PKN ORLEN Group –company overview · PKN ORLEN production capacity: ca. 3.5 mt/y(Plock -1.9 mt/y,...
Transcript of PKN ORLEN Group –company overview · PKN ORLEN production capacity: ca. 3.5 mt/y(Plock -1.9 mt/y,...
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PKN ORLEN Group – company overview
March 2011
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Agenda
����
Summary
Company overview
New businesses entry
Key segments
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Leading refining & petchem company operating in the biggest market in CEE
PKN ORLEN – POLISH KEY PLAYER IN CEE LEADING DOWNSTREAM COMPANY
PRODUCTION:
� Refining ca. 30.0 mt/y
� Petrochemical ca. 3.5 mt/y
FINANCIALS IN YEAR 2010:
� Revenues PLN 83.5 bn
� EBITDA PLN 5.5 bn
� Net profit PLN 2.5 bn
KEY FACTSSHAREHOLDERS STRUCTURE
Free float72,48%
State Treasury
27,52%
� Strategically located on key pipeline network. Access to
the crude oil terminals in Gdańsk (Poland) and Butinge
(Lithuania).
� Operates 7 refineries in Poland, Lithuania and the Czech
Republic, including the largest and highly advanced one.
� Capable of processing in all refineries any kind of crude
oil. Currently the most economic is REBCO.
� Petrochemical assets fully integrated with the refining
operations.
� Operates ca. 2 600 retail sites in Poland, Czech Republic,
Germany and Lithuania.
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The strategy for 2009-2013 assumes further core business development,
divestment of non-core assets and entry into new attractive business areas
PrioritiesMain objectives of PKN ORLEN Group
Efficiency improvement as well as
development and extension of the
value chain in core areas of activity -
refining, retail and petrochemical
segments
Efficiency
improvement
and key
investments execution
Entry into
new
business areas
Preparation for further
growth: actions to
improve financial
performance, increase
efficiency, reduce debt
and finalize investments in
core areas of activity
2009 – 2010
2011 – 2013
Further efficiency of
core assets,
investments in new
segments in order
to increase the
company valueDiversification of activities,
strengthening the Group by limiting
the downstream contribution to the
business
Release of capital employed through
working capital optimisation, assets
disinvestment in chemical and telecom
segments, solving the issue of obligatory
reserves
Debt
reduction
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Agenda
����
Summary
Company overview
New businesses entry
Key segments
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� PKN ORLEN processing capacity: ca. 30 mt/y (Plock plant in Poland – 15.1 mt/y, Unipetrol – 5.3 mt/y and ORLEN Lietuva
– 10.2 mt/y).
� Market share*: gasoline (PL: 65%, CZ: 35%, LT: 79%) and diesel (PL: 60%, CZ: 28%, LT: 84%).
� Nelson complexity index: Plock 9.5, Kralupy 8.1, Litvinov 7.0, ORLEN Lietuva 10.3.
� Refinery flexibility to process many kinds of crude oil.
� Fuel production in line with 2009 Euro standards in all refineries.
KEY FACTS
ASSETS
Supersite (Plock)
Litvinov (5.5, 7.0)
Kralupy (3.4; 8.1)
Plock
(15.1; 9.5)
Mazeikiu (10.2; 10.3)
Paramo (1.0)
Trzebinia (0.5)
Jedlicze (0.1)
Gold
Silver (MN, Litvinov)
Bronze (Kralupy)
Niche
Trader
Closure-Candidate
N/A (Trzebinia, Jedlicze)
Speciality (Paramo)
Refinery (production capacity mt /y; Nelson complexity index)
Refinery classification according to Wood Mackenzie (2007)
NELSON COMPLEXITY
Refining segment
* As of 31.12.2010
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� PKN ORLEN production capacity: ca. 3.5 mt/y (Plock - 1.9 mt/y, Unipetrol - 1.6 mt/y).
� Full integration of petrochemical assets with refining facilities.
� Depending on the product we have between 40% to 100% of market share in domestic consumption.
� Polyolefins sales within Basell network.
� PX/PTA technological start up is pending (start of products sales in 2q2011). Planned capacities: 400 kt and 600 kt
respectively.
KEY FACTS
ASSETS
PX/PTA� Strengthening position through full
integration with refinery.
� Investments in world class assets.
