Plan 3: Fair Trials with Two Dice - Scoilnet · 2019. 6. 25. · Fair Trials with Two Dice Aims •...

17
Teaching & Learning Plans Plan 3: Fair Trials with Two Dice Leaving Certificate Syllabus

Transcript of Plan 3: Fair Trials with Two Dice - Scoilnet · 2019. 6. 25. · Fair Trials with Two Dice Aims •...

Page 1: Plan 3: Fair Trials with Two Dice - Scoilnet · 2019. 6. 25. · Fair Trials with Two Dice Aims • To learn that not all results are equally probable • To consider a given set

Teaching & Learning PlansPlan 3: Fair Trials with Two Dice

Leaving Certificate Syllabus

Page 2: Plan 3: Fair Trials with Two Dice - Scoilnet · 2019. 6. 25. · Fair Trials with Two Dice Aims • To learn that not all results are equally probable • To consider a given set

The Teaching & Learning Plans are structured as follows:

Aims outline what the lesson, or series of lessons, hopes to achieve.

Prior Knowledge points to relevant knowledge students may already have and also to knowledge which may be necessary in order to support them in accessing this new topic.

Learning Outcomes outline what a student will be able to do, know and understand having completed the topic.

Relationship to Syllabus refers to the relevant section of either the Junior and/or Leaving Certificate Syllabus.

Resources Required lists the resources which will be needed in the teaching and learning of a particular topic.

Introducing the topic (in some plans only) outlines an approach to introducing the topic.

Lesson Interaction is set out under four sub-headings:

i. Student Learning Tasks – Teacher Input: This section focuses on teacher input and gives details of the key student tasks and teacher questions which move the lesson forward.

ii. Student Activities – Possible and Expected Responses: Gives details of possible student reactions and responses and possible misconceptions students may have.

iii. Teacher’s Support and Actions: Gives details of teacher actions designed to support and scaffold student learning.

iv. Checking Understanding: Suggests questions a teacher might ask to evaluate whether the goals/learning outcomes are being/have been achieved. This evaluation will inform and direct the teaching and learning activities of the next class(es).

Student Activities linked to the lesson(s) are provided at the end of each plan.

Page 3: Plan 3: Fair Trials with Two Dice - Scoilnet · 2019. 6. 25. · Fair Trials with Two Dice Aims • To learn that not all results are equally probable • To consider a given set

© Project Maths Development Team 2009 www.projectmaths.ie 1

Teaching & Learning Plan 3: Fair Trials with Two Dice

AimsTo learn that not all results are equally probable•

To consider a given set of rules and the outcomes that produce a ‘win’ for •one of two players and to be able to determine whether the game is ‘fair’, i.e. whether each of the two players has the same chance of winning

To consider the theoretical probability of each result and devise a set of •rules to make the game ‘fair’

Prior Knowledge Students should have prior knowledge (from T and L Plan 1 and/or from primary school) of some terms associated with chance and uncertainty. They should be familiar with probability expressed as fraction or decimal in the range 0 to 1, or as a percentage in the range 0% to 100%.

Learning OutcomesAs a result of studying this topic, students will be able to

investigate further what the concept of fairness means in a game with 2 •dice

list all the possible outcomes for throwing 2 dice using a two way table•

relate the number of outcomes to the fundamental principle of counting•

come up with rules for a game which make it fair/unfair•

construct a probability table•

understand the relationship between an event and its complement•

determine the probability of an event using the results of an experiment •and use this to predict the result of a repetition of the experiment, for equally likely outcomes

Page 4: Plan 3: Fair Trials with Two Dice - Scoilnet · 2019. 6. 25. · Fair Trials with Two Dice Aims • To learn that not all results are equally probable • To consider a given set

Teaching & Learning Plan 3: Fair Trials with Two Dice

© Project Maths Development Team 2009 www.projectmaths.ie 2

Relationship to Leaving Certificate Syllabus

Sub-topics Foundation Level

Ordinary Level Higher Level

1.1 Counting List outcomes of an experiment.

Apply the fundamental principle of counting.

Count the arrangements of distinct objects.

1.2 Concepts of probability

Recognise that probability is a measure on a scale of 01- of how likely an event is to occur.

Recognise the role of expected value in decision making with a focus on fair games.

Extend the students’ understanding of the basic rules of probability.

Discrete probability

(as relative frequency)

Probability of desired outcomes in problems involving experiments, such as, dice throwing.

1.3 Outcomes of random processes

Apply the principle that, in the case of equally likely outcomes, the probability is given by the number of outcomes of interest divided by the total number of outcomes.

