P.Labra – EWEA March 2012 ENTSO-E’s & TYNDP’s vision on adapting European Transmission Grid to...
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Transcript of P.Labra – EWEA March 2012 ENTSO-E’s & TYNDP’s vision on adapting European Transmission Grid to...
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P.Labra – EWEA March 2012
ENTSO-E’s & TYNDP’s vision on adapting European Transmission Grid to large amounts of wind power
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• 41 TSOs from 34 countries
• Founded on 19 Dec 2008 and fully operational since July 2009
• A trans-European network
• 525 million citizens served
• 828 GW generation• 305,000 Km of transmission lines• 3,400 TWh/year demand• 400 TWh/year exchanges
• Legal mandate, among which TYNDPs, based on Reg. (EC)714/2009
ENTSO-E
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Energy policy goals
• Sustainability/GHG:
: More renewables, further from the loads
: More heating and mobility with electricity
• Competitiveness/market integration:
: More long-distance flows
• Security of supply
: More optimal resources sharing
European Transmission Grid :key role in reaching the EU policy goals
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ENTSOE releases the TYNDP 2012 package
In consultation until 26th April
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Major improvements compared to the TYNDP 2010 report
• An organisation framework to elaborate Plans• Identification of Europeans regions relevant for grid development• A looping elaboration process, constantly improving• A public procedure to identify 3rd Party projects• Consistent approaches for Regional Investment Plans and TYNDP
• Bottom-up & top-down scenario development • Consulted, complying with EC initiatives and Member States positions
• Methodology for project assessment• Explicit definition of projects of pan-European significance• Projects identification & standard assessment: Cost Benefit Analysis• Basis for future Project of Common Interest selection at Regional level
Many bilateral meetings, external workshops, consultations … with limited feedback
Grid transfer capability increase
Social and economic welfare RES integration
Improved security of
supplyLosses
variationCO2 emissions
variationTechnical resilience Flexibility
Social & environmental
impact Costs
+ ... MW
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Background scenarios matching EU 2020 goals
Drivers for grid development
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Evolution of Generation Mix till 2020 (EU2020 Scenario)
126
458
320
53
62012
Total 963
132
456536
82
8
2020
Nuclear Power
Fossil Fuels
Total RES Capacity
Non-RES Hydro Power
Not Clearly Identifiable Energy Sources
Total 1214
All figures in GW
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Thousands of possible situations and overall social economic welfare assessed via Market Studies
Color Code Exchanges < 1 TWh < 5 TWh < 10 TWh > 10 TWh
Country balancesimporterrather balancedexporter
• 5% of generating costs saved by new interconnection
• Direct connection for 125 GW RES
• - 170 Mt/y CO2 emissions savings
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A detailed anticipation of upcoming congestions on grid
Larger, more volatile power flows, over longer distances across Europe
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Renewable generation triggers 80% of investments needs
Larger, more volatile power flows, over longer distance across Europe
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Investment is required all over Europe
By end 2016 2017 and beyond
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More than 50000 km of grid corridors to build or refurbish
Security of Supply:
21.900 km
Internal Energy Market:
18.200 km
Renewable Energy Sources
Integration: 44.700 km
efficient resources
commitment
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A direct support to the European Energy policy goals
Social and economic welfare <30M€/y
<30M€/y (and additionally includes direct connection of new generation)30 - 100M€/y
30 - 100M€/y (and additionally includes direct connection of new generation)>100M€/y
RES integration
neutral
direct RES connection <500 MW
direct RES connection >500 MW
Accomodation of inter-area flows triggered by RES
Security of Supply
minor(no specific need)
medium(solved <10 years)
high (solved>10 years)
CO2 mitigation
neutral
mitigation<500 Kt/ymitigation>500 Kt/y
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Technical resilience
minor
medium
high
Flexibility
minor
medium
high
Losses variation
higher losses
no clear trend
lower losses
Projects with high technical performances
Additional investment reduces overall losses… ceteris paribus
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About 100M€ in the coming 10 years
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Reliable, adaptable and robust investments
• An anticipation of thousands of diverse situations
• An analysis of most frequent situations, and extreme ones• Peak hours winter/summer• High, unbalanced renewable generation across Europe
• Use of novel of unconventional technologies• Several world premieres• ENTSO-E R&D program
• First step toward
Electricity Highways 2050
Smartgrids
2010 205020302020
TYNDPNSCOGI
E-Highways
Planned projectsEnvisaged projects
Possible projects
2050 Energy Pathways (National analysis)FP7 Projects (Susplan, Realisegrid, Twenties, Optimate,…..)….
TSOs PlanEU Policies
Time
Possibilities
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A 10-year plan to meet EU 202020 goals In consultation until 28th April
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THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION