Pensions: Trends and Opportunities. Contents Market Environment – Budget and Long Haul.
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Transcript of Pensions: Trends and Opportunities. Contents Market Environment – Budget and Long Haul.
Pensions: Trends and Opportunities
Contents
Market Environment – Budget and Long Haul
Summary
Reasons for lack of growth
•The recession has led to high unemployment and squeezed disposable incomes, prompting a reduction in pension saving.
•Alternative sectors like equity release and buy-to-let have also been hit by funding issues and falling house prices.
•Pensions have a negative public image and are perceived by many to be risky, complicated and expensive.
Consumer behaviour
• Many people, particularly younger adults, are apathetic when it comes to retirement planning, which is seen as
being too far away to worry about.
• Affordability is a major constraint when it comes to saving in a pension, which is much more common amongst
ABs and high earners.
• The situation is not good – 13% of non-retirees think they will really struggle in retirement and 23% haven’t
really thought about it.
© 2010 Mintel International Group. All rights reserved. Confidential to
Mintel.
Influencing factors and market dynamics
• The UK has an ageing population, which will put increasing strain on the state pension.
• Consumer apathy towards retirement planning and a lack of adequate pension contribution are likely to force more people to either postpone, or work during their retirement, as well as consider alternative retirement solutions like equity release.
• The continued closure of final-salary schemes in the private sector has put added pressure on people’s retirement plans, as they are transferred on to less generous individual/defined-contribution schemes.
• The UK officially emerged from recession in Q4 2009, but the economy remains fragile and the budget deficit raises the prospect of public spending cuts and tax rises this year.
• PDI is the biggest driver of the retirement savings market, and although growth is likely to remain subdued in 2010, the long-term outlook is more positive, suggesting that retirement savings will increase.
© 2010 Mintel International Group. All rights reserved. Confidential to
Mintel.
Strengths and weaknesses…
Strengths
•Over the long-term, the UK population is growing in wealth and affluence…
•The government is desperately trying to incentivise and encourage people to
save for retirement.
•Tax relief on pension contributions is a major attraction for investors to save for
retirement this way.
•ISAs are very flexible and withdrawals are not taxed, with higher limits likely to
increase the appeal of ISAs as a means of saving for retirement.
•As a non-pension alternative, collectives enable investors to diversify and
spread risk.
•The recent rally in the stock market may encourage more people to invest in
equities, which generally deliver better returns over the long-term.
•Strong growth in house prices over the last decade has made property an
attractive investment for many people, especially BTL investors…
•Now that economic conditions are improving, it is likely that retirement savings
and pension contributions will be back on the list for many people.
Weaknesses
•…but the recession has forced many people to focus on paying off debt and cut
back on saving.
•People are apathetic when it comes to thinking about retirement, especially
young people.
•The majority of the population are not willing to take on any risk (ie stock
market-based investment).
•The continued closure of final salary schemes in the private sector and the
movement to less generous DC schemes has led to a fall in contribution levels.
•Pensions are tightly regulated, which limits the opportunity for product
development.
•Pensions are perceived to be complicated, risky and expensive, with many
consumers not trusting pension companies due to past mistakes.
•…although BTL mortgage availability has been severely reduced by the
recession, due to tighter lending criteria and a lack of available funding.
•Equity release firms have received a bad press in recent years for deliberately
undervaluing properties and failing to honor agreed habitation rights.
© 2010 Mintel International Group. All rights reserved. Confidential to
Mintel.
…opportunities and threats
Opportunities
•Possible reform to the CGT regime may make pensions more
attractive to investors…
•The launch of the NEST scheme in 2012 will increase pension
participation and should raise the profile of pensions and saving
for retirement…
•Due to a lack of adequate pension savings, in the future,
people are likely to be more dependent on their homes to
provide them with an income when they retire.
•The RDR aims to improve standards of advice and reduce
adviser bias, which may encourage more consumers into long-
term saving and investing…
•Increased longevity and a decline in employer pension
provision means people will have to save more funds for
retirement themselves in future, creating an opportunity for all
providers of retirement planning products.
Threats
•…but changes to tax relief on pension contributions for high
earners may discourage investment at the top-end.
•…but people may rely too much on the NEST, and there is also
the risk that employers may level down to this scheme from
existing, more generous ones.
•An ageing population and increased longevity has put more
strain on the state pension and means people will need to save
higher sums in order to retire.
•…but the proposals are likely to be difficult and costly to
implement, and are likely to push independent advice out of
reach for the most people.
•Given the difficulty for young people of getting onto the
property ladder, achieving this is a higher priority for many
individuals than saving for retirement.
•BTL mortgages look likely to be regulated in the future, which
may reduce availability and push up costs.
© 2010 Mintel International Group. All rights reserved. Confidential to
Mintel.