Resources RequiredCounters, 2 dice and a Game Sheet for each pair of students

Page 5: Plan 3: Fair Trials with Two Dice - Scoilnet · 2019. 6. 25. · Fair Trials with Two Dice Aims • To learn that not all results are equally probable • To consider a given set

Teac

hing

& L

earn

ing

Plan

3: F

air T

rial

s w

ith

Two

Dic

e

© P

roje

ct M

aths

Dev

elop

men

t Tea

m 2

009

w

ww

.pro

ject

mat

hs.ie

KE

Y:

» n

ext

step

stud

ent

answ

er/r

espo

nse

3

Less

on

In

tera

ctio

nSt

uden

t Le

arni

ng T

asks

: Te

ache

r In

put

Stud

ent A

ctiv

itie

s: P

ossi

ble

and

Expe

cted

Res

pons

esTe

ache

r’s S

uppo

rt a

nd

Act

ions

Chec

king

Und

erst

andi

ng

In e

ach

gro

up

of

two

, on

e »

per

son

is n

om

inat

ed a

s A

an

d o

ne

as B

. Pla

yers

A

and

B t

ake

turn

s to

ro

ll th

e d

ie, a

nd

th

e w

inn

er is

d

eter

min

ed b

y th

e su

m o

f th

e n

um

ber

s o

n t

he

face

s as

fo

llow

s:

Stu

den

ts A

an

d B

»

alte

rnat

ely

roll

the

die

, ea

ch t

ime

add

ing

th

e sc

ore

s o

n e

ach

die

to

get

th

e o

utc

om

e. T

hey

pla

ce a

co

un

ter

on

eac

h o

utc

om

e.

A w

ins

if s

um

(i.e

. ou

tco

me)

»

is 2

, 3, 4

, 10,

11

or

12.

B w

ins

if s

um

i.e.

is 5

, 6,

»7,

8, 9

. Pla

y th

e g

ame

on

G

ame

Shee

t 1.

Dis

trib

ute

»

Stu

den

t A

ctiv

ity

1 so

th

at s

tud

ents

can

wri

te

thei

r p

red

icti

on

(St

ud

ent

Act

ivit

y 1A

) an

d k

eep

a

cou

nt

of

the

nu

mb

er o

f ti

mes

eac

h p

laye

r w

ins

(Stu

den

t A

ctiv

ity

1B).

Dis

trib

ute

co

un

ters

an

d

»G

ame

Shee

t 1

and

dic

e to

ea

ch p

air,

chec

kin

g t

hat

st

ud

ents

hav

e a

wri

tten

p

red

icti

on

an

d a

rea

son

fo

r it

.

Can

stu

den

ts r

eco

rd t

hei

r »

init

ial r

esu

lts

in t

hei

r co

pie

s?

Thin

k ab

ou

t th

is f

or

a fe

w

»m

inu

tes

and

wri

te d

ow

n

wh

ich

pla

yer

you

th

ink

will

w

in t

he

gam

e m

ost

oft

en if

it

is p

laye

d m

any

tim

es, a

nd

w

hy

you

th

ink

this

.

Stu

den

ts m

ay t

hin

k th

at

»si

nce

11

nu

mb

ers

hav

e b

een

list

ed, a

nd

sin

ce A

ca

n w

in o

n 6

of

thes

e an

d

B o

nly

on

5, t

hat

A is

mo

re

likel

y to

win

th

an B

.

Ask

fo

r a

sho

w o

f h

and

s o

n

»w

ho

th

inks

A w

ill w

in a

nd

w

ho

th

inks

B w

ill w

in.

Page 6: Plan 3: Fair Trials with Two Dice - Scoilnet · 2019. 6. 25. · Fair Trials with Two Dice Aims • To learn that not all results are equally probable • To consider a given set

Teac

hing

& L

earn

ing

Plan

3: F

air T

rial

s w

ith

Two

Dic

e

© P

roje

ct M

aths

Dev

elop

men

t Tea

m 2

009

w

ww

.pro

ject

mat

hs.ie

KE

Y:

» n

ext

step

stud

ent

answ

er/r

espo

nse

4

Stud

ent

Lear

ning

Tas

ks:

Teac

her

Inpu

tSt

uden

t Act

ivit

ies:

Pos

sibl

e an

d Ex

pect

ed R

espo

nses

Teac

her’s

Sup

port

and

A

ctio

nsCh

ecki

ng U

nder

stan

ding

The

gam

e is

pla

yed

un

til

»o

ne

per

son

has

rea

ched

th

e b

ott

om

of

the

gri

d o

n

Gam

e Sh

eet

1 an

d s

tud

ents

co

un

t th

e n

um

ber

of

tim

es

A w

on

an

d t

he

nu

mb

er o

f ti

mes

B w

on

an

d fi

ll o

ut

the

Mas

ter

Shee

t o

n t

he

bo

ard

als

o.

The

stu

den

ts s

ho

uld

fin

d

»th

at A

win

s o

nly

ab

ou

t 1/

3 o

f th

e ti

me.

