PLANS FOR THE INTERNATIONAL HELIOPHYSICAL YEAR J. Davila, B. Thompson, N. Gopalswamy NASA-GSFC...

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PLANS FOR THE INTERNATIONAL HELIOPHYSICAL YEAR J. Davila, B. Thompson, N. Gopalswamy NASA-GSFC October 14, 2004

Transcript of PLANS FOR THE INTERNATIONAL HELIOPHYSICAL YEAR J. Davila, B. Thompson, N. Gopalswamy NASA-GSFC...

Page 1: PLANS FOR THE INTERNATIONAL HELIOPHYSICAL YEAR J. Davila, B. Thompson, N. Gopalswamy NASA-GSFC October 14, 2004.

PLANS FOR THE INTERNATIONAL HELIOPHYSICAL YEAR

J. Davila, B. Thompson, N. Gopalswamy

NASA-GSFC

October 14, 2004

Page 2: PLANS FOR THE INTERNATIONAL HELIOPHYSICAL YEAR J. Davila, B. Thompson, N. Gopalswamy NASA-GSFC October 14, 2004.

IHY (http://ihy.gsfc.nasa.gov) 2

Why IHY? The Historical Perspective

• First International Polar Year– January 1875 at the Academy of Sciences in Vienna Carl Weyprecht suggested a coordinated study of the

north polar region – Polar meteorological and magnetic observations commenced on Aug 1, 1882 and concluded Sep 1, 1883

• Second International Polar Year– Scientific activities were significantly limited by the world-wide economic depression – Polar meteorological and magnetic observations to be made in 1932-1933, fifty years after the first IPY

The logical next step is to extend global studies into the Heliosphere to incorporate the drivers of Geophysical change into the global system-The IHY.

• International Geophysical Year– In 1957 the IGY involved about 60,000

scientists from 66 nations– To obtain simultaneous, global observations

on Earth and in space

Page 3: PLANS FOR THE INTERNATIONAL HELIOPHYSICAL YEAR J. Davila, B. Thompson, N. Gopalswamy NASA-GSFC October 14, 2004.

IHY (http://ihy.gsfc.nasa.gov) 3

Evolution of System Studies

19571933 20071883

TIME

Siz

e S

cale

Stu

die

d

IPY-1

IPY-2

IGY

IHY

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Advances During Previous International Years

• IPY 1– Auroral oval structure and dynamics– Currents flowing in the upper atmosphere produce magnetic

perturbations on the ground– Currents flow between upper atmosphere and space

• IPY 2– International polar observing network– New instrumentation (radiosondes and ionosondes)– Rapid run magnetometers– Simultaneous measurements at multiple stations– Global current pattern for specific magnetic disturbance

(magnetic bays)

• IGY– Interhemispheric network of polar stations– New instrumentation (all-sky cameras, satellites)– Major discovery (radiation belts)– New concepts (the magnetosphere, substorms)– Exploration of space– Global 3D synoptic data– Evidence of time-dependent global dynamics

Lapland, 1882

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IHY Scientific Goals

• Provide benchmark measurements of the response of the magnetosphere, the ionosphere, the lower atmosphere and Earth surface to identify global processes and drivers which affect the terrestrial environment and climate

• Global study of the Sun-heliosphere system outward to the heliopause to understand the external, and historic drivers of geophysical change

• Foster international scientific cooperation in the study of Heliophysical phenomena now and in the future

• To communicate the unique scientific results of the IHY to the interested scientific community and to the general public

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IHY (http://ihy.gsfc.nasa.gov) 6

Why Now?

• A large armada of existing or planned spacecraft are in place to provide the most comprehensive global measurements of the sun-earth interplanetary system yet obtained

• Earth based observatories can provide measurements of terrestrial effects at the poles and elsewhere

• International collaboration is easier today than in previous international years with abundant and cheap electronic communication available

• No single country has sufficient resources to obtain all required observations

• The time is ripe for IHY global studies.

STEREO

ACE

SOHO

Page 7: PLANS FOR THE INTERNATIONAL HELIOPHYSICAL YEAR J. Davila, B. Thompson, N. Gopalswamy NASA-GSFC October 14, 2004.

IHY (http://ihy.gsfc.nasa.gov) 7

What is the Opportunity?