Less than two fifths of non-retired adults have a pension
Ownership of savings, investment and pension products, March
2010
Source: Ipsos Mori/Mintel
All adults Non-retired adults
% %
Cash-based savings 62 59
Savings account/cash ISA 59 56
National savings and investments products 19 16
Stockmarket-based investments 24 21
Stocks and shares ISA 17 15
Stockmarket-based investments held outside an ISA 9 8
Investment bond from a life company (eg with-profits bond) 6 5
Any pension 41 37
Final salary company pension scheme 24 20
Standard personal pension/stakeholder pension 15 14
Money-purchase company pension scheme 6 6
GPP 4 4
SIPP 1 2
Any other type of investment/asset 12 13
Own/family business 5 6
Buy-to-let property 3 4
Other investments/assets 7 7
None of these 23 27
Base: 1,924 adults aged 18+ and 1,464 adults aged 18+ who have not retired
© 2010 Mintel International Group. All rights reserved. Confidential to
Mintel.
ABs are more likely to have retirement savings
• The majority of UK consumers are ill prepared for retirement – less than two fifths of non-retired adults have a pension and only a fifth have stock market-based investments.
• Final-salary schemes are the most common type of pension product, owned by a fifth of non-retired adults.
• High earners, particularly those earning £40,000+, are considerably more likely to have a pension, with ownership levels at over two thirds of individuals.
• Almost a quarter of UK adults don’t own any savings, investment or pension products, while another quarter own just one product.
• ABs are likely to have a much wider range of options available to them when they retire, with over half owning three or more different savings, investment and pension products, compared with 30% of C1s, 18% of C2s and far fewer DEs.
© 2010 Mintel International Group. All rights reserved. Confidential to
Mintel.
Young people are apathetic towards retirement planning
Key points
• Around two fifths of non-retired adults plan to retire at the state pension age, with 17% planning to take early retirement and 12% expecting to work past this.
• High earners are considerably more likely to plan on retiring before reaching state pension age.
• The majority of non-retired people are fairly optimistic about their expected lifestyle during retirement, with a third thinking they should be able to get by and a fifth expecting a comfortable standard of living when they retire.
• Those who are worried about their standard of living in retirement are most likely to see working past the state retirement age as the solution to a savings shortfall.
Financial expectations during retirement, March 2010
Source: Ipsos Mori/Mintel
13
33
21
23
7
3
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35
I’ll really struggle in retirement
Things shouldn’t be too bad for me, I should beable to get by
Things should be good - I expect a comfortablestandard of living when I retire
I haven’t really thought about it
None of these
Don’t know
%
Base: 1,464 adults aged 18+ who have not already retired
© 2010 Mintel International Group. All rights reserved. Confidential to
Mintel.
Two fifths believe pensions are the best way to save
Key points
• Pensions are the most popular method of saving for retirement, with around two fifths of non-retired adults believing that pensions are the best way to save for retirement.
• Tax relief on pension contributions is valued more by ABs, while 35-54-year-olds are the most likely to think now is a good time to review their pension arrangements.
• People with non-stock market-based investments/assets are less likely to think pensions are the best way to save for retirement and are more likely to have recently stopped or reduced their pension contributions.
• Non-retired people who expect a comfortable standard of living when they retire are the most positive about pensions, particularly when it comes to tax relief on contributions.
Attitudes towards pensions, March 2010
Source: Ipsos Mori/Mintel
% Pensions are the best way to save for retirement 38 I am concerned about the security of my pension 18 Tax relief on contributions is a key reason why I choose to save in a pension 11 I would not consider investing in a pension until the economy improves 10 I think now is a good time to review my pension arrangements 9 It’s a good time to invest in a pension 6 I’ve recently stopped paying into my pension or reduced my pension contributions 6 None of these 24 Don’t know 9
Base: 1,464 adults aged 18+ who have not already retired
© 2010 Mintel International Group. All rights reserved. Confidential to
Mintel.
Affordability is the biggest barrier to owning a pension
Key points
• Affordability is the main barrier to wider pension participation, with a quarter of non-pension holders saying they can’t afford to contribute to one, rising considerably amongst those earning less than £25,000.
• Some 15% of non-pension owners say they’ve never really thought about saving in a pension before, while 11% say retirement is too far away for them to worry about now – in both cases responses were much higher for younger adults.
• There are signs that a lack of trust is leading some people to avoid the pensions industry altogether.
Reasons for not having a pension, March 2010 % I can’t afford to 26 I never really considered it before 15 Retirement is just too far away for me to worry about now 11 I don’t trust pension companies 8 I want to, I’ve just never got around to it 6 It’s all just too confusing 5 I wouldn’t want to trust my retirement savings to the stock market 4 I don't like the idea of being forced to lock the money away until I retire 3 None of these/other reasons 33 Don’t know 8
© 2010 Mintel International Group. All rights reserved. Confidential to
Mintel.
Base: 1,140 adults aged 18+ who do not have a pension
Source: Ipsos Mori/Mintel
It’s all about leaving a legacy versus living for today…
Base: 1,464 adults aged 18+ who have not retired
Attitudes towards retirement and retirement planning in general,
February 2010
Source: Ipsos MORI/Mintel
% I want to leave a legacy for my children when I die 25 I’d rather live for today than worry about what might or might not happen in 20 or 30 years time 24 My priority is getting onto/moving up the property ladder, not saving for retirement 15 I don’t like the thought of tying my retirement savings up in a pension 9 The state pension will be enough for me to get by on when I retire 8 I don’t see the need to save vast sums for retirement when my house will be worth so much by then 5 I think I’ll be quite dependent on my children/other relatives when I retire to help me get by 3 None of these 23 Don’t know 9
© 2010 Mintel International Group. All rights reserved. Confidential to
Mintel.
