

k y

ou

An

d c

on

gra

tula

tio

ns

to y

ou

all

fo

r A

nd

co

ng

ratu

lati

on

s to

yo

u a

ll f

or

surv

ivin

g 2

0 y

ea

rs!

Tim

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pa

ct.c

om

+1

42

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36

47

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