• Similar physical processes are evident in vastly different environments

True-color image of Earth’s aurora taken from Space Shuttle

Jupiter’s aurora imaged with HST

Aurora at Saturn’s poles

Cross-cutting solar system science

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Ear

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Mer

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Sol

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Reconnection X X X X X X X X X

Shocks X X X X X X X X X

Plasma Waves X X X X

Turbulence X X X X X X X X X X X

Particle Acceleration X X X X

Dynamo X

Magnetic Energy Storage & Release

X X X X X X X X X

Flux Ropes, Magnetospheres and other Magnetic Structures

X X X X X X X X X

Partially Ionized Plasma

X

Particle Propagation X X X X

Climate Change X X X

OBSERVATIONAL PHENOMENA FOR CAMPAIGNS

Climate

Aur

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Solar Physics Heliospheric PhysicsMagnetospheric, Ionospheric Physics

Cross-Cutting IHY Approach

•Observa-tional campaigns are organized for various phenomena

•Scientific results organized by physical process

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IHY (http://ihy.gsfc.nasa.gov) 9

General Benefits of the IHY

• The IHY will help us develop a deeper understanding of physical processes through a program of comparative study throughout the solar system.

• The IHY will further the study of energetic events in the solar system, paving the way for safe travel to the Moon and planets in the future.

• The IHY 2007 will serve to inspire the next generation of space physicists, as the IGY 1957 inspired us.

• The IHY will help maintain US leadership in space science.

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IHY (http://ihy.gsfc.nasa.gov) 10

Benefits to NASA

• Provides a community consensus structure to unite Earth and Space Science into the new field of “helioPHYSICS”. A good fit to the new Exploration Initiative organizational structure

• Broadens the use of space data by making data available, and involving new science groups while leveraging data analysis funds

• Provides National and World-Wide public visibility for NASA programs at all levels

• Pathfinder for ILWS science program, with high-priority concensus science objectives identified by International Teams

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IHY (http://ihy.gsfc.nasa.gov) 11

Planning Process

International Planning Meeting

J. Davila (US), R. Jain (IN),

I. Veselovsky (Rus)July 2005

Toulouse, France

International Science Plan

Presented to International Planning CommitteeRussia, Ukraine

V. Obridko

Asia PacificT. Kosugi, I. Cairns,

ChinaGuangli HuangAugust 2004

United KingdomR. HarrisonNov 2003

United StatesJ. Davila, N. Crooker

April 2004Spring 2005

IndiaR. Jain,

A. BhattacharyaJuly 2004

EuropeJ.-L. Bougeret, B. Schmieder,R. Wimmer,

R. von Steiger

Meeting Planned

Meeting Complete

Latin AmericaM. Machado, C. Mandrini, P. Kaufmann

United NationsH. Haubold

October 2004May 2005

AfricaB. RaibuMoraal,

S. Yousef

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US Planning WorkshopSac Peak, NM 22-24 April, 2004

• Objective – Begin to organize the scientific program for the IHY in the US science community

• Scientific organizers -- Nancy Crooker, and Dan Baker (Co-Chairs), Charles Jackman, Chuck Smith, Eberhard Mobius, and David Webb. K.S. Balasubramaniam and Alexi Pevtsov were Local Organizers.

• Four Working Groups Formed – – Climate and Earth Atmosphere (WG Leaders: Mark Baldwin and Rolando

Garcia) – Magnetospheres and Ionospheres (WG Leaders: Howard Singer and Jan

Soika)– Heliosphere and Solar Wind (WG Leaders: Justin Kasper and Eberhard

Mobius)– Solar Drivers (WG Leaders: Terry Forbes and Sarah Gibson).

• Workshop talks and working group summaries are available at website http://www.nso.edu/general/workshops/ihy2004

IHY U.S. Community Science Workshop being planned in early 2005 in Boulder CO, International workshop will be held in July 2005 in Toulouse, France

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Recent Progress

• Developed a schedule of activities and are making progress towards finalizing research plans for 2007

• The International Steering Committee has been established• Coordination with the UNBSS program continues.  We will focus on

partnerships with developing nations to establish distributed instrument networks, and we are exploring how to do it with help from UNBSS.  Planning workshop in October at GSFC to discuss coordination.  A larger meeting with UNBSS is scheduled for November in UAE

• Science Coordination Database has been established and is being populated, Campaign Coordination Database in development http://ihy.gsfc.nasa.gov/

• IHY events and activities at scores of international meetings and symposia

• IGY Historical activities underway in partnership with the AGU History Committee, eGY and the AIP’s Center for History of Physics

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IHY (http://ihy.gsfc.nasa.gov) 14

The IHY Science Coordination Database

Over 100 instruments already entered into database

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IHY Planning Schedule

• 2004: Regional coordination meetings, campaigns begin to be defined, synergy/coordination discussions with professional organizations• 2005: Synthesis from regional to international, merging of science working groups and campaigns, "backfilling" missing initiatives• 2006: Prototyping year, preliminary work, review and finalize campaign proposals, proposals to national funding agencies• 2007: IHY campaigns, establish data bases and tools• 2008: workshops, publications, archives

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Schedule of Activities

J an Apr J ul Oct J an Apr J ul Oct J an Apr J ul Oct J an Apr J ul Oct J an Apr J ul Oct J an Apr J ul Oct J an Apr J ul Oct