•There is a difference in opinion as to the types of attitudes that consumers have today concerning retirement
Everyday expenses are the main barrier to saving activity
Main barriers to saving and investing, December 2010
All adults Base: internet users aged 16+ 2,000 % I don’t have any money left after essential bills and expenses 42 Low interest rates 21 I am concentrating on repaying debts 19 I enjoy life and don’t want to make cutbacks 14 I prefer to keep any extra funds in my current account 13 Spending is just more fun 6 I don’t want my savings to restrict any state benefits I do/may receive 2 None of these 16
Source: GMI/Mintel
“Unfortunately my main priority is everyday living and my family such as paying
the mortgage bills etc. At this time of year especially saving is not high on the
list.”
– 45-54-year-old ABC1 female
“I think savings are very important if you can spare the money to put away but
my priorities are making sure all my bills are paid and everything I want to buy is
paid for.”
– 45-54-year-old C2DE female
© 2010 Mintel International Group. All rights reserved. Confidential to Mintel.
Consumer Trends
“For which of the following reasons do you think you will work beyond
the statutory retirement age?”% who name the following reasons
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80%
For financial reasons
As a way to remain active
I worry that I will be bored if Istop working
Enjoy social contact
I enjoy working
Feel that I will still havesomething to contribute
Enjoy the routine of work
None of these
Source: Friends Provident/The Future Foundation/nVision
Base: 376 respondents aged 16+ not retired who say they will continue working after retirement age, GB, 2010
“How are you funding/do you intend to fund your retirement?”
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%
State pension
Through savings
Through my employer pension
Through my personal pension
By continuing to work part-time
Through shares/investments
Through selling / down-sizing my house
By continuing to work full-time
I will release equity from my property
The new state pension scheme (National EmploymentSavings Trust)
Other
Don't know
Source: Friends Provident/The Future Foundation/nVision
Base: 1,005 respondents aged 16+, GB, 2010
Most consumers will depend on the state for their pensions
“The government will provide me with an adequate level
of pensions / retirement savings for my retirement”By gender, age and social grade
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
To
tal
Ma
le
Fe
ma
le
16
-24
25
-34
35
-44
45
-54
55
-64
65
+
AB
C1
C2
DE
Agree strongly Agree Neither agree nor disagree Disagree Disagree strongly
Source: Friends Provident/The Future Foundation/nVision
Base: 1,005 respondents aged 16+, GB, 2010
However they do not feel that it will be adequate for their needs
“I find pensions schemes confusing”
By gender, age and social grade
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%T
ota
l
Ma
le
Fe
ma
le
16
-24
25
-34
35
-44
45
-54
55
-64
65
+
AB
C1
C2
DE
Strongly agree Agree Neither agree nor disagree Disagree Strongly disagree
Source: Friends Provident/The Future Foundation/nVision
Base: 1,005 respondents aged 16+, GB, 2010
And they are confusing
26803: Graphics from nVision for gabe
How confident are you of achieving the financial situation in your
retirement that you would like?Level of confidence, by gender, age and social grade
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
To
tal
Ma
le
Fe
ma
le
45
-54
55
+
AB
C1
C2
DE
Don't Know
Not at allconfident
Not veryconfident
Quiteconfident
Veryconfident
Source: Friends Life/The Future Foundation/nVision
Base: 275 online respondents who have not yet reached retirement aged 45+, GB, 2011
26828: Graphics from nVision for gabe
Social contributions to funded pensions by the household sector
In £billions
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
19
87
19
88
19
89
19
90
19
91
19
92
19
93
19
94
19
95
19
96
19
97
19
98
19
99
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
20
10
Employees
Employers
Source: ONS/nVision
Base: UK
Contribution dependency is shifting more onto employers
Advertising Climate
Bing Search Traffic KPIs
• Overall, pensions and investment KWs have decreased by 3% year on year for 2011
• Looking more specifically at pensions, there has been a similar amount of traffic year on year
• There has also been a slight decrease in investment specific KWs by 4% in 2011 year on year
1. Microsoft Advertising Intelligence Tool
Searc
h
Pensions KW Demographics and Daily Trends: Bing
1. Microsoft Advertising Intelligence Tool
Searc
h
• 163% more during the week than weekend
• There is a slight bias towards male searchers; traffic peak in the 50-64 age brackets
Opportunities
There is a build of Impressions and Actions during the early afternoon and a slight elevation in the early evening
There are two main peaks that occurs post-lunch before the end of the work day and at the end of the evening
Activity ramps up quickly during the
start of the work day and maintains levels
until evening
Targeting options could include the during and post-
lunch targeting to hit the break
browsers
Consumers are most active during the
evening
Searc
h