� Building regional leader position.
CORE BUSINESS – GROWTH DRIVERS
NON STRATEGIC BUSINESS - EXIT
Polyolefins
PVC
Fertilizers
� Limited synergies with refining activity.
� Release of capital employed through
Anwil sale.
Petrochemical segment
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� Biggest retail network (no of filling stations)*: Poland - 1714, Germany - 515, Czech Republic - 337, Lithuania - 35.
� Market share*: Poland - 32%, Czech Republic - 14%, Lithuania - 4% and Northern Germany - 9%.
� Two-tier branding strategy (premium and economy)
� „FLOTA POLSKA” & DKV/ORLEN fleet card for corporate customers; and „VITAY” loyalty card for individual
customers – ca. 8 m participants*
KEY FACTS
ASSETS OPERATING DATA
Retail segment
* As of 31.12.2010
7 0256 7136 229
+ 5%Sales volumes
th t
2009 20102008
EBIT
PLN m
825880641
- 6%
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Agenda
����
Summary
Company overview
New businesses entry
Key segments
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Petrochemicals
Refining
Upstream (E&P)
„Multi-utility” is a foundation for further PKN ORLEN’s value growth
Concept of „multi- utility”
Current PKN
ORLEN’s
areas of
activities
New
segments
Integrated fuel - energy
company
Electric power
generation
Sales of fuel and
petrochemicals
Logistics� Higher profitability
� Stable cash flows
� Strong competitive pressure and high volatility in
margins
� Operational synergies and diversification of activities
� PKN ORLEN’s security
� The dynamic growth through acquisitions and
geographic expansion in 2002-2006
� Focus on organic development and efficiency
improvement
� Strong competitive pressure and high volatility in
margins
…hence the perceived growth opportunities in
the new areas of growth…
Strategic rationales
PKN ORLEN faces serious barriers for the
further dynamic growth in the oil sector...
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Growth of PKN ORLEN in upstream segment is based on three pillars
� Limitation of (mostly geopolitical) risks
� Building capabilities in stable
environment
� Adjustment of activities to the
available budget
� Gradual development of diversified
assets portfolio
� Acquisition of mainly minority equity
stakes
� Opportunity for rapid growth of
know-how and competencies
� Participation in existing projects,
including cooperation with external
partners
� Central and Eastern Europe
� North Africa (?)
� North America
� Current exploration and production
projects
Regional focus
Organic and inorganic growth
Cooperation with partners
Exa
mp
les
Tar
get
s
Limitation of
project risk
Focus on most
prospective assets
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At present, PKN ORLEN is involved in a relatively small number of E&P
projects and of limited risk, but the project portfolio is to grow
Description of selected projects Shale gas exploration licenses
� On-shore E&P project in Poland (Lublin area)
� of exploration activities conducted by the biggest oil
companies: Chevron and ExxonMobil
KAMBR
project
� Off-shore project on Baltic shelf (Latvia) on one of the
biggest oil fields in the Baltic Sea
� Large hydrocarbon reserves: 250m bbl
� Project is being realized in cooperation with a Middle
East partner - the biggest private E&P company from
Kuwait
� Shale gas exploration project in Poland
� Five exploration licenses secured by PKN ORLEN in the most prospective
areas (Lublin province and the southern part of Mazovia)
� PKN ORLEN aims to engage with an experienced partner for further
exploration (letters of intent already signed with about 15 companies)
� Wood Mackenzie’s estimations of 1.36 trillion m3 of unconventional gas
stretching across northern and central Poland (Poland’s annual gas
consumption is 14 bn m3, 72% of gas imported)
1
2
3
4
� On-shore E&P project in Poland (Sieraków area)-JV with PGNiG
� The most prospective exploration area in Poland, next to the largest
discovered reserves of oil and gas in Poland
� Exploitable resources up to 26m bbl
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Building new segments
UPSTREAM PROJECTS
Latvian shelf – work out data from exploration gathered so
far.
� The drill is planned at the turn of 2011/2012.
Polish lowland – exploratory drill has been started.
� Next 2 appraisal drills are planned at the turn of
2011/2012.
Lublin region – seismic and hole data integration is finished.
� Data analysis and choice of drills’ locations is in progress.
� The drill is planned in the 2 half 2011 and next one in
1H2012.