Ch

eck

that

eac

h p

air

»u

nd

erst

and

s w

hat

th

ey a

re

do

ing

an

d o

ccas

ion

ally

, as

yo

u c

ircu

late

, ask

“h

and

s u

p h

ow

man

y A

’s

are

win

nin

g?”

an

d t

hen

“h

and

s u

p h

ow

man

y B

’s

are

win

nin

g?”

so

stu

den

ts

are

awar

e o

f an

ove

rall

tren

d.

Plac

e »

Mas

ter

Shee

t 1

(res

ult

s fr

om

th

e w

ho

le

clas

s) o

n t

he

bo

ard

.

Wer

e st

ud

ents

ab

le

»to

co

nd

uct

th

e g

ame

succ

essf

ully

an

d d

id t

hey

n

oti

ce B

win

nin

g m

uch

m

ore

oft

en?

Ho

w m

any

stu

den

ts in

th

e »

clas

s w

ere

able

to

mak

e ac

cura

te p

red

icti

on

s w

ith

va

lid r

easo

ns?

Did

th

ey r

eact

to

th

is a

s »

bei

ng

un

fair

?

Wh

en y

ou

are

fin

ish

ed fi

ll »

ou

t St

ud

ent

Act

ivit

y 1B

an

d fi

ll in

yo

ur

resu

lts

on

M

aste

r Sh

eet

1 (r

esu

lts

fro

m t

he

wh

ole

cla

ss)

on

th

e b

oar

d.

Stu

den

ts c

hec

k th

is a

gai

nst

»

thei

r p

red

icti

on

, an

alys

ing

an

y d

iffe

ren

ce a

nd

fill

in

Stu

den

t A

ctiv

ity

1C.

The

rela

tive

fre

qu

ency

is

»n

ow

clo

ser

to 1

/3.

As

you

cir

cula

te c

hec

k »

pre

dic

tio

ns

agai

nst

o

utc

om

es o

f th

e ex

per

imen

t, a

nd

ask

st

ud

ents

ab

ou

t th

eir

just

ifica

tio

ns.

Wh

ich

nu

mb

er o

n e

ach

»

die

can

no

t b

e a

po

ssib

le

ou

tco

me?

“1 “

can

nev

er b

e an

ou

tco

me

as t

he

smal

lest

su

m p

oss

ible

is 2

.

Do

es t

his

gam

e ap

pea

r to

»

be

fair

?N

o. F

air

– if

A a

nd

B h

ave

•an

eq

ual

ch

ance

of

win

nin

g

oth

erw

ise

un

fair.

Giv

e st

ud

ents

a m

inu

te t

o

»th

ink

and

th

en a

sk o

ne

stu

den

t.

Page 7: Plan 3: Fair Trials with Two Dice - Scoilnet · 2019. 6. 25. · Fair Trials with Two Dice Aims • To learn that not all results are equally probable • To consider a given set

Teac

hing

& L

earn

ing

Plan

3: F

air T

rial

s w

ith

Two

Dic

e

© P

roje

ct M

aths

Dev

elop

men

t Tea

m 2

009

w

ww

.pro

ject

mat

hs.ie

KE

Y:

» n

ext

step

stud

ent

answ

er/r

espo

nse

5

Stud

ent

Lear

ning

Tas

ks:

Teac

her

Inpu

tSt

uden

t Act

ivit

ies:

Pos

sibl

e an

d Ex

pect

ed R

espo

nses

Teac

her’s

Sup

port

and

A

ctio

nsCh

ecki

ng U

nder

stan

ding

Wh

y is

it n

ot

fair

? »

Stu

den

ts m

igh

t sa

y th

at 2

can

on

ly b

e g

ot

1 w

ay (

1+1)

w

her

eas

9 fo

r ex

amp

le c

an

be

go

t fr

om

(3+

6), (

4+5)

.

All

ou

tco

mes

are

no

t •

equ

ally

like

ly.

Giv

e st

ud

ents

a m

inu

te t

o

»th

ink

and

th

en a

sk o

ne

stu

den

t.

Do

stu

den

ts u

nd

erst

and

»

the

con

cep

t o

f fa

irn

ess?

Is t

he

ou

tco

me

4+5

the

»sa

me

as t

he

ou

tco

me

5+4?

No

, bec

ause

th

e fi

rst

tim

e •

4 is

fro

m d

ie 1

an

d t

he

seco

nd

tim

e it

’s f

rom

die

2.

Giv

e st

ud

ents

a m

inu

te t

o

»th

ink

and

th

en a

sk o

ne

stu

den

t.

In h

ow

man

y w

ays

cou

ld a

n

»o

utc

om

e o

f 9

be

ach

ieve

d?