Science Leadership

Developing Nations International IHY Science Campaigns Workshop Planning Meeting Coordinated Analysis Workshops, Activities

Identify Members Synthesis IHY Results Sessions at Meetings

Establish SWGs compile int'l inputs, Publications and Reports

SWGs finalize campaigns

USA OrganizersWorkshop

Identify Planning Activities

Team Members IHY Special Sessions at Meetings

UK OrganizersWorkshop

National Planning Activities in Individual NationsRecruit Country Reps Synthesis of Int'l Activities

Scientific Activities and Research

Study Implement Populate Dbase Coordinated Analysis Workshops, Activities

Planning Activities IHY Results Sessions at Meetings

IHY Special Sessions at Meetings Publications and Reports

Theory & Modeling Initiative

Establish SWGs compile int'l inputs, IHY Science Campaigns

SWGs finalize campaigns

LWS/IHY Sessions and Workshop at IAGA Mtg

International Living With a StarIntegration with IPY Science J oint IHY/ IPY Science Campaigns

International Science Organizing Committee

U.S. Science Organizing Committee

Recruit Country/Region Representatives and Initiate Local Planning Activities

Scientific Analysis, Modeling, Research Efforts

Campaign Coordination Database Dev'lpmnt

IHY Campaign Coordination

Coordinated Activities with Other Organizations and Agencies, such as IPY, LWS, SCOSTEP, etc.

2008 20092003 2004 2005 2006 2007

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Communication

Basic Structure Add Resources and Tools Continue to Populate, Serve as a Contact and Information Point

Collect and Digitize IGY Historical Info & Contributions

Information, recruiting Science Input Stimulate Analysis and Discussion

IHY Special Sessions at Meetings IHY Results Sessions at Meetings

Develop Tools & Town Hall Leaders lead activities,

Coord. Structure Incorporate Results after meeting

IHY Special Sessions at Meetings Coordinated Analysis Workshops, Activities

IHY Results Sessions at Meetings

Activity Coordination

Design/Test Populate Database

Study Implement Populate Dbase IHY Science Campaigns

SWGs compile int'l inputs,

finalize campaigns

Study Implement Populate Database Access and AnalysisCoordinated Analysis Workshops, Activities

Developing Nations Initiatives

UNBSS IHY UNBSS Workshop UNBSS Workshop UNBSS Workshop UNBSS Workshop UNBSS Workshop

Coordination Meeting on IHY 2007 on IHY 2007 on IHY 2007 on IHY on IHY

Planning Initiative Development Continued Identification of Targeted Development Activities

NSF DASI Workshop

Identify Identify Participants, Development and Deployment of Continued Proposals Funding Sources Global Instrumentation "Legacy"

E/ PO

Basic Structure Teacher Activities, Serve as a coordination point for activities, Educator Tools stimulate interest in IHY activities & events

Special IHY/ IPY EPO Session @AGU E/PO Committee Activities

Develop Educator Resources

Town Hall Meetings/ Special Sessions Dedicated Activities at1957 "Alumni" Gatherings at AGU 2007 IUGG Meeting

Collect and Digitize IGY Historical Info & Contributions Publications

Development Efforts

IGY 2007 History (J oint with AGU History Committee)

IHY Website

IHY Contacts at most scientific meetings

Global Scientific Instrumentation Activities

UN Basic Space Science Activities

Science Coordination Database

"Town Hall" discussions and Special Sessions at major meetings

IHY Scientific Meetings and Science Workshops

Data and Model Access System

Campaign Coordination and Planning Database

Theory & Modeling Initiative Development

IHY Website

J an Apr J ul Oct J an Apr J ul Oct J an Apr J ul Oct J an Apr J ul Oct J an Apr J ul Oct J an Apr J ul Oct J an Apr J ul Oct

2008 20092003 2004 2005 2006 2007

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IHY (http://ihy.gsfc.nasa.gov) 18

Preliminary Budget

J an Apr J ul Oct J an Apr J ul Oct J an Apr J ul Oct J an Apr J ul Oct J an Apr J ul OctScience Leadership

Barbara 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.325 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 420.0

Gopal 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.216.5 16.5 16.5 16.5 16.5 16.5 16.5 16.5 16.5 16.5 16.5 16.5 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 278.0

Davila 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.216.5 16.5 16.5 16.5 16.5 16.5 16.5 16.5 16.5 16.5 16.5 16.5 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 278.0

Travel 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 9 9 9 9 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 148Workshop Support 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 60Internat'l Partners 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 3200NCAR 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 420

Science Activities & ResNASA NRA 2000 2000 2000 6000.0NSF 1000 1000 1000 3000.0Air Force TBD TBD TBDNOAA Forecast/Modeling TBD TBD TBDInternat'l Partners 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 32000CDAWs 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 40.0ISSI Wksp, Volume 150 150 300.0IAU Symposia 40 50 50 140.0COSPAR Symposia 40 50 50 140.0