Shale gas– seismic works are started.
� First analysis findings in mid 2011.
� Drills planned in 2H2011.
ENERGY
� Advanced preparation of investment in Włocławek, final
decision to make in 3q 2011
� Process of the power plant builder selection is in
progress.
� We have the environmental decision and agreement for
connection to the energy network.
� Decision about the selection of the contractor to be made
at the turn of 3/4q2011.
� Start up of building in Włocławek in 2012.
� Start-up in 2014, investment at the level of PLN 1,5
billion.
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PKN ORLEN is developing Energy segment through engagement in new
projects and efficiency increase of existing assets
Strategy’s directions
� Achieving maximum synergies
with refining part
� Assurance of energy safety of
PKN ORLEN
� Infrastructure adaptation to more
stringent environmental
requirements
� Modernization of current
infrastructure for further
development of energy activity
� Involvement in new projects
in the energy sector through co-participation in the
construction of new generating units
� A construction of a new gas-fueled power plant
in Włocławek (460 MW)
� Potentially other unit in Płock
� Efficiency improvement of existing assets
thanks to optimization of current activities
� Investment program in power plant in Płock
(~1 bn PLN), which will improve efficiency, meet
environmental standards (emitted emissions are
to be reduced by ~ 90%), lead to the increase in
power capacities (up till 2017 planned 20%
increase in electricity production capacities and
7% in thermal power) and balance the needs of
PKN ORLEN
� Optimalization of repairs in other foreign
assests
� Restructurization and modernization of energy
assets in Unipetrol
Implementation of strategy
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Agenda
����
Summary
Company overview
New businesses entry
Key segments
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PKN ORLEN is an attractive investment
STRENGTHS DEVELOPMENT OPPORTUNITIES
� Attractive market of new EU countries with growth
potential.
� Leading position in the Central and Eastern EU
region in the downstream refining and
petrochemical.
� World class refinery assets integrated with
petrochemical business.
� The largest retail network.
� Strategically located on key pipeline network.
Access to the crude oil terminal in Gdańsk
(Poland) and Butinge (Lithuania).
� Efficiency improvements through operational
excellence and integration of assets.
� Further development in the core business and
value chain extension.
� Release of capital employed through the sale of
non core assets.
� Development of new segments through
cooperation with sector partners.
We take pole position for further growth
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Thank You for Your attention
For more information on PKN ORLEN, please contact
Investor Relations Department:
telephone: + 48 24 256 81 80
fax: + 48 24 367 77 11
e-mail: [email protected]
www.orlen.pl
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Agenda
Supporting slides�
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From domestic leader to EU regional player
1999
� Merger of Petrochemia Plock (Polish
largest refinery) with CPN (Polish largest
retailer) created PKN.
� IPO of 30% of equity on Warsaw Stock
Exchange and London Stock Exchange.
� Introduction of the new brand ORLEN.
2000
� Second public offer of PKN ORLEN on
WSE and LSE increased free float up to
72%.
PolandGermany
Czech Republic
Lithuania
Latvia
Estonia
Domestic Business to 2002 „Internationalization” 2002-2005 Regional Business 2006+
2002
� Expansion into German retail market.
� Joint venture with Basell –
Basell Orlen Polyolefins.
2005
� Acquisition of majority stake in Unipetrol
(Czech holding).
� Introduction and start of PKN ORLEN
Retail Sales Development Plan for
Poland.
� Introduction and start of Unipetrol
Partnership Program.
2006 +
� Acquisition of Lithuanian refinery -
Mazeikiu Nafta (renamed in 2009 into
ORLEN Lietuva).
� Implementation of segmental
management.
� Implementation of two-tier branding
strategy in retail segment in Poland and
the Czech Republic.
� New strategy of PKN ORLEN Group for
2009-2013.
� CAPEX, OPEX, working capital and
headcount optimization.