4+5

•5+

4 •

3+6

•6+

3•

Giv

e st

ud

ents

a m

inu

te t

o

»th

ink

and

th

en a

sk o

ne

stu

den

t.

Co

uld

yo

u d

esig

n a

tab

le t

o

»sh

ow

yo

u a

ll th

e p

oss

ible

o

utc

om

es.

The

set

of

all t

he

po

ssib

le

»o

utc

om

es is

cal

led

th

e ‘S

amp

le S

pac

e’.

Try

this

fo

r a

few

min

ute

s. »

Som

e st

ud

ents

will

»

pro

bab

ly c

om

e u

p w

ith

th

e 2

way

tab

le a

nd

sh

ow

it t

o

the

clas

s.

Cir

cula

te lo

oki

ng

at

»st

ud

ent

sug

ges

tio

ns

and

g

ivin

g h

elp

ful h

ints

. On

fi

nd

ing

a s

uit

able

tab

le

ask

stu

den

ts t

o s

ho

w a

nd

ex

pla

in it

to

th

e cl

ass.

St

ud

ents

may

nee

d h

elp

d

esig

nin

g t

he

tab

le.

Ho

w m

any

of

the

stu

den

ts

»w

ere

able

to

co

me

up

wit

h

a su

itab

le t

able

?

Ind

ivid

ual

ly, fi

ll in

th

e »

2-w

ay t

able

fo

r th

e sa

mp

le

spac

e fo

r th

e su

m a

chie

ved

o

n t

hro

win

g 2

dic

e (S

tud

ent

Act

ivit

y 2A

).

Stu

den

ts fi

ll u

p t

he

tab

le

»as

per

exa

mp

le in

Stu

den

t A

ctiv

ity

2A.

Dis

trib

ute

»

Stu

den

t A

ctiv

ity

2.

Cir

cula

te t

o c

hec

k th

at

»st

ud

ents

un

der

stan

d h

ow

to

fill

it in

.

Are

all

stu

den

ts a

ble

to

fill

»in

th

e ta

ble

su

cces

sfu

lly

and

wit

h u

nd

erst

and

ing

?

Page 8: Plan 3: Fair Trials with Two Dice - Scoilnet · 2019. 6. 25. · Fair Trials with Two Dice Aims • To learn that not all results are equally probable • To consider a given set

Teac

hing

& L

earn

ing

Plan

3: F

air T

rial

s w

ith

Two

Dic

e

© P

roje

ct M

aths

Dev

elop

men

t Tea

m 2

009

w

ww

.pro

ject

mat

hs.ie

KE

Y:

» n

ext

step

stud

ent

answ

er/r

espo

nse

6

Stud

ent

Lear

ning

Tas

ks:

Teac

her

Inpu

tSt

uden

t Act

ivit

ies:

Pos

sibl

e an

d Ex

pect

ed R

espo

nses

Teac

her’s

Sup

port

and

A

ctio

nsCh

ecki

ng U

nder

stan

ding

Ho

w m

any

po

ssib

le

»o

utc

om

es a

re t

her

e?

Stu

den

t A

ctiv

ity

2B.

36.

•C

ircu

late

an

d lo

ok

at t

he

»an

swer

s b

ein

g fi

lled

in,

aski

ng

qu

esti

on

s w

her

e n

eces

sary

.

Can

yo

u r

elat

e th

is b

ack

to

»th

e fu

nd

amen

tal p

rin

cip

le

of

cou

nti

ng

in a

pre

vio

us

less

on

?

If t

her

e ar

e 6

dif

fere

nt

•o

utc

om

es f

rom

die

1,

and

6 d

iffe

ren

t o

utc

om

es

fro

m d

ie 2

, th

en t

he

tota

l nu

mb

er o

f p

oss

ible

o

utc

om

es is

6x6

= 3

6.

Ask

th

e q

ues

tio

n a

nd

wai

t »

for

som

eon

e to

vo

lun

teer

an

an

swer

. If

it’s

th

e sa

me

per

son

an

swer

ing

all

the

tim

e, a

sk a

no

ther

stu

den

t,

lead

ing

th

em t

o t

he

answ

er if

th

ey d

on

’t k

no

w

it, b

y re

ferr

ing

bac

k to

an

ex

amp

le t

hey

did

wh

en

lear

nin

g t

he

fun

dam

enta

l p

rin

cip

le o

f co

un

tin

g.

Hav

e st

ud

ents

bee

n a

ble

»

to r

ecal

l an

d u

se t

he

fun

dam

enta

l pri

nci

ple

of

cou

nti

ng

?

Go

ing

bac

k to

th

e ru

les

of

»th

e g

ame,

fo

r h

ow

man

y o

utc

om

es w

ill p

laye

r A

w

in a

nd

fo

r h

ow

man

y o

utc

om

es w

ill p

laye

r B

w

in?