CommunicationProgrammer 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25

12.5 12.5 12.5 12.5 12.5 12.5 12.5 12.5 12.5 12.5 12.5 12.5 12.5 12.5 175.0Web Admin 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25

12.5 12.5 12.5 12.5 12.5 12.5 12.5 12.5 12.5 12.5 12.5 12.5 12.5 12.5 175.0Prod and Matls 3 3 3 3 5 5 5 5 7 7 7 7 60.0Media Relations 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.33

16.5 16.5 16.5 16.5 16.5 16.5 16.5 16.5 16.5 16.5 165.0Activity Coordination

Data System 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2eGY/NOAA 10.0 10.0 25.0 25.0 25.0 25.0 10.0 10.0 10.0 10.0 160.0

Developing Nations InitNSF DASI 1000 1000 2000.0UNBSS 75 175 75 75 75 175 75 75 75 175 75 75

EPOEduc Res Dev 2 2 2 6.0Education Partners 10 10 10 10 10 30 30 30 30 60 60 60 60 60 60 530.0

Total 49695NASA Total 7805.0

2007 2008 20092005 2006

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Reference Slides

Page 20: PLANS FOR THE INTERNATIONAL HELIOPHYSICAL YEAR J. Davila, B. Thompson, N. Gopalswamy NASA-GSFC October 14, 2004.

IHY (http://ihy.gsfc.nasa.gov) 20

The IHY Campaign Database

• The IHY Campaign site contains all of the logistics for IHY campaign planning. Searchable fields will include:

• The Science Working Group Objectives, leaders and participants

• Approved and Proposed campaigns

• Participating Observatories and Observatory Representatives

• Campaign observing targets• Modelers • Campaign Number• Science Objective

• IHY participants interested in the Campaign's scientific topic

• Scientific Publications Relevant to the Campaign's scientific topic

• Start Date, End Date

• Participating Observatory(s)

• A searchable IHY Campaign calendar

• A searchable IHY Science Planning Database

• A searchable IHY Campaign Database

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IHY International Steering Committee

-Help to stimulate, find support for, and coordinate with National IHY Initiatives in other countries- Help to plan international workshops and meetings- Work on "integration and synthesizing" in 2005-2006

Joe Davila, Nat Gopalswamy, Dick Fisher, J.-L. Bougeret, Richard Harrison, Madhavan Nair, Barbara Thompson, Takeo Kosugi, Vladimir Obridko, Archana Bhattacharya, Marcos Machado, Don Melrose, Oddbjorn Engvold, Hermann Opgenoorth, Jingxiu Wang, Roger Bonnet, Richard Marsden, Harm Moraal, Shahinaz Yousef, Chris Rapley, Charlie Barton, Hans Haubold, Greg Ginet, Rainer Schwenn, Wing Ip, Eric Priest, Roger Smith, George Siscoe, Iver Cairns, Pierre Rochus, Mike Mendillo, Tim Killeen, Paulett Liewer, Dave McComas, Neil Murphy, Joann Joselyn, R. Srinivasan, Jack Gosling

IHY has Six International Regions: Latin America, Asia/Pacific, FSU, Europe, Africa, US/Canada. Leadership teams have been or are being established for each region.

Note: All members are not confirmed

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IHY International Planning Coordinators

- Heinzl: Czech Republic

- Michalek: Poland- Arnold Benz: Switzerland- Rob Wimmer-Schweinbruger: Germany- Dalmiro Maia: Portugal- Javier Rodriguez-Pacheko: Spain- Ester Antonucci: Italy- Brigitte Schmeider: France- Andy Breen: UK- Peter Gallagher: Ireland- Pierre Kauffman: Brazil - Bill Liu: Canada- Guangli Huang: China- Rajmal Jain, Narain Rao: India- Lu Lee: Taiwan- Kojima, Kamide, Fuji, Terasawa: Japan- Stefan Poedts: Belgium- Ismail Sabbah: Kuwait- Bo Andersen: Norway

- Cristina Mandrini, Marta Rovira: Argentina- Xochitl Blanco-Cano (Mexico)- E Turunen, Usoskin, Pulkinnen: Finland - Rajmal Jain: India- Karel Kudela: Slovakia- Bindschadler: Antarctica- Obridko, Veselovsky: Russia- Harm Moraal: South Africa- Hady: Egypt- Babatunde Rabiu: Nigeria- Dong-Hun Lee, S.Y. Yun : S. Korea- Chilingairayan: Azerbaijan- Axel Brandenburg, Eigil Friis-Christensen: Denmark- Sixto Gonzalez: Puerto Rico- Rusdijak: Croatia- Walter Gonzalez: Brazil- Xenophon Moussas: Greece - Gedalin: Israel