PolandGermany
Czech Republic
Lithuania
Latvia
Estonia
PolandGermany
Czech Republic
Lithuania
Latvia
Estonia
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Refinery (capacity m tonnes p.a.; Nelson complexity index)
Source: Oil & Gas Journal, PKN Orlen own calculations, Concawe,Reuters, WMRC, EIA, NEFTE Compass, Transneft.ru
�Oil pipeline [capacity]
Refinery of PKN ORLEN Group
Projected Oil pipeline
Sea terminal [capacity]
Lisichansk
(8.5; 8.2)
Batman
(1.1; 1.9)
Yaroslavi
Ingolstadt
(5.2; 7.5)
Litvinov (5.5, 7.0)
Kralupy
(3.4; 8.1)
Plock
(15.1; 9.5)
Gdansk
(10.5; 10.0)
Mazeikiai
(10.2; 10.3) Novopolotsk
(8.3; 7.7)
Mozyr
(15.7; 4.6)
Bratislava
(6.0; 12.3)
Schwechat
(10.2; 6.2)
Burghausen
(3.5; 7.3)
Holborn
(3.8; 6.1)
Bayernoil
(12.8; 8.0)
Harburg
(4.7; 9.6)
Leuna
(11.0; 7.1)
Schwedt
(10.7; 10.2)
Aspropyrgos
(6.6; 8.9)
Corinth
(4.9; 12.5)
Elefsis
(4.9; 1.0)
Thessaloniki
(3.2; 5.9)
Izmit
(11.5; 6.2)
Izmir
(10.0; 6.4)
Kirikkale
(5.0; 5.4)
Duna
(8.1, 10.6)
Arpechim
(3.6; 7.3)
Petrobrazi
(3.4; 7.3)
Petrotel
(2.6; 7.6)Rafo
(3.4; 9.8)
Petromidia
(5.1; 7.5)
Rijeka
(4.4; 5.7)Sisak
(3.9; 4.1)
Novi Sad
(4.0; 4.6)
Pancevo
(4.8; 4.9)
Neftochim
(5.6; 5.8)
Drogobich
(3.8; 3.0)
Kremenchug
(17.5; 3.5)
Odessa
(3.8; 3.5)
(ex 12)
Kherson
(6.7; 3.1)
DRUZHBA
DRUZHBA
DRUZHBA
ADRIA
IKL
ADRIA
�(18) Ventspils
Butinge(14)
�
(70) Primorsk� Kirishi
Yuzhniy
(ex 4)�
Brody
Tiszaojvaro
s
�
Triest�
�
Rostock�
[Ca 78]
[Ca 60]
[Ca 34] [Ca 18]
[Ca 80]
[Ca 55]
[Ca 34]
[Ca 27]
�[Ca 22]
�� ��[Ca 30]
[ Ca 24]
[Ca 22]
Novorossiys
k
(ex 45)
�
[ Ca 29]
Trzebinia
(0,5)
Jedlicze
(0,1)
[Ca 45]
[Ca 25]
[Ca 120]
Naftoport
(30)
[Ca 20][Ca 9]
[Ca 10]
[Ca 9][Ca 3,5]
Supply Routes Diversification Sea Oil Terminals in Gdansk and Butinge Guarantee Alternative Supply Routes
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Unipetrol – continuation of operating efficiency improvement
� Ongoing strict cost control, leading to positive free cash flow and similar level of CAPEX as in 2009.
� Continuation of the long-term trend in staff reduction.
� Steadily growing market share in Czech retail to over 14% from below 10% in 2005.
� Revival of demand in 2010 is fuelling some optimism to polyolefins, with continuous substitution of traditional materials
by plastics.
KEY FACTS
ASSETS
IKL
Pipeline10 mt/y
CEPRO production pipelines
Mero Crude oil pipelines
CEPRO depots
Kralupy
3.2 mt/y
Pardubice
1.0 mt/y
Litvínov
5.5 mt/y
Druzhba
pipeline9 mt/y
ethylene
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ORLEN Lietuva - maximizing the possessed potential
� ORLEN Lietuva manages ca. 500 km of pipelines in the territory of Lithuania (both crude oil and product pipelines).
� Access to the strategically important crude oil import / export terminal at Butinge.
� Products supply within Lithuania is managed by use of railway or tankers.
� The potential product pipeline to Klaipeda would improve logistics of final products.
� Costs optimization – among others, main turnaround moved to 2011.