Stu

den

t A

ctiv

ity

2C.

12 o

f th

e 36

ou

tco

mes

giv

e •

a w

in f

or

A w

her

eas

24 o

f th

e o

utc

om

es g

ive

a w

in

for

B.

Go

bac

k to

yo

ur

pre

dic

tio

n

»ag

ain

, Stu

den

t A

ctiv

ity

1C,

and

if it

was

no

t co

nsi

sten

t w

ith

th

e o

utc

om

e w

rite

d

ow

n w

hy

it w

as d

iffe

ren

t.

Stu

den

ts a

rtic

ula

te t

hei

r »

mis

con

cep

tio

ns.

Cir

cula

te a

nd

no

te

»m

isco

nce

pti

on

s, a

nd

ask

a

sele

ctio

n o

f st

ud

ents

wh

o

tho

ug

ht

A w

ou

ld w

in t

o

exp

lain

wh

y th

ey t

ho

ug

ht

that

an

d w

hy

they

no

w

thin

k d

iffe

ren

tly.

Are

stu

den

ts a

ble

to

»

un

der

stan

d in

cas

es w

her

e th

eir

pre

dic

tio

ns

wer

e in

er

ror

wh

y th

is w

as s

o?

Page 9: Plan 3: Fair Trials with Two Dice - Scoilnet · 2019. 6. 25. · Fair Trials with Two Dice Aims • To learn that not all results are equally probable • To consider a given set

Teac

hing

& L

earn

ing

Plan

3: F

air T

rial

s w

ith

Two

Dic

e

© P

roje

ct M

aths

Dev

elop

men

t Tea

m 2

009

w

ww

.pro

ject

mat

hs.ie

KE

Y:

» n

ext

step

stud

ent

answ

er/r

espo

nse

7

Stud

ent

Lear

ning

Tas

ks: T

each

er In

put

Stud

ent A

ctiv

itie

s:

Poss

ible

and

Exp

ecte

d Re

spon

ses

Teac

her’s

Sup

port

and

A

ctio

nsCh

ecki

ng U

nder

stan

ding

Wri

te d

ow

n n

ew r

ule

s fo

r th

e g

ame,

»

Stu

den

t A

ctiv

ity

2D, w

hic

h w

ill m

ake

it f

air

and

an

exp

lan

atio

n o

f w

hy

it is

n

ow

fai

r.

Is m

ore

th

an o

ne

set

of

rule

s p

oss

ible

? »

Dif

fere

nt

gro

up

s »

pre

sen

t th

eir

new

ru

les

for

clas

s ap

pro

val.

For

exam

ple

. Pla

yer

A

•w

ins

if t

he

ou

tco

me

is

2, 3

, 4, 5

, 8 o

r 10

an

d B

w

ins

if t

he

ou

tco

me

is

6, 7

, 9, 1

1 o

r 12

.

Cir

cula

te a

nd

wh

en

»g

rou

ps

are

fin

ish

ed a

sk

a co

up

le o

f g

rou

ps

to

exp

lain

th

eir

new

ru

les.

Are

stu

den

ts a

ble

to

»

mak

e u

p m

ore

th

an o

ne

set

of

rule

s sa

tisf

yin

g

the

crit

erio

n f

or

a fa

ir

gam

e?

The

app

roac

h in

Tea

chin

g &

Lea

rnin

g

»Pl

an 2

, an

d a

bo

ve in

Stu

den

t A

ctiv

ity

1B, i

s kn

ow

n a

s th

e ‘e

xper

imen

tal’

or

‘em

pir

ical

’ ap

pro

ach

to

cal

cula

tin

g

pro

bab

iliti

es. I

n t

his

cas

e th

e pr

obab

ility

of

an e

ven

t is

th

e va

lue

that

th

e re

lati

ve f

req

uen

cy t

end

s to

in a

n

infi

nit

e n

um

ber

of

tria

ls.

In t

he

theo

reti

cal a

pp

roac

h, w

hen

»

thro

win

g a

die

, th

ere

are

six

po

ssib

le

ou

tco

mes

wh

ich

are

all

equa

lly li

kely

to

ap

pea

r d

ue

to t

he

sym

met

ry o

f th

e d

ie, a

nd

giv

en t

hat

it is

a f

air

die

(n

ot

load

ed)

so w

e h

ave

no

rea

son

to

as

sum

e th

at a

ny

nu

mb

er w

ill a

pp

ear

mo

re o

ften

th

an a

no

ther

. A2

is o

ne

of

the

6 p

oss

ible

ou

tco

mes

, so

th

e lik

elih

oo

d o

f it

tu

rnin

g u

p is

1 o

ut

of

6.

