PERCENTAGE OF CITIZENS AGE 18+ WHO VOTED IN THE 2008 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION MINNESOTA = 75.0 D. C. =...

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PERCENTAGE OF CITIZENS AGE 18+ WHO VOTED IN THE 2008 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION MINNESOTA = 75.0 D. C. = 74.1 MAINE = 71.2 NEW HAMPSHIRE = 71.2 WISCONSIN = 71.2 LOUISIANA = 70.3 IOWA = 70.2 US Census, 2010

Transcript of PERCENTAGE OF CITIZENS AGE 18+ WHO VOTED IN THE 2008 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION MINNESOTA = 75.0 D. C. =...

PERCENTAGE OF CITIZENS AGE 18+ WHO VOTED IN THE 2008 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION

MINNESOTA = 75.0D. C. = 74.1MAINE = 71.2NEW HAMPSHIRE = 71.2WISCONSIN = 71.2LOUISIANA = 70.3IOWA = 70.2

US Census, 2010

PERCENTAGE OF CITIZENS AGE 18+ WHO VOTED IN THE 2008 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION

MISSISSIPPI = 69.7VIRGINIA = 68.7COLORADO = 68.4MARYLAND = 68.3MICHIGAN = 67.8SOUTH DAKOTA = 67.8OREGON = 67.6NORTH CAROLINA = 67.5NORTH DAKOTA = 67.5RHODE ISLAND = 67.4DELAWARE = 67.3NEBRASKA = 67.3CONNECTICUTT = 67.2MASSACHUSETTS = 67.1WASHINGTON = 66.8US Census, 2010

PERCENTAGE OF CITIZENS AGE 18+ WHO VOTED IN THE 2008 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION

MISSOURI = 65.8SOUTH CAROLINA = 65.6OHIO = 65.5MONTANA = 65.4ALASKA = 65.0VERMONT = 64.7

STATE AVERAGE = 64.5US Census, 2010

PERCENTAGE OF CITIZENS AGE 18+ WHO VOTED IN THE 2008 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION

WYOMING = 64.3GEORGIA = 64.2NEW JERSEY = 64.1FLORIDA = 63.8CALIFORNIA = 63.4KANSAS = 63.3KENTUCKY = 63.1ILLINOIS = 62.6NEW MEXICO = 62.6ALABAMA = 62.4PENNSYLVANIA = 62.4IDAHO = 61.4INDIANA = 60.5

US Census, 2010

PERCENTAGE OF CITIZENS AGE 18+ WHO VOTED IN THE 2008 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION

ARIZONA = 59.9NEVADA = 59.9NEW YORK = 58.8OKLAHOMA = 58.7TEXAS = 56.1TENNESSEEE = 55.5ARKANSAS = 53.8WEST VIRGINIA = 53.4UTAH = 53.1HAWAII = 51.8US Census, 2010

Growth in Latino Voters”Every month about 50,000 Latino citizens turn 18 and become eligible to vote and the majority of them vote democratic.”Latino Decisions, Sylvia Monzamo, 2012

Latinos, 2012 Election

An estimated 119 [131

in ’08] million Americans turned out to vote…

Source: US Hispanic Leadership Institute, USHLI, November 11, 2012.

Growth in Latino Voters”…in 1976, 88 percent of voters were white…in 2008 the number was 74 percent...It’s estimated that it will be 72 percent in 2012.”Pew Research Center, 2012

Growth in Latino Voters”In terms of voter turnout, we project that 52.7 percent [+/-0.6] of eligible Hispanics will vote in the upcoming election, and increase from 49.9% in 2008 and a continuation of the past decade’s long upward trend.”Camarota, S.A., & Zeigler, K., “Projecting the 2012 Hispanic Vote, August 2012

Growth in Latino Voters”The projected Hispanic voted participation rate of 52.7% compares to 66.1% for non-Hispanic whites and 65.2 for non-Hispanic blacks in 2008.”Camarota, S.A., & Zeigler, K., “Projecting the 2012 Hispanic Vote, August 2012

Latinos, 2012 Election, millions

--Under 18 = 17.6

--Adult unauthorized = 7.1……….24.7

--Adult permanent

legal resident = 5.4……….30.1

--Eligible, but

Did NOT vote = 11.2……....41.2

--Voters = 12.5………53.7Source: Pew Hispanic Center, November 14, 2012.

Latinos, 2012 Election

“Obama won 71% of the Hispanic vote while Mitt Romney won 27%. The gap of 44%-pts. was even greater than Mr. Obama’s 36-pt. advantage over John McCain in 2008”.

Source: New York Times, November 11, 2012.

Latinos, 2012 ElectionNY = 89%

IL = 81%

PA = 80%

CT = 79%

CO = 75%.....14% [13%] of the electorate

CA = 72%

NV = 71%.....18% [15%] of the electorate

WI = 66%

NM = 65%

FL = 60%.....17% [14%] of electorate

Source: New York Times, November 10, 2012 and Pew Hispanic Center, November 7, 2012.

Growth in Latino Voters”The Latino vote is more influential in the presidential election than it is in overall American politics….About half the states in play have a Latino population big enough to make the difference.”

Rosenberg, Simon, New Democratic Network, 2012

Latinos, 2012 Election

--Latinas represented 6% of total vote and 76% voted for Obama

--Latinos represented 5% of total vote% and 65% voted for Obama

Source: CBSNews, exit polls, November 8, 2012.

Latinos, 2012 Election

“In Arizona…the number of Latinos on early-voting lists rose substantially , to 225,000 this year from 96,000 in 2008, said Petra Falcon, director of Promise Arizona…”.

Source: New York Times, November 11, 2012.

Growth in Latino Voters

”A Republican probably can’t win without about 40 percent, minimum, of the Latino vote.”

Sabato, Larry, Director, Univ. of Virginia’s Center for Politics, 2012