KEY FACTS
ASSETS
Crude pipeline
Products pipeline
Rail transport
Pump station
Terminal
Storage depot Mažeikių
Nafta
Klaipeda
Joniskis
Latvia
Sea terminal Butinge Orlen Lietuva
Refinery
Lithuania
Illukste
Biržai
Sea terminal Ventspils(20,0 mt/y)
(14,0 mt/y)
(14,3 m t/y)
(14,
,0 m
t/y)
(16,4 mt/y)
Klaipeda(9,0 mt/y)
Polock
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Electricity consumption
CAGR 2000-2007, %Electricity consumption
per capita, 2007, ths. KWh
1) Developed countries comprise: EU-15, Norway, Switzerland and Slovenia. 2) PKN Orlen’s markets comprise: Poland, Czech Republic,
Source: EIA, IMF, PKN ORLEN analysis
6,83,9
2,7
Electricity consumption in Europe, 2000-2007
Developed
countries 1
PKN ORLEN’s
markets 2
Rest
Forecast for supply and demand for peak power in Poland, 2005-2020, GW
Demand
Supply
1,52,1
4,1
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26
28
30
32
34
36
38
2005 2010 2015 2020
Relatively low rate of energy consumption per capita and need for new power
plants indicates high potential for growth in the energy generation sector
� Currently energy consumption per capita on PKN ORLEN’s market is by ~ 40% lower than in developed countries 1. Forecasts indicate 2-3% increase in
the electricity demand in Poland until 2030 p.a.
� The profitability of the sector is increasing in the result of the expected imbalance between supply and demand
� 44% of existing power plants in Poland is over 30 years. Old units of 11-15 GW (~30-40% existing capacity) have been planned to be closed. Power
capacities increase planned until 2020 of ~20 GW (includes both modernization of existing and construction of new plants). Top Polish energy companies
(i.e. PGE, Tauron, Enea, Energa) have announced plans of extensive capital investments into increase of capacities, summing up to ~90 bn PLN
� Despite the current economic slowdown, an increase in the wholesale electricity prices is expected in the coming years
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New power plants are mostly required in the northern Poland
Existing and planned generation capacity until 2015
Rybnik (900-1000 MW)
Ostro leka
Jaworzno
Rybnik
Siersza
Skawina
Dolna Odra
Turów Polaniec
Wola
Blachownia
LaziskaHalemba
Lagisza
Belchatów
PAK
Kozienice
PKE
BOT
Opole
JaworznoSiersza
CEZ Skawina
Łagisza
Tauron
(400 MW)
PGE (1600 MW)
Electrabel
Połaniec
EneaKozienice
Enea(2000 MW)
Energa
OstrołękaEnerga
(1000 MW)
El. Opalenie(1600 MW)
Cable from
Sweden
PGE ZEDO
PGE (800 MW)
El. Szczecin
(800-1000 MW)
Włocławek
CEZ (400 MW)
RWE (800 MW)
EdF /EnBWRybnik
PGE Opole
PGE (920 MW)
PGE Turów
PGE (500 MW)
PGE
Bełchatów
PGE (833 MW)
TauronPKE
Tauron(2000 MW)
PAK
Blachownia
Halemba
Concentration of
generation sources
Łaziska
Tauron
Stalowa Wola
(200 MW)Power Plant Gdańsk (Lotos, PGNiG, Energa)
� Northern Poland has a
historical power deficit.
� The current production capacity
is concentrated mainly in the
south of the country.
� Some of the planned
greenfield capacities are
located north, near Anwil plant
in Włocławek.
PKN ORLEN
Płock refinery
Planned capacity
Hard coal power stations
Brown coal power stations
Planned LNG terminal
Jamal gas pipeline
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Dividend policy:
PKN ORLEN aims to pay dividends equal or higher than 50% of FCFE
Reference point for dividend policy – PKN
ORLEN investment goals and opportunities:
� taking into account mergers and
acquisitions
� allowing for maintaining the optimal
capital structure determined by the
following ratios:
� Covenant: Net Debt/EBITDA max.
3.5
� Gearing: Net Debt / Equity of 30% -
40%
3,3 3,0
20,315,4
30,0
40,0
25,1
0,00,00,00,00
10
20
30
40
50
1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009
0,65
2,13
1,62
0,140,120,05 0,05 0 0 0 0
0
0,5
1
1,5
2
2,5
3
1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009
Dividend payout ratio 1999 - 2009 Dividend per share 1999 - 2009
Net profit
+ amortization
Capex
Net working
capital change
Debt structure
adjusting to optimal level
FCFE
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Polkomtel
Non-core investment of significant value
� PKN ORLEN has 24.39% stake in Polkomtel as a non-core investment.