Page 10: Plan 3: Fair Trials with Two Dice - Scoilnet · 2019. 6. 25. · Fair Trials with Two Dice Aims • To learn that not all results are equally probable • To consider a given set

Teac

hing

& L

earn

ing

Plan

3: F

air T

rial

s w

ith

Two

Dic

e

© P

roje

ct M

aths

Dev

elop

men

t Tea

m 2

009

w

ww

.pro

ject

mat

hs.ie

KE

Y:

» n

ext

step

stud

ent

answ

er/r

espo

nse

8

Stud

ent

Lear

ning

Tas

ks:

Teac

her

Inpu

tSt

uden

t Act

ivit

ies:

Pos

sibl

e an

d Ex

pect

ed R

espo

nses

Teac

her’s

Sup

port

and

A

ctio

nsCh

ecki

ng U

nder

stan

ding

Wh

at is

th

e re

lati

on

ship

»

bet

wee

n t

he

exp

erim

enta

l ap

pro

ach

to

cal

cula

tin

g

pro

bab

ility

an

d t

he

theo

reti

cal a

pp

roac

h?

As

the

nu

mb

er o

f tr

ials

incr

ease

s th

e re

lati

ve

freq

uen

cy b

eco

mes

alm

ost

eq

ual

to

th

e th

eore

tica

l p

rob

abili

ty.

Ask

s st

ud

ents

to

rec

all a

nd

»

then

aft

er a

sh

ort

pau

se

asks

an

ind

ivid

ual

.

Can

stu

den

ts r

ecal

l ho

w t

o

»ca

lcu

late

pro

bab

ility

fo

r eq

ual

ly li

kely

ou

tco

mes

?

Ho

w d

o w

e ca

lcu

late

th

e »

theo

reti

cal p

rob

abili

ty

of

each

ou

tco

me

in t

his

sa

mp

le s

pac

e?

Ho

w m

any

tim

es it

occ

urs

div

ided

by

the

tota

l nu

mb

er o

f p

oss

ible

o

utc

om

es.

Wh

at a

ssu

mp

tio

n a

re w

e »

mak

ing

?A

ll o

utc

om

es a

re e

qu

ally

likel

y.

Are

all

36 o

utc

om

es e

qu

ally

»

likel

y h

ere?

Yes

.•

Co

nst

ruct

a p

rob

abili

ty

»ta

ble

(St

ud

ent

Act

ivit

y 3)

fo

r th

e su

m o

f 2

dic

e u

sin

g

Stu

den

t A

ctiv

ity

2A.

Wal

k ar

ou

nd

ob

serv

ing

»

stu

den

ts a

s th

ey fi

ll o

ut

the

pro

bab

ility

tab

le.

Did

stu

den

ts fi

ll o

ut

the

»ta

ble

co

rrec

tly?

Ass

um

ing

th

at b

oth

of

the

»d

ice

are

fair,

an

d a

ll 36

o

utc

om

es a

re e

qu

ally

like

ly,

wh

at is

th

e p

rob

abili

ty o

f th

e su

m b

ein

g 5

?

Usi

ng

th

e 2

way

tab

le

•(S

tud

ent

Act

ivit

y 2A

) sh

ow

ing

th

e sa

mp

le s

pac

e co

nst

ruct

ed f

or

the

gam

e,

ther

e ar

e 4

ou

tco

mes

fo

r 5,

so

th

e p

rob

abili

ty o

f g

etti

ng

a 5

is 4

/36.

Wh

at is

th

e su

m o

f th

e »

pro

bab

iliti

es f

or

the

sam

ple

sp

ace?

1•

Ask

stu

den

ts if

th

ey

»re

mem

ber

th

is h

app

enin

g

in t

he

last

less

on

wit

h

ou

tco

mes

fro

m 1

die

?

Did

all

stu

den

ts g

et 1

? »

Page 11: Plan 3: Fair Trials with Two Dice - Scoilnet · 2019. 6. 25. · Fair Trials with Two Dice Aims • To learn that not all results are equally probable • To consider a given set

Teac

hing

& L

earn

ing

Plan

3: F

air T

rial

s w

ith

Two

Dic

e

© P

roje

ct M

aths

Dev

elop

men

t Tea

m 2

009

w

ww

.pro

ject

mat

hs.ie

KE

Y:

» n

ext

step

stud

ent

answ

er/r

espo

nse

9

Stud

ent

Lear

ning

Tas

ks:

Teac

her

Inpu

tSt

uden

t Act

ivit

ies:

Pos

sibl

e an

d Ex

pect

ed R

espo

nses

Teac

her’s

Sup

port

and

A

ctio

nsCh

ecki

ng U

nder

stan

ding

If t

he

pro

bab

ility

of

get

tin

g

»a

3 is

2/3

6, w

hat

is t

he

pro

bab

ility

of

no

t g

etti

ng

a

3 w

ith

ou

t ad

din

g u

p a

ll th

e o

ther

pro

bab

iliti

es?

Wri

te

do

wn

th

e an

swer

.

1-2/

36=

34/3

6•

If a

stu

den

t ca

nn

ot

get

th

e »

answ

er w

ith

ou

t ad

din

g u

p

all t

he

oth

er p

rob

abili

ties

, te

ll th

em t

o d

o t

hat

firs

t an

d t

hen

see

if t

hey

can

th

en fi

nd

th

e o

ther

way

by

insp

ecti

ng

th

eir

answ

er.

Ho

w m

any

stu

den

ts g

ot

»th

e co

rrec

t an

swer

wit

ho

ut

hav

ing

to

ad

d u

p a

ll th

e o

ther

pro

bab

iliti

es?

Go

ing

bac

k to

th

e o

rig

inal

»

rule

s fo

r th

e g

ame,

wh

at

is t

he

pro

bab

ility

th

at A

w

ins?

Fill

in a

nsw

er o

n

»St

ud

ent

Act

ivit

y 3.

12/3

6=1/

3•

For

stu

den

ts w

ho

hav

e »

dif

ficu

lty:

ask

th

em t

o

cou

nt

ho

w m

any

of

the

ou

tco

mes

giv

e A

a w

in, a

nd

h

ow

man

y o

utc

om

es a

re

ther

e in

to

tal.

Use

th

e p

rob

abili

ty t

hat

»

A w

ins

to c

alcu

late

th

e p

rob

abili

ty t

hat

B w

ins,

w

ith

ou

t ad

din

g.

Fill

in a

nsw

er o

n

»St

ud

ent

Act

ivit

y 3.

1-1/

3=2/

3•

If a

stu

den

t ca

nn

ot

get

th

e »

answ

er w

ith

ou

t ad

din

g u

p

all t

he

oth

er p

rob

abili

ties

, te

ll th

em t

o d

o t

hat

firs

t an

d t

hen

see

if t

hey

can

th

en fi

nd

th

e o

ther

way

by

insp

ecti

ng

th

eir

answ

er.

Do

stu

den

ts u

nd

erst

and

»

the

rela

tio

nsh

ip b

etw

een

an

eve

nt

and

its

com

ple

men

t?

Co

mp

are

this

wit

h

»ex

per

imen

tal r

esu

lt f

or

rela

tive

fre

qu

ency

.

Fill

in a

nsw

er o

n

»St

ud

ent

Act

ivit

y 3.

They

are

ver

y cl

ose

an

d t

he

•re

lati

ve f

req

uen

cy b

eco

mes

cl

ose

r to

th

e th

eore

tica

l p

rob

abili

ty a

s th

e n

um

ber

o

f g

ames

incr

ease

s.

Cir

cula

te c

hec

kin

g t

hat

»

Stu

den

t A

ctiv

ity

3 is

b

ein

g c

om

ple

ted

, ask

ing

q

ues

tio

ns

of

stu

den

ts w

ho

ar

e h

avin

g d

iffi

cult

y.

Do

stu

den

ts s

ee t

hat

»

the

exp

erim

enta

l res

ult

s ap

pro

ach

th

e th

eore

tica

l va

lues

fo

r p

rob

abili

ty a

s th

e n

um

ber

of

gam

es

incr

ease

s?

Page 12: Plan 3: Fair Trials with Two Dice - Scoilnet · 2019. 6. 25. · Fair Trials with Two Dice Aims • To learn that not all results are equally probable • To consider a given set

Teac

hing

& L

earn

ing

Plan

3: F

air T

rial

s w

ith

Two

Dic

e

© P

roje

ct M

aths

Dev

elop

men

t Tea

m 2

009

w

ww

.pro

ject

mat

hs.ie

KE

Y:

» n

ext

step

stud

ent

answ

er/r

espo

nse

10

Stud

ent

Lear

ning

Tas

ks:

Teac

her

Inpu

tSt

uden

t Act

ivit

ies:

Pos

sibl

e an

d Ex

pect

ed R

espo

nses

Teac

her’s

Sup

port

and

A

ctio

nsCh

ecki

ng U

nder

stan

ding

If t

he

pro

bab

ility

of

a su

m

»o

f 7

occ

urr

ing

is 6

/36=

1/6,

h

ow

man

y 7’

s w

ou

ld y

ou

ex

pec

t to

get

if t

he

dic

e ar

e to

ssed

100

tim

es?

100x

1/6

i.e. a

pp

rox

17

•(1

/6 o

f th

e ti

me

you

exp

ect

a 7.

)

Emp

has

ise

that

yo

u a

re

»d

ealin

g w

ith

eq

ual

ly li

kely

o

utc

om

es.

Can

stu

den

ts c

alcu

late

an

»

exp

ecte

d v

alu

e fo

r a

larg

e n

um

ber

of

tria

ls?