� PKN ORLEN’s intention is to dispose all shares hold in Polkomtel.
� Polish Shareholders, i.e. KGHM Polska Miedz S.A., PKN ORLEN, PGE Polska Grupa Energetyczna S.A. and
WĘGLOKOKS S.A. currently hold in total over 75% of registered capital of Polkomtel S.A.
PGE
Węglokoks
PKN ORLEN
KGHM
Vodafone
Shareholders’ structure
24.39%
4.99%
Dividends
24.39%
24.39%21.83%
12320102010
1372009/102009
3052008/092008
24520082007
20220072006
PLN mPaid in:
Dividend for
the year:
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Effective execution of two-tier branding strategy as a response to market
polarization
PKN ORLEN branding strategy
ECONOMICALPREMIUM
Poland
Czech Republic
Lithuania
Germany
� Successful rebranding of heritage network of
mixed brands into premium ORLEN and
economical BLISKA networks.
� Market research is to help to determine the final
branding strategy.
� Building a solid foundation for the future
development of high quality ORLEN network.
� Focus on economical STAR network with
competitive prices and superior customer service.
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This presentation (“Presentation”) has been prepared by PKN ORLEN S.A. (“PKN ORLEN” or “Company”). Neither the Presentation nor any copy hereof may be copied,
distributed or delivered directly or indirectly to any person for any purpose without PKN ORLEN’s knowledge and consent. Copying, mailing, distribution or delivery of this
Presentation to any person in some jurisdictions may be subject to certain legal restrictions, and persons who may or have received this Presentation should familiarize
themselves with any such restrictions and abide by them. Failure to observe such restrictions may be deemed an infringement of applicable laws.
This Presentation contains neither a complete nor a comprehensive financial or commercial analysis of PKN ORLEN and of the PKN ORLEN Group, nor does it present its
position or prospects in a complete or comprehensive manner. PKN ORLEN has prepared the Presentation with due care, however certain inconsistencies or omissions might
have appeared in it. Therefore it is recommended that any person who intends to undertake any investment decision regarding any security issued by PKN ORLEN or its
subsidiaries shall only rely on information released as an official communication by PKN ORLEN in accordance with the legal and regulatory provisions that are binding for PKN
ORLEN.
The Presentation, as well as the attached slides and descriptions thereof may and do contain forward-looking statements. However, such statements must not be understood as
PKN ORLEN’s assurances or projections concerning future expected results of PKN ORLEN or companies of the PKN ORLEN Group. The Presentation is not and shall not be
understand as a forecast of future results of PKN ORLEN as well as of the PKN ORLEN Group.
It should be also noted that forward-looking statements, including statements relating to expectations regarding the future financial results give no guarantee or assurance that
such results will be achieved. The Management Board’s expectations are based on present knowledge, awareness and/or views of PKN ORLEN’s Management Board’s
members and are dependent on a number of factors, which may cause that the actual results that will be achieved by PKN ORLEN may differ materially from those discussed in
the document. Many such factors are beyond the present knowledge, awareness and/or control of the Company, or cannot be predicted by it.
No warranties or representations can be made as to the comprehensiveness or reliability of the information contained in this Presentation. Neither PKN ORLEN nor its directors,
managers, advisers or representatives of such persons shall bear any liability that might arise in connection with any use of this Presentation. Furthermore, no information
contained herein constitutes an obligation or representation of PKN ORLEN, its managers or directors, its Shareholders, subsidiary undertakings, advisers or representatives of
such persons.
This Presentation was prepared for information purposes only and is neither a purchase or sale offer, nor a solicitation of an offer to purchase or sell any securities or financial
instruments or an invitation to participate in any commercial venture. This Presentation is neither an offer nor an invitation to purchase or subscribe for any securities in any
jurisdiction and no statements contained herein may serve as a basis for any agreement, commitment or investment decision, or may be relied upon in connection with any
agreement, commitment or investment decision.
Disclaimer
29
For more information on PKN ORLEN, please contact
Investor Relations Department:
telephone: + 48 24 256 81 80
fax + 48 24 367 77 11
e-mail: [email protected]
www.orlen.pl