Refle

ctio

n

Wri

te d

ow

n 3

th

ing

s yo

u

»le

arn

ed a

bo

ut

pro

bab

ility

to

day

. W

rite

do

wn

an

yth

ing

yo

u

»fo

un

d d

iffi

cult

.

Wri

te d

ow

n a

ny

qu

esti

on

s »

you

may

hav

e.

Ho

w t

o:

•lis

t al

l po

ssib

le o

utc

om

es

1.

(sam

ple

sp

ace)

fo

r th

row

ing

2 d

ice

use

th

e lis

t o

f al

l po

ssib

le

2.

ou

tco

mes

to

jud

ge

fair

nes

sco

nst

ruct

a p

rob

abili

ty

3.

tab

leca

lcu

late

th

e co

mp

lem

ent

4.

of

an e

ven

tca

lcu

late

exp

ecte

d v

alu

e 5.

fo

r a

larg

e n

um

ber

of

tria

ls.

Cir

cula

te a

nd

tak

e »

no

te p

arti

cula

rly

of

any

qu

esti

on

s st

ud

ents

hav

e an

d h

elp

th

em t

o a

nsw

er

them

.

Hav

e al

l stu

den

ts le

arn

ed

»an

d u

nd

erst

oo

d t

hes

e it

ems?

Are

th

ey u

sin

g t

he

»te

rmin

olo

gy

wit

h

un

der

stan

din

g a

nd

co

mm

un

icat

ing

wit

h e

ach

o

ther

usi

ng

th

ese

term

s?

Page 13: Plan 3: Fair Trials with Two Dice - Scoilnet · 2019. 6. 25. · Fair Trials with Two Dice Aims • To learn that not all results are equally probable • To consider a given set

Teaching & Learning Plan 3: Fair Trials with Two Dice

© Project Maths Development Team 2009 www.projectmaths.ie 11

Game Sheet 1A wins A wins A wins B wins B wins B wins B wins B wins A wins A wins A wins

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Page 14: Plan 3: Fair Trials with Two Dice - Scoilnet · 2019. 6. 25. · Fair Trials with Two Dice Aims • To learn that not all results are equally probable • To consider a given set

Teaching & Learning Plan 3: Fair Trials with Two Dice

© Project Maths Development Team 2009 www.projectmaths.ie 12

Student Activity 1

Student Activity 1A Prediction

Player _____ will win most often because:

Student Activity 1B Play the game and record the results below:

Use Tally Marks to Help You Keep a Score

Total (Frequency) Relative Frequency (total no. of wins/total no. of games)

Player A Wins

Player B Wins

Totals

Student Activity 1C Did your predicted results agree with your actual results?

Page 15: Plan 3: Fair Trials with Two Dice - Scoilnet · 2019. 6. 25. · Fair Trials with Two Dice Aims • To learn that not all results are equally probable • To consider a given set

Teaching & Learning Plan 3: Fair Trials with Two Dice

© Project Maths Development Team 2009 www.projectmaths.ie 13

Master Sheet 1 (Results from the Whole Class)

Play the game and record the results below:

Use Tally Marks to Help You Keep a Score

Total (Frequency) Relative Frequency (total no. of wins/total no. of games)

Player A Wins 2+3+...

Player B Wins

Totals

Page 16: Plan 3: Fair Trials with Two Dice - Scoilnet · 2019. 6. 25. · Fair Trials with Two Dice Aims • To learn that not all results are equally probable • To consider a given set

Teaching & Learning Plan 3: Fair Trials with Two Dice

© Project Maths Development Team 2009 www.projectmaths.ie 14

Student Activity 2

Student Activity 2B

How many possible outcomes are there?__________________

Student Activity 2A

Complete the table to show all of the possible outcomes. Two way table showing the sample space.

Number thrown

1 2 3 4 5 6

1 1+1=2

2

3

4

5 5+2=7

6

Student Activity 2COriginal Rules: Player A wins when the sum is 2, 3, 4, 10, 11 or 12.

Player B wins when the sum is 5, 6, 7, 8 or 9.

For how many outcomes will player A win?__________________

For how many outcomes will player B win?__________________

Student Activity 2DNew Rules: Player A wins when the sum is __________________________

Player B wins when the sum is __________________________

Why I chose these new rules:

Page 17: Plan 3: Fair Trials with Two Dice - Scoilnet · 2019. 6. 25. · Fair Trials with Two Dice Aims • To learn that not all results are equally probable • To consider a given set

Teaching & Learning Plan 3: Fair Trials with Two Dice

© Project Maths Development Team 2009 www.projectmaths.ie 15

Student Activity 3Sum Frequency Probability

=

2 1

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

no. of outcomes in the event no. of outcomes in the sample event

1 36